(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) | (Commission File Number) | (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Title of each class: | Trading Symbol(s) | Name of exchange on which registered | |
$0.01 par value per share | |||
Item 2.02 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 7, 2020 Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGL) issued a press release reporting its first quarter 2020 results and the availability of its March 31, 2020 financial supplement. The press release and the financial supplement are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively, and are incorporated by reference herein. |
Item 9.01 | Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits |
Exhibit Number | Description |
99.1 | |
99.2 | |
104.1 | Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document |
Assured Guaranty Ltd. | ||
By: | /s/ ROBERT A. BAILENSON | |
Name: Robert A. Bailenson Title: Chief Financial Officer | ||

• | Net loss attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. was $55 million, or $0.59 per share,(1) for first quarter 2020. |
• | Shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per share was $69.35 as of March 31, 2020. |
• | Adjusted operating income(2) was $33 million, or $0.36 per share, for first quarter 2020. |
• | Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity(2) per share was $67.25 as of March 31, 2020. |
• | Adjusted book value (ABV)(2) per share was $98.02 as of March 31, 2020. |
• | Total capital returned to shareholders was $136 million, including share repurchases of $116 million, or 3.6 million shares, in first quarter 2020. |
• | Adjusted operating income was $85 million for first quarter 2020. |
• | Gross written premiums (GWP) were $64 million for first quarter 2020. |
• | Present value of new business production (PVP)(4) was $51 million for first quarter 2020. |
• | Adjusted operating loss was $9 million for first quarter 2020, including $3 million in amortization of intangible assets. |
• | Wind-down funds net outflows were $875 million in first quarter 2020. |
(1) | All per share information is based on diluted shares. |
(2) | Adjusted operating income, adjusted operating shareholders' equity and adjusted book value were formerly known as "Non-GAAP operating income", "Non-GAAP operating shareholders' equity" and "Non-GAAP adjusted book value", respectively. Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.” |
(3) | Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2019, with the acquisition of BlueMountain Capital Management, LLC and expansion into the asset management business, the Company now operates in two distinct operating segments: Insurance and Asset Management. The Company also has a Corporate division; please see "Summary Financial Results" table below. Adjusted operating income is the Company's segment measure. |
(4) | Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures.” |
Quarter Ended | |||||||
March 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||
GAAP Highlights | |||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | $ | (55 | ) | $ | 54 | ||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share | (0.59 | ) | 0.52 | ||||
Weighted average shares | 92.6 | 104.0 | |||||
Non-GAAP Highlights | |||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | |||||||
Insurance(1) | $ | 85 | $ | 111 | |||
Asset Management(1) | (9 | ) | — | ||||
Corporate | (39 | ) | (25 | ) | |||
Other | (4 | ) | — | ||||
Adjusted operating income (loss)(2) | $ | 33 | $ | 86 | |||
Adjusted operating income per diluted share(2) | $ | 0.36 | $ | 0.82 | |||
Weighted average diluted shares | 93.4 | 104.0 | |||||
As of | |||||||||||||||
March 31, 2020 | December 31, 2019 | ||||||||||||||
Amount | Per Share | Amount | Per Share | ||||||||||||
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL | $ | 6,240 | $ | 69.35 | $ | 6,639 | $ | 71.18 | |||||||
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity (2) | 6,051 | 67.25 | 6,246 | 66.96 | |||||||||||
ABV (2) | 8,820 | 98.02 | 9,047 | 96.99 | |||||||||||
Common Shares Outstanding | 90.0 | 93.3 | |||||||||||||
(1) | Adjusted operating income (loss) represents the Company's segment measure. |
(2) | Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release. |
Quarter Ended | |||||||
March 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||
Revenues | |||||||
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues | $ | 107 | $ | 126 | |||
Net investment income | 83 | 99 | |||||
Other income (loss) | 6 | 9 | |||||
Total revenues | 196 | 234 | |||||
Expenses | |||||||
Loss expense | 18 | 44 | |||||
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs (DAC) | 3 | 6 | |||||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 41 | 37 | |||||
Other operating expenses | 22 | 20 | |||||
Total expenses | 84 | 107 | |||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | (9 | ) | 1 | ||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes | 103 | 128 | |||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | 18 | 17 | |||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | 85 | $ | 111 | |||
• | Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues in first quarter 2020 were $107 million, compared with $126 million in first quarter 2019. The decline in net earned premiums was due to lower accelerations from refundings and the scheduled decline in net par outstanding. Accelerations from refundings and terminations were $15 million in first quarter 2020 compared with $26 million in first quarter 2019. |
• | Net investment income decreased in first quarter 2020 compared with first quarter 2019 primarily due to a decrease in the average asset balances in the investment portfolio and lower reinvestment rates. The decrease in the average balance of the investment portfolio was due, in part, to funds used for share repurchases and alternative investments, including Assured Investment Management funds. |
• | Equity in earnings of investees includes investments in Assured Investment Management funds, recorded at fair value. Volatility and dislocation in the market, particularly for the Company's investments in Assured Investment Management's CLO Warehouse Fund (US) L.P. (CLO Warehouse Fund) and AIM Asset Backed Income Fund (US) L.P. funds, was the primary driver of the $9 million fair value loss during first quarter 2020. |
• | The effective tax rate was 17.1% in first quarter 2020 compared with 13.3% in first quarter 2019. The effective tax rate fluctuates from period to period based on the proportion of income in different tax jurisdictions. |
Net Expected Loss to be Paid/(Recovered) as of December 31, 2019 | Economic Loss/ (Benefit) Development | Losses (Paid)/ Recovered | Net Expected Loss to be Paid/(Recovered) as of March 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||
Public finance | $ | 554 | $ | 59 | $ | (94 | ) | $ | 519 | ||||||
U.S. RMBS | 146 | (63 | ) | 21 | 104 | ||||||||||
Other structured finance | 37 | 1 | (1 | ) | 37 | ||||||||||
Total | $ | 737 | $ | (3 | ) | $ | (74 | ) | $ | 660 | |||||
(1) | Economic loss/(benefit) development represents the change in net expected loss to be paid attributable to the effects of changes in assumptions based on observed market trends, changes in discount rates, accretion of discount and the economic effects of loss mitigation efforts. Economic loss development is the principal measure that the Company uses to evaluate the loss experience in its insured portfolio. Expected loss to be paid includes all transactions insured by the Company, whether written in insurance or credit derivative form, regardless of the accounting model prescribed under accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). |
Quarter Ended March 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
GWP | PVP (1) | Gross Par Written (1) | GWP | PVP (1) | Gross Par Written (1) | ||||||||||||||||||
Public finance - U.S. | $ | 29 | $ | 29 | $ | 2,641 | $ | 30 | $ | 32 | $ | 2,016 | |||||||||||
Public finance - non-U.S. | 34 | 21 | 377 | 2 | 4 | 176 | |||||||||||||||||
Structured finance - U.S. | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 494 | |||||||||||||||||
Structured finance - non-U.S. | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | |||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 64 | $ | 51 | $ | 3,033 | $ | 39 | $ | 42 | $ | 2,707 | |||||||||||
(1) | PVP and Gross Par Written in the table above are based on "close date," when the transaction settles. Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release. The discount rate used for PVP as of March 31, 2020 is 3%. The prior period has been recast to present PVP discounted at 3% instead of 6%. |
Quarter Ended | |||
March 31, | |||
2020 | |||
Revenues | |||
Management fees: | |||
Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) | $ | 5 | |
Opportunity funds | 2 | ||
Wind-down funds | 9 | ||
Total management fees (1) | 16 | ||
Other income | 1 | ||
Total revenues | 17 | ||
Expenses | |||
Amortization of intangible assets | 3 | ||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 18 | ||
Other operating expenses | 7 | ||
Total expenses | 28 | ||
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes | (11 | ) | |
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | (2 | ) | |
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | (9 | ) |
(1) | The Asset Management segment presents reimbursable fund expenses netted in other operating expenses, whereas on the condensed consolidated statement of operations such reimbursable expenses are shown gross, as components of asset management fees and other operating expenses. |
CLOs | Opportunity Funds | Wind-Down Funds | Total | ||||||||||||
Rollforward: | |||||||||||||||
Assets under management (AUM), December 31, 2019 | $ | 12,758 | $ | 1,023 | $ | 4,046 | $ | 17,827 | |||||||
Inflows | — | 88 | — | 88 | |||||||||||
Outflows: | |||||||||||||||
Redemptions | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Distributions | (67 | ) | (85 | ) | (875 | ) | (1,027 | ) | |||||||
Total outflows | (67 | ) | (85 | ) | (875 | ) | (1,027 | ) | |||||||
Net flows | (67 | ) | 3 | (875 | ) | (939 | ) | ||||||||
Change in fund value | (46 | ) | (57 | ) | (306 | ) | (409 | ) | |||||||
AUM, March 31, 2020 (1) | $ | 12,645 | $ | 969 | $ | 2,865 | $ | 16,479 | |||||||
As of March 31, 2020: | |||||||||||||||
Funded AUM (2) | $ | 12,634 | $ | 849 | $ | 2,843 | $ | 16,326 | |||||||
Unfunded AUM (2) | 11 | 120 | 22 | 153 | |||||||||||
Fee Earning AUM (2) | $ | 6,038 | $ | 814 | $ | 2,601 | $ | 9,453 | |||||||
Non-Fee Earning AUM (2) | 6,607 | 155 | 264 | 7,026 | |||||||||||
As of December 31, 2019: | |||||||||||||||
Funded AUM (2) | $ | 12,721 | $ | 796 | $ | 3,980 | $ | 17,497 | |||||||
Unfunded AUM (2) | 37 | 227 | 66 | 330 | |||||||||||
Fee Earning AUM (2) | $ | 3,438 | $ | 695 | $ | 3,838 | $ | 7,971 | |||||||
Non-Fee Earning AUM (2) | 9,320 | 328 | 208 | 9,856 | |||||||||||
(1) | Includes AUM of the insurance company subsidiaries (intercompany AUM) of $216 million in opportunity funds and $41 million in a CLO Warehouse Fund. |
(2) | Please see “Definitions” at the end of this press release. |
Quarter Ended | |||||||
March 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||
Revenues | |||||||
Net investment income | $ | 1 | $ | 1 | |||
Loss on extinguishment of debt | (5 | ) | (1 | ) | |||
Total revenues | (4 | ) | — | ||||
Expenses | |||||||
Interest expense | 25 | 24 | |||||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 5 | 4 | |||||
Other operating expenses | 5 | 3 | |||||
Total expenses | 35 | 31 | |||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | (5 | ) | 1 | ||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes | (44 | ) | (30 | ) | |||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | (5 | ) | (5 | ) | |||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | (39 | ) | $ | (25 | ) | |
Quarter Ended | |||||||||||||||
March 31, | |||||||||||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||
Total | Per Diluted Share | Total | Per Diluted Share | ||||||||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | $ | (55 | ) | $ | (0.59 | ) | $ | 54 | $ | 0.52 | |||||
Less pre-tax adjustments: | |||||||||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on investments | (5 | ) | (0.06 | ) | (12 | ) | (0.12 | ) | |||||||
Non-credit-impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | (88 | ) | (0.95 | ) | (28 | ) | (0.26 | ) | |||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS) | 48 | 0.52 | (9 | ) | (0.09 | ) | |||||||||
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves | (57 | ) | (0.62 | ) | 9 | 0.09 | |||||||||
Total pre-tax adjustments | (102 | ) | (1.11 | ) | (40 | ) | (0.38 | ) | |||||||
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments | 14 | 0.16 | 8 | 0.08 | |||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | 33 | $ | 0.36 | $ | 86 | $ | 0.82 | |||||||
Amount | Number of Shares | Average Price Per Share | ||||||||
2020 (January 1 - March 31) | $ | 116.2 | 3.63 | $ | 32.03 | |||||
2020 (April 1 - May 7) | 92.8 | 3.31 | 28.01 | |||||||
Total 2020 | $ | 209.0 | 6.94 | $ | 30.11 | |||||
Quarter Ended | |||||||
March 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||
Revenues | |||||||
Net earned premiums | $ | 103 | $ | 118 | |||
Net investment income | 80 | 98 | |||||
Asset management fees | 23 | — | |||||
Net realized investment gains (losses) | (5 | ) | (12 | ) | |||
