| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Exhibit 99.1 |
| PRESS RELEASE | | |
| | | | |
| Investor Relations: | | Media: | | |
| New York: +1 (917) 663 2233 | | Lausanne: +41 (0)58 242 4500 | | |
| Lausanne: +41 (0)58 242 4666 | | Email: [email protected] | | |
| Email: [email protected] | | | | |
PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. REPORTS 2020 FOURTH-QUARTER & FULL-YEAR RESULTS;
2020 FULL-YEAR REPORTED DILUTED EPS OF $5.16 VERSUS $4.61 IN 2019,
REFLECTING ADJUSTED DILUTED EPS GROWTH OF 7.0% ON AN ORGANIC BASIS;
PROVIDES 2021 EPS FORECAST
NEW YORK, February 4, 2021 – Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE: PM) today announces its 2020 fourth-quarter and full-year results. Comparisons presented in this press release on a "like-for-like" basis reflect pro forma 2019 results, which have been adjusted for the deconsolidation of PMI's Canadian subsidiary, Rothmans, Benson & Hedges, Inc. (RBH), effective March 22, 2019 (the date of deconsolidation). In addition, PMI's total market share has been restated for previous periods to reflect the deconsolidation. Growth rates presented in this press release on an organic basis reflect currency-neutral underlying results and "like-for-like" comparisons, where applicable. Adjustments, other calculations and reconciliations to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures are included in the schedules to this press release.
2020 FULL-YEAR & FOURTH-QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS
2020 Full-Year
•Reported diluted EPS of $5.16, up by 11.9%; up by 18.9%, excluding currency
•Adjusted diluted EPS of $5.17, down by 0.4%; up by 7.0% on an organic basis
•Cigarette and heated tobacco unit shipment volume down by 8.1% (reflecting cigarette shipment volume down by 11.1%, and heated tobacco unit shipment volume up by 27.6% to 76.1 billion units); down by 7.9% on a like-for-like basis
•Market share for heated tobacco units in IQOS markets, excluding the U.S., up by 1.7 points to 6.1%
•Net revenues down by 3.7%; down by 1.6% on an organic basis
•Operating income up by 10.8%; up by 15.3%, excluding currency
•Adjusted operating income up by 4.6% on an organic basis
•Adjusted operating income margin of 40.8%, up by 2.4 points on an organic basis
•Increased the regular quarterly dividend per share by 2.6% to an annualized rate of $4.80
•Total IQOS users at year-end estimated at approximately 17.6 million, of which approximately 12.7 million have switched to IQOS and stopped smoking
•On July 7, 2020, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) authorized the marketing of a version of IQOS as a Modified Risk Tobacco Product
•On December 7, 2020, the U.S. FDA authorized the sale of the IQOS 3 device in the U.S. through the issuance of a premarket tobacco marketing order
2020 Fourth-Quarter
•Reported diluted EPS of $1.27, up by 22.1%; up by 26.9%, excluding currency
•Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.26, up by 3.3%; up by 7.4% on an organic basis
•Cigarette and heated tobacco unit shipment volume down by 8.2% (reflecting cigarette shipment volume down by 11.7%, and heated tobacco unit shipment volume up by 26.9% to 21.7 billion units)
•Market share for heated tobacco units in IQOS markets, excluding the U.S., up by 1.8 points to 6.7%
•Net revenues down by 3.5%; down by 3.5% on an organic basis
•Operating income up by 15.9%; up by 17.8%, excluding currency
•Adjusted operating income up by 1.7% on an organic basis
•Adjusted operating income margin of 38.5%, up by 2.0 points on an organic basis
"In 2020, PMI delivered a robust business performance despite the unprecedented headwinds of the COVID-19 pandemic, with adjusted diluted EPS organic growth of 7.0%, supported by stronger-than-anticipated fourth quarter results," said André Calantzopoulos, Chief Executive Officer.
"We must first and foremost salute the enormous efforts of the entire PMI organization to keep our employees and their families safe, ensure business continuity, rapidly adapt our ways of working and help our local communities."
"IQOS continued to deliver impressive growth in 2020, driving significant increases in our total users, as well as both HTU shipment and in-market sales volumes. During the fourth quarter, we reported record HTU market shares in key IQOS geographies, and exited the year with double-digit national shares in ten markets."
"We enter 2021 with favorable momentum, although certain headwinds remain, notably related to Duty Free, Indonesia and the continued effects of the pandemic. For the full year, we are expecting a significant recovery, with mid-single-digit organic net revenue growth—driven by the growing contribution of IQOS—and further efforts on cost efficiencies driving an acceleration in forecasted adjusted diluted EPS growth to a range of 9% to 11% on the same basis."
2021 FULL-YEAR FORECAST
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| Full-Year |
| 2021 Forecast | | 2020 | Organic Growth |
| | | | | | | | | |
| Reported Diluted EPS | $5.90 | - | $6.00 | | $ 5.16 | | | | |
| Tax items | | | (0.06) | | | | | |
| Asset impairment and exit costs | | | 0.08 | | | | | |
| Brazil indirect tax credit | | | (0.05) | | | | | |
| Fair value adjustment for equity security investments | | | 0.04 | | | | | |
| Adjusted Diluted EPS | $5.90 | - | $6.00 | | $ 5.17 | | | | |
| Currency | (0.25) | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding currency | $5.65 | - | $5.75 | | $ 5.17 | | 9% | - | 11% |
| | | | | | | | | |
Reported diluted EPS forecast to be in a range of $5.90 to $6.00, at prevailing exchange rates, representing a projected increase of around 14% to 16% versus reported diluted EPS of $5.16 in 2020.
Excluding a favorable currency impact, at prevailing exchange rates, of approximately $0.25 per share, this forecast represents a projected increase of around 9% to 11% versus adjusted diluted EPS of $5.17 in 2020, as detailed in the above table.
2021 Full-Year Forecast Assumptions
This forecast assumes:
•A gradual improvement in the general operating environment, with potential volatility around the duration and effects of pandemic-related mobility restrictions across PMI's key markets;
•Lack of near-term recovery in PMI's duty-free business given the uncertain outlook for global travel, with current dynamics persisting through year end;
•An estimated total international industry volume progression, excluding China and the U.S., of approximately -3% to flat;
•A total cigarette and heated tobacco unit shipment volume progression for PMI of approximately -2% to +1%;
•Heated tobacco unit shipment volume of 90 to 100 billion units;
•Net revenue growth of approximately 4% to 7% on an organic basis;
•An increase in adjusted operating income margin of at least 150 basis points on an organic basis;
•Operating cash flow of approximately $11 billion at prevailing exchange rates and subject to year-end working capital requirements;
•Capital expenditures of approximately $0.8 billion;
•An effective tax rate, excluding discrete tax events, of around 22%;
•No share repurchases; and
•First-quarter reported diluted EPS of around $1.40, including a favorable currency impact, at prevailing exchange rates, of around $0.09 per share, notably reflecting:
•Net revenue that is down slightly to broadly stable on an organic basis, with an unfavorable comparison versus the first quarter of 2019; and
•Strong operating income margin growth, primarily driven by the growing weight of IQOS in the business and continued cost efficiencies.
The foregoing is underpinned by the assumption that, even in the event of prolonged pandemic-related restrictions, there will not be a return to the depressed consumption levels of the second quarter of 2020. This assumption is consistent with the less severe impact on consumption levels observed in the second half of 2020 as COVID-19 spread in a number of markets.
This forecast excludes the impact of any future acquisitions, unanticipated or unquantifiable asset impairment and exit cost charges, future changes in currency exchange rates, further developments pertaining to the judgment in the two Québec Class Action lawsuits and the Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act (CCAA) protection granted to RBH, any unusual events, and any COVID-19-related developments different from the assumptions set forth in the company's forecast.
Factors described in the Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements section of this release represent continuing risks to these projections.
COVID-19: Business Continuity Update
Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, PMI has undertaken a number of business continuity measures to mitigate potential disruption to its operations and route-to-market in order to preserve the availability of products to its customers and adult consumers.
Currently:
•PMI has sufficient access to the inputs for its products and is not facing any significant business continuity issues with respect to key suppliers;
•All of PMI's cigarette and heated tobacco unit manufacturing facilities globally are operational;
•COVID-related restrictions do not have a significant impact on the availability of PMI’s products to its customers and adult consumers; and
•PMI has ample liquidity through cash on hand, the ongoing cash generation of its business, and its access to the commercial paper and debt markets.
U.S. Food and Drug Administration Authorizes IQOS 3 for Sale in the United States
On December 7, 2020, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) confirmed that IQOS 3, Philip Morris International’s electrically heated tobacco system, is appropriate for the protection of public health and authorized it for sale in the U.S. The FDA’s decision followed the assessment of a premarket tobacco product application (PMTA) filed with the agency in March 2020.
The IQOS 3 device contains a number of technological advancements compared to a previously authorized IQOS device (IQOS 2.4), including longer battery life and quicker recharge between uses.
In its decision, the FDA noted that international survey data reviewed by the agency found no evidence of increased uptake of IQOS by youth or young adults, while use patterns available for the previously authorized version of IQOS within the U.S. have not raised new concerns regarding product use in youth and young adults.
The IQOS 3 PMTA authorization is independent of the modified risk tobacco product application (MRTPA) authorization for IQOS 2.4. PMI expects to file an application seeking an exposure modification order for IQOS 3.
Brazil Indirect Tax Credit
Following a final and enforceable decision by the highest court in Brazil in October 2020, PMI recorded a gain of $119 million for tax credits representing overpayments of indirect taxes for the period from March 2012 through December 2019. These tax credits will be applied to future tax liabilities in Brazil.
A decision regarding an additional amount of overpaid indirect taxes of approximately $90 million is still pending before this court.
Conference Call
A conference call, hosted by André Calantzopoulos, Chief Executive Officer, Jacek Olczak, Chief Operating Officer, and Emmanuel Babeau, Chief Financial Officer, will be webcast at 10:30 a.m., Eastern Time, on February 4, 2021. Access is at www.pmi.com/2020Q4earnings.
CONSOLIDATED SHIPMENT VOLUME & MARKET SHARE
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PMI Shipment Volume by Region | | Fourth-Quarter | | Full-Year |
| (million units) | | 2020 | 2019 | Change | | 2020 | 2019 | Change |
| Cigarettes | | | | | | | | |
| European Union | | 37,278 | | 41,226 | | (9.6) | % | | 163,420 | | 174,319 | | (6.3) | % |
| Eastern Europe | | 22,725 | | 25,865 | | (12.1) | % | | 93,462 | | 100,644 | | (7.1) | % |
| Middle East & Africa | | 29,912 | | 32,611 | | (8.3) | % | | 117,999 | | 134,568 | | (12.3) | % |
| South & Southeast Asia | | 36,609 | | 44,704 | | (18.1) | % | | 144,788 | | 174,934 | | (17.2) | % |
| East Asia & Australia | | 9,946 | | 11,301 | | (12.0) | % | | 45,100 | | 49,951 | | (9.7) | % |
| Latin America & Canada | | 18,207 | | 19,387 | | (6.1) | % | | 63,749 | | 72,293 | | (11.8) | % |
| Total PMI | | 154,677 | | 175,094 | | (11.7) | % | | 628,518 | | 706,709 | | (11.1) | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| Heated Tobacco Units | | | | | | | | |
| European Union | | 5,773 | | 3,759 | | 53.6 | % | | 19,842 | | 12,569 | | 57.9 | % |
| Eastern Europe | | 6,524 | | 5,240 | | 24.5 | % | | 20,898 | | 13,453 | | 55.3 | % |
| Middle East & Africa | | 188 | | 593 | | (68.3) | % | | 1,022 | | 2,654 | | (61.5) | % |
| South & Southeast Asia | | 26 | | — | | — | % | | 36 | | — | | — | % |
| East Asia & Australia | | 9,063 | | 7,424 | | 22.1 | % | | 33,862 | | 30,677 | | 10.4 | % |
Latin America & Canada (1) | | 135 | | 97 | | 39.2 | % | | 451 | | 299 | | 50.8 | % |
| Total PMI | | 21,709 | | 17,113 | | 26.9 | % | | 76,111 | | 59,652 | | 27.6 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| Cigarettes and Heated Tobacco Units | | | | | | | | |
| European Union | | 43,051 | | 44,985 | | (4.3) | % | | 183,262 | | 186,888 | | (1.9) | % |
| Eastern Europe | | 29,249 | | 31,105 | | (6.0) | % | | 114,360 | | 114,097 | | 0.2 | % |
| Middle East & Africa | | 30,100 | | 33,204 | | (9.3) | % | | 119,021 | | 137,222 | | (13.3) | % |
| South & Southeast Asia | | 36,635 | | 44,704 | | (18.0) | % | | 144,824 | | 174,934 | | (17.2) | % |
| East Asia & Australia | | 19,009 | | 18,725 | | 1.5 | % | | 78,962 | | 80,628 | | (2.1) | % |
| Latin America & Canada | | 18,342 | | 19,484 | | (5.9) | % | | 64,200 | | 72,592 | | (11.6) | % |
| Total PMI | | 176,386 | | 192,207 | | (8.2) | % | | 704,629 | | 766,361 | | (8.1) | % |
(1) Includes shipments to Altria Group, Inc., commencing in the third quarter of 2019, for sale in the United States under license. |
Full-Year
Estimated international industry cigarette and heated tobacco unit volume, excluding China and the U.S., of 2.5 trillion, decreased by 5.8%, due to all PMI Regions, as described in the Regional sections below.
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 8.1% (or by 7.9% on a like-for-like basis), due to:
•the EU, reflecting lower cigarette shipment volume, notably in Italy, Poland and Spain, partly offset by higher heated tobacco unit shipment volume across the Region, particularly in Italy and Poland;
•Middle East & Africa, reflecting lower cigarette shipment volume, primarily in PMI Duty Free and Turkey, as well as lower heated tobacco unit shipment volume due to PMI Duty Free;
•South & Southeast Asia, reflecting lower cigarette shipment volume, primarily in Indonesia, Pakistan and the Philippines;
•East Asia & Australia, reflecting lower cigarette shipment volume, predominantly in Japan, partly offset by higher heated tobacco unit shipment volume driven by Japan; and
•Latin America & Canada, reflecting lower cigarette shipment volume, primarily in Argentina and Mexico, partially offset by Brazil. On a like-for-like basis, PMI's total shipment volume in the Region decreased by 10.3%;
partly offset by
•Eastern Europe, reflecting higher heated tobacco unit shipment volume across the Region, notably in Russia and Ukraine, partly offset by lower cigarette shipment volume, mainly in Russia and Ukraine.
Impact of Inventory Movements
The net impact of estimated distributor inventory movements for the full year was immaterial. On a like-for-like basis, PMI’s total in-market sales volume declined by 7.8%.
Fourth-Quarter
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 8.2%, due to:
•the EU, reflecting lower cigarette shipment volume, notably in Italy and Poland, partly offset by higher heated tobacco unit shipment volume across the Region, notably in Italy;
•Eastern Europe, reflecting lower cigarette shipment volume, particularly in Russia and Ukraine, partly offset by higher heated tobacco unit shipment volume across the Region, primarily in Russia and Ukraine;
•Middle East & Africa, reflecting lower cigarette shipment volume, mainly in North Africa and PMI Duty Free, partly offset by Turkey, as well as lower heated tobacco unit shipment volume due to PMI Duty Free;
•South & Southeast Asia, reflecting lower cigarette shipment volume, primarily in Indonesia and the Philippines; and
•Latin America & Canada, reflecting lower cigarette shipment volume, primarily in Mexico, partly offset by Brazil;
partly offset by
•East Asia & Australia, reflecting higher heated tobacco unit shipment volume, primarily in Japan, partly offset by lower cigarette shipment volume, mainly in Japan.
Impact of Inventory Movements
The net impact of estimated distributor inventory movements in the fourth quarter was immaterial. PMI’s total in-market sales volume declined by 8.3%.
PMI Shipment Volume by Brand
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PMI Shipment Volume by Brand | | Fourth-Quarter | | Full-Year |
| (million units) | | 2020 | 2019 | Change | | 2020 | 2019 | Change |
| Cigarettes | | | | | | | | |
| Marlboro | | 57,521 | | 66,025 | | (12.9) | % | | 233,158 | | 262,908 | | (11.3) | % |
| L&M | | 21,883 | | 23,107 | | (5.3) | % | | 91,098 | | 92,873 | | (1.9) | % |
| Chesterfield | | 12,864 | | 13,683 | | (6.0) | % | | 52,139 | | 57,185 | | (8.8) | % |
| Philip Morris | | 10,822 | | 12,216 | | (11.4) | % | | 45,645 | | 49,164 | | (7.2) | % |
| Parliament | | 9,162 | | 9,639 | | (4.9) | % | | 34,737 | | 38,723 | | (10.3) | % |
| Sampoerna A | | 9,061 | | 9,121 | | (0.7) | % | | 32,862 | | 35,133 | | (6.5) | % |
| Dji Sam Soe | | 6,410 | | 9,346 | | (31.4) | % | | 24,754 | | 32,435 | | (23.7) | % |
| Bond Street | | 5,632 | | 6,926 | | (18.7) | % | | 24,113 | | 28,025 | | (14.0) | % |
| Lark | | 3,429 | | 4,027 | | (14.8) | % | | 15,489 | | 19,602 | | (21.0) | % |
| Next | | 2,277 | | 2,202 | | 3.4 | % | | 8,980 | | 8,602 | | 4.4 | % |
| Others | | 15,616 | | 18,802 | | (16.9) | % | | 65,543 | | 82,059 | | (20.1) | % |
| Total Cigarettes | | 154,677 | | 175,094 | | (11.7) | % | | 628,518 | | 706,709 | | (11.1) | % |
Heated Tobacco Units (1) | | 21,709 | | 17,113 | | 26.9 | % | | 76,111 | | 59,652 | | 27.6 | % |
| Total PMI | | 176,386 | | 192,207 | | (8.2) | % | | 704,629 | | 766,361 | | (8.1) | % |
(1) Includes shipments to Altria Group, Inc., commencing in the third quarter of 2019, for sale in the United States under license. |
Note: Sampoerna A includes Sampoerna; Philip Morris includes Philip Morris/Dubliss; Lark includes Lark Harmony; and Next includes Next/Dubliss. |
Full-Year
PMI's cigarette shipment volume of the following brands decreased:
•Marlboro, mainly due to Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, the Philippines, PMI Duty Free, Saudi Arabia and Turkey, partly offset by Russia;
•L&M, notably due to PMI Duty Free and Poland, partly offset by Mexico and Turkey;
•Chesterfield, mainly due to Poland, Russia and Turkey, partly offset by Brazil and Saudi Arabia;
•Philip Morris, primarily due to Argentina and Italy, partly offset by Russia;
•Parliament, mainly due to PMI Duty Free, Russia and Turkey;
•Sampoerna A in Indonesia, mainly due to premium A Mild;
•Dji Sam Soe in Indonesia, mainly due to Dji Sam Soe Magnum Mild;
•Bond Street, largely due to Russia and Ukraine;
•Lark, primarily due to Japan and Turkey; and
•"Others," notably due to: the impact of the deconsolidation of RBH in Canada; mid-price Fortune and Hope in the Philippines, Muratti in Turkey and Sampoerna U in Indonesia; and low-price Baronet (morphed to L&M) in Mexico, Jackpot in the Philippines and Morven in Pakistan; partly offset by mid-price Sampoerna Hijau in Indonesia.
PMI's cigarette shipment volume of the following brand increased:
•Next, notably driven by Israel and Russia.
The increase in PMI's heated tobacco unit shipment volume was mainly driven by the EU (notably Italy and Poland), Eastern Europe (notably Russia and Ukraine) and Japan, partly offset by PMI Duty Free.
International Share of Market
PMI's total international market share (excluding China and the U.S.), defined as PMI's cigarette and heated tobacco unit sales volume as a percentage of total industry cigarette and heated tobacco unit sales volume, decreased by 0.7 points to 27.7%, reflecting:
•Total international market share for cigarettes of 24.7%, down by 1.5 points; and
•Total international market share for heated tobacco units of 3.0%, up by 0.8 points.
PMI's total international cigarette sales volume as a percentage of total industry cigarette sales volume was down by 1.2 points to 25.7%, mainly reflecting: out-switching to heated tobacco units, as well as lower cigarette market share and/or an unfavorable geographic mix impact, notably in Indonesia, Mexico, the Philippines and PMI Duty Free, partly offset by Brazil and Germany.
In 2020, PMI owned five of the world's top 15 international cigarette brands, with international cigarette market shares as follows: Marlboro, 9.5%; L&M, 3.7%; Chesterfield, 2.2%; Philip Morris, 1.9%; and Parliament, 1.4%.
