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Earnings Call Transcript

Alector, Inc. (ALEC)

Earnings Call Transcript 2025-06-30 For: 2025-06-30
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Added on May 04, 2026

Earnings Call Transcript - ALEC Q2 2025

Operator, Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Alector Second Quarter and Midyear 2025 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Katie Hogan, Senior Director of Corporate Communications and Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Katie Hogan, Senior Director of Corporate Communications and Investor Relations

Thank you, operator, and hello, everyone. Earlier this afternoon, we released our financial results for the second quarter 2025. The press release is available on our website at www.alector.com, and our 10-Q was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission this afternoon. Joining me on the call today are Dr. Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO; Dr. Sara Kenkare-Mitra, President and Head of Research and Development; Dr. Giacomo Salvadore, Chief Medical Officer; Neil Berkley, Chief Business Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer; and guest speaker, Dr. Ryan Darby, Associate Professor of Neurology and Director of the Frontotemporal Dementia Clinic at Vanderbilt University Medical Center as well as a paid consultant to Alector, who will provide clinical context on frontotemporal dementia. After our formal remarks, we'll open the call for Q&A. I'd like to note that during this call, we'll be making a number of forward-looking statements. Please take a moment to review our slide on the webcast, which contains our forward-looking statement disclosure, and we also encourage you to review our SEC filings for more information. I would now like to turn the call over to Arnon Rosenthal, Chief Executive Officer. Arnon?

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

Thank you, Katie, and good afternoon, everyone. As we enter the second half of 2025, Alector is approaching an important inflection point. By mid-fourth quarter, we expect top line data from our pivotal Phase III INFRONT-3 trial of latozinemab, our most advanced clinical program. This trial represents the first rigorous test of the progranulin elevating approach to treating frontotemporal dementia due to the GRN gene mutation, a fatal and rare form of dementia that strikes people decades earlier than Alzheimer's disease and currently has no approved therapy. We designed latozinemab based on clear biological and human genetic rationale to elevate progranulin levels by blocking its internalization and degradation by the sortilin receptor. FTD-GRN is directly caused by progranulin deficiency, and restoring it has the potential to alter the course of the disease. Our earlier studies in participants with FTD-GRN provided encouraging signals, both in biomarkers and in clinical progression. INFRONT-3 will allow us to determine whether those findings hold up in a larger placebo-controlled, double-blinded trial. Together with our partner, GSK, we are advancing launch readiness activities to help ensure we are well positioned to support the potential commercialization of latozinemab. Additionally, we are also excited about our late-stage clinical program in early Alzheimer's disease, where we are advancing AL101, our second progranulin elevating antibody, which is currently in Phase II trial. There is a strong genetic and biological rationale for the role of progranulin in Alzheimer's disease. Loss of function mutations in progranulin have been shown to increase the risk of Alzheimer's disease in humans, while overexpression of progranulin has been shown to be protective in animal models of Alzheimer's disease. Enrollment of this Phase II trial was completed in April, and trial completion is expected in 2026. AL101 shares a similar mechanism with latozinemab, but its pharmacological properties make it suitable for more prevalent neurodegenerative diseases. In parallel, we are investing in a research and preclinical pipeline designed to fuel our future. These programs include our proprietary anti-amyloid beta antibody for Alzheimer's disease, an engineered GCase enzyme replacement therapy for Parkinson's disease, and an anti-tau siRNA for Alzheimer's disease, all enabled by elective brain carrier, our proprietary technology platform that enables us to deliver antibodies, proteins, enzymes, and siRNA across the blood-brain barrier. This opened the door to more effective brain-directed therapies across multiple modalities. Our late-stage clinical programs, combined with our early-stage pipeline enabled by our proprietary blood-brain barrier technology, give us the opportunity to deliver both near-term catalysts and sustained pipeline momentum. Our goal is to deliver therapies that eradicate neurodegeneration and improve patient outcomes. And in doing so, build a durable high-impact biotechnology company. Our commitment to tackling neurodegeneration drives us to engage experts who understand these diseases firsthand. It is my pleasure to introduce Dr. Ryan Darby, Associate Professor of Neurology and Director of the Frontotemporal Dementia Clinic at Vanderbilt University Medical Center. Dr. Darby brings deep clinical expertise in frontotemporal dementia and will speak to the urgent unmet need in this disease. Dr. Darby received his undergraduate degree from Princeton University in Psychology and Neuroscience and his medical degree from Vanderbilt University. He trained in neurology at MGH and Brigham & Women Hospital as part of the Partners Neurology Harvard Medical School Program. Dr. Darby's research focuses on neurodegeneration's impact on brain networks related to behavior and decision-making. His contributions to the field have been recognized with awards such as The Norman Geschwind Prize in Behavioral Neurology. Dr. Darby, thank you for joining us today. I will now turn the call over to you.