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives | (77 | ) | (22 | ) | |||
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS | 48 | (9 | ) | ||||
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | (9 | ) | 5 | ||||
Fair value gains (losses) on consolidated investment vehicles | (12 | ) | — | ||||
Foreign exchange gain (loss) on remeasurement | (62 | ) | 11 | ||||
Other income (loss) | 7 | 6 | |||||
Total revenues | 96 | 195 | |||||
Expenses | |||||||
Loss and LAE | 20 | 46 | |||||
Interest expense | 22 | 23 | |||||
Amortization of DAC | 3 | 6 | |||||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 64 | 41 | |||||
Other operating expenses | 45 | 23 | |||||
Total expenses | 154 | 139 | |||||
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in net earnings of investees | (58 | ) | 56 | ||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | (4 | ) | 2 | ||||
Income (loss) before income taxes | (62 | ) | 58 | ||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | (4 | ) | 4 | ||||
Net income (loss) | (58 | ) | 54 | ||||
Less: Noncontrolling interests | (3 | ) | — | ||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | $ | (55 | ) | $ | 54 | ||
Three Months Ended March 31, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||
Insurance | Asset Management | Corporate | Other | Total | |||||||||||||||
Revenues | |||||||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues | $ | 107 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 106 | ||||||||
Net investment income | 83 | — | 1 | (4 | ) | 80 | |||||||||||||
Asset management fees | — | 16 | — | 7 | 23 | ||||||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | — | — | — | (9 | ) | (9 | ) | ||||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on consolidated investment vehicles | — | — | — | (12 | ) | (12 | ) | ||||||||||||
Other income (loss) | 6 | 1 | (5 | ) | — | 2 | |||||||||||||
Total revenues | 196 | 17 | (4 | ) | (19 | ) | 190 | ||||||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||||||||||
Loss expense | 18 | — | — | (6 | ) | 12 | |||||||||||||
Interest expense | — | — | 25 | (3 | ) | 22 | |||||||||||||
Amortization of DAC and intangible assets | 3 | 3 | — | — | 6 | ||||||||||||||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 41 | 18 | 5 | — | 64 | ||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 22 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 42 | ||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 84 | 28 | 35 | (1 | ) | 146 | |||||||||||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | (9 | ) | — | (5 | ) | 10 | (4 | ) | |||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes | 103 | (11 | ) | (44 | ) | (8 | ) | 40 | |||||||||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | 18 | (2 | ) | (5 | ) | (1 | ) | 10 | |||||||||||
Noncontrolling interests | — | — | — | (3 | ) | (3 | ) | ||||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | 85 | $ | (9 | ) | $ | (39 | ) | $ | (4 | ) | $ | 33 | ||||||
Three Months Ended March 31, 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||
Insurance | Asset Management | Corporate | Other | Total | |||||||||||||||
Revenues | |||||||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues | $ | 126 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (3 | ) | $ | 123 | ||||||||
Net investment income | 99 | — | 1 | (2 | ) | 98 | |||||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
Other income (loss) | 9 | — | (1 | ) | — | 8 | |||||||||||||
Total revenues | 234 | — | — | — | 234 | ||||||||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||||||||||
Loss expense | 44 | — | — | 1 | 45 | ||||||||||||||
Interest expense | — | — | 24 | (1 | ) | 23 | |||||||||||||
Amortization of DAC and intangible assets | 6 | — | — | — | 6 | ||||||||||||||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 37 | — | 4 | — | 41 | ||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 20 | — | 3 | — | 23 | ||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 107 | — | 31 | — | 138 | ||||||||||||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | ||||||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes | 128 | — | (30 | ) | — | 98 | |||||||||||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | 17 | — | (5 | ) | — | 12 | |||||||||||||
Noncontrolling interests | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | 111 | $ | — | $ | (25 | ) | $ | — | $ | 86 | ||||||||
As of | |||||||
March 31, 2020 | December 31, 2019 | ||||||
Assets | |||||||
Investment portfolio: | |||||||
Fixed-maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value | $ | 8,568 | $ | 8,854 | |||
Short-term investments, at fair value | 933 | 1,268 | |||||
Other invested assets | 121 | 118 | |||||
Total investment portfolio | 9,622 | 10,240 | |||||
Cash | 139 | 169 | |||||
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable | 1,233 | 1,286 | |||||
DAC | 113 | 111 | |||||
Salvage and subrogation recoverable | 820 | 747 | |||||
FG VIEs' assets, at fair value | 368 | 442 | |||||
Assets of consolidated investment vehicles | 645 | 572 | |||||
Goodwill and other intangible assets | 212 | 216 | |||||
Other assets | 593 | 543 | |||||
Total assets | $ | 13,745 | $ | 14,326 | |||
Liabilities and shareholders' equity | |||||||
Unearned premium reserve | $ | 3,706 | $ | 3,736 | |||
Loss and LAE reserve | 1,050 | 1,050 | |||||
Long-term debt | 1,221 | 1,235 | |||||
Credit derivative liabilities, at fair value | 265 | 191 | |||||
FG VIEs' liabilities with recourse, at fair value | 312 | 367 | |||||
FG VIEs' liabilities without recourse, at fair value | 82 | 102 | |||||
Liabilities of consolidated investment vehicles | 431 | 482 | |||||
Other liabilities | 405 | 511 | |||||
Total liabilities | 7,472 | 7,674 | |||||
Redeemable noncontrolling interests in consolidated investment vehicles | 8 | 7 | |||||
Common stock | 1 | 1 | |||||
Retained earnings | 6,100 | 6,295 | |||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income | 138 | 342 | |||||
Deferred equity compensation | 1 | 1 | |||||
Total shareholders' equity attributable to AGL | 6,240 | 6,639 | |||||
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests | 25 | 6 | |||||
Total shareholders' equity | 6,265 | 6,645 | |||||
Total liabilities, redeemable noncontrolling interests and shareholders’ equity | $ | 13,745 | $ | 14,326 | |||
As of | |||||||||||||||
March 31, 2020 | December 31, 2019 | ||||||||||||||
Total | Per Share | Total | Per Share | ||||||||||||
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL | $ | 6,240 | $ | 69.35 | $ | 6,639 | $ | 71.18 | |||||||
Less pre-tax adjustments: | |||||||||||||||
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | (144 | ) | (1.60 | ) | (56 | ) | (0.60 | ) | |||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS | 101 | 1.12 | 52 | 0.56 | |||||||||||
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect | 275 | 3.06 | 486 | 5.21 | |||||||||||
Less taxes | (43 | ) | (0.48 | ) | (89 | ) | (0.95 | ) | |||||||
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity | 6,051 | 67.25 | 6,246 | 66.96 | |||||||||||
Pre-tax adjustments: | |||||||||||||||
Less: DAC | 113 | 1.26 | 111 | 1.19 | |||||||||||
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue | 193 | 2.14 | 206 | 2.20 | |||||||||||
Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed | 3,273 | 36.37 | 3,296 | 35.34 | |||||||||||
Plus taxes | (584 | ) | (6.48 | ) | (590 | ) | (6.32 | ) | |||||||
ABV | $ | 8,820 | $ | 98.02 | $ | 9,047 | $ | 96.99 | |||||||
Gain (loss) related to VIE consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders' equity | $ | 12 | $ | 0.14 | $ | 7 | $ | 0.07 | |||||||
Gain (loss) related to VIE consolidation included in adjusted book value | 2 | $ | 0.03 | (4 | ) | (0.05 | ) | ||||||||
Shares outstanding at the end of the period | 90.0 | 93.3 | |||||||||||||
Quarter Ended | ||||||||||||||||||||
March 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Public Finance | Structured Finance | |||||||||||||||||||
U.S. | Non - U.S. | U.S. | Non - U.S. | Total | ||||||||||||||||
GWP | $ | 29 | $ | 34 | $ | 1 | $ | — | $ | 64 | ||||||||||
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments(2) | — | 34 | 1 | — | 35 | |||||||||||||||
Upfront GWP | 29 | — | — | — | 29 | |||||||||||||||
Plus: Installment premium PVP | — | 21 | 1 | — | 22 | |||||||||||||||
PVP | $ | 29 | $ | 21 | $ | 1 | $ | — | $ | 51 | ||||||||||
Quarter Ended | ||||||||||||||||||||
March 31, 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Public Finance | Structured Finance | |||||||||||||||||||
U.S. | Non - U.S. | U.S. | Non - U.S. | Total | ||||||||||||||||
GWP | $ | 30 | $ | 2 | $ | 6 | $ | 1 | $ | 39 | ||||||||||
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments(2) | (2 | ) | 2 | 5 | — | 5 | ||||||||||||||
Upfront GWP | 32 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | |||||||||||||||
Plus: Installment premium PVP | — | 4 | 4 | — | 8 | |||||||||||||||
PVP | $ | 32 | $ | 4 | $ | 5 | $ | 1 | $ | 42 | ||||||||||
(1) | The discount rate used for PVP as of March 31, 2020 is 3%. The prior period has been recast to present PVP discounted at 3% instead of 6%. |
(2) | Includes present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions, any cancellations of assumed reinsurance contracts, and other GAAP adjustments. |
• | the net asset value of the opportunity and wind-down funds plus any unfunded commitments; and |
• | the amount of aggregate collateral balance and principal cash of BlueMountain's CLOs, including CLO equity that may be held by Assured Investment Management funds. This also includes CLO assets managed by BlueMountain Fuji Management, LLC (BM Fuji). BlueMountain is not the investment manager of BM Fuji CLOs, but rather has entered into a services agreement and a secondment agreement with BM Fuji pursuant to which BlueMountain provides certain services associated with the management of BM Fuji-advised CLOs and acts in the capacity of service provider. |
• | “Public Finance Transactions in 1Q 2020,” which lists the U.S. public finance new issues insured by the Company in first quarter 2020, and |
• | “Structured Finance Transactions at March 31, 2020,” which lists the Company's structured finance exposure as of that date. |

Table of Contents | Page | ||||
Three Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
March 31, | |||||||||||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||
GAAP Highlights | |||||||||||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | $ | (55 | ) | $ | 54 | ||||||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share | (0.59 | ) | 0.52 | ||||||||||||
Weighted average shares outstanding | |||||||||||||||
Basic shares outstanding | 92.6 | 103.0 | |||||||||||||
Diluted shares outstanding (2) | 92.6 | 104.0 | |||||||||||||
Effective tax rate on net income | 7.1 | % | 7.8 | % | |||||||||||
GAAP return on equity (ROE) (4) | (3.4 | )% | 3.3 | % | |||||||||||
Non-GAAP Highlights (1) | |||||||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss)(1)(6) | |||||||||||||||
Insurance | $ | 85 | $ | 111 | |||||||||||
Asset Management | (9 | ) | — | ||||||||||||
Corporate | (39 | ) | (25 | ) | |||||||||||
Other | (4 | ) | — | ||||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | 33 | $ | 86 | |||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share (1)(6) | $ | 0.36 | $ | 0.82 | |||||||||||
Effective tax rate on adjusted operating income (3) | 24.7 | % | 13.1 | % | |||||||||||
Adjusted operating ROE (1)(4)(9) | 2.2 | % | 5.4 | % | |||||||||||
Insurance Segment | |||||||||||||||
Gross written premiums (GWP) | $ | 64 | $ | 39 | |||||||||||
Present value of new business production (PVP) (1) | 51 | 42 | |||||||||||||
Gross par written | 3,033 | 2,707 | |||||||||||||
Asset Management Segment | |||||||||||||||
Wind-down funds net outflows | $ | (875 | ) | $ | — | ||||||||||
As of | |||||||||||||||
March 31, 2020 | December 31, 2019 | ||||||||||||||
Amount | Per Share | Amount | Per Share | ||||||||||||
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL | $ | 6,240 | $ | 69.35 | $ | 6,639 | $ | 71.18 | |||||||
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity (1)(7) | 6,051 | 67.25 | 6,246 | 66.96 | |||||||||||
Adjusted book value (1)(8) | 8,820 | 98.02 | 9,047 | 96.99 | |||||||||||
Gain (loss) related to the effect of consolidating variable interest entities (VIE consolidation) included in adjusted operating shareholders' equity | 12 | 0.14 | 7 | 0.07 | |||||||||||
Gain (loss) related to VIE consolidation included in adjusted book value | 2 | 0.03 | (4 | ) | (0.05 | ) | |||||||||
Shares outstanding at the end of period | 90.0 | 93.3 | |||||||||||||
Exposure | |||||||||||||||
Financial guaranty net debt service outstanding | $ | 363,893 | $ | 374,130 | |||||||||||
Financial guaranty net par outstanding | 230,898 | 236,807 | |||||||||||||
Claims-paying resources (5) | 11,011 | 11,357 | |||||||||||||
1) | Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement and for a description of the changes to the discount rates used in the calculation of non-GAAP financial measure. The prior period has been recast to present these measures at 3%, instead of a 6% discount rate. |
2) | Non-GAAP diluted shares outstanding were 93.4 million and 104.0 million for the three months ended as of March 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively. |
3) | Represents the ratio of adjusted operating provision for income taxes to adjusted operating income before income taxes. |
4) | Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns. See page 7 for additional information on calculation. |
5) | See page 12 for additional detail on claims-paying resources. |
6) | "Adjusted operating income" was formerly known as "Non-GAAP operating income." |
7) | "Adjusted operating shareholders' equity" was formerly known as "Non-GAAP operating shareholders' equity." |
8) | "Adjusted book value" was formerly known as "Non-GAAP adjusted book value." |
9) | "Adjusted operating ROE" was formerly known as "Non-GAAP operating ROE." |
Three Months Ended | |||||||
March 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||
Effect of refundings and terminations on GAAP measures: | |||||||
Net earned premiums, pre-tax | $ | 15 | $ | 26 | |||
Net income effect | 11 | 19 | |||||
Net income per diluted share | 0.12 | 0.18 | |||||
Effect of refundings and terminations on non-GAAP measures: | |||||||
Operating net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues(1), pre-tax | $ | 15 | $ | 26 | |||
Adjusted operating income(1) effect | 11 | 19 | |||||
Adjusted operating income per diluted share (1) | 0.12 | 0.18 | |||||
1) | Condensed consolidated statement of operations items mentioned in this Financial Supplement that are described as operating (i.e. operating net earned premiums) are non-GAAP measures and represent components of adjusted operating income. Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement. |
As of | ||||||||
March 31, | December 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | |||||||
Assets | ||||||||
Investment portfolio: | ||||||||
Fixed-maturity securities available-for-sale | $ | 8,568 | $ | 8,854 | ||||
Short-term investments, at fair value | 933 | 1,268 | ||||||
Other invested assets | 121 | 118 | ||||||
Total investment portfolio | 9,622 | 10,240 | ||||||
Cash | 139 | 169 | ||||||
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable | 1,233 | 1,286 | ||||||
Deferred acquisition costs | 113 | 111 | ||||||
Salvage and subrogation recoverable | 820 | 747 | ||||||
Financial guaranty variable interest entities' (FG VIEs') assets, at fair value | 368 | 442 | ||||||
Assets of consolidated investment vehicles | 645 | 572 | ||||||
Goodwill and other intangible assets | 212 | 216 | ||||||
Other assets | 593 | 543 | ||||||
Total assets | $ | 13,745 | $ | 14,326 | ||||
Liabilities and shareholders' equity | ||||||||
Unearned premium reserve | $ | 3,706 | $ | 3,736 | ||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserve | 1,050 | 1,050 | ||||||
Long-term debt | 1,221 | 1,235 | ||||||
Credit derivative liabilities | 265 | 191 | ||||||
FG VIEs' liabilities with recourse, at fair value | 312 | 367 | ||||||
FG VIEs' liabilities without recourse, at fair value | 82 | 102 | ||||||
Liabilities of consolidated investment vehicles | 431 | 482 | ||||||
Other liabilities | 405 | 511 | ||||||
Total liabilities | 7,472 | 7,674 | ||||||
Redeemable noncontrolling interests in consolidated investment vehicles | 8 | 7 | ||||||
Common stock | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Retained earnings | 6,100 | 6,295 | ||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income | 138 | 342 | ||||||
Deferred equity compensation | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Total shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. | 6,240 | 6,639 | ||||||
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests | 25 | 6 | ||||||
Total shareholders' equity | 6,265 | 6,645 | ||||||
Total liabilities, redeemable noncontrolling interests and shareholders' equity | $ | 13,745 | $ | 14,326 | ||||
Three Months Ended | |||||||
March 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||
Revenues | |||||||
Net earned premiums | $ | 103 | $ | 118 | |||
Net investment income | 80 | 98 | |||||
Asset management fees | 23 | — | |||||
Net realized investment gains (losses) | (5 | ) | (12 | ) | |||
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives | (77 | ) | (22 | ) | |||
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS) | 48 | (9 | ) | ||||
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | (9 | ) | 5 | ||||
Fair value gains (losses) on consolidated investment vehicles | (12 | ) | — | ||||
Foreign exchange gain (loss) on remeasurement | (62 | ) | 11 | ||||
Other income (loss) | 7 | 6 | |||||
Total revenues | 96 | 195 | |||||
Expenses | |||||||
Loss and LAE | 20 | 46 | |||||
Interest expense | 22 | 23 | |||||
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs (DAC) | 3 | 6 | |||||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 64 | 41 | |||||
Other operating expenses | 45 | 23 | |||||
Total expenses | 154 | 139 | |||||
Income (loss) before provision for income taxes and equity in net earnings of investees | (58 | ) | 56 | ||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | (4 | ) | 2 | ||||
Income (loss) before income taxes | (62 | ) | 58 | ||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | (4 | ) | 4 | ||||
Net income (loss) | (58 | ) | 54 | ||||
Less: Noncontrolling interests | (3 | ) | — | ||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | $ | (55 | ) | $ | 54 | ||
Earnings per share: | |||||||
Basic | $ | (0.59 | ) | $ | 0.52 | ||
Diluted | $ | (0.59 | ) | $ | 0.52 | ||
Three Months Ended March 31, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||
Insurance | Asset Management | Corporate | Other | Total | |||||||||||||||
Revenues | |||||||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues | $ | 107 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 106 | ||||||||
Net investment income | 83 | — | 1 | (4 | ) | 80 | |||||||||||||
Asset management fees | — | 16 | — | 7 | 23 | ||||||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | — | — | — | (9 | ) | (9 | ) | ||||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on consolidated investment vehicles | — | — | — | (12 | ) | (12 | ) | ||||||||||||
Other income (loss) | 6 | 1 | (5 | ) | — | 2 | |||||||||||||
Total revenues | 196 | 17 | (4 | ) | (19 | ) | 190 | ||||||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||||||||||
Loss expense | 18 | — | — | (6 | ) | 12 | |||||||||||||
Interest expense | — | — | 25 | (3 | ) | 22 | |||||||||||||
Amortization of DAC and intangible assets | 3 | 3 | — | — | 6 | ||||||||||||||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 41 | 18 | 5 | — | 64 | ||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 22 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 42 | ||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 84 | 28 | 35 | (1 | ) | 146 | |||||||||||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | (9 | ) | — | (5 | ) | 10 | (4 | ) | |||||||||||
Income (loss) before income taxes | 103 | (11 | ) | (44 | ) | (8 | ) | 40 | |||||||||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | 18 | (2 | ) | (5 | ) | (1 | ) | 10 | |||||||||||
Noncontrolling interests | — | — | — | (3 | ) | (3 | ) | ||||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | 85 | $ | (9 | ) | $ | (39 | ) | $ | (4 | ) | $ | 33 | ||||||
Three Months Ended March 31, 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||
Insurance | Asset Management | Corporate | Other | Total | |||||||||||||||
Revenues | |||||||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues | $ | 126 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (3 | ) | $ | 123 | ||||||||
Net investment income | 99 | — | 1 | (2 | ) | 98 | |||||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
Other income (loss) | 9 | — | (1 | ) | — | 8 | |||||||||||||
Total revenues | 234 | — | — | — | 234 | ||||||||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||||||||||
Loss expense | 44 | — | — | 1 | 45 | ||||||||||||||
Interest expense | — | — | 24 | (1 | ) | 23 | |||||||||||||
Amortization of DAC and intangible assets | 6 | — | — | — | 6 | ||||||||||||||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 37 | — | 4 | — | 41 | ||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 20 | — | 3 | — | 23 | ||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 107 | — | 31 | — | 138 | ||||||||||||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | ||||||||||||||
Income (loss) before income taxes | 128 | — | (30 | ) | — | 98 | |||||||||||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | 17 | — | (5 | ) | — | 12 | |||||||||||||
Noncontrolling interests | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | 111 | $ | — | $ | (25 | ) | $ | — | $ | 86 | ||||||||
Adjusted Operating Income Reconciliation | Three Months Ended | ||||||
March 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | $ | (55 | ) | $ | 54 | ||
Less pre-tax adjustments: | |||||||
Realized gains (losses) on investments | (5 | ) | (12 | ) | |||
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | (88 | ) | (28 | ) | |||
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS | 48 | (9 | ) | ||||
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves | (57 | ) | 9 | ||||
Total pre-tax adjustments | (102 | ) | (40 | ) | |||
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments | 14 | 8 | |||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | 33 | $ | 86 | |||
Per diluted share: | |||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | $ | (0.59 | ) | $ | 0.52 | ||
Less pre-tax adjustments: | |||||||
Realized gains (losses) on investments | (0.06 | ) | (0.12 | ) | |||
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | (0.95 | ) | (0.26 | ) | |||
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS | 0.52 | (0.09 | ) | ||||
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves | (0.62 | ) | 0.09 | ||||
Total pre-tax adjustments | (1.11 | ) | (0.38 | ) | |||
Tax effect on pre-tax adjustments | 0.16 | 0.08 | |||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) (1) | $ | 0.36 | $ | 0.82 | |||
1) | Based on the non-GAAP diluted shares outstanding, which were 93.4 million and 104.0 million for the three months ended as of March 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively. |
ROE Reconciliation and Calculation | |||||||||||||||
March 31, | December 31, | March 31, | December 31, | ||||||||||||
2020 | 2019 | 2019 | 2018 | ||||||||||||
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL | $ | 6,240 | $ | 6,639 | $ | 6,669 | $ | 6,555 | |||||||
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity | 6,051 | 6,246 | 6,341 | 6,342 | |||||||||||
Gain (loss) related to VIE consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders' equity | 12 | 7 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||||
Three Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
March 31, | |||||||||||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | $ | (55 | ) | $ | 54 | ||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | 33 | 86 | |||||||||||||
Average shareholders' equity attributable to AGL | $ | 6,440 | $ | 6,612 | |||||||||||
Average adjusted operating shareholders' equity | 6,149 | 6,342 | |||||||||||||
Gain (loss) related to VIE consolidation included in average adjusted operating shareholders' equity | 10 | 5 | |||||||||||||
GAAP ROE (1) | (3.4 | )% | 3.3 | % | |||||||||||
Adjusted operating ROE (1) | 2.2 | % | 5.4 | % | |||||||||||
1) | Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns. |
As of | ||||||||||||||||
March 31, | December 31, | March 31, | December 31, | |||||||||||||
2020 | 2019 | 2019 | 2018 | |||||||||||||
Reconciliation of shareholders' equity attributable to AGL to adjusted book value (1): | ||||||||||||||||
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL | $ | 6,240 | $ | 6,639 | $ | 6,669 | $ | 6,555 | ||||||||
Less pre-tax reconciling items: | ||||||||||||||||
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | (144 | ) | (56 | ) | (73 | ) | (45 | ) | ||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS | 101 | 52 | 65 | 74 | ||||||||||||
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect | 275 | 486 | 419 | 247 | ||||||||||||
Less taxes | (43 | ) | (89 | ) | (83 | ) | (63 | ) | ||||||||
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity | 6,051 | 6,246 | 6,341 | 6,342 | ||||||||||||
Pre-tax reconciling items: | ||||||||||||||||
Less: Deferred acquisition costs | 113 | 111 | 104 | 105 | ||||||||||||
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue | 193 | 206 | 214 | 219 | ||||||||||||
Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed | 3,273 | 3,296 | 2,972 | 3,005 | ||||||||||||
Plus taxes | (584 | ) | (590 | ) | (518 | ) | (526 | ) | ||||||||
Adjusted book value | $ | 8,820 | $ | 9,047 | $ | 8,905 | $ | 8,935 | ||||||||
Gain (loss) related to VIE consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders' equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(4), $(2), $(1), and $(1)) | $ | 12 | $ | 7 | $ | 3 | $ | 3 | ||||||||
Gain (loss) related to VIE consolidation included in adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(2), $1, $5, and $4) | $ | 2 | $ | (4 | ) | $ | (20 | ) | $ | (15 | ) | |||||
(1) | See Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement for a description of the changes to the discount rates used in the calculation of non-GAAP financial measure. The discount rate used for net present value of estimated net future revenues as of March 31, 2020 is 3%. The prior periods have been recast to present the net present value of net future revenues discounted at 3% instead of 6%. |
Amortized Cost | Allowance for Credit Losses | Pre-Tax Book Yield | After-Tax Book Yield | Fair Value | Annualized Investment Income (1) | |||||||||||||||||
