Earnings Call Transcript
Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ (EGY)
Earnings Call Transcript - EGY Q2 2023
Operator, Operator
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the VAALCO Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please also note today's event is being recorded. And at this time, I'd like to turn the floor over to Al Petrie, Investor Relations Coordinator. Sir, you may begin.
Al Petrie, Investor Relations Coordinator
Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. And welcome to VAALCO Energy's Second Quarter 2023 Conference Call. After I cover the forward-looking statements, George Maxwell, our CEO will review key highlights along with operational results. Ron Bain, our CFO will then provide a summary financial review. George will then return for some closing comments before we take your questions. Thor Pruckl, our Chief Operating Officer is also with us today and will be available for Q&A. During our question-and-answer session, we ask you to limit your questions to one and a follow-up. You can always re-enter the queue with additional questions. I'd like to point out that we posted a second quarter 2023 Supplemental Information Investor Deck on our website this morning that has additional financial analysis, comparisons, and guidance that should be helpful. With that, let me proceed with our forward-looking statement comments. During the course of this conference call, the company will be making forward-looking statements. Investors are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and those accurate results or developments may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. VAALCO disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. These and other risks are described in yesterday's press release, the presentation posts on our website, and in the reports we filed with the SEC including the Form 10-K. Please note that this conference call is being recorded. Let me now turn the call over to George.
George Maxwell, CEO
Thank you, Al. Good morning, everyone and welcome to our second quarter 2023 earnings conference call. We have continued to deliver exceptional results in 2023, bolstered by an expanded asset base following the TransGlobe combination. Our focus has been on optimizing production, managing our costs, optimizing our operations, and allocating capital to drilling and development future growth plans. Through the execution of the strategy, we continue to generate growth, and EBITDA has allowed us to increase the dividend and buy back shares, thus increasing total shareholder returns. We paid our second quarter dividend and announced the third quarter dividend, and we are on track to pay out nearly double the dividend that we paid in 2022. Additionally, to date, we have returned $15 million through a share buyback program since November 2022. This program continues through 2023 at current pricing levels. We have also fully funded our capital program, remain bank debt-free, and expect to build meaningful cash in the second half of 2023 to fund exciting future projects across our diverse portfolio. I would now like to point out some key highlights and accomplishments for the second quarter. We were above the high end of our production guidance and saw a quarterly increase of 7% to 19,676 NRI barrels of oil equivalent per day or 24,863 barrels on a working interest basis. This was driven by record production levels in Egypt and Canada from successful drilling programs in both areas. Additionally, we saw less decline in Gabon than anticipated due to better operational uptime and operational enhancements to the new FSO. You can clearly see how we have grown when you compare second quarter production this year with second quarter last year; we are up 114%. Sales were up 47% compared to Q1 '23 due to the timing of a lifting in Gabon that was pushed from Q1 into Q2, and we also experienced higher production and sales volumes in Gabon, Egypt, and Canada. Our increased sales allowed us to grow adjusted EBITDAX by 37% to $65.3 million, which was $17.5 million higher than Q1, despite lower realized pricing. We also generated $77.6 million in cash from operations, which allowed us to fund $27.1 million in CapEx and maintain a strong cash balance at quarter end of $46.2 million with no bank debt. We have positive momentum as we enter the second half of 2023, both operationally and financially. We are building size and scale to sustainably grow VAALCO. With our diverse portfolio of assets across four countries, including Gabon, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, and Canada, I will now spend a little time detailing our positive operational activities in each area. Let's begin with Egypt where we have invested the largest amount of capital in 2023. Our drilling campaign in Egypt thus far has included the drilling of 12 vertical wells, including one injector well and one exploration well, as well as a horizontal well. We're very pleased with the drilling performance in 2023. On the vertical wells, we're seeing significantly faster drilling performance, moving from a 2022 average of roughly 38 days per well to eight to 15 days per well in 2023, which is a 60% reduction in cycle times. By drilling the wells faster, we're cutting costs meaningfully and improving the economics of our wells in Egypt. We believe the step change in drilling allows us to consistently drill future vertical wells in under 15 days. In addition to the drilling efficiencies, we have also spent time and effort in Egypt reviewing the facilities and overall production operations. This effort has resulted in two meaningful changes that were enacted recently. The first is that we took steps to relieve pressure bottlenecks and back pressure, which resulted in a 500 barrel per day improvement in oil production. The second was to improve our ability to prevent and capture potential spills by improving well sites with secondary containment measures and increased use of composite screwable pipe for replacement of old lines and installation of new lines. We believe that this will make a significant move towards