Fourth-Quarter
PMI's cigarette shipment volume of the following brands decreased:
•Marlboro, mainly due to Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, the Philippines and PMI Duty Free, partly offset by Turkey;
•L&M, notably due to Egypt, PMI Duty Free and Poland, partly offset by Turkey;
•Chesterfield, mainly due to Poland, Russia and Turkey, partly offset by Brazil;
•Philip Morris, primarily due to Argentina, Indonesia, Italy and Russia;
•Parliament, mainly due to PMI Duty Free and Russia, partly offset by Saudi Arabia and Turkey;
•Sampoerna A in Indonesia, mainly due to premium A Mild;
•Dji Sam Soe in Indonesia, mainly due to Dji Sam Soe Magnum Mild;
•Bond Street, notably due to Russia and Ukraine;
•Lark, primarily due to Japan; and
•"Others," notably due to: mid-price Fortune in the Philippines and Sampoerna U in Indonesia, partly offset by Sampoerna Hijau in Indonesia.
PMI's cigarette shipment volume of the following brand increased:
•Next, mainly driven by Canada.
The increase in PMI's heated tobacco unit shipment volume was mainly driven by the EU (notably Italy and Poland), Eastern Europe (notably Russia and Ukraine) and Japan, partly offset by PMI Duty Free.
International Share of Market
PMI's total international market share (excluding China and the U.S.) decreased by 0.9 points to 27.4%, reflecting:
•Total international market share for cigarettes of 24.2%, down by 1.7 points; and
•Total international market share for heated tobacco units of 3.1%, up by 0.7 points.
PMI's total international cigarette sales volume as a percentage of total industry cigarette sales volume was down by 1.5 points to 25.2%, mainly reflecting: out-switching to heated tobacco units, as well as lower cigarette market share and/or an unfavorable geographic mix impact, notably in Indonesia, Japan, Mexico, the Philippines and PMI Duty Free, partly offset by Brazil and Turkey.
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL SUMMARY
Full-Year
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Years Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other(1) |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 28,694 | $ 29,805 | | (3.7) | % | (2.2) | % | | (1,111) | | (469) | | 794 | | (1,183) | | (253) | |
| Cost of Sales | | (9,569) | (10,513) | | 9.0 | % | 7.5 | % | | 944 | | 158 | | — | | 464 | | 322 | |
| Marketing, Administration and Research Costs (2) | | (7,384) | (8,695) | | 15.1 | % | 17.0 | % | | 1,311 | | (166) | | — | | — | | 1,477 | |
| Amortization of Intangibles | | (73) | (66) | | (10.6) | % | (13.6) | % | | (7) | | 2 | | — | | — | | (9) | |
| Operating Income | | $ 11,668 | $ 10,531 | | 10.8 | % | 15.3 | % | | 1,137 | | (475) | | 794 | | (719) | | 1,537 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (3) | | (149) | (422) | | 64.7 | % | 64.7 | % | | 273 | | — | | — | | — | | 273 | |
| Canadian Tobacco Litigation-Related Expense (3) | | — | (194) | | +100% | +100% | | 194 | | — | | — | | — | | 194 | |
| Loss on Deconsolidation of RBH (3) | | — | (239) | | +100% | +100% | | 239 | | — | | — | | — | | 239 | |
| Russia Excise and VAT Audit Charge (3) | | — | (374) | | +100% | +100% | | 374 | | — | | — | | — | | 374 | |
| Brazil Indirect Tax Credit (3) | | 119 | — | | — | % | — | % | | 119 | | — | | — | | — | | 119 | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 11,698 | $ 11,760 | | (0.5) | % | 3.5 | % | | (62) | | (475) | | 794 | | (719) | | 338 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 40.8 | % | 39.5 | % | | 1.3pp | 2.2pp | | | | | | |
(1) Cost/Other variance includes the impact of the RBH deconsolidation. |
(2) Favorable Cost/Other variance includes the 2019 Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense, the 2019 loss on deconsolidation of RBH, the 2019 and 2020 asset impairment and exit costs, the 2019 Russia excise and VAT audit charge, the 2020 Brazil indirect tax credit, and the impact of the RBH deconsolidation. |
(3) Included in Marketing, Administration and Research Costs above. |
| Note: Net Revenues include revenues from shipments of Platform 1 devices, heated tobacco units and accessories to Altria Group, Inc., commencing in the third quarter of 2019, for sale under license in the United States. |
Net revenues decreased by 2.2%, excluding currency, reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, primarily due to lower cigarette volume (mainly in Argentina, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, the Philippines, PMI Duty Free, Poland, Russia and Ukraine, partly offset by Germany), partially offset by higher heated tobacco unit volume (notably in the EU, Japan, Russia and Ukraine, partly offset by PMI Duty Free); and the unfavorable impact of $253 million, shown in "Cost/Other," mainly resulting from the deconsolidation of RBH and lower fees for certain distribution rights billed to customers in certain markets; partly offset by a favorable pricing variance (notably driven by the GCC, Germany, Japan, Mexico, North Africa, the Philippines, PMI Duty Free, Russia and Ukraine, partially offset by Indonesia, Poland and Turkey). On an organic basis, net revenues decreased by 1.6%, as detailed in Schedule 9.
Operating income increased by 15.3%, excluding currency, notably reflecting a favorable comparison, shown in "Cost/Other," of net items recorded in 2020 of $30 million related to asset impairment and exit costs (associated with organizational design optimization) and the Brazil indirect tax credit, to charges recorded in 2019 of $1.2 billion, related to: asset impairment and exit costs (associated with plant closures in Argentina, Colombia,
Germany and Pakistan), the loss on the deconsolidation of RBH, the Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense, and the Russia excise and VAT audit.
Adjusted operating income increased by 3.5%, excluding currency, primarily reflecting: a favorable pricing variance; lower manufacturing costs (driven by productivity gains related to reduced-risk and combustible products) and lower marketing, administration and research costs (partly driven by cost efficiencies); partially offset by unfavorable volume/mix, mainly due to lower cigarette volume (primarily in Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, the Philippines, PMI Duty Free, Poland and Russia), partly offset by higher heated tobacco unit volume (notably in the EU, Japan, Russia and Ukraine, partially offset by PMI Duty Free); and the unfavorable impact of the deconsolidation of RBH, included in "Cost/Other." On an organic basis, adjusted operating income increased by 4.6%, as detailed in Schedule 9.
Adjusted operating income margin increased by 2.2 points to 41.7%, excluding currency, as detailed in Schedule 8, or by 2.4 points to 41.7%, on an organic basis, as detailed in Schedule 9.
Fourth-Quarter
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Financial Summary - Quarters Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 7,444 | $ 7,713 | | (3.5) | % | (3.5) | % | | (269) | | — | | 128 | | (385) | | (12) | |
| Cost of Sales | | (2,572) | (2,778) | | 7.4 | % | 8.0 | % | | 206 | | (15) | | — | | 146 | | 75 | |
| Marketing, Administration and Research Costs (1) | | (1,949) | (2,413) | | 19.2 | % | 20.7 | % | | 464 | | (35) | | — | | — | | 499 | |
| Amortization of Intangibles | | (18) | (16) | | (12.5) | % | (25.0) | % | | (2) | | 2 | | — | | — | | (4) | |
| Operating Income | | $ 2,905 | $ 2,506 | | 15.9 | % | 17.8 | % | | 399 | | (48) | | 128 | | (239) | | 558 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (2) | | (78) | (357) | | 78.2 | % | 78.2 | % | | 279 | | — | | — | | — | | 279 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Brazil Indirect Tax Credit (2) | | 119 | — | | — | % | — | % | | 119 | | — | | — | | — | | 119 | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 2,864 | $ 2,863 | | — | % | 1.7 | % | | 1 | | (48) | | 128 | | (239) | | 160 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 38.5 | % | 37.1 | % | | 1.4pp | 2.0 | pp | | | | | | |
|
(1) Favorable Cost/Other variance includes the 2019 and 2020 asset impairment and exit costs and the 2020 Brazil indirect tax credit |
(2) Included in Marketing, Administration and Research Costs above. |
| Note: Net Revenues include revenues from shipments of Platform 1 devices, heated tobacco units and accessories to Altria Group, Inc., commencing in the third quarter of 2019, for sale under license in the United States. |
Net revenues decreased by 3.5%, on an organic basis, mainly reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, primarily due to lower cigarette volume (mainly in Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, the Philippines, PMI Duty Free, Poland and Russia), partially offset by higher heated tobacco unit volume (notably in EE, the EU and Japan, partly offset by PMI Duty Free); partially offset by a favorable pricing variance (notably driven by Germany, Japan, the Philippines and Russia, partly offset by France and Indonesia).
Operating income increased by 17.8%, excluding currency, notably reflecting a favorable comparison, shown in "Cost/Other," of net favorable items recorded in the fourth quarter of 2020 of $41 million related to the Brazil indirect tax credit and asset impairment and exit costs (associated with organizational design optimization), to charges recorded in the same period of 2019 related to asset impairment and exit costs associated with plant
closures in Argentina and Germany.
Adjusted operating income increased by 1.7%, on an organic basis, primarily reflecting: a favorable pricing variance; lower marketing, administration and research costs (partly driven by cost efficiencies); and lower manufacturing costs (driven by productivity gains related to reduced-risk and combustible products); partially offset by unfavorable volume/mix, due to the same factors as for net revenues noted above.
Adjusted operating income margin increased by 2.0 points to 39.1%, on an organic basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
EUROPEAN UNION REGION
Full-Year
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Years Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 10,702 | $ 9,817 | | 9.0 | % | 8.8 | % | | 885 | | 21 | | 187 | | 677 | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 5,098 | $ 3,970 | | 28.4 | % | 29.0 | % | | 1,128 | | (24) | | 187 | | 663 | | 302 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (1) | | (57) | (342) | | 83.3 | % | 83.3 | % | | 285 | | — | | — | | — | | 285 | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 5,155 | $ 4,312 | | 19.6 | % | 20.1 | % | | 843 | | (24) | | 187 | | 663 | | 17 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 48.2 | % | 43.9 | % | | 4.3pp | 4.6pp | | | | | | |
(1) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
Net revenues increased by 8.8%, on an organic basis, reflecting: favorable volume/mix, mainly driven by higher heated tobacco unit volume across the Region (notably in the Czech Republic, Germany, Hungary, Italy and Poland), partly offset by lower cigarette volume (notably in the Czech Republic, Italy, Poland and Spain, partly offset by Germany) and lower cigarette mix (mainly in Germany); and a favorable pricing variance (driven by higher combustible pricing, notably in Germany, partly offset by lower heated tobacco unit and IQOS device pricing).
Operating income increased by 29.0%, excluding currency, notably reflecting a favorable comparison, shown in "Cost/Other," of asset impairment and exit costs recorded in 2020 associated with organizational design optimization, to those recorded in 2019 associated with a plant closure in Germany.
Adjusted operating income increased by 20.1%, on an organic basis, primarily reflecting: favorable volume/mix, mainly driven by the same factors as for net revenues noted above; a favorable pricing variance; and lower manufacturing costs (notably in Germany); partly offset by higher marketing, administration and research costs (mainly related to increased investments behind reduced-risk products, notably in Germany and Poland).
Adjusted operating income margin increased by 4.6 points to 48.5%, on an organic basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
Fourth-Quarter
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Quarters Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 2,742 | $ 2,436 | | 12.6 | % | 6.4 | % | | 306 | | 151 | | | 45 | | 110 | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 1,174 | $ 624 | | 88.1 | % | 74.8 | % | | 550 | | 83 | | | 45 | | 129 | | 293 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (1) | | (30) | (342) | | 91.2 | % | 91.2 | % | | 312 | | — | | | — | | — | | 312 | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 1,204 | $ 966 | | 24.6 | % | 16.0 | % | | 238 | | 83 | | | 45 | | 129 | | (19) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 43.9 | % | 39.7 | % | | 4.2pp | 3.6pp | | | | | | | |
(1) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
|
Net revenues increased by 6.4%, on an organic basis, reflecting: favorable volume/mix, mainly driven by higher heated tobacco unit volume (notably in Germany, Italy and Poland), partly offset by lower cigarette volume (notably in Italy and Poland); and a favorable pricing variance (driven by higher combustible pricing, notably in Germany, partly offset by France).
Operating income increased by 74.8%, excluding currency, mainly reflecting a favorable comparison, shown in "Cost/Other," of asset impairment and exit costs recorded in the fourth quarter of 2020 associated with organizational design optimization, to those recorded in the same period of 2019 associated with a plant closure in Germany.
Adjusted operating income increased by 16.0%, on an organic basis, primarily reflecting: favorable volume/mix, driven by the same factors as for net revenues noted above; and a favorable pricing variance; partly offset by higher manufacturing costs (notably in Italy, partly offset by Germany).
Adjusted operating income margin increased by 3.6 points to 43.3%, on an organic basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
Total Market, PMI Shipment & Market Share Commentaries
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| European Union Key Data | | Fourth-Quarter | | Full-Year |
| | | | Change | | | | Change |
| | 2020 | 2019 | % / pp | | 2020 | 2019 | % / pp |
| Total Market (billion units) | | 115.2 | 119.0 | (3.2) | % | | 472.7 | 482.8 | (2.1) | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| PMI Shipment Volume (million units) | | | | | | | | |
| Cigarettes | | 37,278 | 41,226 | (9.6) | % | | 163,420 | 174,319 | (6.3) | % |
| Heated Tobacco Units | | 5,773 | 3,759 | 53.6 | % | | 19,842 | 12,569 | 57.9 | % |
| Total EU | | 43,051 | 44,985 | (4.3) | % | | 183,262 | 186,888 | (1.9) | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| PMI Market Share | | | | | | | | |
| Marlboro | | 17.1 | % | 17.8 | % | (0.7) | | | 17.5 | % | 18.0 | % | (0.5) | |
| L&M | | 5.9 | % | 6.5 | % | (0.6) | | | 6.2 | % | 6.7 | % | (0.5) | |
| Chesterfield | | 5.3 | % | 5.6 | % | (0.3) | | | 5.5 | % | 5.8 | % | (0.3) | |
| Philip Morris | | 2.2 | % | 2.6 | % | (0.4) | | | 2.4 | % | 2.7 | % | (0.3) | |
| HEETS | | 5.0 | % | 3.2 | % | 1.8 | | | 4.2 | % | 2.5 | % | 1.7 | |
| Others | | 3.1 | % | 3.0 | % | 0.1 | | | 3.1 | % | 3.1 | % | — | |
| Total EU | | 38.6 | % | 38.7 | % | (0.1) | | | 38.9 | % | 38.8 | % | 0.1 | |
Note: HEETS includes HEETS Dimensions. |
Full-Year
The estimated total market in the EU decreased by 2.1% to 472.7 billion units, notably due to:
•Czech Republic, down by 10.9%, primarily reflecting lower border sales due to lockdown measures;
•France, down by 3.6%, mainly reflecting the impact of significant excise tax-driven price increases, partly offset by the pandemic-related impact of lower cross-border (non-domestic) purchases and a lower estimated prevalence of illicit trade due to border restrictions; and
•Spain, down by 7.8%, primarily reflecting lower in-bound tourism and border sales due to the pandemic;
partly offset by
•Germany, up by 1.9%, notably reflecting the pandemic-related impact of lower cross-border (non-domestic) purchases and reduced out-bound tourism, partly offset by the impact of retail price increases in the first quarter of 2020 and adult smoker out-switching to other combustible tobacco products.
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 1.9% to 183.3 billion units, reflecting:
•lower cigarette shipment volume, mainly due to the lower total market and lower cigarette market share (notably in Italy and Poland, partly reflecting out-switching to heated tobacco units);
partly offset by
•higher heated tobacco unit shipment volume across the Region (notably in Italy and Poland), driven by higher market share.
PMI's Regional market share increased by 0.1 point to 38.9%, with gains in Germany and Italy, partly offset by a decline in Poland.
Fourth-Quarter
The estimated total market in the EU decreased by 3.2% to 115.2 billion units, notably driven by:
•Czech Republic, down by 20.9%, mainly reflecting the same factor as for the full year;
•Denmark, down by 27.0%, or by 12.9% excluding the net unfavorable impact of estimated trade inventory movements, mainly reflecting the impact of excise tax-driven price increases; and
•Spain, down by 7.7%, mainly reflecting the same factors as for the full year.
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 4.3% to 43.1 billion units, reflecting:
•lower cigarette shipment volume, mainly due to the lower total market and lower market share (notably in Italy and Poland, partly reflecting out-switching to heated tobacco units);
partly offset by
•higher heated tobacco unit shipment volume across the Region, driven by higher market share (notably in Italy and Poland).
PMI's Regional market share decreased by 0.1 point to 38.6%, with declines in France and Poland, largely offset by gains in Italy and Spain.
EASTERN EUROPE REGION
Full-Year
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Years Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 3,378 | $ 3,282 | | 2.9 | % | 10.9 | % | | 96 | | (263) | | 162 | | 197 | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 871 | $ 547 | | 59.2 | % | +100% | | 324 | | (299) | | 162 | | 146 | | 315 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (1) | | (15) | — | | — | % | — | % | | (15) | | — | | — | | — | | (15) | |
| Russia Excise and VAT Audit Charge (1) | | — | (374) | | +100% | +100% | | 374 | | — | | — | | — | | 374 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 886 | $ 921 | | (3.8) | % | 28.7 | % | | (35) | | (299) | | 162 | | 146 | | (44) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 26.2 | % | 28.1 | % | | (1.9)pp | 4.4pp | | | | | | |
(1) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
Net revenues increased by 10.9%, on an organic basis, reflecting: favorable volume/mix, predominantly driven by higher heated tobacco unit volume across the Region (notably in Russia and Ukraine) and higher heated tobacco unit mix (mainly in Russia), partly offset by unfavorable cigarette volume (primarily in Russia and Ukraine, partially offset by Israel) and unfavorable cigarette mix (mainly in Russia); and a favorable pricing variance, driven by higher combustible pricing (primarily in Russia and Ukraine), partly offset by lower IQOS device pricing (mainly in Russia).
Operating income increased by over 100%, excluding currency, primarily reflecting a favorable comparison, shown in "Cost/Other," mainly due to a charge recorded in 2019 of $374 million related to the Russia excise and VAT audit.
Adjusted operating income increased by 28.7%, on an organic basis, reflecting: a favorable pricing variance; favorable volume/mix, driven by the same factors as for net revenues noted above; and lower manufacturing costs; partly offset by higher marketing, administration and research costs (partly related to increased investments behind reduced-risk products, notably in Russia and Ukraine).
Adjusted operating income margin increased by 4.4 points to 32.5%, on an organic basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
Fourth-Quarter
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Quarters Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 908 | $ 982 | | (7.5) | % | 4.5 | % | | (74) | | (118) | | 57 | | (13) | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 261 | $ 263 | | (0.8) | % | 33.8 | % | | (2) | | (91) | | 57 | | (10) | | 42 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (1) | | (8) | — | | — | % | — | % | | (8) | | — | | — | | — | | (8) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 269 | $ 263 | | 2.3 | % | 36.9 | % | | 6 | | (91) | | 57 | | (10) | | 50 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 29.6 | % | 26.8 | % | | 2.8pp | 8.3pp | | | | | | |
(1) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
Net revenues increased by 4.5%, on an organic basis, mainly reflecting: a favorable pricing variance, driven by higher combustible pricing (predominantly in Russia); partly offset by unfavorable volume/mix, mainly due to unfavorable cigarette volume/mix in Russia, largely offset by higher heated tobacco unit volume across the Region (primarily in Russia and Ukraine).
Operating income increased by 33.8%, excluding currency, primarily reflecting a favorable pricing variance; and lower manufacturing costs (mainly in Russia); partly offset by unfavorable volume/mix, reflecting the same factors as for net revenues noted above.
Adjusted operating income increased by 36.9%, on an organic basis. Adjusted operating income margin increased by 8.3 points to 35.1%, on the same basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
Total Market, PMI Shipment & Market Share Commentaries
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PMI Shipment Volume | | Fourth-Quarter | | Full-Year |
| (million units) | | 2020 | 2019 | Change | | 2020 | 2019 | Change |
| Cigarettes | | 22,725 | | 25,865 | | (12.1) | % | | 93,462 | | 100,644 | | (7.1) | % |
| Heated Tobacco Units | | 6,524 | | 5,240 | | 24.5 | % | | 20,898 | | 13,453 | | 55.3 | % |
| Total Eastern Europe | | 29,249 | | 31,105 | | (6.0) | % | | 114,360 | | 114,097 | | 0.2 | % |
Full-Year
The estimated total market in Eastern Europe decreased by 4.6% to 379.4 billion units, notably due to:
•Russia, down by 3.3%, primarily reflecting the impact of price increases, partly offset by a lower estimated prevalence of illicit trade due to pandemic-related border restrictions; and
•Ukraine, down by 10.2%, mainly reflecting the impact of excise tax-driven price increases.
PMI's Regional market share increased by 1.8 points to 30.5%.
PMI's total shipment volume increased by 0.2% to 114.4 billion units, mainly due to:
•Russia, up by 1.8%, or by 3.9% excluding the net unfavorable impact of estimated distributor inventory movements, primarily reflecting a higher market share, driven by heated tobacco units, partly offset by the lower total market;
partly offset by
•Ukraine, down by 4.3%, mainly due to the lower total market, partly offset by a higher market share driven by heated tobacco units.
