Earnings Call Transcript
Merit Medical Systems Inc (MMSI)
Earnings Call Transcript - MMSI Q3 2024
Operator, Operator
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Merit Medical Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your speaker for today, Fred Lampropoulos. Please go ahead.
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Thank you, operator, and welcome, everyone. I am joined on the call today by Raul Parra, our Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer; Joe Wright, our President; and Brian Lloyd, our Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary. Brian, would you mind taking us through the safe harbor statements, please?
Brian Lloyd, Chief Legal Officer
Thank you, Fred. I would like to remind everyone that this presentation contains forward-looking statements that receive safe harbor protection under federal securities laws. Although we believe these forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, they are subject to risks and uncertainties. The realization of any of these risks or uncertainties, as well as extraordinary events or transactions impacting our company could cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations and projections expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements. In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views only as of today, October 30, 2024, and should not be relied upon, as representing our views as of any other date. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update such statements, except as required by applicable law. Please refer to the section entitled Cautionary Statement regarding Forward-Looking Statements in today's press release and presentation for important information regarding such statements. For a discussion of factors that could cause actual results to differ from these forward-looking statements, please also refer to our most recent filings with the SEC, which are available on our website. Our financial statements are prepared in accordance with accounting principles that are generally accepted in the United States. However, we believe certain non-GAAP financial measures provide investors with useful information regarding the underlying business trends and performance of our ongoing operations and can be useful for period-over-period comparisons of such operations. This presentation also contains certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable US GAAP measures is included in today's press release and presentation furnished to the SEC under Form 8-K. Please refer to the section of our press release and presentation entitled Non-GAAP Financial Measures for important information regarding non-GAAP financial measures discussed on this call. Readers should consider non-GAAP financial measures in addition to, not as a substitute for financial reporting measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Please note that these calculations may not be comparable with similarly titled measures of other companies. Both today's press release and our presentation are available on the Investors page of our website. I will now turn the call back to Fred.
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Thank you, Brian, and let me start with a brief agenda of what we will cover during our prepared remarks. I will start with an overview of our third-quarter financial results and a discussion of the strategic acquisition we announced on September 17th. After my opening remarks, Joe Wright will provide an update on the notable progress we have achieved in recent months on our US WRAPSODY program, as well as a summary of our revenue results for the third quarter. Then Raul will provide a more in-depth review of our quarterly financial results and our financial guidance for 2024, which we updated today in the press release. Then we will open the call for your questions. Now, beginning with a review of our third-quarter results. We reported total revenue of $339.8 million, up 7.8% year-over-year on a GAAP basis and up 7.9% year-over-year on a constant currency basis. The constant currency revenue growth we delivered in the third quarter modestly exceeded the high end of the range of growth expectations that we outlined on our quarter two call. Specifically, we expected constant currency revenue growth for the third quarter in the range of 6.4% to 7.8% year-over-year. Importantly, the 7.9% constant currency revenue growth in the third quarter was driven by strong organic growth and contributions from acquired products, both of which came in at the high end of our growth expectations. With respect to our profitability performance in the third quarter, we delivered financial results that exceeded our expectations. We leveraged the solid revenue results to deliver non-GAAP operating profit growth of 19% and a non-GAAP operating margin of 19.2% of sales, up approximately 175 basis points year-over-year. We also delivered 21% growth in our non-GAAP EPS, which exceeded the high end of our expectations as well. Perhaps most notably, we generated $38 million of free cash flow in the quarter and have generated more than $120 million of free cash flow over the first nine months of 2024, representing an increase of 116% year-over-year. We believe our third-quarter results reflect continued strong momentum in the business, and we remain confident in our team's ability to deliver the updated financial guidance for 2024 that Raul will review later on the call. We are focused on delivering continued strong execution, solid constant currency growth, improving profitability and strong free cash flow in 2024 as well as continued progress in our continued growth initiatives program and related financial targets for the three-year period ending December 31, 2026. Now, before turning the time over to Joe, I would like to take a few minutes to discuss the important