eliminating uncontained spills. These actions not only improve well performance but also enhance our commitment to being good environmental stewards, as part of our ongoing ESG initiatives. We continue to set production records in 2023, which is one of the key areas driving our ability to maintain and grow total company production. Our drilling and completion program in Egypt is a significant part of our 2023 capital program, as we continue to develop one of our core assets. We will still have several wells that need to be flagged in the third quarter, but the vast majority of our capital spend in Egypt for 2023 has been completed. In Canada, as you recall, we built several wells in Q4, but completions were delayed and these wells came online in late December 2022 and January 2023. We also drilled two additional wells in the fourth quarter, a 1.5-mile lateral and a 3-mile lateral, which were also required for land retention purposes. Both wells were drilled and completed safely and cost-effectively without incident. The wells were tied in and equipped in April and early May, with overall cycle times significantly below historical cycle times. The wells began flowing in May and produced very well and in early July, the pump and roads were run on both wells. Both wells' production rates continue to exceed pre-deal expectations, which is a very positive sign. We also believe that to better optimize our Canadian prospects going forward, we will move to 2.5 and 3-mile laterals almost exclusively, which we believe will further improve the economics of our development program. Canada also set a production record in 2023, another reason we are performing so well as a company and exceeding our production targets with our 2023 drilling and completions program completely finished in Canada. We are taking the rest of 2023 to evaluate facility and part optimization, future development wells, and further refine our completion techniques. After we completed our combination with TransGlobe last year, we steadily looked closely at Canada in the short term to see how we could improve efficiencies and increase the valuation and optionality of the acreage position. And we're very pleased with the results thus far. Turning to Gabon. As you know, we completed our 2021-2022 drilling campaign in the fourth quarter of 2022 and have only minimum new CapEx dollars in Gabon in 2023, primarily related to maintenance CapEx and long lead drilling equipment. Despite no 2023 drilling program, we have seen strong overall production numbers in 2023, with both the first and second quarters at the high end or exceeding the high end of our production guidance. In the fourth quarter of last year, we completed the FSO and POB configuration project, which is allowing us to operate more efficiently and economically while focusing on operational excellence, including production uptime enhancement in 2023 to minimize decline until the next drilling campaign. We're seeing multiple benefits from the FSO already. The impact of the cost savings from the new FSO are helping to offset some of our higher costs from inflation and interest rate supply pressures. Additionally, the FSO has greater storage and handling capacity, which is one of the reasons why our second quarter sales were so strong. As things stand today, the minor pipeline work on the same class line we had in Q2 is now scheduled to be completed in September, which should help lower OpEx due to less diesel costs once completed. Our subsurface teams have been working on the evaluation of joint prospects for our next drilling campaign, which we are ready to progress in planning for our 2024-2025 drilling program. We currently project it to be a three to four well program with additional well options. All of this is dependent on rig availability and last week we issued an expression of interest to the market in search of a rig that meets our requirements to begin the program in mid-2024. We believe that we will be further along with the planning and have a better understanding of rig availability and program timing, and we plan to discuss it in more detail at our next earnings call. Additionally, in Gabon, we are engaged in the final PSC negotiations with the government under partners regarding blocks G and H. We remain excited about the upside potential of these blocks as they expand our acreage in Gabon, and we will update the market when we have more details. Let me now turn to a discussion on Equatorial Guinea, another area that holds significant future potential for VAALCO. VAALCO also owns a working interest in Block P offshore Equatorial Guinea where there were previously discovered but undeveloped resources as well as additional exploration potential. In March 2023, we held a productive meeting with MMH and their partners. During these meetings, we finalized multiple substantive documents for Block P which includes the Venus development relating to the production schedule contract. However, we still have outstanding signatures in place and we will be able to accelerate the project forward following approval by all stakeholders. We have an approved POD and we will continue working with all stakeholders to move it forward towards FID. We have a proven operating track record for a development of this kind, and we look forward to demonstrating these capabilities as we progress Venus discovery into production. There are a lot of exciting projects in development in 2023 and moving into 2024 that will continue to help VAALCO Group production reserves and value for our shareholders. I would like to thank our hardworking team who continue to operate and execute our plans. We have captured meaningful synergies and cost reductions from the TransGlobe acquisition already and continue to make progress towards capturing more efficiencies while continuing to build size and scale. We are bank debt-free and remain firmly focused on a strategic vision of future growth for maximizing shareholder return opportunities and operating with the highest regard towards ESG. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Ron to share our financial results.