Ryan Darby, Associate Professor of Neurology

Thank you so much for the kind introduction. Today, I'll be providing an overview of frontotemporal dementia, or FTD, which is a complex and devastating group of neurodegenerative conditions that impact thousands of individuals and their families worldwide. We'll touch on its subtypes, the clinical progression, the genetic drivers like FTD-GRN, and the current and future landscape of treatment and diagnosis. FTD is not a single disease but instead a group of disorders caused by progressive neuronal cell loss in the brain's frontal and temporal lobes. This neurodegeneration leads to a broad range of symptoms, and we categorize FTD into different clinical subtypes based on those symptoms in the areas of the brain that are affected first. First, we have the behavioral variant FTD or BVFTD, which is the most common form. It's characterized by striking changes in personality and behavior such as apathy, impulsivity, and socially inappropriate behaviors. Next, there is primary progressive aphasia or PPA, which primarily impacts language. In FTD, this is further subdivided into two main subtypes, the semantic variants where individuals lose their understanding of word meaning and the non-fluent variant where speech becomes halting and effortful. Finally, we have FTD that presents with motor or movement-related symptoms. And this can present with overlapping conditions such as progressive supranuclear palsy, or PSP, cortical basal syndrome or CBS, and ALS FTD, which combines features of motor neuron disease with FTD. These clinical presentations fall under the broad umbrella term frontotemporal lobar degeneration, or FTLD, which is the pathological term reflecting the underlying biology. FTD is most commonly associated with the buildup of two key proteins, TDP-43 and tau. However, determining which protein is involved in a living patient is extremely difficult unless there's a known genetic mutation or after death at a post-mortem examination. FTD itself is rarer than Alzheimer's, but is still the most common cause of dementia in individuals under the age of 60. In the U.S., the incidence is estimated to be 15 to 22 cases per 100,000 person years, which results in a prevalence of about 50,000 to 60,000 concurrent cases in the U.S. In Europe, the number is closer to 110,000. The toll on individuals and their families in FTD is profound. FTD, compared to other dementias, often leads to greater functional impairments in the activities of daily living, earlier onset, frequently disrupting careers, relationships, and independence. Caregivers in FTD often report a higher burden and more painful loss of sense of personal identity and personhood compared to Alzheimer's disease, in part because these patients present with emotionally disengaged symptoms and inappropriate behaviors. Approximately 30% of FTD cases have a strong family history, and we now recommend that there are three main autosomal dominant genetic mutations in FTD: the C9orf72 mutation, the MAPT mutation, and the GRN mutation. There are at least 20 other rare mutations that are also known to be associated with FTD. Today, we're focusing on FTD-GRN, which represents about 5% to 10% of FTD cases. This is a form that results from mutations in the GRN gene, leading to reduced levels of progranulin, a critical protein for neuronal survival and function. Progranulin deficiency contributes to neurodegeneration through multiple potential mechanisms, including lysosomal dysfunction and inflammation. Emerging biomarkers such as neurofilament light chain, or NfL, and changes in structural brain MRI are helping us to track disease progression and the onset of neuronal loss more objectively. Unfortunately, there are no FDA-approved disease-modifying treatments for FTD. Management currently is largely symptomatic and supportive, often involving behavioral strategies, speech therapy, and medications targeting mood or agitation. However, there is hope on the horizon with ongoing clinical trials now targeting genetic forms of FTD, including GRN mutations; this offers an exciting opportunity to address the disease at the molecular level and develop new therapies. However, we face several key challenges. First is diagnostic complexity. FTD is frequently misdiagnosed or diagnosed late in the disease course. Genetic testing is not routinely performed. And even in younger patients, we often lack information about the underlying protein pathology, making it difficult to tailor interventions or enroll appropriate patients in clinical trials. Trial design is another challenge. Symptoms vary widely, not just from patient to patient, but even in the same person over time, and that can include the full range of behavioral, psychiatric, language, and motor features. We need better tools to identify patients earlier in that disease course and better ways of tracking that disease over time. Finally, there is an urgent need for disease-modifying therapies, especially in the genetic subtypes where the biology is known. Advances in biomarkers are helping move the field forward by enabling early diagnosis, better stratification, and more sensitive tracking of disease progression. So in closing, FTD is a complex and deeply impactful disease, both biologically and personally for the patients and families. With increased understanding of the genetic underpinnings like the GRN mutation and the development of robust biomarkers, we're now in a position to truly develop transformative therapies. So with that, I'll turn the call over to Giacomo Salvadore, Alector's Chief Medical Officer.