Fourth-Quarter
The estimated total market in Eastern Europe decreased, mainly due to:
•Russia, down by 4.6%, primarily reflecting the same factors as in the full year; and
•Ukraine, down by 11.9%, mainly reflecting the same factor as in the full year.
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 6.0% to 29.2 billion units, notably due to:
•Russia, down by 8.2%. Excluding the net unfavorable impact of estimated distributor inventory movements of 0.7 billion cigarettes and 0.6 billion heated tobacco units, PMI's in-market sales decreased by 1.4%, mainly reflecting the lower total market, partly offset by a higher market share driven by heated tobacco units.
MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA REGION
Full-Year
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Years Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 3,088 | $ 4,042 | | (23.6) | % | (21.7) | % | | (954) | | (77) | | 186 | | (1,001) | | (62) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 1,026 | $ 1,684 | | (39.1) | % | (35.2) | % | | (658) | | (65) | | 186 | | (784) | | 5 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (1) | | (19) | — | | — | % | — | % | | (19) | | — | | — | | — | | (19) | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 1,045 | $ 1,684 | | (37.9) | % | (34.1) | % | | (639) | | (65) | | 186 | | (784) | | 24 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 33.8 | % | 41.7 | % | | (7.9)pp | (6.6)pp | | | | | | |
(1) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
Net revenues decreased by 21.7%, on an organic basis, reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, mainly due to lower cigarette volume, heated tobacco unit volume and IQOS device volume in PMI Duty Free, as well as lower cigarette volume in South Africa and Turkey; and lower fees for certain distribution rights billed to customers in certain markets, shown in "Cost/Other"; partially offset by a favorable pricing variance, driven by combustible
pricing (mainly in the GCC, particularly Saudi Arabia, as well as North Africa and PMI Duty Free, partly offset by Turkey).
Operating income decreased by 35.2%, excluding currency, mainly reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, predominantly due to lower cigarette and heated tobacco unit volume in PMI Duty Free; and lower fees for certain distribution rights, as noted above for net revenues; partially offset by a favorable pricing variance; and lower marketing, administration and research costs.
Adjusted operating income decreased by 34.1% on an organic basis. Adjusted operating income margin decreased by 6.6 points to 35.1%, on the same basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
Fourth-Quarter
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Quarters Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 740 | $ 984 | | (24.8) | % | (21.6) | % | | (244) | | (31) | | 63 | | (265) | | (11) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 207 | $ 380 | | (45.5) | % | (36.1) | % | | (173) | | (36) | | 63 | | (219) | | 19 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (1) | | (10) | — | | — | % | — | % | | (10) | | — | | — | | — | | (10) | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 217 | $ 380 | | (42.9) | % | (33.4) | % | | (163) | | (36) | | 63 | | (219) | | 29 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 29.3 | % | 38.6 | % | | (9.3)pp | (5.8)pp | | | | | | |
(1) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
|
Net revenues decreased by 21.6%, on an organic basis, primarily reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, mainly due to lower cigarette and heated tobacco unit volume in PMI Duty Free; partly offset by a favorable pricing variance, notably driven by combustible pricing in North Africa.
Operating income decreased by 36.1%, excluding currency, mainly reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, due to the same factors as for net revenues noted above; partly offset by a favorable pricing variance; lower manufacturing costs; and lower marketing, administration and research costs.
Adjusted operating income decreased by 33.4%, on an organic basis. Adjusted operating income margin decreased by 5.8 points to 32.8%, on the same basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
Total Market, PMI Shipment & Market Share Commentaries
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PMI Shipment Volume | | Fourth-Quarter | | Full-Year |
| (million units) | | 2020 | 2019 | Change | | 2020 | 2019 | Change |
| Cigarettes | | 29,912 | | 32,611 | | (8.3) | % | | 117,999 | | 134,568 | | (12.3) | % |
| Heated Tobacco Units | | 188 | | 593 | | (68.3) | % | | 1,022 | | 2,654 | | (61.5) | % |
| Total Middle East & Africa | | 30,100 | | 33,204 | | (9.3) | % | | 119,021 | | 137,222 | | (13.3) | % |
Full-Year
The estimated total market in the Middle East & Africa decreased by 8.0% to 546.4 billion units, mainly due to:
•International Duty Free, down by 62.0%, reflecting the impact of government travel restrictions and reduced passenger traffic due to the pandemic;
•South Africa, down by 35.5%, primarily reflecting the impact of the pandemic-related ban on all tobacco sales from March 27, 2020, through August 17, 2020;
•Turkey, down by 4.2%, mainly reflecting the impact of lockdown measures on adult smoker average daily consumption, as well as a higher prevalence of illicit trade related to cut tobacco, particularly during the first-half of 2020, following significant industry-wide cigarette price increases in 2019; and
•The UAE, down by 38.1%, primarily reflecting the adverse impact on low-price brands from the implementation of a minimum excise tax and digital tax stamps in the second half of 2019.
PMI's Regional market share decreased by 1.4 points to 22.0%.
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 13.3% to 119.0 billion units, notably due to:
•PMI Duty Free, down by 70.8%, or by 58.8% excluding the net unfavorable impact of estimated distributor inventory movements (principally due to cigarettes), mainly reflecting the lower total market; and
•Turkey, down by 8.5%, mainly reflecting the lower total market and a lower market share, notably due to adult smoker down-trading following the 2019 price increases.
Fourth-Quarter
The estimated total market in the Middle East & Africa decreased, mainly due to:
•International Duty Free, down by 66.6%, reflecting the same factors as for the full year;
partly offset by
•Egypt, up by 8.4%, primarily reflecting stock replenishment following pandemic-related supply-chain shortages involving competitors' products; and
•Turkey, up by 7.7%, mainly reflecting a lower prevalence of illicit trade, due mainly to: pandemic-related border restrictions and the impact of a favorable comparison versus a relatively high prevalence of illicit trade related to cut tobacco in the fourth quarter of 2019 (which continued into the first half of 2020, as noted for the full year); partly offset by the impact of lockdown measures on adult smoker average daily consumption.
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 9.3% to 30.1 billion units, notably due to:
•PMI Duty Free, down by 77.1%, or by 62.7% excluding the net unfavorable impact of estimated distributor inventory movements (due to cigarettes), mainly reflecting the lower total market;
partly offset by
•Turkey, up by 7.3%, primarily reflecting the higher total market.
SOUTH & SOUTHEAST ASIA REGION
Full-Year
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Years Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 4,396 | $ 5,094 | | (13.7) | % | (13.3) | % | | (698) | | (19) | | (44) | | (635) | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 1,709 | $ 2,163 | | (21.0) | % | (21.1) | % | | (454) | | 2 | | (44) | | (457) | | 45 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (1) | | (23) | (20) | | (15.0) | % | (15.0) | % | | (3) | | — | | — | | — | | (3) | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 1,732 | $ 2,183 | | (20.7) | % | (20.8) | % | | (451) | | 2 | | (44) | | (457) | | 48 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 39.4 | % | 42.9 | % | | (3.5)pp | (3.7)pp | | | | | | |
(1) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
Net revenues decreased by 13.3%, on an organic basis, reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, primarily due to lower cigarette volume in Indonesia and the Philippines, partly offset by favorable cigarette mix in Indonesia; and an unfavorable pricing variance, due to combustible pricing in Indonesia, partly offset by the Philippines.
Operating income decreased by 21.1%, excluding currency, mainly reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, due to the same factors as for net revenues noted above; and an unfavorable pricing variance; partly offset by lower marketing, administration and research costs (primarily in Indonesia).
Adjusted operating income decreased by 20.8%, on an organic basis. Adjusted operating income margin decreased by 3.7 points to 39.2%, on the same basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
Fourth-Quarter
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Quarters Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 1,185 | $ 1,487 | | (20.3) | % | (20.6) | % | | (302) | | 5 | | (98) | | (209) | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 419 | $ 692 | | (39.5) | % | (39.7) | % | | (273) | | 2 | | (98) | | (161) | | (16) | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (1) | | (12) | — | | — | % | — | % | | (12) | | — | | — | | — | | (12) | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 431 | $ 692 | | (37.7) | % | (38.0) | % | | (261) | | 2 | | (98) | | (161) | | (4) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 36.4 | % | 46.5 | % | | (10.1)pp | (10.1)pp | | | | | | |
(1) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
|
Net revenues decreased by 20.6%, on an organic basis, reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, principally due to lower cigarette volume in Indonesia and the Philippines, partly offset by favorable cigarette mix in Indonesia; and an unfavorable pricing variance, due to Indonesia, partially offset by the Philippines.
Operating income decreased by 39.7%, excluding currency, primarily reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, due to the same factors as for net revenues noted above; and an unfavorable pricing variance.
Adjusted operating income decreased by 38.0%, on an organic basis. Adjusted operating income margin decreased by 10.1 points to 36.4%, on the same basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
Total Market, PMI Shipment & Market Share Commentaries
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PMI Shipment Volume | | Fourth-Quarter | | Full-Year |
| (million units) | | 2020 | 2019 | Change | | 2020 | 2019 | Change |
| Cigarettes | | 36,609 | | 44,704 | | (18.1) | % | | 144,788 | | 174,934 | | (17.2) | % |
| Heated Tobacco Units | | 26 | | — | | — | % | | 36 | | — | | — | % |
| Total South & Southeast Asia | | 36,635 | | 44,704 | | (18.0) | % | | 144,824 | | 174,934 | | (17.2) | % |
Full-Year
The estimated total market in South & Southeast Asia decreased by 8.7% to 672.3 billion units, notably due to:
•India, down by 17.9%, mainly reflecting the impact of lockdown restrictions on the movement of certain products, including tobacco;
•Indonesia, down by 9.6%, mainly reflecting the impact of excise tax-driven price increases and pandemic-related measures on adult smoker average daily consumption;
•Pakistan, down by 10.3%, mainly reflecting the impact of excise tax-driven price increases in June 2019 and price increases on PMI value brands in February 2020; and
•the Philippines, down by 12.0%, mainly reflecting the impact of pandemic-related quarantines, as well as industry-wide price increases in the third quarter of 2019 and the fourth quarter of 2020.
PMI's Regional market share decreased by 2.2 points to 21.5%.
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 17.2% to 144.8 billion units, notably due to:
•Indonesia, down by 19.3%, reflecting the lower total market, as well as a lower market share, mainly due to: adult smoker down-trading to the tax-advantaged 'below tier one' segment, the impact of elevated price gaps in the tier one segment (partly due to the delay in minimum price enforcement), and the disproportionate impact of stricter public mobility restrictions in urban areas, where PMI’s share is higher;
•Pakistan, down by 20.0%, mainly reflecting the lower total market and a lower market share, mainly due to low-price Morven; and
•the Philippines, down by 16.1%, mainly reflecting the lower total market and a lower market share, primarily for mid-price Fortune due to the impact of price increases in the third quarter of 2019 and the fourth quarter of 2020.
Fourth-Quarter
The estimated total market in South & Southeast Asia decreased, notably due to:
•India, down by 10.5%, primarily reflecting the same factor as for the full year;
•Indonesia, down by 10.0%, or by 6.1% excluding the net unfavorable impact of estimated trade inventory movements, mainly reflecting the same factors as for the full year; and
•the Philippines, down by 15.6%, or by 21.8% excluding the net favorable impact of estimated trade inventory movements, primarily reflecting the impact of industry-wide price increases in the quarter.
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 18.0% to 36.6 billion units, notably due to:
•Indonesia, down by 19.7%, reflecting the lower total market, as well as a lower market share, mainly due to the same factors as in the full year; and
•the Philippines, down by 23.4%, mainly reflecting the lower total market and a lower market share for mid-price Fortune due to the impact of price increases in the fourth quarter of 2020.
EAST ASIA & AUSTRALIA REGION
Full-Year
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Years Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 5,429 | $ 5,364 | | 1.2 | % | 0.6 | % | | 65 | | 33 | | 168 | | (136) | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 2,400 | $ 1,932 | | 24.2 | % | 23.1 | % | | 468 | | 21 | | 168 | | (68) | | 347 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (1) | | (26) | — | | — | % | — | % | | (26) | | — | | — | | — | | (26) | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 2,426 | $ 1,932 | | 25.6 | % | 24.5 | % | | 494 | | 21 | | 168 | | (68) | | 373 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 44.7 | % | 36.0 | % | | 8.7pp | 8.6pp | | | | | | |
(1) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
Net revenues increased by 0.6%, on an organic basis, reflecting: a favorable pricing variance, mainly driven by higher heated tobacco and combustible pricing in Japan, partly offset by lower IQOS device pricing in Japan; and unfavorable volume/mix, mainly due to lower cigarette volume (primarily in Japan), unfavorable cigarette mix in Australia, lower device volume/mix in Japan and lower heated tobacco unit mix in Japan, partly offset by higher heated tobacco unit volume in Japan.
Operating income increased by 23.1%, excluding currency, mainly reflecting: lower marketing, administration and research costs (notably in Japan); lower manufacturing costs (mainly related to Japan and Korea); and a favorable pricing variance; partly offset by unfavorable volume/mix, mainly due to lower cigarette volume (primarily in Japan), unfavorable cigarette mix in Australia and lower heated tobacco unit mix in Japan, partly offset by higher heated tobacco unit volume in Japan.
Adjusted operating income increased by 24.5%, on an organic basis. Adjusted operating income margin increased by 8.6 points to 44.6%, on the same basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
Fourth-Quarter
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Quarters Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 1,384 | $ 1,270 | | 9.0 | % | 6.1 | % | | 114 | | 36 | | 33 | | 45 | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 608 | $ 412 | | 47.6 | % | 43.0 | % | | 196 | | 19 | | 33 | | 66 | | 78 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (1) | | (13) | — | | — | % | — | % | | (13) | | — | | — | | — | | (13) | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 621 | $ 412 | | 50.7 | % | 46.1 | % | | 209 | | 19 | | 33 | | 66 | | 91 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 44.9 | % | 32.4 | % | | 12.5pp | 12.3pp | | | | | | |
(1) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
|
Net revenues increased by 6.1%, on an organic basis, reflecting: favorable volume/mix, mainly due to higher heated tobacco unit volume in Japan, partly offset by lower cigarette volume in Japan; and a favorable pricing variance, primarily driven by higher heated tobacco and combustible pricing in Japan, partly offset by lower IQOS device pricing in Japan.
Operating income increased by 43.0%, excluding currency, mainly reflecting: favorable volume/mix, due to the same factors as for net revenues noted above; lower marketing, administration and research costs (related to combustible and reduced-risk products); lower manufacturing costs (primarily related to Japan); and a favorable pricing variance.
Adjusted operating income increased by 46.1%, on an organic basis. Adjusted operating income margin increased by 12.3 points to 44.7%, on the same basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
Total Market, PMI Shipment & Market Share Commentaries
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PMI Shipment Volume | | Fourth-Quarter | | Full-Year |
| (million units) | | 2020 | 2019 | Change | | 2020 | 2019 | Change |
| Cigarettes | | 9,946 | | 11,301 | | (12.0) | % | | 45,100 | | 49,951 | | (9.7) | % |
| Heated Tobacco Units | | 9,063 | | 7,424 | | 22.1 | % | | 33,862 | | 30,677 | | 10.4 | % |
| Total East Asia & Australia | | 19,009 | | 18,725 | | 1.5 | % | | 78,962 | | 80,628 | | (2.1) | % |
Full-Year
The estimated total market in East Asia & Australia, excluding China, decreased by 3.6% to 288.6 billion units, notably due to:
•Australia, down by 8.8%, primarily reflecting the impact of excise tax-driven price increases; and
•Japan, down by 9.4%, mainly reflecting the impact of excise tax-driven price increases, reduced adult smoker consumption occasions due to pandemic-related measures, as well as adult smoker out-switching from cigarettes to the cigarillo category;
partly offset by
•Korea, up by 4.4%, mainly reflecting the shift of adult smokers from duty-free to domestic purchases due to the pandemic-related decline in international travel; and
•Taiwan, up by 5.4%, primarily driven by the same factor as for Korea.
PMI's Regional market share, excluding China, increased by 0.3 points to 27.2%.
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 2.1% to 79.0 billion units, notably in:
•Japan, down by 2.4%, mainly due to the lower total market, partly offset by a higher market share driven by heated tobacco units; and
•Korea, down by 4.3%, primarily due to a lower market share, mainly reflecting the unfavorable impact of the growth of the cigarette new taste dimension segment, in which PMI has a relatively low share, partly offset by the higher total market.
Fourth-Quarter
The estimated total market in East Asia & Australia, excluding China, decreased, primarily due to:
•Japan, down by 16.3%, or by 9.4% excluding the net unfavorable impact of estimated trade inventory movements, primarily due to the impact of excise tax-driven price increases and adult smoker out-switching from cigarettes to the cigarillo category;
partly offset by
•Taiwan, up by 8.2%, mainly reflecting the shift of adult smokers from duty-free to domestic purchases due to the pandemic-related decline in international travel.
PMI's total shipment volume increased by 1.5% to 19.0 billion units, notably in:
•Japan, up by 3.4%. Excluding the net favorable impact of estimated distributor inventory movements of 1.2 billion heated tobacco units and 0.3 billion cigarettes, PMI's in-market sales decreased by 8.4%, mainly due to the lower total market, partly offset by a higher market share driven by heated tobacco units.
LATIN AMERICA & CANADA REGION
Full-Year
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Years Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other(1) |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 1,701 | $ 2,206 | | (22.9) | % | (15.5) | % | | (505) | | (164) | | 135 | | (285) | | (191) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 564 | $ 235 | | +100% | +100% | | 329 | | (110) | | 135 | | (219) | | 523 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (2) | | (9) | (60) | | 85.0 | % | 85.0 | % | | 51 | | — | | — | | — | | 51 | |
| Canadian Tobacco Litigation-Related Expense (2) | | — | (194) | | +100% | +100% | | 194 | | — | | — | | — | | 194 | |
| Loss on Deconsolidation of RBH (2) | | — | (239) | | +100% | +100% | | 239 | | — | | — | | — | | 239 | |
| Brazil Indirect Tax Credit (2) | | 119 | — | | | — | % | — | % | | 119 | | — | | — | | — | | 119 | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 454 | $ 728 | | (37.6) | % | (22.5) | % | | (274) | | (110) | | 135 | | (219) | | (80) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 26.7 | % | 33.0 | % | | (6.3)pp | (2.8)pp | | | | | | |
(1) Cost/Other variance includes the impact of the RBH deconsolidation. |
(2) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
| Note: Net Revenues include revenues from shipments of Platform 1 devices, heated tobacco units and accessories to Altria Group, Inc., commencing in the third quarter of 2019, for sale under license in the United States. |
Net revenues decreased by 15.5%, excluding currency, reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, due to lower cigarette volume, mainly in Argentina and Mexico, partly offset by Brazil; and the unfavorable impact of the deconsolidation of RBH shown in "Cost/Other"; partially offset by a favorable pricing variance, driven by higher combustible pricing across the Region (notably in Brazil and Mexico). On an organic basis, net revenues decreased by 7.9%, as detailed in Schedule 10.
Operating income increased by over 100%, excluding currency, notably reflecting a favorable comparison, shown in "Cost/Other," of net favorable items recorded in 2020 of $110 million related to the Brazil indirect tax credit and asset impairment and exit costs (associated with organizational design optimization), and charges recorded in 2019 of $493 million related to: asset impairment and exit costs associated with plant closures in Argentina and Colombia, the loss on the deconsolidation of RBH, and the Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense.
Adjusted operating income decreased by 22.5%, excluding currency, mainly reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, due to the same factors as for net revenues noted above; and the unfavorable impact of the deconsolidation of RBH, included in "Cost/Other"; partly offset by a favorable pricing variance; and lower marketing, administration and research costs (notably in Argentina). On an organic basis, adjusted operating income decreased by 6.8%, as detailed in Schedule 10.
Adjusted operating income margin decreased by 2.8 points to 30.2%, excluding currency, as detailed in Schedule 8, or increased by 0.4 points to 30.1%, on an organic basis, as detailed in Schedule 10.
