Earnings Call Transcript - ANIK Q4 2022

Operator, Operator

Greetings, and welcome to Anika's Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Mark Namaroff, Vice President, Investor Relations, ESG and Corporate Communications. Thank you. You may begin.

Mark Namaroff, Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you very much and thank you. Good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining us for Anika's fourth quarter and year-end conference call and webcast. Our Q4 earnings press release was issued after the close of the market today and is available on our Investor Relations website located at anika.com, as are the supplementary PowerPoint slides that will be used for the discussion today. With me on the call today are Dr. Cheryl Blanchard, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. Please take a moment and open the slide presentation and refer to Slide number two. Before we begin, please understand that certain statements made during the call today constitute forward-looking statements as defined in the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements are based on our current beliefs and expectations and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. The company's actual results could differ materially from any anticipated future results, performance or achievements. We make no obligation to update these statements should future financial data or events occur that differ from the forward-looking statements presented today. Please also see our most recent SEC filings for more information about risk factors that could affect our performance. In addition, during the call, we may refer to several adjusted or non-GAAP financial measures, which include adjusted gross margin, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income, and adjusted earnings per share, which are used in addition to results presented in accordance with GAAP financial measures. We believe that non-GAAP measures provide an additional way of viewing aspects of our operation and performance. But when considered with GAAP financial measures, the reconciliation of GAAP measures, they provide an even more complete understanding of our business. A reconciliation of adjusted non-GAAP financial results to the most comparable GAAP measurements is available at the end of the presentation slide deck and our fourth quarter year-end 2022 press release. And now, I'd like to turn the call over to our President and CEO, Dr. Cheryl Blanchard. Cheryl?