acquisition we announced on September 17. We announced the signing of a definitive asset agreement to purchase Cook Medical's lead management portfolio for a total cash consideration of approximately $210 million and the assumption of certain liabilities. We believe this acquisition represents multiple strategic and financial positives. Importantly, this acquisition is consistent with and will not distract us from our continued growth initiatives. This proposed transaction represents another example of Merit's selectivity in investing to expand our product portfolio in key strategic markets that leverage our existing commercial footprint. Strategically, we believe the proposed acquisition will position Merit to offer clinicians an increasingly comprehensive set of solutions to support cardiac intervention patients from diagnosis to therapy and intervention to post-procedure care. Cook Medical's lead management business has many years of operating history and provides a comprehensive end-to-end product portfolio of medical devices and accessories used in the lead management procedures for patients who need a pacemaker or an implantable cardioverter defibrillator, an ICD, lead removed or replaced. The assets we propose to acquire from Cook include a full portfolio of tools for complete case support, including hand-triggered rotating extraction devices, sheets and snares for manual extraction and lead control tools for grasping and removing leads. We believe these assets generated approximately $37 million of revenue over the 12-month period ended December 31, 2023, with sales to customers in the US, EMEA, APAC and Rest of World, representing approximately 41%, 42%, 11% and 6%, respectively. We believe this transaction will strengthen our fast-growing high-margin electrophysiology and cardiac rhythm management or CRM business with the addition of differentiated products and an established commercial infrastructure. We believe the transaction will enhance our position in the cardiac intervention market, particularly in Europe, which is strategically attractive and has our commercial team very excited. We estimate this transaction represents an annual addressable opportunity of more than $900 million in the US, EMEA and APAC regions. Specifically, we anticipate that beginning in fiscal year 2025, the addition of Cook's lead management business will position Merit to represent more than $100 million in combined annualized electrophysiology and CRM revenue serving the global cardiac intervention market. In addition to the strong strategic rationale, we believe the financial profile of the proposed acquisition is extremely compelling. Raul will share some additional color on the favorable financial profile of the acquisition later on in the call. In the interim, I'll share that we expect sales contributions from the acquisition post-closing in the range of $46 million over the balance of 2024, and we expect this acquisition to add approximately $40 million of revenue on an annualized basis beginning in fiscal year 2025. Now with that said, let me turn the time over to Joe for an update on our U.S. WRAPSODY program and a review of our third-quarter revenue performance.
Joe Wright, President
Thank you, Fred. I share Fred's sentiments as it relates to the notable progress we have made on our US WRAPSODY program in recent months. First, with respect to our progress in the areas of clinical validation and raising awareness of the compelling safety and efficacy profile of WRAPSODY among clinicians. On September 16, we announced positive six-month findings from the randomized arteriovenous or AV fistula arm of our WRAPSODY WAVE pivotal trial. The data were shown at the Cardiovascular and Interventional Radiological Society of Europe or CIRSE, Annual Congress in Lisbon, Portugal. Dr. Mahmood Razavi, the co-principal investigator of the WAVE trial, presented the extremely compelling results. Specifically, the primary efficacy endpoint was target lesion primary patency, which represents the percentage of patients that did not need a clinical revascularization or have thrombosis and patients treated with WRAPSODY was 89.8%. This was 27 percentage points higher than patients treated with the control percutaneous transluminal angioplasty, or PTA, which is the current standard of care. With respect to the primary safety endpoint in the pivotal study, there were fewer adverse events for patients treated with WRAPSODY. However, the difference in the proportion of patients who experienced an adverse event was not statistically significant between the two cohorts. Dr. Razavi was quoted saying, "The superiority of the six-month efficacy data is compelling and provides clinicians the chance to evaluate how WRAPSODY can help us prolong the vascular access of our patients. WRAPSODY should be the new standard of care for these patients." We were also pleased with the positive response and feedback from participants at the 2024 Controversies in Dialysis Access, or CiDA meeting in Washington, DC on October 5, including positive commentary related to our WAVE trial for many participants at the meeting. We expect further increases in awareness of WRAPSODY's safety and efficacy among clinicians, including more clinical data results and look forward to WRAPSODY being featured in scientific sessions at the Vieths meeting on November 23 in New York City. Second, we have made considerable progress in our US regulatory and reimbursement strategies and in developing our post-approval commercial strategy for WRAPSODY. As discussed on our last earnings call, we completed the clinical study report and filed the final module with the FDA for premarket approval or PMA by the end of the second quarter of 2024 as expected. We are ready and willing to engage with FDA during the review as they review our PMA application for this innovative