Ron Bain, CFO
Thank you, George. Good morning, everyone. Let me begin by echoing George's comments about our continued strong operational performance as we execute our strategic plan. With the integration of the business substantially behind us, we are much better positioned today with a growing and diversified asset base than ever before in VAALCO's history. Rather than rattling off a lot of numbers and verbiage that you can review in the earnings release or 10-Q, I'll give you some high-level numbers that dive into explanations that drive us for our financial results this morning. Let's begin with production and sales, which along with realized pricing drives our revenue. Production for the second quarter was very strong, above the high end of our guidance and up to 7% compared to Q1 2023. Sales for the quarter were up considerably, with all assets production performance resulting in increased sales. As highlighted last quarter, due to the timing of a cargo lifting in Gabon, shifting from Q1 to Q2, this was possible with greater storage and handling capacity within the FSO. We had said previously that the FSO will not only help us reduce costs, but it also allows us to have larger liftings and provides much greater flexibility when we have weather tidal events. Our strong sales led to a 36% increase in quarterly revenues, up nearly $30 million from the first quarter. Our strong volumes were partially offset by commodity pricing declines. Brent dropped about 4% quarterly and our oil pricing held up in line with the benchmark softening, with the largest reduction sequentially in Egypt. This was the result of all our Q2 Egyptian sales being sold domestically, compared with 100% export sales cargo in Q1. We were also impacted by the significant declines in natural gas liquid and natural gas pricing in Canada. Benchmark natural gas pricing was down 39%, but we were able to slightly buck this trend, realizing gas prices down 31% and NGL pricing down 25% sequentially. You will note in our earnings release yesterday, we provided a detailed breakdown of sales volumes along with commodity pricing by country in an effort to increase transparency. Regarding hedging, as shown in our earnings release and in our Investor Deck, we continue to implement a hedging program to help us mitigate risk and protect our commitment to shareholder returns. We've protected via costless all collars indexed to Brent, a floor price of $65 for about 50% of our production hedged through the end of the year, with upside to between $90 and $96. Turning to costs. Production costs included a one-time cost for removing and disposal of normally occurring radioactive material (NORM) of $5.7 million from the decommissioned FPSO. This happens whenever a storage unit gets decommissioned, and under typical lease contracts is deemed the responsibility of the lessee. Excluding this one-time charge, our production costs were within guidance, and our production cost per barrel came in at the midpoint of guidance. While absolute costs were up quarter-over-quarter due to higher sales, our production cost per barrel has actually decreased sequentially and year-on-year. G&A costs were also in line with guidance. For year-to-date 2023, G&A costs are higher by about $1 million from one-time charges for the reorganization and integration of TransGlobe. But this is more than offset by removing duplicate functions, reorganizing functional activities, and taking advantage of our combined skill. When compared to the combined G&A costs seen in 2022 by both VAALCO and TransGlobe, we've seen meaningful reductions in costs well ahead of our target synergies of $5 million per annum. The full integration and reorganization of the business is being completed as we speak. We will continue to focus on the costs we can control to help improve our margins on the ability to generate operational cash flow. We generated adjusted EBITDAX of $65.3 million, an increase of 37% or $17.5 million sequentially. Our strong sales and continuing work in controlling costs led to solid EBITDAX growth, despite declines in commodity pricing, as discussed earlier. Non-cash DD&A costs increased in the second quarter on an absolute basis and largely due to the incremental sales achieved compared to the first quarter. Costs were also higher due to accelerated capital spending in Egypt, with the near completion of the 2023 drilling campaign, which has been highly successful and completed in record time. For 2023, we have seen an increase in the DD&A due to the step up of the TransGlobe asset valuation. As a result, on a go-forward basis, for the balance of 2023, we believe that DD&A costs will range between $20 and $22 per barrel, in line with the Q1 and Q2 of this year. Targeted reserve additions for the wells completed will be reflected in our CPR as of the end of the year and will most likely lead to a change in our DD&A rate per barrel. Tax costs in the quarter were about $11.6 million, resulting in an effective tax rate of about 63%. Corporate expenditures in the U.S.A. resulted in no foreign tax benefit, and we do not have sufficient U.S. domestic income to offset these costs. Additionally, we incurred about $600,000 of costs for our EG business as we continue to progress that project. This currently provides us with no ability to obtain a foreign tax credit as it is not operational, but does count towards our recoverable costs when we achieve first oil, which is expected in 2026. Taxes paid in both Gabon and Egypt had the respective states taking entitlement to the barrels. In Canada, we still have sufficient net operating losses to cover any tax calculated. We reported adjusted net income of $11.9 million or $0.11 per diluted share after removing one-time items. Overall, we saw strong sales, lower pricing, lower per barrel production expenses, and higher DD&A per barrel, with an effective tax rate that remains around 65%. Turning now to the balance sheet and cash flow statement for Q2. Cash was $46.2 million on June 30, but we did receive about $20 million in cash receipts in July. Our June 30 accounts receivable balance was $57.4 million, with nearly two-thirds of that in Egypt with EGPC. Concurrently within accrued liabilities is our liability for excess costs of $8 million that will likely be used as an offset for some of our EGPC receivables. We continue to work with EGPC on both collections and offsets. We can also confirm that we've successfully arranged the Q3 export cargo of about 500,000 barrels that will likely occur in late August. Crude oil inventory is flat sequentially and includes 206,000 barrels under lift in Egypt, which will be used against the upcoming export cargo. The remaining inventory is within the FSO in Gabon. With the completion