Earnings Call Transcript

Webull Corp (BULL)

Earnings Call Transcript 2025-12-31 For: 2025-12-31
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Added on April 18, 2026

Earnings Call Transcript - BULL Q4 2025

Operator, Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Webull Corporation Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Carlos Questell, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Carlos Questell, Head of Investor Relations

Good morning, good afternoon, and good evening, everyone. Welcome to Webull's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Conference Call. Earlier today, we issued a press release detailing our fourth quarter and full year results. A copy of the release can be found on our IR website at webullcorp.com under the Investor Relations tab. Please note that this call is being recorded and will be available for replay via our IR website. During the call, we'll be making forward-looking statements about the company's performance and business outlook. These statements are based on how we see things today and contain elements of uncertainty. For additional information concerning the factors that can cause actual results to differ materially, please refer to the cautionary statement and risk factors contained in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission and press release, both of which can be accessed via our website. Today's presentation will include a discussion on adjusted operating expenses, adjusted operating profit, and adjusted net income, all non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparative GAAP measures are included in the press release that we issued today. It is important to note that although we believe that these non-GAAP measures provide useful information about operating results, they should not be considered in isolation or construed as an alternative to their directly comparative GAAP measures. Furthermore, other companies may calculate similarly titled measures differently, limiting their usefulness as comparative measures to our data. We encourage investors and others to review our financial information in its entirety and not rely on a single financial measure. With me today is our Group President and U.S. CEO, Anthony Denier; and our Group CFO, H.C. Wang. We will begin with prepared remarks and then take questions at the end. With that, I would now like to turn it over to Anthony.