technology. The WRAPSODY Cell-impermeable Endoprosthesis is built to combat the challenges dialysis patients can often experience due to stenosis and occlusions in the dialysis outflow circuit. We believe this technology can extend long-term vessel patency rates and reduce the complications associated with existing treatment options on the market today, including the need for repeated interventions, frequent trips to the hospital, and inadequate dialysis treatments. Our Renal Therapies group has been working through intensive WRAPSODY training covering a range of important areas, including technical story, anatomy and physiology, and deployment technique. Clinical data training and live hands-on training are scheduled to increase in the coming months. We are focused on ensuring we are ready to enter the US market following PMA approval. The team has completed a thorough evaluation of the US market opportunity and is developing a comprehensive US commercial strategy. Importantly, our plans for US commercialization post-PMA approval are part of a broader commercial strategy for our Renal Therapies group. We have an experienced, dedicated sales and customer support team offering a strong portfolio of dialysis products that address the entire end-stage renal disease continuum of care, including our HeRO Graft, our Surfacer Inside-Out Access Catheter System, and our portfolio of acute, chronic, and peritoneal dialysis catheters. We are excited to add WRAPSODY to this offering following PMA approval. The team is also focused on developing and executing our reimbursement strategy for WRAPSODY. Earlier this month, we submitted our application requesting a new technology APC assignment for Medicare's acute inpatient prospective payment system. The new technology add-on payment or NTAP designation enables new medical service or technology meeting certain eligibility criteria to receive additional reimbursement payment for a period up to three years. We believe that WRAPSODY meets the eligibility criteria, particularly as it relates to the requirement that the technology represents an advance that substantially improves relative to technologies previously available, the treatment of Medicare beneficiaries. The application is currently under review, and we look forward to participating in the new technology town hall meeting on December 11, 2024, which is the annual meeting held to provide a mechanism for public input on the eligibility criteria for NTAP applications before final decisions are made. We are targeting submission of an application for transitional pass-through payment under the Medicare Hospital Outpatient Prospective Payment System, or OPPS. The transitional pass-through payment, or TPT program is intended to facilitate access for Medicare beneficiaries to the advantages of new and innovative devices by allowing for adequate payment for these new devices while the requisite cost data is collected. We believe WRAPSODY meets the substantial clinical improvement threshold for new category eligibility for a pass-through payment. Post-PMA approval, if awarded pass-through status, WRAPSODY would be eligible for this additional payment as early as Q3 2025 and will continue for at least two years thereafter. It is fair to say that we have made significant progress in our WRAPSODY program this year, and I applaud our team's efforts to ensure we are prepared and well-positioned to introduce WRAPSODY to the U.S. market following PMA approval. For avoidance of doubt, we intend to continue providing updates as we achieve material milestones in our WRAPSODY program going forward. We also intend to host a WRAPSODY-specific virtual investor event in advance of our U.S. commercial introductions. Details for this event will be shared once we secure PMA approval. I will now provide a detailed review of our revenue results in the third quarter, beginning with the sales performance in each of our primary reportable product categories. Note, unless otherwise stated, all growth rates are approximated and present on both a year-over-year and constant currency basis. Third quarter total revenue growth was driven by 6% growth in our Cardiovascular segment and 86% growth in our Endoscopy segment, both of which modestly exceeded the high end of the expectations we outlined on our second quarter call. Our total revenue results included approximately $6.8 million of revenue from our acquisition of EndoGastric Solutions, Inc. Excluding sales of acquired products, our total revenue growth in the third quarter was 5.7%, and our Endoscopy segment revenue growth was 11.5% on an organic constant currency basis. Sales of our Peripheral Intervention, or PI products, increased 7.7%, representing nearly 60% of total Cardiovascular segment growth in the period. Growth in the PI product category was driven by sales of our radar localization products, which increased 17% and sales of our drainage products, which increased 10%. Together, they represented more than half of total PI sales growth in Q3. Sales of our Custom Procedural Solutions, or CPS products increased 4%, which was slightly better than the low single-digit increase we expected in Q3. Growth was driven by strong sales of critical care products, offset partially by more modest sales of kits and trays as expected due to the ongoing SKU rationalization efforts discussed on prior calls. Cardiac Intervention product sales increased 2%, slightly above the high end of our growth expectations, driven primarily by strong sales of EPCRM products and to a lesser extent, growth in sales of fluid management products. Sales of our OEM products increased 8.5% in Q3 and were the only area of our cardiovascular segment that came in softer than our growth expectations heading into the quarter. Notably, demand trends from customers in the US improved from Q2 as expected. Product