Giacomo Salvadore, Chief Medical Officer

Thank you, Dr. Darby, for that insightful overview of the clinical realities and urgent unmet need in frontotemporal dementia. Your perspective helps frame the importance of our work as we approach the INFRONT-3 data readout by mid-Q4. As Dr. Darby noted, FTD-GRN accounts for approximately 5% to 10% of all FTD cases. This represents about 8,000 to 17,000 cases in the U.S. and EU alone. It is striking how many people living with FTD still have no approved treatment options today, underscoring the need for continued innovation and urgency in this field. With this context in mind, I want to provide a deeper overview of the science behind our approach, the data we have generated to date, and how our pivotal Phase III INFRONT-3 trial is structured. Latozinemab is a novel investigational human monoclonal antibody developed in collaboration with GSK, and we believe it is the most advanced therapeutic candidate in development for FTD-GRN. We have evaluated latozinemab in both Phase I and Phase II clinical studies. In Phase I, the treatment was well tolerated in healthy volunteers, and dose-dependent increases in plasma progranulin were observed. Our open-label Phase II INFRONT-2 study enrolled 12 participants with symptomatic FTD-GRN. Treatment with latozinemab normalized plasma and CSF progranulin levels, resulting in a two to threefold increase that was rapid and sustained over the course of treatment. We also assessed a panel of disease-relevant biomarkers, including neurofilament light chain, NfL, glial fibrillary acidic protein GFAP, and markers of lysosomal function and neuroinflammation. These biomarkers moved in the direction consistent with slowing disease progression. On the clinical side, we used the CDR-NACC-FTLD-SB, a validated scale for FTD that captures cognitive, functional, behavioral, and language changes. In a blinded propensity match comparison to participants from the GENFI2 natural history study, treatment with latozinemab was associated with a 48% slowing of disease progression over 12 months. These are the same clinical measures and core biomarkers being carried forward into INFRONT-3, our ongoing pivotal Phase III trial. INFRONT-3 is a 96-week randomized double-blind, placebo-controlled global trial evaluating latozinemab in 103 symptomatic and 16 at-risk individuals with confirmed GRN mutation. Participants received 60 milligrams per kilogram of latozinemab or placebo via intravenous infusion every four weeks. The primary analysis will be conducted in symptomatic participants, and we plan to include at least three participants in a sensitivity analysis. The clinical primary endpoint is the CDR-NACC-FTLD sum of boxes. Following engagement with the FDA and in line with the agency's recommendation, we and GSK have made the decision to amend the statistical analysis plan for INFRONT-3 to include plasma progranulin as a co-primary endpoint, along with the CDR-NACC-FTLD-SB. Keep in mind that an approximate 50% reduction in progranulin is a causal factor for FTD-GRN. Additionally, we are collecting fluid and imaging biomarkers, including plasma NfL, GFAP, and volumetric MRI. We believe this positions us to deliver a clear and well-aligned data package later this year. INFRONT-3 is approximately 90% powered to detect a 40% slowing of disease progression. If our key design assumptions hold, a 25% lowering is expected to be statistically significant, and we believe that will represent a meaningful clinical benefit in a disease with no approved treatment. Latozinemab has been generally well tolerated across our clinical trials with no major safety signal observed to date in either healthy volunteers or patients with FTD-GRN. As a reminder, latozinemab has received breakthrough therapy and Fast Track designation from the FDA and orphan drug designation from both the FDA and the EMA. Following the receipt of the breakthrough therapy designation, which was granted based on our Phase II data, we had a Type B interaction with the FDA to address key elements of a potential future biologic license application. The agency indicated that the totality of the evidence, including clinical outcomes and disease-relevant biomarker, could support a submission for full approval pending BLA review. Additionally, we aligned on a set of fluid and imaging biomarkers that may serve as supportive efficacy data. We and GSK are preparing for potential BLA and MAA submissions in 2026, seeking full approval based on the strength of our trial design. Latozinemab represents a biomarker-driven, mechanistically targeted approach to treating genetically defined FTD-GRN, a severe neurodegenerative disease with no approved therapies. We believe the strength of our clinical data, the alignment with regulators, and the breadth of our clinical and biomarker package position us well as we prepare for the INFRONT-3 readout by mid-Q4. Let me also briefly comment on AL101, our second progranulin elevating monoclonal antibody. AL101 is a distinct molecule that targets a different pathway and has a different pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic profile, making it suitable for more prevalent neurodegenerative diseases. Importantly, as Arnon mentioned, our rationale for evaluating a progranulin elevating approach in Alzheimer's disease is grounded in human genetics. Reduced GRN expression has been implicated in Alzheimer's pathophysiology, supporting the potential of progranulin modulation in that setting. AL101 is currently being evaluated in early Alzheimer's disease with enrollment in the global Phase II PROGRESS-AD study completed in April and trial completion expected in 2026. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Sara to share an update on our preclinical and research pipeline.