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

Thank you, Carlos, and hello, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. Webull's fourth quarter and full year results show strong progress and returns for our first full year as a public company. Our full year results reflect our success as we continue to enhance our offerings for our growing base of active traders and investors, expand our client base globally and extend our capabilities into new markets, including institutional investors. Following our public listing in April of last year, we have been executing on an ambitious plan to address the growing requirements of our user base of sophisticated, active investors looking for autonomy from traditional brokerages. We're proud to report that we offer that platform today, and it provides our users with a one-stop shop for securities trading as well as offering in crypto, futures, prediction markets and more. And what's more interesting is, it's all enhanced by AI. AI is dramatically changing the investing industry, and we at Webull are on the forefront of many of those changes. We're proud to be shaping the future of active self-directed trading through the integration of AI via Vega, our AI assistant for trading and platform guidance, delivering real-time insights and AI-generated trading ideas. Launched at the end of last year, Vega is already integral to our continued growth, providing our users with market data, information and associated analysis as well as real-time portfolio monitoring, with user-controlled management of positions and risk preferences. Since launching just a few months ago, Vega currently assists 1.2 million global users each week with 10% of weekly active users deploying the tool to answer over 10 million questions since creation. AI deployment across our platform also extends within our organization with AI implementation across customer service, R&D and internal operations. We're looking to integrate AI into every aspect of our internal business to optimize and scale a global business that provides a differentiated, sophisticated regulatory compliant trading platform to users across markets. I'm proud of the Webull team for a strong first year as a public company. I'm also proud of our leadership and the development of our AI capabilities over the past year. As we establish Webull as a leading investment platform for active traders, I want to be sure you understand how important the scale we have achieved is to our strategies going forward. We are poised to bring our solutions to brokerage firms, high-net individuals, family offices and wealth advisers. I look forward to chatting with all of you about B2B opportunities in 2026. With that, let me now walk you through the key highlights from 2025 in more detail. Here on Slides 2, 3 and 4, I'll walk you through our 2025 highlights. We are proud of our performance in 2025, delivering record revenue and a solid operating profit margin improvement from the prior year. We recorded revenue of $571 million, representing 46% growth from 2024, driven by record trading volumes across all asset categories. First, customer assets reached $24.6 billion, inclusive of approximately $1 billion in assets from the acquisition of Webull Pay, representing an 81% increase from 2024. Second, equity trading volume increased by 59% year-over-year, to $732 billion, while options volume rose by 19%, to 550 million contracts. And our newer products, including futures, prediction markets and crypto, all delivered strong growth during 2025. We recorded an elevated but disciplined increase in adjusted operating expenses of $460.7 million, representing an annual increase of 24% as we continue to invest in strategic product offerings and market expansion to support long-term growth. Operating profitability was strong with a 14.6 percentage point increase in adjusted operating profit margin, on an annual basis, to 19.3%, representing an adjusted operating profit of $110.3 million for the year. As our industry undergoes structural changes, we will continue to invest proactively to capture outsized share over time. Turning now to Slide 5 and our 2025 road map. I'm really pleased with this progress. Webull Premium, our subscription-based service for active traders and long-term investors, has reached 102,000 subscribers by year-end, surpassing the 100,000 target we set for ourselves. Our premium subscribers contribute 30% of our AUM, 60% of overall margin debit balances and our most active customers. Looking ahead, we aim to double our premium subscriber base in the coming year while continuing to enhance the product with additional features, making it the best value product for active traders. One of our proudest moments of 2025 was the introduction of Vega, our AI tool that combines news, earnings and technical data to deliver a focused, intuitive experience that helps both new and seasoned investors navigate modern trading and make smarter decisions. Since its release, approximately 1 in 8 users have used the assistant before trading, and Vega continues to play a role in not only bringing people to our platform, but keeping them there as reflected in the 1.2 million users a week who utilize this exciting technology. We also launched BlackRock model portfolios, which provide a robo-advisor offering and allow users to access a range of diversified portfolios across various asset classes, including alternative and digital assets. In line with expanded digital asset offerings, 2025 marked the reintroduction of crypto trading for our U.S. customers with the acquisition of Webull Pay and the launch of crypto trading in Australia and Brazil. We are also actively exploring digital asset licenses in a number of other markets and expect to bring them online in the coming year. The introduction of prediction markets to our asset classes has also been an exciting innovation this year. This offering provides an engaging and accessible trading experience that lowers barriers to entry for users. This quarter, more than 162 million prediction contracts were traded, with 81 million in December alone. We're excited to continue the momentum around prediction markets with the introduction of sports prediction markets across all the major sports leagues. And while Webull has always been a global player, 2025 has been a year of further global expansion. We now have more than 760,000 funded accounts outside the U.S. APAC customer assets have surpassed $3 billion, and our partnership with Meritz Financial Group has increased access to the U.S. market for Korean investors. Canada is also on track to soon reach $1.5 billion in customer assets, fast on the heels of surpassing $1 billion only 4 months ago. Additionally, we launched our platform in the Netherlands and are now licensed in 4 additional EU markets: Germany, Italy, Spain and Portugal. We prioritize delivering U.S. products to international markets from the start, and it is just good business to have diversified revenue streams globally. Looking ahead to 2026. On Slide 6, you'll see that we have identified 3 main priorities for the year. First, we will sustain and grow our elite offerings for active traders, leveraging AI tools that enhance the trading experience and allow us to maintain price leadership across the market. Second, we will continue growing our global business by cementing our position in existing markets and continuing to add to our localized product offerings. Finally, as I noted earlier, we will be building on last year's partnership with Meritz to expand our B2B platform. On Slide 7, I'll discuss our growth in both users and funded accounts for Q4. During the fourth quarter, we added roughly 1 million registered users, bringing the platform to a total of 26.8 million registered users. We saw steady sequential growth throughout the year, posting a more than 3 million user increase year-over-year, representing a 15% increase. Our investments in marketing are yielding results and are indicative of a strong fit between our offerings and market demand. As previously mentioned, Webull's roots as a global market data platform mean there is a significant number of registered users in geographies where our trading platform is not yet available. We continue to offer best-in-class market data and information to all users regardless of their brokerage status, a feature of our platform that has only been bolstered by the introduction of Vega to all Webull accounts. On the right side of the slide, you can see funded account metrics. Funded accounts defined as accounts where customers have made an initial deposit that has remained above 0 for 45 consecutive calendar days as of the record date, showed steady growth. We added approximately 100,000 new funded accounts this quarter, bringing the total number of funded accounts to 5.03 million, an 8% year-over-year increase. As we continue to innovate and enhance our offerings, we're also happy to report that our quarterly retention rate remained high at approximately 97%. Turning to Slide 8. Legal customer assets reached an all-time high of $24.6 billion in the fourth quarter, representing an 81% increase on a year-over-year basis and a $3.4 billion sequential increase. You all know that trading volumes were high in the fourth quarter. Our growth in customer assets reflects this. Customers deposited over $3.9 billion during the quarter, an incredible 225% increase year-over-year and a sequential increase of $1.8 billion, bringing cumulative net deposits for the full year to $8.6 billion. Lastly, on Slide 9, you'll see trading volumes for the quarter. While we saw strong growth in our newer products, particularly prediction markets and crypto, equity and options remain our core offerings, and trading volumes continue to grow. Equity notional volume reached $239 billion, up 87% year-over-year and 17% sequentially, while options contract volume totaled 154 million this quarter, up 38% year-over-year and up 5% sequentially. These results underscore the strength and resilience of our active trader base, which remains highly engaged through periods of market volatility. Our customers continue to trade consistently across core asset classes, reflecting a disciplined long-term approach rather than short-term momentum-driven behavior. With that, I'll pass the call over to H.C. for a closer look at our financial results for the quarter.