Fourth-Quarter
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Summary - Quarters Ended December 31, | | | | | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | Variance Fav./(Unfav.) |
| 2020 | 2019 | | Total | Excl. Curr. | | Total | Cur- rency | Price | Vol/ Mix | Cost/ Other |
| (in millions) | | | |
| Net Revenues | | $ 485 | $ 554 | | (12.5) | % | (4.7) | % | | (69) | | (43) | | 28 | | (53) | | (1) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | | $ 236 | $ 135 | | 74.8 | % | 93.3 | % | | 101 | | (25) | | 28 | | (44) | | 142 | |
| Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (1) | | (5) | (15) | | 66.7 | % | 66.7 | % | | 10 | | — | | — | | — | | 10 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Brazil Indirect Tax Credit (1) | | 119 | — | | | — | % | — | % | | 119 | | — | | — | | — | | 119 | |
| Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 122 | $ 150 | | (18.7) | % | (2.0) | % | | (28) | | (25) | | 28 | | (44) | | 13 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | 25.2 | % | 27.1 | % | | (1.9)pp | 0.7pp | | | | | | |
|
(1) Included in marketing, administration and research costs at the consolidated operating income level. |
| Note: Net Revenues include revenues from shipments of Platform 1 devices, heated tobacco units and accessories to Altria Group, Inc., commencing in the third quarter of 2019, for sale under license in the United States. |
Net revenues decreased by 4.7%, on an organic basis, mainly reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix, notably due to lower cigarette volume in Mexico, partly offset by Brazil; partially offset by a favorable pricing variance, driven by higher combustible pricing in most markets across the Region.
Operating income increased by 93.3%, excluding currency, primarily reflecting a favorable comparison, shown in "Cost/Other," due mainly to the Brazil indirect tax credit recorded in the fourth quarter of 2020.
Adjusted operating income decreased by 2.0%, on an organic basis, primarily reflecting: unfavorable volume/mix (due to the same factors as for net revenues noted above); partly offset by a favorable pricing variance.
Adjusted operating income margin increased by 0.7 points to 27.8%, on an organic basis, as detailed in Schedule 8.
Total Market, PMI Shipment & Market Share Commentaries
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PMI Shipment Volume | | Fourth-Quarter | | Full-Year |
| (million units) | | 2020 | 2019 | Change | | 2020 | 2019 | Change |
| Cigarettes | | 18,207 | | 19,387 | | (6.1) | % | | 63,749 | | 72,293 | | (11.8) | % |
| Heated Tobacco Units | | 135 | | 97 | | 39.2 | % | | 451 | | 299 | | 50.8 | % |
| Total Latin America & Canada | | 18,342 | | 19,484 | | (5.9) | % | | 64,200 | | 72,592 | | (11.6) | % |
Full-Year
The estimated total market in Latin America & Canada decreased by 2.8% to 189.0 billion units, notably due to:
•Colombia, down by 14.2%, primarily reflecting reduced product availability (mainly in the second quarter of 2020) and lower adult smoker average daily consumption due to the impact of pandemic-related mobility restrictions; and
•Mexico, down by 13.6%, mainly due to the impact of excise tax-driven price increases in January 2020 and pandemic-related measures on adult smoker average daily consumption;
partly offset by
•Brazil, up by 13.4%, mainly reflecting a lower estimated prevalence of illicit trade due to: reduced price gaps with legal products and the impact of border restrictions imposed as a result of the pandemic.
PMI's Regional market share decreased by 3.0 points to 33.9%.
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 11.6% to 64.2 billion units (or by 10.3% on a like-for-like basis), notably due to:
•Argentina, down by 12.2%, primarily reflecting a lower market share, mainly due to adult smoker down-trading to ultra-low-price brands produced by local manufacturers, as well as the impact of retail out-of-stock of PMI brands during the second quarter;
•Canada, down by 18.6%, due to the unfavorable impact of the deconsolidation of RBH;
•Colombia, down by 14.2%, primarily reflecting the lower total market; and
•Mexico, down by 18.0%, mainly due to the lower total market and a lower market share, primarily reflecting: adult smoker down-trading following the January 2020 price increases and the impact of the pandemic on adult smoker consumption patterns;
partly offset by
•Brazil, up by 13.2%, mainly reflecting the higher total market.
Fourth-Quarter
The estimated total market in Latin America & Canada decreased, notably due to:
•Mexico, down by 15.9%, primarily reflecting the same factors as for the full year;
partly offset by
•Brazil, up by 16.6%, primarily reflecting the same factor as for the full year.
PMI's total shipment volume decreased by 5.9% to 18.3 billion units, mainly due to:
•Mexico, down by 18.3%, mainly reflecting the lower total market and a lower market share for cigarettes, due to the same factors as for the full year;
partly offset by
•Brazil, up by 21.6%, mainly reflecting the higher total market.
Philip Morris International: Delivering a Smoke-Free Future
Philip Morris International (PMI) is leading a transformation in the tobacco industry to create a smoke-free future and ultimately replace cigarettes with smoke-free products to the benefit of adults who would otherwise continue to smoke, society, the company and its shareholders. PMI is a leading international tobacco company engaged in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes, as well as smoke-free products, associated electronic devices and accessories, and other nicotine-containing products in markets outside the U.S. In addition, PMI ships versions of its IQOS Platform 1 device and consumables to Altria Group, Inc. for sale under license in the U.S., where these products have received marketing authorizations from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) under the premarket tobacco product application (PMTA) pathway; the FDA has also authorized the marketing of a version of IQOS and its consumables as a Modified Risk Tobacco Product (MRTP), finding that an exposure modification order for these products is appropriate to promote the public health. PMI is building a future on a new category of smoke-free products that, while not risk-free, are a much better choice than continuing to smoke. Through multidisciplinary capabilities in product development, state-of-the-art facilities and scientific substantiation, PMI aims to ensure that its smoke-free products meet adult consumer preferences and rigorous regulatory requirements. PMI's smoke-free product portfolio includes heat-not-burn and nicotine-containing vapor products. As of December 31, 2020, IQOS is available for sale in 64 markets in key cities or nationwide, and PMI estimates that approximately 12.7 million adults around the world have already switched to IQOS and stopped smoking. For more information, please visit www.pmi.com and www.pmiscience.com.
Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements
This press release contains projections of future results and other forward-looking statements. Achievement of future results is subject to risks, uncertainties and inaccurate assumptions. In the event that risks or uncertainties materialize, or underlying assumptions prove inaccurate, actual results could vary materially from those contained in such forward-looking statements. Pursuant to the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, PMI is identifying important factors that, individually or in the aggregate, could cause actual results and outcomes to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements made by PMI.
PMI's business risks include: excise tax increases and discriminatory tax structures; increasing marketing and regulatory restrictions that could reduce our competitiveness, eliminate our ability to communicate with adult consumers, or ban certain of our products; health concerns relating to the use of tobacco and other nicotine-containing products and exposure to environmental tobacco smoke; litigation related to tobacco use and intellectual property; intense competition; the effects of global and individual country economic, regulatory and political developments, natural disasters and conflicts; changes in adult smoker behavior; lost revenues as a result of counterfeiting, contraband and cross-border purchases; governmental investigations; unfavorable currency exchange rates and currency devaluations, and limitations on the ability to repatriate funds; adverse changes in applicable corporate tax laws; adverse changes in the cost and quality of tobacco and other agricultural products and raw materials; and the integrity of its information systems and effectiveness of its data privacy policies. PMI's future profitability may also be adversely affected should it be unsuccessful in its attempts to produce and commercialize reduced-risk products or if regulation or taxation do not differentiate between such products and cigarettes; if it is unable to successfully introduce new products, promote brand equity, enter new markets or improve its margins through increased prices and productivity gains; if it is unable to expand its brand portfolio internally or through acquisitions and the development of strategic business relationships; or if it is
unable to attract and retain the best global talent. Future results are also subject to the lower predictability of our reduced-risk product category's performance.
The COVID-19 pandemic has created significant societal and economic disruption, and resulted in closures of stores, factories and offices, and restrictions on manufacturing, distribution and travel, all of which will adversely impact our business, results of operations, cash flows and financial position during the continuation of the pandemic. Our business continuity plans and other safeguards in place may not be effective to mitigate the impact of the pandemic. Currently, significant risks include our diminished ability to convert adult smokers to our RRPs, significant volume declines in our duty-free business and certain other key markets, disruptions or delays in our manufacturing and supply chain, increased currency volatility, and delays in certain cost saving, transformation and restructuring initiatives. Our business could also be adversely impacted if key personnel or a significant number of employees or business partners become unavailable due to the COVID-19 outbreak. The significant adverse impact of COVID-19 on the economic or political conditions in markets in which we operate could result in changes to the preferences of our adult consumers and lower demand for our products, particularly for our mid-price or premium-price brands. Continuation of the pandemic could disrupt our access to the credit markets or increase our borrowing costs. Governments may temporarily be unable to focus on the development of science-based regulatory frameworks for the development and commercialization of RRPs or on the enforcement or implementation of regulations that are significant to our business. In addition, messaging about the potential negative impacts of the use of our products on COVID-19 risks may lead to increasingly restrictive regulatory measures on the sale and use of our products, negatively impact demand for our products, the willingness of adult consumers to switch to our RRPs and our efforts to advocate for the development of science-based regulatory frameworks for the development and commercialization of RRPs.
The impact of these risks also depends on factors beyond our knowledge or control, including the duration and severity of the outbreak, its recurrence in our key markets, actions taken to contain its spread and to mitigate its public health effects, and the ultimate economic consequences thereof.
PMI is further subject to other risks detailed from time to time in its publicly filed documents, including the Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2020. PMI cautions that the foregoing list of important factors is not a complete discussion of all potential risks and uncertainties. PMI does not undertake to update any forward-looking statement that it may make from time to time, except in the normal course of its public disclosure obligations.
Key Terms, Definitions and Explanatory Notes
General
•"PMI" refers to Philip Morris International Inc. and its subsidiaries. Trademarks and service marks that are the registered property of, or licensed by, the subsidiaries of PMI, are italicized.
•Comparisons are made to the same prior-year period unless otherwise stated.
•Unless otherwise stated, references to total industry, total market, PMI shipment volume and PMI market share performance reflect cigarettes and heated tobacco units.
•References to total international market, defined as worldwide cigarette and heated tobacco unit volume excluding the U.S., total industry, total market and market shares are PMI estimates for tax-paid products based on the latest available data from a number of internal and external sources and may, in defined instances, exclude the People's Republic of China and/or PMI's duty free business. In addition, to reflect the deconsolidation of PMI's Canadian subsidiary, Rothmans, Benson & Hedges, Inc. (RBH), effective March 22, 2019, PMI's total market share has been restated for previous periods.
•2020 estimates for total industry volume and market share in certain geographies reflect limitations on the availability and accuracy of industry data during pandemic-related restrictions.
•"OTP" is defined as "other tobacco products," primarily roll-your-own and make-your-own cigarettes, pipe tobacco, cigars and cigarillos, and does not include reduced-risk products.
•"Combustible products" is the term PMI uses to refer to cigarettes and OTP, combined.
•In-market sales, or "IMS," is defined as sales to the retail channel, depending on the market and distribution model.
•"Total shipment volume" is defined as the combined total of cigarette shipment volume and heated tobacco unit shipment volume.
•"North Africa" is defined as Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco and Tunisia.
•"The GCC" (Gulf Cooperation Council) is defined as Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).
•Following the deconsolidation of PMI's Canadian subsidiary, Rothmans, Benson & Hedges, Inc. (RBH), PMI will continue to report the volume of brands sold by RBH for which other PMI subsidiaries are the trademark owner. These include HEETS, Next, Philip Morris and Rooftop.
•From time to time, PMI’s shipment volumes are subject to the impact of distributor inventory movements, and estimated total industry/market volumes are subject to the impact of inventory movements in various trade channels that include estimated trade inventory movements of PMI’s competitors arising from market-specific factors that significantly distort reported volume disclosures. Such factors may include changes to the manufacturing supply chain, shipment methods, consumer demand, timing of excise tax increases or other influences that may affect the timing of sales to customers. In such instances, in addition to reviewing PMI shipment volumes and certain estimated total industry/market volumes on a reported basis, management reviews these measures on an adjusted basis that excludes the impact of distributor and/or estimated trade inventory movements. Management also believes that disclosing PMI shipment volumes and estimated total industry/market volumes in such circumstances on a basis that excludes the impact of distributor and/or estimated trade inventory movements, such as on an IMS basis, improves the comparability of performance and trends for these measures over different reporting periods.
Financial
•Net revenues related to combustible products refer to the operating revenues generated from the sale of these products, including shipping and handling charges billed to customers, net of sales and promotion incentives, and excise taxes. PMI recognizes revenue when control is transferred to the customer, typically either upon shipment or delivery of goods.
•Net revenues related to RRPs represent the sale of heated tobacco units, heat-not-burn devices and related accessories, and other nicotine-containing products, primarily e-vapor products, including shipping and handling charges billed to customers, net of sales and promotion incentives, and excise taxes. PMI recognizes revenue when control is transferred to the customer, typically either upon shipment or delivery of goods.
•"Cost of sales" consists principally of: tobacco leaf, non-tobacco raw materials, labor and manufacturing costs; shipping and handling costs; and the cost of devices produced by third-party electronics
manufacturing service providers. Estimated costs associated with device warranty programs are generally provided for in cost of sales in the period the related revenues are recognized.
•"Marketing, administration and research costs" include the costs of marketing and selling our products, other costs generally not related to the manufacture of our products (including general corporate expenses), and costs incurred to develop new products. The most significant components of our marketing, administration and research costs are marketing and sales expenses and general and administrative expenses.
•"Cost/Other" in the Consolidated Financial Summary table of total PMI and the six operating segments of this release reflects the currency-neutral variances of: cost of sales (excluding the volume/mix cost component); marketing, administration and research costs (including asset impairment and exit costs, the Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense and the charge related to the deconsolidation of RBH in Canada); and amortization of intangibles. “Cost/Other” also includes the currency-neutral net revenue variance, unrelated to volume/mix and price components, attributable to fees for certain distribution rights billed to customers in certain markets in the ME&A Region, as well as the impact of the deconsolidation in RBH.
•"Adjusted Operating Income Margin" is calculated as adjusted operating income, divided by net revenues.
•"Adjusted EBITDA" is defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization and equity (income)/loss in unconsolidated subsidiaries, excluding asset impairment and exit costs, and unusual items.
•"Net debt" is defined as total debt, less cash and cash equivalents.
•Growth rates presented on an organic basis for consolidated financial results reflect currency-neutral underlying results and "like-for-like" comparisons, where applicable.
•Management reviews net revenues, operating income, operating income margin, operating cash flow and earnings per share, or "EPS," on an adjusted basis, which may exclude the impact of currency and other items such as acquisitions, asset impairment and exit costs, tax items and other special items. Organic growth rates reflect the way management views underlying performance for these measures. PMI believes that such measures, including pro forma measures, will provide useful insight into underlying business trends and results, and will provide a more meaningful performance comparison for the period during which RBH remains under CCAA protection. For PMI's 2018 pro forma adjusted diluted EPS by quarter and year-to-date, see Schedule 3 in PMI's fourth-quarter 2019 earnings release.
•Management reviews these measures because they exclude changes in currency exchange rates and other factors that may distort underlying business trends, thereby improving the comparability of PMI’s business performance between reporting periods. Furthermore, PMI uses several of these measures in its management compensation program to promote internal fairness and a disciplined assessment of performance against company targets. PMI discloses these measures to enable investors to view the business through the eyes of management.
•Non-GAAP measures used in this release should neither be considered in isolation nor as a substitute for the financial measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. For a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures, see the relevant schedules provided with this press release.
•U.S. GAAP Treatment of Argentina as a Highly Inflationary Economy. Following the categorization of Argentina by the International Practices Task Force of the Center for Audit Quality as a country with a three-year cumulative inflation rate greater than 100%, the country is considered highly inflationary in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Consequently, PMI began to account for the operations of its Argentinian affiliates as highly inflationary, and to treat the U.S. dollar as the functional currency of the affiliates, effective July 1, 2018.
•"Fair value adjustment for equity security investments" reflects the adjustment resulting from share price movements in passive investments for publicly traded entities that are not controlled or influenced by PMI. Under U.S. GAAP, such adjustments are required, since January 1, 2018, to be reflected directly in the income statement.
Reduced-Risk Products
•Reduced Risk Products (“RRPs”) is the term PMI uses to refer to products that present, are likely to present, or have the potential to present less risk of harm to smokers who switch to these products versus continuing smoking. PMI has a range of RRPs in various stages of development, scientific assessment and commercialization. PMI's RRPs are smoke-free products that produce an aerosol that contains far lower quantities of harmful and potentially harmful constituents than found in cigarette smoke.
•"Heated tobacco units," or "HTUs," is the term PMI uses to refer to heated tobacco consumables, which include the company's HEETS, HEETS Creations, HEETS Dimensions, HEETS Marlboro and HEETS FROM MARLBORO (defined collectively as HEETS), Marlboro Dimensions, Marlboro HeatSticks and Parliament HeatSticks, as well as the KT&G-licensed brands, Fiit and Miix (outside of Korea).
•Market share for HTUs is defined as the total sales volume for HTUs as a percentage of the total estimated sales volume for cigarettes and HTUs.
•Unless otherwise stated, all references to IQOS are to PMI's Platform 1 IQOS devices and heated tobacco consumables.
•The IQOS heat-not-burn device is a precisely controlled heating device into which a specially designed and proprietary tobacco unit is inserted and heated to generate an aerosol.
•"PMI heat-not-burn products" include licensed KT&G heat-not-burn products.
•"PMI HTUs" include licensed KT&G HTUs.
•“Total IQOS users” is defined as the estimated number of Legal Age (minimum 18 years) users of PMI heat-not-burn products for which PMI HTUs represented at least 5% of their daily tobacco consumption over the past seven days. Note: as of December 2020, PMI heat-not-burn products and HTUs include licensed KT&G heat-not-burn products and HTUs, respectively.
•The estimated number of adults who have "switched to IQOS and stopped smoking" reflects:
◦for markets where there are no heat-not-burn products other than PMI heat-not-burn products: daily individual consumption of PMI HTUs represents the totality of their daily tobacco consumption in the past seven days;
◦for markets where PMI heat-not-burn products are among other heat-not-burn products: daily individual consumption of HTUs represents the totality of their daily tobacco consumption in the past seven days, of which at least 70% is PMI HTUs.
Note: as of December 2020, PMI heat-not-burn products and HTUs include licensed KT&G heat-not-burn products and HTUs, respectively.
IQOS in the United States
•On April 30, 2019, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announced that the marketing of a version of PMI's Platform 1 product, namely, IQOS 2.4, together with its heated tobacco units (the term PMI uses to refer to heated tobacco consumables), is appropriate for the protection of public health and authorized it for sale in the U.S. The FDA’s decision followed its comprehensive assessment of PMI’s premarket tobacco product applications (PMTAs) submitted to the Agency in 2017.
•In the third quarter of 2019, PMI brought IQOS 2.4 and three variants of its heated tobacco units to the U.S. through its license with Altria Group, Inc., whose subsidiary, Philip Morris USA Inc., is responsible for marketing the product and complying with the provisions set forth in the FDA's marketing orders.
•On July 7, 2020, the FDA authorized the marketing of a version of PMI's Platform 1 product, namely, IQOS 2.4, together with its heated tobacco units, as a Modified Risk Tobacco Product (MRTP). In doing so, the agency found that an IQOS exposure modification order is appropriate to promote the public health. The decision followed a review of the extensive scientific evidence package PMI submitted to the FDA in December 2016 to support its MRTP applications.
•On December 7, 2020, the FDA confirmed that the marketing of a version of PMI's Platform 1 product, namely, IQOS 3, is appropriate for the protection of public health and authorized it for sale in the U.S. The FDA’s decision followed an assessment of a PMI's PMTA filed with the agency in March 2020.