Saraswati Kenkare-Mitra, President and Head of Research and Development

Thank you, Giacomo. As you've heard today, we are advancing our late-stage clinical programs, which have a strong scientific rationale, robust trial designs, and meaningful regulatory engagement. In parallel, we are advancing a research and preclinical pipeline that reflects Alector's long-term vision. These programs are grounded in the same principles that define our clinical portfolio, a strong genetic and biological rationale and high transformational potential and a focus on serious neurodegenerative diseases with first and best-in-class therapeutic approaches. A key enabler of our preclinical and research programs is our proprietary electrobrain carrier. Delivery of sufficient drug to the brain remains a challenge for targeting neurodegenerative diseases. Our ABC platform is a versatile blood-brain barrier transport technology that allows us to efficiently deliver a broad range of therapeutic modalities into the brain. These include antibodies, proteins, enzymes, and siRNA. By selectively applying the ABC platform to drug cargoes where enhanced brain delivery can address known limitations of efficacy or safety, we believe we can expand what is possible in the treatment of neurodegenerative diseases. Our preclinical programs include a brain-penetrant anti-amyloid beta antibody for Alzheimer's disease, where a significant unmet need remains despite the approval of anti-amyloid beta antibodies. These approved antibodies have delivered plaque clearance, but only modest clinical benefit, and they are associated with side effects such as amyloid-related imaging abnormalities, or ARIA, which limit their use. As a result, the field is increasingly focused on brain-penetrant anti-Aβ antibodies that aim to increase efficacy, reduce the incidence of ARIA, enable subcutaneous delivery, and the possibility of prevention therapy. Our anti-amyloid beta antibody, ADP 037 ABC, is designed to deliver on these goals. It combines a validated anti-Aβ epitope, a tailored Fc region supporting robust plaque clearance, and our proprietary brain delivery ABC platform. While an emerging brain-penetrant anti-amyloid beta antibody has shown improved brain exposure and reduced incidence of ARIA in the clinic, it has introduced anemia related to transferrin receptor engagement on erythroid precursor cells as a safety concern. ADP 037 ABC also uses the transferrin receptor for transport, but it is specifically engineered to minimize anemia risk while enhancing amyloid beta clearance. With these features, we believe that ADP 037 ABC has the potential to be a best-in-class anti-amyloid candidate. Another program I'd like to highlight is ADP 050 ABC, our engineered GCase replacement therapy. Mutations in the GBA1 gene lead to reduced activity of the lysosomal enzyme, glucocerebrosidase or GCase, and are associated with Gaucher disease, Parkinson's disease, and Lewy body dementia. While enzyme replacement therapies are approved for the peripheral manifestations of Gaucher disease, these therapies do not cross the blood-brain barrier and therefore have limited impact on neurological symptoms. With ADP 050 ABC, we aim to deliver an engineered, more stable active form of GCase to the brain, potentially restoring lysosomal function in nerve cells and ultimately countering the brain pathologies associated with Gaucher disease, Parkinson's disease, and Lewy body dementia. Beyond these two programs, we continue to develop a focused set of research stage candidates addressing neurodegeneration through the removal of toxic proteins, switching of deficient proteins, and restoration of immune and synaptic function. These include a brain-penetrant tau-targeting antibody, a brain-penetrant anti-tau siRNA, and a reelin modulator. With that, I'll turn the call over to Neil to provide an update on our financials.