H. Wang, Group CFO

Thank you, Anthony, and thanks to everyone for joining us today. In the fourth quarter, Webull generated total revenue of $165.2 million, representing 50% year-over-year growth. This strong performance reflects continued strength across both trading and interest-related income streams. On the expense side, adjusted operating expenses were $143.6 million, up 62% year-over-year, primarily driven by increased marketing and branding investments. Let me take a moment to frame this clearly. The increase in marketing spend is intentional and strategic. We are capitalizing on a strong equity market backdrop, multiple industry catalysts and the branding tailwind from our recent listing to accelerate customer acquisition, AUM growth and international expansion. Over time, we remain confident in our ability to scale revenues ahead of the expenses, supported by the operating leverage in our model. I will now walk through profitability and then the key components of revenues and expenses in more detail. Turning to Slide 11. We continue to demonstrate consistent profitability. Webull has now delivered 5 consecutive quarters of operating profitability with each quarter generating over $20 million in adjusted operating profit. In Q4, adjusted operating profit was $21.6 million, representing a 13% adjusted operating profit margin. Adjusted net income was $14.6 million, or 8.8% of revenue. For the full year, we generated $84 million in adjusted net income in our first year as a public company. As we look ahead, our approach remains consistent. We will continue to balance disciplined execution, profitability with targeted investments to capture long-term growth. Turning to Slide 12. Our trading-related revenues continue to grow, supported by momentum from the third quarter and strong trading activity across asset classes. Trading-related revenues increased 56% year-over-year to $112.5 million and DARTs increased to 1,202 in the fourth quarter. We're seeing broad-based engagement across equities, options, futures, crypto and prediction markets. Importantly, our users continue to trade consistently across market conditions. This reflects the base of active traders who remain engaged through volatility rather than being driven by short-term momentum-based behavior. We believe this positions us well for sustained growth on trading revenues over time. Turning to Slide 13. Interest-related income continues to scale along with client assets. In the fourth quarter, interest-related income grew 31% year-over-year to $43.5 million, primarily driven by higher interest earned on client cash, margin lending and corporate cash. Specifically, customer margin balances increased 43% year-over-year to $689 million at the end of Q4, reflecting higher utilization from our premium customers. Sequentially, interest-related income was roughly flat as declines in fully paid stock lending revenues offset increases in other categories. This reflects the normalization of borrowing rates for certain hard-to-borrow securities, which had elevated stock lending revenues in the prior quarter. As I've mentioned on this call before, our business model is relatively resilient to interest rate changes. Over the long term, as we continue to grow client assets globally, we expect this revenue stream to continue to expand. Finally, let's turn to Slide 14 for a closer look at operating expenses. Adjusted operating expenses increased 62% year-over-year, with the majority of the increase driven by marketing and branding investments. These investments are focused on accelerating customer acquisition and AUM growth, and we are already seeing strong early returns as reflected in our record $3.9 billion of net deposits in the quarter. It's also important to note that excluding marketing, our cost base remains well controlled. We achieved our highest operating profit margin excluding marketing in the fourth quarter at 45%, demonstrating the strong operating leverage of our platform. We expect that our margins should continue to improve as we further scale and diversify our revenue base, which will give us the flexibility we need to invest opportunistically in customers and AUM growth, particularly during periods of market expansion. Now thank you, everyone. With that, I'll turn the call back to Anthony before we open the line for questions.