Cheryl Blanchard, President and CEO

Thanks, Mark. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining us. Please turn to Slide 3. I want to start today's call with a high-level overview of where we are and why we're so excited about the value creation potential of our business. Over the last three years, we have expanded our addressable market from $1 billion to over $8 billion. We've attracted leading industry talent and we've developed and are now introducing into the market differentiated solutions in the largest and fastest growing segments of orthopedics. As we enter this next phase of execution with a strong balance sheet, expanded portfolio, and an energized team, we are very excited about the path ahead. Just this last year alone, we made a number of strategic investments, and our teams continued to execute well. X-Twist, our new cornerstone product in Sports Medicine, just moved into full market release at the beginning of this year. We've initiated the limited market release of our RevoMotion Reverse Shoulder Arthroplasty system. We completed significant development and filed multiple 510(k)s with the FDA for our hyaluronic acid-based regenerative rotator cuff patch system. We have nearly completed enrollment for the Hyalofast cartilage repair Phase III pivotal trial, and we are in the process of engaging with the FDA on Cingal, our next generation OA pain therapy, following the exciting news last quarter that we met the endpoints of our Phase III clinical trial. 2023 is an inflection point for Anika, as we build towards our accelerated growth targets over the coming years. Now let me get into more specifics. As you can see on Slide 4, we delivered strong financial performance, with revenue up 11% for the fourth quarter and 6% for the full year, even with sustained supply chain headwinds through the year. Anika continues to be a leader in the hyaluronic acid-based OA pain management market with Monovisc and Orthovisc in the U.S. and internationally. Outside the U.S., we continue to be excited by the growth of Cingal, our next generation non-opioid single injection product to treat both short and long-term OA pain. Through our long-term partnership with J&J Mitek for Orthovisc and Monovisc in the U.S., we have strengthened our number one market share position in the U.S. viscosupplement market. Cingal is a tremendous opportunity for Anika. We have successfully commercialized Cingal in more than 35 countries outside the United States, where more and more clinicians and their osteoarthritis patients are realizing the benefits of this next generation OA pain product. Given its international commercial success and our recently reported exciting Phase III clinical data, we're continuing to advance Cingal towards FDA approval in the U.S. We expect our joint preservation business will accelerate its growth as we move through 2023 based on the strength of our recent product launches. While we're still in the early stages, we are receiving great feedback from surgeons about the differentiated benefits of Anika's products. Tactoset, our rapidly growing regenerative solutions product launched in 2019, continues to capture market share with revenue up 28% for the full year. Given the success of this platform, we're targeting further Tactoset expansion, which we'll discuss in more detail shortly. Following the successful limited launch of X-Twist late in the third quarter of last year, we moved into full release early in 2023. We're thrilled to be positioned to meet demand, now that we are past the initial X-Twist supply chain challenges that constrained its growth during its limited launch last year. Surgeon feedback continues to be positive as they highlight the confidence they have in using it in a variety of Sports Medicine applications. We've also received great feedback on the surgical versatility that X-Twist has given them across procedures in the shoulder, foot and ankle, and other extremities, and our design facilitates soft tissue repairs that other systems are unable to accommodate. In addition, we recently commenced the limited market release of our new RevoMotion Reverse Shoulder system, with the first surgeries performed in early 2023. RevoMotion significantly expands our shoulder arthroplasty portfolio, and early feedback from the limited release surgeons has been fantastic. As I'll discuss further on the next slide, this product launch marks our entrance into the rapidly growing $800 million U.S. reverse shoulder market segment, the largest and fastest growing segment of the shoulder replacement market. I'm also pleased to report that Hyalofast has been designated as a Breakthrough Device by the FDA, allowing for prioritized interaction and review to enable faster access to new therapies for patients. As a reminder, Hyalofast is our highly differentiated off-the-shelf cartilage repair product that only requires a single surgery and is bone preserving. We are now approaching full enrollment in our Hyalofast pivotal Phase III clinical trial, having enrolled 199 of 200 subjects, and we remain on track to file a PMA for Hyalofast with the FDA in 2025. Finally, we made tremendous progress in our global medical education program in 2022, conducting in-person training for more than 450 surgeons in the U.S. alone, in addition to other training activities at orthopedic meetings. Our medical education programs are enhancing technical and procedural confidence for our surgeons as they integrate our products into their practice and help their patients return to active living. Let's turn to Slide 5, where I'd like to expand a bit on our recent launch of the RevoMotion Reverse Shoulder System. RevoMotion is a highly differentiated and innovative reverse shoulder system specifically designed for ASCs and enhanced OR efficiency. On the implant side, RevoMotion offers the industry's smallest diameter threaded glenoid baseplate, which enhances intraoperative flexibility. It also provides patient personalization with bone preserving glenoid and humeral designs that match the native anatomy, similar to other implant designs in our Arthrosurface portfolio. Some of the most exciting features of this system are on the instrument side, with a streamlined two-instrument tray design. The consolidated instrumentation is both ASC and hospital friendly, limiting sterile reprocessing volume and reducing relative costs for our customers. In fact, most competitive systems require between four to six trays of instruments, which presents a major burden to hospital efficiency and makes those systems difficult to use in the ASC setting. We've received great feedback following first surgeries, with surgeons commenting that RevoMotion is much more bone conserving and that the system is very efficient. Most importantly, patients are doing well in their early post-op visits, and surgeons are extremely pleased