Investment portfolio: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Obligations of states and political subdivisions(2)(4) | $ | 3,952 | $ | (11 | ) | 3.63 | % | 3.35 | % | $ | 4,204 | $ | 143 | |||||||||
U.S. government and agencies | 160 | — | 3.72 | 3.23 | 175 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||
Corporate securities (4) | 2,292 | (39 | ) | 2.94 | 2.59 | 2,233 | 66 | |||||||||||||||
Mortgage-backed securities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) (3)(4) | 737 | (16 | ) | 4.78 | 4.02 | 717 | 35 | |||||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed securities | 399 | — | 3.49 | 3.01 | 414 | 14 | ||||||||||||||||
Asset-backed securities (4) | 687 | (7 | ) | 5.48 | 4.41 | 653 | 37 | |||||||||||||||
Non-U.S. government securities | 183 | — | 1.13 | 1.13 | 172 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
Total fixed maturity securities | 8,410 | (73 | ) | 3.63 | 3.22 | 8,568 | 303 | |||||||||||||||
Short-term investments | 933 | — | 0.41 | 0.34 | 933 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
Cash (5) | 139 | — | — | — | 139 | — | ||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 9,482 | $ | (73 | ) | 3.31 | % | 2.93 | % | $ | 9,640 | $ | 307 | |||||||||
Ratings (6): | Fair Value | % of Portfolio | ||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. government and agencies | $ | 175 | 2.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
AAA/Aaa | 1,379 | 16.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
AA/Aa | 3,689 | 43.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
A/A | 1,898 | 22.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
BBB | 728 | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Below-investment-grade (BIG) (7) | 648 | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Not rated | 51 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Total fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale | $ | 8,568 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
Duration of fixed maturity securities and short-term investments (in years): | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Average ratings of fixed maturity securities and short-term investments | AA- | |||||||||||||||||||||
1) | Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields. |
2) | Includes obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by S&P Global Ratings, a division of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC (S&P) or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. (Moody's), average A. Includes fair value of $10 million insured by Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (AGM). |
3) | Includes fair value of $190 million in subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of BIG. |
4) | Includes securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies. |
5) | Cash is not included in the yield calculation. |
6) | Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications except for bonds purchased for loss mitigation (loss mitigation securities) or other risk management strategies which use internal ratings classifications. |
7) | Includes below investment grade securities that were purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies of $1,086 million in par with carrying value of $636 million. |
Three Months Ended | |||||||
March 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||
Revenues | |||||||
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues | $ | 107 | $ | 126 | |||
Net investment income | 83 | 99 | |||||
Other income (loss) | 6 | 9 | |||||
Total revenues | 196 | 234 | |||||
Expenses | |||||||
Loss expense | 18 | 44 | |||||
Amortization of DAC | 3 | 6 | |||||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 41 | 37 | |||||
Other operating expenses | 22 | 20 | |||||
Total expenses | 84 | 107 | |||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | (9 | ) | 1 | ||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes | 103 | 128 | |||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | 18 | 17 | |||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | 85 | $ | 111 | |||
As of March 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. | Assured Guaranty Corp. | Municipal Assurance Corp. | Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (7) | Eliminations(2) | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||||
Claims-paying resources | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Policyholders' surplus | $ | 2,573 | $ | 1,668 | $ | 277 | $ | 823 | $ | (478 | ) | $ | 4,863 | |||||||||||
Contingency reserve(1) | 997 | 623 | 196 | — | (196 | ) | 1,620 | |||||||||||||||||
Qualified statutory capital | 3,570 | 2,291 | 473 | 823 | (674 | ) | 6,483 | |||||||||||||||||
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income(1) | 1,997 | 423 | 136 | 573 | (214 | ) | 2,915 | |||||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE reserves (1) | 145 | 130 | (2 | ) | 162 | 2 | 437 | |||||||||||||||||
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves | 5,712 | 2,844 | 607 | 1,558 | (886 | ) | 9,835 | |||||||||||||||||
Present value of installment premium (8) | 389 | 188 | — | 199 | — | 776 | ||||||||||||||||||
CCS | 200 | 200 | — | — | — | 400 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total claims-paying resources (including proportionate MAC ownership for AGM and AGC) | 6,301 | 3,232 | 607 | 1,757 | (886 | ) | 11,011 | |||||||||||||||||
Adjustment for MAC (3) | 368 | 239 | — | — | (607 | ) | — | |||||||||||||||||
Total claims-paying resources (excluding proportionate MAC ownership for AGM and AGC) | $ | 5,933 | $ | 2,993 | $ | 607 | $ | 1,757 | $ | (279 | ) | $ | 11,011 | |||||||||||
Statutory net exposure (4) | $ | 127,664 | $ | 22,082 | $ | 17,379 | $ | 60,503 | $ | (575 | ) | $ | 227,053 | |||||||||||
Equity method adjustment (3) | 10,549 | 6,830 | — | — | (17,379 | ) | — | |||||||||||||||||
Adjusted statutory net exposure (1) | $ | 138,213 | $ | 28,912 | $ | 17,379 | $ | 60,503 | $ | (17,954 | ) | $ | 227,053 | |||||||||||
Net debt service outstanding (4) | $ | 207,899 | $ | 33,729 | $ | 25,643 | $ | 93,382 | $ | (1,242 | ) | $ | 359,411 | |||||||||||
Equity method adjustment (3) | 15,565 | 10,078 | — | — | (25,643 | ) | — | |||||||||||||||||
Adjusted net debt service outstanding (1) | $ | 223,464 | $ | 43,807 | $ | 25,643 | $ | 93,382 | $ | (26,885 | ) | $ | 359,411 | |||||||||||
Ratios: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted net exposure to qualified statutory capital | 39:1 | 13:1 | 37:1 | 74:1 | 35:1 | |||||||||||||||||||
Capital ratio (5) | 63:1 | 19:1 | 54:1 | 113:1 | 55:1 | |||||||||||||||||||
Financial resources ratio (6) | 35:1 | 14:1 | 42:1 | 53:1 | 33:1 | |||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources (incl. MAC adj. for AGM and AGC) | 22:1 | 9:1 | 29:1 | 34:1 | 21:1 | |||||||||||||||||||
1) | The numbers shown for AGM and Assured Guaranty Corp. (AGC) have been adjusted to include their indirect share of Municipal Assurance Corp. (MAC). AGM and AGC own 60.7% and 39.3%, respectively, of the outstanding stock of Municipal Assurance Holdings Inc., which owns 100% of the outstanding common stock of MAC. AGM has been adjusted to include 100% share of Assured Guaranty (Europe) plc, AGM's United Kingdom subsidiary. Amounts include financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives. |
2) | Eliminations are primarily for (i) intercompany surplus notes between AGM and AGC, and (ii) MAC amounts, whose proportionate share are included in AGM and AGC based on ownership percentages, and (iii) eliminations of intercompany deferred ceding commissions. Net exposure and net debt service outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary, and net exposure related to intercompany cessions from AGM and AGC to MAC. |
3) | Represents adjustments for AGM's and AGC's interest and indirect ownership of MAC. |
4) | Net exposure and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. |
5) | The capital ratio is calculated by dividing adjusted net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital. |
6) | The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing adjusted net debt service outstanding by total claims-paying resources (including MAC adjustment for AGM and AGC). |
7) | Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (AG Re) numbers represent the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory accounting practices prescribed or permitted by insurance regulatory authorities, except for contingency reserves. |
8) | Discount rate was changed to 3% in first quarter 2020 from a 6% discount rate. |
Three Months Ended | Three Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
March 31, 2020 | March 31, 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Finance | Structured Finance | Public Finance | Structured Finance | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. | Non - U.S. | U.S. | Non - U.S. | Total | U.S. | Non - U.S. | U.S. | Non - U.S. | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total GWP | $ | 29 | $ | 34 | $ | 1 | $ | — | $ | 64 | $ | 30 | $ | 2 | $ | 6 | $ | 1 | $ | 39 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments(2) | — | 34 | 1 | — | 35 | (2 | ) | 2 | 5 | — | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Upfront GWP | 29 | — | — | — | 29 | 32 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Plus: Installment premium PVP | — | 21 | 1 | — | 22 | — | 4 | 4 | — | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total PVP | $ | 29 | $ | 21 | $ | 1 | $ | — | $ | 51 | $ | 32 | $ | 4 | $ | 5 | $ | 1 | $ | 42 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Gross par written | $ | 2,641 | $ | 377 | $ | 15 | $ | — | $ | 3,033 | $ | 2,016 | $ | 176 | $ | 494 | $ | 21 | $ | 2,707 | ||||||||||||||||||||
1) | See Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement for a description of the changes to the discount rates used in the calculation of non-GAAP financial measure. The discount rate used for PVP as of March 31, 2020 is 3%. Prior period has been recast to present PVP discounted at 3% instead of 6%. |
2) | Includes present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions, any cancellations of assumed reinsurance contracts, and other GAAP adjustments. |
Three Months Ended | ||||||
March 31, 2020 | ||||||
Gross Par Written | Avg. Internal Rating | |||||
Sector: | ||||||
U.S. public finance | ||||||
General obligation | $ | 1,070 | A- | |||
Healthcare | 438 | BBB- | ||||
Transportation | 324 | A- | ||||
Higher education | 254 | BBB | ||||
Tax backed | 250 | BBB+ | ||||
Municipal utilities | 246 | BBB+ | ||||
Housing revenue | 59 | BBB- | ||||
Total U.S. public finance | 2,641 | BBB+ | ||||
Non-U.S. public finance: | ||||||
Renewable energy | 377 | BBB+ | ||||
Total non-U.S. public finance | 377 | BBB+ | ||||
Total public finance | 3,018 | BBB+ | ||||
U.S. structured finance: | ||||||
Structured credit | 15 | BBB | ||||
Total U.S. structured finance | 15 | BBB | ||||
Non-U.S. structured finance: | ||||||
Total non-U.S. structured finance | — | -- | ||||
Total structured finance | 15 | BBB | ||||
Total gross par written | $ | 3,033 | BBB+ | |||
1Q-19 | 2Q-19 | 3Q-19 | 4Q-19 | 1Q-20 | ||||||||||||||||
PVP (1): | ||||||||||||||||||||
Public finance - U.S. | $ | 32 | $ | 44 | $ | 46 | $ | 79 | $ | 29 | ||||||||||
Public finance - non-U.S. | 4 | 8 | 16 | 280 | 21 | |||||||||||||||
Structured finance - U.S. | 5 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
Structured finance - non-U.S. | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | — | |||||||||||||||
Total PVP | $ | 42 | $ | 56 | $ | 89 | $ | 382 | $ | 51 | ||||||||||
Reconciliation of GWP to PVP: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Total GWP | $ | 39 | $ | 51 | $ | 69 | $ | 518 | $ | 64 | ||||||||||
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments | 5 | 7 | 21 | 436 | 35 | |||||||||||||||
Upfront GWP | 34 | 44 | 48 | 82 | 29 | |||||||||||||||
Plus: Installment premium PVP | 8 | 12 | 41 | 300 | 22 | |||||||||||||||
Total PVP (1) | $ | 42 | $ | 56 | $ | 89 | $ | 382 | $ | 51 | ||||||||||
Gross par written: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Public finance - U.S. | $ | 2,016 | $ | 3,657 | $ | 4,212 | $ | 6,452 | $ | 2,641 | ||||||||||
Public finance - non-U.S. | 176 | 299 | 237 | 5,635 | 377 | |||||||||||||||
Structured finance - U.S. | 494 | 227 | 438 | 422 | 15 | |||||||||||||||
Structured finance - non-U.S. | 21 | — | 22 | 45 | — | |||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 2,707 | $ | 4,183 | $ | 4,909 | $ | 12,554 | $ | 3,033 | ||||||||||
1) | See Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement for a description of the changes to the discount rates used in the calculation of non-GAAP financial measure. Prior periods have been recast to present PVP discounted at 3% for first quarter 2020 and all quarters of 2019, instead of a 6% discount rate. |
Financial Guaranty Insurance (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Estimated Net Debt Service Amortization | Estimated Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding | Expected PV Net Earned Premiums | Accretion of Discount | Effect of FG VIE Consolidation on Expected PV Net Earned Premiums and Accretion of Discount | Future Credit Derivative Revenues (3) | |||||||||||||||||||
2020 (as of March 31) | $ | 363,893 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2020 Q2 | $ | 5,379 | 358,514 | $ | 80 | $ | 5 | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 3 | ||||||||||||