sales to OEM customers outside the US, however, were significantly lower than expected in Q3. We had a discrete logistics-related issue that impacted our Q3 OEM results, but the softer-than-expected product sales to OEM customers outside the US is primarily related to navigating a more challenging raw material and supply chain environment. Our updated revenue guidance for 2024 reflects the softer-than-expected OEM sales in Q3 and modestly lower OEM sales expectations in Q4 as compared to what our prior guidance range assumed. Demand remains strong, but as a result of supply chain challenges, we now expect OEM sales growth of approximately 7% in 2024 compared to 10% previously expected. Turning to a brief summary of our sales performance on a geographic basis. Our third quarter sales in the US increased 10% on a constant currency basis and 7% on an organic constant currency basis. We were pleased to see improving trends in our US business as we outlined on our second quarter call. We continue to expect to deliver approximately 6% organic growth in the US at the midpoint of our 2024 guidance range. Note this growth assumption contemplates our updated expectations for OEM growth in the second half of 2024, offset by stronger organic growth in the non-OEM portions of our business, which, by way of reminder, are expected to represent approximately 87% of our total organic constant currency revenue in 2024. International sales increased 4.5% year-over-year and increased 4.4% on an organic constant currency basis, exceeding the low end of our growth expectations. Sales results in Rest of World and APAC exceeded the high end of our expectations, while sales in the EMEA region were softer than expected, largely related to the aforementioned OEM challenges in the quarter. With respect to China specifically, sales decreased 5.1%, modestly better than what our guidance had assumed. We continue to see quarter-to-quarter variability in growth trends related to volume-based purchasing tenders as expected. By way of reminder, while we are not providing country-specific growth assumptions in our guidance messaging, the midpoint of our 2024 constant currency growth guidance range now assumes our total international sales will increase 4.8% year-over-year, driven by 2% growth in APAC, 6% growth in EMEA, and 15% growth in the Rest of World region compared to 0%, 7%, and 11%, respectively, assumed in our prior guidance range. The improving growth trends in APAC assumed in our updated guidance is driven by better-than-expected results in China over the first nine months of 2024, driven primarily by better-than-expected sales of units, which are now expected to modestly offset continued pricing headwinds related to volume-based purchasing. With that, let me turn the call over to Raul, who will take you through a detailed review of our third quarter financial results, balance sheet and financial condition at September 30.
Raul Parra, CFO
Thank you, Joe. Beginning with a review of our P&L performance. For the avoidance of doubt, unless otherwise noted, my commentary will focus on the company's non-GAAP results during the third quarter of fiscal year 2024, and all growth rates are approximated and presented on a year-over-year basis. We have included reconciliations from our GAAP reported results to the related non-GAAP item in our press release and presentation available on our website. Gross profit increased approximately 10% in the third quarter. Our gross margin was 50.9%, up 108 basis points. The increase in gross margin year-over-year was driven by pricing uplift, favorable product and geographic revenue mix, and improvement in freight and distribution costs, offset partially by manufacturing variances compared to the prior year period. Operating expenses increased 6% from the third quarter of 2023. The increase in operating expenses was driven by a 5% increase in SG&A expense and an 8% increase in R&D expense compared to the prior year period. Total operating income in the third quarter increased $10.2 million or 19% from the third quarter of 2023 to $65.1 million. Our operating margin was 19.2% compared to 17.4% in the prior year period. The 175 basis point increase in operating margin was driven by a 108 basis point increase in our non-GAAP gross margin and by a 67 basis point decrease in our non-GAAP OpEx margin compared to the prior year period. Third quarter other expense net was a benefit of $0.9 million compared to an expense of $4.5 million last year. The change in other expense net was driven by an increase in interest income associated with our higher cash balances, partially offset by an increase in net interest expense associated with increased borrowings. Third quarter net income was $51.2 million or $0.86 per share compared to $41.4 million or $0.71 per share in the prior year period. We are pleased with our profitability performance in the third quarter, where we leveraged stronger-than-expected revenue results to drive significant expansion in operating margins and strong growth in non-GAAP diluted earnings per share, both of which exceeded the high end of our expectations. Note, our third-quarter non-GAAP EPS results included incremental dilution related to our convertible debt that represented approximately $0.01 to Q3 EPS versus what our guidance had assumed. Turning to a review of our balance sheet and financial condition. As of September 30, 2024, we had cash and cash equivalents of $523.1 million, total debt obligations of $770.5 million, and available borrowing capacity of approximately $697 million compared to cash and cash equivalents of $587 million, total debt obligations of $846.6 million, and available borrowing capacity of approximately $626 million as of December 31, 2023. Our net leverage ratio as of September 30 was 2.08 times on an adjusted basis. We generated $38 million of