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

Thanks, H.C. Q4 was another record-breaking quarter for Webull on multiple fronts as we focus on growing revenue, growing AUM, all while maintaining fiscal responsibility. This is now our fourth reporting quarter as a publicly listed company, and Webull has delivered growth and profitability every quarter. As we mark a monumental milestone for the platform, I want to recognize our global team for an outstanding year. It's clear that the team's dedication has been central to the progress we've made as a company and will continue as we look forward to the next year of supporting our user base of active securities traders, expanding our platform for investors across existing and new markets and continually looking to expand our client base, including with B2B offerings. We look forward to engaging with you at several upcoming industry and investor conferences. On that note, we welcome any questions you may have, either here on the call or one-on-one.

Operator, Operator

Our first question is from Chris Brendler with Rosenblatt.

Christopher Brendler, Analyst

Congratulations on the strong results. I'm going to ask the most obvious question first, which is, just maybe dive into the marketing spend in the fourth quarter a little bit in terms of the sequential increase. How much of that went to new customer acquisition? How much of that went to incentives on folks bringing over balances? And if you could comment at all about the run rate from here? As we think about 2026, do you expect this elevated level to continue? That would be great.

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

Thank you for the question. The marketing expense in Q4 was indeed higher, reflecting the success we've had in asset under management growth. Most of our marketing spend is targeted where it will have the greatest impact on acquiring high-net-worth active trading customers. This focus is evident in the net deposits we received in Q4, totaling a record $8.6 billion for the year, with $3.9 billion coming in just Q4. The successful marketing campaign was the primary reason for the increased marketing costs during that quarter. Moving forward, we aim to maintain a strong operating margin, so I do not anticipate marketing costs will be as high in the future. However, we will be opportunistic and take advantage of growth opportunities when they arise. Q1 is expected to have significantly lower costs compared to Q4, primarily due to the successful outcomes of the previous quarter.

H. Wang, Group CFO

Chris, just something to add on top of Anthony. If you look at our marketing expense, as a percentage of revenue, it was about 35% in 2024. And that as a percentage of revenue has actually come down to about 23% - 24% in 2025. So as we continue into the new year, we will continue to obviously invest in customer acquisition and AUM growth, but we will also be keeping an eye on this ratio, percentage of revenue and spend on marketing. An important point, I think, Anthony had alluded to is that the majority of our marketing spend is actually performance-based. So these are for successful deposits, for successful account openings, these are that we can track. These are not fixed branding investments that are committed early in the year. So we have a lot of flexibility to dynamically calibrate and adjust the marketing spend as we see where the market is going.

Christopher Brendler, Analyst

Makes total sense. I appreciate that color. Since we're already in March and markets have changed a little bit since last year, certainly seeing a lot of trading volume but also some volatility. Can you comment at all about 2026 year-to-date in terms of the trends in DARTs and equity versus option? That would be great.

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

Yes. No, no problem. I think the market is setting itself up for an interesting rest of the year. But looking back, we're almost at the end of the first quarter already. And I can say confidently now that, I mean, January is probably the second best month we've ever had as a company since inception. So Q1 is certainly looking strong. When there is volatility, especially with our customer base, there's a lot of activity and a lot of trading. When the markets start getting harder to read, whether there's geopolitical headlines that we're reading multiple times a day now, that could change the direction of the market at any time. We see a lot more concentration in our options business, and the margin in our options business is quite higher than our equities business. So that's actually a net positive for us. And I think in a volatile market, which seems like it is going to be in the foreseeable future, I think we're extremely well positioned with just our core customer base, right? You see a lot of our competitors looking to target active traders. We have only targeted active traders since day one. That is our core. That is our flywheel, right? And it will constantly help us when there is volatility in the market. And the activity between a casual retail trader and an active retail trader is very different. So the second part, I think, where we have an advantage is our global distribution, right? We're now operating in 14 different countries around the world, and it's great to have diversity of revenue streams with different product types, with a volatile market and a questionable outcome of which direction the market is going to go. And then lastly is our B2B business, which has done nothing but expand since we made our first announcement only 3 months ago. We'll continue to build on those partnerships. It is a long-term and slow-growing business when you're dealing with B2B relationships, but they are consistent through different changing markets over time.