2020 Q3 | 7,263 | 351,251 | 78 | 5 | (1 | ) | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
2020 Q4 | 5,973 | 345,278 | 76 | 5 | (1 | ) | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
2021 | 22,899 | 322,379 | 287 | 19 | (4 | ) | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
2022 | 20,512 | 301,867 | 265 | 18 | (4 | ) | 10 | |||||||||||||||||
2023 | 17,775 | 284,092 | 246 | 17 | (3 | ) | 9 | |||||||||||||||||
2024 | 18,641 | 265,451 | 229 | 16 | (3 | ) | 9 | |||||||||||||||||
2020-2024 | 98,442 | 265,451 | 1,261 | 85 | (17 | ) | 48 | |||||||||||||||||
2025-2029 | 83,012 | 182,439 | 914 | 63 | (12 | ) | 40 | |||||||||||||||||
2030-2034 | 67,053 | 115,386 | 641 | 41 | (12 | ) | 32 | |||||||||||||||||
2035-2039 | 49,221 | 66,165 | 376 | 27 | (7 | ) | 24 | |||||||||||||||||
After 2039 | 66,165 | — | 507 | 46 | — | 19 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 363,893 | $ | 3,699 | $ | 262 | $ | (48 | ) | $ | 163 | |||||||||||||
1) | Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of March 31, 2020. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations, terminations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization. |
2) | See page 19, ‘‘Net Expected Loss to be Expensed.’’ |
3) | Represents a non-GAAP financial measure. Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement. |
Net Expected Loss to be Paid/(Recovered) as of December 31, 2019 | Economic Loss Development/(Benefit) During 1Q-20 | (Paid)/Recovered Losses During 1Q-20 | Net Expected Loss to be Paid/(Recovered) as of March 31, 2020 | |||||||||||||
Public Finance: | ||||||||||||||||
U.S. public finance (2) | $ | 531 | $ | 56 | $ | (94 | ) | $ | 493 | |||||||
Non-U.S public finance | 23 | 3 | — | 26 | ||||||||||||
Public Finance | 554 | 59 | (94 | ) | 519 | |||||||||||
Structured Finance: | ||||||||||||||||
U.S. RMBS (3) | 146 | (63 | ) | 21 | 104 | |||||||||||
Other structured finance | 37 | 1 | (1 | ) | 37 | |||||||||||
Structured Finance | 183 | (62 | ) | 20 | 141 | |||||||||||
Total | $ | 737 | $ | (3 | ) | $ | (74 | ) | $ | 660 | ||||||
1) | Includes expected loss to be paid, economic loss development and paid (recovered) losses for all contracts (i.e. those accounted for as insurance, credit derivatives and FG VIEs). |
2) | The total net expected loss for troubled U.S. public finance exposures is net of a credit for estimated future recoveries of claims already paid was $911 million as of March 31, 2020 and $819 million as of December 31, 2019. |
3) | Includes future net representations and warranties payable of $106 million as of March 31, 2020 and $53 million as of December 31, 2019. |
Three Months Ended March 31, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||
Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG Transactions | Loss and LAE | Loss and LAE included in Adjusted Operating Income (1) | Effect of FG VIE Consolidation (2) | ||||||||||||||
Public finance: | |||||||||||||||||
U.S. public finance | $ | 5,630 | $ | 59 | $ | 59 | $ | — | |||||||||
Non-U.S public finance | 837 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||
Public finance | 6,467 | 59 | 59 | — | |||||||||||||
Structured finance: | |||||||||||||||||
U.S. RMBS | 1,580 | (42 | ) | (50 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||||||
Other structured finance | 191 | 3 | 3 | — | |||||||||||||
Structured finance | 1,771 | (39 | ) | (47 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||||||
Total | $ | 8,238 | $ | 20 | $ | 12 | $ | (6 | ) | ||||||||
1) | Adjusted operating income includes financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives. |
2) | The "Effect of FG VIE Consolidation" column represents amounts included in the condensed consolidated statements of operations and adjusted operating income that the Company removes to arrive at the core financial measures that management uses in certain of its compensation calculations and its decision making process. Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement. |
GAAP | ||||
2020 Q2 | $ | 9 | ||
2020 Q3 | 9 | |||
2020 Q4 | 9 | |||
Subtotal 2020 | 27 | |||
2021 | 35 | |||
2022 | 35 | |||
2023 | 33 | |||
2024 | 32 | |||
2025-2029 | 134 | |||
2030-2034 | 90 | |||
2035-2039 | 32 | |||
After 2039 | 9 | |||
Total expected present value of net expected loss to be expensed(2) | 427 | |||
Future accretion | 59 | |||
Total expected future loss and LAE | $ | 486 | ||
1) | The present value of net expected loss to be paid is discounted using risk free rates ranging from 0.0% to 1.39% for U.S. dollar denominated obligations. |
2) | Excludes $33 million related to FG VIEs, which are eliminated in consolidation. |
As of March 31, 2020 | As of December 31, 2019 | |||||||||||
Net Par Outstanding | Avg. Internal Rating | Net Par Outstanding | Avg. Internal Rating | |||||||||
U.S. public finance: | ||||||||||||
General obligation | $ | 72,340 | A- | $ | 73,467 | A- | ||||||
Tax backed | 35,715 | A- | 37,047 | A- | ||||||||
Municipal utilities | 25,926 | A- | 26,195 | A- | ||||||||
Transportation | 16,105 | BBB+ | 16,209 | BBB+ | ||||||||
Healthcare | 7,256 | BBB+ | 7,148 | A- | ||||||||
Higher education | 5,977 | A- | 5,916 | A- | ||||||||
Infrastructure finance | 5,384 | A- | 5,429 | A- | ||||||||
Housing revenue | 1,363 | BBB+ | 1,321 | BBB+ | ||||||||
Investor-owned utilities | 654 | A- | 655 | A- | ||||||||
Renewable energy | 207 | A- | 210 | A- | ||||||||
Other public finance | 1,868 | A- | 1,890 | A- | ||||||||
Total public finance | 172,795 | A- | 175,487 | A- | ||||||||
Non-U.S. public finance: | ||||||||||||
Regulated utilities | 17,825 | BBB+ | 18,995 | BBB+ | ||||||||
Infrastructure finance | 16,684 | BBB | 17,952 | BBB | ||||||||
Sovereign and sub-sovereign | 10,834 | A+ | 11,341 | A+ | ||||||||
Renewable energy | 1,905 | A | 1,555 | A | ||||||||
Pooled infrastructure | 1,327 | AAA | 1,416 | AAA | ||||||||
Total non-U.S. public finance | 48,575 | A- | 51,259 | A- | ||||||||
Total public finance | $ | 221,370 | A- | $ | 226,746 | A- | ||||||
U.S. structured finance: | ||||||||||||
RMBS | $ | 3,393 | BBB- | $ | 3,546 | BBB- | ||||||
Life insurance transactions | 1,794 | AA- | 1,776 | AA- | ||||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | 1,350 | AA- | 1,401 | AA- | ||||||||
Consumer receivables | 909 | A- | 962 | A- | ||||||||
Financial products | 806 | AA- | 1,019 | AA- | ||||||||
Other structured finance | 554 | BBB+ | 596 | BBB+ | ||||||||
Total U.S. structured finance | 8,806 | A- | 9,300 | A- | ||||||||
Non-U.S. structured finance: | ||||||||||||
RMBS | 401 | A | 427 | A | ||||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | 55 | BB+ | 55 | BB+ | ||||||||
Other structured finance | 266 | A+ | 279 | A+ | ||||||||
Total non-U.S. structured finance | 722 | A | 761 | A | ||||||||
Total structured finance | $ | 9,528 | A- | $ | 10,061 | A- | ||||||
Total | $ | 230,898 | A- | $ | 236,807 | A- | ||||||
Public Finance - U.S. | Public Finance - Non-U.S. | Structured Finance - U.S. | Structured Finance - Non-U.S. | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ratings: | Net Par Outstanding | % | Net Par Outstanding | % | Net Par Outstanding | % | Net Par Outstanding | % | Net Par Outstanding | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
AAA | $ | 375 | 0.2 | % | $ | 2,453 | 5.1 | % | $ | 1,182 | 13.4 | % | $ | 176 | 24.4 | % | $ | 4,186 | 1.8 | % | ||||||||||
AA | 19,037 | 11.0 | 4,921 | 10.1 | 3,753 | 42.7 | 35 | 4.8 | 27,746 | 12.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
A | 92,788 | 53.7 | 14,621 | 30.1 | 1,031 | 11.7 | 172 | 23.8 | 108,612 | 47.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
BBB | 54,965 | 31.8 | 25,743 | 53.0 | 1,110 | 12.6 | 298 | 41.3 | 82,116 | 35.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
BIG | 5,630 | 3.3 | 837 | 1.7 | 1,730 | 19.6 | 41 | 5.7 | 8,238 | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net Par Outstanding (1) | $ | 172,795 | 100.0 | % | $ | 48,575 | 100.0 | % | $ | 8,806 | 100.0 | % | $ | 722 | 100.0 | % | $ | 230,898 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||
1) | As of March 31, 2020, excludes $1.4 billion of net par attributable to loss mitigation strategies, including loss mitigation securities held in the investment portfolio, which are primarily BIG. |
Net Par Outstanding | % of Total | ||||||
U.S.: | |||||||
U.S. public finance: | |||||||
California | $ | 33,270 | 14.4 | % | |||
Pennsylvania | 15,790 | 6.8 | |||||
New York | 15,141 | 6.6 | |||||
Texas | 14,628 | 6.3 | |||||
Illinois | 13,143 | 5.7 | |||||
New Jersey | 10,060 | 4.4 | |||||
Florida | 7,099 | 3.1 | |||||
Michigan | 5,361 | 2.3 | |||||
Puerto Rico | 4,270 | 1.8 | |||||
Colorado | 4,149 | 1.8 | |||||
Other | 49,884 | 21.6 | |||||
Total U.S. public finance | 172,795 | 74.8 | |||||
U.S. structured finance | 8,806 | 3.8 | |||||
Total U.S. | 181,601 | 78.6 | |||||
Non-U.S.: | |||||||
United Kingdom | 35,899 | 15.6 | |||||
France | 3,063 | 1.3 | |||||
Canada | 2,425 | 1.1 | |||||
Australia | 1,850 | 0.8 | |||||
Austria | 1,252 | 0.5 | |||||
Other | 4,808 | 2.1 | |||||
Total non-U.S. | 49,297 | 21.4 | |||||
Total net par outstanding | $ | 230,898 | 100.0 | % | |||
Gross Exposure | Net Exposure | |||||||||||||||
As of March 31, 2020 | As of December 31, 2019 | As of March 31, 2020 | As of December 31, 2019 | |||||||||||||
Life insurance transactions (1) | $ | 1,091 | $ | 1,046 | $ | 940 | $ | 898 | ||||||||
Aircraft residual value insurance policies (2) | 393 | 398 | 238 | 243 | ||||||||||||
Total | $ | 1,484 | $ | 1,444 | $ | 1,178 | $ | 1,141 | ||||||||
1) | The life insurance transactions net exposure is projected to increase to approximately $1.0 billion by September 30, 2026. |
2) | As of March 31, 2020, $30 million of aircraft residual value insurance exposure was rated BIG. |
Estimated Net Par Amortization | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. and Non-U.S. Pooled Corporate | U.S. RMBS | Financial Products | Other Structured Finance | Total | Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding | |||||||||||||||||||
2020 (as of March 31) | $ | 9,528 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2020 Q2 | $ | 20 | $ | 161 | $ | 5 | $ | 76 | $ | 262 | 9,266 | |||||||||||||
2020 Q3 | 33 | 165 | (9 | ) | 111 | 300 | 8,966 | |||||||||||||||||
2020 Q4 | 29 | 148 | (7 | ) | 86 | 256 | 8,710 | |||||||||||||||||
2021 | 224 | 472 | 2 | 474 | 1,172 | 7,538 | ||||||||||||||||||
2022 | 243 | 405 | 16 | 49 | 713 | 6,825 | ||||||||||||||||||
2023 | 196 | 349 | 10 | 148 | 703 | 6,122 | ||||||||||||||||||
2024 | 67 | 301 | 13 | 126 | 507 | 5,615 | ||||||||||||||||||
2020-2024 | 812 | 2,001 | 30 | 1,070 | 3,913 | 5,615 | ||||||||||||||||||
2025-2029 | 197 | 705 | 159 | 713 | 1,774 | 3,841 | ||||||||||||||||||
2030-2034 | 134 | 182 | 537 | 915 | 1,768 | 2,073 | ||||||||||||||||||
2035-2039 | 169 | 499 | 78 | 887 | 1,633 | 440 | ||||||||||||||||||
After 2039 | 93 | 6 | 2 | 339 | 440 | — | ||||||||||||||||||
Total structured finance | $ | 1,405 | $ | 3,393 | $ | 806 | $ | 3,924 | $ | 9,528 | ||||||||||||||
Estimated Net Par Amortization | Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding | |||||||
2020 (as of March 31) | $ | 221,370 | ||||||
2020 Q2 | $ | 2,713 | 218,657 | |||||
2020 Q3 | 4,473 | 214,184 | ||||||
2020 Q4 | 3,254 | 210,930 | ||||||
2021 | 12,184 | 198,746 | ||||||
2022 | 10,798 | 187,948 | ||||||
2023 | 8,566 | 179,382 | ||||||
2024 | 10,032 | 169,350 | ||||||
2020-2024 | 52,020 | 169,350 | ||||||
2025-2029 | 47,671 | 121,679 | ||||||
2030-2034 | 42,255 | 79,424 | ||||||
2035-2039 | 33,332 | 46,092 | ||||||
After 2039 | 46,092 | — | ||||||
Total public finance | $ | 221,370 | ||||||
1Q-19 | 2Q-19 | 3Q-19 | 4Q-19 | 1Q-20 | ||||||||||||||||
Public finance - U.S. | $ | 181,408 | $ | 180,537 | $ | 176,515 | $ | 175,487 | $ | 172,795 | ||||||||||
Public finance - non-U.S. | 44,615 | 44,488 | 42,882 | 51,259 | 48,575 | |||||||||||||||
Structured finance - U.S. | 10,337 | 9,549 | 9,226 | 9,300 | 8,806 | |||||||||||||||
Structured finance - non-U.S. | 965 | 793 | 752 | 761 | 722 | |||||||||||||||
Net par outstanding | $ | 237,325 | $ | 235,367 | $ | 229,375 | $ | 236,807 | $ | 230,898 | ||||||||||
Par Outstanding | Debt Service Outstanding | ||||||||||||||
Gross | Net | Gross | Net | ||||||||||||
Total | $ | 4,458 | $ | 4,270 | $ | 6,845 | $ | 6,585 | |||||||
Net Par Outstanding | |||||||||||||||||||||||
AGM | AGC | AG Re | Eliminations (1) | Total Net Par Outstanding | Gross Par Outstanding | ||||||||||||||||||
Commonwealth Constitutionally Guaranteed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - General Obligation Bonds (2) | $ | 611 | $ | 268 | $ | 375 | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 1,253 | $ | 1,294 | ||||||||||
Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority (PBA) (2) | 7 | 140 | — | (7 | ) | 140 | 145 | ||||||||||||||||
Public Corporations - Certain Revenues Potentially Subject to Clawback | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (PRHTA) (Transportation revenue) (2) | 223 | 480 | 187 | (79 | ) | 811 | 842 | ||||||||||||||||
PRHTA (Highways revenue) (2) | 345 | 74 | 35 | — | 454 | 515 | |||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico Convention Center District Authority (PRCCDA) | — | 152 | — | — | 152 | 152 | |||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico Infrastructure Financing Authority (PRIFA) | — | 15 | 1 | — | 16 | 16 | |||||||||||||||||