Neil Berkley, Chief Business Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Sarah. As summarized in our second quarter 2025 financial results, which we made available after the market closed today, we are in a strong position to deliver against our strategic objectives. We closed the quarter with $307.3 million in cash, which we continue to expect will provide runway into the second half of 2027. We have updated our 2025 financial guidance. We anticipate collaboration revenue to be between $13 million and $18 million, our total research and development guidance to be between $130 million and $140 million, and our total general and administrative guidance to be between $55 million and $65 million. Our financial position enables us to stay focused on execution across our late-stage clinical, preclinical, and research pipeline. We look forward to providing additional updates as we progress our work. That concludes our prepared comments for today's call. Operator, you may now open the line for questions.

Operator, Operator

Our first question comes from the line of Tom Shrader of BTIG.

Tom Shrader, Analyst

I wanted to clarify the statistical analysis plan. Is the only change that you've made the addition of progranulin, or is there something else? Can you explain why that was added? On average, it normalized, but did it normalize in every patient in your previous trials? I'm trying to understand the rationale behind this. Also, regarding the ABC portfolio, is it mainly based on transferrin receptors, or are other receptors being utilized?

Giacomo Salvadore, Chief Medical Officer

This is Giacomo Salvadore, the Chief Medical Officer. The change in our statistical analysis plan to include progranulin as a co-primary endpoint was reactive to a specific request by the FDA by a statistical reviewer who asked us to make this change to the statistical analysis plan and recognizing the important mechanistic role of progranulin. This is the only change made following a specific comment by a statistical FDA reviewer. Regarding your question about the effect on progranulin in the population of patients with FTD-GRN, we have analyzed plasma progranulin in the Phase II study, and we showed a two to threefold increase in progranulin after treatment with latozinemab. Overall, we believe that we have more than 99% power to show a statistically significant effect on progranulin.

Saraswati Kenkare-Mitra, President and Head of Research and Development

Maybe I'll take the question on the ABC platform, Tom. So yes, while we are exploring other transporter-related transport vehicles, our lead programs that we are talking about do depend on the transferrin-mediated process.

Neil Berkley, Chief Business Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer

Tom, just to add to Giacomo, we are not aware of any case where we treated patients with our drug, and we didn't see elevation of progranulin. So progranulin is consistently being elevated in treated individuals, both healthy individuals and FTD mutation carriers.

Operator, Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Myles Minter of William Blair.

