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6-K

CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES Ltd (CNQ)

6-K 2023-11-02 For: 2023-11-02
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Added on April 12, 2026

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 6-K

REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER

Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Dated: November 2, 2023

Commission File Number: 333-12138

CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

2100, 855 - 2ND Street S. W., Calgary, Alberta T2P 4J8

(Address of principal executive offices)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.

Form 20-F ____          Form 40-F    X

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1): ____

Note: Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1) only permits the submission in paper of a Form 6-K if submitted solely to provide an attached annual report to security holders.

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7): ____

Note: Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7) only permits the submission in paper of a Form 6-K if submitted to furnish a report or other document that the registrant foreign private issuer must furnish and make public under the laws of the jurisdiction in which the registrant is incorporated, domiciled or legally organized (the registrant's "home country"), or under the rules of the home country exchange on which the registrant's securities are traded, as long as the report or other document is not a press release, is not required to be and has not been distributed to the registrant's security holders, and, if discussing a material event, has already been the subject of a Form 6-K submission or other Commission filing on EDGAR.

Exhibits 99.1, 99.2 and 99.3 to this report, filed on Form 6-K, shall be incorporated by reference as exhibits to the registrant's Registration Statements under the Securities Act of 1933 on Form F-10 (File Nos. 333-219366 and 333-219367).

Exhibit Number Description
99.1 Press Release dated November 2, 2023
Canadian Natural Resources Limited Announces 2023 Third Quarter Results
99.2 Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
99.3 Unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and 2022

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited<br><br>(Registrant)
Date:    November 2, 2023 By: /s/ Stephanie A. Graham
Stephanie A. Graham
Corporate Secretary & Associate General Counsel, Canada

Document

pressreleasea.jpg

CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED ANNOUNCES

2023 THIRD QUARTER RESULTS

CALGARY, ALBERTA – NOVEMBER 2, 2023 – FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Commenting on the Company's third quarter 2023 results, Tim McKay, President, stated "Our quarterly results demonstrate how our effective and efficient operations, combined with our diverse product mix generates significant free cash flow, resulting in strong shareholder returns through our sustainable and growing dividend and significant share repurchases.

Our world class assets delivered top tier operational and financial results in Q3/23 with average quarterly production volumes of approximately 1,394,000 BOE/d, which is the highest quarterly volumes in the history of the Company, including record quarterly production volumes for both liquids and natural gas of approximately 1,035,000 bbl/d and 2,151 MMcf/d respectively. Following the completion of planned turnarounds at our Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading assets, synthetic crude oil ("SCO") production was strong, averaging approximately 491,000 bbl/d during Q3/23, capturing robust SCO pricing at a premium to WTI. Additionally, as a result of strong execution in our thermal assets, production growth was ahead of plan, as Q3/23 average thermal production volumes increased by approximately 44,000 bbl/d to 287,000 bbl/d from Q3/22 levels. As a result of our focus on effective and efficient operations, the Company had strong liquid netbacks in Q3/23, similar to Q3/22 netback levels when commodity prices were much higher. This resulted in significant free cash flow for the Company.

Environmental, Social and Governance ("ESG") remains a priority for the Company. Canadian Natural is an investment leader in research and development ("R&D") and our strong track record of R&D investment will continue in 2024 and beyond and is targeted to grow with our participation in the Pathways Alliance. It is critical to work together with the Government of Canada and the Alberta government to make the Pathways Alliance a transformative industry collaboration. Through the foundational Carbon Capture and Storage ("CCS") project, we have a significant opportunity to achieve meaningful GHG emissions reductions in support of industry's, Alberta's and Canada's climate goals and to provide affordable, reliable, responsibly produced energy to the world."

Canadian Natural's Chief Financial Officer, Mark Stainthorpe, added "During the third quarter of 2023, our robust business model delivered strong net earnings of over $2.3 billion, adjusted net earnings of approximately $2.9 billion and strong quarterly adjusted funds flow of approximately $4.7 billion. After our base capital expenditures and dividend, the Company generated significant quarterly free cash flow of approximately $2.7 billion in Q3/23. Our diversified portfolio, including our long life low decline assets, combined with our effective and efficient operations allowed us to continue to deliver robust returns to shareholders by repurchasing shares and reducing debt. Year-to-date, up to and including November 1, 2023, we have returned approximately $6.1 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

With current strong production volumes and expected free cash flow in Q4/23 and beyond, based on current strip pricing, we are quickly approaching a net debt level of $10 billion, which we forecast to achieve in Q1/24, at which time we target to increase returns to shareholders to 100% of free cash flow.

Subsequent to quarter end, the Board of Directors has approved an 11% increase to our base quarterly dividend to $1.00 per common share, from $0.90 per common share, demonstrating the confidence that the Board has in the sustainability of our business model, our strong balance sheet and the strength of our diverse, long life low decline reserves and asset base. With this increase announced today, the Company has increased its dividend by 18% in 2023 to $4.00 per share annually. As a result, the Company's leading track record of dividend increases continues, as this increase will mark 2024 as the 24th consecutive year of dividend increases, with a CAGR of 21% over that time.”

CORPORATE UPDATE

One of Canadian Natural’s many strengths is our strong and deep leadership team. The Company takes a very proactive and disciplined approach to succession, with well-planned and successful transitions, ensuring we maintain our strong corporate culture and top tier performance.

As part of ongoing management succession, at Canadian Natural’s 2023 year end Board meeting on February 28, 2024, Tim McKay will assume the role of Vice Chairman and Scott Stauth, currently Chief Operating Officer, Oil Sands, will be promoted to President of Canadian Natural.

Mr. Stauth has been with Canadian Natural for 26 years in increasingly responsible management roles across all our operations in Canada. Scott Stauth, as Chief Operating Officer, Oil Sands, has played an integral role in delivering top tier performance across all of the Company’s Oil Sands operations.

As Vice Chairman, Mr. McKay will support the management transition until his retirement in summer 2024.

In addition, as part of the succession plan, Jay Froc, currently Senior Vice President Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading, will be promoted to Chief Operating Officer, Oil Sands on January 1, 2024. Mr. Froc has been with Canadian Natural for 10 years.

Trevor Cassidy, Chief Operating Officer, E&P, after over 23 years of contributing to the Company’s success will be retiring in Q4/23, at which time Robin Zabek, currently Senior Vice President Exploitation E&P, will be promoted to Chief Operating Officer, E&P. Mr. Zabek has been with Canadian Natural for 20 years.

Murray Edwards, Executive Chairman of the Company, commenting on the succession stated “Canadian Natural has a strong track record of successful succession at our senior leadership level, ensuring Canadian Natural continues to deliver top tier performance. Mr. Stauth has been a significant contributor to Canadian Natural’s top tier performance over the last 26 years and we are very confident Scott will make even greater contributions as President. In addition, Tim as Vice Chairman will continue to provide oversight and guidance on our operations to ensure a smooth transition.”

Tim McKay, commenting on the succession stated “Scott and I have worked closely together over the years and he has outstanding leadership, technical and operational skills and is an excellent role model for Canadian Natural’s culture, one of our key competitive advantages. We are very confident in Scott’s abilities.”

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 2 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
( millions, except per common share amounts) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Net earnings $ 2,344 $ 1,463 $ 2,814 $ 5,606 $ 9,417
Per common share $ 2.15 $ 1.34 $ 2.52 $ 5.12 $ 8.23
$ 2.13 $ 1.32 $ 2.49 $ 5.07 $ 8.12
Adjusted net earnings from operations (1) $ 2,850 $ 1,256 $ 3,493 $ 5,987 $ 10,669
Per common share $ 2.61 $ 1.15 $ 3.12 $ 5.47 $ 9.32
$ 2.59 $ 1.14 $ 3.09 $ 5.41 $ 9.20
Cash flows from operating activities $ 3,498 $ 2,745 $ 6,098 $ 7,538 $ 14,847
Adjusted funds flow (1) $ 4,684 $ 2,742 $ 5,208 $ 10,855 $ 15,615
Per common share $ 4.30 $ 2.50 $ 4.66 $ 9.91 $ 13.64
$ 4.26 $ 2.48 $ 4.60 $ 9.81 $ 13.47
Cash flows used in investing activities $ 1,199 $ 1,560 $ 1,129 $ 3,912 $ 3,725
Net capital expenditures, excluding net acquisition costs and strategic growth capital (3) $ 1,019 $ 1,385 $ 996 $ 3,522 $ 3,106
Net capital expenditures (1) $ 1,231 $ 1,669 $ 1,249 $ 4,294 $ 4,154
Daily production, before royalties
Natural gas (MMcf/d) 2,151 2,085 2,132 2,125 2,081
Crude oil and NGLs (bbl/d) 1,035,153 846,909 983,678 948,587 930,079
Equivalent production (BOE/d) (4) 1,393,614 1,194,326 1,338,940 1,302,715 1,276,970

All values are in US Dollars.

(1)Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this press release and the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 dated November 1, 2023.

(2)Non-GAAP Ratio. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this press release and the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 dated November 1, 2023.

(3)Net capital expenditures, excluding net acquisition costs and strategic growth capital, is defined as base capital expenditures.

(4)A barrel of oil equivalent (“BOE”) is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet (“Mcf”) of natural gas to one barrel (“bbl”) of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, or to compare the value ratio using current crude oil and natural gas prices since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.

▪The strength of Canadian Natural's long life low decline asset base, supported by our safe, effective and efficient operations, makes our business unique, robust and sustainable. In Q3/23, the Company generated strong financial results, including:

•Net earnings of approximately $2.3 billion and adjusted net earnings from operations of approximately $2.9 billion.

•Cash flows from operating activities of approximately $3.5 billion.

•Adjusted funds flow of approximately $4.7 billion.

•Free cash flow(1) of approximately $2.7 billion(2) after total dividend payments of approximately $1.0 billion and base capital expenditures(3) of approximately $1.0 billion.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 3 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

DIVIDEND INCREASE

▪Subsequent to quarter end, the Board of Directors has approved an 11% increase to our quarterly dividend to $1.00 per common share, from $0.90 per common share, payable on January 5, 2024 to shareholders of record on December 8, 2023. This demonstrates the confidence that the Board has in the sustainability of our business model, our strong balance sheet and the strength of our diverse, long life low decline reserves and asset base. The Company's leading track record of dividend increases continues, as this increase will mark the 24th consecutive year of dividend increases.

•Canadian Natural increased its sustainable and growing dividend twice in 2023 for a total combined increase of 18% to $4.00 per share annually.

QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

▪Returns to shareholders in Q3/23 were strong, totaling approximately $1.6 billion, comprised of approximately $1.0 billion of dividends and approximately $0.6 billion of share repurchases.

•In Q3/23, the Company repurchased approximately 7.2 million common shares for cancellation at a weighted average price of $82.57 per share for a total of approximately $0.6 billion.

▪Year-to-date, up to and including November 1, 2023, the Company has returned approximately $6.1 billion to shareholders through approximately $3.9 billion in dividends and $2.2 billion through the repurchase and cancellation of approximately 27.9 million common shares.

▪Canadian Natural continues to maintain a strong balance sheet and financial flexibility, with net debt(1) of approximately $11.5 billion and significant liquidity(1) of approximately $6.1 billion at the end of Q3/23.

•In September 2023, the Company extended its $0.5 billion revolving credit facility by one year, now maturing February 2025.

▪With current strong production volumes and expected free cash flow in Q4/23 and beyond, based on current strip pricing we are quickly approaching a net debt level of $10 billion, which we forecast to achieve in Q1/24, at which time we target to increase returns to shareholders to 100% of free cash flow. At that time, the free cash flow definition will be adjusted funds flow less dividends and total capital expenditures for the year.

•The Company's current free cash flow allocation policy provides that when net debt is between $10 billion and $15 billion, 50% of free cash flow will be allocated to share repurchases and 50% of free cash flow will be allocated to the balance sheet, less strategic growth / acquisition opportunities. Free cash flow for the purpose of the policy is defined as adjusted funds flow less dividends, less base capital.

▪In Q3/23, Canadian Natural continued to focus on safe, effective and efficient operations, achieving record quarterly average production volumes of 1,393,614 BOE/d, an increase of 4% or approximately 55,000 BOE/d compared to Q3/22 levels.

•The Company achieved record quarterly average liquids production volumes in Q3/23 of 1,035,153 bbl/d, an increase of 5% over Q3/22 levels of 983,678 bbl/d.

•Our focus on execution and effective and efficient operations drove strong liquids netbacks in Q3/23, similar to Q3/22 netback levels when commodity prices were much higher, generating significant free cash flow for the Company.

◦Canadian Natural continues to focus on safe, effective and efficient operations of its world class Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading assets to deliver high value SCO, with strong quarterly production averaging 490,853 bbl/d in Q3/23, comparable to Q3/22 levels of 487,553 bbl/d.

◦Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading operating costs were top tier, averaging $22.12/bbl (US$16.49/bbl) of SCO in Q3/23, comparable to Q3/22 costs of $22.35/bbl (US$17.12/bbl).

◦Based on the current forward strip as of October 30, 2023, these high margin SCO barrels will capture strong pricing with a strip average premium to WTI pricing of approximately US$2.24/bbl in Q4/23, generating significant free cash flow for the Company.

◦As a result of strong execution on the Company's thermal growth plan, total thermal production averaged 287,085 bbl/d in Q3/23, an increase of 43,692 bbl/d or 18% compared to Q3/22 levels of 243,393 bbl/d. The increase in production was primarily driven by strong execution and bringing production on earlier than originally planned on the new Primrose CSS and Kirby SAGD pads.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 4 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

◦Thermal in situ operating costs averaged $11.47/bbl (US$8.55/bbl) in Q3/23, a decrease of 27% from Q3/22 levels, primarily reflecting the impact of higher production volumes and lower natural gas fuel costs.

•The Company achieved record quarterly natural gas production volumes in Q3/23, averaging 2,151 MMcf/d, comparable to Q3/22 levels of 2,132 MMcf/d.

▪The Company's strategic growth plan includes increasing production from our long life no decline Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading assets. At Horizon, after the planned turnaround in 2024, the reliability enhancement project is targeted to be completed which will increase SCO production capacity by approximately 14,000 bbl/d in 2025 as the Company targets to shift maintenance to once every two years, reducing downtime and increasing overall reliability.

(1)Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this press release and the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, dated November 1, 2023.

(2)Based on sum of rounded numbers.

(3)Item is component of net capital expenditures. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 for more details on net capital expenditures.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 5 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

OPERATIONS REVIEW AND CAPITAL ALLOCATION

Canadian Natural has a balanced and diverse portfolio of assets, primarily Canadian-based, with international exposure in the UK section of the North Sea and Offshore Africa. Canadian Natural’s production is well balanced between light crude oil, medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil, Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil) and SCO (herein collectively referred to as “crude oil”) and natural gas and NGLs. This balance provides optionality for capital investments, maximizing value for the Company’s shareholders.

Underpinning this asset base is the Company's long life low decline production, representing approximately 73% of budgeted total liquids production in 2023, the majority of which is zero decline high value SCO production from the Company's world class Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading assets. The remaining balance of the Company's long life low decline production comes from our top tier thermal in situ oil sands operations and our Pelican Lake heavy crude oil assets. The combination of these long life low decline assets, low reserves replacement costs, and effective and efficient operations results in substantial and sustainable adjusted funds flow throughout the commodity price cycle.

In addition, Canadian Natural maintains a substantial inventory of low capital exposure projects within the Company's conventional asset base. These projects can be executed quickly and, in the right economic conditions, provide excellent returns and maximize value for our shareholders. Supporting these projects is the Company’s undeveloped land base which enables large, repeatable drilling programs that can be optimized over time. Additionally, by owning and operating most of the related infrastructure, Canadian Natural is able to control major components of the Company's operating costs and minimize production commitments. Low capital exposure projects can be quickly stopped or started depending upon success, market conditions or corporate needs.

Canadian Natural’s balanced portfolio, built with both long life low decline assets and low capital exposure assets, enables effective capital allocation, production growth and value creation.

Drilling Activity Nine Months Ended September 30
2023 2022
(number of wells) Gross Net Gross Net
Crude oil (1) 186 179 242 237
Natural gas 61 52 85 57
Dry 2 2 1 1
Subtotal 249 233 328 295
Stratigraphic test / service wells 476 414 477 409
Total 725 647 805 704
Success rate (excluding stratigraphic test / service wells) 99% 99%

(1)Includes bitumen wells.

▪The Company drilled a total of 233 net crude oil and natural gas producer wells in the nine months ended September 30, 2023 compared to 295 during the nine months ended September 30, 2022, a decrease of 62 net wells over this time period.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 6 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

North America Exploration and Production

Crude oil and NGLs – excluding Thermal In Situ Oil Sands
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Crude oil and NGLs production (bbl/d) 232,496 226,202 228,239 231,047 226,125
Net wells targeting crude oil 42 29 60 131 143
Net successful wells drilled 42 29 60 129 142
Success rate 100% 100% 100% 98% 99%

▪North America E&P liquids production, excluding thermal in situ, averaged 232,496 bbl/d in Q3/23, a 2% increase compared to Q3/22 levels, primarily reflecting drilling activity on the Company's primary heavy crude oil assets, offset by natural field declines.

•Primary heavy crude oil production averaged 76,377 bbl/d in Q3/23, an 11% increase from Q3/22 levels, reflecting drilling results. The Company continues to successfully drill Mannville multilateral wells in the Bonnyville/Lloydminster and Clearwater fairways, having drilled 34 and 78 net multilateral primary heavy crude oil wells in Q3/23 and the first nine months of 2023 respectively.

◦Operating costs(1) in the Company's primary heavy crude oil operations averaged $19.68/bbl (US$14.67/bbl) in Q3/23, a decrease of 8% from Q3/22 levels, primarily reflecting higher volumes.

•Pelican Lake production averaged 46,897 bbl/d in Q3/23, a decrease of 6% from Q3/22 levels, consistent with historical low natural field declines from this long life low decline asset.

◦Operating costs at Pelican Lake averaged $8.02/bbl (US$5.98/bbl) in Q3/23, representing a decrease of 10% from Q3/22 levels, primarily due to lower power costs.

•North America light crude oil and NGLs production averaged 109,222 bbl/d in Q3/23, comparable to Q3/22 levels.

◦Operating costs on the Company's North America light crude oil and NGLs production averaged $15.49/bbl (US$11.55/bbl) in Q3/23, a 7% decrease from Q3/22 levels, primarily due to lower power costs.

Thermal In Situ Oil Sands
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Bitumen production (bbl/d) 287,085 238,941 243,393 256,466 251,626
Net wells targeting bitumen 2 23 38 50 95
Net successful wells drilled 2 23 38 50 95
Success rate 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

▪As a result of strong execution on the Company's thermal growth plan, total thermal production averaged 287,085 bbl/d in Q3/23, an increase of 43,692 bbl/d or 18% compared to Q3/22 levels of 243,393 bbl/d. The increase in production was primarily driven by strong execution, bringing production on earlier than originally planned on the new Primrose CSS and Kirby SAGD pads.

•Thermal in situ operating costs averaged $11.47/bbl (US$8.55/bbl) in Q3/23, a decrease of 27% from Q3/22 levels, primarily reflecting the impact of higher production volumes and lower natural gas fuel costs.

▪Canadian Natural continues to deliver safe, reliable, production growth from its long life low decline thermal in situ assets which have decades of strong capital efficient growth opportunities. Highlights include:

•At Primrose, the Company delivered production of 107,814 bbl/d in Q3/23, significant growth from prior periods as a result of production from the two CSS pads drilled in 2022, which came on production ahead of schedule.

(1)Calculated as production expense divided by respective sales volumes. Natural gas and NGLs production volumes approximate sales volumes.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 7 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

•At Kirby, current production is approximately 65,000 bbl/d as the Company has grown production by approximately 15,000 bbl/d from Q4/22 levels. The significant production growth is due to the development of four SAGD pads, the first of which reached full production capacity in Q3/23. The three remaining pads are targeted to ramp up to full production capacity over the first nine months of 2024, at a pace of one pad per quarter, maintaining this production level.

•At Jackfish, two SAGD pads were drilled in the first half of 2023, with production from these pads targeted to ramp up to their full production capacities in Q3/24 and Q4/24, supporting continued high utilization rates.

▪Canadian Natural has been piloting solvent enhanced oil recovery technology on certain thermal in situ assets with an objective to increase bitumen production, reduce the Steam to Oil Ratio ("SOR"), reduce GHG intensity and realize high solvent recovery. This technology has the potential for application throughout the Company's extensive thermal in situ asset base.

•At Kirby North, the Company is moving forward with the commercial scale solvent SAGD pad development. The Company continued facility module fabrication in Q3/23 and targets to begin solvent injection in mid-2024.

•At Primrose, the Company is currently piloting solvent enhanced oil recovery in the steam flood area and is targeting SOR and GHG intensity reductions of 40% to 45%, with solvent recovery greater than 70%, which has been successful to-date. The Company targets to continue to use the pilot into 2024 to evaluate the potential of various solvent concentrations to improve overall performance.

North America Natural Gas
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Natural gas production (MMcf/d) 2,139 2,072 2,117 2,113 2,065
Net wells targeting natural gas 10 21 14 52 57
Net successful wells drilled 10 21 14 52 57
Success rate 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

▪Canadian Natural achieved record quarterly natural gas production in North America of 2,139 MMcf/d in Q3/23, comparable to Q3/22 levels of 2,117 MMcf/d. Production in Q3/23 included minor impacts from wildfires of approximately 11 MMcf/d.

•North America natural gas operating costs averaged $1.22/Mcf in Q3/23, an increase of 8% compared to Q3/22 levels, primarily reflecting higher service costs. The Company continues to focus on cost control and effective and efficient operations to offset cost pressures.

International Exploration and Production

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Crude oil production (bbl/d) 24,719 26,520 24,493 26,180 27,340
Natural gas production (MMcf/d) 12 13 15 12 16

▪International E&P crude oil production volumes averaged 24,719 bbl/d in Q3/23, comparable to Q3/22 levels. Production volumes in the North Sea during Q3/23 were impacted by maintenance activities with additional planned maintenance activities targeted to continue into Q4/23.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 8 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

North America Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Synthetic crude oil production (bbl/d) (1)(2) 490,853 355,246 487,553 434,895 424,988

(1)SCO production before royalties and excludes production volumes consumed internally as diesel.

(2)Consists of heavy and light synthetic crude oil products.

▪Canadian Natural continues to focus on safe, reliable, effective and efficient operations of its world class Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading assets to deliver high value SCO, with strong production averaging 490,853 bbl/d in Q3/23, comparable to Q3/22 levels.

•Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading operating costs were top tier, averaging $22.12/bbl (US$16.49/bbl) in Q3/23, comparable to Q3/22 levels of $22.35/bbl (US$17.12/bbl).