Other Public Corporations | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA)(2) | 525 | 71 | 226 | — | 822 | 838 | |||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority (PRASA) (3) | — | 284 | 89 | — | 373 | 373 | |||||||||||||||||
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency (MFA) (3) | 153 | 33 | 62 | — | 248 | 282 | |||||||||||||||||
University of Puerto Rico (U of PR) (3) | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
Total exposure to Puerto Rico | $ | 1,864 | $ | 1,518 | $ | 975 | $ | (87 | ) | $ | 4,270 | $ | 4,458 | ||||||||||
1) | Net par outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary. |
2) | As of the date of this filing, the seven-member financial oversight board established by the Puerto Rico Oversight, Management, and Economic Stability Act (PROMESA) has certified a filing under Title III of PROMESA for these exposures. |
3) | As of the date of this filing, the Company has not paid claims on these credits. |
2020 (2Q) | 2020 (3Q) | 2020 (4Q) | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 - 2034 | 2035 - 2039 | 2040 - 2044 | 2045 - 2047 | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Commonwealth Constitutionally Guaranteed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - General Obligation Bonds | $ | — | $ | 141 | $ | — | $ | 15 | $ | 37 | $ | 14 | $ | 73 | $ | 68 | $ | 34 | $ | 90 | $ | 33 | $ | 64 | $ | 419 | $ | 265 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 1,253 | |||||||||||||||||
PBA | — | 5 | — | 13 | — | 7 | — | 6 | 11 | 40 | 1 | — | 38 | 19 | — | — | 140 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Corporations - Certain Revenues Potentially Subject to Clawback | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PRHTA (Transportation revenue) | — | 25 | — | 18 | 28 | 33 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 29 | 34 | 47 | 166 | 292 | 82 | — | 811 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PRHTA (Highway revenue) | — | 22 | — | 35 | 6 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 1 | — | 9 | 11 | 177 | 94 | — | — | 454 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PRCCDA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | — | — | 76 | 57 | — | — | 152 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PRIFA | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | — | 16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other Public Corporations | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PREPA | — | 48 | — | 28 | 28 | 95 | 93 | 68 | 106 | 105 | 68 | 39 | 140 | 4 | — | — | 822 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PRASA | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 29 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 246 | 373 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MFA | — | 45 | — | 40 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 17 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 248 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U of PR | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | — | $ | 286 | $ | — | $ | 149 | $ | 139 | $ | 205 | $ | 222 | $ | 247 | $ | 237 | $ | 323 | $ | 184 | $ | 167 | $ | 1,021 | $ | 740 | $ | 104 | $ | 246 | $ | 4,270 | |||||||||||||||||
2020 (2Q) | 2020 (3Q) | 2020 (4Q) | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 - 2034 | 2035 - 2039 | 2040 - 2044 | 2045 - 2047 | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Commonwealth Constitutionally Guaranteed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico - General Obligation Bonds | $ | — | $ | 173 | $ | — | $ | 74 | $ | 94 | $ | 70 | $ | 128 | $ | 119 | $ | 82 | $ | 136 | $ | 74 | $ | 103 | $ | 572 | $ | 294 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 1,919 | |||||||||||||||||
PBA | — | 9 | — | 20 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 3 | 3 | 50 | 20 | — | — | 205 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Corporations - Certain Revenues Potentially Subject to Clawback | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PRHTA (Transportation revenue) | — | 46 | — | 59 | 68 | 72 | 41 | 65 | 59 | 63 | 66 | 78 | 294 | 356 | 89 | — | 1,356 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PRHTA (Highway revenue) | — | 34 | — | 58 | 27 | 52 | 51 | 51 | 17 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 233 | 101 | — | — | 690 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PRCCDA | — | 3 | — | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 103 | 61 | — | — | 247 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PRIFA | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | — | 31 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other Public Corporations | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PREPA | 3 | 65 | 3 | 63 | 62 | 128 | 121 | 91 | 126 | 122 | 81 | 47 | 155 | 5 | — | — | 1,072 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PRASA | — | 10 | — | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 14 | 68 | 70 | 82 | 272 | 769 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MFA | — | 52 | — | 50 | 48 | 28 | 23 | 21 | 37 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 295 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U of PR | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 3 | $ | 392 | $ | 3 | $ | 351 | $ | 332 | $ | 392 | $ | 398 | $ | 412 | $ | 390 | $ | 466 | $ | 310 | $ | 284 | $ | 1,484 | $ | 917 | $ | 179 | $ | 272 | $ | 6,585 | |||||||||||||||||
Ratings: | Prime First Lien | Alt-A First Lien | Option ARMs | Subprime First Lien | Second Lien | Total Net Par Outstanding | ||||||||||||||||||
AAA | $ | 14 | $ | 120 | $ | 17 | $ | 780 | $ | — | $ | 931 | ||||||||||||
AA | 34 | 101 | 11 | 188 | 3 | 337 | ||||||||||||||||||
A | — | 29 | — | 27 | 125 | 181 | ||||||||||||||||||
BBB | — | 9 | — | 7 | 348 | 364 | ||||||||||||||||||
BIG | 57 | 329 | 32 | 995 | 167 | 1,580 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total exposures | $ | 105 | $ | 588 | $ | 60 | $ | 1,997 | $ | 643 | $ | 3,393 | ||||||||||||
Year insured: | Prime First Lien | Alt-A First Lien | Option ARMs | Subprime First Lien | Second Lien | Total Net Par Outstanding | ||||||||||||||||||
2004 and prior | $ | 21 | $ | 18 | $ | 1 | $ | 539 | $ | 44 | $ | 623 | ||||||||||||
2005 | 48 | 213 | 23 | 219 | 123 | 626 | ||||||||||||||||||
2006 | 36 | 41 | 10 | 263 | 206 | 556 | ||||||||||||||||||
2007 | — | 316 | 26 | 934 | 270 | 1,546 | ||||||||||||||||||
2008 | — | — | — | 42 | — | 42 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total exposures | $ | 105 | $ | 588 | $ | 60 | $ | 1,997 | $ | 643 | $ | 3,393 | ||||||||||||
Net Par Outstanding | % of Total | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement | Avg. Current Credit Enhancement | ||||||||
Ratings: | |||||||||||
AAA | $ | 201 | 14.9 | % | 47.1% | 75.4% | |||||
AA | 748 | 55.1 | % | 40.4% | 50.1% | ||||||
A | 274 | 20.2 | % | 43.1% | 46.2% | ||||||
BBB | 94 | 6.9 | % | 35.7% | 36.2% | ||||||
BIG | 40 | 2.9 | % | N/A | N/A | ||||||
Total exposures | $ | 1,357 | 100.0 | % | 41.5% | 51.2% | |||||
Net Par Outstanding | % of Total | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement | Avg. Current Credit Enhancement | Avg. Rating | |||||||||
Asset class: | |||||||||||||
Trust preferred | |||||||||||||
Banks and insurance | $ | 538 | 39.7 | % | 44.2% | 59.6% | AA | ||||||
U.S. mortgage and real estate investment trusts | 110 | 8.1 | 47.4% | 64.1% | A | ||||||||
Collateralized bond obligations / collateralized loan obligations | 595 | 43.8 | 37.9% | 41.3% | A+ | ||||||||
Other pooled corporates | 114 | 8.4 | N/A | N/A | A+ | ||||||||
Total exposures | $ | 1,357 | 100.0 | % | 41.5% | 51.2% | AA- | ||||||
As of | ||||||||
March 31, | December 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | |||||||
U.S. public finance: | ||||||||
Tax backed | $ | 1,855 | $ | 1,858 | ||||
General obligation | 1,840 | 1,969 | ||||||
Municipal utilities | 1,472 | 1,472 | ||||||
Higher education | 173 | 178 | ||||||
Transportation | 99 | 100 | ||||||
Infrastructure finance | 35 | 35 | ||||||
Healthcare | 32 | 32 | ||||||
Housing revenue | 17 | 17 | ||||||
Renewable energy | — | 3 | ||||||
Other public finance | 107 | 107 | ||||||
Total U.S. public finance | 5,630 | 5,771 | ||||||
Non-U.S. public finance: | ||||||||
Sovereign and sub-sovereign | 405 | 415 | ||||||
Infrastructure finance | 393 | 444 | ||||||
Renewable energy | 39 | 39 | ||||||
Total non-U.S. public finance | 837 | 898 | ||||||
Total public finance | $ | 6,467 | $ | 6,669 | ||||
U.S. structured finance: | ||||||||
RMBS | $ | 1,580 | $ | 1,618 | ||||
Consumer receivables | 103 | 108 | ||||||
Life insurance transactions | 40 | 40 | ||||||
Other structured finance | 7 | 30 | ||||||
Total U.S. structured finance | 1,730 | 1,796 | ||||||
Non-U.S. structured finance: | ||||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | 40 | 40 | ||||||
Other structured finance | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Total non-U.S. structured finance | 41 | 41 | ||||||
Total structured finance | $ | 1,771 | $ | 1,837 | ||||
Total BIG net par outstanding | $ | 8,238 | $ | 8,506 | ||||
As of | ||||||||
March 31, | December 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | |||||||
BIG Category 1 | ||||||||
U.S. public finance | $ | 1,441 | $ | 1,582 | ||||
Non-U.S. public finance | 793 | 854 | ||||||
U.S. structured finance | 195 | 191 | ||||||
Non-U.S. structured finance | 40 | 40 | ||||||
Total BIG Category 1 | 2,469 | 2,667 | ||||||
BIG Category 2 | ||||||||
U.S. public finance | 430 | 430 | ||||||
Non-U.S. public finance | — | — | ||||||
U.S. structured finance | 123 | 136 | ||||||
Non-U.S. structured finance | — | — | ||||||
Total BIG Category 2 | 553 | 566 | ||||||
BIG Category 3 | ||||||||
U.S. public finance | 3,759 | 3,759 | ||||||
Non-U.S. public finance | 44 | 44 | ||||||
U.S. structured finance | 1,412 | 1,469 | ||||||
Non-U.S. structured finance | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Total BIG Category 3 | 5,216 | 5,273 | ||||||
BIG Total | $ | 8,238 | $ | 8,506 | ||||
1) | Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring the Company's portfolio of credits and maintains a list of BIG credits. BIG Category 1: Below-investment-grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make future losses possible, but for which none are currently expected. BIG Category 2: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims which are claims that the Company expects to be reimbursed within one year) have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected and on which claims (other than liquidity claims) have been paid. |
Net Par Outstanding | Internal Rating (1) | 60+ Day Delinquencies | ||||||
Name or description | ||||||||
U.S. public finance: | ||||||||
Puerto Rico, General Obligation, Appropriations and Guarantees of the Commonwealth | $ | 1,409 | CCC | |||||
Puerto Rico Highways & Transportation Authority | 1,265 | CCC | ||||||
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority | 822 | CCC | ||||||
Puerto Rico Aqueduct & Sewer Authority | 373 | CCC | ||||||
Puerto Rico Municipal Finance Agency | 248 | CCC | ||||||
Jackson Water & Sewer System, Mississippi | 185 | BB | ||||||
Virgin Islands Public Finance Authority | 166 | BB | ||||||
Puerto Rico Convention Center District Authority | 152 | CCC | ||||||
Stockton City, California | 107 | B | ||||||
Harrisburg Parking System, Pennsylvania | 76 | BB | ||||||
Alabama State University | 75 | BB+ | ||||||
Atlantic City, New Jersey | 56 | BB | ||||||
Coatesville Area School District, Pennsylvania | 53 | BB | ||||||
Virgin Islands Water and Power Authority | 53 | CCC | ||||||
Total U.S. public finance | $ | 5,040 | ||||||
Non-U.S. public finance: | ||||||||
Valencia Fair | $ | 295 | BB+ | |||||
Road Management Services PLC (A13 Highway) | 172 | B+ | ||||||
M6 Duna Autopalya Koncesszios Zartkoruen Mukodo Reszvenytarsasag | 119 | BB+ | ||||||
CountyRoute (A130) plc | 70 | BB- | ||||||
Total non-U.S. public finance | $ | 656 | ||||||
Total | $ | 5,696 | ||||||
U.S. structured finance: | ||||||||
RMBS: | ||||||||
Option One 2007-FXD2 | $ | 172 | CCC | 14.9% | ||||
Soundview 2007-WMC1 | 155 | CCC | 27.0% | |||||
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HL1 | 110 | CCC | 24.2% | |||||
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1 | 102 | CCC | 17.5% | |||||
Argent Securities Inc., Asset Backed Pass Through Certificates 2005-W4 | 93 | CCC | 13.2% | |||||
New Century 2005-A | 84 | CCC | 14.4% | |||||
MABS 2007-NCW | 62 | BB | 18.4% | |||||
ACE 2007-SL1 | 52 | CCC | 3.0% | |||||
ACE 2007-D1 | 52 | CCC | 22.3% | |||||
Subtotal RMBS | $ | 882 | ||||||
Non-RMBS: | ||||||||
National Collegiate Trust Series 2006-2 | $ | 57 | CCC | 3.0% | ||||
Subtotal non-RMBS | $ | 57 | ||||||
Total U.S. structured finance | $ | 939 | ||||||
Total non-U.S. structured finance | $ | — | ||||||
Total | $ | 939 | ||||||
1) | Transactions below B- are categorized as CCC. |
Credit Name: | Net Par Outstanding | Internal Rating (1) | ||||
New Jersey (State of) | $ | 3,897 | BBB | |||
Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of) | 1,978 | A- | ||||
New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority | 1,891 | A- | ||||
Illinois (State of) | 1,752 | BBB | ||||
Puerto Rico, General Obligation, Appropriations and Guarantees of the Commonwealth | 1,409 | CCC | ||||
Puerto Rico Highways & Transportation Authority | 1,265 | CCC | ||||
North Texas Tollway Authority | 1,127 | A | ||||
California (State of) | 1,062 | AA- | ||||