•Shipment volume of heated tobacco units to the U.S. is included in the heated tobacco unit shipment volume of the Latin America & Canada segment. Revenues from shipments of Platform 1 devices, heated tobacco units and accessories to Altria Group, Inc. for sale under license in the U.S. are included in Net Revenues of the Latin America & Canada segment.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Appendix 1 |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Key Market Data |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Quarters Ended December 31, |
| Market | | Total Market, bio units | | PMI Shipments, bio units | | PMI Market Share, % (1) |
| | Total | | Cigarette | | HTU | | Total | | HTU |
| 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | 2020 | 2019 | pp Change | | 2020 | 2019 | pp Change |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total | | 651.1 | | 686.4 | | (5.1) | | | 176.4 | | 192.2 | | (8.2) | | | 154.7 | | 175.1 | | (11.7) | | | 21.7 | | 17.1 | | 26.9 | | | 27.4 | | 28.3 | | (0.9) | | | 3.1 | | 2.4 | | 0.7 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| European Union | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| France | | 8.6 | | 8.8 | | (2.9) | | | 3.6 | | 3.9 | | (7.0) | | | 3.6 | | 3.8 | | (7.7) | | | 0.1 | | — | | — | | | 44.9 | | 45.1 | | (0.2) | | | 0.6 | | 0.3 | | 0.3 | |
| Germany | | 18.2 | | 18.2 | | 0.4 | | | 7.1 | | 7.1 | | 0.4 | | | 6.6 | | 6.8 | | (2.3) | | | 0.5 | | 0.3 | | 62.8 | | | 39.0 | | 39.0 | | — | | | 2.6 | | 1.6 | | 1.0 | |
| Italy | | 16.6 | | 16.8 | | (1.3) | | | 7.9 | | 8.3 | | (5.5) | | | 6.3 | | 7.2 | | (13.3) | | | 1.6 | | 1.1 | | 47.7 | | | 52.6 | | 52.3 | | 0.3 | | | 9.6 | | 6.1 | | 3.5 | |
| Poland | | 10.6 | | 10.8 | | (1.8) | | | 4.1 | | 4.5 | | (7.7) | | | 3.4 | | 4.1 | | (17.8) | | | 0.8 | | 0.4 | | 94.2 | | | 39.0 | | 41.5 | | (2.5) | | | 7.4 | | 3.8 | | 3.6 | |
| Spain | | 10.1 | | 10.9 | | (7.7) | | | 3.1 | | 3.1 | | (1.4) | | | 3.0 | | 3.0 | | (1.5) | | | 0.1 | | 0.1 | | 1.2 | | | 31.2 | | 30.7 | | 0.5 | | | 1.1 | | 0.8 | | 0.3 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Eastern Europe | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Russia | | 55.7 | | 58.4 | | (4.6) | | | 17.6 | | 19.2 | | (8.2) | | | 13.3 | | 15.4 | | (13.2) | | | 4.3 | | 3.8 | | 12.0 | | | 32.3 | | 31.2 | | 1.1 | | | 7.2 | | 5.0 | | 2.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Middle East & Africa | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Saudi Arabia | | 5.8 | | 4.6 | | 26.0 | | | 2.9 | | 2.6 | | 14.0 | | | 2.8 | | 2.6 | | 11.6 | | | 0.1 | | — | | — | | | 40.4 | | 51.6 | | (11.2) | | | 0.5 | | — | | 0.5 | |
| Turkey | | | 28.4 | | 26.4 | | 7.7 | | | 12.2 | | 11.4 | | 7.3 | | | 12.2 | | 11.4 | | 7.3 | | | — | | — | | — | | | 43.0 | | 43.4 | | (0.4) | | | — | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| South & Southeast Asia | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Indonesia | | 74.8 | | 83.0 | | (10.0) | | | 21.2 | | 26.4 | | (19.7) | | | 21.2 | | 26.4 | | (19.7) | | | — | | — | | — | | | 28.3 | | 31.7 | | (3.4) | | | — | | — | | — | |
| Philippines | | 15.0 | | 17.8 | | (15.6) | | | 9.5 | | 12.5 | | (23.4) | | | 9.5 | | 12.5 | | (23.6) | | | — | | — | | — | | | 63.5 | | 69.9 | | (6.4) | | | 0.2 | | — | | 0.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| East Asia & Australia | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Australia | | 2.6 | | 2.8 | | (5.1) | | | 0.8 | | 0.8 | | 8.6 | | | 0.8 | | 0.8 | | 8.6 | | | — | | — | | — | | | 31.1 | | 27.2 | | 3.9 | | | — | | — | | — | |
| Japan | | 31.5 | | 37.6 | | (16.3) | | | 12.4 | | 11.9 | | 3.4 | | | 4.5 | | 5.7 | | (20.2) | | | 7.8 | | 6.3 | | 24.6 | | | 38.4 | | 35.1 | | 3.3 | | | 22.1 | | 17.7 | | 4.4 | |
| Korea | | 16.8 | | 16.9 | | (0.5) | | | 3.5 | | 3.7 | | (4.7) | | | 2.4 | | 2.6 | | (9.0) | | | 1.1 | | 1.1 | | 5.9 | | | 20.8 | | 21.7 | | (0.9) | | | 6.7 | | 6.3 | | 0.4 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Latin America & Canada | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Argentina | | 9.3 | | 8.7 | | 7.1 | | | 5.6 | | 5.8 | | (3.5) | | | 5.6 | | 5.8 | | (3.5) | | | — | | — | | — | | | 59.8 | | 66.4 | | (6.6) | | | — | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Mexico | | 8.7 | | 10.4 | | (15.9) | | | 5.9 | | 7.3 | | (18.3) | | | 5.9 | | 7.3 | | (18.5) | | | — | | — | | — | | | 67.9 | | 70.0 | | (2.1) | | | 0.2 | | 0.1 | | 0.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| (1) Market share estimates are calculated using IMS data |
| Note: % change for Total Market and PMI shipments is computed based on millions of units; PMI Market Share estimates for previous periods are restated to reflect RBH deconsolidation and exclude RBH-owned brands. |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Appendix 2 |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Key Market Data |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Years Ended December 31, |
| Market | | Total Market, bio units | | PMI Shipments, bio units | | PMI Market Share, % (1) |
| | Total | | Cigarette | | HTU | | Total | | HTU |
| 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | 2020 | 2019 | pp Change | | 2020 | 2019 | pp Change |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total | | 2,548.4 | | 2,705.0 | | (5.8) | | | 704.6 | | 766.4 | | (8.1) | | | 628.5 | | 706.7 | | (11.1) | | | 76.1 | | 59.7 | | 27.6 | | | 27.7 | | 28.4 | | (0.7) | | | 3.0 | | 2.2 | | 0.8 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| European Union | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| France | | 36.6 | | 37.9 | | (3.6) | | | 16.3 | | 17.0 | | (4.3) | | | 16.1 | | 16.9 | | (4.9) | | | 0.2 | | 0.1 | | +100 | | 44.9 | | 45.0 | | (0.1) | | | 0.5 | | 0.2 | | 0.3 | |
| Germany | | 74.6 | | 73.3 | | 1.9 | | | 29.1 | | 27.9 | | 4.4 | | | 27.4 | | 27.0 | | 1.7 | | | 1.6 | | 0.9 | | 82.7 | | | 39.0 | | 38.0 | | 1.0 | | | 2.2 | | 1.2 | | 1.0 | |
| Italy | | 67.4 | | 67.9 | | (0.8) | | | 34.6 | | 34.9 | | (0.8) | | | 29.0 | | 31.4 | | (7.4) | | | 5.6 | | 3.5 | | 57.9 | | | 52.2 | | 51.8 | | 0.4 | | | 8.1 | | 4.8 | | 3.3 | |
| Poland | | 45.6 | | 46.2 | | (1.3) | | | 17.8 | | 19.0 | | (6.7) | | | 15.4 | | 17.9 | | (13.8) | | | 2.4 | | 1.1 | | +100 | | 39.0 | | 41.2 | | (2.2) | | | 5.2 | | 2.5 | | 2.7 | |
| Spain | | 41.8 | | 45.4 | | (7.8) | | | 13.2 | | 14.5 | | (8.8) | | | 12.8 | | 14.1 | | (9.5) | | | 0.4 | | 0.3 | | 19.6 | | | 31.4 | | 31.3 | | 0.1 | | | 1.0 | | 0.7 | | 0.3 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Eastern Europe | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Russia | | | 219.1 | | 226.5 | | (3.3) | | | 69.2 | | 68.0 | | 1.8 | | | 55.6 | | 58.8 | | (5.4) | | | 13.6 | | 9.2 | | 48.4 | | | 32.3 | | 30.1 | | 2.2 | | | 6.3 | | 3.8 | | 2.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Middle East & Africa | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Saudi Arabia | | 21.7 | | 20.8 | | 4.4 | | | 9.1 | | 9.2 | | (0.7) | | | 9.0 | | 9.2 | | (2.0) | | | 0.1 | | — | | — | | | 39.0 | | 43.0 | | (4.0) | | | 0.3 | | — | | 0.3 | |
| Turkey | | | 114.8 | | 119.7 | | (4.2) | | | 47.5 | | 51.9 | | (8.5) | | | 47.5 | | 51.9 | | (8.5) | | | — | | — | | — | | | 41.3 | | 43.4 | | (2.1) | | | — | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| South & Southeast Asia | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Indonesia | | 276.3 | | 305.7 | | (9.6) | | | 79.5 | | 98.5 | | (19.3) | | | 79.5 | | 98.5 | | (19.3) | | | — | | — | | — | | | 28.8 | | 32.2 | | (3.4) | | | — | | — | | — | |
| Philippines | | 62.1 | | 70.5 | | (12.0) | | | 41.7 | | 49.7 | | (16.1) | | | 41.7 | | 49.7 | | (16.2) | | | — | | — | | — | | | 67.2 | | 70.5 | | (3.3) | | | 0.1 | | — | | 0.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| East Asia & Australia | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Australia | | 11.0 | | 12.0 | | (8.8) | | | 3.3 | | 3.3 | | (0.8) | | | 3.3 | | 3.3 | | (0.8) | | | — | | — | | — | | | 29.9 | | 27.5 | | 2.4 | | | — | | — | | — | |
| Japan | | 142.9 | | 157.8 | | (9.4) | | | 51.1 | | 52.4 | | (2.4) | | | 22.2 | | 26.6 | | (16.4) | | | 28.9 | | 25.8 | | 11.9 | | | 37.1 | | 34.5 | | 2.6 | | | 20.4 | | 17.1 | | 3.3 | |
| Korea | | 71.6 | | 68.6 | | 4.4 | | | 14.8 | | 15.5 | | (4.3) | | | 10.2 | | 10.8 | | (6.0) | | | 4.6 | | 4.6 | | (0.3) | | | 20.7 | | 22.6 | | (1.9) | | | 6.5 | | 6.8 | | (0.3) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Latin America & Canada | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Argentina | | 33.6 | | 33.4 | | 0.7 | | | 20.5 | | 23.3 | | (12.2) | | | 20.5 | | 23.3 | | (12.2) | | | — | | — | | — | | | 61.0 | | 70.0 | | (9.0) | | | — | | — | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Mexico | | 30.7 | | 35.5 | | (13.6) | | | 19.5 | | 23.8 | | (18.0) | | | 19.5 | | 23.8 | | (18.3) | | | 0.1 | | — | | — | | | 63.7 | | 67.1 | | (3.4) | | | 0.2 | | — | | 0.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| (1) Market share estimates are calculated using IMS data |
| Note: % change for Total Market and PMI shipments is computed based on millions of units; PMI Market Share estimates for previous periods are restated to reflect RBH deconsolidation and exclude RBH-owned brands. |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | Appendix 3 | |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures |
| Shipment Volume Adjusted for the Impact of RBH Deconsolidation |
| (in million units) / (Unaudited) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total PMI | | Quarters Ended December 31, | | Years Ended December 31, | |
| | | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | |
| | Total Shipment Volume | | 176,386 | | 192,207 | | (8.2) | % | | 704,629 | | 766,361 | | (8.1) | % | |
| | Shipment Volume for RBH-owned brands (1) | | | | — | | | | | | | (1,008) | | (2) | | |
| | Total Shipment Volume | | 176,386 | | 192,207 | | (8.2) | % | | 704,629 | | 765,353 | (3) | (7.9) | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total Cigarette Shipment Volume | | 154,677 | | 175,094 | | (11.7) | % | | 628,518 | | 706,709 | | (11.1) | % | |
| | Shipment Volume for RBH-owned brands (1) | | | | — | | | | | | | (1,008) | | (2) | | |
| | Total Cigarette Shipment Volume | | 154,677 | | 175,094 | | (11.7) | % | | 628,518 | | 705,701 | (3) | (10.9) | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total HTU Shipment Volume | | 21,709 | | 17,113 | | 26.9 | % | | 76,111 | | 59,652 | | 27.6 | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Latin America & Canada | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Total Shipment Volume | | 18,342 | | 19,484 | | (5.9) | % | | 64,200 | | 72,592 | | (11.6) | % | |
| | Shipment Volume for RBH-owned brands | | | | — | | | | | | | (995) | | (2) | | |
| | Total Shipment Volume | | 18,342 | | 19,484 | | (5.9) | % | | 64,200 | | 71,597 | (3) | (10.3) | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | (1) Includes Duty Free sales in Canada | |
| | (2) Represents volume for RBH-owned brands from January 1, 2019 through March 21, 2019 | |
| | (3) Pro forma | |
| | Note: Shipment Volume includes Cigarettes and Heated Tobacco Units; following the deconsolidation of RBH, we report the volume of brands sold by RBH for which other PMI subsidiaries are the trademark owners | |
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| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Schedule 1 | |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries | |
| Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) | |
| ($ in millions, except per share data) / (Unaudited) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Quarters Ended | | Diluted EPS | | Years Ended | |
| | December 31, | | | December 31, | |
| | | | | $ | 1.27 | | | | | 2020 Diluted Earnings Per Share (1) | | | | $ | 5.16 | | | | |
| | | | | $ | 1.04 | | | | | 2019 Diluted Earnings Per Share (1) | | | | $ | 4.61 | | | | |
| | | | | $ | 0.23 | | | | | Change | | | | $ | 0.55 | | | | |
| | | | | 22.1 | % | | | | % Change | | | | 11.9 | % | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Reconciliation: | | | | | | | |
| | | | | $ | 1.04 | | | | | 2019 Diluted Earnings Per Share (1) | | | | $ | 4.61 | | | | |
| | | | | 0.20 | | | | | 2019 Asset impairment and exit costs | | | | 0.23 | | | | |
| | | | | — | | | | | 2019 Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense | | | | 0.09 | | | | |
| | | | | — | | | | | 2019 Loss on deconsolidation of RBH | | | | 0.12 | | | | |
| | | | | — | | | | | 2019 Russia excise and VAT audit charge | | | | 0.20 | | | | |
| | | | | (0.02) | | | | | 2019 Fair value adjustment for equity security investments | | | | (0.02) | | | | |
| | | | | — | | | | | 2019 Tax items | | | | (0.04) | | | | |
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| | | | | (0.04) | | | | | 2020 Asset impairment and exit costs | | | | (0.08) | | | | |
| | | | | 0.05 | | | | | 2020 Brazil indirect tax credit | | | | 0.05 | | | | |
| | | | | — | | | | | 2020 Fair value adjustment for equity security investments | | | | (0.04) | | | | |
| | | | | — | | | | | 2020 Tax items | | | | 0.06 | | | | |
| | | | | (0.05) | | | | | Currency | | | | (0.32) | | | | |
| | | | | (0.01) | | | | | Interest | | | | (0.02) | | | | |
| | | | | 0.04 | | | | | Change in tax rate | | | | 0.05 | | | | |
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| | | | | 0.06 | | | | | Operations (2) | | | | 0.27 | | | | |
| | | | | $ | 1.27 | | | | | 2020 Diluted Earnings Per Share (1) | | | | $ | 5.16 | | | | |
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| (1) Basic and diluted EPS were calculated using the following (in millions): |
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| | | Quarters Ended | | | | Years Ended | |
| | | December 31, | | | | December 31, | |
| | | 2020 | | 2019 | | | | 2020 | | 2019 | |
| | | $ 1,976 | | $ 1,616 | | Net Earnings attributable to PMI | | $ 8,056 | | $ 7,185 | |
| | | 5 | | | 4 | | | Less: Distributed and undistributed earnings attributable to share-based payment awards | | 20 | | | 17 | | |
| | | $ 1,971 | | $ 1,612 | | Net Earnings for basic and diluted EPS | | $ 8,036 | | $ 7,168 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | 1,557 | | | 1,556 | | | Weighted-average shares for basic EPS | | 1,557 | | | 1,555 | | |
| | | 1 | | | 1 | | | Plus Contingently Issuable Performance Stock Units | | 1 | | | 1 | | |
| | | 1,558 | | | 1,557 | | | Weighted-average shares for diluted EPS | | 1,558 | | | 1,556 | | |
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| (2) Includes the impact of shares outstanding and share-based payments | |
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| | | | | | | | | | | Schedule 2 | | | |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries | |
| Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures | |
| Reconciliation of Reported Diluted EPS to Reported Diluted EPS, excluding Currency, | |
| and Reconciliation of Reported Diluted EPS to Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding Currency | |
| (Unaudited) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Quarters Ended December 31, | | | | Years Ended December 31, | | | | |
| | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | | | |
| | | $ 1.27 | $ 1.04 | 22.1 | % | | Reported Diluted EPS | | $ 5.16 | $ 4.61 | 11.9 | % | | | | |
| | | (0.05) | | | | | Less: Currency | | (0.32) | | | | | | | |
| | | $ 1.32 | $ 1.04 | 26.9 | % | | Reported Diluted EPS, excluding Currency | | $ 5.48 | $ 4.61 | 18.9 | % | | | | |
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| | | Quarters Ended December 31, | | | | Years Ended December 31, | | | | |
| | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | | | |
| | | $ 1.27 | $ 1.04 | 22.1 | % | | Reported Diluted EPS | | $ 5.16 | $ 4.61 | 11.9 | % | | | | |
| | | 0.04 | | 0.20 | | | | Asset impairment and exit costs | | 0.08 | | 0.23 | | | | | | |
| | | — | | — | | | | Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense | | — | | 0.09 | | | | | | |
| | | — | | — | | | | Loss on deconsolidation of RBH | | — | | 0.12 | | | | | | |
| | | — | | — | | | | Russia excise and VAT audit charge | | — | | 0.20 | | | | | | |
| | | (0.05) | | — | | | | Brazil indirect tax credit | | (0.05) | | — | | | | | | |
| | | — | | (0.02) | | | | Fair value adjustment for equity security investments | | 0.04 | | (0.02) | | | | | | |
| | | — | | — | | | | Tax items | | (0.06) | | (0.04) | | | | | | |
| | | $ 1.26 | $ 1.22 | 3.3 | % | | Adjusted Diluted EPS | | $ 5.17 | $ 5.19 | (0.4) | % | | | | |
| | | (0.05) | | | | | Less: Currency | | (0.32) | | | | | | | |
| | | $ 1.31 | $ 1.22 | 7.4 | % | | Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding Currency | | $ 5.49 | $ 5.19 | 5.8 | % | | | | |
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| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Schedule 3 |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures |
| Reconciliation of Reported Diluted EPS to Pro Forma Adjusted Diluted EPS |
| (Unaudited) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Quarter Ended | Quarter Ended | Six Months Ended | Quarter Ended | Nine Months Ended | Quarter Ended | Year Ended |
| | | | March 31, | June 30, | June 30, | September 30, | September 30, | December 31, | December 31, |
| | | | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019 |
| | Reported Diluted EPS | | $ 0.87 | | $ 1.49 | | $ 2.36 | | $ 1.22 | | $ 3.57 | | $ 1.04 | | $ | 4.61 | | |
| | Asset impairment and exit costs | | 0.01 | | | 0.01 | | | 0.02 | | | 0.01 | | | 0.03 | | | 0.20 | | | 0.23 | | |
| | Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense | | 0.09 | | | — | | | 0.09 | | | — | | | 0.09 | | | — | | | 0.09 | | |
| | Loss on deconsolidation of RBH | | 0.12 | | | — | | | 0.12 | | | — | | | 0.12 | | | — | | | 0.12 | | |
| | Russia excise and VAT audit charge | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 0.20 | | | 0.20 | | | — | | | 0.20 | | |
| | Fair value adjustment for equity security investments | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | (0.02) | | | (0.02) | | |
| | Tax items | | — | | | (0.04) | | | (0.04) | | | — | | | (0.04) | | | — | | | (0.04) | | |
| | Adjusted Diluted EPS | | $ 1.09 | | $ 1.46 | | $ 2.55 | | $ 1.43 | | $ 3.97 | | $ 1.22 | | $ 5.19 | |
| | Net earnings attributable to RBH | | (0.06) | | (1) | — | | | (0.06) | | (1) | — | | | (0.06) | | (1) | — | | | (0.06) | | (1) |
| | Pro Forma Adjusted Diluted EPS | | $ 1.03 | | $ 1.46 | | $ 2.49 | | $ 1.43 | | $ 3.91 | | $ 1.22 | | $ 5.13 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | (1) Represents the impact of net earnings attributable to RBH from January 1, 2019 through March 21, 2019 |
| | Note: EPS is computed independently for each of the periods presented. Accordingly, the sum of the quarterly EPS amounts may not agree to the total for the year |
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| | | | | | | | | | | Schedule 4 |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures |
| Net Revenues by Product Category and Adjustments of Net Revenues for the Impact of Currency and Acquisitions |
| ($ in millions) / (Unaudited) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net Revenues | Currency | Net Revenues excluding Currency | Acquisitions | Net Revenues excluding Currency & Acquisitions | | Quarters Ended December 31, | | Net Revenues | | Total | Excluding Currency | Excluding Currency & Acquisitions |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | | Combustible Products | | 2019 | | % Change |