with the post-op x-rays. We look forward to building on this momentum ahead of a full launch, which we are targeting towards the end of this year. Now I'd like to spend a few minutes reviewing our new product development pipeline. As you can see on Slide 6, Anika has been incredibly productive with our NPD work, with several successful product launches beginning in 2021, including the total wrist motion, Tactoset augmentation, X-Twist, and most recently RevoMotion. These new product introductions are key to our growth strategy and achieving our multiyear targets. By launching these innovative new products across categories and procedures, we are continuing to expand our market opportunity and enhance the value that Anika brings to both the ASC and hospital settings. In our Regenerative Solutions portfolio, we remain focused on advancing our Tactoset platform. We have multiple 510(k)s in process, which will expand indications and allow us to further build on the commercial success we've had since launching this in late 2019. We believe that with the continued expansion of the Tactoset franchise, we can increase the addressable market to well beyond $100 million by creating a new market for hardware augmentation. Following the full market release of X-Twist, Anika is positioned to address the needs of surgeons performing high volume Sports Medicine procedures such as rotator cuff repairs and ankle stabilization. With a $600 million plus U.S. market opportunity, X-Twist is a cornerstone addition to the Anika Sports Medicine portfolio, and we believe it has the potential to become a true platform technology as we look to leverage its design in future products. We're also pleased to announce that we will be launching a hyaluronic acid-based regenerative patch system next year that will further strengthen our growing and differentiated shoulder portfolio. It is initially designed for the shoulder to provide augmentation to the tendons to support healing for rotator cuff tears. Anika's patch is not only mechanically stronger, but our preclinical data shows that the regenerative capacity is improved compared with the first generation collagen patches on the market. Along with our arthroscopic delivery and fixation methods, the system promises to truly be a game changer. We completed multiple 510(k) submissions at the end of 2022 and will share additional details about the product once the system has been cleared and we're gearing up for first surgeries. Given the attractive market for regenerative patches, we believe this system has expansion opportunities beyond the shoulder and will be a key driver for growth. Finally, we have two important longer-term opportunities with Hyalofast and Cingal that will further augment and reinforce Anika's growth once they are approved and available for the U.S. market. We're making great progress advancing Hyalofast and are excited about its significant U.S. market potential, which will enable us to reach an addressable market that we have concretely sized to be at least $350 million. Due to its differentiation, we also believe that Hyalofast has significant market expanding potential given that it is a single-stage off-the-shelf solution. We look forward to advancing Hyalofast through the FDA. We're also continuing to advance Cingal towards U.S. commercialization. In the third quarter, we announced that we successfully demonstrated superiority over steroid alone for pain reduction at 26 weeks. Cingal is a true next generation non-opioid OA pain product, and given its strong international performance and clinical data, we believe it could potentially double our total addressable market in the OA pain space and become a key revenue engine for Anika for years to come. As we look ahead, we will continue to engage with the FDA regarding next steps for U.S. regulatory approval. In parallel, we are exploring the potential to advance Cingal through commercial partnerships in the U.S. and select Asian markets. As a reminder, Anika controls full global rights for Cingal, and we intend to proceed thoughtfully as we evaluate our options to commercialize Cingal to best serve osteoarthritis patients around the world and drive shareholder value. We will continue to provide updates over the coming quarters as we make progress on this important strategic asset. Similar to last quarter, I want to use Slide 7 briefly as an opportunity to reflect on how far our business has come. As we continue to expand into large and growing markets that represent high opportunity spaces within orthopedics. Over the past three years, we have expanded Anika's market opportunity from $1 billion to more than $8 billion today. In addition to advancing Cingal through clinical development, we have grown and evolved our portfolio, actively investing in higher growth yet highly complementary areas to build a comprehensive joint preservation portfolio in regenerative solutions, sports medicine, and Arthrosurface joint solutions. Moving to Slide 8, we are targeting the largest and fastest growing segments of the joint preservation market by focusing on the shoulder, particularly across the continuum of rotator cuff disease representing a $2 billion U.S. market opportunity. Our portfolio, using Anika's unique and proprietary technologies, includes recent product launches that specifically address the shoulder continuum. First, looking to the upper right-hand corner of the slide, we believe X-Twist has the potential to become a true platform technology as we look to leverage its design in future products. Then continuing clockwise, on the regenerative side, we offer Tactoset to augment hardware, specifically with suture anchors when surgeons encounter poor bone quality to provide a differentiated solution to achieve a strong repair. And now that we are in more rotator cuff procedures, we have the opportunity to cross-sell Tactoset augmentation with X-Twist. In the pipeline is our regenerative rotator cuff patch system, providing a strong foundation in regeneration alongside Tactoset. Finally, adding RevoMotion enables access to the full joint replacement market in the shoulder with a focus on a differentiated and bone preserving design. This means our portfolio will now address the full spectrum of shoulder arthroplasty needs for surgeons in the hospital and ASC settings. Now that we have this major product category filled, the opportunity to drive our Arthrosurface joint solutions products specifically over motion our total shoulder is dramatically enhanced. We expect that X-Twist and RevoMotion will be significant growth drivers, positioning Anika to deliver double-digit growth in joint preservation and restoration in 2023, which will be augmented further by our regenerative patch system in 2024. I'll now turn it over to Mike for a review of our fourth quarter and year-end results and 2023 outlook.

Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, CFO

Thank you, Cheryl. I will now walk you through our financial results for the fourth quarter of 2022. All comparisons will be against the same period of 2021. Please turn to Slide 9. Total revenue for the quarter was $39.6 million, an increase of 11%. Revenue in our largest product family, OA pain management, increased 20% to $23.7 million, due primarily to favorable year-over-year ordering patterns from J&J Mitek, which had greater quarterly volatility last year and to a lesser extent, due to continued year-over-year international growth. As a reminder, revenues in our OA pain management product family can vary significantly on a quarterly basis based on ordering patterns by our partners and distributors, both in the U.S. and internationally. However, that quarterly volatility generally stabilizes on an annual basis. Our joint preservation and restoration revenue in the quarter increased 8% to $14.3 million on improved elective procedure volumes with continued strong growth in Tactoset. Our non-orthopedic revenue declined to $1.5 million compared with $2.8 million on last time buys of certainly legacy products last year. Our gross margin in the fourth quarter was 61% and includes the impact of $1.6 million of non-cash acquisition-related expenses from the 2020 acquisitions of Arthrosurface and Parcus Medical, as well as a product rationalization-related reserve of approximately $600,000 associated with legacy non-orthopedic products we no longer expect to sell. Our adjusted gross margin, which excludes the non-cash acquisition-related expenses and product rationalization charge, was 66% in the fourth quarter, that’s up 9 points from 57% last year. As we continue to successfully navigate the global staffing and supply chain challenges, the cost production inefficiencies and increased reserves in Q4 last year. From a spending standpoint, our research and development and SG&A expenses together totaled $30.8 million in the fourth quarter, up 17% from $26.5 million, as we continue investment in the development of key products and expand our internal capabilities in support of our growth initiatives. The higher spending in the quarter included commissions and higher U.S. joint preservation and restoration sales, along with increased medical education to support safe and effective use of Anika's growing product portfolio. Spending in the quarter also included higher general corporate costs as well as non-cash stock-based compensation expense, driven in part by the growth in personnel to support Anika's strategic transformation. Our net loss for the quarter was $4.9 million or $0.34 per share compared to a net loss of $5.8 million or $0.40 per share in the prior year. Our adjusted net loss was $3 million or $0.21 per share, favorable compared to our adjusted net loss of $3.2 million or $0.23 per share in the prior year, as we continue to execute on Anika's strategic transformation and growth acceleration initiatives. Our adjusted EBITDA generated in the quarter was $1.4 million, that's up from an adjusted EBITDA loss of $200,000. The increase was primarily due to our revenue growth, along with the operational improvements reflected in our higher adjusted gross margin. Lastly, with regards to our cash flow and capital structure, Anika's balance sheet remains strong with $86.3 million in cash and no outstanding debt as of December 31. We generated operating cash of $0.5 million during the fourth quarter, down from $4.5 million. Our capital expenditures in the quarter totaled $2.6 million, up from $1.1 million last year, reflecting investments in working capital and fixed assets in support of our new product launches and overall business growth. Please turn to Slide 10. I would now like to walk you through our full-year results for 2022 as compared to the prior year and compared to our most recent guidance. For the full year, Anika generated revenue of $156.2 million, an increase of 6% from the $147.8 million of revenue reported in 2021, at the upper end of our most recent guidance. By Product Family, our OA pain management revenue finished up 9% at $97.9 million at the high end of our most recent guidance expectations, primarily reflecting above-normal international growth due to recovery from the initial COVID impact, favorable distributor ordering patterns, as well as continued growing global commercial adoption of our combined portfolio of Cingal, Monovisc, and Orthovisc. Our revenue from J&J Mitek increased 2% in fiscal 2022, as higher growth in single injection Monovisc was offset by lower multi-injection Orthovisc revenues. The growth in OA pain management revenue also included $5.9 million of veterinary product sales, up from $4.4 million in the prior year. Our joint preservation and restoration revenue grew 4% to $50.4 million for the year, in line with our most recent guidance of low to mid-single-digit growth. We were pleased to see the sequential quarterly growth in joint preservation and restoration throughout the year. Our non-orthopedic revenues, which represent 5% of our revenues totaled $7.9 million for the year, down 