of drilling in Canada or near completion in Egypt, we will start to see a reduction in the outstanding accounts payable, and sequentially it is flat at $131 million. As has been the case since the third quarter of 2018, we are accounting no bank debt and credit facilities available to utilize for additional accretive acquisition opportunities to continue to build value. In Q2 2023, VAALCO paid a quarterly cash dividend of $0.0625 per common share or $6.7 million, and our share buyback was $6 million. As stated previously, growing our dividend and conducting share buybacks are a direct result of our expanded asset base and cash flow generation ability as a result of the TransGlobe acquisition. Aside from fully funding our shareholder returns, we also fully funded net capital expenditures of $27.1 million on a cash basis. These expenditures were primarily related to our drilling programs in Egypt and Canada. Let me now turn to guidance where I will give you some key highlights and updates. I want to remind you that our full guidance breakout is in the earnings release and in our supplemental slide deck on our website. Also, we report all our production with both working interest and net revenue interest, with the difference representing the royalties paid or taken in barrels. As we have discussed, our highly successful capital programs in Egypt and Canada, coupled with our operational focus on uptime to mitigate declining Gabon, are leading to a meaningful increase in production. For the full year 2023, we are raising production guidance for all our operational areas, leading to a total company production increase of about 7%. For the third quarter 2023, we're expecting our production to decline slightly in Gabon, but remain flat to slightly off in Egypt and Canada compared to the second quarter. Additionally, looking at our sales volumes, we're expecting to see strong sales, particularly in Egypt, where we're forecasting an export cargo in the third quarter, which would increase our sales volumes and unrealized pricing. Our costs have gone up slightly both sequentially and for the full year guidance, primarily due to the SEENT pipeline work expected to be completed in the third quarter. But our per barrel of equivalent costs are virtually unchanged due to the increased production and expected sales. Finally, looking at CapEx, we have said in the past our 2023 capital spend is weighted towards the front half of the year. You can see that in the reduction from Q2 to Q3 as not expected capital spend. Furthermore, due to improvements in drilling and completion cycle times, our Egyptian and Canadian teams are coming in quite a bit below the expected capital spending ranges for the full year. As a result, we're reducing our full year capital spending by about $10 million at the midpoint. Coupled with higher expected production and sales, we believe that VAALCO is very well positioned to grow cash flow in the third and fourth quarters of 2023. I'd like to point out that we have an updated supplemental earnings deck that includes good analysis, key highlights, and detailed overviews of our assets and performance. Additionally, we are detailing sales pricing production at the country level in an effort to be more transparent and help our stakeholders better understand our strong assets that generate our cash flow. I'd also like to note that we've recently agreed in principle to a resolution to the historic debt, as well as our domestic market obligations in Gabon that is now in the process of sign-off by the various ministries. Despite the recent increase in our stock price driven by higher commodity pricing, we continue to trade at a very low multiple of EBITDAX, despite paying a strong dividend yield and being bank debt-free. We continue to believe right now is an excellent opportunity to buy our common shares that are trading at a discount to their intrinsic value, which is a reason why we've decided to accelerate our share buyback program over the past few months.
George Maxwell, CEO
Thanks, Ron. As you have heard this morning, we continue to have tremendous success in our 2023 and believe that the second half of the year will continue to be very strong. We have generated $130 million in adjusted EBITDAX for funding all of our CapEx quarterly dividends and share buybacks with cash flow and cash on hand, and expect to meaningfully grow our cash position in the second half of 2023 from the current level of around $50 million. We accomplished all of this with lower realized commodity pricing to date in 2023, which shows our continued efforts towards capturing synergies and decreasing margin that began to positively impact 2023 results already. We're delivering on our commitment to the market and to our shareholders and we are in a solid financial position with no bank debt and a growing cash balance. Our strategy remains unchanged: operate efficiently, invest prudently, maximize our asset base, and look for accretive opportunities. Additionally, we have remained focused on returning value to our shareholders. In Q1 2023, we nearly doubled our quarterly dividend and paid that same increased dividend in Q2 2023 and earned the same amount for Q3. We are on track to deliver a $0.25 per share annual dividend for 2023 that we promised last year. We have also continued to repurchase common shares through the buyback program approved in 2022. Through the first 10 months of the program, we have returned $15 million to shareholders and repurchased 3.1 million common shares through buyback. Our highly successful 2023 capital programs in Egypt and Canada substantially completed the lower capital spend profile in the second half of 2023 should allow us to build meaningful cash. The plans for the significant cash flow generation for 2023 above our existing obligations are to build a cash reserve for future drilling campaigns and development. In addition, we will look to enhance or accelerate returns to shareholders, as well as evaluate potential accretive opportunities. We're working with our partners in EG on the exciting development plan for the Venus discovery on Block P, as well as evaluating locations and planning for the next drilling campaign at Etame. We're taking the successes in Egypt and Canada, and our drilling efficiency gains and facility optimization, and applying it to our next planned drilling campaign. You should see significant increases in activity in 2024 across our entire portfolio, which will continue to grow production reserves and cash flow generation. We're very excited for the future of our company, and I'm confident that we will continue to deliver superior long-term value to our shareholders. Thank you. And with that, operator, we are ready to take questions.