Myles Minter, Analyst

Yes. Following on from Thomas' first question, why did that reviewer request plasma progranulin? Like this is an antibody. I assume it's largely peripherally restricted with some minimal getting into the brain. I know tapping these patients in terms of CSF and measuring progranulin is probably problematic at this stage. But is that reviewer like are they basically agreeing that plasma progranulin with a largely peripherally restricted antibody driving that upregulation is predictive of functional benefit in a CNS disorder like frontotemporal dementia? That's the first one. And then if Dr. Darby is still on the line, I think INFRONT-3 at its bare minimal was powered to show a 25% improvement in the slowing of cognitive decline in this trial. Just on the background of what we've seen with the uptake of anti-amyloid therapies in Alzheimer's disease showing a 27% slowing of decline. I know there's some safety concerns with that. But if it was 25%, is that still an attractive product to prescribe to this patient population?

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

So the FDA didn't provide detailed rationale for their input on the analysis plan and the rationale behind their suggested change and elevating progranulin as a co-primary endpoint. We believe that the FDA input underlines the importance of progranulin as a biologically meaningful marker in FDG-GRN. A mutation in the progranulin gene leads to insufficient function and is a known cause of the disease. Another point to underline is the fact that we had prior discussion with the FDA, and we disclosed those in the previous calls. And we had an agreement that elevation of progranulin could serve as confirmatory evidence in our latozinemab program. So this change follows some previous discussion that we have disclosed before. Regarding your second comment on peripheral versus central, we, in the Phase II study, were able to show robust increases of progranulin two to threefold, both in the CSF as well as in plasma. Therefore, our previous data indicates a strong effect no matter what the compartment is chosen to study progranulin elevation. Yes, that is a really good correlation with our drug between the serum and the CSF, both in healthy volunteers and in patients, and in both of our drugs, both in 001 and 101. So with both of our drugs, the plasma progranulin appears to be a good representation of what actually will also happen in the CSF in the brain.

Ryan Darby, Associate Professor of Neurology

I can address the other questions now. Regarding the clinical benefit, I believe a 25% reduction would be significant in a situation where there are no other treatment options available. In the comparison with anti-amyloid infusions, the complications related to implementation focus on the side effects and the cost-benefit considerations we are discussing with patients, as some may choose not to pursue that option. In frontotemporal dementia, since there are no other viable treatments, there would likely be greater interest, although it would depend on the side effect profile and its implications. So far, our drug seems to be very well tolerated, with no significant drug-related adverse effects. Therefore, concerning safety, it appears to have a different profile compared to the anti-Aβ therapy.

Operator, Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Alec Stranahan of Bank of America.

Alec Stranahan, Analyst

One on AL001 from us as well. Curious how changing the SAP at this stage could affect powering on the modified CDR sum of boxes since plasma PGRN is now co-primary. And in your discussions with the FDA or and/or GSK, curious if expanded enrollment INFRONT-3 was part of your discussions at all. And given the FDA's apparent focus on PGRN levels, have you gotten a sense whether plasma PGRN could make its way onto the label as well for selection?

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

To start regarding our program, the inclusion of progranulin as a co-primary endpoint affects the power and conduct of the study. With two co-primary endpoints, one clinical, which is the CDR and the FTLD sum of boxes and progranulin, we need to show statistical significance on both for the study to be considered successful. However, these two co-primary endpoints are analyzed independently, so the power regarding the CDR sum of boxes remains unchanged. Based on our Phase II data, we have more than 99% power to demonstrate a significant effect on elevating progranulin. Can you repeat the other question?

Alec Stranahan, Analyst

Yes. Just given the focus of the FDA on plasma PGR, I'm curious if this could be a potential in terms of the population on the label.

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

Yes. We haven't had any discussions about labeling, and we will entertain discussions with regulators after we have the trial readout in mid-Q4 2025, but we didn't have any discussions about progranulin being part of the label.

Operator, Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Yaron Werber of TD Securities.

Unidentified Analyst, Unidentified

Did the FDA mention any particular threshold they wanted to see for progranulin, or is it just about statistical significance? Also, you mentioned the 90% power to observe a 40% reduction. Are you linking that to the progranulin levels, or is it still just related to the sum of boxes endpoint?