free cash flow in the third quarter and have generated more than $120 million of free cash flow over the first nine months of 2024, up 116%. The improvement in free cash flow generation is a result of growth in net income and significant improvement in cash used in working capital compared to the first nine months of 2023. We now expect to generate approximately $150 million of free cash flow in 2024 compared to our prior guidance of $130 million. And importantly, we continue to believe our CGI program will generate more than $400 million of free cash flow in the three-year period ending December 31, 2026. For reference, we have included a table in our earnings press release, which details each of our updated formal financial guidance items and how those ranges compared to the prior ranges as of September 17, 2024, when we updated our guidance to reflect the projected impact of our proposed acquisition of lead management assets from Cook Medical. By way of reminder, our updated financial guidance assumes the Cook Medical transaction closes on November 1, 2024. Our updated guidance ranges now assume the following: GAAP net revenue growth of 6.9% to 7.6%, net revenue growth of approximately 5% to 6% in our Cardiovascular segment, and net revenue growth of approximately 49% to 52% in our Endoscopy segment, and a headwind from changes in foreign currency exchange rates of approximately $7 million or approximately 60 basis points in growth year-over-year. Excluding the impact of changes in foreign currency exchange rates, we expect total net revenue growth on a constant currency basis in the range of 7.4% to 8.1% in 2024. Note, the increase in constant currency growth expectations at the low end of the guidance range reflects the flow through of the better-than-expected revenue results in Q3, $2 million lower FX headwind to GAAP revenue and the contributions from our acquisition of assets from Cook Medical from the expected closing date of November 1 to December 31, offset partially by our revised expectations for our OEM business in the fourth quarter. All other assumptions supporting our Q4 growth expectations remain unchanged versus what our prior guidance had assumed. Finally, our total net revenue guidance for the fiscal year 2024 now assumes inorganic revenue contributions from the acquisitions announced on June 8, 2023, July 1, 2024, and September 17, 2024, in the range of $29.5 million to $32.5 million in the aggregate. For avoidance of doubt, this aggregate range consists of approximately $11.6 million of inorganic revenue related to our acquisition of assets from AngioDynamics, Inc. in Q1 and Q2, plus the contributions from our acquisition of assets from EndoGastric Solutions in Q3 and Q4 in the range of approximately $14 million to $15 million, plus the contributions from our acquisition of assets from Cook Medical post-closing in the range of approximately $4 million to $6 million. Excluding inorganic revenue, our updated guidance reflects total net revenue growth on a constant currency organic basis in the range of approximately 5.1% to 5.5%. With respect to our updated profitability guidance for 2024, we now expect non-GAAP diluted earnings per share in the range of $3.33 to $3.38, representing an increase of 17% to 19%. Note, this updated range reflects the better-than-expected EPS results in Q3 and includes the expected dilution related to our acquisition of assets from Cook Medical, which, as disclosed on September 17, is expected to be in the range of $0.01 to $0.02. As Fred discussed earlier, we believe the Cook Medical acquisition offers a very attractive financial profile. While we believe the proposed acquisition will be modestly dilutive to our full-year 2024 non-GAAP profitability given the partial year contribution and the impact of approximately $1.8 million of lower interest income on cash balances used for the total purchase consideration, we expect the acquisition to be accretive to our non-GAAP gross and operating margins in the first full year post-closing. We expect the acquisition to be accretive to our non-GAAP net income and non-GAAP EPS in the second full year post-closing. For modeling purposes, our updated fiscal year 2024 financial guidance now assumes non-GAAP operating margins in the range of approximately 18.5% to 18.8%, up 130 to 160 basis points; non-GAAP interest and other expense net of approximately $0.9 million of income; non-GAAP tax rate of approximately 21.3%; diluted shares outstanding of approximately 59.1 million compared to 58.8 million previously; and we now expect CapEx of approximately $50 million; and free cash flow of at least $150 million. We would also like to provide additional transparency related to our growth and profitability expectations for the fourth quarter of 2024. Specifically, we expect our total revenue to increase in the range of approximately 5.5% to 8.2% on a GAAP basis and up approximately 6.1% to 8.8% on a constant currency basis. The midpoint of our fourth quarter constant currency sales growth expectation assumes approximately 12% growth in the U.S. and 2% growth in international markets. Note, our fourth quarter constant currency sales growth expectations include inorganic revenue in the range of $11 million to $14 million. Excluding inorganic contributions, our fourth quarter total revenue is expected to increase in the range of approximately 3% to 4% on an organic constant currency basis. With respect to our profitability expectations for the fourth quarter of 2024, we expect non-GAAP operating margins in the range of approximately 17.8% to 18.8% and we expect non-GAAP EPS in the range of $0.80 to $0.86. That wraps up our prepared remarks. Operator, we would now like to open up the line for questions.
Operator, Operator
Thank you. The first question we have today is from John Young of Canaccord. Your line is open.