Operator, Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we'll begin the question-and-answer session. And our first question today comes from John White from ROTH Capital. Please go ahead with your question.
John White, Analyst
Good morning, and congratulations on a very strong quarter.
George Maxwell, CEO
Thanks, John.
John White, Analyst
Sure, sure. I'm wondering, is it too early to talk about potential CapEx or range of potential CapEx associated with the 2024-2025 Gabon drilling program?
George Maxwell, CEO
Well, I mean, what I mentioned earlier in the call is in order to solidify the CapEx position. That's why we've put out a full expression of interest for the rig. We obviously have seen an increase in the day rates over the '21-'22 campaign, and we've also seen much higher utilization of the jackup rigs in general in that market. So we do have, obviously, preliminary numbers that we work with and estimate, both on the drilling side. One thing I think is worth pointing out for some of the positions already, we do have some long lead items in inventory. So not everything associated with the drilling campaign will be a cash cost, because we purchased that previously. But yeah, we're basically taking the next quarter, John, to get the market information, pull things together both for well locations, the types of wells that we're going to drill versus accelerant step outs, etc., and then the course of that. And we'll be able to talk a lot more about that in the Q3 call.
John White, Analyst
Okay, thank you. And what are you doing in Egypt that's resulting in such a dramatic decrease in drilling times?
George Maxwell, CEO
Good question. When we began the integration, I recall being asked about our plans during last year's Q3 call. Our intentions were always to enhance operational efficiency. This has been achieved through several measures. First, we have revised various policies and procedures related to our operations. Second, we have improved coordination in the delivery of equipment. In the past, we frequently encountered situations where rigs were on standby for extended periods awaiting equipment to proceed. We have resolved that issue. Additionally, we have made significant changes in the personnel managing these programs, concentrating on both drilling and completion efficiency. It’s a combination of all these factors, with a notable focus on the coordinated efforts between supply chain and drilling. Moreover, ensuring we have high-performing drilling units is crucial. Overall, we have indeed observed a significant improvement in efficiency. Our commitment is to sustain that level of efficiency, and we are confident in our ability to do so.
John White, Analyst
Thanks for all that detail. I appreciate it. And I'll pass it back to the operator.
George Maxwell, CEO
Thank you, John.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Charlie Sharp from Canaccord. Please go ahead with your question.
Charlie Sharp, Analyst
Thank you very much. And thanks for taking my question. And if I can echo the previous question or comments about such a good quarter, congratulations. Just two, I think fairly short questions, if I may. One, on the gasline fix on SEENT. Can you quantify what you think the positive impact will be in terms of costs, once that is working again? And secondly, is it too soon to have some idea about the split of Gabon wells? Will next campaign be?
George Maxwell, CEO
I'll share the first question with Ron. We use a lot of field gas for infield power at Etame. At certain pressure levels, the line is bubbling. We're currently working to maintain pressure equilibrium to prevent leaks and flooding. By keeping that balance, we can delay immediate repairs and instead wait for the right opportunity to do so while in Gabon, which lowers costs. I'll let Ron discuss the efficiency and its benefits for us.
Ron Bain, CFO
Thanks, George. Charlie, yeah, with the SEENT gasline being done, we haven't got the fuel for the feedstock for the FSO at the moment, so we are burning that diesel. And that diesel is based on a bunkered cost coming in from Gabon. So essentially, that means that we're probably burning between $500,000 and $600,000 a month more than we should be due to not having enough feed gas. So we see that dropping off effectively in Q4. We see the pipeline repair happening in Q3. We are in a lot of discussions at this point in time and getting a suitable vessel and a dive team. And we've got the cost of that built into Q3. What I'd say is if we look at receiving between Q3 and Q4 in relation to the project, essentially, it's about the cost of what we're burning on the diesel each month for the quarter. So if we get this done in Q3, we should see a big drop off in diesel costs in Q4, and the cost of that repair is estimated at this point in time to be between $2 million and $3 million.
Charlie Sharp, Analyst
Okay, that's great. Thank you.
George Maxwell, CEO
And to get to your second question on the 2024 drilling program. Our subsurface team has been working hard on looking at the opportunities both in the Gamba and in the Dentale and in the stepping opportunities. While there are quite a number of wells currently in the portfolio, the selection of the wells and the sequencing of the wells again, we'll hopefully be able to talk a lot more with clarity in Q3. But as I said in my statement, we plan to have at least a three to four well program with a number of options.
Charlie Sharp, Analyst
Thank you so much.
George Maxwell, CEO
Thanks, Charlie.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Chris Wheaton from Stifel. Please go ahead with your question.