18%, which was slightly favorable to our guidance. For the full year, our GAAP gross margin was 60% and our adjusted gross margin was 66% at the upper end of our guidance and in line with last year's adjusted gross margin, despite the ongoing supply chain and staffing challenges that we experienced throughout 2022. Adjusted EBITDA margin finished at 8%, favorable to our mid-single-digit guidance as we continue to self-fund investments supporting our key growth initiatives. We also generated operating cash of $4.4 million. Our capital expenditures totaled $7.5 million, and we ended the year with $86.3 million in cash and no outstanding debt. Please turn to Slide 11. Now, I'd like to review our full-year financial outlook for fiscal year 2023. First, I'd like to make a brief clerical comment about a change we are making to product family reporting to provide investors a clearer representation of the performance trends in our business. Beginning in the first quarter of 2023, veterinary product revenues, historically reported within OA pain management, will be reported in the non-orthopedic product family. The growth outlook for 2023 reflects this reclassification of veterinary product revenue for both 2023 and 2022. We currently expect total company revenue for 2023 to be between $158 million and $163 million, representing growth of 1% to 4% compared to 2022. Continued growth in OA pain management and joint preservation and restoration is offset by lower ancillary non-orthopedic revenues. The lower non-orthopedic revenues reduced total company growth by approximately 3 to 4 percentage points. In OA pain management, we expect revenue of $93.5 million to $96 million, up 2% to 4% over 2022, which is above market as our market-leading products continue to gain adoption globally and reflects the favorable international timing that we had in 2022. As a reminder, this guidance reflects the reclassification of veterinary revenue from OA pain management to non-orthopedic. With the key product launches in joint preservation and restoration, we expect full-year 2023 revenue of $55.5 million to $58 million. That's up 10% to 15% over last year. Given we are early in the full market release of X-Twist and we expect to begin the full market release of RevoMotion towards the end of 2023. Along with normal seasonality, with Q1 being the weakest and Q4 being the strongest quarter of the year, we expect the growth in joint preservation and restoration to be weighted more towards the second half of this year. We expect non-orthopedic revenue to decrease approximately 35% to $9 million, due primarily to higher revenues in the prior year from last time buys of legacy products and order timing in veterinary product sales last year. The decline in non-orthopedic revenues reflects the continued impact of product rationalization decisions that we have made to exit legacy product lines that do not support our growth and profitability objectives. With regard to gross margin, we expect adjusted gross margin for the year to be roughly in line with the 66% we reported last year. We remain focused on driving margin expansion, but we anticipate the headwinds from the global trends in supply chain and staffing challenges will likely continue through the year. In terms of spending, in 2023, we are continuing to self-fund critical growth initiatives and investments in key research and development programs and commercial execution, and other operational investments to support our transformation and enable us to scale as we grow. In addition, our 2023 spending will include investments to support our existing revenue streams, such as the significant efforts to meet the new EU MDR medical device regulatory requirements for our international sales, as well as required investments in equipment and personnel for our OA pain management manufacturing. As such, we expect operating expenses for 2023 to increase over 2022 as a percentage of revenue as we self-fund our growth strategy, resulting in expected adjusted EBITDA margin for the year in the low single digits as compared to the 8% EBITDA margin we reported in 2022. We also expect capital expenditures to increase in 2023 above depreciation to support the rollout of key new product introductions and necessary investments in manufacturing equipment to support our legacy business. As Cheryl mentioned, we view 2023 as an inflection point in Anika's multi-year growth strategy. With key shoulder-related product launches in 2023 and 2024, we are diligently driving execution to realize the significant multiyear growth prospects within joint preservation and restoration. All of these efforts support delivering on our 2025 growth targets of $230 million in revenue and 70% adjusted gross margins, as well as our adjusted EBITDA margin target of 20%, which we expect in 2026 reflecting in part the expected timing of the international MDR efforts. Our team remains focused on both Anika's company mission to restore active living and on driving value creation for our stakeholders. We look forward to updating you on our continued execution of this strategy. I will now turn the call back over to Cheryl.