▪The Company realized strong SCO pricing based on benchmark pricing of US$84.99/bbl in Q3/23, representing a US$2.81/bbl premium to WTI, generating significant free cash flow for the Company.

▪Based on the current forward strip as of October 30, 2023, these high margin SCO barrels will capture strong pricing with a strip average premium to WTI pricing of approximately US$2.24/bbl in Q4/23, generating significant free cash flow for the Company.

▪At Horizon, after the planned turnaround in 2024, the reliability enhancement project is targeted to be completed which will increase SCO production capacity by approximately 14,000 bbl/d in 2025 as the Company targets to shift maintenance to once every two years, reducing downtime and increasing overall reliability.

MARKETING

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Crude oil and NGLs pricing
WTI benchmark price (US$/bbl) (1) $ 82.18 $ 73.75 $ 91.64 $ 77.37 $ 98.14
WCS heavy differential as a percentage of<br><br>WTI (%) (2) 16% 20% 22% 23% 16%
SCO benchmark price (US$/bbl) $ 84.99 $ 76.67 $ 100.51 $ 79.97 $ 102.66
Condensate benchmark price (US$/bbl) $ 77.91 $ 72.28 $ 87.15 $ 76.66 $ 97.19
Exploration & Production liquids realized pricing (C$/bbl) (3)(4) $ 87.83 $ 72.06 $ 84.91 $ 73.45 $ 97.99
SCO realized pricing (C$/bbl) (4)(5) $ 108.55 $ 95.08 $ 120.91 $ 100.57 $ 122.45
Natural gas pricing
AECO benchmark price (C$/GJ) $ 2.26 $ 2.22 $ 5.51 $ 2.86 $ 5.27
Natural gas realized pricing (C$/Mcf) (5) $ 2.81 $ 2.53 $ 6.57 $ 3.20 $ 6.61

(1)West Texas Intermediate ("WTI").

(2)Western Canadian Select ("WCS").

(3)Average crude oil and NGL pricing excludes SCO. Pricing is net of blending costs and excluding risk management activities.

(4)Non-GAAP ratio. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 dated November 1, 2023.

(5)Pricing is net of blending costs and excluding risk management activities.

▪Canadian Natural has a balanced and diverse product mix of natural gas, NGLs, heavy crude oil, light crude oil, thermal in situ bitumen and SCO.

▪WTI prices were strong in Q3/23, averaging US$82.18/bbl, however remain volatile as a result of geopolitical factors and demand concerns driven by the risk of a global recession due to persistent inflation and rising interest rates.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 9 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

▪SCO benchmark pricing continued to represent a price premium of US$2.81/bbl to WTI pricing as a result of strong North American demand for refined products, with the SCO benchmark price averaging US$84.99/bbl in Q3/23.

▪The WCS differential to WTI was US$12.86/bbl or 16% in Q3/23 compared to US$24.74/bbl or 33% in Q1/23. Strong differentials in Q3/23 primarily reflected strengthening of US Gulf Coast heavy oil pricing in 2023 and a decrease in supply from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve following releases in 2022.

▪The North West Redwater ("NWR") refinery primarily utilizes bitumen as feedstock, with production of ultra-low sulphur diesel and other refined products averaging 78,376 BOE/d in Q3/23.

▪Canadian Natural has diversified sales points which limits exposure to any one particular market and maximizes value for our shareholders. Based on production volumes during the first nine months of 2023, the Company purchased natural gas at AECO to use in our operations, offsetting the equivalent of approximately 37% of our natural gas production, with approximately 26% of our natural gas production sold at AECO/Station 2 pricing, and approximately 37% exported and sold to other North American and international markets.

•As a result of the Company's diversified sales points, Canadian Natural's North American natural gas production of 2,139 MMcf/d realized a premium to AECO of 14% above the monthly AECO natural gas quarterly benchmark price of $2.26/GJ in Q3/23. Benchmark natural gas prices primarily reflect increased North American production and higher storage levels.

▪Canadian Natural has been a supporter of incremental pipeline projects to ensure Canadian crude oil and natural gas can access global markets to deliver the most responsible and leading ESG production that the world needs.

•The Trans Mountain Corporation ("Trans Mountain") provided an update on its 590,000 bbl/d Trans Mountain Expansion project ("TMX"), on which Canadian Natural has committed 94,000 bbl/d.

◦Trans Mountain has filed an application with the Canada Energy Regulator ("CER") to set the interim tolls for transportation on the TMX expansion.

FINANCIAL REVIEW

▪The Company continues to implement proven strategies including its disciplined approach to capital allocation. As a result, the financial position of Canadian Natural remains strong. The Company's adjusted funds flow generation, credit facilities, US commercial paper program, access to capital markets, diverse asset base and flexible capital expenditure program all support a strong financial position and provide the appropriate financial resources for the near-, mid- and long-term.

▪Safe, effective and efficient operations combined with our high quality, long life low decline asset base generated quarterly free cash flow of approximately $2.7 billion after dividend payments of approximately $1.0 billion and base capital expenditures of approximately $1.0 billion (excluding net acquisitions and strategic growth capital of approximately $0.2 billion in the quarter, as per the Company's free cash flow allocation policy).

▪With current strong production volumes and expected free cash flow in Q4/23 and beyond, based on current strip pricing we are quickly approaching a net debt level of $10 billion, which we forecast to achieve in Q1/24, at which time we target to increase returns to shareholders to 100% of free cash flow. At that time, the free cash flow definition will be adjusted funds flow less dividends and total capital expenditures for the year.

•The Company's current free cash flow allocation policy provides that when net debt is between $10 billion and $15 billion, 50% of free cash flow will be allocated to share repurchases and 50% of free cash flow will be allocated to the balance sheet, less strategic growth / acquisition opportunities. Free cash flow for the purpose of the policy is defined as adjusted funds flow less dividends, less base capital.

▪Returns to shareholders in Q3/23 were strong, totaling approximately $1.6 billion, comprised of approximately $1.0 billion of dividends and approximately $0.6 billion of share repurchases.

•In Q3/23, the Company repurchased approximately 7.2 million common shares for cancellation at a weighted average price of $82.57 per share for a total of approximately $0.6 billion.

▪Canadian Natural continues to maintain a strong balance sheet and financial flexibility, with net debt of approximately $11.5 billion and significant liquidity of approximately $6.1 billion at the end of Q3/23.

•Undrawn revolving bank credit facilities totaling approximately $5.5 billion were available at September 30, 2023. Including cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments, the Company had significant liquidity of approximately $6.1 billion. At September 30, 2023, the Company had $202 million drawn

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 10 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

under its commercial paper program, and reserves capacity under its revolving bank credit facilities for amounts outstanding under this program.

•In September 2023, the Company extended its $0.5 billion revolving credit facility by one year, now maturing February 2025.

▪Year-to-date, up to and including November 1, 2023, the Company has returned approximately $6.1 billion to shareholders through approximately $3.9 billion in dividends and $2.2 billion through the repurchase and cancellation of approximately 27.9 million common shares.

DIVIDEND INCREASE

▪Subsequent to quarter end, the Board of Directors has approved an 11% increase to our quarterly dividend to $1.00 per common share, from $0.90 per common share, payable on January 5, 2024 to shareholders of record on December 8, 2023. This demonstrates the confidence that the Board has in the sustainability of our business model, our strong balance sheet and the strength of our diverse, long life low decline reserves and asset base. The Company's leading track record of dividend increases continues, as this increase will mark the 24th consecutive year of dividend increases.

•Canadian Natural increased its sustainable and growing dividend twice in 2023 for a total combined increase of 18% to $4.00 per share annually.

ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE HIGHLIGHTS

Canada and Canadian Natural are well positioned to deliver affordable, reliable, safe, and responsibly produced energy that the world needs, through leading ESG performance. Canadian Natural's diverse portfolio is supported by a large amount of long life low decline assets which have low risk, high value reserves that require low maintenance capital. This allows us to remain flexible with our capital allocation and creates an ideal opportunity to pilot and apply technologies for GHG emissions reductions. Canadian Natural continues to invest in a range of technologies to reduce emissions, such as solvents for enhanced recovery and Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage ("CCUS") projects. Our culture of continuous improvement provides a significant advantage to delivering on our strategy of investing in GHG technologies across our assets, including opportunities for methane emissions reduction, which will enhance the Company’s environmental performance and long-term sustainability.

Environmental Targets

Canadian Natural is committed to reducing its environmental footprint and as previously announced, has committed to the following environmental targets:

▪40% reduction in corporate Scope 1 and Scope 2 absolute GHG emissions by 2035, from a 2020 baseline.

▪50% reduction in North America E&P (including thermal in situ) methane emissions by 2030, from a 2016 baseline.

▪40% reduction in thermal in situ fresh water usage intensity by 2026, from a 2017 baseline.

▪40% reduction in mining fresh river water usage intensity by 2026, from a 2017 baseline.

Pathways Alliance

The six major oil sands companies in the Pathways Alliance ("Pathways"), including Canadian Natural, operate approximately 95% of Canada’s oil sands production. The goal of this unique alliance is to support Canada in meeting its climate commitments and position Canada to be the preferred source of crude oil globally.

Working collectively with the federal and provincial governments, Pathways has a goal to achieve net zero GHG emissions from oil sands operations by 2050 and is pursuing realistic and workable solutions to deliver significant emissions reductions. Pathways recognizes there are multiple technologies which contribute to achieving net zero emissions in the oil sands, including the deployment of existing and emerging GHG reduction technologies such as direct air capture, clean hydrogen, process improvements, energy efficiency, fuel switching and electrification.

Pathways has a defined plan, including its foundational CCS project involving a CO2 trunkline connecting Fort McMurray and Cold Lake to a carbon sequestration hub. In January 2023, Pathways entered into a Carbon Sequestration Evaluation Agreement with the Government of Alberta. During Q3/23, technical teams continued to advance detailed evaluations for the proposed storage hub to enhance understanding of the geology in the hub region. The proposed carbon storage hub would be one of the world's largest carbon capture and storage projects and would be connected to a transportation line that would initially gather captured CO2 from an anticipated 14 oil sands facilities in the Fort McMurray, Christina Lake and Cold Lake regions. Future phases of the plan have the potential to

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 11 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

grow the transportation network to include over 20 oil sands facilities, and to accommodate other industries in the region interested in CCS.

Members of Pathways continue to advance community engagement and environmental field programs to minimize the project’s environmental disturbance. Project engineering and environmental field programs are on track for this anchor project to meet timelines set out, subject to government support on these efforts. Stakeholder engagement and consultation is ongoing with Indigenous and local communities in northern Alberta related to the Pathways CCS project.

Government Support for Emissions Reductions and Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage

Canadian Natural is a leader in CCUS and GHG reduction projects and sees many opportunities to work collaboratively with industry peers and governments to advance investments in CCUS and to achieve meaningful GHG emissions reductions in support of Canada's climate goals.

The Government of Canada has proposed an investment tax credit ("ITC") for CCUS projects for all sectors across Canada. Updated draft legislation was released for consultation in Q3/23. It will be important for government to work together with industry to ensure that the ITC implementation delivers required support to enable CCUS project development.

The Government of Alberta's 2023 Budget announcement on February 28, 2023 included support for CCS projects and coordination with federal CCS initiatives. In addition, the Government of Alberta released its Emissions Reduction and Energy Development Plan ("ERED") on April 19, 2023, which outlines the importance of ensuring a globally competitive oil and natural gas industry while reducing emissions and an aspiration to achieve net zero by 2050. By working together, industry and governments have the opportunity to help achieve climate goals, meet economic objectives and support Canada’s role in energy security.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 12 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

ADVISORY

Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements relating to Canadian Natural Resources Limited (the "Company") in this document or documents incorporated herein by reference constitute forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to herein as "forward-looking statements") within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the words "believe", "anticipate", "expect", "plan", "estimate", "target", "continue", "could", "intend", "may", "potential", "predict", "should", "will", "objective", "project", "forecast", "goal", "guidance", "outlook", "effort", "seeks", "schedule", "proposed", "aspiration" or expressions of a similar nature suggesting future outcome or statements regarding an outlook. Disclosure related to expected future commodity pricing, forecast or anticipated production volumes, royalties, production expenses, capital expenditures, income tax expenses, and other targets provided throughout this press release and the Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") of the financial condition and results of operations of the Company, constitute forward-looking statements. Disclosure of plans relating to and expected results of existing and future developments, including, without limitation, those in relation to: the Company's assets at Horizon Oil Sands ("Horizon"), the Athabasca Oil Sands Project ("AOSP"), the Primrose thermal oil projects, the Pelican Lake water and polymer flood projects, the Kirby thermal oil sands project, the Jackfish thermal oil sands project and the North West Redwater bitumen upgrader and refinery; construction by third parties of new, or expansion of existing, pipeline capacity or other means of transportation of bitumen, crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids ("NGLs") or synthetic crude oil ("SCO") that the Company may be reliant upon to transport its products to market; the development and deployment of technology and technological innovations; the financial capacity of the Company to complete its growth projects and responsibly and sustainably grow in the long-term; and the impact of the Pathways Alliance ("Pathways") initiative and activities, government support for Pathways and the ability to achieve net zero emissions from oil production, also constitute forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on annual budgets and multi-year forecasts, and are reviewed and revised throughout the year as necessary in the context of targeted financial ratios, project returns, product pricing expectations and balance in project risk and time horizons. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to certain risks. The reader should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements as there can be no assurances that the plans, initiatives or expectations upon which they are based will occur.

In addition, statements relating to "reserves" are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of proved and proved plus probable crude oil, natural gas and NGLs reserves and in projecting future rates of production and the timing of development expenditures. The total amount or timing of actual future production may vary significantly from reserves and production estimates.

The forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the Company and the industry in which the Company operates, which speak only as of the earlier of the date such statements were made or as of the date of the report or document in which they are contained, and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, among others: general economic and business conditions (including as a result of the actions of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries Plus ("OPEC+") the impact of armed conflicts in the Middle East, the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, continuing effects of the novel coronavirus ("COVID-19") pandemic, increased inflation, and the risk of decreased economic activity resulting from a global recession) which may impact, among other things, demand and supply for and market prices of the Company's products, the availability and cost of resources required by the Company's operations; volatility of and assumptions regarding crude oil, natural gas and NGLs prices; fluctuations in currency and interest rates; assumptions on which the Company's current targets are based; economic conditions in the countries and regions in which the Company conducts business; political uncertainty, including actions of or against terrorists, insurgent groups or other conflict including conflict between states; the ability of the Company to prevent and recover from a cyberattack and other cyber-related crime; industry capacity; ability of the Company to implement its business strategy, including exploration and development activities; the Company's ability to implement strategies and leverage technologies to meet climate change initiatives and emissions targets; the impact of competition; the Company's defense of lawsuits; availability and cost of seismic, drilling and other equipment; ability of the Company and its subsidiaries to complete capital programs; the Company's and its subsidiaries' ability to secure adequate transportation for its products; unexpected disruptions or delays in the mining, extracting or upgrading of the Company's bitumen products; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; ability of the Company to attract the necessary labour required to build, maintain, and operate its thermal and oil sands mining projects; operating hazards and other difficulties inherent in the exploration for and production and sale of crude oil and natural gas and in mining, extracting or upgrading the Company's bitumen products; availability and cost of financing; the Company's and its subsidiaries' success of exploration and development activities and its ability to replace and expand crude oil and natural gas reserves; the Company's ability to meet its targeted production levels; timing and success of integrating the business and operations of acquired companies and assets; production levels; imprecision of reserves estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities of crude oil, natural gas and NGLs not currently classified as proved; actions by governmental authorities; government regulations and the expenditures required to comply with them (especially safety and environmental laws and regulations and the impact of climate change initiatives on capital expenditures and production expenses); asset retirement obligations; the sufficiency of the Company's liquidity to support its growth strategy and to sustain its operations in the short, medium, and long-term; the strength of the Company's balance sheet; the flexibility of the Company's capital structure; the adequacy of the Company's provision for taxes; and other circumstances affecting revenues and expenses.

The Company's operations have been, and in the future may be, affected by political developments and by national, federal, provincial, state and local laws and regulations such as restrictions on production, changes in taxes, royalties and other amounts payable to governments or governmental agencies, price or gathering rate controls and environmental protection regulations. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company's assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in the forward-looking statements. The impact of any one factor on a particular forward-looking statement is

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 13 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

not determinable with certainty as such factors are dependent upon other factors, and the Company's course of action would depend upon its assessment of the future considering all information then available.

Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Unpredictable or unknown factors not discussed in this press release or the Company's MD&A could also have adverse effects on forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are reasonable based on information available to it on the date such forward-looking statements are made, no assurances can be given as to future results, levels of activity and achievements. All subsequent forward-looking statements, whether written or oral, attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. Except as required by applicable law, the Company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements in this press release or the Company's MD&A, whether as a result of new information, future events or other factors, or the foregoing factors affecting this information, should circumstances or the Company’s estimates or opinions change.

Special Note Regarding Currency, Financial Information and Production

This press release should be read in conjunction with the Company's unaudited interim consolidated financial statements (the "financial statements") and the Company's MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2022. All dollar amounts are referenced in millions of Canadian dollars, except where noted otherwise. The Company’s financial statements and MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB").

Production volumes and per unit statistics are presented throughout this press release on a "before royalties" or "company gross" basis, and realized prices are net of blending and feedstock costs and exclude the effect of risk management activities. In addition, reference is made to crude oil and natural gas in common units called barrel of oil equivalent ("BOE"). A BOE is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet ("Mcf") of natural gas to one barrel ("bbl") of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In comparing the value ratio using current crude oil prices relative to natural gas prices, the 6 Mcf:1 bbl conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value. In addition, for the purposes of this press release, crude oil is defined to include the following commodities: light and medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil, Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil), and SCO. Production on an "after royalties" or "company net" basis is also presented for information purposes only.

Additional information relating to the Company, including its Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2022, is available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov. Information on the Company's website does not form part of and is not incorporated by reference in the Company's MD&A.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 14 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Special Note Regarding Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures

This press release includes references to non-GAAP and other financial measures as defined in National Instrument 52-112 – Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures Disclosure. These financial measures are used by the Company to evaluate its financial performance, financial position or cash flow and include non-GAAP financial measures, non-GAAP ratios, total of segments measures, capital management measures, and supplementary financial measures. These financial measures are not defined by IFRS and therefore are referred to as non-GAAP and other financial measures. The non-GAAP and other financial measures used by the Company may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and should not be considered an alternative to or more meaningful than the most directly comparable financial measure presented in the Company's financial statements, as applicable, as an indication of the Company's performance. Descriptions of the Company’s non-GAAP and other financial measures included in this press release, and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, as applicable, are provided below as well as in the “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” section of the Company's MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, dated November 1, 2023.

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is a non-GAAP financial measure that represents adjusted funds flow adjusted for base capital expenditures and dividends on common shares. The Company considers free cash flow a key measure in demonstrating the Company’s ability to generate cash flow to fund future growth through capital investment, pay returns to shareholders and to repay debt.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Adjusted funds flow (1) $ 4,684 $ 2,742 $ 5,208 $ 10,855 $ 15,615
Less: Base capital expenditures (2) $ 1,019 $ 1,385 $ 996 $ 3,522 $ 3,106
Dividends on common shares $ 984 $ 989 $ 2,532 $ 2,911 $ 4,092
Free cash flow $ 2,681 $ 368 $ 1,680 $ 4,422 $ 8,417

(1)Refer to the descriptions and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, which are provided in the “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” section of the Company's MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, dated November 1, 2023.

(2)Item is a component of net capital expenditures. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of Company's MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, dated November 1, 2023 for more details on net capital expenditures.

Capital Budget

Capital budget is a forward looking non-GAAP financial measure. The capital budget is based on net capital expenditures (Non-GAAP Financial Measure) and excludes net acquisition costs. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for more details on net capital expenditures.

Long-term Debt, net

Long-term debt, net (also referred to as net debt) is a capital management measure that is calculated as current and long-term debt less cash and cash equivalents.

Capital Efficiency

Capital efficiency is a supplementary financial measure that represents the capital spent to add new or incremental production divided by the current rate of the new or incremental production. It is expressed as a dollar amount per flowing volume of a product ($/bbl/d or $/BOE/d). The Company considers capital efficiency a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the efficiency of the Company's capital investments.

Break-even WTI Price

The break-even WTI price is a supplementary financial measure that represents the equivalent US dollar WTI price per barrel where the Company's adjusted funds flow is equal to the sum of maintenance capital and dividends. The Company considers the break-even WTI price a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the efficiency and profitability of the Company's activities. The break-even WTI price incorporates the non-GAAP financial measure adjusted funds flow as reconciled in the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A. Maintenance capital is a supplementary financial measure that represents the capital required to maintain annual production at prior period levels.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 15 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

CONFERENCE CALL

Canadian Natural Resources Limited (TSX-CNQ / NYSE-CNQ) will be issuing its 2023 Third Quarter Earnings Results on Thursday, November 2, 2023 before market open.

A conference call will be held at 9:00 a.m. MDT / 11:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday, November 2, 2023.

Dial-in to the live event:

North America 1-888-886-7786 / International 001-416-764-8658

Listen to the audio webcast:

Access the audio webcast on the home page of our website, www.cnrl.com.

Conference call playback:

North America 1-877-674-7070 / International 001-416-764-8692 (Passcode: 113056#)

Canadian Natural is a senior crude oil and natural gas production company, with continuing operations in its core areas located in Western Canada, the U.K. portion of the North Sea and Offshore Africa.

CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED
2100, 855 - 2nd Street S.W. Calgary, Alberta, T2P4J8<br><br>Phone: 403-514-7777 Email: [email protected]<br><br>www.cnrl.com
TIM S. MCKAY<br><br>President<br><br>MARK A. STAINTHORPE<br><br>Chief Financial Officer<br><br>LANCE J. CASSON<br><br>Manager, Investor Relations<br><br>Trading Symbol - CNQ<br><br>Toronto Stock Exchange<br><br>New York Stock Exchange
Canadian Natural Resources Limited 16 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
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Document

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CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION & ANALYSIS<br><br>FOR THE THREE AND NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2023
NOVEMBER 1, 2023

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS

ADVISORY

Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements relating to Canadian Natural Resources Limited (the "Company") in this document or documents incorporated herein by reference constitute forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to herein as "forward-looking statements") within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the words "believe", "anticipate", "expect", "plan", "estimate", "target", "continue", "could", "intend", "may", "potential", "predict", "should", "will", "objective", "project", "forecast", "goal", "guidance", "outlook", "effort", "seeks", "schedule", "proposed", "aspiration" or expressions of a similar nature suggesting future outcome or statements regarding an outlook. Disclosure related to expected future commodity pricing, forecast or anticipated production volumes, royalties, production expenses, capital expenditures, income tax expenses, and other targets provided throughout this Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") of the financial condition and results of operations of the Company, constitute forward-looking statements. Disclosure of plans relating to and expected results of existing and future developments, including, without limitation, those in relation to: the Company's assets at Horizon Oil Sands ("Horizon"), the Athabasca Oil Sands Project ("AOSP"), the Primrose thermal oil projects, the Pelican Lake water and polymer flood projects, the Kirby thermal oil sands project, the Jackfish thermal oil sands project and the North West Redwater bitumen upgrader and refinery; construction by third parties of new, or expansion of existing, pipeline capacity or other means of transportation of bitumen, crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids ("NGLs") or synthetic crude oil ("SCO") that the Company may be reliant upon to transport its products to market; the development and deployment of technology and technological innovations; the financial capacity of the Company to complete its growth projects and responsibly and sustainably grow in the long-term; and the impact of the Pathways Alliance ("Pathways") initiative and activities, government support for Pathways and the ability to achieve net zero emissions from oil production, also constitute forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on annual budgets and multi-year forecasts, and are reviewed and revised throughout the year as necessary in the context of targeted financial ratios, project returns, product pricing expectations and balance in project risk and time horizons. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to certain risks. The reader should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements as there can be no assurances that the plans, initiatives or expectations upon which they are based will occur. In addition, statements relating to "reserves" are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of proved and proved plus probable crude oil, natural gas and NGLs reserves and in projecting future rates of production and the timing of development expenditures. The total amount or timing of actual future production may vary significantly from reserves and production estimates.

The forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the Company and the industry in which the Company operates, which speak only as of the earlier of the date such statements were made or as of the date of the report or document in which they are contained, and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, among others: general economic and business conditions (including as a result of the actions of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries Plus ("OPEC+"), the impact of armed conflicts in the Middle East, the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, continuing effects of the novel coronavirus ("COVID-19") pandemic, increased inflation, and the risk of decreased economic activity resulting from a global recession) which may impact, among other things, demand and supply for and market prices of the Company's products, the availability and cost of resources required by the Company's operations; volatility of and assumptions regarding crude oil, natural gas and NGLs prices; fluctuations in currency and interest rates; assumptions on which the Company's current targets are based; economic conditions in the countries and regions in which the Company conducts business; political uncertainty, including actions of or against terrorists, insurgent groups or other conflict including conflict between states; the ability of the Company to prevent and recover from a cyberattack and other cyber-related crime; industry capacity; ability of the Company to implement its business strategy, including exploration and development activities; the Company's ability to implement strategies and leverage technologies to meet climate change initiatives and emissions targets; the impact of competition; the Company's defense of lawsuits; availability and cost of seismic, drilling and other equipment; ability of the Company and its subsidiaries to complete capital programs; the Company's and its subsidiaries' ability to secure adequate transportation for its products; unexpected disruptions or delays in the mining, extracting or upgrading of the Company's bitumen products; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; ability of the Company to attract the necessary labour required to build, maintain, and operate its thermal and oil sands mining projects; operating hazards and other difficulties inherent in the exploration for and production and sale of crude oil and natural gas and in mining, extracting or upgrading the Company's bitumen products; availability and cost of financing; the Company's and its subsidiaries' success of exploration and development activities and its ability to replace and expand crude oil and natural gas reserves; the Company's ability to meet its targeted production levels; timing and success of integrating the business and operations of acquired companies and assets; production levels; imprecision of reserves estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities of crude oil, natural gas and NGLs not currently classified as proved; actions by governmental authorities; government regulations and the expenditures required to comply with them (especially safety and environmental laws and regulations and the impact of climate change initiatives on capital expenditures and production expenses); asset retirement obligations; the sufficiency of the Company's liquidity to support its growth strategy and to sustain its operations in the short, medium, and long-term; the strength of the Company's balance sheet; the flexibility of the Company's capital structure; the adequacy of the Company's provision for taxes; and other

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 1 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

circumstances affecting revenues and expenses. The Company's operations have been, and in the future may be, affected by political developments and by national, federal, provincial, state and local laws and regulations such as restrictions on production, changes in taxes, royalties and other amounts payable to governments or governmental agencies, price or gathering rate controls and environmental protection regulations. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company's assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in the forward-looking statements. The impact of any one factor on a particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with certainty as such factors are dependent upon other factors, and the Company's course of action would depend upon its assessment of the future considering all information then available.

Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Unpredictable or unknown factors not discussed in this MD&A could also have adverse effects on forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are reasonable based on information available to it on the date such forward-looking statements are made, no assurances can be given as to future results, levels of activity and achievements. All subsequent forward-looking statements, whether written or oral, attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. Except as required by applicable law, the Company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements in this MD&A, whether as a result of new information, future events or other factors, or the foregoing factors affecting this information, should circumstances or the Company's estimates or opinions change.

Special Note Regarding Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures

This MD&A includes references to non-GAAP measures, which include non-GAAP and other financial measures as defined in National Instrument 52-112 – Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures Disclosure ("NI 52-112"). Non-GAAP measures are used by the Company to evaluate its financial performance, financial position or cash flow. Descriptions of the Company's non-GAAP and other financial measures included in this MD&A, and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, as applicable, are provided in the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

Special Note Regarding Currency, Financial Information and Production

This MD&A should be read in conjunction with the Company's unaudited interim consolidated financial statements (the "financial statements") for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, and the Company's MD&A and audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2022. All dollar amounts are referenced in millions of Canadian dollars, except where noted otherwise. The Company's financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and this MD&A have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB").

Production volumes and per unit statistics are presented throughout this MD&A on a "before royalties" or "company gross" basis, and realized prices are net of blending and feedstock costs and exclude the effect of risk management activities. In addition, reference is made to crude oil and natural gas in common units called barrel of oil equivalent ("BOE"). A BOE is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet ("Mcf") of natural gas to one barrel ("bbl") of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In comparing the value ratio using current crude oil prices relative to natural gas prices, the 6 Mcf:1 bbl conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value. In addition, for the purposes of this MD&A, crude oil is defined to include the following commodities: light and medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil, Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil), and SCO. Production on an "after royalties" or "company net" basis is also presented for information purposes only.

The following discussion and analysis refers primarily to the Company's financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 in relation to the comparable periods in 2022 and the second quarter of 2023. The accompanying tables form an integral part of this MD&A. Additional information relating to the Company, including its Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2022, is available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca, and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov. Information on the Company's website does not form part of and is not incorporated by reference in this MD&A. This MD&A is dated November 1, 2023.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 2 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
( millions, except per common share amounts) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Product sales (1) $ 11,762 $ 8,846 $ 12,574 $ 30,156 $ 38,518
Crude oil and NGLs $ 10,944 $ 8,115 $ 11,001 $ 27,471 $ 33,501
Natural gas $ 599 $ 522 $ 1,342 $ 1,972 $ 3,949
Net earnings $ 2,344 $ 1,463 $ 2,814 $ 5,606 $ 9,417
Per common share $ 2.15 $ 1.34 $ 2.52 $ 5.12 $ 8.23
$ 2.13 $ 1.32 $ 2.49 $ 5.07 $ 8.12
Adjusted net earnings from operations (2) $ 2,850 $ 1,256 $ 3,493 $ 5,987 $ 10,669
Per common share $ 2.61 $ 1.15 $ 3.12 $ 5.47 $ 9.32
$ 2.59 $ 1.14 $ 3.09 $ 5.41 $ 9.20
Cash flows from operating activities $ 3,498 $ 2,745 $ 6,098 $ 7,538 $ 14,847
Adjusted funds flow (2) $ 4,684 $ 2,742 $ 5,208 $ 10,855 $ 15,615
Per common share $ 4.30 $ 2.50 $ 4.66 $ 9.91 $ 13.64
$ 4.26 $ 2.48 $ 4.60 $ 9.81 $ 13.47
Cash flows used in investing activities $ 1,199 $ 1,560 $ 1,129 $ 3,912 $ 3,725
Net capital expenditures (2) $ 1,231 $ 1,669 $ 1,249 $ 4,294 $ 4,154

All values are in US Dollars.

(1)Further details related to product sales are disclosed in note 17 to the financial statements.

(2)Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

(3)Non-GAAP Ratio. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Consolidated Net Earnings and Adjusted Net Earnings from Operations

Net earnings for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 were $5,606 million compared with $9,417 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Net earnings for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 included non-operating losses, net of tax, of $381 million compared with non-operating losses of $1,252 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 related to the effects of share-based compensation, risk management activities, fluctuations in foreign exchange rates, realized foreign exchange on the settlement of the cross currency swap, the gain from investments, and government grant income under the provincial well-site rehabilitation programs. Excluding these items, adjusted net earnings from operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 were $5,987 million compared with $10,669 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022.

Net earnings for the third quarter of 2023 were $2,344 million compared with $2,814 million for the third quarter of 2022 and $1,463 million for the second quarter of 2023. Net earnings for the third quarter of 2023 included non-operating losses, net of tax, of $506 million compared with non-operating losses of $679 million for the third quarter of 2022 and non-operating income of $207 million for the second quarter of 2023 related to the effects of share-based compensation, risk management activities, fluctuations in foreign exchange rates, the gain from investments, and government grant income under the provincial well-site rehabilitation programs. Excluding these items, adjusted net earnings from operations for the third quarter of 2023 were $2,850 million compared with $3,493 million for the third quarter of 2022 and $1,256 million for the second quarter of 2023.

The decrease in net earnings and adjusted net earnings from operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the nine months ended September 30, 2022 primarily reflected:

▪lower realized crude oil and NGLs pricing (1) in the North America segment;

▪lower realized SCO sales pricing (1) in the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment; and

▪lower realized natural gas pricing in the Exploration and Production segments;

partially offset by:

▪higher crude oil and NGLs sales volumes in the North America segment; and

▪higher SCO sales volumes in the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment.

(1)Non-GAAP Ratio. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 3 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

The decrease in net earnings and adjusted net earnings from operations for the third quarter of 2023 from the third quarter of 2022 primarily reflected:

▪lower realized natural gas pricing in the North America segment; and

▪lower realized SCO sales pricing in the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment;

partially offset by:

▪higher crude oil and NGLs sales volumes and netbacks in the North America segment.

The increase in net earnings and adjusted net earnings from operations for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected:

▪higher SCO sales volumes and realized SCO sales pricing in the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment;

▪higher crude oil and NGLs sales volumes and netbacks in the North America segment; and

▪higher natural gas sales volumes and realized natural gas pricing in the North America segment.

The impacts of share-based compensation, risk management activities, fluctuations in foreign exchange rates, and the gain from investments, also contributed to the movements in net earnings. These items are discussed in detail in the relevant sections of this MD&A.

Cash Flows from Operating Activities and Adjusted Funds Flow

Cash flows from operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 were $7,538 million compared with $14,847 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Cash flows from operating activities for the third quarter of 2023 were $3,498 million compared with $6,098 million for the third quarter of 2022 and $2,745 million for the second quarter of 2023. The fluctuations in cash flows from operating activities from the comparable periods were primarily due to the factors previously noted related to the fluctuations in adjusted net earnings from operations, together with the impact of net changes in non-cash working capital.

Adjusted funds flow for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 was $10,855 million compared with $15,615 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Adjusted funds flow for the third quarter of 2023 was $4,684 million compared with $5,208 million for the third quarter of 2022 and $2,742 million for the second quarter of 2023. The fluctuations in adjusted funds flow from the comparable periods were primarily due to the factors noted above related to the fluctuations in cash flows from operating activities, excluding the impact of the net change in non-cash working capital, abandonment expenditures, government grant income under the provincial well-site rehabilitation programs, and movements in other long-term assets, including the unamortized cost of the share bonus program.

Production Volumes

Crude oil and NGLs production before royalties for the third quarter of 2023 of 1,035,153 bbl/d increased 5% from 983,678 bbl/d for the third quarter of 2022, and increased 22% from 846,909 bbl/d for the second quarter of 2023. Record natural gas production before royalties for the third quarter of 2023 of 2,151 MMcf/d was comparable with 2,132 MMcf/d for the third quarter of 2022, and increased 3% from 2,085 MMcf/d for the second quarter of 2023. Total production before royalties for the third quarter of 2023 of 1,393,614 BOE/d increased 4% from 1,338,940 BOE/d for the third quarter of 2022, and increased 17% from 1,194,326 BOE/d for the second quarter of 2023. Crude oil and NGLs and natural gas production volumes are discussed in detail in the "Daily Production, before royalties" section of this MD&A.

Product Prices

In the Company's Exploration and Production segments, realized crude oil and NGLs prices averaged $87.83 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023, an increase of 3% from $84.91 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and an increase of 22% from $72.06 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The realized natural gas price decreased 57% to average $2.81 per Mcf for the third quarter of 2023 from $6.57 per Mcf for the third quarter of 2022, and increased 11% from $2.53 per Mcf for the second quarter of 2023. In the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment, the Company's realized SCO sales price decreased 10% to average $108.55 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023 from $120.91 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and increased 14% from $95.08 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The Company's realized pricing reflected prevailing benchmark pricing. Crude oil and NGLs and natural gas prices are discussed in detail in the "Business Environment", "Realized Product Prices – Exploration and Production", and the "Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading" sections of this MD&A.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 4 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Production Expense

In the Company's Exploration and Production segments, crude oil and NGLs production expense (1) averaged $14.40 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023, a decrease of 15% from $16.86 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and a decrease of 22% from $18.38 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. Natural gas production expense (1) averaged $1.25 per Mcf for the third quarter of 2023, an increase of 8% from $1.16 per Mcf for the third quarter of 2022, and a decrease of 9% from $1.37 per Mcf for the second quarter of 2023. In the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment, production expense (1) averaged $22.12 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023, comparable with $22.35 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and a decrease of 29% from $31.28 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. Crude oil and NGLs and natural gas production expense is discussed in detail in the "Production Expense – Exploration and Production" and the "Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading" sections of this MD&A.

SUMMARY OF QUARTERLY FINANCIAL RESULTS

The following is a summary of the Company's quarterly financial results for the eight most recently completed quarters:

($ millions, except per common share amounts) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Mar 31<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
Product sales (1) $ 11,762 $ 8,846 $ 9,548 $ 11,012
Crude oil and NGLs $ 10,944 $ 8,115 $ 8,412 $ 9,508
Natural gas $ 599 $ 522 $ 851 $ 1,287
Net earnings $ 2,344 $ 1,463 $ 1,799 $ 1,520
Net earnings per common share
– basic $ 2.15 $ 1.34 $ 1.63 $ 1.37
– diluted $ 2.13 $ 1.32 $ 1.62 $ 1.36
($ millions, except per common share amounts) Sep 30<br>2022 Jun 30<br>2022 Mar 31<br>2022 Dec 31<br>2021
Product sales (1) $ 12,574 $ 13,812 $ 12,132 $ 10,190
Crude oil and NGLs $ 11,001 $ 11,727 $ 10,773 $ 8,979
Natural gas $ 1,342 $ 1,605 $ 1,002 $ 958
Net earnings $ 2,814 $ 3,502 $ 3,101 $ 2,534
Net earnings per common share
– basic $ 2.52 $ 3.04 $ 2.66 $ 2.16
– diluted $ 2.49 $ 3.00 $ 2.63 $ 2.14

(1)Further details related to product sales for the three months ended September 30, 2023 and 2022 are disclosed in note 17 to the financial statements.

Volatility in the quarterly net earnings over the eight most recently completed quarters was primarily due to:

▪Crude oil pricing – Fluctuating global supply/demand including crude oil production levels from OPEC+ and its impact on world supply; the impact of geopolitical and market uncertainties, including those due to COVID-19 and in connection with governmental responses to COVID-19, and the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on worldwide benchmark pricing; the impact of shale oil production in North America; the impact of the Western Canadian Select ("WCS") Heavy Differential from the West Texas Intermediate reference location at Cushing, Oklahoma ("WTI") in North America; and the impact of the differential between WTI and Dated Brent ("Brent") benchmark pricing in the International segments.

▪Natural gas pricing – The impact of fluctuations in both the demand for natural gas and inventory storage levels, third-party pipeline maintenance and outages, the impact of geopolitical and market uncertainties, the impact of seasonal conditions, and the impact of shale gas production in the US.

(1)Calculated as respective production expense divided by respective sales volumes.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 5 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

▪Crude oil and NGLs sales volumes – Fluctuations in production from the Kirby and Jackfish thermal oil sands projects, fluctuations in production due to the cyclic nature of the Primrose thermal oil projects, fluctuations in the Company's drilling program in North America and the International segments, natural decline rates, the impact of turnarounds and pitstops in the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment, and wildfires and a third-party pipeline outage in the North America segment. Sales volumes also reflected fluctuations due to timing of liftings and maintenance activities in the International segments.

▪Natural gas sales volumes – Fluctuations in production due to the Company's drilling program in North America and the International segments, natural decline rates, the impact and timing of acquisitions, and wildfires and a third-party pipeline outage in the North America segment.

▪Production expense – Fluctuations primarily due to the impacts of the demand and cost for services, fluctuations in product mix and production volumes, seasonal conditions, increased carbon tax and energy costs, inflationary cost pressures, cost optimizations across all segments, the impact and timing of acquisitions, turnarounds and pitstops in the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment, and maintenance activities in the International segments.

▪Depletion, depreciation and amortization expense – Fluctuations due to changes in sales volumes including the impact and timing of acquisitions and dispositions, proved reserves, asset retirement obligations, finding and development costs associated with crude oil and natural gas exploration, estimated future costs to develop the Company's proved undeveloped reserves, fluctuations in International sales volumes subject to higher depletion rates, the impact of turnarounds and pitstops in the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment, and a recoverability charge relating to the de-booking of reserves at the Ninian field in the North Sea at December 31, 2022.

▪Share-based compensation – Fluctuations due to the measurement of fair market value of the Company's share-based compensation liability.

▪Risk management – Fluctuations due to the recognition of gains and losses from the mark-to-market and subsequent settlement of the Company's risk management activities.

▪Interest expense – Fluctuations due to changing long-term debt levels, and the impact of movements in benchmark interest rates on outstanding floating rate long-term debt and accrued interest on the deferred Petroleum Revenue Tax ("PRT") recovery.

▪Foreign exchange – Fluctuations in the Canadian dollar relative to the US dollar, which impact the realized price the Company receives for its crude oil and natural gas sales, as sales prices are based predominantly on US dollar denominated benchmarks. Realized and unrealized foreign exchange gains and losses are also recorded with respect to US dollar denominated debt, partially offset by the impact of any cross currency swap hedges outstanding.

▪(Gain) loss from investments – Fluctuations due to the (gain) loss from the investment in PrairieSky Royalty Ltd. shares.

BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

Risks and Uncertainties

Global benchmark crude oil prices gained momentum in the third quarter of 2023 following the OPEC+ decision to extend production cuts into 2024. The global crude oil market continues to be impacted by heightened geopolitical tensions, which has led to price volatility in benchmark crude oil prices. Additionally, although inflationary pressures are easing, the Company has experienced and may continue to experience inflationary pressures on its operating and capital expenditures in addition to higher than normal fluctuations in commodity prices and interest rates.

Liquidity

As at September 30, 2023, the Company had undrawn revolving bank credit facilities of $5,450 million. Including cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments, the Company had approximately $6,140 million in liquidity (1). The Company also has certain other dedicated credit facilities supporting letters of credit.

The Company remains committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet, adequate available liquidity and a flexible capital structure. Refer to the "Liquidity and Capital Resources" section of this MD&A for further details.

(1)Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 6 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Benchmark Commodity Prices

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
(Average for the period) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
WTI benchmark price (US$/bbl) $ 82.18 $ 73.75 $ 91.64 $ 77.37 $ 98.14
Dated Brent benchmark price (US$/bbl) $ 86.68 $ 78.37 $ 99.34 $ 82.11 $ 103.73
WCS Heavy Differential from WTI (US$/bbl) $ 12.86 $ 15.07 $ 19.87 $ 17.51 $ 15.78
SCO price (US$/bbl) $ 84.99 $ 76.67 $ 100.51 $ 79.97 $ 102.66
Condensate benchmark price (US$/bbl) $ 77.91 $ 72.28 $ 87.15 $ 76.66 $ 97.19
Condensate Differential from WTI (US$/bbl) $ 4.27 $ 1.47 $ 4.49 $ 0.71 $ 0.95
NYMEX benchmark price (US$/MMBtu) $ 2.55 $ 2.10 $ 8.18 $ 2.69 $ 6.77
AECO benchmark price (C$/GJ) $ 2.26 $ 2.22 $ 5.51 $ 2.86 $ 5.27
US/Canadian dollar average exchange rate (US$) $ 0.7456 $ 0.7447 $ 0.7660 $ 0.7432 $ 0.7796

Substantially all of the Company's production is sold based on US dollar benchmark pricing. Specifically, crude oil is marketed based on WTI and Brent indices. Canadian natural gas pricing is primarily based on AECO reference pricing, which is derived from the NYMEX reference pricing and adjusted for its basis or location differential to the NYMEX delivery point at Henry Hub. The Company's realized prices are directly impacted by fluctuations in foreign exchange rates, and its product revenues continued to be impacted by the volatility of the Canadian dollar as the Canadian dollar sales price the Company received for its crude oil and natural gas sales is based on US dollar denominated benchmarks.

Crude oil sales contracts in the North America segment are typically based on WTI benchmark pricing. WTI averaged US$77.37 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, a decrease of 21% from US$98.14 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. WTI averaged US$82.18 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023, a decrease of 10% from US$91.64 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and an increase of 11% from US$73.75 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023.

Crude oil sales contracts for the Company's International segments are typically based on Brent pricing, which is representative of international markets and overall global supply and demand. Brent averaged US$82.11 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, a decrease of 21% from US$103.73 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Brent averaged US$86.68 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023, a decrease of 13% from US$99.34 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and an increase of 11% from US$78.37 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023.

The decrease in WTI and Brent pricing for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 primarily reflected concerns of lower global crude oil demand as a result of persistent inflation and the resulting increase in interest rates. The increase in WTI and Brent pricing for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected the OPEC+ decision to extend production cuts into 2024.

The WCS Heavy Differential averaged US$17.51 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, compared with US$15.78 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. The WCS Heavy Differential averaged US$12.86 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023, compared with US$19.87 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and US$15.07 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The widening of the WCS Heavy Differential for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable period in 2022 primarily reflected weaker global sour crude oil pricing in part due to the availability of discounted Russian crude oil in the market, and US Strategic Petroleum Reserve sour crude oil releases that carried over into the first half of 2023. The narrowing of the WCS Heavy Differential for the third quarter of 2023 from the third quarter of 2022 primarily reflected strengthening of US Gulf Coast heavy oil pricing in 2023 and a decrease in supply from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve following releases in 2022. The narrowing of the WCS Heavy Differential for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected strengthening global sour crude oil pricing due to OPEC+ production cuts.