| $ 1,953 | $ 109 | $ 1,845 | $ — | $ 1,845 | | European Union | | $ 1,954 | | — | % | (5.6) | % | (5.6) | % |
| 569 | | (65) | | 634 | | — | | 634 | | | Eastern Europe | | 663 | | | (14.2) | % | (4.4) | % | (4.4) | % |
| 735 | | (31) | | 766 | | — | | 766 | | | Middle East & Africa | | 910 | | | (19.3) | % | (15.9) | % | (15.9) | % |
| 1,184 | | 5 | | 1,179 | | — | | 1,179 | | | South & Southeast Asia | | 1,487 | | | (20.4) | % | (20.7) | % | (20.7) | % |
| 592 | | 17 | | 574 | | — | | 574 | | | East Asia & Australia | | 619 | | | (4.5) | % | (7.3) | % | (7.3) | % |
| 474 | | (43) | | 516 | | — | | 516 | | | Latin America & Canada | | 546 | | | (13.1) | % | (5.3) | % | (5.3) | % |
| $ 5,507 | $ (7) | $ 5,514 | $ — | $ 5,514 | | Total Combustible | | $ 6,179 | | (10.9) | % | (10.8) | % | (10.8) | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | | Reduced-Risk Products | | 2019 | | % Change |
| $ 789 | $ 42 | $ 746 | $ — | $ 746 | | European Union | | $ 482 | | 63.6 | % | 54.8 | % | 54.8 | % |
| 339 | | (53) | | 392 | | — | | 392 | | | Eastern Europe | | 319 | | | 6.3 | % | 23.1 | % | 23.1 | % |
| 5 | | — | | 5 | | — | | 5 | | | Middle East & Africa | | 74 | | | (93.3) | % | (93.2) | % | (93.2) | % |
| 1 | | — | | 1 | | — | | 1 | | | South & Southeast Asia | | — | | | — | % | — | % | — | % |
| 792 | | 19 | | 774 | | — | | 774 | | | East Asia & Australia | | 651 | | | 21.8 | % | 18.9 | % | 18.9 | % |
| 11 | | — | | 12 | | — | | 12 | | | Latin America & Canada(1) | | 8 | | | 31.1 | % | 37.0 | % | 37.0 | % |
| $ 1,937 | $ 7 | $ 1,930 | $ — | $ 1,930 | | Total RRPs | | $ 1,534 | | 26.3 | % | 25.8 | % | 25.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | | PMI | | 2019 | | % Change |
| $ 2,742 | $ 151 | $ 2,591 | $ — | $ 2,591 | | European Union | | $ 2,436 | | 12.6 | % | 6.4 | % | 6.4 | % |
| 908 | | (118) | | 1,026 | | — | | 1,026 | | | Eastern Europe | | 982 | | | (7.5) | % | 4.5 | % | 4.5 | % |
| 740 | | (31) | | 771 | | — | | 771 | | | Middle East & Africa | | 984 | | | (24.8) | % | (21.6) | % | (21.6) | % |
| 1,185 | | 5 | | 1,180 | | — | | 1,180 | | | South & Southeast Asia | | 1,487 | | | (20.3) | % | (20.6) | % | (20.6) | % |
| 1,384 | | 36 | | 1,348 | | — | | 1,348 | | | East Asia & Australia | | 1,270 | | | 9.0 | % | 6.1 | % | 6.1 | % |
| 485 | | (43) | | 528 | | — | | 528 | | | Latin America & Canada | | 554 | | | (12.5) | % | (4.7) | % | (4.7) | % |
| $ 7,444 | $ — | $ 7,444 | $ — | $ 7,444 | | Total PMI | | $ 7,713 | | (3.5) | % | (3.5) | % | (3.5) | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| (1) Net Revenues include revenues from shipments of Platform 1 devices, heated tobacco units and accessories to Altria Group, Inc., commencing in the third quarter of 2019, for sale under license in the United States |
| Note: Sum of product categories or Regions might not foot to Total PMI due to roundings. “-“ indicates amounts between -$0.5 million and +$0.5 million |
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| | | | | | | | | | | Schedule 5 |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures |
| Net Revenues by Product Category and Adjustments of Net Revenues for the Impact of Currency and Acquisitions |
| ($ in millions) / (Unaudited) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net Revenues | Currency | Net Revenues excluding Currency | Acquisitions | Net Revenues excluding Currency & Acquisitions | | Years Ended December 31, | | Net Revenues | | Total | Excluding Currency | Excluding Currency & Acquisitions |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | | Combustible Products | | 2019 | | % Change |
| $ 8,053 | $ 13 | $ 8,040 | $ — | $ 8,040 | | European Union | | $ 8,093 | | (0.5) | % | (0.7) | % | (0.7) | % |
| 2,250 | | (165) | | 2,415 | | — | | 2,415 | | | Eastern Europe | | 2,438 | | | (7.7) | % | (0.9) | % | (0.9) | % |
| 3,031 | | (77) | | 3,108 | | — | | 3,108 | | | Middle East & Africa | | 3,721 | | | (18.5) | % | (16.5) | % | (16.5) | % |
| 4,395 | | (19) | | 4,414 | | — | | 4,414 | | | South & Southeast Asia | | 5,094 | | | (13.7) | % | (13.4) | % | (13.4) | % |
| 2,468 | | 1 | | 2,467 | | — | | 2,467 | | | East Asia & Australia | | 2,693 | | | (8.4) | % | (8.4) | % | (8.4) | % |
| 1,670 | | (162) | | 1,831 | | — | | 1,831 | | | Latin America & Canada | | 2,179 | | | (23.4) | % | (16.0) | % | (16.0) | % |
| $ 21,867 | $ (408) | $ 22,275 | $ — | $ 22,275 | | Total Combustible | | $ 24,218 | | (9.7) | % | (8.0) | % | (8.0) | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | | Reduced-Risk Products | | 2019 | | % Change |
| $ 2,649 | $ 8 | $ 2,641 | $ — | $ 2,641 | | European Union | | $ 1,724 | | 53.7 | % | 53.2 | % | 53.2 | % |
| 1,128 | | (98) | | 1,226 | | — | | 1,226 | | | Eastern Europe | | 844 | | | 33.6 | % | 45.2 | % | 45.2 | % |
| 57 | | — | | 57 | | — | | 57 | | | Middle East & Africa | | 321 | | | (82.4) | % | (82.3) | % | (82.3) | % |
| 1 | | — | | 1 | | — | | 1 | | | South & Southeast Asia | | — | | | — | % | — | % | — | % |
| 2,961 | | 32 | | 2,929 | | — | | 2,929 | | | East Asia & Australia | | 2,671 | | | 10.9 | % | 9.7 | % | 9.7 | % |
| 31 | | (2) | | 34 | | — | | 34 | | | Latin America & Canada(1) | | 27 | | | 18.0 | % | 25.8 | % | 25.8 | % |
| $ 6,827 | $ (61) | $ 6,888 | $ — | $ 6,888 | | Total RRPs | | $ 5,587 | | 22.2 | % | 23.3 | % | 23.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | | PMI | | 2019 | | % Change |
| $ 10,702 | $ 21 | $ 10,681 | $ — | $ 10,681 | | European Union | | $ 9,817 | | 9.0 | % | 8.8 | % | 8.8 | % |
| 3,378 | | (263) | | 3,641 | | — | | 3,641 | | | Eastern Europe | | 3,282 | | | 2.9 | % | 10.9 | % | 10.9 | % |
| 3,088 | | (77) | | 3,165 | | — | | 3,165 | | | Middle East & Africa | | 4,042 | | | (23.6) | % | (21.7) | % | (21.7) | % |
| 4,396 | | (19) | | 4,415 | | — | | 4,415 | | | South & Southeast Asia | | 5,094 | | | (13.7) | % | (13.3) | % | (13.3) | % |
| 5,429 | | 33 | | 5,396 | | — | | 5,396 | | | East Asia & Australia | | 5,364 | | | 1.2 | % | 0.6 | % | 0.6 | % |
| 1,701 | | (164) | | 1,865 | | — | | 1,865 | | | Latin America & Canada | | 2,206 | | | (22.9) | % | (15.5) | % | (15.5) | % |
| $ 28,694 | $ (469) | $ 29,163 | $ — | $ 29,163 | | Total PMI | | $ 29,805 | | (3.7) | % | (2.2) | % | (2.2) | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| (1) Net Revenues include revenues from shipments of Platform 1 devices, heated tobacco units and accessories to Altria Group, Inc., commencing in the third quarter of 2019, for sale under license in the United States |
| Note: Sum of product categories or Regions might not foot to Total PMI due to roundings. “-“ indicates amounts between -$0.5 million and +$0.5 million |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | Schedule 6 |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures |
| Adjustments of Operating Income for the Impact of Currency and Acquisitions |
| ($ in millions) / (Unaudited) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | Currency | Operating Income excluding Currency | Acquisitions | Operating Income excluding Currency & Acquisitions | | | | Operating Income | | Total | Excluding Currency | Excluding Currency & Acquisitions |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | | Quarters Ended December 31, | | 2019 | | % Change |
| $ 1,174 | (1) | $ 83 | $ 1,091 | $ — | $ 1,091 | | European Union | | $ 624 | (3) | | 88.1 | % | 74.8 | % | 74.8 | % |
| 261 | | (1) | (91) | | 352 | | — | | 352 | | | Eastern Europe | | 263 | | | | (0.8) | % | 33.8 | % | 33.8 | % |
| 207 | | (1) | (36) | | 243 | | — | | 243 | | | Middle East & Africa | | 380 | | | | (45.5) | % | (36.1) | % | (36.1) | % |
| 419 | | (1) | 2 | | 417 | | — | | 417 | | | South & Southeast Asia | | 692 | | | | (39.5) | % | (39.7) | % | (39.7) | % |
| 608 | | (1) | 19 | | 589 | | — | | 589 | | | East Asia & Australia | | 412 | | | | 47.6 | % | 43.0 | % | 43.0 | % |
| 236 | | (2) | (25) | | 261 | | — | | 261 | | | Latin America & Canada | | 135 | | (4) | | 74.8 | % | 93.3 | % | 93.3 | % |
| $ 2,905 | | $ (48) | $ 2,953 | $ — | $ 2,953 | | Total PMI | | $ 2,506 | | | 15.9 | % | 17.8 | % | 17.8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | | Years Ended December 31, | | 2019 | | % Change |
| $ 5,098 | (5) | $ (24) | $ 5,122 | $ — | $ 5,122 | | European Union | | $ 3,970 | (3) | | 28.4 | % | 29.0 | % | 29.0 | % |
| 871 | | (5) | (299) | | 1,170 | | — | | 1,170 | | | Eastern Europe | | 547 | | (7) | | 59.2 | % | +100% | +100% |
| 1,026 | | (5) | (65) | | 1,091 | | — | | 1,091 | | | Middle East & Africa | | 1,684 | | | | (39.1) | % | (35.2) | % | (35.2) | % |
| 1,709 | | (5) | 2 | | 1,707 | | — | | 1,707 | | | South & Southeast Asia | | 2,163 | | (8) | | (21.0) | % | (21.1) | % | (21.1) | % |
| 2,400 | | (5) | 21 | | 2,379 | | — | | 2,379 | | | East Asia & Australia | | 1,932 | | | | 24.2 | % | 23.1 | % | 23.1 | % |
| 564 | | (6) | (110) | | 674 | | — | | 674 | | | Latin America & Canada | | 235 | | (9) | | +100% | +100% | +100% |
| $ 11,668 | | $ (475) | $ 12,143 | $ — | $ 12,143 | | Total PMI | | $ 10,531 | | | 10.8 | % | 15.3 | % | 15.3 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| (1) Includes asset impairment and exit costs: EU ($30 million), EE ($8 million), ME&A ($10 million), S&SA ($12 million), EA&A ($13 million) |
| (2) Includes the Brazil indirect tax credit $119 million and asset impairment and exit costs ($5 million) |
| (3) Includes asset impairment and exit costs ($342 million) |
| (4) Includes asset impairment and exit costs ($15 million) |
| (5) Includes asset impairment and exit costs: EU ($57 million), EE ($15 million), ME&A ($19 million), S&SA ($23 million), EA&A ($26 million) |
| (6) Includes the Brazil indirect tax credit $119 million and asset impairment and exit costs ($9 million) |
| (7) Includes the Russia excise and VAT audit charge ($374 million) |
| (8) Includes asset impairment and exit costs ($20 million) |
| (9) Includes asset impairment and exit costs ($60 million), the Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense ($194 million) and the loss on deconsolidation of RBH ($239 million) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Schedule 7 |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures |
| Reconciliation of Operating Income to Adjusted Operating Income, excluding Currency and Acquisitions |
| ($ in millions) / (Unaudited) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Operating Income | Asset Impairment & Exit Costs and Others | Adjusted Operating Income | Currency | Adjusted Operating Income excluding Currency | Acqui-sitions | Adjusted Operating Income excluding Currency & Acqui-sitions | | | | Operating Income | Asset Impairment & Exit Costs and Others | Adjusted Operating Income | | Total | Excluding Currency | Excluding Currency & Acqui-sitions |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | Quarters Ended December 31, | 2019 | | % Change |
| $ 1,174 | $ (30) | (1) | $ 1,204 | $ 83 | $ 1,121 | $ — | $ 1,121 | | European Union | | $ 624 | $ (342) | (1) | $ 966 | | 24.6 | % | 16.0 | % | 16.0 | % |
| 261 | | (8) | | (1) | 269 | | (91) | | 360 | | — | | 360 | | | Eastern Europe | | 263 | | — | | | 263 | | | 2.3 | % | 36.9 | % | 36.9 | % |
| 207 | | (10) | | (1) | 217 | | (36) | | 253 | | — | | 253 | | | Middle East & Africa | | 380 | | — | | | 380 | | | (42.9) | % | (33.4) | % | (33.4) | % |
| 419 | | (12) | | (1) | 431 | | 2 | | 429 | | — | | 429 | | | South & Southeast Asia | | 692 | | — | | | 692 | | | (37.7) | % | (38.0) | % | (38.0) | % |
| 608 | | (13) | | (1) | 621 | | 19 | | 602 | | — | | 602 | | | East Asia & Australia | | 412 | | — | | | 412 | | | 50.7 | % | 46.1 | % | 46.1 | % |
| 236 | | 114 | | (2) | 122 | | (25) | | 147 | | — | | 147 | | | Latin America & Canada | | 135 | | (15) | | (1) | 150 | | | (18.7) | % | (2.0) | % | (2.0) | % |
| $ 2,905 | $ 41 | | $ 2,864 | $ (48) | $ 2,912 | $ — | $ 2,912 | | Total PMI | | $ 2,506 | $ (357) | | $ 2,863 | | — | % | 1.7 | % | 1.7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | Years Ended December 31, | 2019 | | % Change |
| $ 5,098 | $ (57) | (1) | $ 5,155 | $ (24) | $ 5,179 | $ — | $ 5,179 | | European Union | | $ 3,970 | $ (342) | (1) | $ 4,312 | | 19.6 | % | 20.1 | % | 20.1 | % |
| 871 | | (15) | | (1) | 886 | | (299) | | 1,185 | | — | | 1,185 | | | Eastern Europe | | 547 | | (374) | | (4) | 921 | | | (3.8) | % | 28.7 | % | 28.7 | % |
| 1,026 | | (19) | | (1) | 1,045 | | (65) | | 1,110 | | — | | 1,110 | | | Middle East & Africa | | 1,684 | | — | | | 1,684 | | | (37.9) | % | (34.1) | % | (34.1) | % |
| 1,709 | | (23) | | (1) | 1,732 | | 2 | | 1,730 | | — | | 1,730 | | | South & Southeast Asia | | 2,163 | | (20) | | (1) | 2,183 | | | (20.7) | % | (20.8) | % | (20.8) | % |
| 2,400 | | (26) | | (1) | 2,426 | | 21 | | 2,405 | | — | | 2,405 | | | East Asia & Australia | | 1,932 | | — | | | 1,932 | | | 25.6 | % | 24.5 | % | 24.5 | % |
| 564 | | 110 | | (3) | 454 | | (110) | | 564 | | — | | 564 | | | Latin America & Canada | | 235 | | (493) | | (5) | 728 | | | (37.6) | % | (22.5) | % | (22.5) | % |
| $ 11,668 | $ (30) | | $ 11,698 | $ (475) | $ 12,173 | $ — | $ 12,173 | | Total PMI | | $ 10,531 | $ (1,229) | | $ 11,760 | | (0.5) | % | 3.5 | % | 3.5 | % |
|
| (1) Represents asset impairment and exit costs |
| (2) Includes the Brazil indirect tax credit $119 million and asset impairment and exit costs ($5 million) |
| (3) Includes the Brazil indirect tax credit $119 million and asset impairment and exit costs ($9 million) |
| (4) Represents the Russia excise and VAT audit charge |
| (5) Includes asset impairment and exit costs ($60 million), the Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense ($194 million) and the loss on deconsolidation of RBH ($239 million) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Schedule 8 |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures |
| Reconciliation of Adjusted Operating Income Margin, excluding Currency and Acquisitions |
| ($ in millions) / (Unaudited) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Adjusted Operating Income (1) | Net Revenues | Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | Adjusted Operating Income excluding Currency (1) | Net Revenues excluding Currency (2) | Adjusted Operating Income Margin excluding Currency | | Adjusted Operating Income excluding Currency & Acqui-sitions (1) | Net Revenues excluding Currency & Acqui-sitions (2) | Adjusted Operating Income Margin excluding Currency & Acqui-sitions | | | | Adjusted Operating Income (1) | Net Revenues | Adjusted Operating Income Margin | | Adjusted Operating Income Margin | Adjusted Operating Income Margin excluding Currency | Adjusted Operating Income Margin excluding Currency & Acqui-sitions |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | Quarters Ended December 31, | 2019 | | % Points Change |
| $ 1,204 | $ 2,742 | 43.9 | % | | $ 1,121 | $ 2,591 | 43.3 | % | | $ 1,121 | $ 2,591 | 43.3 | % | | European Union | | $ 966 | $ 2,436 | 39.7 | % | | 4.2 | | 3.6 | | 3.6 | |
| 269 | 908 | 29.6 | % | | 360 | 1,026 | 35.1 | % | | 360 | 1,026 | 35.1 | % | | Eastern Europe | | 263 | 982 | 26.8 | % | | 2.8 | | 8.3 | | 8.3 | |
| 217 | 740 | 29.3 | % | | 253 | 771 | 32.8 | % | | 253 | 771 | 32.8 | % | | Middle East & Africa | | 380 | 984 | 38.6 | % | | (9.3) | | (5.8) | | (5.8) | |
| 431 | 1,185 | 36.4 | % | | 429 | 1,180 | 36.4 | % | | 429 | 1,180 | 36.4 | % | | South & Southeast Asia | | 692 | 1,487 | 46.5 | % | | (10.1) | | (10.1) | | (10.1) | |
| 621 | 1,384 | 44.9 | % | | 602 | 1,348 | 44.7 | % | | 602 | 1,348 | 44.7 | % | | East Asia & Australia | | 412 | 1,270 | 32.4 | % | | 12.5 | | 12.3 | | 12.3 | |
| 122 | 485 | 25.2 | % | | 147 | 528 | 27.8 | % | | 147 | 528 | 27.8 | % | | Latin America & Canada | | 150 | 554 | 27.1 | % | | (1.9) | | 0.7 | | 0.7 | |
| $ 2,864 | $ 7,444 | 38.5 | % | | $ 2,912 | $ 7,444 | 39.1 | % | | $ 2,912 | $ 7,444 | 39.1 | % | | Total PMI | | $ 2,863 | $ 7,713 | 37.1 | % | | 1.4 | | 2.0 | | 2.0 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2020 | Years Ended December 31, | 2019 | | % Points Change |
| $ 5,155 | $ 10,702 | 48.2 | % | | $ 5,179 | $ 10,681 | 48.5 | % | | $ 5,179 | $ 10,681 | 48.5 | % | | European Union | | $ 4,312 | $ 9,817 | 43.9 | % | | 4.3 | | 4.6 | | 4.6 | |
| 886 | 3,378 | 26.2 | % | | 1,185 | 3,641 | 32.5 | % | | 1,185 | 3,641 | 32.5 | % | | Eastern Europe | | 921 | 3,282 | 28.1 | % | | (1.9) | | 4.4 | | 4.4 | |
| 1,045 | 3,088 | 33.8 | % | | 1,110 | 3,165 | 35.1 | % | | 1,110 | 3,165 | 35.1 | % | | Middle East & Africa | | 1,684 | 4,042 | 41.7 | % | | (7.9) | | (6.6) | | (6.6) | |
| 1,732 | 4,396 | 39.4 | % | | 1,730 | 4,415 | 39.2 | % | | 1,730 | 4,415 | 39.2 | % | | South & Southeast Asia | | 2,183 | 5,094 | 42.9 | % | | (3.5) | | (3.7) | | (3.7) | |
| 2,426 | 5,429 | 44.7 | % | | 2,405 | 5,396 | 44.6 | % | | 2,405 | 5,396 | 44.6 | % | | East Asia & Australia | | 1,932 | 5,364 | 36.0 | % | | 8.7 | | 8.6 | | 8.6 | |
| 454 | 1,701 | 26.7 | % | | 564 | 1,865 | 30.2 | % | | 564 | 1,865 | 30.2 | % | | Latin America & Canada | | 728 | 2,206 | 33.0 | % | | (6.3) | | (2.8) | | (2.8) | |
| $ 11,698 | $ 28,694 | 40.8 | % | | $ 12,173 | $ 29,163 | 41.7 | % | | $ 12,173 | $ 29,163 | 41.7 | % | | Total PMI | | $ 11,760 | $ 29,805 | 39.5 | % | | 1.3 | | 2.2 | | 2.2 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| (1) For the calculation of Adjusted Operating Income and Adjusted Operating Income excluding currency and acquisitions refer to Schedule 7 |
| (2) For the calculation of Net Revenues excluding currency and acquisitions refer to Schedules 4 and 5 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | Schedule 9 | |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures |
| Adjustments for the Impact of RBH, excluding Currency |
| ($ in millions, except per share data) / (Unaudited) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Quarters Ended December 31, | | Years Ended December 31, | |
| | | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | |
| | Net Revenues | | $ 7,444 | | $ 7,713 | | (3.5) | % | | $ 28,694 | | $ 29,805 | | (3.7) | % | |
| | Net Revenues attributable to RBH | | | | — | | | | | | | (181) | | (1) | | |
| | Net Revenues | | $ 7,444 | | $ 7,713 | | (3.5) | % | | $ 28,694 | | $ 29,624 | (2) | (3.1) | % | |
| | Less: Currency | | — | | | | | | | (470) | | | | | | |
| | Net Revenues, ex. currency | | $ 7,444 | | $ 7,713 | | (3.5) | % | | $ 29,164 | | $ 29,624 | (2) | (1.6) | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Adjusted Operating Income (3) | | $ 2,864 | | $ 2,863 | | — | % | | $ 11,698 | | $ 11,760 | | (0.5) | % | |
| | Operating Income attributable to RBH | | | | — | | | | | | | (126) | | (1) | | |
| | Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 2,864 | | $ 2,863 | | — | % | | $ 11,698 | | $ 11,634 | (2) | 0.6 | % | |
| | Less: Currency | | (48) | | | | | | | (474) | | | | | | |
| | Adjusted Operating Income, ex. currency | | $ 2,912 | | $ 2,863 | | 1.7 | % | | $ 12,172 | | $ 11,634 | (2) | 4.6 | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Adjusted OI Margin | | 38.5 | % | | 37.1 | % | | 1.4 | | | 40.8 | % | | 39.5 | % | | 1.3 | | |
| | Adjusted OI Margin attributable to RBH | | | | — | | | | | | | (0.2) | | (1) | | |