Christopher Brendler, Analyst

That's great color. One last one, if you don't mind, is the prediction markets here. Super exciting to see the success after such a late in the year launch, certainly it ramped very quickly. How should we think about prediction markets contributing to earnings and profitability in 2026?

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

Prediction markets are promising for our business. They expand our total addressable market to a new demographic of customers. They serve as an excellent reengagement tool for clients who have become inactive or reduced their usage of the platform. It encourages users to return and explore investing and trading again. However, I don’t see prediction markets as part of our core business moving forward. Our main focus is on active securities traders. Nevertheless, prediction markets are a valuable tool to engage clients with their portfolios, enabling them to speculate, hedge, and access new tools as a way to attract a new customer base.

Operator, Operator

The next question is from Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities.

Mike Grondahl, Analyst

I wanted to follow up on the $3.9 billion in net new deposits. You guys really called out the marketing spend, and we know what you've done there for people moving balances. But I didn't hear you mention crypto, that new offering or Meritz, that rollout. Do you want to attribute any of that big growth to crypto or Meritz? Or I guess, drill down a little bit deeper there, Anthony.

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

Yes. So firstly, any of the B2B relationships that we've onboarded, they're not attributable to net deposits. Those net deposits are purely coming from retail. Crypto, however, is included because our crypto business is only attributed to retail right now. To give you a little bit of color on how Meritz is going, we've been obviously quiet in terms of the revenue attributed to this new partnership because we still are growing it, and it's still very early. But we have, to date, traded north of $1 billion notional in equity for Korean customers through our relationship with Meritz. That number is growing on a week-to-week basis, and we expect them to be a very important partner for our B2B business in the longer term. On the crypto side, and we've talked about this before, the availability and the opportunity for us for crypto is a wide-open field. And I'm extremely excited about the ability to be best-in-class for active crypto trading, but it's still too early. The amount of trading that we're doing on crypto versus our securities business is still minimal. We are still waiting to roll out a couple of key products towards the end of this quarter. And I think there'll be much more material conversations to have for Q2 in terms of crypto revenue contribution.

Mike Grondahl, Analyst

Got it. And just going back to Meritz, how ramped up is that relationship? Is it still early innings, middle innings? And then what does the pipeline look like for other international partnerships or opportunities?

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

The relationship with Meritz is crucial, particularly in one of the largest active trading regions in Korea, and we're still in the early stages. We've only just begun the second phase, with the first phase focused on onboarding them. Currently, we're in the testing phase, where we're working out the various trade flows they want to send our way, and that volume is steadily increasing. By the end of this year, I anticipate that this will grow tenfold compared to where we are today. As for the B2B pipeline, that's where it becomes really promising. Onboarding institutional investors takes longer than onboarding retail customers, so building these relationships requires time. However, we have a robust pipeline with several businesses eager to connect with us for various reasons. We're outperforming our competitors in pricing, technology, local presence, and product diversification. There are very few competitors in this space that can compete with us on all these fronts. I expect our B2B business to match or exceed our current retail business in the coming years.

Operator, Operator

The next question is from Karim Assef with Bank of America.

Karim Assef, Analyst

Can you guys hear me okay?

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

Yes, sir.

Karim Assef, Analyst

Okay. Perfect. Congrats on a strong quarter. My first question is on capital priorities and M&A. So could you give us an update about your capital priorities for this year? And what are some of the key focus areas for M&A in terms of size and target markets?

H. Wang, Group CFO

I'll take this one. I think our answer hasn't really changed. We'll continue to be very focused on investing in growth; that means customer acquisition, AUM acquisition and continue to invest in technology, especially AI, to make us the best-in-class platform for active traders and also in geographical expansion where we're currently operating. So I would say it's primarily in organic growth as we see a lot of opportunities in our current space where we're gaining share across a number of markets. In terms of the M&A opportunities, I think it's something we'll be opportunistic. We don't have a strategy necessarily saying that we have to grow through acquisitions. But if something interesting does come along, we'll obviously evaluate it from a risk-reward perspective.