The SCO price averaged US$79.97 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, a decrease of 22% from US$102.66 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. The SCO price averaged US$84.99 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023, a decrease of 15% from US$100.51 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and an increase of 11% from US$76.67 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The change in SCO pricing for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods primarily reflected movements in WTI benchmark pricing.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 7 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

NYMEX natural gas prices averaged US$2.69 per MMBtu for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, a decrease of 60% from US$6.77 per MMBtu for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. NYMEX natural gas prices averaged US$2.55 per MMBtu for the third quarter of 2023, a decrease of 69% from US$8.18 per MMBtu for the third quarter of 2022, and an increase of 21% from US$2.10 per MMBtu for the second quarter of 2023. The decrease in NYMEX natural gas prices for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 primarily reflected lower storage draws due to mild winter weather in 2023, combined with increased production in North America. Additionally, lower global LNG prices amid ample supply put downward pressure on NYMEX benchmark prices. The increase in NYMEX natural gas prices for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected record temperatures in major consuming regions of the US, significantly increasing demand.

AECO natural gas prices averaged $2.86 per GJ for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, a decrease of 46% from $5.27 per GJ for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. AECO natural gas prices averaged $2.26 per GJ for the third quarter of 2023, a decrease of 59% from $5.51 per GJ for the third quarter of 2022, and comparable with $2.22 per GJ for the second quarter of 2023. The decrease in AECO natural gas prices for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 primarily reflected NYMEX benchmark pricing, and increased production levels in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.

DAILY PRODUCTION, before royalties

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Crude oil and NGLs (bbl/d)
North America – Exploration and Production 519,581 465,143 471,632 487,512 477,751
North America – Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading (1) 490,853 355,246 487,553 434,895 424,988
International – Exploration and Production
North Sea 12,016 12,699 10,855 12,647 12,514
Offshore Africa 12,703 13,821 13,638 13,533 14,826
Total International (2) 24,719 26,520 24,493 26,180 27,340
Total Crude oil and NGLs 1,035,153 846,909 983,678 948,587 930,079
Natural gas (MMcf/d) (3)
North America 2,139 2,072 2,117 2,113 2,065
International
North Sea 1 2 1 2 2
Offshore Africa 11 11 14 10 14
Total International 12 13 15 12 16
Total Natural gas 2,151 2,085 2,132 2,125 2,081
Total Barrels of oil equivalent (BOE/d) 1,393,614 1,194,326 1,338,940 1,302,715 1,276,970
Product mix
Light and medium crude oil and NGLs 10% 11% 10% 10% 11%
Pelican Lake heavy crude oil 3% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Primary heavy crude oil 5% 6% 5% 6% 5%
Bitumen (thermal oil) 21% 20% 18% 20% 20%
Synthetic crude oil (1) 35% 30% 36% 33% 33%
Natural gas 26% 29% 27% 27% 27%
Percentage of gross revenue (1) (4) (5)
Crude oil and NGLs 95% 93% 88% 93% 89%
Natural gas 5% 7% 12% 7% 11%

(1)SCO production before royalties excludes SCO consumed internally as diesel.

(2)"International" includes North Sea and Offshore Africa Exploration and Production segments in all instances used.

(3)Natural gas production volumes approximate sales volumes.

(4)Net of blending and feedstock costs and excluding risk management activities.

(5)Excluding Midstream and Refining revenue.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 8 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

DAILY PRODUCTION, net of royalties

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Crude oil and NGLs (bbl/d)
North America – Exploration and Production 409,479 388,670 361,987 398,258 371,575
North America – Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading 387,407 301,239 391,165 366,606 344,611
International – Exploration and Production
North Sea 11,968 12,654 10,776 12,616 12,466
Offshore Africa 11,746 12,343 11,965 12,273 13,586
Total International 23,714 24,997 22,741 24,889 26,052
Total Crude oil and NGLs 820,600 714,906 775,893 789,753 742,238
Natural gas (MMcf/d)
North America 2,068 2,014 1,920 2,024 1,868
International
North Sea 1 2 1 2 2
Offshore Africa 10 10 12 10 13
Total International 11 12 13 12 15
Total Natural gas 2,079 2,026 1,933 2,036 1,883
Total Barrels of oil equivalent (BOE/d) 1,167,139 1,052,602 1,098,001 1,129,014 1,056,008

The Company's business approach is to maintain large project inventories and production diversification among each of the commodities it produces; namely light and medium crude oil and NGLs, primary heavy crude oil, Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil), SCO, and natural gas.

Crude oil and NGLs production before royalties for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 averaged 948,587 bbl/d, comparable with 930,079 bbl/d for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Crude oil and NGLs production for the third quarter of 2023 averaged 1,035,153 bbl/d, an increase of 5% from 983,678 bbl/d for the third quarter of 2022, and an increase of 22% from 846,909 bbl/d for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in crude oil and NGLs production for the third quarter of 2023 from the third quarter of 2022 primarily reflected increased thermal oil production resulting from pad additions at Primrose and Kirby. The increase in crude oil and NGLs production for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected the completion of planned turnaround activities at Horizon and the non-operated Scotford Upgrader ("Scotford") in the second quarter of 2023, combined with strong thermal oil production.

Natural gas production before royalties for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 of 2,125 MMcf/d was comparable with 2,081 MMcf/d for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Record natural gas production for the third quarter of 2023 averaged 2,151 MMcf/d, comparable with 2,132 MMcf/d for the third quarter of 2022, and an increase of 3% from 2,085 MMcf/d for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in natural gas production for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected reduced wildfire impacts, restored volumes following a third-party pipeline outage through the second quarter of 2023, together with drilling activity, partially offset by natural field declines.

The Company's 2023 production is targeted to be at the lower end of the corporate guidance range of 1,330,000 BOE/d to 1,374,000 BOE/d, due to wildfires in Western Canada in the second and third quarters, a third-party pipeline outage in the first half of the year, and the previously announced unplanned outages at Horizon in January 2023.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 9 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

North America – Exploration and Production

North America crude oil and NGLs production before royalties for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 averaged 487,512 bbl/d, comparable with 477,751 bbl/d for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Record North America crude oil and NGLs production for the third quarter of 2023 of 519,581 bbl/d increased 10% from 471,632 bbl/d for the third quarter of 2022, and increased 12% from 465,143 bbl/d for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in North America crude oil and NGLs production for the third quarter of 2023 from the comparable periods primarily reflected increased thermal oil production and drilling activity, partially offset by natural field declines. The increase from the second quarter of 2023 also reflected reduced wildfire impacts, and restored volumes following a third-party pipeline outage through the second quarter of 2023.

The Company's thermal in situ assets continued to demonstrate long life low decline production before royalties, averaging 287,085 bbl/d for the third quarter of 2023, an increase of 18% from 243,393 bbl/d for the third quarter of 2022, and an increase of 20% from 238,941 bbl/d for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in thermal in situ production in the third quarter of 2023 from the comparable periods primarily reflected pad additions at Primrose and Kirby, partially offset by natural field declines.

Pelican Lake heavy crude oil production before royalties for the third quarter of 2023 averaged 46,897 bbl/d, a decrease of 6% from 50,051 bbl/d for the third quarter of 2022, and comparable with 47,151 bbl/d for the second quarter of 2023, demonstrating Pelican Lake's long life low decline production.

Natural gas production before royalties for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 averaged 2,113 MMcf/d, comparable with 2,065 MMcf/d for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Record natural gas production for the third quarter of 2023 averaged 2,139 MMcf/d, comparable with 2,117 MMcf/d for the third quarter of 2022, and an increase of 3% from 2,072 MMcf/d for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in natural gas production for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected reduced wildfire impacts, restored volumes following a third-party pipeline outage through the second quarter of 2023, together with drilling activity, partially offset by natural field declines.

North America – Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading

SCO production before royalties for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 of 434,895 bbl/d was comparable with 424,988 bbl/d for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. SCO production for the third quarter of 2023 of 490,853 bbl/d was comparable with 487,553 bbl/d for the third quarter of 2022, and increased 38% from 355,246 bbl/d for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in SCO production for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected the completion of planned turnaround activities at Horizon and Scotford during the second quarter of 2023.

International – Exploration and Production

International crude oil and NGLs production before royalties for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 averaged 26,180 bbl/d, a decrease of 4% from 27,340 bbl/d for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. International crude oil and NGLs production for the third quarter of 2023 averaged 24,719 bbl/d, comparable with 24,493 bbl/d for the third quarter of 2022, and a decrease of 7% from 26,520 bbl/d for the second quarter of 2023, primarily reflecting the impact of planned maintenance activities, together with natural field declines.

International Crude Oil Inventory Volumes

The Company recognizes revenue on its crude oil production when control of the product passes to the customer and delivery has taken place. Revenue has not been recognized in the International segments on crude oil volumes held in various storage facilities or FPSOs, as follows:

(bbl) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
International 1,167,250 816,475 1,126,786 Canadian Natural Resources Limited 10 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
--- --- ---

OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS – EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION

Nine Months Ended
Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Crude oil and NGLs (/bbl) (1)
Realized price (2) 87.83 $ 72.06 $ 84.91 $ 73.45 $ 97.99
Transportation (2) 4.57 4.10 4.37 4.14
Realized price, net of transportation (2) 67.49 80.81 69.08 93.85
Royalties (3) 11.09 19.48 12.98 20.75
Production expense (4) 18.38 16.86 16.51 17.41
Netback (2) 52.04 $ 38.02 $ 44.47 $ 39.59 $ 55.69
Natural gas (/Mcf) (1)
Realized price (5) 2.81 $ 2.53 $ 6.57 $ 3.20 $ 6.61
Transportation (6) 0.58 0.51 0.56 0.50
Realized price, net of transportation 1.95 6.06 2.64 6.11
Royalties (3) 0.07 0.61 0.15 0.65
Production expense (4) 1.37 1.16 1.36 1.21
Netback 0.91 $ 0.51 $ 4.29 $ 1.13 $ 4.25
Barrels of oil equivalent (/BOE) (1)
Realized price (2) 59.40 $ 48.94 $ 66.04 $ 51.31 $ 74.62
Transportation (2) 4.11 3.64 3.97 3.68
Realized price, net of transportation (2) 44.83 62.40 47.34 70.94
Royalties (3) 6.75 12.88 8.03 13.94
Production expense (4) 14.24 12.68 13.10 13.28
Netback (2) 33.37 $ 23.84 $ 36.84 $ 26.21 $ 43.72

All values are in US Dollars.

(1)For crude oil and NGLs and BOE sales volumes, refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A. For natural gas sales volumes, refer to the "Daily Production, before royalties" section of this MD&A.

(2)Non-GAAP Ratio. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

(3)Calculated as royalties divided by respective sales volumes.

(4)Calculated as production expense divided by respective sales volumes.

(5)Calculated as natural gas sales divided by natural gas sales volumes.

(6)Calculated as natural gas transportation expense divided by natural gas sales volumes.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 11 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

REALIZED PRODUCT PRICES – EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION

Nine Months Ended
Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Crude oil and NGLs (/bbl) (1)
North America (2) 86.77 $ 69.44 $ 83.62 $ 71.90 $ 96.11
International average (3) 113.59 $ 103.64 $ 120.09 $ 105.20 $ 132.96
North Sea (3) 108.22 $ 106.39 $ 123.18 $ 106.91 $ 135.73
Offshore Africa (3) 118.09 $ 100.68 $ 119.08 $ 105.55 $ 131.02
Crude oil and NGLs average (2) 87.83 $ 72.06 $ 84.91 $ 73.45 $ 97.99
Natural gas (/Mcf) (1) (3)
North America 2.76 $ 2.47 $ 6.51 $ 3.15 $ 6.56
International average 12.21 $ 13.16 $ 14.83 $ 13.04 $ 12.60
North Sea 9.99 $ 9.48 $ 20.88 $ 10.70 $ 16.91
Offshore Africa 12.44 $ 13.71 $ 14.27 $ 13.44 $ 11.99
Natural gas average 2.81 $ 2.53 $ 6.57 $ 3.20 $ 6.61
Average (/BOE) (1) (2) 59.40 $ 48.94 $ 66.04 $ 51.31 $ 74.62

All values are in US Dollars.

(1)For crude oil and NGLs and BOE sales volumes, refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A. For natural gas sales volumes, refer to the "Daily Production, before royalties" section of this MD&A.

(2)Non-GAAP Ratio. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

(3)Calculated as crude oil and NGLs sales and natural gas sales divided by respective sales volumes.

North America

North America realized crude oil and NGLs prices decreased 25% to average $71.90 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 from $96.11 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. North America realized crude oil and NGLs prices increased 4% to average $86.77 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023 from $83.62 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and increased 25% from $69.44 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The decrease for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable period in 2022 was primarily due to lower WTI benchmark pricing and the widening of the WCS Heavy Differential. The increase in North America realized crude oil and NGLs prices for the third quarter of 2023 from the comparable period in 2022, primarily reflected the narrowing of the WCS differential, partially offset by lower WTI benchmark pricing. The increase for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected higher WTI benchmark pricing, combined with the narrowing of the WCS Heavy Differential. The Company continues to focus on its crude oil blending marketing strategy and in the third quarter of 2023 contributed approximately 210,000 bbl/d of heavy crude oil blends to the WCS stream.

North America realized natural gas prices decreased 52% to average $3.15 per Mcf for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 from $6.56 per Mcf for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. North America realized natural gas prices decreased 58% to average $2.76 per Mcf for the third quarter of 2023 from $6.51 per Mcf for the third quarter of 2022, and increased 12% from $2.47 per Mcf for the second quarter of 2023. The decrease in North America realized natural gas prices for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 primarily reflected decreased AECO benchmark and export pricing. The increase for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected increased NYMEX pricing on the Company's exports to the US.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 12 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Comparisons of the prices received in North America Exploration and Production by product type were as follows:

Three Months Ended
(Quarterly average) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Wellhead Price (1)
Light and medium crude oil and NGLs ($/bbl) $ 72.07 $ 68.11 $ 82.26
Pelican Lake heavy crude oil ($/bbl) $ 93.19 $ 76.66 $ 91.98
Primary heavy crude oil ($/bbl) $ 93.80 $ 76.20 $ 89.80
Bitumen (thermal oil) ($/bbl) $ 89.50 $ 66.51 $ 80.74
Natural gas ($/Mcf) $ 2.76 $ 2.47 $ 6.51

(1)Amounts expressed on a per unit basis are based on sales volumes of the respective product type.

International

International realized crude oil and NGLs prices decreased 21% to average $105.20 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 from $132.96 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. International realized crude oil and NGLs prices decreased 5% to average $113.59 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023 from $120.09 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and increased 10% from $103.64 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. Realized crude oil and NGLs prices per bbl in any particular period are dependent on the terms of the various sales contracts, the frequency and timing of liftings from each field, and prevailing crude oil prices and foreign exchange rates at the time of lifting. The fluctuations in realized crude oil and NGLs prices for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods reflected prevailing Brent benchmark pricing at the time of liftings, together with the impact of movements in the Canadian dollar.

ROYALTIES – EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION

Nine Months Ended
Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Crude oil and NGLs (/bbl) (1)
North America 17.79 $ 11.56 $ 19.78 $ 13.31 $ 21.53
International average 5.67 $ 5.38 $ 11.24 $ 6.07 $ 6.30
North Sea 0.42 $ 0.36 $ 0.86 $ 0.38 $ 0.38
Offshore Africa 8.90 $ 10.77 $ 14.61 $ 9.87 $ 10.47
Crude oil and NGLs average 17.32 $ 11.09 $ 19.48 $ 12.98 $ 20.75
Natural gas (/Mcf) (1)
North America 0.09 $ 0.07 $ 0.61 $ 0.14 $ 0.64
Offshore Africa 0.59 $ 0.65 $ 1.73 $ 0.64 $ 1.62
Natural gas average 0.09 $ 0.07 $ 0.61 $ 0.15 $ 0.65
Average (/BOE) (1) 10.61 $ 6.75 $ 12.88 $ 8.03 $ 13.94

All values are in US Dollars.

(1)Calculated as royalties divided by respective sales volumes. For crude oil and NGLs and BOE sales volumes, refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A. For natural gas sales volumes, refer to the "Daily Production, before royalties" section of this MD&A.

North America

North America crude oil and NGLs and natural gas royalties for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and the comparable periods reflected movements in benchmark commodity prices, fluctuations in the WCS Heavy Differential and the impact of sliding scale royalty rates.

Crude oil and NGLs royalty rates (1) averaged approximately 19% of product sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 compared with 22% of product sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Crude oil and NGLs royalty rates averaged approximately 21% of product sales for the third quarter of 2023 compared with 24% for the third quarter of 2022 and 17% for the second quarter of 2023.

(1)Non-GAAP Ratio. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 13 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

The decrease in royalty rates for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 was primarily due to lower benchmark prices and fluctuations in the WCS Heavy Differential. The increase in royalty rates for the third quarter of 2023 compared to the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected higher benchmark pricing and the narrowing of the WCS Heavy Differential.

Natural gas royalty rates averaged approximately 5% of product sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 compared with 10% of product sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Natural gas royalty rates averaged approximately 3% of product sales for the third quarter of 2023 compared with 9% for the third quarter of 2022, and 3% for the second quarter of 2023. The decrease in royalty rates for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 was primarily due to lower benchmark prices.

Offshore Africa

Under the terms of the various Production Sharing Contracts royalty rates fluctuate based on realized commodity pricing, capital expenditures and production expenses, the status of payouts, and the timing of liftings from each field.

Royalty rates as a percentage of product sales averaged approximately 9% for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 compared with 8% of product sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Royalty rates as a percentage of product sales averaged approximately 7% for the third quarter of 2023 compared with 12% of product sales for the third quarter of 2022, and 10% for the second quarter of 2023. Royalty rates as a percentage of product sales reflected the timing of liftings and the status of payout in the various fields.

PRODUCTION EXPENSE – EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION

Nine Months Ended
Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Crude oil and NGLs (/bbl) (1)
North America 13.21 $ 15.64 $ 15.98 $ 15.16 $ 16.06
International average 44.16 $ 51.50 $ 40.86 $ 44.94 $ 42.49
North Sea 83.44 $ 81.32 $ 115.41 $ 81.92 $ 81.52
Offshore Africa 20.04 $ 19.44 $ 16.64 $ 20.23 $ 15.05
Crude oil and NGLs average 14.40 $ 18.38 $ 16.86 $ 16.51 $ 17.41
Natural gas (/Mcf) (1)
North America 1.22 $ 1.35 $ 1.13 $ 1.33 $ 1.18
International average 7.40 $ 4.83 $ 4.99 $ 6.72 $ 4.57
North Sea 9.19 $ 9.17 $ 12.67 $ 9.95 $ 8.68
Offshore Africa 7.21 $ 4.17 $ 4.27 $ 6.17 $ 3.99
Natural gas average 1.25 $ 1.37 $ 1.16 $ 1.36 $ 1.21
Average (/BOE) (1) 11.64 $ 14.24 $ 12.68 $ 13.10 $ 13.28

All values are in US Dollars.

(1)Calculated as production expense divided by respective sales volumes. For crude oil and NGLs and BOE sales volumes, refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A. For natural gas sales volumes, refer to the "Daily Production, before royalties" section of this MD&A.

North America

North America crude oil and NGLs production expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 averaged $15.16 per bbl, a decrease of 6% from $16.06 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. North America crude oil and NGLs production expense for the third quarter of 2023 of $13.21 per bbl decreased 17% from $15.98 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and decreased 16% from $15.64 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The decrease in crude oil and NGLs production expense per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable period in 2022 primarily reflected lower natural gas fuel costs, partially offset by higher service costs. The decrease in crude oil and NGLs production expense per bbl for the third quarter of 2023 from the comparable periods primarily reflected increased production volumes in the third quarter of 2023, combined with lower energy costs.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 14 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

North America natural gas production expense averaged $1.33 per Mcf for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, an increase of 13% from $1.18 per Mcf for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. North America natural gas production expense for the third quarter of 2023 averaged $1.22 per Mcf, an increase of 8% from $1.13 per Mcf for the third quarter of 2022, and a decrease of 10% from $1.35 per Mcf for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in natural gas production expense per Mcf for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 primarily reflected higher service costs. The decrease in natural gas production expense per Mcf for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected the impact of higher production volumes.

International

International crude oil and NGLs production expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 averaged $44.94 per bbl, an increase of 6% from $42.49 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. International crude oil and NGLs production expense for the third quarter of 2023 of $44.16 per bbl increased 8% from $40.86 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and decreased 14% from $51.50 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The fluctuations in crude oil and NGLs production expense per bbl primarily reflected the timing of liftings from various fields that have different cost structures, the timing of maintenance activities, lower production volumes, and the impact of foreign exchange.

DEPLETION, DEPRECIATION AND AMORTIZATION – EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except per BOE amounts) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
North America $ 947 $ 871 $ 913 $ 2,708 $ 2,646
North Sea 12 15 15 28 94
Offshore Africa 47 65 39 147 132
Depletion, depreciation and amortization $ 1,006 $ 951 $ 967 $ 2,883 $ 2,872
$/BOE (1) $ 12.22 $ 12.26 $ 12.48 $ 12.21 $ 12.34

(1)Calculated as depletion, depreciation and amortization divided by sales volumes. For sales volumes, refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

Depletion, depreciation and amortization expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 of $12.21 per BOE was comparable with $12.34 per BOE for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Depletion, depreciation and amortization expense for the third quarter of 2023 of $12.22 per BOE was comparable with $12.48 per BOE for the third quarter of 2022, and $12.26 per BOE for the second quarter of 2023.

ASSET RETIREMENT OBLIGATION ACCRETION – EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except per BOE amounts) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
North America $ 59 $ 58 $ 50 $ 176 $ 120
North Sea 11 12 10 34 23
Offshore Africa 2 2 2 6 5
Asset retirement obligation accretion $ 72 $ 72 $ 62 $ 216 $ 148
$/BOE (1) $ 0.87 $ 0.93 $ 0.80 $ 0.91 $ 0.64

(1)Calculated as asset retirement obligation accretion divided by sales volumes. For sales volumes, refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

Asset retirement obligation accretion expense represents the increase in the carrying amount of the asset retirement obligation due to the passage of time. Asset retirement obligation accretion expense on an absolute and per BOE basis also reflects the impact of the timing of liftings from each field in the North Sea and Offshore Africa.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 15 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Asset retirement obligation accretion expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 of $0.91 per BOE increased 42% from $0.64 per BOE for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Asset retirement obligation accretion expense for the third quarter of 2023 of $0.87 per BOE increased 9% from $0.80 per BOE for the third quarter of 2022, and decreased 6% from $0.93 per BOE for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in asset retirement obligation accretion expense per BOE for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 primarily reflected the impact of cost estimate and discount rate revisions made to the asset retirement obligation during 2022, partially offset by higher sales volumes in 2023. The decrease in asset retirement obligation accretion expense per BOE for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 reflected higher sales volumes.

OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS – OIL SANDS MINING AND UPGRADING

The Company continues to focus on safe, reliable, and efficient operations leveraging its technical expertise across the Horizon and AOSP sites. SCO production averaged 490,853 bbl/d in the third quarter of 2023 following the completion of planned turnaround activities in the second quarter of 2023.

The Company incurred production expense of $1,003 million for the third quarter of 2023, comparable with $1,005 million for the third quarter of 2022, and $997 million for the second quarter of 2023, reflecting the Company's continued focus on cost control and efficiencies across the entire asset base.

REALIZED PRODUCT PRICES, ROYALTIES AND TRANSPORTATION – OIL SANDS MINING AND UPGRADING

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($/bbl) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Realized SCO sales price (1) $ 108.55 $ 95.08 $ 120.91 $ 100.57 $ 122.45
Bitumen value for royalty purposes (2) $ 84.66 $ 66.51 $ 82.19 $ 66.85 $ 91.69
Bitumen royalties (3) $ 21.90 $ 13.58 $ 24.87 $ 15.52 $ 22.85
Transportation (1) $ 2.18 $ 2.03 $ 1.55 $ 1.91 $ 1.69

(1)Non-GAAP Ratio. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

(2)Calculated as the quarterly average of the bitumen methodology price.

(3)Calculated as royalties divided by sales volumes.

The realized SCO sales price averaged $100.57 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, a decrease of 18% from $122.45 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. The realized SCO sales price averaged $108.55 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023, a decrease of 10% from $120.91 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and an increase of 14% from $95.08 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The decrease in the realized SCO sales price for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 primarily reflected the decrease in WTI benchmark pricing. The increase in realized SCO sales price for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected an increase in WTI benchmark pricing.

The decrease in bitumen royalties per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable period in 2022 primarily reflected the impact of lower prevailing bitumen pricing. The increase for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected higher prevailing bitumen pricing and the impact of sliding scale royalty rates.

Transportation expense averaged $1.91 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, an increase of 13% from $1.69 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Transportation expense averaged $2.18 per bbl for the third quarter of 2023, an increase of 41% from $1.55 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and an increase of 7% from $2.03 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in transportation expense per bbl for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 primarily reflected higher sales to the US Gulf Coast in 2023. The increase for third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected higher sales to the US Gulf Coast, partially offset by higher total sales volumes.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 16 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

PRODUCTION EXPENSE – OIL SANDS MINING AND UPGRADING

The following tables are reconciled to the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading production expense disclosed in note 17 to the financial statements.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Production expense, excluding natural gas costs $ 962 $ 957 $ 935 $ 2,890 $ 2,810
Natural gas costs 41 40 70 152 249
Production expense $ 1,003 $ 997 $ 1,005 $ 3,042 $ 3,059 Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
($/bbl) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Production expense, excluding natural gas costs (1) $ 21.22 $ 30.03 $ 20.77 $ 24.33 $ 24.10
Natural gas costs (2) 0.90 1.25 1.58 1.28 2.14
Production expense (3) $ 22.12 $ 31.28 $ 22.35 $ 25.61 $ 26.24
Sales volumes (bbl/d) 492,926 350,041 489,146 435,109 427,165

(1)Calculated as production expense, excluding natural gas costs divided by sales volumes.

(2)Calculated as natural gas costs divided by sales volumes.

(3)Calculated as production expense divided by sales volumes.

Production expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 of $25.61 per bbl was comparable with $26.24 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Production expense for the third quarter of 2023 averaged $22.12 per bbl, comparable with $22.35 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and a decrease of 29% from $31.28 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The decrease in production expense per bbl for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected higher production volumes following the completion of planned turnaround activities in the second quarter.

DEPLETION, DEPRECIATION AND AMORTIZATION – OIL SANDS MINING AND UPGRADING

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except per bbl amounts) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Depletion, depreciation and amortization $ 527 $ 442 $ 484 $ 1,457 $ 1,341
$/bbl (1) $ 11.62 $ 13.88 $ 10.75 $ 12.27 $ 11.50

(1)Calculated as depletion, depreciation and amortization divided by sales volumes.

Depletion, depreciation and amortization expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 of $12.27 per bbl increased 7% from $11.50 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Depletion, depreciation and amortization expense for the third quarter of 2023 of $11.62 per bbl increased 8% from $10.75 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and decreased 16% from $13.88 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in depletion, depreciation and amortization expense on a per bbl basis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 primarily reflected the impact of asset additions. The decrease in depletion, depreciation and amortization expense on a per bbl basis for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected the impact of higher volumes in the third quarter following the completion of planned turnaround activities in the second quarter.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 17 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

ASSET RETIREMENT OBLIGATION ACCRETION – OIL SANDS MINING AND UPGRADING

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except per bbl amounts) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Asset retirement obligation accretion $ 20 $ 19 $ 20 $ 59 $ 51
$/bbl (1) $ 0.43 $ 0.62 $ 0.43 $ 0.50 $ 0.43

(1)Calculated as asset retirement obligation accretion divided by sales volumes.

Asset retirement obligation accretion expense represents the increase in the carrying amount of the asset retirement obligation due to the passage of time.

Asset retirement obligation accretion expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 of $0.50 per bbl increased 16% from $0.43 per bbl for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Asset retirement obligation accretion expense for the third quarter of 2023 of $0.43 per bbl was comparable with $0.43 per bbl for the third quarter of 2022, and decreased 31% from $0.62 per bbl for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in asset retirement obligation accretion expense on a per bbl basis for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable period in 2022 primarily reflected the impact of cost estimate and discount rate revisions made to the asset retirement obligation during 2022, partially offset by higher sales volumes in 2023. The decrease in asset retirement obligation accretion expense on a per bbl basis for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected the impact of higher sales volumes in the third quarter following the completion of planned turnaround activities in the second quarter.

MIDSTREAM AND REFINING

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Product sales
Midstream activities $ 20 $ 15 $ 21 $ 56 $ 59
NWRP, refined product sales and other 237 203 134 690 701
Segmented revenue 257 218 155 746 760
Less:
NWRP, refining toll 66 85 66 221 190
Midstream activities 8 6 6 22 18
Production expense 74 91 72 243 208
NWRP, transportation and feedstock costs 183 162 113 498 536
Depreciation 4 4 3 12 11
Segmented (loss) earnings $ (4) $ (39) $ (33) $ (7) $ 5

The Company's Midstream and Refining assets consist of two crude oil pipeline systems, a 50% working interest in an 84-megawatt cogeneration plant at Primrose and the Company's 50% equity investment in North West Redwater Partnership ("NWRP").

NWRP operates a 50,000 bbl/d bitumen upgrader and refinery that processes approximately 12,500 bbl/d (25% toll payer) of bitumen feedstock for the Company and 37,500 bbl/d (75% toll payer) of bitumen feedstock for the Alberta Petroleum Marketing Commission ("APMC"), an agent of the Government of Alberta. The Company is unconditionally obligated to pay its 25% pro rata share of the debt component of the monthly fee-for-service toll over the 40-year tolling period until 2058. Sales of diesel and refined products and associated refining tolls are recognized in the Midstream and Refining segment. For the third quarter of 2023, production of ultra-low sulphur diesel and other refined products averaged 78,376 BOE/d (19,594 BOE/d to the Company), (three months ended June 30, 2023 – 79,112 BOE/d; 19,778 BOE/d to the Company; three months ended September 30, 2022 – 32,252 BOE/d; 8,063 BOE/d to the Company), reflecting the 25% toll payer commitment.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 18 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

As at September 30, 2023, the Company's cumulative unrecognized share of the equity loss and partnership distributions from NWRP was $550 million (December 31, 2022 – $551 million). For the three months ended September 30, 2023, the Company's recovery of its share of unrecognized equity losses was $18 million (nine months ended September 30, 2023 – recovery of unrecognized equity losses of $1 million; three months ended September 30, 2022 – unrecognized equity loss of $1 million; nine months ended September 30, 2022 – unrecognized equity loss of $26 million).

ADMINISTRATION EXPENSE

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except per BOE amounts) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Administration expense $ 108 $ 119 $ 94 $ 333 $ 307
$/BOE (1) $ 0.84 $ 1.09 $ 0.76 $ 0.94 $ 0.88
Sales volumes (BOE/d) (2) 1,388,033 1,202,336 1,331,189 1,300,390 1,279,771

(1)Calculated as administration expense divided by sales volumes.

(2)Total Company sales volumes.

Administration expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 of $0.94 per BOE increased 7% from $0.88 per BOE for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Administration expense for the third quarter of 2023 of $0.84 per BOE increased 11% from $0.76 per BOE for the third quarter of 2022, and decreased 23% from $1.09 per BOE for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in administration expense per BOE for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 was primarily due to higher personnel costs. The decrease in administration expense per BOE for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected lower corporate costs combined with higher sales volumes in the third quarter, partially offset by lower overhead recoveries.

SHARE-BASED COMPENSATION

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Expense (recovery) $ 298 $ 70 $ (4) $ 434 $ 485

The Company's Stock Option Plan provides employees with the right to receive common shares or a cash payment in exchange for stock options surrendered. The Performance Share Unit ("PSU") plan provides certain executive employees of the Company with the right to receive a cash payment, the amount of which is determined by individual employee performance and the extent to which certain other performance measures are met.

The Company recognized $434 million of share-based compensation expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, primarily as a result of the measurement of the fair value of outstanding stock options related to the impact of normal course graded vesting of stock options granted in prior periods, the impact of vested stock options exercised or surrendered during the period, and changes in the Company's share price.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 19 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

INTEREST AND OTHER FINANCING EXPENSE

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except effective interest rate) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Interest and other financing expense $ 187 $ 178 $ 150 $ 519 $ 473
Less: Interest income and other (1) 4 3 (18) (2) (28)
Interest expense on long-term debt and lease liabilities (1) $ 183 $ 175 $ 168 $ 521 $ 501
Average current and long-term debt (2) $ 13,393 $ 12,910 $ 13,714 $ 12,882 $ 14,257
Average lease liabilities (2) 1,490 1,510 1,526 1,505 1,539
Average long-term debt and lease liabilities (2) $ 14,883 $ 14,420 $ 15,240 $ 14,387 $ 15,796
Average effective interest rate (3) (4) 4.8% 4.8% 4.3% 4.8% 4.1%
Interest and other financing expense per $/BOE (5) $ 1.46 $ 1.63 $ 1.23 $ 1.46 $ 1.36
Sales volumes (BOE/d) (6) 1,388,033 1,202,336 1,331,189 1,300,390 1,279,771

(1)Item is a component of interest and other financing expense.

(2)The average of current and long-term debt and lease liabilities outstanding during the respective period.

(3)This is a non-GAAP ratio and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and should not be considered an alternative to or more meaningful than the most directly comparable financial measure presented in the financial statements, as applicable, as an indication of the Company's performance.

(4)Calculated as the average interest expense on long-term debt and lease liabilities divided by the average long-term debt and lease liabilities balance. The Company presents its average effective interest rate for financial statement users to evaluate the Company’s average cost of debt borrowings.

(5)Calculated as interest and other financing expense divided by sales volumes.

(6)Total Company sales volumes.

Interest and other financing expense per BOE for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 of $1.46 per BOE increased 7% from $1.36 per BOE for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Interest and other financing expense per BOE for the third quarter of 2023 increased 19% to $1.46 per BOE from $1.23 per BOE for the third quarter of 2022, and decreased 10% from $1.63 per BOE for the second quarter of 2023. The increase in interest and other financing expense per BOE for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 from the comparable periods in 2022 primarily reflected the impact of higher interest rates on floating rate long-term debt. The decrease in interest and other financing expense per BOE for the third quarter of 2023 from the second quarter of 2023 primarily reflected higher sales volumes in the third quarter.

The Company's average effective interest rate for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 increased from the comparable periods in 2022 primarily due to higher prevailing interest rates on floating rate long-term debt held during 2023.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 20 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

RISK MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES

The Company utilizes various derivative financial instruments to manage its commodity price, interest rate and foreign currency exposures. These derivative financial instruments are not intended for trading or speculative purposes.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Foreign currency contracts $ 30 $ (30) $ (43) $ (2) $ (40)
Natural gas financial instruments (1) (1) 3 (3) 5 19
Crude oil and NGLs financial instruments (1) 2 16
Net realized loss (gain) 29 (27) (44) 3 (5)
Foreign currency contracts 2 2 7 (14)
Natural gas financial instruments (1) 1 (6) (44) 12 (28)
Crude oil and NGLs financial instruments (1) (4) (1)
Net unrealized loss (gain) 3 (4) (48) 19 (43)
Net loss (gain) $ 32 $ (31) $ (92) $ 22 $ (48)

(1)Commodity financial instruments were assumed in the acquisition of Storm Resources Ltd. and Painted Pony Energy Ltd. in the fourth quarter of 2021 and 2020, respectively.

During the nine months ended September 30, 2023, net realized risk management losses were related to the settlement of natural gas financial instruments, partially offset by realized gains on foreign currency contracts. The Company recorded a net unrealized loss of $19 million ($16 million after-tax of $3 million) on its risk management activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, including a net unrealized loss of $3 million ($2 million after-tax of $1 million) for the third quarter of 2023 (three months ended June 30, 2023 – unrealized gain of $4 million, $2 million after-tax of $2 million; three months ended September 30, 2022 – unrealized gain of $48 million, $37 million after-tax of $11 million; nine months ended September 30, 2022 – unrealized gain of $43 million, $36 million after-tax of $7 million).

Further details related to outstanding derivative financial instruments as at September 30, 2023 are disclosed in note 15 to the financial statements.

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Net realized (gain) loss $ (48) $ 29 $ (49) $ (30) $ (132)
Net unrealized loss (gain) 250 (231) 785 16 1,055
Net loss (gain) (1) $ 202 $ (202) $ 736 $ (14) $ 923

(1)Amounts are reported net of the hedging effect of cross currency swaps.

The net realized foreign exchange gain for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 was primarily due to foreign exchange rate fluctuations on settlement of working capital items denominated in US dollars or UK pounds sterling. The net unrealized foreign exchange loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 was primarily related to the translation of outstanding US dollar debt. The US/Canadian dollar exchange rate as at September 30, 2023 was US$0.7387 (June 30, 2023 – US$0.7554, September 30, 2022 – US$0.7300).

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 21 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

INCOME TAXES

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except effective tax rates) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
North America (1) $ 587 $ 299 $ 755 $ 1,366 $ 2,444
North Sea (11) (4) 14 (9) 36
Offshore Africa 23 20 21 53 51
Current PRT – North Sea (5) (36) (45) (37)
Other taxes 3 3 3 9 13
Current income tax 602 313 757 1,374 2,507
Deferred corporate income tax 195 (15) 194 203 450
Deferred PRT – North Sea 6 11 24
Deferred income tax 201 (4) 194 227 450
Income tax $ 803 $ 309 $ 951 $ 1,601 $ 2,957
Earnings before taxes $ 3,147 $ 1,772 $ 3,765 $ 7,207 $ 12,374
Effective tax rate on net earnings (2) 26% 17% 25% 22% 24%
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except effective tax rates) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Income tax $ 803 $ 309 $ 951 $ 1,601 $ 2,957
Tax effect on non-operating items (3) 4 2 (15) 14 (16)
Current PRT – North Sea 5 36 45 37
Deferred PRT – North Sea (6) (11) (24)
Other taxes (3) (3) (3) (9) (13)
Effective tax on adjusted net earnings $ 798 $ 302 $ 969 $ 1,627 $ 2,965
Adjusted net earnings from operations (4) $ 2,850 $ 1,256 $ 3,493 $ 5,987 $ 10,669
Adjusted net earnings from operations, before taxes $ 3,648 $ 1,558 $ 4,462 $ 7,614 $ 13,634
Effective tax rate on adjusted net earnings from operations (5) (6) 22% 19% 22% 21% 22%

(1)Includes North America Exploration and Production, Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading, and Midstream and Refining segments.

(2)Calculated as total of current and deferred income tax divided by earnings before taxes.

(3)Includes the net tax effect of PSUs, unrealized risk management, and abandonment expenditure recovery in adjusted net earnings from operations.

(4)Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

(5)This is a non-GAAP ratio and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and should not be considered an alternative to or more meaningful than the most directly comparable financial measure presented in the financial statements, as applicable, as an indication of the Company's performance.

(6)Calculated as effective tax on adjusted net earnings divided by adjusted net earnings from operations, before taxes. The Company presents its effective tax rate on adjusted net earnings from operations for financial statement users to evaluate the Company's effective tax rate on its core business activities.

The effective tax rate on net earnings and adjusted net earnings from operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and the comparable periods included the impact of non-taxable items in North America and the North Sea and the impact of differences in jurisdictional income and tax rates in the countries in which the Company operates, in relation to net earnings.

The current corporate income tax and current and deferred PRT in the North Sea for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and the comparable periods included the impact of carrybacks of abandonment expenditures related to the decommissioning activities at the Company's platforms in the North Sea.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 22 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

The Company files income tax returns in the various jurisdictions in which it operates. These tax returns are subject to periodic examinations in the normal course by the applicable tax authorities. The tax returns as prepared may include filing positions that could be subject to differing interpretations of applicable tax laws and regulations, which may take several years to resolve. The Company does not believe the ultimate resolution of these matters will have a material impact upon the Company's reported results of operations, financial position or liquidity.

NET CAPITAL EXPENDITURES (1) (2)

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Exploration and Evaluation
Net expenditures $ (2) $ 9 $ 2 $ 35 $ 25
Net property (dispositions) acquisitions (1) (2) 1 (3) (1)
Total Exploration and Evaluation (3) 7 3 32 24
Property, Plant and Equipment
Net property acquisitions 8 17 1 25 513
Well drilling, completion and equipping 352 443 410 1,305 1,138
Production and related facilities 301 354 378 1,016 882
Other 18 19 15 48 44
Total Property, Plant and Equipment 679 833 804 2,394 2,577
Total Exploration and Production 676 840 807 2,426 2,601
Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading
Project costs 112 106 77 270 196
Sustaining capital 286 480 223 1,027 804
Turnaround costs 18 132 18 172 271
Net property acquisitions 6 6
Other 2 1 3 4 6
Total Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading 424 719 321 1,479 1,277
Midstream and Refining 1 2 2 6 7
Head office 7 8 5 23 18
Abandonment expenditures, net (2) 123 100 114 360 251
Net capital expenditures $ 1,231 $ 1,669 $ 1,249 $ 4,294 $ 4,154
By Segment
North America $ 629 $ 778 $ 736 $ 2,291 $ 2,456
North Sea 14 5 40 22 78
Offshore Africa 33 57 31 113 67
Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading 424 719 321 1,479 1,277
Midstream and Refining 1 2 2 6 7
Head office 7 8 5 23 18
Abandonment expenditures, net (2) 123 100 114 360 251
Net capital expenditures $ 1,231 $ 1,669 $ 1,249 $ 4,294 $ 4,154

(1)Net capital expenditures exclude the impact of lease assets and fair value and revaluation adjustments, and include non-cash transfers of property, plant and equipment to inventory due to change in use.

(2)Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

The Company's strategy is focused on building a diversified asset base that is balanced among various products. In order to facilitate efficient operations, the Company concentrates its activities in core areas. The Company focuses on maintaining its land inventories to enable the continuous exploitation of play types and geological trends, greatly reducing overall exploration risk. By owning associated infrastructure the Company is able to maximize utilization of its production facilities, thereby increasing control over production expenses.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 23 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Net capital expenditures for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 were $4,294 million compared with $4,154 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Net capital expenditures for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 included base capital expenditures (1) of $3,522 million and strategic growth capital expenditures (1) of $744 million, in accordance with the Company's capital budget.

2023 Capital Budget

On November 30, 2022, the Company announced its 2023 base capital budget (2) targeted at approximately $4,190 million. The budget also includes incremental strategic growth capital of approximately $1,020 million that targets to add additional production and capacity growth beyond 2023 in the Company's Exploration and Production segments, and long life low decline thermal in situ and Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading assets.

On August 2, 2023, the 2023 capital budget in Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading and North America E&P was increased by a combined $200 million compared to the original budget. Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading was increased by approximately $130 million primarily reflecting increased third-party service costs and scope changes relating to sustaining activities to ensure safe and effective operations. The remaining approximately $70 million relates to North America E&P and thermal operations largely as a result of increased non-operated and workover activity as well as inflationary pressures. The Company's 2023 targeted total capital program has increased by 4% to approximately $5,400 million.

The 2023 capital budget constitutes forward-looking statements. Refer to the "Advisory" section of this MD&A for further details on forward-looking statements.

Drilling Activity (1) (2)

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
(number of net wells) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Net successful crude oil wells (3) 44 52 98 179 237
Net successful natural gas wells 10 21 14 52 57
Dry wells 2 1
Total 54 73 112 233 295
Success rate 100% 100% 100% 99% 99%

(1)Includes drilling activity for North America and International segments.

(2)In addition, during the third quarter of 2023, on a net basis, the Company drilled 4 service wells in the Company's Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment, and 1 service well in the Company's thermal oil projects. During the nine months ended September 30, 2023, on a net basis, the Company drilled 334 stratigraphic and 11 service wells in the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment, 24 stratigraphic and 43 service wells in the Company's thermal oil projects, and 2 service wells in the Northern Plains region.

(3)Includes bitumen wells.

North America

During the third quarter of 2023, the Company drilled 10 net natural gas wells, 34 net primary heavy crude oil wells, 2 net bitumen (thermal oil) wells, and 8 net light crude oil wells.

(1)Item is a component of net capital expenditures. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A for more details on net capital expenditures.

(2)Forward looking non-GAAP Financial Measure. The capital budget is based on net capital expenditures (Non-GAAP Financial Measure) and excludes net acquisition costs. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A for more details on net capital expenditures.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 24 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

($ millions, except ratios) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2022
Adjusted working capital (1) $ 866 $ (293) $ (1,190) $ (606)
Long-term debt, net (2) $ 11,519 $ 12,033 $ 10,525 $ 12,384
Shareholders' equity $ 39,634 $ 38,644 $ 38,175 $ 38,139
Debt to book capitalization (2) 22.5% 23.7% 21.6% 24.5%
After-tax return on average capital employed (3) 15.0% 15.8% 22.1% 24.0%

(1)Calculated as current assets less current liabilities, excluding the current portion of long-term debt.