| | Adjusted OI Margin | | 38.5 | % | | 37.1 | % | | 1.4 | | | 40.8 | % | | 39.3 | % | (2) | 1.5 | | |
| | Less: Currency | | (0.6) | | | | | | | (0.9) | | | | | | |
| | Adjusted OI Margin, ex. currency | | 39.1 | % | | 37.1 | % | | 2.0 | | | 41.7 | % | | 39.3 | % | (2) | 2.4 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Adjusted Diluted EPS (4) | | $ 1.26 | | $ 1.22 | | 3.3 | % | | $ 5.17 | | $ 5.19 | | (0.4) | % | |
| | Net earnings attributable to RBH | | | | — | | | | | | | (0.06) | | (1) | | |
| | Adjusted Diluted EPS | | $ 1.26 | | $ 1.22 | | 3.3 | % | | $ 5.17 | | $ 5.13 | (2) | 0.8 | % | |
| | Less: Currency | | (0.05) | | | | | | | (0.32) | | | | | | |
| | Adjusted Diluted EPS, ex. currency | | $ 1.31 | | $ 1.22 | | 7.4 | % | | $ 5.49 | | $ 5.13 | (2) | 7.0 | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | (1) Represents the impact attributable to RBH from January 1, 2019 through March 21, 2019 | |
| | (2) Pro forma | |
| | (3) For the calculation of Adjusted Operating Income, see Schedule 7 | |
| | (4) For the calculation, see Schedule 2 | |
| | Note: Financials attributable to RBH include Duty Free sales in Canada | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | Schedule 10 | |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures |
| Adjustments for the Impact of RBH, excluding Currency |
| ($ in millions) / (Unaudited) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Latin America & Canada | | Quarters Ended December 31, | | Years Ended December 31, | |
| | | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | | 2020 | 2019 | % Change | |
| | Net Revenues | | $ 485 | | $ 554 | | (12.5) | % | | $ 1,701 | | $ 2,206 | | (22.9) | % | |
| | Net Revenues attributable to RBH | | | | — | | | | | | | (179) | | (1) | | |
| | Net Revenues | | $ 485 | | $ 554 | | (12.5) | % | | $ 1,701 | | $ 2,027 | (2) | (16.1) | % | |
| | Less: Currency | | (43) | | | | | | | (165) | | | | | | |
| | Net Revenues, ex. currency | | $ 528 | | $ 554 | | (4.7) | % | | $ 1,866 | | $ 2,027 | (2) | (7.9) | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Operating Income | | $ 236 | | $ 135 | | 74.8 | % | | $ 564 | | $ 235 | | +100% | |
| | Less: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Asset impairment and exit costs | | (5) | | | (15) | | | | | (9) | | | (60) | | | | |
| | Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense | | — | | | — | | | | | — | | | (194) | | | | |
| | Loss on deconsolidation of RBH | | — | | | — | | | | | — | | | (239) | | | | |
| | Brazil indirect tax credit | | 119 | | | — | | | | | 119 | | | — | | | | |
| | Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 122 | | $ 150 | | (18.7) | % | | $ 454 | | $ 728 | | (37.6) | % | |
| | Operating Income attributable to RBH | | | | — | | | | | | | (125) | | (1) | | |
| | Adjusted Operating Income | | $ 122 | | $ 150 | | (18.7) | % | | $ 454 | | $ 603 | (2) | (24.7) | % | |
| | Less: Currency | | (25) | | | | | | | (108) | | | | | | |
| | Adjusted Operating Income, ex. currency | | $ 147 | | $ 150 | | (2.0) | % | | $ 562 | | $ 603 | (2) | (6.8) | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Adjusted OI Margin | | 25.2 | % | | 27.1 | % | | (1.9) | | | 26.7 | % | | 33.0 | % | | (6.3) | | |
| | Adjusted OI Margin attributable to RBH | | | | — | | | | | | | (3.3) | | (1) | | |
| | Adjusted OI Margin | | 25.2 | % | | 27.1 | % | | (1.9) | | | 26.7 | % | | 29.7 | % | (2) | (3.0) | | |
| | Less: Currency | | (2.6) | | | | | | | (3.4) | | | | | | |
| | Adjusted OI Margin, ex. currency | | 27.8 | % | | 27.1 | % | | 0.7 | | | 30.1 | % | | 29.7 | % | (2) | 0.4 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | (1) Represents the impact attributable to RBH from January 1, 2019 through March 21, 2019 | |
| | (2) Pro forma | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Schedule 11 | |
| | | PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries | |
| | | Condensed Statements of Earnings | |
| | | ($ in millions, except per share data) / (Unaudited) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Quarters Ended December 31, | | | | Years Ended December 31, | |
| | | 2020 | 2019 | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | | | | 2020 | 2019 | Change Fav./(Unfav.) | |
| | | $ 19,531 | $ 19,849 | (1.6) | % | | Revenues including Excise Taxes | | $ 76,047 | $ 77,921 | (2.4) | % | |
| | | 12,087 | | 12,136 | | 0.4 | % | | Excise Taxes on products | | 47,353 | | 48,116 | | 1.6 | % | |
| | | 7,444 | | 7,713 | | (3.5) | % | | Net Revenues | | 28,694 | | 29,805 | | (3.7) | % | |
| | | 2,572 | | 2,778 | | 7.4 | % | | Cost of sales | | 9,569 | | 10,513 | | 9.0 | % | |
| | | 4,872 | | 4,935 | | (1.3) | % | | Gross profit | | 19,125 | | 19,292 | | (0.9) | % | |
| | | 1,949 | | 2,413 | | 19.2 | % | | Marketing, administration and research costs (1) | | 7,384 | | 8,695 | | 15.1 | % | |
| | | 18 | | 16 | | | | Amortization of intangibles | | 73 | | 66 | | | |
| | | 2,905 | | 2,506 | | 15.9 | % | | Operating Income | | 11,668 | | 10,531 | | 10.8 | % | |
| | | 164 | | 136 | | (20.6) | % | | Interest expense, net | | 618 | | 570 | | (8.4) | % | |
| | | 29 | | 28 | | (3.6) | % | | Pension and other employee benefit costs | | 97 | | 89 | | (9.0) | % | |
| | | 2,712 | | 2,342 | | 15.8 | % | | Earnings before income taxes | | 10,953 | | 9,872 | | 11.0 | % | |
| | | 613 | | 623 | | 1.6 | % | | Provision for income taxes | | 2,377 | | 2,293 | | (3.7) | % | |
| | | (20) | | (63) | | | | Equity investments and securities (income)/loss, net | | (16) | | (149) | | | |
| | | 2,119 | | 1,782 | | 18.9 | % | | Net Earnings | | 8,592 | | 7,728 | | 11.2 | % | |
| | | 143 | | 166 | | | | Net Earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests | | 536 | | 543 | | | |
| | | $ 1,976 | $ 1,616 | 22.3 | % | | Net Earnings attributable to PMI | | $ 8,056 | $ 7,185 | 12.1 | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Per share data (2): | | | | | |
| | | $ 1.27 | $ 1.04 | 22.1 | % | | Basic Earnings Per Share | | $ 5.16 | $ 4.61 | 11.9 | % | |
| | | $ 1.27 | $ 1.04 | 22.1 | % | | Diluted Earnings Per Share | | $ 5.16 | $ 4.61 | 11.9 | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | (1) Year ended December 31, 2020 includes asset impairment and exit costs ($149 million) and the Brazil indirect tax credit $119 million. Year ended December 31, 2019 includes asset impairment and exit costs ($422 million), the Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense ($194 million), the loss on deconsolidation of RBH ($239 million) and the Russia excise and VAT audit charge ($374 million). Quarter ended December 31, 2020 includes asset impairment and exit costs ($78 million) and the Brazil indirect tax credit $119 million. Quarter ended December 31, 2019 includes asset impairment and exit costs ($357 million). | |
| | | (2) Net Earnings and weighted-average shares used in the basic and diluted Earnings Per Share computations for the quarters and for the year ended December 31, 2020 and 2019 are shown on Schedule 1, Footnote 1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | Schedule 12 |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Condensed Balance Sheets |
| ($ in millions, except ratios) / (Unaudited) |
| | | | | | |
| | December 31, | | December 31, |
| | 2020 | | 2019 |
| Assets | | | | | | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | | | $ | 7,280 | | | | $ | 6,861 | |
| All other current assets | | | 14,212 | | | | 13,653 | |
| Property, plant and equipment, net | | | 6,365 | | | | 6,631 | |
| Goodwill | | | 5,964 | | | | 5,858 | |
| Other intangible assets, net | | | 2,019 | | | | 2,113 | |
| Equity investments | | | 4,798 | | | | 4,635 | |
| Other assets | | | 4,177 | | | | 3,124 | |
| Total assets | | | $ | 44,815 | | | | $ | 42,875 | |
| | | | | | |
| Liabilities and Stockholders' (Deficit) Equity | | | | | | |
| Short-term borrowings | | | $ | 244 | | | | $ | 338 | |
| Current portion of long-term debt | | | 3,124 | | | | 4,051 | |
| All other current liabilities | | | 16,247 | | | | 14,444 | |
| Long-term debt | | | 28,168 | | | | 26,656 | |
| Deferred income taxes | | | 684 | | | | 908 | |
| Other long-term liabilities | | | 6,979 | | | | 6,077 | |
| Total liabilities | | | 55,446 | | | | 52,474 | |
| | | | | | |
| Total PMI stockholders' deficit | | | (12,567) | | | | (11,577) | |
| Noncontrolling interests | | | 1,936 | | | | 1,978 | |
| Total stockholders' (deficit) equity | | | (10,631) | | | | (9,599) | |
| Total liabilities and stockholders' (deficit) equity | | | $ | 44,815 | | | | $ | 42,875 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | Schedule 13 |
| PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC. and Subsidiaries |
| Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures |
| Calculation of Total Debt to Adjusted EBITDA and Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA Ratios |
| ($ in millions, except ratios) / (Unaudited) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | Year Ended December 31, 2020 | | Year Ended December 31, 2019 |
| | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
| Net Earnings | | | | | | | | | | | $ | 8,592 | | | | $ | 7,728 | |
| Equity investments and securities (income)/loss, net | | | | | | | | | | | (16) | | | | (149) | |
| Provision for income taxes | | | | | | | | | | | 2,377 | | | | 2,293 | |
| Interest expense, net | | | | | | | | | | | 618 | | | | 570 | |
| Depreciation and amortization | | | | | | | | | | | 981 | | | | 964 | |
| Asset impairment and exit costs and Others (1) | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | | | 1,229 | |
| Adjusted EBITDA | | | | | | | | | | | $ 12,582 | | | $ | 12,635 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | December 31, | | December 31, |
| | | | | | | | | 2020 | | 2019 |
| Short-term borrowings | | | | | | | | | | | $ | 244 | | | | $ | 338 | |
| Current portion of long-term debt | | | | | | | | | | | 3,124 | | | | 4,051 | |
| Long-term debt | | | | | | | | | | | 28,168 | | | | 26,656 | |
| Total Debt | | | | | | | | | | | $ | 31,536 | | | | $ | 31,045 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | | | | | | | | | | | 7,280 | | | | 6,861 | |
| Net Debt | | | | | | | | | | | $ | 24,256 | | | | $ | 24,184 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Ratios: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total Debt to Adjusted EBITDA | | | | | | | | | | | 2.51 | | | | 2.46 | |
| Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA | | | | | | | | | | | 1.93 | | | | 1.91 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| (1) For the year ended December 31, 2020, Others include the Brazil indirect tax credit $119 million. For the year ended December 31, 2019, Others include the Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense ($194 million), the loss on deconsolidation of RBH ($239 million) and the Russia excise and VAT audit charge ($374 million) |
Exhibit 99.2
Philip Morris International Inc.
2020 Fourth-Quarter Conference Call
February 4, 2021
NICK ROLLI
(SLIDE 1.)
Welcome. Thank you for joining us. Earlier today, we issued a press release containing detailed information on our 2020 fourth-quarter and full-year results. You may access the release on www.pmi.com.
(SLIDE 2.)
A glossary of terms, including the definition for reduced-risk products, or "RRPs," as well as adjustments, other calculations and reconciliations to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures and additional heated tobacco unit market data are at the end of today’s webcast slides, which are posted on our website. Unless otherwise stated, all references to IQOS are to our IQOS heat-not-burn products.
Comparisons presented on a "like-for-like" basis reflect pro forma 2019 results, which have been adjusted for the deconsolidation of our Canadian subsidiary, Rothmans, Benson & Hedges, Inc. (RBH), effective March 22, 2019. Please also note that growth rates presented on an organic basis reflect currency-neutral underlying results and "like-for-like" comparisons, where applicable.
(SLIDE 3.)
Today’s remarks contain forward-looking statements and projections of future results. I direct your attention to the Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements disclosure in today’s presentation and press release for a review of the various factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from projections or forward-looking statements.
(SLIDE 4.)
Please also note the additional Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements related to COVID-19. In addition, please be aware that today's remarks and question and answer session will focus on the performance in 2020 and the outlook for 2021. We plan to address the outlook beyond 2021 at our virtual Investor Day next week on February 10.
It’s now my pleasure to introduce Emmanuel Babeau, our Chief Financial Officer. André Calantzopoulos, our Chief Executive Officer, and Jacek Olczak, our Chief Operating Officer, will join for the question and answer session. Emmanuel.
EMMANUEL BABEAU
(SLIDE 5.)
Thank you, Nick, and welcome, ladies and gentlemen. I hope everyone listening to the call is safe and well.
Our business delivered a robust performance in 2020, despite the unprecedented challenges of the global pandemic.
Most impressive was the continued strong growth of IQOS, which made up over 10% of our volumes and almost one quarter of our net revenues for the year. The daily consumption of HTUs by IQOS users saw minimal impact from social restrictions, and despite significant constraints, we were able to continue acquiring new users, in-switching from cigarettes, at a very good pace to reach a total of 17.6 million, of which 12.7 million have switched to IQOS and stopped smoking. HTU shipment volumes grew 28% compared to the prior year, with record market shares in key IQOS geographies in Q4. Moreover, 10 markets exited 2020 with double-digit national share in December.
Our rate of user acquisition was again strong in Q4, propelled by the increasing sophistication of our digital commercial model and the positive word-of-mouth effect from this increasing prominence, despite tighter restrictions in a number of markets.
The most significant pandemic-related headwinds we faced were in the combustible business, with the highest impact in Duty-Free and Southeast Asia, where we also faced additional challenges in Indonesia due to the excise tax structure. The least impacted Region was the EU. While the timing and duration of the recovery remains uncertain, we expect a rebound in industry volumes over the next 1-2 years as the pandemic recedes.
Despite these challenges, our operating margins were again significantly ahead in the fourth quarter and the full year. This reflects the increasing weight and profitability of IQOS, and the delivery of our 3 year cost efficiency target one year ahead of schedule, which also enables reinvestment in the business. This drove excellent EPS growth and cash generation, where we also exceeded our prior targets.
From a product standpoint, we broadened our smoke-free portfolio with a wider range of consumables, such as HEETS Dimensions and Fiit, and the launch of IQOS VEEV in e-vapor, and LIL in heat-not-burn.
We also continued to make good progress around the world on the recognition of the positive impact of switching smokers to scientifically substantiated RRPs. The FDA's Modified Risk Tobacco Product authorization of a version of IQOS was a major milestone in this regard. This was also followed by the pre-market authorization of the IQOS 3 device in December.
(SLIDE 6.)
Turning to the headline numbers, our full-year net revenues declined by 1.6% on an organic basis. This was an exceptionally resilient performance, in the context of the pandemic. We estimate that Duty Free, net of partial volume recapture in local markets, and Indonesia alone were a mid-single digit drag on our top line growth. Despite these factors, we saw strong organic growth of 6.9% in our net revenue per unit, driven by the increasing weight of IQOS in our sales mix.
Combustible tobacco pricing was 3.7%, reflecting solid pricing in many markets, partially offset by headwinds in Indonesia. Excluding Indonesia, combustible pricing was around 6%.
Despite the decline in organic net revenues and combustible volumes, our adjusted operating income margin increased by 240 basis points on an organic basis. This reflects the positive impact of IQOS on both our gross margin and the ratio of SG&A to net revenues, which I'll come back to. The resulting 7.0% adjusted diluted organic EPS growth exceeds our previous guidance of around 6%, and also reflects a strong end to the year in Japan.
(SLIDE 7.)
This brings me on to the fourth quarter, which had very similar dynamics to the full year. Organic net revenues declined by 3.5%. While a significant improvement from the decline of almost 10% in Q2, continued weakness in Indonesia and Duty-Free, and a lower total market in the Philippines, including price increase effects, more than offset a strong performance from IQOS.
Our net revenue per unit again increased solidly by 5.2% due to the same factors as the full year. Our adjusted operating income margin expanded by 200 basis points to deliver 7.4% adjusted diluted EPS growth, all on an organic basis.
(SLIDE 8.)
Before we turn back to the full year, I will now expand on the strong underlying Q4 dynamics in a little more detail.
Our HTU shipment volumes continued to show strong growth and reached a record 21.7 billion units -- driven by the EU Region, Japan and Russia.
In Japan, the industry was weak as expected, as consumer and trade de-loading following the October tax-driven price increase led to a 13% decline in the total tobacco market, including cigarillos. We outperformed this trend significantly as a strong finish for IQOS offtake and share gave rise to higher shipments for both in-quarter sell-out and to provide appropriate inventories for a strong expected start to 2021.
With social restrictions starting to tighten toward the end of the quarter in a number of markets in response to a second wave of the pandemic, combustible volumes and revenues saw some impact from reduced mobility and social occasions; albeit to a significantly lesser degree than the second quarter. Nonetheless, the strength of the IQOS business enabled the EU, Eastern Europe and East Asia & Australia Regions to deliver mid-single digit top-line growth.
Elsewhere, the continued challenges in Indonesia and Duty-Free against a tough comparison, and a lower total market in the Philippines in the immediate aftermath of a price increase, weighed on revenue growth. Despite the ongoing restrictions in many markets in the first quarter of 2021, and a tough prior year comparison, we expect better top-line performance, which I'll come back to later.
(SLIDE 9.)
Let me now go into the drivers of our 2020 margin expansion, starting with gross margin, which expanded by 200 basis points on an organic basis. This is driven by multiple levers. First, our ongoing transformation is delivering an increasing mix of IQOS consumables in our business. Second is pricing on combustibles. Third, is our focus on overall manufacturing and supply chain productivity which compensated for lower combustible volumes, exacerbated by impact of the pandemic, in addition to inflation, investments and extraordinary COVID-related costs in our supply chain.
(SLIDE 10.)