Chris Wheaton, Analyst
Thank you. Good morning, guys. And let me say something to say that it's great to see good operational discipline turning into really good numbers on the screen this morning. So very well done. First question for you, George. Definitely good drilling performance you've seen in Egypt and Canada, are you not tempted to maintain CapEx but do a bit more drilling and therefore accelerate that growth in production and cash flow we could see into next year? And I'm interested in why you chose to stop rather than spend that extra money you mentioned you'd originally budgeted.
George Maxwell, CEO
Okay, thanks, Chris. And there's a couple of nuances. In what we said in an earlier statement, when we said our CapEx spend is almost complete. So let me talk about Egypt in the first instance. Right now, we are completing our firm program. Has it been very successful? Yes, it has. Clearly been successful, we're clearly excited by it. Are we taking a position that we will wear the rig down? Right now, we're looking at at least up to three contingent opportunities. That is within our CapEx guidance range, so it doesn't change our guidance that we provided. It's within the range. We contingently allowed for those wells. So yes, of course, we say we've completed the firm campaign. There is a high probability that we will continue the drilling program for at least another two to three wells in Egypt. We will be working up the wells for the 2024 campaign in order to arrest decline. When it comes to Canada, it's slightly different. One of the things we said in Canada is we need to look at how we can get developed with longer lateral wells and how we can make sure we have a land footprint that allows us to do that. So once we had those planned in the first half of this year, as we said, the second half of this year is looking at how we can come up with a number of drilled already 2.75 to 3-mile lateral wells. And do we need to make any additional land acquisition opportunities in order to do that? So that, again, is the preparation for a 2024 campaign up in Canada?
Ron Bain, CFO
Yeah, and Chris, to your first party question, I really like to point out on a barrel equivalent, we're actually dealing quarter to quarter. A lot of this is volumetric driven, as you can understand. But yes, there are a couple of one-off costs in there. We pulled out the enormous cost and you can see that in those production costs. There was about $5.6 million as a one-off in relation to the waste disposal from the old FPSO. We've obviously got inventory crude adjustments as we've sold out of inventory in Q2, which obviously when you look at that, that is a consequence of the highest yields in the period. And what I'd say is a range of one-off costs really impact in Q2 for inflationary and other things like the SEENT gas pipeline. I think you would be looking at $2.5 million to $3 million, Chris, within there. I thought that $2.5 million to $3 million, once the SEENT pipeline is fixed, is largely negated and removed. We do have inflationary pressure. We have seen it, as we've said many times, on our marine, on our boat expense, and on our helicopters. These contracts have seen some reasonable increases as they come to renewal.
Chris Wheaton, Analyst
That's great. Thank you very much.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Bill Dezellem from Tieton Capital. Please go ahead with your question.
Bill Dezellem, Analyst
Thank you. We have seen a number of new stories indicating that majors that are looking to divest African offshore assets. I know that you all have historically had an interest in continuing the acquisitions. I think you even have referenced that in the call here today. To what degree are you seeing a higher level of interest in divestitures and therefore more opportunity than in the past order, or is it similar to what you have been seeing? Would you characterize the dynamics there please?
Ron Bain, CFO
Okay, well, thanks, Bill. Of course, we've been seeing for the last few years there has been a focus where we see opportunities where there's a strategic divestiture for core areas that we focus on for growth. What we've seen more recently, I've said for the bulk of 2023, is a significant reduction in opportunity from IOC divestitures. We talked about two of the majors, both BP and Shell have reverse policies from divestiture to investment and growing their oil and gas positions. So while we have participated in quite a number of programs in 2022 and early '23 for divestiture opportunities, I can honestly say that there are a lot more rare, fewer opportunities than there were 12 months ago. In addition to that, we're also seeing increasing competition in our areas of focus, particularly from European oil and gas companies, and particularly in the UK, where the high tax regime at the moment in the UK is forcing the UK oil companies to spread their wings into Africa. We are seeing a lot of interest. So we're finding it much more complex now where there's less meaningful step-change opportunities and more competition. Now, that doesn't mean to say that we completely changed our focus. But before we would have eight to ten potential projects that we would evaluate in any quarter, I would say that's now probably down to four or five.
Bill Dezellem, Analyst
And understanding that you only need one or two to make a difference. But let me flip the question upside down if the competition is increasing to purchase. And there are fewer assets for sale. Does that lead you all to think about becoming an acquirer, rather than simply being an acquirer particularly at a premium given that you're currently trading at a discount?
Ron Bain, CFO
I mean, as a public company, the best thing we can do is also make sure that our company is operating as efficiently as it can and producing as much oil as possible. As many of the callers here today know, this company was potentially on the market a number of years ago. Are we an acquisition target? Potentially, yes. Because we operate in the areas that are becoming attractive for others. And as you say, we are trading at a discount to our current NAV. Does that change our strategy? No, I don't think it does. I think we have the capabilities both in the experience set that we have inside the company, as individuals, and our core skill set for shallow water offshore and onshore production in Africa, and the contacts in the region to give ourselves an opportunity for continued growth. You're absolutely correct, we may only have a reduced amount of opportunities that we're evaluating at any one point in time. But some of those are stepped into opportunities, so you do need one or two to come through.