Karim Assef, Analyst

Got it. And then for my follow-up, I wanted to know if there are any plans to publish monthly metrics such as DARTs, account growth, net deposits, similar to what some of your peers provide? And if so, could you share the timing or the context around when you might start?

H. Wang, Group CFO

Thank you for your suggestion. We are listening and actively evaluating while also considering the current stage of our business. As you may have noticed, we recently provided more detailed data on DARTs and interest-earning asset balances in this quarterly presentation. Our goal is to be transparent and offer more information to our investors and research analysts. When the time is right, we plan to share data on a more regular basis. Thank you.

Operator, Operator

The next question is from Ed Engel with Compass Point.

Edward Engel, Analyst

I wanted to drill down on some of the success you're seeing on the performance marketing side. Is there any specific segment or segments that are driving a lot of the growth there, whether it's U.S., international or kind of these new products, like crypto and prediction markets?

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

What I found most impressive in 2025 was the growth of our international contribution, particularly from non-U.S. broker-dealers who are adding to our U.S. product flow, especially in equities and options. We have more than doubled the incoming flow during that year. I am very confident that this trend will persist into 2026 as we continue to introduce the U.S. retail experience to investors outside the U.S., through our broker-dealer affiliates under the Webull Corporation umbrella. Retail customers in other countries are still accessing the same investment blogs and Reddit channels, discussing options trading ahead of earnings cycles. However, these customers often lack access to U.S. products in their markets or face high fees or poor user experiences. We are successfully bringing the U.S. experience to them and will keep advancing that agenda. We are the first genuine zero-commission platform in Hong Kong, and when we implemented zero commission there in November 2025, our customer order flow nearly doubled immediately. We will keep pushing for better pricing, price compression, and improved user experiences globally. The international segment is very important for us. Regarding product types, crypto is crucial for our customer demographic, and we are focusing on attracting active crypto traders with favorable pricing here in the U.S. We currently have licenses to offer crypto in Brazil and Australia, and I believe we will secure two more licenses for trading crypto before our next earnings call, further expanding our user base. Lastly, prediction markets are an intriguing new product for our B2B business. To provide predictive markets, we need multiple licenses and the capacity to deliver technology quickly to platforms that lack the necessary licenses and technology. We are building a substantial queue of clients, which will also enhance our prediction market business beyond just retail.

Edward Engel, Analyst

Great. Appreciate all that color. And then just kind of get into the trading revenue segment within the platform and trading fees line item, a pretty big sequential increase in that. We can kind of back into prediction market revenue just given the volume you gave us, and it's some of that, but not really all of it. So just curious, of that kind of platform and trading fee line item, like what really drove that sequential increase?

H. Wang, Group CFO

Well, it's actually a number of things. Outside of our core products, equities and options, all the other asset classes contribute to the platform and trading fees. This includes futures, crypto, and prediction markets, as well as the commissions we collect from some of our foreign affiliates. In Q4, we saw a significant jump for several reasons. One is that our futures business continues to grow. We consolidated Webull Pay and the crypto business at the end of Q3, so Q4 was actually the first time we presented crypto revenue in any of our results, along with prediction markets. As you can see, Q4 was a big quarter for prediction markets, which significantly contributed to our results in Q4.

Edward Engel, Analyst

Great. And just one last housekeeping question. I noticed on the balance sheet that the promissory note balance has declined. Did you pay this down?

H. Wang, Group CFO

Yes, that's correct. We had $100 million of promissory note on our balance sheet at the beginning of Q4. We paid off $35 million of the principal of the promissory note in Q4.

Edward Engel, Analyst

Okay. And I guess the interest payment steps up, correct, in about a month. Is it fair to assume that you would try to take it down relatively quick? Or are you okay with it out there?

H. Wang, Group CFO

I think we are evaluating our options. We have time to pay down the promissory notes, and there's flexibility in when to settle them. It will depend on our cash flow, balance sheet, and strategic priorities in the upcoming quarters. Our goal is to eventually pay it off because we want to maintain a healthy balance sheet and avoid taking on excessive debt. We definitely plan to reduce it over time, which should also help us save on interest costs.

Brian Vieten, Analyst

Great. Once again, congrats on the big growth.