Cheryl Blanchard, President and CEO

Thanks, Mike. Please turn to Slide 12. I'd like to close by reiterating that 2023 is a real value inflection point for Anika. We are building a best-in-class portfolio as we continue launching exciting new products in high opportunity spaces and optimize our U.S. commercial reach and focus. With the key shoulder-related product launches in 2023 of X-Twist and RevoMotion, as well as the efforts supporting the planned 2024 launch of our HA-based regenerative rotator cuff patch system. We are diligently driving execution supporting the multi-year growth prospects within joint preservation and restoration. This year, we are also exploring the potential U.S. and Asian market opportunities for Cingal, as well as completing the clinical follow-up work for Hyalofast as we approach completing enrollment in our Phase III pivotal trial. We remain disciplined as we deploy our capital, further enhance our portfolio, and deliver on our many growth opportunities. Anika continues to have a healthy balance sheet with a solid cash position and no debt, and we remain laser-focused on delivering our multi-year growth targets. Before I open up the call for questions, I'd like to take a moment to thank all of our employees for their hard work and dedication to Anika. We have a talented team supporting our efforts, and we appreciate all that they do each day to advance our mission to serve our customers and their patients as we restore active living for people around the world. We look forward to providing updates on our progress in 2023. And with that, we'll open up the line for questions.

Operator, Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we will be conducting a question-and-answer session. Our first question comes from the line of George Sellars with Stephens. Please proceed with your question.

Unidentified Participant, Analyst

Hi. This is Harrison on for George. Good afternoon and congrats on the quarter and strong finish to the year. My first question is just wanting to dig in on your 2023 guidance a little bit more. I know it's a little bit lighter than we were expecting. I was wondering if you could give us any more color on what it assumes from a macro standpoint in terms of staffing issues, supply chain challenges, or any other headwinds that may persist in 2023? And also just how much general conservatism is baked into those numbers? Thanks.

Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, CFO

Hi. Thank you, George. Harrison, excuse me, this is Mike. So I just want to make sure that you understand one element of it, which is the non-orthopedic revenues. That is an area where we have - we're expecting a 35% decrease year-over-year because it's not driving value for us long-term in terms of our growth strategy. So relative to the expectations, I want to make sure that you understand that, and included in that now is the legacy veterinary product sales. Those had historically been recorded in OA pain management and now are being reflected in non-orthopedic. As it relates to our expectations for this year, I think this is the growth in OA pain management of 2% to 4%, is above market growth in this more mature market and also coming off of a very strong year internationally, which was in part related to timing as we called out last year. We just finished a year where we grew 9%, and most of that came from international, which a lot of that was COVID recovery, as well as distributor timing, that can be a lumpy part of our business. It also, though, international represents a significant growth opportunity for us, so we're very excited about it. There was some favorable timing in the year. As it relates to our joint preservation guidance, again, more than doubling the growth rate of that business and moving into the teams there. And so we're definitely reflecting our excitement in that business and what we've got here for guidance. We're also reflecting the reality of the timing of our launch. We announced that we're moving into full market release of X-Twist this quarter. Normal ramp doesn't happen overnight because surgeons are going to try the product; they're going to want to see it working in people's bodies, but the demand is very strong. Feedback has been great. We're just reflecting a normal ramp. As we discussed last quarter, we were impacted last year with some initial supply chain challenges, as so many other companies are. But those supply chain challenges were addressed, and we were able to move into full market release here in the first quarter. Also the RevoMotion, our new reverse shoulder product, is going to be a wonderful product, but it's in limited market release and moving into full market release toward the end of the year. That's why the guidance there is really second half oriented. If you recall, the growth in that business this last year, it grew sequential quarter. Q1 is always the lightest quarter. Q4 is generally the strongest quarter in orthopedics. So we expect a similar trajectory but more weighted to the second half because of the timing of these new product launches and the related ramp. It's early in the year; it's early in these product launches. The feedback has been great, but we don't want to get ahead of ourselves so early on in these launches.