Foothills - Eastern Transportation Corridor, California | 1,001 | BBB | ||||
CommonSpirit Health, Colorado | 1,000 | A- | ||||
New York (City of), New York | 992 | AA- | ||||
Metro Washington Airports Authority (Dulles Toll Road) | 990 | BBB | ||||
Great Lakes Water Authority (Sewerage), Michigan | 970 | A- | ||||
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) | 951 | AA- | ||||
San Diego Family Housing, LLC | 944 | AA | ||||
Philadelphia School District, Pennsylvania | 912 | A- | ||||
Chicago Public Schools, Illinois | 912 | BBB- | ||||
Metropolitan Pier and Exposition Authority, Illinois | 887 | BBB- | ||||
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources | 875 | AA | ||||
Port Authority of New York and New Jersey | 864 | BBB- | ||||
Suffolk County, New York | 847 | BBB | ||||
Alameda Corridor Transportation Authority, California | 833 | BBB+ | ||||
Long Island Power Authority | 832 | A- | ||||
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority | 822 | CCC | ||||
Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission | 773 | A- | ||||
Wisconsin (State of) | 753 | A+ | ||||
ProMedica Healthcare Obligated Group, Ohio | 750 | BBB | ||||
Montefiore Medical Center, New York | 749 | BBB- | ||||
Nassau County, New York | 708 | A- | ||||
Jefferson County Alabama Sewer | 704 | BBB | ||||
Philadelphia (City of), Pennsylvania | 684 | BBB+ | ||||
Connecticut (State of) | 675 | A- | ||||
Arizona (State of) | 660 | A+ | ||||
Regional Transportation Authority (Sales Tax), Illinois | 659 | AA- | ||||
Georgia Board of Regents | 635 | A | ||||
Pittsburgh Water & Sewer, Pennsylvania | 618 | A- | ||||
LCOR Alexandria LLC | 594 | BBB+ | ||||
North Carolina Turnpike Authority | 584 | BBB- | ||||
Oglethorpe Power Corporation, Georgia | 575 | BBB | ||||
Chicago (City of), Illinois | 553 | BBB | ||||
Garden State Preservation Trust (Open Space & Farmland), New Jersey | 547 | BBB+ | ||||
Sacramento County, California | 527 | A- | ||||
New Jersey Turnpike Authority | 519 | A- | ||||
Clark County School District, Nevada | 506 | BBB+ | ||||
Yankee Stadium LLC New York City Industrial Development Authority | 457 | BBB | ||||
New Haven (City of), Connecticut | 445 | BBB- | ||||
New York State Thruway Authority | 445 | A- | ||||
Harris County - Houston Sports Authority, Texas | 438 | A- | ||||
Great Lakes Water Authority (Water), Michigan | 429 | A- | ||||
Oregon School Boards Association, Oregon | 424 | AA- | ||||
Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures | $ | 44,424 | ||||
1) | Transactions below B- are categorized as CCC. |
Credit Name: | Net Par Outstanding | Internal Rating (1) | ||||
Private US Insurance Securitization | $ | 530 | AA | |||
Private US Insurance Securitization | 500 | AA- | ||||
SLM Private Credit Student Trust 2007-A | 395 | A+ | ||||
Private US Insurance Securitization | 352 | AA- | ||||
Fortress Credit Opportunities VII CLO Limited | 257 | AA- | ||||
Private US Insurance Securitization | 224 | AA- | ||||
ABPCI Direct Lending Fund CLO I Ltd | 208 | A | ||||
SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2006-C | 181 | AA- | ||||
Option One 2007-FXD2 | 172 | CCC | ||||
Soundview 2007-WMC1 | 155 | CCC | ||||
Timberlake Financial, LLC Floating Insured Notes | 141 | BBB+ | ||||
Brightwood Fund III Static 2018-1, LLC | 130 | AA | ||||
CWABS 2007-4 | 115 | A+ | ||||
Soundview Home Equity Loan Trust 2006-OPT1 | 111 | AAA | ||||
New Century Home Equity Loan Trust 2006-1 | 111 | AAA | ||||
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HL1 | 110 | CCC | ||||
Nomura Asset Accept. Corp. 2007-1 | 102 | CCC | ||||
Countrywide HELOC 2006-I | 98 | A | ||||
OwnIt Mortgage Loan ABS Certificates 2006-3 | 93 | AAA | ||||
Argent Securities Inc., Asset Backed Pass Through Certificates 2005-W4 | 93 | CCC | ||||
CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9 | 88 | A+ | ||||
New Century 2005-A | 84 | CCC | ||||
Structured Asset Investment Loan Trust 2006-1 | 82 | AAA | ||||
Countrywide 2007-13 | 80 | AA | ||||
Preferred Term Securities XXIV, Ltd. | 79 | AA- | ||||
Total top 25 U.S. structured finance exposures | $ | 4,491 | ||||
1) | Transactions below B- are categorized as CCC. |
Credit Name: | Country | Net Par Outstanding | Internal Rating | ||||
Southern Water Services Limited | United Kingdom | $ | 2,589 | A- | |||
Quebec Province | Canada | 1,993 | A+ | ||||
Thames Water Utility Finance PLC | United Kingdom | 1,944 | A- | ||||
Societe des Autoroutes du Nord et de l'Est de France S.A. | France | 1,662 | BBB+ | ||||
Southern Gas Networks PLC | United Kingdom | 1,635 | BBB | ||||
Dwr Cymru Financing Limited (Welsh Water Plc) | United Kingdom | 1,552 | A- | ||||
Anglian Water Services Financing PLC | United Kingdom | 1,411 | A- | ||||
National Grid Gas PLC | United Kingdom | 1,237 | BBB+ | ||||
British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) | United Kingdom | 1,212 | A+ | ||||
Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLC | France, United Kingdom | 1,174 | BBB | ||||
Verbund (Lease and Sublease of Hydro-Electric equipment) | Austria | 1,104 | AAA | ||||
Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLC | United Kingdom | 867 | BBB- | ||||
Aspire Defence Finance plc | United Kingdom | 801 | BBB+ | ||||
Verdun Participations 2 S.A.S. | France | 702 | BBB- | ||||
National Grid Company PLC | United Kingdom | 675 | BBB+ | ||||
Yorkshire Water Services Finance Plc | United Kingdom | 631 | A- | ||||
South Lanarkshire Schools | United Kingdom | 573 | BBB | ||||
Sydney Airport Finance Company | Australia | 547 | BBB+ | ||||
Campania Region - Healthcare receivable | Italy | 547 | BB+ | ||||
Envestra Limited | Australia | 541 | A- | ||||
Coventry & Rugby Hospital Company Plc Walsgrave Hospital Guaranteed Secured | United Kingdom | 521 | BBB- | ||||
Severn Trent Water Utilities Finance Plc | United Kingdom | 500 | BBB+ | ||||
Derby Healthcare PLC | United Kingdom | 489 | BBB | ||||
Wessex Water Services Finance plc | United Kingdom | 462 | BBB+ | ||||
International Infrastructure Pool | United Kingdom | 442 | AAA | ||||
International Infrastructure Pool | United Kingdom | 442 | AAA | ||||
International Infrastructure Pool | United Kingdom | 442 | AAA | ||||
Central Nottinghamshire Hospitals PLC | United Kingdom | 441 | BBB | ||||
North Staffordshire PFI, 32-year EIB Index-Linked Facility | United Kingdom | 440 | BBB- | ||||
NewHospitals (St Helens & Knowsley) Finance PLC | United Kingdom | 436 | BBB | ||||
United Utilities Water PLC | United Kingdom | 431 | BBB+ | ||||
Comision Federal De Electricidad (CFE) El Cajon Project | Mexico | 424 | BBB- | ||||
South East Water | United Kingdom | 405 | BBB+ | ||||
Scotland Gas Networks plc | United Kingdom | 399 | BBB | ||||
Q Energy II | Spain | 378 | BBB+ | ||||
NATS (En Route) PLC | United Kingdom | 365 | A | ||||
The Hospital Company (QAH Portsmouth) Limited | United Kingdom | 361 | BBB | ||||
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction | United Kingdom | 350 | AA- | ||||
BBI (DBCT) Finance Pty Limited | Australia | 325 | BBB | ||||
Octagon Healthcare Funding PLC | United Kingdom | 316 | BBB | ||||
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction | United Kingdom | 309 | AA | ||||
Bakethin Finance Plc | United Kingdom | 297 | A- | ||||
Leeds Hospital - St. James's Oncology Financing plc | United Kingdom | 297 | BBB | ||||
Valencia Fair | Spain | 295 | BB+ | ||||
Catalyst Healthcare (Romford) Financing PLC | United Kingdom | 292 | BBB | ||||
Republic of Poland | Poland | 289 | A- | ||||
Dali Capital PLC-Northumbrian Water | United Kingdom | 281 | BBB+ | ||||
Western Power Distribution (South Wales) PLC | United Kingdom | 279 | BBB+ | ||||
Integrated Accommodation Services PLC | United Kingdom | 272 | BBB+ | ||||
Private International Sub-Sovereign Transaction | United Kingdom | 267 | AA- | ||||
Total top 50 non-U.S. exposures | $ | 34,644 | |||||
Three Months Ended March 31, 2020 | |||
Revenues | |||
Management fees: | |||
Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) | $ | 5 | |
Opportunity funds | 2 | ||
Wind-down funds | 9 | ||
Total management fees | 16 | ||
Other income | 1 | ||
Total revenues | 17 | ||
Expenses | |||
Amortization of intangible assets | 3 | ||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 18 | ||
Other operating expenses | 7 | ||
Total expenses | 28 | ||
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes | (11 | ) | |
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | (2 | ) | |
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | (9 | ) |
CLOs | Opportunity Funds | Wind-Down Funds | Total | ||||||||||||
Rollforward: | |||||||||||||||
Assets under management (AUM), December 31, 2019 | $ | 12,758 | $ | 1,023 | $ | 4,046 | $ | 17,827 | |||||||
Inflows | — | 88 | — | 88 | |||||||||||
Outflows: | |||||||||||||||
Redemptions | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Distributions | (67 | ) | (85 | ) | (875 | ) | (1,027 | ) | |||||||
Total outflows | (67 | ) | (85 | ) | (875 | ) | (1,027 | ) | |||||||
Net flows | (67 | ) | 3 | (875 | ) | (939 | ) | ||||||||
Change in fund value | (46 | ) | (57 | ) | (306 | ) | (409 | ) | |||||||
AUM, March 31, 2020 (1) | $ | 12,645 | $ | 969 | $ | 2,865 | $ | 16,479 | |||||||
As of March 31, 2020: | |||||||||||||||
Funded AUM (2) | $ | 12,634 | $ | 849 | $ | 2,843 | $ | 16,326 | |||||||
Unfunded AUM (2) | 11 | 120 | 22 | 153 | |||||||||||
Fee Earning AUM (3) | $ | 6,038 | $ | 814 | $ | 2,601 | $ | 9,453 | |||||||
Non-Fee Earning AUM (3) | 6,607 | 155 | 264 | 7,026 | |||||||||||
As of December 31, 2019: | |||||||||||||||
Funded AUM (2) | $ | 12,721 | $ | 796 | $ | 3,980 | $ | 17,497 | |||||||
Unfunded AUM (2) | 37 | 227 | 66 | 330 | |||||||||||
Fee Earning AUM (3) | $ | 3,438 | $ | 695 | $ | 3,838 | $ | 7,971 | |||||||
Non-Fee Earning AUM (3) | 9,320 | 328 | 208 | 9,856 | |||||||||||
1) | Includes AUM of the insurance company subsidiaries (intercompany AUM) of $216 million in opportunity funds and $41 million in a CLO Warehouse Fund (US) L.P. |
2) | Funded AUM refers to assets that have been deployed or invested into the funds or CLOs. Unfunded AUM refers to unfunded capital commitments from closed-end funds and CLO warehouse fund. |
3) | Fee Earning AUM refers to assets where Assured Investment Management collects fees or has elected not to waive or rebate fees to investors. Non-Fee Earning AUM refers to assets where Assured Investment Management does not collect fees or has elected to waive or rebate fees to investors. |
Three Months Ended | |||||||
March 31, | |||||||
2020 | 2019 | ||||||
Total revenues | $ | (4 | ) | $ | — | ||
Expenses | |||||||
Interest expense | 25 | 24 | |||||
Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 5 | 4 | |||||
Other operating expenses | 5 | 3 | |||||
Total expenses | 35 | 31 | |||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | (5 | ) | 1 | ||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes | (44 | ) | (30 | ) | |||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | (5 | ) | (5 | ) | |||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | (39 | ) | $ | (25 | ) | |
Three Months Ended March 31, 2020 | |||||||||||||||
FG VIEs | Consolidated Investment Vehicles | Intersegment Eliminations and Reclasses | Total Other | ||||||||||||
(in millions) | |||||||||||||||
Revenues | |||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums | $ | (1 | ) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (1 | ) | |||||
Net investment income | (1 | ) | — | (3 | ) | (4 | ) | ||||||||
Asset management fees | — | (1 | ) | 8 | 7 | ||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | (9 | ) | — | — | (9 | ) | |||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on consolidated investment vehicles | — | (12 | ) | — | (12 | ) | |||||||||
Total revenues | (11 | ) | (13 | ) | 5 | (19 | ) | ||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE | (6 | ) | — | — | (6 | ) | |||||||||
Interest expense | — | — | (3 | ) | (3 | ) | |||||||||
Other operating expenses | — | — | 8 | 8 | |||||||||||
Total expenses | (6 | ) | — | 5 | (1 | ) | |||||||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | — | 10 | — | 10 | |||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes | (5 | ) | (3 | ) | — | (8 | ) | ||||||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | (1 | ) | — | — | (1 | ) | |||||||||
Noncontrolling interests | — | (3 | ) | — | (3 | ) | |||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | (4 | ) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (4 | ) | |||||
Three Months Ended March 31, 2019 | |||||||||||||||
FG VIEs | Consolidated Investment Vehicles | Intersegment Eliminations and Reclasses | Total Other | ||||||||||||
(in millions) | |||||||||||||||
Revenues | |||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums | $ | (3 | ) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | (3 | ) | |||||
Net investment income | (1 | ) | — | (1 | ) | (2 | ) | ||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | 5 | — | — | 5 | |||||||||||
Total revenues | 1 | — | (1 | ) | — | ||||||||||
Expenses | |||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE | 1 | — | — | 1 | |||||||||||
Interest expense | — | — | (1 | ) | (1 | ) | |||||||||
Other operating expenses | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Total expenses | 1 | — | (1 | ) | — | ||||||||||
Equity in net earnings of investees | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Noncontrolling interests | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | |||||||
