
17
SMITHS GROUP PLC ANNUAL REPORT FY2023
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER’S REVIEW
CONTINUED
US$100 trillion over the next 30 years to evolve from
mostly fossil-based to low- and no-carbon energy
sources. Global investment in energy will be about
US$2.8 trillion in 2023, and investment in clean
technologies such as low-emission fuels, carbon
capture and heat pumps will represent more than 60%
of the total. Clean energy investment is up 24% in just
two years and participants in this market are seeing
surging demand. Our pipeline of hydrogen and carbon
capture opportunities, for example, more than doubled
over the past 12 months.
Aviation markets behave similarly. While the cycle is a
bit shorter, closer to five years, the trajectory is also
steadily positive over time. Airline passenger volume
has only dipped twice in the past three decades (9/11
and COVID), with volume up threefold across the period.
As with energy markets, we are in the early days of an
upcycle following airport closures around the globe in
2020–21. Powerful long-term forces are also at work
here, such as the world’s ever-rising need for better
security and faster screening times. You would have
experienced an example of this if you weren’t required
to remove your laptop the last time you went through
an airport checkpoint. This safer and more efficient
experience is made possible by technologies like
computed tomography, automated tray returns and
machine learning. Smiths is at the forefront of each,
and propelled by this, our aviation detection business
grew 9% in FY2023.
Not all of our end markets grew last year. As our
Chairman notes in his letter, semiconductors are
an example. Smiths has some exposure here – less
than 3% of Group sales. On the one hand, the
semiconductor market shares several similarities with
energy and aviation. It’s large (>US$500bn). It’s global.
It consistently grows over time (+10 times in 40 years).
And it is cyclical. However, unlike energy and aviation,
which are both cycling up, the global semiconductor
market is coming off a record peak in 2022. Smiths
makes test equipment used to measure chip
performance and durability. As expected, this business
contracted for us in FY2023, particularly during the
second half. We expect these challenges to continue
through the first part of FY2024, but we remain
confident in the coming upcycle that we have seen
so many times before. So much so, in fact, that we
acquired a synergistic testing business in Q2,
positioning us to extend our leadership position
once recovery begins.
Further to our Chairman’s letter, North American
construction is another example of a market that
contracted last year. Smiths also has exposure here –
around 15% of Group sales. In this case, despite a
market downturn, our business grew 9% in FY2023,
marking our 14th straight year of expansion. The two
effects mentioned earlier – innovation and market
selection – have helped our business consistently grow
even as the market naturally cycles. With respect to
innovation, we have a technology platform that
addresses specific customer needs by applying
different resin layers to metallic tubing systems. We
introduced a new product in this family at the start of
the fiscal year and it is beginning to scale. In terms of
market selection, our penetration is highest in parts
of the US where population growth is strongest, such
as the southeast, south central and the midwest. In
support of this, we opened a new manufacturing facility
in Texas in FY2023 and completed a synergistic
acquisition in Ohio at the start of FY2024. Consistent
with macro forecasts, we expect the US construction
downcycle to continue for a few more quarters.
Consistent with past performance, however, we expect
our business to post another year of growth in FY2024.
PORTFOLIO BALANCE
The many benefits of portfolio balance are a third factor
enabling industrial technology companies to shine,
even against a cloudy macro. Balance takes many
forms. The highest-performing industrials typically
serve multiple end markets (we serve four major ones).
They often balance one-time equipment sales with
recurring aftermarket service revenues (our business
is roughly half and half). They earn more price than
they absorb, especially important in high inflation
environments (our delta was +£40m in FY2023). And
they are well balanced geographically. Worldwide reach
is a prerequisite for serving global customers, and
upswings in one part of the world offset downturns in
others. Smiths has people and resources in more
than 50 countries and, aside from the US, no country
accounts for more than 5% of revenues. Our business
outpaced GDP growth in all major regions of the world
in FY2023.
LOOKING FORWARD
Looking forward to FY2024, the macro and micro
should converge. After a period of serial downgrades,
macro forecasts have recently started to improve.
The most recent data published by the OECD, IMF, and
World Bank all expect global GDP growth in 2024 to be
modestly above 2023. Specific to Smiths, we’ve guided
to 4-6% organic revenue growth, in line with the
medium-term financial commitments we made at our
November 2021 Capital Markets Day.
FY2024 will mark Smiths Group’s 110th consecutive
year of being listed on the London Stock Exchange,
and our 173rd of continuous operation. While a lot has
changed across this time, our purpose of improving our
world through smarter engineering has remained a
steadfast guide. I applaud my 15,000 colleagues around
the world who live this purpose each and every day.
I thank Sir George Buckley for his many contributions
to Smiths over the last ten years and welcome Steve
Williams, who takes over as Chair at our Annual
General Meeting in November.
In closing, we’re encouraged by our progress and proud
of our accomplishments in FY2023. Energised by this
momentum, we are even more excited by all we see
ahead for Smiths.
Thank you for your trust and support,
PAUL KEEL
Chief Executive Officer
+24%
Market investment in clean
energy over two years.
+9%
Growth in aviation detection
revenue.
FY2024 will mark
Smiths Group’s 110th
consecutive year
of being listed on
the London Stock
Exchange, and our
173rd of continuous
operation. While a lot
has changed across
this time, our purpose
of improving our world
through smarter
engineering has
remained a steadfast
guide.
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