John Young, Analyst
Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking our questions tonight and congrats on the quarter. First, with the Cook acquisition, I just wanted to ask a bit of a 2025 question. I'm not sure if you can totally answer it, but just are you expecting a halo effect essentially with the other products in the CI segment?
Joe Wright, President
Yes, this is Joe. The acquisition is based on our need for an anchor portfolio. We currently have strong EP CRM-focused products, but acquiring this will enhance our revenue and gross margin profile. It will also enable us to establish a dedicated EP sales force to promote not only the Cook-acquired product revenue but also our existing products, including transseptal crossing products and others in our product pipeline.
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Yes. And Joe, can I add that just like RTG, we've seen success in aligning and having the focus to get deeper into those specific products, John. And it will add about $40 million in annualized revenue starting in fiscal year 2025, John.
John Young, Analyst
That's all very helpful. And then just a point of clarification on WRAPSODY for the add-on payment. Do you also expect NTAP to go live Q3 2025 if you got that? Or is that just PPT? And also, when it comes to pricing the product, will you price the product with NTAP in mind?
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
The answer is we have submitted for NTAP. And yes, we will price as if we are going to get that NTAP. But of course, we won't know for several months. As far as the add-on payment, that will be submitted or that application will be submitted after we receive FDA approval.
Operator, Operator
Thank you. One moment for the next question. And our next question will be coming from Jayson Bedford of Raymond James. Your line is open.
Jayson Bedford, Analyst
Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions and congrats on the progress. Maybe just two to keep it moving here. With the WAVE results on WRAPSODY, has the data impacted traction in Europe at all?
Joe Wright, President
I think it's a bit too early to say. We released the 6-month data at the Lisbon conference, and it was very well received, especially by European physicians. However, I believe it will take some time for that to truly take off. We have made significant progress in raising awareness of the product and the excellent data we've shared.
Jayson Bedford, Analyst
Okay. And then maybe for Raul or others, the 3% to 4% organic growth guide for Q4, I realize it's a tougher comp, but what's the expected weight on growth to get to that level?
Raul Parra, CFO
Yes. I think I’ll start by highlighting our overall performance that we've guided to. For the year, it’s expected to be strong in terms of revenue, operating margin expansion, and significant earnings growth, which we anticipate to be between 17% to 19% increase in EPS. Looking at our guidance for the fourth quarter, it’s largely consistent with what we’ve been communicating since Q3, or even earlier. The main adjustment we’re making relates to OEM expectations. We encountered some supply chain challenges that could affect the fourth quarter, and we have taken that into consideration. Additionally, everyone is aware of the Baxter IV impact on procedures, and we have factored in any potential disruptions from that. Overall, we feel confident about the year we’re putting together, and the fourth quarter is also projected to show strong growth both overall and in terms of earnings.
Jayson Bedford, Analyst
All right. Thank you.
Operator, Operator
Thank you. One moment for the next question, please. And our next question will be coming from Larry Biegelsen of Wells Fargo. Your line is open.
Unidentified Analyst, Analyst
Hey. This is Simran on for Larry. Thanks for taking the questions here. Maybe just to start off on WRAPSODY. Congrats on the results there. The data looked really strong, and I appreciate all the color on the reimbursement pathway. I guess, just to ask the question in a more pointed way, is it reasonable to assume WRAPSODY will be priced at a significant premium to the competitive sense in order to meet that cost criteria for the add-on payment?
Raul Parra, CFO
Yeah. Typically, that's how it would work. So we'll see as we get closer to launch, and we'll give more detail at an Investor Day post-approval. But yeah, that's a fair assumption.
Unidentified Analyst, Analyst
Okay, great. And then just any additional color on the commercial strategy? How are you positioning the sales force to add WRAPSODY to the bag? And are you going to be able to launch the product right away after FDA approval?
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
So this is Fred. Look, we are preparing on the clinical side, regulatory, reimbursement, and the commercial side, and we will follow all this up shortly after our approval. We'll have a virtual meeting and go through all these details at that time when all these things play out and come together, and we will share that publicly in a virtual meeting.
Operator, Operator
Thank you. One moment for the next question, please. And our next question will be coming from Jason Bednar of Piper Sandler. Your line is open.