Gross margin expansion was augmented by our focus on SG&A efficiencies, with our adjusted marketing, administration and research costs 40 basis points lower as a percentage of net revenues, on an organic basis. This reflects the ongoing digitalization and simplification of our business processes, including our IQOS commercial engine, and more efficient ways of working.
(SLIDE 11.)
A clear focus on cost efficiencies allows us to improve profitability while continuing to invest in the growth of IQOS. I am very pleased to report that we have already achieved our 2019-21 target of over $1 billion in annualized gross savings in only 2 years, with $1.1billion delivered by the end of 2020. Over two-thirds of these savings came from manufacturing and supply chain productivity and device costs, where our focus on efficiency, quality and footprint more than offset inflation, supply chain investments, extraordinary COVID-related costs and the effect of lower combustible volumes.
The remainder came from commercial efficiencies and G&A costs. Importantly, these savings do not include those resulting from the pandemic, such as reduced travel and the necessary shift of consumers to digital channels. Between higher manufacturing costs and SG&A savings such as
these, we estimate a net efficiency of around $150m due to COVID effects. We plan to elaborate further on our cost initiatives, and their fueling of IQOS growth, at next week's investor day.
(SLIDE 12.)
The strong uplift in our profitability and excellent earnings growth allowed us to deliver nearly $10 billion in operating cash flow for the year, well above our expectation of at least $9 billion. This represents 3.5% like-for-like, ex-currency growth and also reflects ongoing working capital initiatives, an impressive performance in a year with significant disruption to global supply chains.
Our capital expenditures amounted to $0.6 billion, below our historic run rate. Significant improvements in manufacturing performance have translated into lower ongoing requirements, however, we also benefited from the timing of certain investments and expect capex of around $0.8 billion in 2021.
Aside from reinvesting in the business, the primary use of cash is on returns to shareholders and we raised the quarterly dividend this year to an annualized rate of $4.80 per share. Capital allocation is another topic we will cover at investor day.
(SLIDE 13.)
I turn now to industry volumes, which declined by around 6% in 2020, excluding the U.S. and China. This compares to the historic average of a 2-3% decline; we estimate the 3-4% difference is almost entirely attributable to the effects of the COVID pandemic on the combustible category. As is evident in our results, the smoke-free category has displayed remarkable resilience, reflecting its convenience and suitability for different use occasions.
As we have covered in prior quarters, lower daily consumption in combustibles has been driven by two main factors; first, the reduction in usage occasions during confinement, especially in markets with a large amount of daily wage workers; and second, the reduced amount of social occasions due to the closure of hospitality settings, and restrictions on social gatherings. Duty Free also remains depressed, in line with global travel.
We have seen a partial recovery in daily consumption since the most severe period of reduced mobility in Q2, and we expect a gradual improvement as the pandemic recedes. As we all know, there remains considerable uncertainty on the speed, shape and timing of exiting the pandemic - and at present many countries are experiencing a serious resurgence in infections. However, based on our recent experience with renewed lockdown situations, we do not expect to see a repeat of the severe drop in consumption of Q2, 2020. However, it is uncertain if any rebound will occur this year, so we assume the historic average decline of 2-3% to be the floor for industry trends in 2021. I'll come back to this when discussing guidance assumptions.
(SLIDE 14.)
Turning to our volume performance, weak combustible industry volumes were compounded by our exposure to Indonesia and Duty-Free, and the over-indexing of our premium portfolio to social consumption occasions. It follows that as the pandemic recedes, we should see a better dynamic in our market share, and I'll come to this point shortly. As expected, quarterly fluctuations in inventory levels were evened out over the year with no significant difference between our IMS and shipments.
(SLIDE 15.)
The clear highlight in our volume performance was the shipment of 76.1 billion HTUs in 2020. This was just above the upper end of our previously communicated 75-76 billion range and represents 28% growth over the prior year. HTU net revenues increased by 33% on an organic basis, partly reflecting positive mix. We remain well on track to deliver on our target of 90-100 billion units this year, and we will have more to say on the outlook beyond 2021 next week.
(SLIDE 16.)
This strong performance from IQOS means that heated tobacco units made up over 10% of our total shipment volume in 2020, and over 12% in the fourth quarter, as compared to approximately 8% in the year of 2019, and 5% in 2018. We continue to expect this proportion to grow over time as the positive momentum on IQOS continues, providing a powerful driver of revenue and margin growth.
(SLIDE 17.)
Our sales mix is changing rapidly. Smoke-free products made up 26% of our total net revenues in the fourth quarter. IQOS devices accounted for approximately 7% of the $6.8 billion of RRP net revenues for the full year, mainly due to a naturally lower ratio of new users to existing users, longer replacement cycles and geographic mix. In some geographies we still sell a substantial amount of the lower-priced original IQOS 2.4+ device, and we have now introduced LIL SOLID in Eastern Europe.
(SLIDE 18.)
Focusing now on our total international market share, our volume share increased by 0.2 points before the impact of Duty Free cigarettes and Indonesia. This was driven by higher share for heated tobacco units, which increased by 0.8 points to reach 3.0%, only partly offset by lower share for cigarettes.
In key markets where IQOS has a meaningful presence, our share increased with very few exceptions. However, our total international market share was negatively impacted by Duty Free and Indonesia.
Marlboro remains by far the world's leading brand with 9.5% share of cigarettes in 2020. However, in many markets, it over-indexes to social consumption occasions, which are naturally lower during COVID-related restrictions. Indeed, we saw aggregate Marlboro share movements track pandemic developments over the course of the year, and expect its recovery to have a similar trend.
In terms of value share, i.e. our share of total industry net revenues excluding the U.S. and China, which is more closely related to financial performance, we estimate to be significantly above our volume share, given the premium positioning of Marlboro and IQOS. We expect our value share to grow strongly in 2021, driven by IQOS.
(SLIDE 19.)
I turn now to Indonesia. After a difficult 2020, we enter 2021 with a sequentially stable share trend, supported by our leadership of the hand-rolled kretek segment, which is growing again.
New excise duty rates will come into force on February 1, with a weighted average increase of around 13% for our portfolio over 2021. This is broadly in line with the average annual increase prior to 2020, and for PMI is a lower average increase than the industry given our over-indexing to hand-rolled kreteks, where excise rates are unchanged. Given this higher-margin segment, which supports significant employment in Indonesia, is both lower-priced and less taxed than machine-made products, we expect a tailwind for our market share and financial performance over the coming year.
Despite the negative consequences for government revenues, there has not yet been a significant move to level the playing field between the tier one and below-tier one segments. We remain hopeful that the government will address this issue over time.
With respect to the minimum retail selling price, enforcement continues to progress slowly given mobility constraints. However, we expect the impact on the market is now likely to be more limited. The large majority of the industry is now above minimum levels, and with no change in the minimum price in 2021, the pass-on of new excise rates would move the remainder of the industry above compliant levels.
We also saw a flattening in the growth of the below-tier one segment in the fourth quarter, and a gradual improvement in our shipment volumes. As in many other markets, daily consumption improved since Q2 but is still below pre-pandemic levels, and remains sensitive to social restrictions.
Indonesia was a material drag on our 2020 financial results. While there remains much work to be done on the excise structure, and ongoing uncertainty with the regard to the pandemic, for 2021 we expect a much less negative industry volume trend, a better market share outlook and a much smaller impact on our overall performance.
(SLIDE 20.)
For the total international cigarette category, we assume a rebound over 2021-22 as the negative impacts of COVID on daily consumption reverse. The fundamentals of the category also remain intact, including price elasticities, which we estimate at around -0.4 on a global average basis.
With regard to our combustible portfolio, investment levels remain adequate; however, incrementally more may be needed in the immediate aftermath of COVID. We will continue investing in the brand equity of Marlboro, which remains by far the world's leading brand. Given the economic environment, the management of price gaps and growing our share of the low-price segment will also be a focus.
Pricing in combustibles remains an important driver of performance, and while the carry-over effects of COVID may impact our 2021 variance, the pricing power of our portfolio remains strong. Additionally, as HTU volumes grow, this pricing power increases due to the higher price productivity on HEETS and our other HTU brands. I would also highlight that pricing is no longer the sole driver of our top-line growth, with the increasing weight of IQOS in our sales mix generating significant growth in our average selling price.
(SLIDE 21.)
I move now to IQOS performance. We estimate that there were 17.6 million legal-age IQOS users as of December 31. This represents the addition of around 1.2 million adult users since the end of the third quarter and over 4 million in 2020. We have notably seen user acquisition accelerate through the second half of the year, despite renewed pandemic-linked restrictions in the fourth quarter in a number of markets. Our accelerated pivot to digital and remote engagement, combined with strong momentum for the IQOS brand, is paying off.
We further estimate that 72% of this total -- or 12.7 million adult smokers -- have switched to IQOS and stopped smoking, with the balance in various stages of conversion.
This again reflects widespread user growth momentum across all key IQOS geographies, including the EU Region, Japan and Russia. As our user base expands in markets such as Japan and Russia, we are increasingly enriching our offer and segmenting the category with new products and more price points.
The addition of LIL SOLID in Russia and Ukraine in the second half helped us to reach a broader range of legal-age smokers in these markets and bring them in to the smoke-free category, though at this early stage the number of users acquired through the purchase of a LIL device is immaterial in the context of our user base.
As we have said previously, we plan to bring more exciting innovation from IQOS in the coming quarters, which we will elaborate on further next week.
(SLIDE 22.)
In the EU Region, fourth-quarter share for HEETS reached a record 5.0% of total cigarette and HTU industry volume. As shown on this slide, this reflects strong sequential and year-over-year growth in IMS volumes. I draw your attention to the contrast between the consistent sequential growth in IMS, and the progression in sequential quarterly share which can be distorted by the seasonality of the combustible market, in addition to other fluctuations linked to the pandemic, such as border closures and other social restrictions. It follows that 2021 and future years are also likely to see underlying share gains accentuated in the winter months, with the converse dynamic in Q2 and Q3.
This excellent performance reflects strong growth in Italy, exiting the year with 10% share, with the large majority of user acquisition coming organically as the increasing awareness and prominence of the product builds its own momentum. Germany and Poland were also strong contributors. We added a further 0.6 million IQOS users in the fourth quarter to reach 5.2 million, a continuation of recent strong performance.
(SLIDE 23.)
In addition, we saw further progress in Spain and in the UK where both national and London HEETS offtake shares continue to grow, with the latter reaching almost 4% in the quarter. We show here select key cities which demonstrate the strong traction of IQOS, and the excellent potential for national shares across the Region. I also refer you to the appendix where we show shares for key EU markets and global key cities.
(SLIDE 24.)
Strong performance continued in Russia, with our HTU share up by 2.2 points to reach a record 7.2% in Q4. As with the EU Region, we highlight the effects of the seasonality in the combustible category on quarterly shares. The seasonal fluctuations in Russia can be significant, and we urge you to bear this in mind when reading our quarterly results in the future.
A notable success in the latter part of the year was the expansion of our product portfolio with LIL SOLID and Fiit consumables to cater to a broader range of adult smokers across the socio-economic spectrum. In both Russia and Ukraine, the majority of consumers purchasing a LIL device are new users, with this incrementality contributing to an acceleration in user acquisition, with high levels of conversion in line with IQOS. The volume of Fiit consumables sold is broadly commensurate with LIL device ownership, and at this early stage of commercialization both are small in the context of the IQOS business in these markets. However, while we have successfully uptraded many legal-age smokers in the medium price segment to IQOS, this
bodes well for our ability to reach consumers in certain markets in the medium and below price segments for whom purchasing power may be a barrier to entering the category.
(SLIDE 25.)
The IQOS brand also resonates strongly across the Eastern Europe Region. Rapid growth and excellent market shares are testament to our agile commercial model and the consumer appetite for smoke-free alternatives, even in markets with lower purchasing power, and again serve as very encouraging indicators for the continued progression of our national market shares.
(SLIDE 26.)
In Japan, our total reported share for heated tobacco units reached 22.1% in the fourth quarter, supported by line extensions for both Marlboro HeatSticks and HEETS such as the recent launch of Marlboro Black Menthol.
On a more representative total tobacco basis including cigarillos and adjusted for trade inventory movements, the share for our HTU brands increased by 2.9 points versus the prior year quarter, and by 1.2 points sequentially, to 20.0%. Both HEETS and Marlboro HeatSticks grew market share following the October price increase, highlighting the strength of our price-tiered portfolio. We are especially pleased by our Q4 offtake share in Tokyo which reached the milestone of 25% in December.
Q4, 2020 adjusted in-market sales volumes for our HTU brands grew 0.6% sequentially, which we regard as a strong performance given the pull-forward of consumer offtake into Q3 before the price increase. The overall heated tobacco category made up over 27% of the total tobacco market in Q4, with IQOS maintaining its high share of segment.
(SLIDE 27.)
We are especially pleased by our Q4 offtake share in Tokyo which reached the milestone of 25% in December. A very similar picture is seen in key cities across Japan, including Sendai. The Korean market has specific challenges around consumer misperceptions of the category, and while we continue working to address these issues, it's notable that Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia has already overtaken Seoul in market share terms, crossing double-digits in the third quarter.
(SLIDE 28.)
In addition to strong growth in existing markets, the geographic expansion of IQOS continues. We leveraged our digital capabilities to launch in 3 new markets: Estonia, Kuwait and the Maldives. This takes the total number of markets where IQOS is available for sale to 64, of which over half are outside the OECD.
(SLIDE 29.)
We continue the commercialization of IQOS VEEV, our new e-vapor product, with the first EU market launch in the Czech Republic in December. This follows lead market New Zealand in August 2020, and we will continue to enter new markets over 2021, including Italy and Finland in the coming weeks.
As we have said previously, the commercial infrastructure of IQOS allows us to deploy efficiently and at scale. Both the VEEV device and the consumables will be premium-positioned. We also place great importance on efforts to guard against youth access for all our products. As we roll out IQOS VEEV, we will be testing age verification technology in select markets.
(SLIDE 30.)
Switching now to sustainability, I want to again emphasize that our corporate strategy and our sustainability strategy are deeply aligned. ESG issues are business issues that serve as input to our long-term strategy, and sit at the core of our mission.
Despite the unprecedented challenges of the global pandemic, we have not deviated from our efforts to be a more sustainable company and we achieved a number of key milestones in 2020.
By replacing cigarettes with less harmful alternatives, we can significantly reduce the negative impact our products have on the health of our consumers. That’s why the core of our strategy focuses on addressing the impact of P (Product), the first and most critical pillar of our approach to sustainability. This is what differentiates our company and highlights our unique value proposition, as the final piece of our 'ESG + P' framework. Phasing out cigarettes remains our focus, and in 2020 we estimate a further 4.1 million legal-age smokers entered the smoke-free category with IQOS, with a total of 12.7 million now switched and stopped smoking.
We also show here some recent notable achievements across ESG, which we will come back to in more detail at investor day.
While there remains much work to do, we believe our transparency and detailed approach to sustainability materiality and disclosure makes PMI an excellent example of impact, which we are achieving through carefully embedding sustainability into business, and understanding it as an opportunity for innovation and growth; including our pioneering role in tobacco harm reduction. In other words, our transformation is a unique sustainability story, another topic we will return to next week.
(SLIDE 31.)
I will now turn to guidance for 2021, where we expect a significant recovery. The main unknown is the speed and shape of the global exit from the
pandemic. While COVID was clearly disruptive to our performance in 2020, it is not yet over and we must factor this uncertainty into our outlook for the coming year. With the roll-out of vaccines just starting and lockdown measures currently in place across many markets, we do not assume any meaningful change in the first quarter, where we also face an unfavorable 'pre-COVID' prior year comparison. Looking beyond this, there are clearly a range of outcomes and we are reflecting this by providing a range for our assumed organic growth in net revenues and EPS. These ranges assume that even in the event of prolonged restrictions, we will not see a return to the depressed consumption levels of Q2, 2020, which is consistent with our observations of a less severe impact in the second wave.
For Duty Free, a rebound in global travel is likely to lag the improvement of in-country mobility. Our guidance assumes no meaningful recovery in Duty Free this year.
Despite this assumption, we expect organic net revenue growth in the range of 4% to 7%, and organic adjusted diluted EPS growth of 9% to 11%, or 14% to 16% in dollar terms. This tighter range for EPS reflects the likely higher levels of growth investments in the event of a faster recovery, and thus our assumption is for at least 150 basis points of margin expansion in all scenarios within the range. This reflects the ongoing positive mix effect of IQOS in our business, and the accretion of cost efficiencies net of continued growth investments.
This projected organic EPS growth, including an estimated favorable currency impact of approximately 25 cents at prevailing rates, translates into an adjusted diluted EPS range of $5.90 to $6.00. This guidance does not assume share repurchases.
This guidance also assumes the achievement of our 3 year HTU shipment volume target of 90 to 100 billion units.
(SLIDE 32.)
Coming to some of the other key assumptions underpinning this guidance, we expect a total industry volume progression of flat to -3% depending on the speed and shape of recovery from the pandemic.
We expect to outperform the industry trend, driven by the share gains of IQOS, with a resulting PMI volume forecast of +1% to -2%.
This also incorporates a manageable excise outlook, including a positive structural change in Turkey, an above-average increase in Russia and the increase in Indonesia, in line with historic averages.
As I mentioned earlier, our combustible pricing power remains strong. However, given 2020 carry-over effects -- notably in Indonesia -- and the immediate aftermath of the COVID crisis, we assume combustible pricing of 2-3% in 2021, or around 4% excluding Indonesia. As in 2020, the biggest
driver of our top-line growth is likely to be the higher weight of the IQOS business, which has significantly higher average net revenue per unit.
As laid out in this morning's press release, we assume that our full-year effective tax rate will be around 22%, and assume that operating cash flow will grow strongly to around $11 billion, at prevailing exchange rates and subject to working capital requirements. As I already mentioned, we assume capital expenditures of around $0.8 billion.
(SLIDE 33.)
Let me now spend a moment on the expectations for the first quarter. Our organic net revenues are likely to be around stable to slightly down as we lap a strong Q1, 2020, which benefited from inventory build-up in March as the pandemic began to spread in many markets, in addition to being a largely COVID-free quarter.
This incorporates continued strong year-on-year growth in the shipment and IMS volumes of HTUs. Due to normal seasonal patterns and the lower number of selling days in Q1, we expect these volumes to be sequentially stable to slightly below Q4, 2020. We also expect strong sequential HTU share gains on both an underlying and reported basis compared to Q4, noting the seasonal factors in the combustible market I already mentioned.
We expect strong margin progression in Q1 primarily due to the positive mix effect of IQOS, and the effect of the cost efficiencies realized in 2020. We believe this should result in an organic adjusted diluted EPS growth of around 8%, which equates to around $1.40, including an estimated 9 cent favorable currency impact, at prevailing rates.
Looking beyond the first quarter, it will come as no surprise that the easier comparison in Q2 should enable higher-than-average year-over-year growth in volumes and net revenues.
(SLIDE 34.)
To conclude, our results were stronger than expected, with 7% organic EPS growth delivered in the tumult of 2020.
We are building a business through IQOS to deliver superior and sustainable growth over the coming years. The continued momentum of IQOS through the challenges of the pandemic demonstrates these structural growth characteristics. We are also committed to maintaining the strong leadership and competitiveness of our combustible business.
We have a number of levers for growth in our top and bottom lines. First, the powerful mix effect of IQOS. Second, pricing, which remains important for combustibles and, where appropriate, for RRPs. Additionally, efficiencies in our manufacturing, supply chain and SG&A costs are further levers as we continue to hone our business model.
Moreover, with the launches of the IQOS VEEV and LIL products we are broadening and stepping up our product offer and innovation in 2021. You can also expect us to bring further exciting innovation to our IQOS heat-not-burn platform.
As I mentioned, sustainability is at the heart of our smoke-free strategy and we continue to work tirelessly to further our mission.
Our organization demonstrated extraordinary resilience this year, coping and growing admirably through one of the most challenging periods in recent history. At the same time, our business continues to transform, incorporating and leveraging new skills and capabilities.
In short, we look forward with confidence, and we will expand on these topics further at our virtual Investor Day on February 10. We look forward to seeing you there.
(SLIDE 35.)
Thank you. André, Jacek and I are now happy to answer your questions.
Q&A SESSION
(SLIDE 36.)
ANDRE CALANTZOPOULOS (CLOSING REMARKS AFTER Q&A)
Thank you for joining us today. We came through a tumultuous year in 2020 with robust results, and now look forward to a significant recovery in 2021. IQOS continues to grow strongly, with excellent momentum, and we expect a rebound in cigarette volumes over the next 1-2 years. We look forward to sharing more with you on our long-term growth prospects and strategy next week.
NICK ROLLI
That concludes our call today. If you have any follow-up questions, please contact the Investor Relations team. I remind you that our virtual investor day is next Wednesday February 10, starting at around 8.30am Eastern Time and concluding at approximately 1.30p.m. You can register for the webcast via our website at www.pmi.com/2021InvestorDay. Thank you again and have a nice day.