(2)Capital Management Measure. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

(3)Non-GAAP Ratio. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

As at September 30, 2023, the Company's capital resources consisted primarily of cash flows from operating activities, available bank credit facilities and access to debt capital markets. Cash flows from operating activities and the Company's ability to renew existing bank credit facilities and raise new debt is dependent on factors discussed in the "Business Environment" section of this MD&A and in the "Risks and Uncertainties" section of the Company's annual MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2022. In addition, the Company's ability to renew existing bank credit facilities and raise new debt reflects current credit ratings as determined by independent rating agencies, and market conditions. The Company continues to believe its internally generated cash flows from operating activities supported by its ongoing hedge policy, the flexibility of its capital expenditure programs and multi-year financial plans, its existing bank credit facilities, and its ability to raise new debt on commercially acceptable terms will provide sufficient liquidity to sustain its operations in the short, medium and long-term and support its growth strategy.

On an ongoing basis the Company continues to focus on its balance sheet strength and available liquidity by:

▪Monitoring cash flows from operating activities, which is the primary source of funds;

▪Monitoring exposure to individual customers, contractors, suppliers and joint venture partners on a regular basis and when appropriate, ensuring parental guarantees or letters of credit are in place, and as applicable, taking other mitigating actions to minimize the impact in the event of a default;

▪Actively managing the allocation of maintenance and growth capital to ensure it is expended in a prudent and appropriate manner with flexibility to adjust to market conditions. The Company continues to exercise its capital flexibility to address commodity price volatility and its impact on operating expenditures, capital commitments and long-term debt;

▪Monitoring the Company's ability to fulfill financial obligations as they become due or the ability to monetize assets in a timely manner at a reasonable price;

▪Reviewing bank credit facilities and public debt indentures to ensure they are in compliance with applicable covenant packages; and

▪Reviewing the Company's borrowing capacity:

◦During the third quarter of 2023, the Company extended its revolving credit facility originally maturing February 2024 to February 2025.

◦During the second quarter of 2023, the Company extended its revolving syndicated credit facility originally maturing June 2024 to June 2027.

◦Borrowings under the Company's revolving credit facilities may be made by way of pricing referenced to Canadian dollar bankers' acceptances, US dollar bankers' acceptances, SOFR, US base rate or Canadian prime rate.

◦The Company's borrowings under its US commercial paper program are authorized up to a maximum of US$2,500 million.

◦In July 2023, the Company filed a base shelf prospectus that allows for the offer for sale from time to time of up to $3,000 million of medium-term notes in Canada, which expires in August 2025, replacing the Company's previous base shelf prospectus which would have expired in August 2023. If issued, these securities may be offered in amounts and at prices, including interest rates, to be determined based on market conditions at the time of issuance.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 25 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

◦In July 2023, the Company filed a base shelf prospectus that allows for the offer for sale from time to time of up to US$3,000 million of debt securities in the United States, which expires in August 2025, replacing the Company's previous base shelf prospectus which would have expired in August 2023. If issued, these securities may be offered in amounts and at prices, including interest rates, to be determined based on market conditions at the time of issuance.

As at September 30, 2023, the Company had undrawn revolving bank credit facilities of $5,450 million. Including cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments, the Company had approximately $6,140 million in liquidity. The Company also has certain other dedicated credit facilities supporting letters of credit. At September 30, 2023, the Company had $202 million drawn under its commercial paper program, and reserves capacity under its revolving bank credit facilities for amounts outstanding under this program.

Long-term debt, net was $11,519 million as at September 30, 2023, resulting in a debt to book capitalization ratio (1) of 22.5% (December 31, 2022 – 21.6%); this ratio was below the 25% to 45% internal range utilized by management. This range may be exceeded in periods when a combination of capital projects, acquisitions, or lower commodity prices occurs. The Company may be below the low end of the targeted range when cash flows from operating activities are greater than current investment activities. The Company remains committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet, adequate available liquidity and a flexible capital structure. Further details related to the Company's long-term debt as at September 30, 2023 are discussed in note 8 to the financial statements.

The Company is subject to a financial covenant that requires debt to book capitalization as defined in its credit facility agreements to not exceed 65%. As at September 30, 2023, the Company was in compliance with this covenant.

The Company periodically utilizes commodity derivative financial instruments under its commodity hedge policy to reduce the risk of volatility in commodity prices and to support the Company's cash flow for its capital expenditure programs. This policy currently allows for the hedging of up to 60% of the near 12 months budgeted production and up to 40% of the following 13 to 24 months estimated production. For the purpose of this policy, the purchase of put options is in addition to the above parameters.

As at September 30, 2023, the maturity dates of certain financial liabilities, including long-term debt and other long-term liabilities and related interest payments, were as follows:

Less than<br>1 year 1 to less than<br>2 years 2 to less than<br>5 years Thereafter
Long-term debt (1) $ 1,604 $ 1,624 $ 2,358 $ 6,121
Other long-term liabilities (2) $ 220 $ 172 $ 425 $ 672
Interest and other financing expense (3) $ 608 $ 542 $ 1,365 $ 3,476

(1)Long-term debt represents principal repayments only and does not reflect interest, original issue discounts and premiums or transaction costs.

(2)Lease payments included within other long-term liabilities reflect principal payments only and are as follows; less than one year, $216 million; one to less than two years, $172 million; two to less than five years, $425 million; and thereafter, $672 million.

(3)Includes interest and other financing expense on long-term debt and other long-term liabilities. Payments were estimated based upon applicable interest and foreign exchange rates as at September 30, 2023.

Share Capital

As at September 30, 2023, there were 1,087,326,000 common shares outstanding (December 31, 2022 – 1,102,636,000 common shares) and 28,682,000 stock options outstanding (December 31, 2022 - 31,150,000). As at October 31, 2023, the Company had 1,082,415,000 common shares outstanding and 28,344,000 stock options outstanding.

On November 1, 2023, the Board of Directors approved an 11% increase in the quarterly dividend to $1.00 per common share, beginning with the dividend payable on January 5, 2024. On March 1, 2023, the Board of Directors approved a 6% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.90 per common share. On November 2, 2022, the Board of Directors approved a 13% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.85 per common share. On August 3, 2022, the Board of Directors approved a special dividend of $1.50 per common share. On March 2, 2022, the Board of Directors approved a 28% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.75 per common share, from $0.5875 per common share. The dividend policy undergoes periodic review by the Board of Directors and is subject to change.

(1)Capital management measure. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this MD&A.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 26 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

On March 8, 2023, the Company's application was approved for a Normal Course Issuer Bid to purchase through the facilities of the Toronto Stock Exchange, alternative Canadian trading platforms, and the New York Stock Exchange, up to 92,296,006 common shares, representing 10% of the public float, over a 12-month period commencing March 13, 2023 and ending March 12, 2024.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2023, the Company purchased 22,500,000 common shares at a weighted average price of $78.64 per common share for a total cost of $1,769 million. Retained earnings were reduced by $1,553 million, representing the excess of the purchase price of common shares over their average carrying value. Subsequent to September 30, 2023, up to and including October 31, 2023, the Company purchased 5,150,000 common shares at a weighted average price of $88.40 per common share for a total cost of $455 million.

COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES

In the normal course of business, the Company has committed to certain payments. The following table summarizes the Company's commitments as at September 30, 2023:

($ millions) Remaining 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Thereafter
Product transportation and processing (1) $ 299 $ 1,406 $ 1,292 $ 1,169 $ 1,118 $ 11,423
North West Redwater Partnership service toll (2) $ 38 $ 158 $ 156 $ 139 $ 125 $ 5,092
Offshore vessels and equipment $ 11 $ 35 $ $ $ $
Field equipment and power $ 15 $ 27 $ 25 $ 23 $ 22 $ 215
Other $ 6 $ 46 $ 41 $ 35 $ $

(1)The Company's commitment for the 20-year product transportation agreement on the Trans Mountain Pipeline Expansion ("TMX") is subject to change pending approval of the interim toll filing by the Canada Energy Regulator.

(2)Pursuant to the processing agreements, the Company pays its 25% pro rata share of the debt component of the monthly fee-for-service toll. Included in the toll is $3,014 million of interest payable over the 40-year tolling period, ending in 2058.

In addition to the commitments disclosed above, the Company has entered into various agreements related to the engineering, procurement and construction of its various development projects. These contracts can be cancelled by the Company upon notice without penalty, subject to the costs incurred up to and in respect of the cancellation.

LEGAL PROCEEDINGS AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES

The Company is defendant and plaintiff in a number of legal actions arising in the normal course of business. In addition, the Company is subject to certain contractor construction claims. The Company believes that any liabilities that might arise pertaining to any such matters would not have a material effect on its consolidated financial position.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES

The preparation of financial statements requires the Company to make estimates, assumptions and judgements in the application of IFRS that have a significant impact on the financial results of the Company. Actual results may differ from estimated amounts, and those differences may be material. A comprehensive discussion of the Company's significant accounting estimates is contained in the Company's annual MD&A and audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2022.

CONTROL ENVIRONMENT

There have been no changes to internal control over financial reporting ("ICFR") during the nine months ended September 30, 2023 that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect the Company's internal control over financial reporting. Due to inherent limitations, disclosure controls and procedures and internal control over financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements, and even those controls determined to be effective can provide only reasonable assurance with respect to financial statement preparation and presentation.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 27 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

NON-GAAP AND OTHER FINANCIAL MEASURES

This MD&A includes references to non-GAAP and other financial measures as defined in NI 52-112. These financial measures are used by the Company to evaluate its financial performance, financial position or cash flow and include non-GAAP financial measures, non-GAAP ratios, total of segments measures, capital management measures, and supplementary financial measures. These financial measures are not defined by IFRS and therefore are referred to as non-GAAP and other financial measures. The non-GAAP and other financial measures used by the Company may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and should not be considered an alternative to or more meaningful than the most directly comparable financial measure presented in the financial statements, as applicable, as an indication of the Company's performance. Descriptions of the Company's non-GAAP and other financial measures included in this MD&A, and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, as applicable, are provided below.

Adjusted Net Earnings from Operations

Adjusted net earnings from operations is a non-GAAP financial measure that adjusts net earnings as presented in the Company's consolidated Statements of Earnings, for non-operating items, net of tax. The Company considers adjusted net earnings from operations a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the Company's ability to generate after-tax operating earnings from its core business areas. A reconciliation for adjusted net earnings from operations is presented below.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Net earnings $ 2,344 $ 1,463 $ 2,814 $ 5,606 $ 9,417
Share-based compensation, net of tax (1) 295 66 (8) 423 471
Unrealized risk management loss (gain), net of tax (2) 2 (2) (37) 16 (36)
Unrealized foreign exchange loss (gain), net of tax (3) 250 (231) 785 16 1,055
Realized foreign exchange gain on settlement of cross currency swap, net of tax (4) (69)
Gain from investments, net of tax (5) (41) (40) (36) (74) (94)
Other, net of tax (6) (25) (75)
Non-operating items, net of tax 506 (207) 679 381 1,252
Adjusted net earnings from operations $ 2,850 $ 1,256 $ 3,493 $ 5,987 $ 10,669

(1)Share-based compensation includes costs incurred under the Company's Stock Option Plan and PSU plan. The fair value of the share-based compensation is recognized as a liability on the Company's balance sheets and periodic changes in the fair value are recognized in net earnings. Pre-tax share-based compensation for the three months ended September 30, 2023 was an expense of $298 million (three months ended June 30, 2023 – $70 million expense, three months ended September 30, 2022 – $4 million recovery; nine months ended September 30, 2023 – $434 million expense, nine months ended September 30, 2022 – $485 million expense).

(2)Derivative financial instruments are recognized at fair value on the Company's balance sheets, with changes in the fair value of non-designated hedges recognized in net earnings. The amounts ultimately realized may be materially different than those amounts reflected in the financial statements due to changes in prices of the underlying items hedged, primarily crude oil, natural gas and foreign exchange. Pre-tax unrealized risk management loss for the three months ended September 30, 2023 was $3 million (three months ended June 30, 2023 – $4 million gain, three months ended September 30, 2022 – $48 million gain; nine months ended September 30, 2023 – $19 million loss, nine months ended September 30, 2022 – $43 million gain).

(3)Unrealized foreign exchange gains and losses result primarily from the translation of US dollar denominated long-term debt to period-end exchange rates and are recognized in net earnings. Pre- and after-tax amounts for these unrealized foreign exchange gains and losses are the same.

(4)During the second quarter of 2022, the Company settled the US$550 million cross currency swap designated as a cash flow hedge of a portion of the US$1,100 million 6.25% US dollar debt securities due March 2038. The Company realized cash proceeds of $158 million on settlement. Pre- and after-tax amounts for the realized foreign exchange gain on settlement of the swap are the same.

(5)The Company's investments have been accounted for at fair value through profit and loss and are measured each period with gains and losses recognized in net earnings. There is zero net tax impact on these gains and losses from investments.

(6)Other relates to the impact of government grant income under the provincial well-site rehabilitation programs. Pre-tax other for the three months ended September 30, 2023 was $nil (three months ended June 30, 2023 – $nil, three months ended September 30, 2022 – $33 million; nine months ended September 30, 2023 – $nil, nine months ended September 30, 2022 – $98 million).

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 28 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Adjusted Funds Flow

Adjusted funds flow is a non-GAAP financial measure that represents cash flows from operating activities as presented in the Company's consolidated Statements of Cash Flows, adjusted for the net change in non-cash working capital, abandonment expenditures excluding the impact of government grant income under the provincial well-site rehabilitation programs, and movements in other long-term assets. The Company considers adjusted funds flow a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the Company's ability to generate the cash flow necessary to fund future growth through capital investment, repay debt, and provide returns to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. A reconciliation for adjusted funds flow, from cash flows from operating activities is presented below.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Cash flows from operating activities $ 3,498 $ 2,745 $ 6,098 $ 7,538 $ 14,847
Net change in non-cash working capital 1,088 (17) (1,024) 2,979 438
Abandonment expenditures, net (1) 123 100 114 360 251
Movements in other long-term assets (2) (25) (86) 20 (22) 79
Adjusted funds flow $ 4,684 $ 2,742 $ 5,208 $ 10,855 $ 15,615

(1)Non-GAAP Financial Measure. A reconciliation of abandonment expenditures, net is presented in the "Abandonment Expenditures, net" section below.

(2)Includes the unamortized cost of the share bonus program.

Adjusted Net Earnings from Operations and Adjusted Funds Flow, Per Common Share (Basic and Diluted)

Adjusted net earnings from operations and adjusted funds flow, per common share (basic and diluted), are non-GAAP ratios that represent those non-GAAP measures divided by the weighted average number of basic and diluted common shares outstanding for the period, respectively, as presented in note 14 to the financial statements. These non-GAAP measures, disclosed on a per share basis, enable a comparison to the per share amounts disclosed in the Company's financial statements prepared in accordance with IFRS.

Abandonment Expenditures, net

Abandonment expenditures, net, is a non-GAAP financial measure that represents the abandonment expenditures to settle asset retirement obligations as reflected in the Company's annual capital budget. Abandonment expenditures, net is calculated as abandonment expenditures, as presented in the Company's consolidated Statements of Cash Flows, adjusted for the impact of government grant income under the provincial well-site rehabilitation programs. A reconciliation of abandonment expenditures, net is presented below.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Abandonment expenditures $ 123 $ 100 $ 147 $ 360 $ 349
Government grants for abandonment expenditures (33) (98)
Abandonment expenditures, net $ 123 $ 100 $ 114 $ 360 $ 251

Netback

Netback is a non-GAAP ratio that represents net cash flows provided from core activities after the impact of all costs associated with bringing a product to market, on a per unit basis. The Company considers netback a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the efficiency and profitability of the Company's activities. Refer to the "Operating Highlights – Exploration and Production" section of this MD&A for the netback calculations on a per unit basis for crude oil and NGLs and on a total barrels of oil equivalent basis.

The netback calculations include the non-GAAP financial measures: realized price and transportation, reconciled below to their respective line item in note 17 to the financial statements.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 29 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Realized Price ($/bbl and $/BOE) – Exploration and Production

Realized price ($/bbl and $/BOE) is a non-GAAP ratio calculated as realized crude oil and NGLs sales and total realized BOE sales (non-GAAP financial measures) divided by respective sales volumes. Realized crude oil and NGLs sales and total realized BOE sales include the impact of blending and feedstock costs and other by-product sales. The Company considers realized price a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the realized pricing per unit the Company obtained on the market for its crude oil and NGLs sales volumes and BOE sales volumes.

Reconciliations for Exploration and Production realized crude oil and NGLs sales and BOE sales and the calculations for realized price are presented below.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except bbl/d and $/bbl) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Crude oil and NGLs (bbl/d)
North America 516,038 466,284 469,532 487,917 479,936
International
North Sea 7,839 19,991 4,229 9,305 10,642
Offshore Africa 12,769 18,603 13,020 13,931 15,137
Total International 20,608 38,594 17,249 23,236 25,779
Total sales volumes 536,646 504,878 486,781 511,153 505,715
Crude oil and NGLs sales (1) $ 5,351 $ 4,405 $ 4,813 $ 13,597 $ 17,567
Less: Blending and feedstock costs (2) 1,014 1,094 1,010 3,346 4,037
Realized crude oil and NGLs sales $ 4,337 $ 3,311 $ 3,803 $ 10,251 $ 13,530
Realized price ($/bbl) $ 87.83 $ 72.06 $ 84.91 $ 73.45 $ 97.99

(1)Crude oil and NGLs sales in note 17 to the financial statements.

(2)Blending and feedstock costs are a component of transportation, blending and feedstock expense as reconciled below in the "Transportation – Exploration and Production" section.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except BOE/d and $/BOE) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Barrels of oil equivalent (BOE/d)
North America 872,555 811,590 822,257 840,032 824,102
International
North Sea 8,022 20,269 4,447 9,598 10,977
Offshore Africa 14,530 20,436 15,339 15,651 17,527
Total International 22,552 40,705 19,786 25,249 28,504
Total sales volumes 895,107 852,295 842,043 865,281 852,606
Barrels of oil equivalent sales (1) $ 5,908 $ 4,884 $ 6,100 $ 15,455 $ 21,320
Less: Blending and feedstock costs (2) 1,014 1,094 1,010 3,346 4,037
Less: Sulphur expense (income) 1 (5) (25) (12) (85)
Realized barrels of oil equivalent sales $ 4,893 $ 3,795 $ 5,115 $ 12,121 $ 17,368
Realized price ($/BOE) $ 59.40 $ 48.94 $ 66.04 $ 51.31 $ 74.62

(1)Barrels of oil equivalent sales includes crude oil and NGLs sales and natural gas sales in note 17 to the financial statements.

(2)Blending and feedstock costs are a component of transportation, blending and feedstock expense as reconciled below in the "Transportation – Exploration and Production" section.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 30 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Transportation – Exploration and Production

Transportation ($/BOE, $/bbl and $/Mcf) is a non-GAAP ratio calculated as transportation (a non-GAAP financial measure) divided by the respective sales volumes. The Company calculates transportation to demonstrate its cost to deliver products to the market excluding the impact of blending costs. A reconciliation for Exploration and Production transportation and the calculations for transportation on a per unit basis are presented below.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except $ per unit amounts) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Transportation, blending and feedstock (1) $ 1,326 $ 1,413 $ 1,292 $ 4,285 $ 4,895
Less: Blending and feedstock costs 1,014 1,094 1,010 3,346 4,037
Transportation $ 312 $ 319 $ 282 $ 939 $ 858
Transportation ($/BOE) $ 3.78 $ 4.11 $ 3.64 $ 3.97 $ 3.68
Amounts attributed to crude oil and NGLs $ 200 $ 210 $ 184 $ 610 $ 571
Transportation ($/bbl) $ 4.07 $ 4.57 $ 4.10 $ 4.37 $ 4.14
Amounts attributed to natural gas $ 112 $ 109 $ 98 $ 329 $ 287
Transportation ($/Mcf) $ 0.56 $ 0.58 $ 0.51 $ 0.56 $ 0.50

(1)Transportation, blending and feedstock in note 17 to the financial statements.

North America – Realized Product Prices and Royalties

Realized crude oil and NGLs price ($/bbl) is a non-GAAP ratio calculated as realized crude oil and NGLs sales (non-GAAP financial measure) divided by sales volumes. Realized crude oil and NGLs sales include the impact of blending costs. The Company considers the realized crude oil and NGLs price a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the realized pricing per unit that the Company obtained on the market for its crude oil and NGLs sales volumes.

Crude oil and NGLs royalty rate is a non-GAAP ratio that is calculated as crude oil and NGLs royalties divided by realized crude oil and NGLs sales. The Company considers crude oil and NGLs royalty rate a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it describes the Company's royalties for crude oil and NGLs sales volumes on a per unit basis.

A reconciliation for North America realized crude oil and NGLs sales and the calculations for realized crude oil and NGLs prices and the royalty rates are presented below.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except $/bbl and royalty rates) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Crude oil and NGLs sales (1) $ 5,135 $ 4,040 $ 4,622 $ 12,924 $ 16,631
Less: Blending and feedstock costs (2) 1,014 1,094 1,010 3,346 4,037
Realized crude oil and NGLs sales $ 4,121 $ 2,946 $ 3,612 $ 9,578 $ 12,594
Realized crude oil and NGLs prices ($/bbl) $ 86.77 $ 69.44 $ 83.62 $ 71.90 $ 96.11
Crude oil and NGLs royalties (3) $ 845 $ 491 $ 854 $ 1,773 $ 2,820
Crude oil and NGLs royalty rates 21% 17% 24% 19% 22%

(1)Crude oil and NGLs sales in note 17 to the financial statements.

(2)Blending and feedstock costs are a component of transportation, blending and feedstock expense as reconciled above in the "Transportation – Exploration and Production" section.

(3)Item is a component of royalties in note 17 to the financial statements.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 31 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Realized Product Prices and Transportation – Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading

Realized SCO sales price ($/bbl) is a non-GAAP ratio calculated as realized SCO sales (non-GAAP financial measure) including the impact of blending and feedstock costs, divided by SCO sales volumes. The Company considers realized SCO sales price a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the realized pricing per unit that the Company obtained on the market for its SCO sales volumes.

Transportation ($/bbl) is a non-GAAP ratio calculated as transportation (a non-GAAP financial measure) divided by SCO sales volumes. The Company calculates transportation to demonstrate its cost to deliver product to the market excluding the impact of blending and feedstock costs.