Bill Dezellem, Analyst
That's helpful. And then one additional question, please, relative to the contiguous property in Gabon with BW. What's the update on that opportunity?
Ron Bain, CFO
Yeah, well, actually, there was quite a lot of progress and activity actually in Q2 on that. And we had some meetings scheduled with the ministry and our partners. As you know, there's coming to election time in Gabon right now. Everyone is trying to see if we can get this over the line before the election. It appears that we probably won't get it over the line before the election. But we're keen to do so at the earliest opportunity. We're very pleased that the engagement from both the TGH and our partners has commenced. And I'm quite encouraged that we will be idling that acreage with PWE towards the end of this year or beginning of next year after the elections.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Richard Dearnley from Longport Partners. Please go ahead with your question.
Richard Dearnley, Analyst
Good morning. Could you explain where you are in figuring out the geology of the Dentale?
George Maxwell, CEO
That's a good question. So as most of the listeners will be aware, we had a couple of Dentale wells last year that were, in some cases, technical successes. In other cases, the permeability was far lower than we had anticipated, given what we'd experienced previously. So we spent some time on this and we haven't come to a landing on this yet. This is why it's difficult to see what the sequencing of wells and where the wells will be for the 2024 drilling program. But we started to break up the Dentale between the upper Dentale, which you'll hear perhaps the terminology coming up in the future called the sub-crop Dentale, and the deeper Dentale where the permeability is much lower. The study is about how we can effectively and efficiently extract from the deeper Dentale? That's a study that's going to take us quite some time to understand and come to a resolution on. We still have those two Dentale wells. They are still producing albeit at a low level. So we are getting some data from that. But right now, we're focusing on that particular study for the future. And for the drilling campaign coming up, we're focusing on the Shell Dentale, which has much higher permeability, which we do have a lot of experience. So if we're looking at next year's drilling program, is there a possibility of a sub-crop Dentale well? Yes, there is. Have we got that worked up and ready to discuss in detail? Not yet. But that's where we are with the Dentale study at the moment, Richard.
Thor Pruckl, COO
Okay, Jamie. We've got two questions that came in from someone who is having some issues with his telephone line right now. So I'm going to go ahead and ask those for him. The first one is with Gabon drilling starting now sometime next year, maybe midyear, or whenever that might be. Do we see the chance for any production growth in 2024 versus 2023 for Gabon?
George Maxwell, CEO
Okay, so obviously, as I mentioned earlier, we put the expression of interest out for the drilling unit. I also mentioned that when it comes to long lead items for the infill wells, we have the equipment. So the timing of the drilling program is dependent on the cost and the availability of the drilling unit. So if it's all subjected to when we get these costs back, and those availabilities come in, the sequencing of the well is key. We start drilling Q2 for '24, and the first well we drill is one of the infill wells, and the answer would be absolutely correct. That will have a production impact in 2024. But as I say, it's designed to rig timing, and well sequencing will be the key. Again, we'll be able to talk more about that in the Q3 conference call.
Thor Pruckl, COO
Okay, great. Thanks, George. And the next one is, are any of the costs that we may incur with drilling on Blocks G&H? Are those exploration blocks or those ring-fenced? Or can those costs get included with the Etame costs?
George Maxwell, CEO
Those costs are absolutely ring-fenced, and blocks G&H will not be the same as the commercial terms in Etame. There are potential opportunities where there are accumulations that may straddle the lease line. In that case, the costs and issues will be split in accordance with unitization, but this is too early to talk about anything like that. The simple answer is the ring-fencing of G&H and the costs around that will be subject to the terms and conditions that we finally negotiate on those blocks.
Operator, Operator
And our next question on the audio side comes from Carter Dunlap from Dunlop Equity. Please go ahead with your question.
Carter Dunlap, Analyst
Hi, when you mentioned the fiscal year production number of 7%, you then discussed Q3 with various factors. However, I didn't leave with a clear understanding of what the total for Q3 should be.
George Maxwell, CEO
Actually, follow that question, Carter, can you repeat it?
Carter Dunlap, Analyst
Sorry, you spoke to a forecast of production growth for the fiscal year of 7%. And then you spoke to you started to talk about Q3 with Gabon downs, and you did puts and takes, but I don't know what the total for Q3 is for a production forecast.