Unidentified Participant, Analyst

Got it. Yeah. That makes sense. And I wanted to follow up on the veterinary products and what the quarterly cadence you're expecting from those products throughout 2023?

Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, CFO

We generally don't provide quarterly guidance due to various reasons, including the unpredictability of our results. It's important to focus on an annual perspective rather than quarterly figures. Last year, our non-orthopedic revenue was approximately $5.9 million, and this year we expect it to decline by 35%. Non-orthopedic represents a small segment of our business, but this highlights our commitment to prioritizing the areas that will drive the most growth and create value within the non-orthopedic segment.

Unidentified Participant, Analyst

Thank you. That's helpful and thanks again or congrats again on the strong quarter. Thanks.

Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, CFO

Thank you.

Operator, Operator

Our next question comes from Jim Sidoti with Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead with your question.

Jim Sidoti, Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. A couple of questions on Cingal. The first one, has the release of the Phase III clinical data helped your business overseas? I know it's a U.S. trial, but have you been able to use that to build some of the business outside the U.S?

Cheryl Blanchard, President and CEO

Hi, Jim. Yeah. Thanks for the question. We will be using that data. It's obviously fairly new that it's come out, but it is being incorporated into our marketing materials for use overseas. It's obviously very supportive of the strength of the product. We've got, what we think is unparalleled clinical data for especially the OA pain product, but the next generation of OA pain product because it really demonstrates superiority over both of the active ingredients in Cingal and placebo across all three of the clinical trials that we've run. So yes, we are using all of that data for use in our marketing efforts overseas.

Jim Sidoti, Analyst

And in general the OA business, the volatility was less in 2022 than it was in 2021. Do you think that trend continues in 2023, or do you go back to a more lumpy year, quarter-over-quarter?

Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, CFO

Hi, Jim. This is Mike. That business can be lumpy, but one of the reasons that it is less so in the end-user side than it is in the transfer units. Over half of our revenue comes from transfer sales, with the corresponding remainder being related to royalties. On the transfer sales, that's entirely driven by how J&J Mitek manages their business within their buying group. So it does become a bit challenging to predict that because it's really driven by their own internal decisions. That's why we generally say, focus more on the year than on the quarter because that quarterly volatility tends to offset itself. I think historically and at this Q2, it tends to be a stronger quarter than other quarters. But as I say, it really is unfortunately more impacted by decisions within J&J of how they manage their operations.

Jim Sidoti, Analyst

On the other side of the business, it seems that the major launch will be the shoulder product. What investments are necessary to bring that to market aside from the tooling? Will there be an increase in the number of salespeople or in surgeon training? How should we incorporate that into the expenses for 2023?

Cheryl Blanchard, President and CEO

Yeah. Let me start Jim on that, and then Mike may have some comments to add. For a product launch as significant as a new implant system, there are a number of things. The first thing is right now with the limited release, we are getting feedback around the instruments, the instrument trays, and how they're deployed. I think you heard me talk about the fact that we're really excited about this streamlined two-tray design. It's highly differentiated and drives a lot of efficiency. But with that, we want to make sure we really get it right. We'll get that feedback, and then for full launch, we've really got to build enough instrument sets to get them out in the field. In parallel with that, though, we will be talking about the system with surgeons. We will be doing training on safe and effective use so that they feel comfortable adapting it when instrument trays and implants are fully ready to be deployed towards the end of this year. So there will be expense dollars that we've got factored in relative to the training activities and on the instrument and inventory build. And Mike, I don't know if you have anything you want to add to that.

Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, CFO

Yeah. The only thing I would add is just as I mentioned before, Jim, we do expect CapEx to be above depreciation this year. Last year it was essentially in line with depreciation, but did include some of those instruments so we could move into this limited release. We will be adding more instrument sets and we are encouraged by the strong demand and great feedback that Cheryl mentioned. We do expect CapEx depreciation for the instrument sets. We also have investments in production capacity. A good amount of our CapEx also has to do with the legacy business and the need to make sure that we've got the production capacity for what we're seeing there as well. So a bit of a higher level of spending this year, but it's all in support of our multiyear growth targets.