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

The FDA did not specify any particular threshold for the elevation of progranulin based on our trial data. They advised us to include the change in progranulin as a co-primary endpoint. Regarding the study's power to detect a 40% progression with latozinemab compared to placebo, this power has not changed after the modification. As I mentioned earlier, the sum of boxes and progranulin are analyzed separately. Therefore, the initial assumption regarding the Clinical Dementia Rating remains the same, and there has been no change to the CDR sum of boxes. For progranulin, we have 99% power based on our Phase II data, so we do not anticipate that it will impact the overall probability of success. However, for the study to be considered positive, we need to demonstrate significance on both co-primary endpoints.

Giacomo Salvadore, Chief Medical Officer

Yes, I'd like to add again that even if we see a 25% slowdown in cognitive decline, this will be statistically significant, clinically meaningful, and will most likely be approvable.

Operator, Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Sean Laaman of Morgan Stanley.

Michael H. Riad, Analyst

This is Mike Riad on for Sean. Congratulations on completing enrollment for progress. We have two questions. First one for Dr. Darby. We'd love to hear your thoughts. Assuming success restoring progranulin to normal levels in FTG progranulin, like slowing CDRS-B, would that increase your confidence in elevating progranulin above endogenous levels like being beneficial to patients with Alzheimer's?

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

Yes, that's an interesting question. I think that certainly showing that you can modify the level and have a benefit would help support that. I don't know if I would move you all the way to saying that super normal levels would have increased benefit, if I'm understanding that question. But certainly, restoring to normal levels shows that the intervention can do that, and if it's associated with clinical benefit, that it can have an impact.

Michael H. Riad, Analyst

That makes sense. Just a quick follow-up. What is your view on other FTD subtypes?

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

Yes, I am definitely curious about the potential effects of this. If the treatment is protective, it raises the question of whether increasing levels beyond normal could be beneficial. This could open up opportunities, especially for patients with relatively lower levels, even if they aren't at the level of progranulin carriers. It would be valuable to explore whether this could be a good treatment target and demonstrate that there is a feasible approach to achieve that.

Operator, Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Doug MacPherson of Mizuho.

Unidentified Analyst, Unidentified

So thinking about the relative subjectivity of the endpoints of clinician severity score and the rating scales compared to biomarker data, is there anything that can be done or has been undertaken in order to try to minimize perhaps a placebo effect or to optimize for like the spread or separation between active drug and placebo?

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

The powering of the study considers the expected placebo change based on natural history data and the natural progression of the disease. As for biomarkers, they are unlikely to demonstrate any placebo effect because they are objective measures, including NfL, GFAP, and volumetric MRI. To our knowledge, there is no placebo effect associated with them. Generally, in neurodegenerative diseases, if placebo effects are observed at all, they usually appear in the initial weeks of treatment and tend to fade over time. Our trial, the INFRONT study, lasts 96 weeks in a disease characterized by ongoing progression. Therefore, we do not view the placebo effect as a significant risk for this particular indication.

Unidentified Analyst, Unidentified

Should we at all be concerned about ARIA for TRAEs? And if so, what would be sort of an acceptable ARIA prevalence or severity in treated patients?

Giacomo Salvadore, Chief Medical Officer

Yes, you're asking about which program in particular?

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

I'm still on the FCD Phase III study. We are monitoring blinded phase 3 periodically and there is an independent monitoring committee, which oversees the safety of the drug as well, and we didn't have reports of ARIA in the study INFRONT-3. So maybe if I can add one quick thing. Typically, ARIA is observed in Alzheimer's disease and trials, and it's associated with the removal of amyloid from the brain, especially from the vasculature. So in the absence of amyloid or when it is not a prominent feature of the disease, I think the biological rationale for underlying the physiology is not present. Just wanted to clarify this. So the quite not expected as a feature of this treatment, and we haven't observed it so far.

Operator, Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Emily on for Paul Matteis of Stifel.