George Maxwell, CEO
Yeah, and again, it's not in the guidance process. But the Q3 guidance that we've got out there on a working interest basis is low-side 23,000 and the high-side 24,800. So effectively, the midpoint there is about 24,000 barrels. You will see obviously Gabon continuing at this point in time to decline because we haven't got an active drilling campaign. We've got some maintenance projects in Gabon with the optimizations worked extremely well in the first half of the year. Certainly on Egypt, as George mentioned there, we're really coming to the end of the firm and budgeted drilling campaign. Although there are some other opportunities over and above. We've also got a number of workovers planned in Egypt, both through Q3 and Q4 that continue to arrest decline there. So that's where we see Q3 in relation to production.
Carter Dunlap, Analyst
Okay, thank you.
George Maxwell, CEO
Thank you.
Operator, Operator
And ladies and gentlemen, our next question comes from Jeff Robertson from Water Tower Research. Sir, please go ahead with your question.
Jeff Robertson, Analyst
Thank you. George, you've talked a lot about the capital return program between the $0.25 dividend. And I think you have about $15 million remaining on the original $30 million share repurchase authorization. When you look ahead into 2024 with the prospects for the drilling campaign in Gabon and going into '25, and also ultimately spending money at EG for Venus. How do you think about the combination of the share repurchase, the dividend, and making sure that VAALCO can fund the capital program while you build cash?
George Maxwell, CEO
So that's a good question. When we first initiated the dividend, we ran the numbers on our projections through 2025 because one of the key things we wanted to do was to show that the dividend was affordable, and we could sustain it. We did that under certain parameters, mainly around $60 or $65 oil for the dividend. We had a certain capital program included in that. When we look at, and that's why we've tested the market right now to see where the capital programs are going to be, predominantly around the rig costs on the jackups for Gabon. At the moment, we don't see a significant impact on that forecast for the dividend based on our estimates of the capital program that we've got in-house. When it comes to the buyback, when that's slightly different. We initiated a buyback campaign again based on a higher oil price, I think somewhere north of 70. We said we find that sustainable through that $30 million program at that level. As you seen, we continue to reconfirm that position as we go through the first $30 million. When it comes to whether we will continue to extend that program, there are a number of factors that we have to consider. First and foremost, when you raises the available free cash flow to do that. Secondly, it's obviously determined, as Bill mentioned earlier, where the stock price is and whether that stock price remains depressed.
Ron Bain, CFO
Yes, good question again, Jeff. Yes, we have got a domestic cargo to be sold out of Egypt in the third quarter. That cargo is 500,000 barrels plus or minus at 10%. So we're working toward that. Obviously, it's always our preference to get those export cargoes in our PSC allows us to get those export cargoes. Now we have to work with our partner EGPC in doing that. We do have a domestic obligation too. So you saw us fulfill that domestic obligation through Q2. But yes, we've got one for Q3, and we're working at this point in time for a cargo for Q4 too. In both cases, we would see the differential we can achieve in getting an export cargo versus the domestic cargo can be as much as $5 per barrel. So it's certainly our preference to go down that route.
Jeff Robertson, Analyst
Thank you.
Operator, Operator
And ladies and gentlemen, with that, we'll be concluding our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the floor back over to George Maxwell for any closing remarks.
George Maxwell, CEO
Thank you very much, Operator. I think we've had some very strong indicators for performance in Q2. Those indicators weren't just driven from the performance in Q2; they were driven by the activities we commenced upon Q4 last year when we started to restructure and reorganize the business. We're seeing it contribute to our earnings profile and we see it contribute to our cash flow generation, and operations and efforts through the synergy efficiencies that Ron mentioned earlier, which are substantive. We are able to talk a lot more confidently on future programs in all three of our current producing areas with Egypt. We know we're going to have a program next year, and we'll outline that towards the end of this year. We know we'll have a program in Canada, and we've outlined the steps we're taking to find that program. And we know we are starting to look at the market to execute the planning position for the program in Gabon next year. We have continued to make progress on the opportunity to go and drill in Equatorial Guinea. Again, I hope to speak more about that in Q3. We had some ministerial meetings very recently to move that project forward. We have meetings with the Egyptian Government later this month to try and progress, as Ron mentioned, the Q4 cargo, and confirm the cargos for 2024 so we can confirm our investment plans. So when we look at, we don't just want to be looking backwards at the performance that was achieved in Q2. Because, like I said, that was contributed to by all the efforts that came from Q4 and Q1 together. We also have opportunities to now talk about having a stable platform basically generating these types of returns for the company and for the shareholders formally to deal with that point forward to continue to grow the production base. I think it's been a very successful second quarter — a very successful first half. What I'm more pleased about is when we went through the acquisition with TransGlobe and to some of the shareholders on this call, we had one-on-one discussions. We told them exactly what we plan to do with the assets we were acquiring, and we told them how we were planning to do it. I'm very pleased to say we've realized those plans coming through in Q2. So with that, I'd like to thank everyone for the call and everyone for attending. I look forward to talking to you in Q3.
Operator, Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, that will conclude today's conference call and presentation. We do thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.