Jim Sidoti, Analyst

Thank you. That's it for me.

Cheryl Blanchard, President and CEO

Thanks, Jim.

Operator, Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Mike Petusky with Barrington Research. Please proceed with your question.

Mike Petusky, Analyst

Hi. Good evening. Cheryl, you mentioned being laser-focused on multiyear growth targets. Are you guys wanting to sort of define that because I'm not sure I completely understand that there is a target out there for a specific year? Thanks.

Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, CFO

Mike, I'm happy to respond to that. So as I said in my remarks, a couple of minutes ago, the specific multiyear growth targets that we have are the same ones that we've been talking about, which are $230 million in revenue and a 70% adjusted gross margin, both of those in 2025. And our adjusted EBITDA target of 20%, which we expect in 2026, and that timing is impacted by the outsized EU MDR efforts related to the new regulatory regime.

Mike Petusky, Analyst

Got it. I don't feel like we're tracking any of that, but okay. And also Mike, I guess I wanted to understand stock comp it's elevated. I'm just curious, is it going to stay at these levels going forward?

Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, CFO

Let me clarify. Over the past couple of years, we've experienced significant changes in management, which is typical during a transformation. One effect of this is that when long-term executives depart, their forfeited stock options can result in a temporary decrease in stock-based compensation. This has been more pronounced in recent years. It's important to consider this when making year-over-year comparisons. However, we don't anticipate this trend continuing. We have a committed team that is enthusiastic about driving growth in our business. We've invested more in stock-based compensation to align with market rates to ensure we have the right talent needed to seize the considerable opportunities ahead of us.

Mike Petusky, Analyst

I just want to absolutely make sure I understand, the EBITDA guidance would suggest something like more than 50% down in terms of EBITDA in ‘23 versus ‘22, correct?

Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, CFO

When we provided guidance at the beginning of the year, we indicated growth in the mid-single digits, but we actually achieved 8%. For this year, we are projecting low-single digit growth due to several product launches, increased corporate spending, and other factors Cheryl and I mentioned. Cheryl highlighted that we are intensely focused on these targets because they present substantial market opportunities, quite different from what we've seen historically in our joint preservation sector. This is evident in the size of markets like the X-Twist rotator cuff and the RevoMotion reverse shoulder, along with the new patch system Cheryl described. We are genuinely enthusiastic about these significant opportunities. The amount we are investing is considerably lower than what many companies are spending to enter this space, as we've opted to grow organically with a modest investment. Our capital allocation strategy is centered on investing in the closest organic opportunities to maximize value and capitalize on the prospects in front of us, which is reflected in our guidance.

Mike Petusky, Analyst

Right. But you are going to be down based on your guidance 50% plus?

Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, CFO

Our guided EBITDA number for 2023 is lower than our guided EBITDA in 2022 and is purely a function of the timing of these investments so that we can realize the value from them.

Mike Petusky, Analyst

All right. Thank you.

Mike Levitz, Executive Vice President, CFO

In addition to the fact that there are increased costs associated with the legacy business. And so those are the things that we just have to factor in. I mean, we're not immune from the things you heard about from all the other companies out there of inflation and people costs and all these other things. And so that's reflected in there, but we also reiterated our multiyear targets because the opportunity is significant, and the drop-down to be able to leverage this spend we believe is very real and tangible.

Mike Petusky, Analyst

Okay. All right. Thank you. I appreciate it.

Operator, Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions in the queue. I'd like to hand the call back over to Cheryl Blanchard for closing remarks.

Cheryl Blanchard, President and CEO

I'd like to thank everybody for joining us tonight. We look forward to reporting out on the year that we got ahead. We're reiterating that 2023 is a real value inflection point for Anika. We're building a best-in-class portfolio as we continue launching exciting new products in the high opportunity spaces we're in and as we optimize our commercial U.S. reach and focus. So thanks everybody for your time tonight. We appreciate your time.

Operator, Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's teleconference. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time and have a wonderful day.