Reconciliations for Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading realized SCO sales and transportation and the calculations for realized SCO sales price and transportation on a per unit basis are presented below.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions, except for bbl/d and $/bbl) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
SCO sales volumes (bbl/d) 492,926 350,041 489,146 435,109 427,165
Crude oil and NGLs sales (1) $ 5,591 $ 3,546 $ 6,056 $ 13,619 $ 15,869
Less: Blending and feedstock costs 670 517 615 1,674 1,589
Realized SCO sales $ 4,921 $ 3,029 $ 5,441 $ 11,945 $ 14,280
Realized SCO sales price ($/bbl) $ 108.55 $ 95.08 $ 120.91 $ 100.57 $ 122.45
Transportation, blending and feedstock (2) $ 768 $ 582 $ 684 $ 1,900 $ 1,785
Less: Blending and feedstock costs 670 517 615 1,674 1,589
Transportation $ 98 $ 65 $ 69 $ 226 $ 196
Transportation ($/bbl) $ 2.18 $ 2.03 $ 1.55 $ 1.91 $ 1.69

(1)Crude oil and NGLs sales in note 17 to the financial statements.

(2)Transportation, blending and feedstock in note 17 to the financial statements.

Net Capital Expenditures

Net capital expenditures is a non-GAAP financial measure that represents cash flows used in investing activities as presented in the Company's consolidated Statements of Cash Flows, adjusted for the net change in non-cash working capital, and abandonment expenditures including the impact of government grant income under the provincial well-site rehabilitation programs. The Company considers net capital expenditures a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it provides an understanding of the Company's capital spending activities in comparison to the Company's annual capital budget. A reconciliation of net capital expenditures is presented below.

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Cash flows used in investing activities $ 1,199 $ 1,560 $ 1,129 $ 3,912 $ 3,725
Net change in non-cash working capital (91) 9 6 22 178
Capital expenditures 1,108 1,569 1,135 3,934 3,903
Abandonment expenditures, net (1) 123 100 114 360 251
Net capital expenditures (2) $ 1,231 $ 1,669 $ 1,249 $ 4,294 $ 4,154

(1)Non-GAAP Financial Measure. A reconciliation of abandonment expenditures, net is presented in the "Abandonment Expenditures, net" section above.

(2)For the nine months ended September 30, 2023 includes base capital expenditures of $3,522 million, and strategic growth capital expenditures of $744 million. Strategic growth capital expenditures represent the allocation of the Company's free cash flow that will be directed to strategic capital growth opportunities that target to increase production volumes in future periods and that exceed the Company's base capital expenditures for the current fiscal year, as outlined in the Company's capital budget.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 32 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Liquidity

Liquidity is a non-GAAP financial measure that represents the availability of readily available undrawn bank credit facilities, cash and cash equivalents, and other highly liquid assets to meet short-term funding requirements and to assist in assessing the Company's financial position. The Company's calculation of liquidity is presented below.

($ millions) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2022
Undrawn bank credit facilities $ 5,450 $ 4,954 $ 5,520 $ 5,520
Cash and cash equivalents 125 122 920 565
Investments 565 524 491 403
Liquidity $ 6,140 $ 5,600 $ 6,931 $ 6,488

Long-term Debt, net

Long-term debt, net, is a capital management measure that represents long-term debt, including the current portion of long-term debt, less cash and cash equivalents, as disclosed in note 13 to the financial statements.

Debt to Book Capitalization

Debt to book capitalization is a capital management measure intended to enable financial statement users to evaluate the Company's capital structure, as disclosed in note 13 to the financial statements.

After-Tax Return on Average Capital Employed

After-tax return on average capital employed as defined by the Company is a non-GAAP ratio. The ratio is calculated as net earnings plus after-tax interest and other financing expense for the twelve month trailing period; as a percentage of average capital employed (defined as current and long-term debt plus shareholders' equity) for the twelve month trailing period. The Company considers this ratio a key measure in evaluating the Company's ability to generate profit and the efficiency with which it employs capital. A reconciliation of the Company's after-tax return on average capital employed is presented below.

($ millions, except ratios) Sep 30<br>2023 Jun 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2022
Interest adjusted after-tax return:
Net earnings, 12 months trailing $ 7,126 $ 7,596 $ 10,937 $ 11,951
Interest and other financing expense, net of tax, 12 months trailing (1) 459 431 424 497
Interest adjusted after-tax return $ 7,585 $ 8,027 $ 11,361 $ 12,448
12 months average current portion long-term debt (2) $ 1,337 $ 1,274 $ 1,359 $ 1,478
12 months average long-term debt (2) 10,706 10,961 11,761 12,707
12 months average common shareholders' equity (2) 38,635 38,577 38,218 37,688
12 months average capital employed $ 50,678 $ 50,812 $ 51,338 $ 51,873
After-tax return on average capital employed 15.0% 15.8% 22.1% 24.0%

(1)The blended tax rate on interest was 23% for each of the periods presented.

(2)For the purpose of this non-GAAP ratio, the measurement of average current and long-term debt and common shareholders' equity are determined on a consistent basis, as an average of the opening and quarterly period end values for the 12 month trailing period for each of the periods presented.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 33 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Document

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CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED

UNAUDITED INTERIM CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS<br><br>FOR THE THREE AND NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2023 AND 2022
NOVEMBER 1, 2023

INTERIM CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

As at Note Sep 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
(millions of Canadian dollars, unaudited)
ASSETS
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents $ 125 $ 920
Accounts receivable 4,224 3,555
Inventory 2,174 1,815
Prepaids and other 374 215
Investments 6 565 491
Current portion of other long-term assets 7 51 61
7,513 7,057
Exploration and evaluation assets 3 2,227 2,226
Property, plant and equipment 4 64,647 64,859
Lease assets 5 1,392 1,447
Other long-term assets 7 534 553
$ 76,313 $ 76,142
LIABILITIES
Current liabilities
Accounts payable $ 1,235 $ 1,341
Accrued liabilities 4,034 4,209
Current income taxes payable 61 1,324
Current portion of long-term debt 8 1,604 404
Current portion of other long-term liabilities 5,9 1,317 1,373
8,251 8,651
Long-term debt 8 10,040 11,041
Other long-term liabilities 5,9 8,047 8,161
Deferred income taxes 10,341 10,114
36,679 37,967
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Share capital 11 10,654 10,294
Retained earnings 28,772 27,672
Accumulated other comprehensive income 12 208 209
39,634 38,175
$ 76,313 $ 76,142

Commitments and contingencies (note 16)

Approved by the Board of Directors on November 1, 2023.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 1 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
(millions of Canadian dollars, except per<br> common share amounts, unaudited) Note Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Product sales 17 $ 11,762 $ 12,574 $ 30,156 $ 38,518
Less: royalties (1,867) (2,117) (3,741) (5,909)
Revenue 9,895 10,457 26,415 32,609
Expenses
Production 2,049 2,076 6,424 6,403
Transportation, blending and feedstock 2,289 2,235 6,953 7,372
Depletion, depreciation and amortization 4,5 1,537 1,454 4,352 4,224
Administration 108 94 333 307
Share-based compensation 9 298 (4) 434 485
Asset retirement obligation accretion 9 92 82 275 199
Interest and other financing expense 187 150 519 473
Risk management activities 15 32 (92) 22 (48)
Foreign exchange loss (gain) 202 736 (14) 923
Gain from investments 6 (46) (39) (90) (103)
6,748 6,692 19,208 20,235
Earnings before taxes 3,147 3,765 7,207 12,374
Current income tax expense 10 602 757 1,374 2,507
Deferred income tax expense 10 201 194 227 450
Net earnings $ 2,344 $ 2,814 $ 5,606 $ 9,417
Net earnings per common share
Basic 14 $ 2.15 $ 2.52 $ 5.12 $ 8.23
Diluted 14 $ 2.13 $ 2.49 $ 5.07 $ 8.12

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
(millions of Canadian dollars, unaudited) Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Net earnings $ 2,344 $ 2,814 $ 5,606 $ 9,417
Items that may be reclassified subsequently to net earnings
Net change in derivative financial instruments designated as cash flow hedges
Unrealized income during the period, net of taxes of<br><br>$nil (2022 – $nil) – three months ended;<br><br>$nil (2022 – $1 million) – nine months ended 1 2 4
Reclassification to net earnings, net of taxes of $nil (2022 – $nil) – three months ended;<br><br>$nil (2022 – $1 million) – nine months ended (3) (2) (5) (6)
(2) (2) (3) (2)
Foreign currency translation adjustment
Translation of net investment 33 185 2 233
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of taxes 31 183 (1) 231
Comprehensive income $ 2,375 $ 2,997 $ 5,605 $ 9,648 Canadian Natural Resources Limited 2 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
--- --- ---

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN EQUITY

Nine Months Ended
(millions of Canadian dollars, unaudited) Note Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Share capital 11
Balance – beginning of period $ 10,294 $ 10,168
Issued upon exercise of stock options 274 332
Previously recognized liability on stock options exercised for common shares 302 276
Purchase of common shares under Normal Course Issuer Bid (216) (614)
Balance – end of period 10,654 10,162
Retained earnings
Balance – beginning of period 27,672 26,778
Net earnings 5,606 9,417
Dividends on common shares 11 (2,953) (4,237)
Purchase of common shares under Normal Course Issuer Bid 11 (1,553) (4,211)
Balance – end of period 28,772 27,747
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) 12
Balance – beginning of period 209 (1)
Other comprehensive (loss) income, net of taxes (1) 231
Balance – end of period 208 230
Shareholders' equity $ 39,634 $ 38,139 Canadian Natural Resources Limited 3 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
--- --- ---

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
(millions of Canadian dollars, unaudited) Note Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Operating activities
Net earnings $ 2,344 $ 2,814 $ 5,606 $ 9,417
Non-cash items
Depletion, depreciation and amortization 1,537 1,454 4,352 4,224
Share-based compensation 298 (4) 434 485
Asset retirement obligation accretion 92 82 275 199
Unrealized risk management loss (gain) 3 (48) 19 (43)
Unrealized foreign exchange loss 250 785 16 1,055
Gain from investments 6 (41) (36) (74) (94)
Deferred income tax expense 201 194 227 450
Realized foreign exchange gain on settlement of cross currency swap (69)
Proceeds on settlement of cross currency swap 89
Other 25 (20) 22 (79)
Abandonment expenditures 9 (123) (147) (360) (349)
Net change in non-cash working capital (1,088) 1,024 (2,979) (438)
Cash flows from operating activities 3,498 6,098 7,538 14,847
Financing activities
(Repayment) issue of bank credit facilities and commercial paper, net 8 (731) 202 (1,156)
Repayment of medium-term notes 8 (341) (11) (1,480)
Proceeds on settlement of cross currency swap 69
Payment of lease liabilities 5,9 (71) (50) (206) (149)
Issue of common shares on exercise of stock options 11 84 23 274 332
Dividends on common shares (984) (2,532) (2,911) (4,092)
Purchase of common shares under Normal Course Issuer Bid 11 (594) (1,737) (1,769) (4,825)
Cash flows used in financing activities (2,296) (4,637) (4,421) (11,301)
Investing activities
Net proceeds (expenditures) on exploration and evaluation assets 3,17 3 (3) (32) (24)
Net expenditures on property, plant and equipment 4,17 (1,111) (1,132) (3,902) (3,879)
Net change in non-cash working capital (91) 6 22 178
Cash flows used in investing activities (1,199) (1,129) (3,912) (3,725)
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 3 332 (795) (179)
Cash and cash equivalents – beginning of period 122 233 920 744
Cash and cash equivalents – end of period $ 125 $ 565 $ 125 $ 565
Interest paid on long-term debt, net $ 187 $ 179 $ 490 $ 482
Income taxes paid, net $ 349 $ 312 $ 2,556 $ 2,482
Canadian Natural Resources Limited 4 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
--- --- ---

NOTES TO THE CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

(tabular amounts in millions of Canadian dollars, unless otherwise stated, unaudited)

  1. ACCOUNTING POLICIES

Canadian Natural Resources Limited (the "Company") is a senior independent crude oil and natural gas exploration, development and production company. The Company's exploration and production operations are focused in North America, largely in Western Canada; the United Kingdom portion of the North Sea; and Côte d'Ivoire and South Africa in Offshore Africa.

The Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment produces synthetic crude oil through bitumen mining and upgrading operations at Horizon Oil Sands ("Horizon") and through the Company's direct and indirect interest in the Athabasca Oil Sands Project ("AOSP").

Within Western Canada in the Midstream and Refining segment, the Company maintains certain activities that include pipeline operations, an electricity co-generation system and an investment in the North West Redwater Partnership ("NWRP"), a general partnership formed to upgrade and refine bitumen in the Province of Alberta.

The Company was incorporated in Alberta, Canada. The address of its registered office is 2100, 855 - 2 Street S.W., Calgary, Alberta, Canada.

These interim consolidated financial statements and the related notes have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB"), applicable to the preparation of interim financial statements, including International Accounting Standard ("IAS") 34 "Interim Financial Reporting", following the same accounting policies as the audited consolidated financial statements of the Company as at December 31, 2022, except as disclosed in note 2. These interim consolidated financial statements contain disclosures that are supplemental to the Company's annual audited consolidated financial statements. Certain disclosures normally required to be included in the notes to the annual audited consolidated financial statements have been condensed. These interim consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with the Company's audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto for the year ended December 31, 2022.

Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgements

The Company has made estimates, assumptions and judgements regarding certain assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses in the preparation of these interim consolidated financial statements, primarily related to unsettled transactions and events as of the date of these interim consolidated financial statements. Accordingly, actual results may differ from estimated amounts, and those differences may be material.

  1. CHANGE IN ACCOUNTING POLICIES

In May 2023, the IASB issued amendments to IAS 12 "Income Taxes" related to the accounting for deferred taxes arising in those jurisdictions implementing the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development's Pillar Two model rules ("Pillar Two Legislation"). The amendments were effective immediately and adopted in the second quarter of 2023 and did not have a significant impact on the Company's interim consolidated financial statements.

In May 2021, the IASB issued amendments to IAS 12 "Income Taxes" to require companies to recognize deferred tax on particular transactions that, on initial recognition, give rise to equal amounts of taxable and deductible temporary differences. The amendments were adopted on January 1, 2023 and did not have a significant impact on the Company's interim consolidated financial statements.

In February 2021, the IASB issued amendments to IAS 1 "Presentation of Financial Statements" to require companies to disclose their material accounting policy information rather than their significant accounting policies. To support this amendment the IASB also amended IFRS Practice Statement 2 "Making Materiality Judgements". The amendments were adopted on January 1, 2023 and did not have a significant impact on the Company's interim consolidated financial statements.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 5 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
  1. EXPLORATION AND EVALUATION ASSETS
Exploration and Production Oil Sands<br>Mining and<br>Upgrading Total
North<br>America North<br>Sea Offshore<br>Africa
Cost
At December 31, 2022 $ 2,026 $ $ 98 $ 102 $ 2,226
Additions 34 1 35
Transfers to property, plant and equipment (33) (33)
Derecognitions and other (1) (1)
At September 30, 2023 $ 2,026 $ $ 99 $ 102 $ 2,227
  1. PROPERTY, PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
Exploration and Production Oil Sands<br>Mining and<br>Upgrading Midstream and<br>Refining Head<br>Office Total
North<br>America North<br>Sea Offshore<br>Africa
Cost
At December 31, 2022 $ 81,075 $ 8,258 $ 4,332 $ 47,732 $ 474 $ 536 $ 142,407
Additions / Acquisitions 2,279 22 112 1,479 6 23 3,921
Transfers from exploration & evaluation assets 33 33
Derecognitions (1) (444) (386) (830)
Foreign exchange adjustments and other 2 2 4
At September 30, 2023 $ 82,943 $ 8,282 $ 4,446 $ 48,825 $ 480 $ 559 $ 145,535
Accumulated depletion and depreciation
At December 31, 2022 $ 55,835 $ 8,106 $ 3,277 $ 9,712 $ 198 $ 420 $ 77,548
Expense 2,642 16 123 1,345 11 18 4,155
Derecognitions (1) (444) (386) (830)
Foreign exchange adjustments and other 11 1 3 15
At September 30, 2023 $ 58,033 $ 8,133 $ 3,401 $ 10,674 $ 209 $ 438 $ 80,888
Net book value
At September 30, 2023 $ 24,910 $ 149 $ 1,045 $ 38,151 $ 271 $ 121 $ 64,647
At December 31, 2022 $ 25,240 $ 152 $ 1,055 $ 38,020 $ 276 $ 116 $ 64,859

(1)An asset is derecognized when no future economic benefits are expected to arise from its continued use or disposal.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 6 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
  1. LEASES

Lease assets

Product<br>transportation<br>and storage Field<br>equipment <br>and power Offshore<br>vessels and<br>equipment Office leases<br>and other Total
At December 31, 2022 $ 912 $ 377 $ 97 $ 61 $ 1,447
Additions 17 109 41 2 169
Depreciation (74) (78) (30) (15) (197)
Foreign exchange adjustments and other (1) (1) (26) 1 (27)
At September 30, 2023 $ 854 $ 407 $ 82 $ 49 $ 1,392

Lease liabilities

The Company measures its lease liabilities at the discounted value of its lease payments during the lease term. Lease liabilities as at September 30, 2023 were as follows:

Sep 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
Lease liabilities $ 1,485 $ 1,540
Less: current portion 216 244
$ 1,269 $ 1,296

Total cash outflows for leases for the three months ended September 30, 2023, including payments related to short-term leases not reported as lease assets, were $345 million (three months ended September 30, 2022 – $326 million; nine months ended September 30, 2023 – $1,023 million; nine months ended September 30, 2022 – $882 million). Interest expense on leases for the three months ended September 30, 2023 was $16 million (three months ended September 30, 2022 – $15 million; nine months ended September 30, 2023 – $48 million; nine months ended September 30, 2022 – $45 million).

  1. INVESTMENTS

As at September 30, 2023, the Company had the following investment:

Sep 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
Investment in PrairieSky Royalty Ltd. $ 565 $ 491

The gain from investments was comprised as follows:

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Gain from investments $ (41) $ (36) $ (74) $ (94)
Dividend income (5) (3) (16) (9)
$ (46) $ (39) $ (90) $ (103)

The Company's 22.6 million common share investment in PrairieSky Royalty Ltd. does not constitute significant influence, and is accounted for at fair value through profit or loss, measured at each reporting date. As at September 30, 2023, the market price per common share was $24.96 (December 31, 2022 – $21.70; September 30, 2022 – $17.81).

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 7 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
  1. OTHER LONG-TERM ASSETS
Sep 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
Prepaid cost of service tolls $ 187 $ 199
Long-term inventory 141 137
Risk management (note 15) 4 9
Long-term contracts, prepayments and other (1) 253 269
585 614
Less: current portion 51 61
$ 534 $ 553

(1)Includes physical product sales contracts, accrued interest on the deferred PRT recovery, and the unamortized portion of the Company's share bonus program.

The Company has a 50% equity investment in NWRP. NWRP operates a 50,000 barrels per day bitumen upgrader and refinery that processes approximately 12,500 barrels per day (25% toll payer) of bitumen feedstock for the Company and 37,500 barrels per day (75% toll payer) of bitumen feedstock for the Alberta Petroleum Marketing Commission ("APMC"), an agent of the Government of Alberta. The Company is unconditionally obligated to pay its 25% pro rata share of the debt component of the monthly fee-for-service toll over the 40-year tolling period until 2058 (note 16). Sales of diesel and refined products and associated refining tolls are recognized in the Midstream and Refining segment (note 17).

The carrying value of the Company's interest in NWRP is $nil, and as at September 30, 2023, the cumulative unrecognized share of the equity loss and partnership distributions from NWRP was $550 million (December 31, 2022 – $551 million). For the three months ended September 30, 2023, the Company's recovery of its share of unrecognized equity losses was $18 million (nine months ended September 30, 2023 – recovery of unrecognized equity losses of $1 million; three months ended September 30, 2022 – unrecognized equity loss of $1 million; nine months ended September 30, 2022 – unrecognized equity loss of $26 million).

  1. LONG-TERM DEBT
Sep 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
Canadian dollar denominated debt, unsecured
Medium-term notes $ 1,691 $ 1,702
US dollar denominated debt, unsecured
Commercial paper (September 30, 2023 – US$150 million; December 31, 2022 – US$nil) 202
US dollar debt securities (September 30, 2023 – US$7,250 million; December 31, 2022 – US$7,250 million) 9,814 9,812
10,016 9,812
Long-term debt before transaction costs and original issue discounts, net 11,707 11,514
Less: original issue discounts, net (1) 11 13
transaction costs (1) (2) 52 56
11,644 11,445
Less: current portion of commercial paper 202
current portion of other long-term debt (1) (2) 1,402 404
$ 10,040 $ 11,041

(1)The Company has included unamortized original issue discounts and premiums, and directly attributable transaction costs in the carrying amount of the outstanding debt.

(2)Transaction costs primarily represent underwriting commissions charged as a percentage of the related debt offerings, as well as legal, rating agency and other professional fees.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 8 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Bank Credit Facilities and Commercial Paper

As at September 30, 2023, the Company had undrawn revolving bank credit facilities of $5,450 million. Details of these facilities are described below. The Company also has certain other dedicated credit facilities supporting letters of credit. At September 30, 2023, the Company had $202 million drawn under its commercial paper program, and reserves capacity under its revolving bank credit facilities for amounts outstanding under this program.

▪a $100 million demand credit facility;

▪a $500 million revolving credit facility, maturing February 2025;

▪a $2,425 million revolving syndicated credit facility, maturing June 2025; and

▪a $2,425 million revolving syndicated credit facility, maturing June 2027.

During the third quarter of 2023, the Company extended its revolving credit facility originally maturing February 2024 to February 2025.

During the second quarter of 2023, the Company extended its revolving syndicated credit facility originally maturing June 2024 to June 2027.

Borrowings under the Company's revolving credit facilities may be made by way of pricing referenced to Canadian dollar bankers' acceptances, US dollar bankers' acceptances, SOFR, US base rate or Canadian prime rate.

The Company's borrowings under its US commercial paper program are authorized up to a maximum of US$2,500 million.

The Company's weighted average interest rate on commercial paper outstanding as at September 30, 2023 was 5.6% (September 30, 2022 – N/A), and on total long-term debt outstanding for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 was 4.7% (September 30, 2022 – 4.2%).

As at September 30, 2023, letters of credit and guarantees aggregating to $534 million were outstanding.

Medium-Term Notes

In July 2023, the Company filed a base shelf prospectus that allows for the offer for sale from time to time of up to $3,000 million of medium-term notes in Canada, which expires in August 2025, replacing the Company's previous base shelf prospectus which would have expired in August 2023. If issued, these securities may be offered in amounts and at prices, including interest rates, to be determined based on market conditions at the time of issuance.