Unidentified Analyst, Unidentified

We were just wondering if there was a situation where you were able to hit on progranulin, but the clinical data was a bit more equivocal. How would you feel about your chances that approval in that situation?

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

Sure. The study in INFRONT 3 has enrolled 103 subjects with symptomatic FTD-GRN. We are collecting various clinical measures and biomarkers, and if the data supports it, we will be pursuing full approval. Given the data and the absence of approved treatments for a condition with a significant burden, we are willing to engage in discussions with regulatory authorities and the FDA based on the findings, which may involve changes in progranulin. However, our goal is to pursue full approval if the data justifies it. From what we understand in the CNS space, the FDA has recently approved drugs based on biomarker results, such as the approval of tofersen for SOD1 ALS. There are regulatory precedents, especially for rare CNS diseases without approved treatment options. We aim for full approval if the data supports our case.

Unidentified Analyst, Unidentified

And then just one follow-up. Were you able in that meeting with the FDA to confirm your sample size again?

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

Yes, thanks for the question. We reached an agreement on the sample size with the FDA during a meeting in 2023, where we conducted a blinded sample size reestimation and found lower variability in the primary outcome measure. We determined that a sample size of between 90 and 100 subjects would suffice to demonstrate a 40% reduction in disease progression in the active arm compared to placebo. We successfully enrolled 103 subjects, slightly exceeding the number needed to show a clinical effect.

Operator, Operator

Our last question comes from the line of Samantha Schaeffer on the line for Pete.

Samantha Schaeffer, Analyst

So a question for the team, Dr. Salvador, Dr. Darby related to INFRONT-3. We know that 16 asymptomatic patients were enrolled who will not be included in the primary analysis. Based on their baseline NfL levels, though and what we know about natural history, do you expect signs of progression and potential differences between active and placebo within the 96 weeks? And then I just have a follow-up question.

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

Sure. As you mentioned, the main group consists of symptomatic patients. The 103 subjects I referred to include 16 asymptomatic individuals who were enrolled in the trial and will be included in a sensitivity analysis. The study is currently ongoing and remains blinded, so I cannot comment on our expectations regarding the effects in presymptomatic subjects. We will definitely analyze the data as part of the sensitivity analysis and may consider discussions with the regulators based on the results we observe.

Unidentified Company Representative, Unidentified

Just to add to this, the recruitment of the presymptomatic patients, as you said, based on genetic mutations of frontotemporal dementia and certain threshold level of neurofilament sort of published study suggested that such patients could convert to symptomatic within the two years period, but we will have to see what's the actual data of the clinical trial. But that was the original expectations and the rationale for recruiting this group of presymptomatic with high levels of neurofilament.

Operator, Operator

That's very helpful. And just a follow-up. We know that there's a Part 2 of the INFRONT study, and it's an open-label extension. Can you give us a sense maybe quantitatively or qualitatively how this part of the study is progressing? Is there a high rollover rate into the OLE?

Arnon Rosenthal, Co-Founder and CEO

We haven't shared specifics about how many subjects transitioned into the open-label extension. However, I can confirm that we are pleased with the number of participants choosing to take part in the extension, as we believe it will yield valuable insights into the lasting benefits regarding clinical endpoints and biomarkers. It will also shed light on what occurs when subjects move from placebo to active treatment in the open-label extension. There are significant and compelling findings in the CNS space indicating that this extension data can clarify the significance of the outcomes from the double-blind phase of the study. We are eager to review the results, but our analysis will primarily concentrate on Part 1, which encompasses the 96-week double-blind phase, so we won't be focusing on the open-label extension at this time.

Operator, Operator

I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn it back to Neil Berkley for closing remarks.

Neil Berkley, Chief Business Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer

Thank you. Before we end the conference call, I'd like to share that Alector will be participating in a number of upcoming conferences, including the 2025 Cantor Global Healthcare Conference on September 4 in New York, the Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference on September 8 in New York, and the H.C. Wainwright 27th Annual Global Investment Conference on September 9 in New York. Thank you again for your time and attention. We will now conclude today's call.

Operator, Operator

Thank you. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.