Jason Bednar, Analyst
Good afternoon. Thank you for the opportunity to ask a question. Fred, I hope you won't mind me bringing this up, but I feel it's important to discuss. With NTAP and TPT, and your efforts on WRAPSODY, you seem optimistic about securing each of them. It appears that both could potentially return next year, although NTAP is still to be determined. You're planning to launch next year, assuming everything goes smoothly with approval. So, how would you like the analyst community to view the volume and revenue potential for WRAPSODY in 2025? We understand you prefer a cautious approach to guidance and expectations, yet many of us are curious about the possible impact this might have in 2025, which would be the first full year of launch, considering all the different factors at play. How would you like us to think about this?
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Well, first of all, these are all good comments that we're receiving today, and we're very excited about the product as we have been. We'll provide more at the appropriate time. We're going to hold steady to the course, as we've said and we'll be as conservative as always. But again, you're going to have to wait, Jason. I wish we could do it faster, but that's not what we're going to do. We've given you everything we have, what we want you to have now. We'll look forward to talking to that with you in the virtual meeting. Nice try.
Jason Bednar, Analyst
It's all been very helpful today. So we do appreciate it.
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
We hope so. We're working hard and we're progressing. We're doing things that have to be done.
Brian Lloyd, Chief Legal Officer
And Jason, as we've talked, our intent is to provide material updates every quarter as they happen. So we provided a pretty good amount of color today and more to come.
Jason Bednar, Analyst
No, you did more than many of us expected. That's been very helpful. I will now shift to the margin side, which has been extremely successful and impressive in recent years. Can you discuss any plans for additional SKU rationalization for the business over the next few quarters or next year? Or, from a broader perspective, as we begin to consider our models for next year, are there any other factors we should keep in mind to sustain this margin improvement? I'm not looking for specific guidance, just general considerations we should be aware of.
Joe Wright, President
Yes. The question is quite broad, so I'll take a moment to emphasize the 108 basis point improvement year-over-year. We've reached 50.9%. The sales team is putting in significant effort on pricing uplift, and they've also been focusing on a favorable product and geographical revenue mix. Our operations group has been performing excellently in terms of freight and distribution, contributing to the gross margin improvement. As we mentioned in CGI while outlining our goals for 2026, a considerable part of this improvement relates to gross margin, especially at the lower end. As we aim for the higher end, we anticipate additional gross margin enhancements, along with increased leverage on the operating expense side. Overall, this reinforces our confidence that we're moving in the right direction and making the necessary improvements. Progressing as planned, it's an integral aspect of the CGI program to enhance gross margin and ensure it positively impacts operating margin.
Jason Bednar, Analyst
All right. Thank you.
Joe Wright, President
Yes. And maybe just one more thing, Jason. I didn't hit on the SKU rationalization piece. So let me answer that here real quick. But generally speaking, our commitment there hasn't changed. There's 2 aspects to the SKU rationalization. One is just replacing our legacy products with newer products that are the same, but just improvements and obviously lower cost to manufacture. And then the second piece, the more material one that I think people generally ask about is whether we're going to exit businesses or exit products. And generally, we'll give color and we'll give people a heads up when those material kind of items come up. We don't anticipate anything for 2025. It will be more of the internal stuff that you guys won't really notice or we hope you don't notice other than through the incremental margin improvement.
Jason Bednar, Analyst
Perfect. Appreciate it.
Operator, Operator
Thank you. One moment for the next question. And our next question will be coming from David Rescott of R.W. Baird. Your line is open.
David Rescott, Analyst
Great. Thanks for taking the questions. Congrats on the quarter, and I appreciate all the color on WRAPSODY. Just a couple on WRAPSODY from us and maybe attacking some of the market opportunity questions a little bit of a different way. You look at the graft market out there where some of the physician feedback is obviously very positive around the potential to transition toward a WRAPSODY product. The trial itself obviously looked at use of the therapy versus PTA. And so I'm curious when you think about the opportunities to enter these markets, is the stent-covered graft kind of the lowest hanging fruit out there and going after kind of what you looked at in the control arm is more upside? Or do you think that both of those markets are kind of up for grabs with WRAPSODY once you get out there?
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Yes, David, that’s a very insightful question, and we understand your interest. We will share our thoughts on these issues in the future. As we prepare for the commercial launch, we will discuss all of this during our virtual meeting. I apologize for repeating this, and I appreciate your efforts. Our main focus is on CGI, launching this product, and achieving operating margins and free cash flow, which we've previously discussed. While WRAPSODY is important to us, we also have a significant business to manage. We will provide updates as we approach the closing time and prepare for market entry.
David Rescott, Analyst
Thanks for that. As a follow-up to your earlier comments, I'm interested in the margin expansion projected for the future. While I understand you may not provide many details, I'm curious about the assumptions regarding the WRAPSODY's impact on margins, particularly in relation to the overall expansion story for CGI.