Operator, Operator

The next question is from Brian Vieten with Siebert.

Brian Vieten, Analyst

Just a question on, I guess, the customer funnel kind of driving new adds and keeping people engaged. Can you just talk about prediction markets versus crypto? Like what's been, I guess, a more compelling funnel for you and how you see that looking in '26? And then separately, just on price, it seems like for a number of products, the pricing is very competitive. But I do wonder if maybe you could come out at sort of a healthier price level and then the customer could kind of opt out versus you kind of immediately cut the price and then it's harder to maybe raise it down the road. Have you guys run through any of these analyses where maybe you do just have the normal fee structure and you could always sort of cut it down over time and kind of delight the customer from that standpoint? Is that an exercise you guys have worked through with prediction markets, crypto, kind of your newer markets?

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

Brian, so I think one of the big differences, though, when we talk about price compression for crypto, I think the biggest differentiator between our business and any of our competitor business in terms of trading of crypto and the spreads that are built in the pricing is that we're not reliant on any crypto revenue currently, right? So any revenue that we add, whether it's from a pricing spread that's 1/4 of the margin of our next competitor, that's still accretive revenue for us. If any of our competitors were to match our pricing, they'd have to be cutting their crypto revenue significantly. So we think that, that puts us in a very good position. It almost reminds me of when we launched the platform in 2018, where there was us and 2 or 3 other digital platforms that were only offering zero commission, right, for equities. The largest players, they were very, very slow to adapt and change because it was so cannibalistic to a very important revenue stream that they depended on. I see this as the same exact opportunity for us. To get more detailed about your question when, I don't think we would have an across-the-board pricing compression for all clients because the majority of crypto investors are long-term investors, right? They're buying it to add to their portfolio. So the entry cost is not that important to them. We're targeting the active crypto traders, right? People that are day trading crypto multiple times a day, every day. That is the majority of our customer base, active traders, and we want to cater a product specifically for them. So we do have a couple of different models in mind, and I will give you more details as we get closer to a launch date.

Brian Vieten, Analyst

Okay, it sounds like for the near term, the focus is on increasing volume and engagement to attract new customers. Should we assume that there won't be significant revenue from crypto prediction markets in 2026? If I missed your earlier coverage on this, could you explain the fee structure for this year?

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

For our prediction markets, we charge a commission of $0.01 per contract. Additionally, we receive exchange rebates as part of our revenue from prediction markets. We did a special promotion around the Super Bowl where we waived the commission on all Super Bowl-related prediction markets, including the game winner, point spread, and MVP. This promotion attracted a significant amount of traffic without requiring any expensive advertising during the Super Bowl period, making it a very successful initiative for us. I believe there’s limited potential for reducing costs in prediction markets. At this stage, the focus is on volume and scale. It could be approached in different ways, but I’m not convinced a targeted audience is our focus. Our primary audience consists of active securities traders rather than purely speculative traders, although that could change. We are still waiting for data and to see the regulatory and political landscape before committing to a specific product. Obviously, incorporating a crypto on-ramp aligns well with our audience demographic, and we will continue to explore the right product offerings as we prepare for an aggressive push in Q2.

Brian Vieten, Analyst

Okay, great. Lastly, I noticed that one of your competitors has 10 or 11 businesses generating over $100 million in revenue, with Prediction Markets being the quickest to reach $100 million among them. Interestingly, many of those businesses were launched five years ago. Even if we reduce the prediction market figure by 80%, it still remains the fastest to $100 million. From my perspective, I find it somewhat puzzling why we aren't fully capitalizing on such a rapidly expanding market that appears to have significant potential. I'm open to hearing your thoughts on this as well.

Anthony Michael Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO

No. So Brian, I mean, we do have the full suite of prediction markets that all of our competitors have. It's not that we don't offer them. We absolutely do offer them. However, we don't put our prediction markets front and center in our customer experience, right? And I think that's a great metric you mentioned, but another great metric is you look at our traditional securities products, we're probably $115 million in terms of AUM of the competitor you mentioned, yet we do 1/3 the amount of equity business they do on any given day. We do probably 20% to 25% of the options business that they do in any given day. So we understand who our core customer is and we build our platform and we develop it around our core customer.

Operator, Operator

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