As of and for Three Months Ended March 31, 2020 | Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||||||
GAAP Summary Statements of Operations Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums | $ | 103 | $ | 476 | $ | 548 | $ | 690 | $ | 864 | ||||||||||
Net investment income | 80 | 378 | 395 | 417 | 408 | |||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 154 | 503 | 422 | 748 | 660 | |||||||||||||||
Income (loss) before income taxes | (62 | ) | 460 | 580 | 991 | 1,017 | ||||||||||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | (55 | ) | 402 | 521 | 730 | 881 | ||||||||||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share | (0.59 | ) | 4.00 | 4.68 | 5.96 | 6.56 | ||||||||||||||
GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Total investments and cash | $ | 9,761 | $ | 10,409 | $ | 10,977 | $ | 11,539 | $ | 11,103 | ||||||||||
Total assets | 13,745 | 14,326 | 13,603 | 14,433 | 14,151 | |||||||||||||||
Unearned premium reserve | 3,706 | 3,736 | 3,512 | 3,475 | 3,511 | |||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE reserve | 1,050 | 1,050 | 1,177 | 1,444 | 1,127 | |||||||||||||||
Long-term debt | 1,221 | 1,235 | 1,233 | 1,292 | 1,306 | |||||||||||||||
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL | 6,240 | 6,639 | 6,555 | 6,839 | 6,504 | |||||||||||||||
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL per share | 69.35 | 71.18 | 63.23 | 58.95 | 50.82 | |||||||||||||||
Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Financial guaranty: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net debt service outstanding (end of period) | $ | 363,893 | $ | 374,130 | $ | 371,586 | $ | 401,118 | $ | 437,535 | ||||||||||
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) | 365,356 | 375,776 | 375,080 | 408,492 | 455,000 | |||||||||||||||
Net par outstanding (end of period) | 230,898 | 236,807 | 241,802 | 264,952 | 296,318 | |||||||||||||||
Gross par outstanding (end of period) | 232,153 | 238,156 | 244,191 | 269,386 | 307,474 | |||||||||||||||
Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis)(1) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Financial guaranty: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net debt service outstanding (end of period) | $ | 358,233 | $ | 367,630 | $ | 359,499 | $ | 373,340 | $ | 401,004 | ||||||||||
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) | 359,696 | 369,251 | 362,974 | 380,478 | 417,072 | |||||||||||||||
Net par outstanding (end of period) | 225,875 | 230,984 | 230,664 | 239,003 | 262,468 | |||||||||||||||
Gross par outstanding (end of period) | 227,131 | 232,333 | 233,036 | 243,217 | 272,286 | |||||||||||||||
Claims-paying resources(2) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Policyholders' surplus | $ | 4,863 | $ | 5,056 | $ | 5,148 | $ | 5,305 | $ | 5,126 | ||||||||||
Contingency reserve | 1,620 | 1,607 | 1,663 | 1,750 | 2,008 | |||||||||||||||
Qualified statutory capital | 6,483 | 6,663 | 6,811 | 7,055 | 7,134 | |||||||||||||||
Unearned premium reserve and net deferred ceding commission income | 2,915 | 2,961 | 2,950 | 2,849 | 2,672 | |||||||||||||||
Loss and LAE reserves | 437 | 529 | 1,023 | 1,092 | 888 | |||||||||||||||
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves | 9,835 | 10,153 | 10,784 | 10,996 | 10,694 | |||||||||||||||
Present value of installment premium (3) | 776 | 804 | 577 | 559 | 616 | |||||||||||||||
CCS and standby line of credit | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | |||||||||||||||
Excess of loss reinsurance facility | — | — | 180 | 180 | 360 | |||||||||||||||
Total claims-paying resources | $ | 11,011 | $ | 11,357 | $ | 11,941 | $ | 12,135 | $ | 12,070 | ||||||||||
Ratios: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net exposure to qualified statutory capital | 35 | :1 | 35 | :1 | 34 | :1 | 34 | :1 | 37 | :1 | ||||||||||
Capital ratio | 55 | :1 | 55 | :1 | 53 | :1 | 53 | :1 | 56 | :1 | ||||||||||
Financial resources ratio | 33 | :1 | 32 | :1 | 30 | :1 | 31 | :1 | 33 | :1 | ||||||||||
Adjusted statutory net exposure to claims-paying resources | 21 | :1 | 20 | :1 | 19 | :1 | 20 | :1 | 22 | :1 | ||||||||||
Par and Debt Service Written (FG and specialty) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Gross debt service written: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Public finance - U.S. | $ | 4,248 | $ | 28,054 | $ | 31,989 | $ | 26,988 | $ | 25,423 | ||||||||||
Public finance - non-U.S. | 434 | 17,907 | 7,166 | 2,811 | 848 | |||||||||||||||
Structured finance - U.S. | 19 | 1,704 | 1,191 | 500 | 1,143 | |||||||||||||||
Structured finance - non-U.S. | — | 88 | 369 | 202 | 30 | |||||||||||||||
Total gross debt service written | $ | 4,701 | $ | 47,753 | $ | 40,715 | $ | 30,501 | $ | 27,444 | ||||||||||
Net debt service written | $ | 4,701 | $ | 47,731 | $ | 40,630 | $ | 30,476 | $ | 27,444 | ||||||||||
Net par written | 3,033 | 24,331 | 24,538 | 17,962 | 17,854 | |||||||||||||||
Gross par written | 3,033 | 24,353 | 24,624 | 18,024 | 17,854 | |||||||||||||||
1) | Statutory amounts prepared on a consolidated basis. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners Annual Statements for U.S. Domiciled Insurance Subsidiaries are prepared on a stand-alone basis. |
2) | See page 12 for additional detail on claims-paying resources. |
3) | Discount rate was changed from 6% to 3% in first quarter 2020. Prior periods have been updated to reflect the change. |
Three Months Ended March 31, 2020 | Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||||||
Total GWP | $ | 64 | $ | 677 | $ | 612 | $ | 307 | $ | 154 | ||||||||||
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments (2) | 35 | 469 | 119 | 99 | (10 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Upfront GWP | 29 | 208 | 493 | 208 | 164 | |||||||||||||||
Plus: Installment premium PVP | 22 | 361 | 204 | 107 | 61 | |||||||||||||||
Total PVP (3) | $ | 51 | $ | 569 | $ | 697 | $ | 315 | $ | 225 | ||||||||||
PVP (3): | ||||||||||||||||||||
Public finance - U.S. | $ | 29 | $ | 201 | $ | 402 | $ | 197 | $ | 161 | ||||||||||
Public finance - non-U.S. | 21 | 308 | 116 | 89 | 29 | |||||||||||||||
Structured finance - U.S. | 1 | 53 | 167 | 14 | 34 | |||||||||||||||
Structured finance - non-U.S. | — | 7 | 12 | 15 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
Total PVP | $ | 51 | $ | 569 | $ | 697 | $ | 315 | $ | 225 | ||||||||||
Adjusted operating income reconciliation: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | $ | (55 | ) | $ | 402 | $ | 521 | $ | 730 | $ | 881 | |||||||||
Less pre-tax adjustments: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on investments | (5 | ) | 22 | (32 | ) | 40 | (30 | ) | ||||||||||||
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | (88 | ) | (10 | ) | 101 | 43 | 36 | |||||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS | 48 | (22 | ) | 14 | (2 | ) | — | |||||||||||||
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves | (57 | ) | 22 | (32 | ) | 57 | (33 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total pre-tax adjustments | (102 | ) | 12 | 51 | 138 | (27 | ) | |||||||||||||
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments | 14 | (1 | ) | (12 | ) | (69 | ) | 13 | ||||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) | $ | 33 | $ | 391 | $ | 482 | $ | 661 | $ | 895 | ||||||||||
Adjusted operating income per diluted share reconciliation: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share | $ | (0.59 | ) | $ | 4.00 | $ | 4.68 | $ | 5.96 | $ | 6.56 | |||||||||
Less pre-tax adjustments: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on investments | (0.06 | ) | 0.22 | (0.29 | ) | 0.33 | (0.23 | ) | ||||||||||||
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | (0.95 | ) | (0.11 | ) | 0.90 | 0.35 | 0.27 | |||||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS | 0.52 | (0.22 | ) | 0.13 | (0.02 | ) | — | |||||||||||||
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss and LAE reserves | (0.62 | ) | 0.21 | (0.29 | ) | 0.46 | (0.25 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total pre-tax adjustments | (1.11 | ) | 0.10 | 0.45 | 1.12 | (0.21 | ) | |||||||||||||
Tax effect on pre-tax adjustments | 0.16 | (0.01 | ) | (0.11 | ) | (0.57 | ) | 0.09 | ||||||||||||
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share | $ | 0.36 | $ | 3.91 | $ | 4.34 | $ | 5.41 | $ | 6.68 | ||||||||||
1) | Please refer to the explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement. |
2) | Includes present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions, any cancellations of assumed reinsurance contracts, and other GAAP adjustments. |
3) | See Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement for a description of the changes to the discount rates used in the calculation of non-GAAP financial measure. The discount rate used for PVP as of March 31, 2020 is 3%. The prior periods have been recast to present PVP discounted at 3% instead of 6%. |
As of March 31, 2020 | As of December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||||||||||||
Adjusted book value reconciliation: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL | $ | 6,240 | $ | 6,639 | $ | 6,555 | $ | 6,839 | $ | 6,504 | ||||||||||
Less pre-tax adjustments: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | (144 | ) | (56 | ) | (45 | ) | (146 | ) | (189 | ) | ||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS | 101 | 52 | 74 | 60 | 62 | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect | 275 | 486 | 247 | 487 | 316 | |||||||||||||||
Less taxes | (43 | ) | (89 | ) | (63 | ) | (83 | ) | (71 | ) | ||||||||||
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity | 6,051 | 6,246 | 6,342 | 6,521 | 6,386 | |||||||||||||||
Pre-tax adjustments: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Less: Deferred acquisition costs | 113 | 111 | 105 | 101 | 106 | |||||||||||||||
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue | 193 | 206 | 219 | 162 | 147 | |||||||||||||||
Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed | 3,273 | 3,296 | 3,005 | 2,966 | 2,922 | |||||||||||||||
Plus taxes | (584 | ) | (590 | ) | (526 | ) | (515 | ) | (835 | ) | ||||||||||
Adjusted book value | $ | 8,820 | $ | 9,047 | $ | 8,935 | $ | 9,033 | $ | 8,514 | ||||||||||
Gain (loss) related to VIE consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders' equity (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(4), $(2), $(1), $(2), and $4) | $ | 12 | $ | 7 | $ | 3 | $ | 5 | $ | (7 | ) | |||||||||
Gain (loss) related to VIE consolidation included in adjusted book value (net of tax (provision) benefit of $(2), $1, $4, $3, and $12) | $ | 2 | $ | (4 | ) | $ | (15 | ) | $ | (14 | ) | $ | (24 | ) | ||||||
Adjusted book value per share reconciliation: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL per share | $ | 69.35 | $ | 71.18 | $ | 63.23 | $ | 58.95 | $ | 50.82 | ||||||||||
Less pre-tax adjustments: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | (1.60 | ) | (0.60 | ) | (0.44 | ) | (1.26 | ) | (1.48 | ) | ||||||||||
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS | 1.12 | 0.56 | 0.72 | 0.52 | 0.48 | |||||||||||||||
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect | 3.06 | 5.21 | 2.39 | 4.20 | 2.47 | |||||||||||||||
Less taxes | (0.48 | ) | (0.95 | ) | (0.61 | ) | (0.71 | ) | (0.54 | ) | ||||||||||
Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share | 67.25 | 66.96 | 61.17 | 56.20 | 49.89 | |||||||||||||||
Pre-tax adjustments: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Less: Deferred acquisition costs | 1.26 | 1.19 | 1.01 | 0.87 | 0.83 | |||||||||||||||
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue | 2.14 | 2.20 | 2.11 | 1.40 | 1.15 | |||||||||||||||
Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed | 36.37 | 35.34 | 28.98 | 25.56 | 22.83 | |||||||||||||||
Plus taxes | (6.48 | ) | (6.32 | ) | (5.07 | ) | (4.43 | ) | (6.52 | ) | ||||||||||
Adjusted book value per share | $ | 98.02 | $ | 96.99 | $ | 86.18 | $ | 77.86 | $ | 66.52 | ||||||||||
Gain (loss) related to VIE consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share | $ | 0.14 | $ | 0.07 | $ | 0.03 | $ | 0.03 | $ | (0.06 | ) | |||||||||
Gain (loss) related to VIE consolidation included in adjusted book value per share | $ | 0.03 | $ | (0.05 | ) | $ | (0.15 | ) | $ | (0.12 | ) | $ | (0.18 | ) | ||||||
1) | See Non-GAAP Financial Measures set forth at the end of this Financial Supplement for a description of the changes to the discount rates used in the calculation of non-GAAP financial measure. The discount rate used for net present value of estimated net future revenues as of March 31, 2020 is 3%. The prior periods have been recast to present the net present value of net future revenues discounted at 3% instead of 6%. |
• | the net asset value of the opportunity and wind-down funds plus any unfunded commitments; and |
• | the amount of aggregate collateral balance and principal cash of BlueMountain's CLOs, including CLO equity that may be held by Assured Investment Management funds. This also includes CLO assets managed by BlueMountain Fuji Management, LLC (BM Fuji). BlueMountain is not the investment manager of BM Fuji CLOs, but rather has entered into a services agreement and a secondment agreement with BM Fuji pursuant to which BlueMountain provides certain services associated with the management of BM Fuji-advised CLOs and acts in the capacity of service provider. |