US Dollar Debt Securities

In July 2023, the Company filed a base shelf prospectus that allows for the offer for sale from time to time of up to US$3,000 million of debt securities in the United States, which expires in August 2025, replacing the Company's previous base shelf prospectus which would have expired in August 2023. If issued, these securities may be offered in amounts and at prices, including interest rates, to be determined based on market conditions at the time of issuance.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 9 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
  1. OTHER LONG-TERM LIABILITIES
Sep 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
Asset retirement obligations $ 6,844 $ 6,908
Lease liabilities (note 5) 1,485 1,540
Share-based compensation 860 832
Transportation and processing contracts 102 159
Risk management (note 15) 4 3
Other 69 92
9,364 9,534
Less: current portion 1,317 1,373
$ 8,047 $ 8,161

Asset Retirement Obligations

The Company's asset retirement obligations are expected to be settled on an ongoing basis over a period of approximately 60 years and discounted using a weighted average discount rate of 5.6% (December 31, 2022 – 5.6%) and inflation rates of up to 2% (December 31, 2022 – up to 2%). Reconciliations of the discounted asset retirement obligations were as follows:

Sep 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
Balance – beginning of period $ 6,908 $ 6,806
Liabilities incurred 21 20
Liabilities acquired, net 11
Liabilities settled (360) (449)
Asset retirement obligation accretion 275 281
Revision of cost, inflation and timing estimates (1) 897
Impact of regulatory changes (2) 982
Change in discount rates (1,698)
Foreign exchange adjustments 58
Balance – end of period 6,844 6,908
Less: current portion 468 495
$ 6,376 $ 6,413

(1)Includes normal course revisions of cost, inflation and timing estimates, as well as revisions related to the acceleration of the abandonment of Ninian field assets in the North Sea at December 31, 2022.

(2)Reflects changes to the estimated timing of settlement of the Company's asset retirement obligations due to provincial regulatory changes in Alberta, British Columbia, and Saskatchewan in 2022.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 10 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Share-Based Compensation

The liability for share-based compensation includes costs incurred under the Company's Stock Option Plan and Performance Share Unit ("PSU") plans. The Company's Stock Option Plan provides current employees with the right to elect to receive common shares or a cash payment in exchange for stock options surrendered. The PSU plan provides certain executive employees of the Company with the right to receive a cash payment, the amount of which is determined by individual employee performance and the extent to which certain other performance measures are met.

The Company recognizes a liability for potential cash settlements under these plans. The current portion of the liability represents the maximum amount of the liability payable within the next twelve month period if all vested stock options and PSUs are settled in cash.

Sep 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
Balance – beginning of period $ 832 $ 489
Share-based compensation expense 434 804
Cash payment for stock options surrendered and PSUs vested (108) (79)
Transferred to common shares (302) (387)
Other 4 5
Balance – end of period 860 832
Less: current portion 591 559
$ 269 $ 273
  1. INCOME TAXES

The provision for income tax was as follows:

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Expense (recovery) Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Current corporate income tax – North America (1) $ 587 $ 755 $ 1,366 $ 2,444
Current corporate income tax – North Sea (11) 14 (9) 36
Current corporate income tax – Offshore Africa 23 21 53 51
Current PRT (2) – North Sea (36) (45) (37)
Other taxes 3 3 9 13
Current income tax 602 757 1,374 2,507
Deferred corporate income tax 195 194 203 450
Deferred PRT (2) – North Sea 6 24
Deferred income tax 201 194 227 450
Income tax $ 803 $ 951 $ 1,601 $ 2,957

(1)Includes North America Exploration and Production, Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading, and Midstream and Refining segments.

(2)Petroleum Revenue Tax.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 11 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
  1. SHARE CAPITAL

Authorized

Preferred shares issuable in a series.

Unlimited number of common shares without par value.

Nine Months Ended Sep 30, 2023
Issued Common Shares Number of shares<br><br>(thousands) Amount
Balance – beginning of period 1,102,636 $ 10,294
Issued upon exercise of stock options 7,190 274
Previously recognized liability on stock options exercised for common shares 302
Purchase of common shares under Normal Course Issuer Bid (22,500) (216)
Balance – end of period 1,087,326 $ 10,654

Dividend Policy

The Company has paid regular quarterly dividends in each year since 2001. The dividend policy undergoes periodic review by the Board of Directors and is subject to change.

On November 1, 2023, the Board of Directors approved an 11% increase in the quarterly dividend to $1.00 per common share, beginning with the dividend payable on January 5, 2024. On March 1, 2023, the Board of Directors approved a 6% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.90 per common share. On November 2, 2022, the Board of Directors approved a 13% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.85 per common share. On August 3, 2022, the Board of Directors approved a special dividend of $1.50 per common share. On March 2, 2022, the Board of Directors approved a 28% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.75 per common share, from $0.5875 per common share.

Normal Course Issuer Bid

On March 8, 2023, the Company's application was approved for a Normal Course Issuer Bid to purchase through the facilities of the Toronto Stock Exchange, alternative Canadian trading platforms, and the New York Stock Exchange, up to 92,296,006 common shares, representing 10% of the public float, over a 12-month period commencing March 13, 2023 and ending March 12, 2024.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2023, the Company purchased 22,500,000 common shares at a weighted average price of $78.64 per common share for a total cost of $1,769 million. Retained earnings were reduced by $1,553 million, representing the excess of the purchase price of common shares over their average carrying value. Subsequent to September 30, 2023, up to and including October 31, 2023, the Company purchased 5,150,000 common shares at a weighted average price of $88.40 per common share for a total cost of $455 million.

Share-Based Compensation – Stock Options

The following table summarizes information relating to stock options outstanding as at September 30, 2023:

Nine Months Ended Sep 30, 2023
Stock options<br><br>(thousands) Weighted<br> average<br> exercise price
Outstanding – beginning of period 31,150 $ 42.37
Granted 6,627 $ 79.82
Exercised for common shares (7,190) $ 38.13
Surrendered for cash settlement (181) $ 38.65
Forfeited (1,724) $ 51.01
Outstanding – end of period 28,682 $ 51.59
Exercisable – end of period 3,796 $ 37.93

The Stock Option Plan is a "rolling 7%" plan, whereby the aggregate number of common shares that may be reserved for issuance under the plan shall not exceed 7% of the common shares outstanding from time to time.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 12 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
  1. ACCUMULATED OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

The components of accumulated other comprehensive income, net of taxes, were as follows:

Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Derivative financial instruments designated as cash flow hedges $ 72 $ 75
Foreign currency translation adjustment 136 155
$ 208 $ 230
  1. CAPITAL DISCLOSURES

The Company has defined its capital to mean its long-term debt and consolidated shareholders' equity, as determined at each reporting date.

The Company's objectives when managing its capital structure are to maintain financial flexibility and balance to enable the Company to access capital markets to sustain its on-going operations and growth strategies. The Company primarily monitors capital on the basis of an internally derived financial measure referred to as its "debt to book capitalization ratio", which is the ratio of current and long-term debt less cash and cash equivalents divided by the sum of the carrying value of shareholders' equity plus current and long-term debt less cash and cash equivalents. The Company's internal targeted range for its debt to book capitalization ratio is 25% to 45%. This range may be exceeded in periods when a combination of capital projects, acquisitions, or lower commodity prices occurs. The Company may be below the low end of the targeted range when cash flow from operating activities is greater than current investment activities. As at September 30, 2023, the ratio was below the target range at 22.5%.

Readers are cautioned that the debt to book capitalization ratio is not defined by IFRS and this financial measure may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Further, there are no assurances that the Company will continue to use this measure to monitor capital or will not alter the method of calculation of this measure in the future.

Sep 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
Long-term debt $ 11,644 $ 11,445
Less: cash and cash equivalents 125 920
Long-term debt, net $ 11,519 $ 10,525
Total shareholders' equity $ 39,634 $ 38,175
Debt to book capitalization 22.5% 21.6%

The Company is subject to a financial covenant that requires debt to book capitalization as defined in its credit facility agreements to not exceed 65%. As at September 30, 2023, the Company was in compliance with this covenant.

  1. NET EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Weighted average common shares outstanding – basic (thousands of shares) 1,090,131 1,118,717 1,095,183 1,144,705
Effect of dilutive stock options (thousands of shares) 10,661 12,712 10,980 14,530
Weighted average common shares outstanding – diluted (thousands of shares) 1,100,792 1,131,429 1,106,163 1,159,235
Net earnings $ 2,344 $ 2,814 $ 5,606 $ 9,417
Net earnings per common share – basic $ 2.15 $ 2.52 $ 5.12 $ 8.23
– diluted $ 2.13 $ 2.49 $ 5.07 $ 8.12 Canadian Natural Resources Limited 13 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
--- --- ---
  1. FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS

The Company's financial instruments are comprised of cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable, investments, risk management assets and liabilities, accounts payable, accrued liabilities, lease liabilities and long-term debt. These financial instruments, with the exception of investments and risk management assets and liabilities, are classified as financial assets and liabilities at amortized cost. Investments are classified as financial assets at fair value through profit or loss. Risk management assets and liabilities are classified as derivatives held for trading or as cash flow hedges.

The estimated fair values of derivative financial instruments in Level 2 at each measurement date have been determined based on appropriate internal valuation methodologies and/or third party indications, including quoted forward prices for commodities, foreign exchange rates, interest yield curves and other volatility factors.

The changes in estimated fair values of derivative financial instruments included in the risk management asset (liability) were recognized in the financial statements as follows:

Asset (liability) Sep 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
Balance – beginning of period $ 6 $ 55
Net change in fair value of outstanding derivative financial instruments recognized in:
Risk management activities (1) (7) 70
Foreign exchange 1 (119)
Balance – end of period 6
Less: current portion (3)
$ 3 $ 6

(1)Risk management assets and liabilities are disclosed in note 7 and note 9, respectively.

Net loss (gain) from risk management activities was as follows:

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022 Sep 30<br>2023 Sep 30<br>2022
Net realized risk management loss (gain) $ 29 $ (44) $ 3 $ (5)
Net unrealized risk management loss (gain) 3 (48) 19 (43)
$ 32 $ (92) $ 22 $ (48)

The carrying amounts of the Company's financial instruments approximated their fair value, except for fixed rate long-term debt. The Company's financial instruments are categorized as Level 1 with the exception of risk management assets and liabilities, which are categorized as Level 2. There were no transfers between Level 1, 2, and 3 financial instruments. The fair values of the Company's fixed rate long-term debt is outlined below:

Sep 30, 2023
Carrying amount Level 1 Fair Value
Fixed rate long-term debt (1) (2) $ (11,442) $ (10,833)

(1)The fair value of fixed rate long-term debt has been determined based on quoted market prices.

(2)Includes the current portion of fixed rate long-term debt.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 14 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Financial Risk Factors

The Company's financial risks are consistent with those discussed in notes 1, 4 and 19 of the Company's audited financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2022.

a) Market risk

Market risk is the risk that the fair value or future cash flows of a financial instrument will fluctuate because of changes in market prices. The Company's market risk is comprised of commodity price risk, interest rate risk, and foreign currency exchange rate risk.

Commodity price risk management

The Company periodically uses commodity derivative financial instruments to manage its exposure to commodity price risk associated with the sale of its future crude oil and natural gas production and with natural gas purchases.

Interest rate risk management

The Company is exposed to interest rate price risk on its fixed rate long-term debt and to interest rate cash flow risk on its floating rate long-term debt. At September 30, 2023, the Company had no significant interest rate swap contracts outstanding.

Foreign currency exchange rate risk management

The Company is exposed to foreign currency exchange rate risk in Canada primarily related to its US dollar denominated long-term debt, commercial paper and working capital. The Company is also exposed to foreign currency exchange rate risk on transactions conducted in other currencies and in the carrying value of its foreign subsidiaries.

As at September 30, 2023, the Company had US$1,157 million of foreign currency forward contracts outstanding (December 31, 2022 - US$1,017 million), with original terms of up to 90 days, of which US$1,007 million were designated as derivatives held for trading (December 31, 2022 - US$1,017 million) and US$150 million were designated as cash flow hedges (December 31, 2022 - US$nil).

b) Credit risk

Credit risk is the risk that a party to a financial instrument will cause a financial loss to the Company by failing to discharge an obligation.

Counterparty credit risk management

The Company's accounts receivable are mainly with customers in the crude oil and natural gas industry and are subject to normal industry credit risks. The Company manages these risks by reviewing its exposure to individual companies on a regular basis and where appropriate, ensures that parental guarantees or letters of credit are in place to minimize the impact in the event of default. As at September 30, 2023, substantially all of the Company's accounts receivable were due within normal trade terms.

The Company is also exposed to possible losses in the event of nonperformance by counterparties to derivative financial instruments; however, the Company manages this credit risk by entering into agreements with counterparties that are substantially all investment grade financial institutions. As at September 30, 2023, the Company had net risk management assets of $2 million with specific counterparties related to derivative financial instruments (December 31, 2022 – $7 million). The carrying amount of financial assets approximates the maximum credit exposure.

c) Liquidity risk

Liquidity risk is the risk that the Company will encounter difficulty in meeting obligations associated with financial liabilities.

Management of liquidity risk requires the Company to maintain sufficient cash and cash equivalents, along with other sources of capital, consisting primarily of cash flow from operating activities, available credit facilities, commercial paper and access to debt capital markets, to meet obligations as they become due. The Company believes it has adequate bank credit facilities to provide liquidity to manage fluctuations in the timing of the receipt and/or disbursement of operating cash flows.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 15 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

As at September 30, 2023, the maturity dates of the Company's financial liabilities were as follows:

Less than<br>1 year 1 to less than<br>2 years 2 to less than<br>5 years Thereafter
Accounts payable $ 1,235 $ $ $
Accrued liabilities $ 4,034 $ $ $
Long-term debt (1) $ 1,604 $ 1,624 $ 2,358 $ 6,121
Other long-term liabilities (2) $ 220 $ 172 $ 425 $ 672
Interest and other financing expense (3) $ 608 $ 542 $ 1,365 $ 3,476

(1)Long-term debt represents principal repayments only and does not reflect interest, original issue discounts and premiums or transaction costs.

(2)Lease payments included within other long-term liabilities reflect principal payments only and are as follows; less than one year, $216 million; one to less than two years, $172 million; two to less than five years, $425 million; and thereafter, $672 million.

(3)Includes interest and other financing expense on long-term debt and other long-term liabilities. Payments were estimated based upon applicable interest and foreign exchange rates as at September 30, 2023.

  1. COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES

In the normal course of business, the Company has committed to certain payments. The following table summarizes the Company's commitments as at September 30, 2023:

Remaining 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Thereafter
Product transportation and processing (1) $ 299 $ 1,406 $ 1,292 $ 1,169 $ 1,118 $ 11,423
North West Redwater Partnership service toll (2) $ 38 $ 158 $ 156 $ 139 $ 125 $ 5,092
Offshore vessels and equipment $ 11 $ 35 $ $ $ $
Field equipment and power $ 15 $ 27 $ 25 $ 23 $ 22 $ 215
Other $ 6 $ 46 $ 41 $ 35 $ $

(1)The Company's commitment for the 20-year product transportation agreement on the Trans Mountain Pipeline Expansion ("TMX") is subject to change pending approval of the interim toll filing by the Canada Energy Regulator.

(2)Pursuant to the processing agreements, the Company pays its 25% pro rata share of the debt component of the monthly fee-for-service toll. Included in the toll is $3,014 million of interest payable over the 40-year tolling period, ending in 2058 (note 7).

In addition to the commitments disclosed above, the Company has entered into various agreements related to the engineering, procurement and construction of its various development projects. These contracts can be cancelled by the Company upon notice without penalty, subject to the costs incurred up to and in respect of the cancellation.

The Company is defendant and plaintiff in a number of legal actions arising in the normal course of business. In addition, the Company is subject to certain contractor construction claims. The Company believes that any liabilities that might arise pertaining to any such matters would not have a material effect on its consolidated financial position.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 16 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
  1. SEGMENTED INFORMATION
North America North Sea Offshore Africa Total Exploration and Production
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30
(millions of Canadian dollars,<br><br>unaudited) 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022
Segmented product sales
Crude oil and NGLs 5,135 4,622 12,924 16,631 78 48 272 395 138 143 401 541 5,351 4,813 13,597 17,567
Natural gas 543 1,266 1,815 3,697 1 3 5 9 13 18 38 47 557 1,287 1,858 3,753
Other income and revenue (1) 1 59 5 198 3 2 7 6 1 61 12 207
Total segmented product sales 5,679 5,947 14,744 20,526 79 51 277 407 151 163 446 594 5,909 6,161 15,467 21,527
Less: royalties (863) (977) (1,858) (3,193) (1) (1) (11) (20) (39) (50) (874) (997) (1,898) (3,244)
Segmented revenue 4,816 4,970 12,886 17,333 79 51 276 406 140 143 407 544 5,035 5,164 13,569 18,283
Segmented expenses
Production 867 911 2,787 2,771 61 46 213 241 30 25 94 78 958 982 3,094 3,090
Transportation, blending and feedstock 1,324 1,290 4,278 4,889 1 1 6 5 1 1 1 1 1,326 1,292 4,285 4,895
Depletion, depreciation and amortization 947 913 2,708 2,646 12 15 28 94 47 39 147 132 1,006 967 2,883 2,872
Asset retirement obligation accretion 59 50 176 120 11 10 34 23 2 2 6 5 72 62 216 148
Risk management activities (commodity derivatives) (49) 17 6 (49) 17 6
Total segmented expenses 3,197 3,115 9,966 10,432 85 72 281 363 80 67 248 216 3,362 3,254 10,495 11,011
Segmented earnings (loss) 1,619 1,855 2,920 6,901 (6) (21) (5) 43 60 76 159 328 1,673 1,910 3,074 7,272
Non–segmented expenses
Administration
Share-based compensation
Interest and other financing expense
Risk management activities (other)
Foreign exchange loss (gain)
Gain from investments
Total non–segmented expenses
Earnings before taxes
Current income tax
Deferred income tax
Net earnings Canadian Natural Resources Limited 17 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
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Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading Midstream and Refining Inter–segment<br><br>elimination and other Total
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30 Sep 30
(millions of Canadian dollars,<br><br>unaudited) 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022
Segmented product sales
Crude oil and NGLs (2) 5,591 6,056 13,619 15,869 20 21 56 59 (18) 111 199 6 10,944 11,001 27,471 33,501
Natural gas 42 55 114 196 599 1,342 1,972 3,949
Other income and revenue (1) (25) 36 2 151 237 134 690 701 6 9 9 219 231 713 1,068
Total segmented product sales 5,566 6,092 13,621 16,020 257 155 746 760 30 166 322 211 11,762 12,574 30,156 38,518
Less: royalties (993) (1,120) (1,843) (2,665) (1,867) (2,117) (3,741) (5,909)
Segmented revenue 4,573 4,972 11,778 13,355 257 155 746 760 30 166 322 211 9,895 10,457 26,415 32,609
Segmented expenses
Production 1,003 1,005 3,042 3,059 74 72 243 208 14 17 45 46 2,049 2,076 6,424 6,403
Transportation, blending and feedstock (2) 768 684 1,900 1,785 183 113 498 536 12 146 270 156 2,289 2,235 6,953 7,372
Depletion, depreciation and amortization 527 484 1,457 1,341 4 3 12 11 1,537 1,454 4,352 4,224
Asset retirement obligation accretion 20 20 59 51 92 82 275 199
Risk management activities (commodity derivatives) (49) 17 6
Total segmented expenses 2,318 2,193 6,458 6,236 261 188 753 755 26 163 315 202 5,967 5,798 18,021 18,204
Segmented earnings (loss) 2,255 2,779 5,320 7,119 (4) (33) (7) 5 4 3 7 9 3,928 4,659 8,394 14,405
Non–segmented expenses
Administration 108 94 333 307
Share-based compensation 298 (4) 434 485
Interest and other financing expense 187 150 519 473
Risk management activities (other) 32 (43) 5 (54)
Foreign exchange loss (gain) 202 736 (14) 923
Gain from investments (46) (39) (90) (103)
Total non-segmented expenses 781 894 1,187 2,031
Earnings before taxes 3,147 3,765 7,207 12,374
Current income tax 602 757 1,374 2,507
Deferred income tax 201 194 227 450
Net earnings 2,344 2,814 5,606 9,417

(1)Includes the sale of diesel and other refined products in the Midstream and Refining segment, and other income.

(2)Includes blending and feedstock costs associated with the processing of third party bitumen and other purchased feedstock in the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 18 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023

Capital Expenditures (1)

Nine Months Ended
Sep 30, 2023 Sep 30, 2022
Net expenditures Non-cash<br><br>and fair value changes (2) Capitalized<br><br>costs Net expenditures Non-cash<br><br>and fair value changes (2) Capitalized<br> costs
Exploration and evaluation assets
Exploration and Production
North America $ 31 $ (31) $ $ 24 $ (50) $ (26)
Offshore Africa 1 1
32 (31) 1 24 (50) (26)
Property, plant and equipment
Exploration and Production
North America 2,260 (392) 1,868 2,432 (17) 2,415
North Sea 22 22 78 (104) (26)
Offshore Africa 112 112 67 (38) 29
2,394 (392) 2,002 2,577 (159) 2,418
Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading 1,479 (386) 1,093 1,277 (654) 623
Midstream and Refining 6 6 7 7
Head Office 23 23 18 18
3,902 (778) 3,124 3,879 (813) 3,066
$ 3,934 $ (809) $ 3,125 $ 3,903 $ (863) $ 3,040

(1)This table provides a reconciliation of capitalized costs, reported in note 3 and note 4, to net expenditures reported in the investing activities section of the statements of cash flows. The reconciliation excludes the impact of foreign exchange adjustments.

(2)Derecognitions, asset retirement obligations, transfer of exploration and evaluation assets, and other fair value adjustments.

Segmented Assets

Sep 30<br>2023 Dec 31<br>2022
Exploration and Production
North America $ 30,628 $ 31,135
North Sea 413 378
Offshore Africa 1,338 1,322
Other 61 54
Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading 42,742 42,102
Midstream and Refining 967 979
Head Office 164 172
$ 76,313 $ 76,142 Canadian Natural Resources Limited 19 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023
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SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

INTEREST COVERAGE RATIOS

The following financial ratios are provided in connection with the Company's continuous offering of medium-term notes pursuant to the short form prospectus dated July 2023. These ratios are based on the Company's interim consolidated financial statements that are prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in Canada.

Interest coverage ratios for the twelve month period ended September 30, 2023:
Interest coverage (times)
Net earnings (1) 15.3x
Adjusted funds flow (2) 29.2x

(1)Net earnings plus income taxes and interest expense; divided by interest expense.

(2)Adjusted funds flow (as defined in the Company's Management's Discussion and Analysis), plus current income taxes and interest expense; divided by interest expense.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited 20 Three and nine months ended September 30, 2023