
20
BlackRock World Mining Trust plc
l
Annual Report and Financial Statements 31 December 2022
Demand for the Platinum Group Metals
(PGMs) continues to be impacted by
the weakness in global auto production
and the share gains from EVs (over
internal combustion engines) which do
not use PGMs. While Russia is a major
producer of PGMs, accounting for
40% of global palladium production,
there has been minimal impact to
Russian PGM supply. During 2022
there was mixed performance from
the PGMs with the platinum price
(+11%) outperforming the palladium
price (-9%).
We continue to remain positive on
the medium-term outlook for the
PGMs and believe the PGM basket will
remain high relative to history given
limited new supply and increasing
PGM loadings for auto catalysts to
meet rising emissions standards. The
Company has reduced its exposure to
pure play PGM producers during the
year which represented 2.0% of the
portfolio at the year end. In addition,
the Company has exposure to PGMs
via its holding in Anglo American
(5.2% the portfolio) which owns 79%
of Anglo American Platinum. The
standout performer among our PGM
exposure during the year was our
investment in Bravo Mining, a PGM
exploration company focused on the
Luanga project in Brazil which they
acquired from Vale. As outlined in the
unquoted section of the report, the
company’s IPO during the year resulted
in a 170% uplift from our pre-IPO
investment made in early 2022 and
finished the year above its IPO price
with early results from its drilling
campaign confirming and, in a number
of instances, exceeding the historical
drilling results from Vale showing
previously unidentified rhodium and
nickel sulphide mineralisation in the
assay results.
Energy transition metals
Growth in battery electric vehicles
(BEVs) continued in 2022, creating
significant demand for the materials
that enable that transition. Demand
for pure battery EVs grew 40% in 2022
to 267,000 units (16% of all new car
registrations in 2022), with demand
for plug-in hybrids also growing. This
growth has been mainly driven by
China, with Europe and the US lagging.
We expect this structural growth to
continue and accelerate particularly
in the US, driven by increased model
launches, strengthening consumer
preference due to technological
advantage and government policy.
Of particular note in 2022, was the
announcement of the US Inflation
Reduction Act. As well as other
climate change related measures, this
policy supports EV demand through
significant subsidies of up to US$7,500
per car. This is expected to support US
BEV demand in 2023. The Company
has exposure to the raw materials that
go into EV batteries and the e-motor.
Lithium is a critical component of an
EV battery and demand for lithium
has been strong this year with the
market firmly in deficit and benchmark
Chinese prices reaching all-time
highs in November, finishing 2022
up by 101.6%. The Company added
to its lithium holdings in late 2021,
establishing a position in SQM and
Sigma Lithium both of which have
performed well in this environment
returning 78% and 207% respectively
(GBP returns). We also added a new
position in relative underperformer
Albemarle in June and Mineral
Resources in October, as they too stand
to benefit from the continued tight
demand supply situation in lithium, as
well as their own volume growth. The
Company has a 2.1% position across
its lithium holdings.
A critical component of the electric
car is also the e-motor, which most
commonly uses a Praseodymium-
Neodymium (NdPr) magnet, an alloy
of two rare earth elements (REE). REEs
are commonly mined and processed
in China and have been deemed of
strategic importance by both Europe
and the US. The Company has exposure
to REEs through Lynas, a REE miner
and processor crucially based in
Malaysia and Australia. In 2022 Lynas
equity fell by 19.1%, but the company
announced in June that they had won
a contract from the US Department
of Defence to deliver a US rare earth
separation facility, underscoring the
strategic growth opportunity.
EV battery raw materials include
cobalt, where LME prices fell by
26.3% as supply increased faster than
demand; the market is moving to lower
cobalt intensity cathode materials
with higher nickel or lithium iron
phosphate chemistry (LFP). Supply
growth is set to continue with cobalt
being a by-product of many of the
Indonesian nickel projects announced
and currently ramping. In addition,
2023 may be impacted by the release
of 10,000 tonnes of stockpiled cobalt
from the Tenke mine in the Democratic
Republic of the Congo (DRC) which has
been unable to export in the second
half of 2022 due to a government
dispute. Glencore’s Mutanda mine
in the DRC ramped-up production in
2022, supporting circa 50% growth
in cobalt production in the first nine
months of the year. Glencore, in which
the Company has a 7.7% position, saw
its share price rise by 47.3% during
2022. Glencore is a globally significant
cobalt producer which produced
22% of mine production in 2020 and
this is set to increase with Mutanda’s
ramp-up.
Royalty and unquoted
investments
Over the last year the Company has
been busy growing the unquoted part
of the portfolio and we are delighted
to report that this has delivered great
performance through a combination
of IPOs, financing valuation uplifts
and strong income generation. As
mentioned in previous reports, the
focus of the unquoted investments is
to seek to generate both capital growth
and income to deliver the superior total
return goal for the portfolio. Ongoing
income from the royalty investments
has continued with the OZ Minerals
Brazil Royalty starting to benefit from
the ramp-up of the Pedra Branca mine,
whilst the Vale Debentures enjoyed
a better period of production despite
lower iron ore prices year-on-year.
Key highlights in the unquoted equity
sleeve include Ivanhoe Electric which
completed its IPO in June despite
the difficult market conditions. This
resulted in an increase in the value
of the holding of over 100% in less