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Yes, thank you for the question. We are currently focused on the PMA approval process, and we are very excited about the product. Our primary goal is to achieve at least 20% operating margins as outlined in our CGI. We are also working diligently to get the WRAPSODY product line approved. There is significant internal effort underway, and while we share in the excitement, we will hold off on financial modeling discussions until after our post-approval meeting. Thank you again for your question.
Operator, Operator
Thank you. One moment for the next question. And our next question is coming from Mike Matson of Needham. Your line is open.
Mike Matson, Analyst
Yes, thanks. So just kind of a higher-level question. Merit has been sort of making this move from more kind of basic accessory type products into these more physician preference item, therapeutic products like WRAPSODY, the cook lead management devices and then the endogastric solution products. So do you believe that your sales force has sort of the right skill set to sell these types of products that are more kind of dictated by physician preference and physician relationships as opposed to maybe kind of more of the purchasing or C-suite side of the hospital?
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Yes, those are reasonable questions. I have strong confidence in our sales team. We have indeed been successful in selling a significant number of accessory devices, which has contributed to our current standing and allowed us to strategically invest in therapeutic products. There is certainly a shift in our selling approach, and I want to be transparent about that. However, we believe we can attract and retain top sales talent skilled in selling therapeutics. This year, we have been training our renal therapies group in preparation for WRAPSODY. They are already involved in selling physician preference products within that portfolio, and we are confident in their ability to handle WRAPSODY. Likewise, we will take a similar approach with our Cardiac Therapies group, which is supported by Cook's lead management business.
Joe Wright, President
In our endoscopy.
Mike Matson, Analyst
Okay, I have one more question about WRAPSODY. While I understand you might not provide a specific answer, could you share your thoughts on the market opportunity? Specifically, what is the total addressable market for the indications you anticipate? I'm referring to covered stents used especially for AVGs or AVFs. I estimated it to be in the $300 million to $600 million range, but I'm not sure how accurate that is. Also, this figure is for the US market only.
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Yes. Mike, we are not going to confirm or deny anything. But we are going to say is, yes, we can provide it at the virtual meeting right after we get approved.
Mike Matson, Analyst
Okay. Fair enough. We look forward to discussing.
Operator, Operator
Thank you. One moment for the next question. And our next question will be coming from Craig Bijou of Bank of America Securities. Your line is open.
Craig Bijou, Analyst
Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for taking my questions. I'd like to begin with the OEM business. Specifically, I'm wondering if any of these logistical challenges could extend into 2025. That's the first part of my question. Secondly, how should we think about the growth rate of that business going forward? It has experienced strong growth over the last couple of years, though it seems to have slowed down a bit this year. I would appreciate any insights you have on that business and the possibility of disruptions affecting early 2025.
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Yes, that's a great question. To highlight, Q3 revenue exceeded the high end of our guidance. Even though we had some challenges and didn't see the revenue growth in OEM that we anticipated, we were still able to surpass our expectations. I want to make it clear that we are not worried about OEM. In Q1, they were down 5%, but they rebounded with a 5% increase in Q2 and an 8.5% increase in Q3. The demand is solid. The logistics issue in Q3 was mainly due to a customer who couldn’t arrange for pickup, compounded by delays from the Chinese New Year. It was essentially a one-off situation.
Joe Wright, President
It's Golden Week, just prepared for that.
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Yes, Golden Week. Thank you. We can move past that now. What we've been trying to address is the supply chain, which is beyond our control. As we've mentioned in several previous quarters, there are still some areas that haven't fully recovered from a supply chain perspective. This particular issue is limiting our ability to meet the demand from customers. The demand is present, and we are aware of it. We remain optimistic about OEM and are still anticipating a 7% growth in 2024 for OEM, which falls at the high end of our CGI guidance. We have solid visibility into the business and are confident in our expectations. We won’t provide projections for 2025, but it's important to clarify that the challenges we faced in Q1 and as we transitioned into Q2 are quite different from what we are seeing as we approach Q4. They are distinct issues. Overall, we are very confident in the business. Looking at the U.S. growth on a constant currency basis, our organic growth is nearing 7%, which is a strong figure for the U.S. The rest of our U.S. business accounts for about 86% to 87%. So we are discussing a relatively small part of our operation, but we're excited about the demand for OEM.
Craig Bijou, Analyst
Thank you, Raul. Perhaps for Fred or Joe, we're all looking forward to WRAPSODY. I won't pose a direct question about it, but you've mentioned the Cook deal and the product roadmap. Fred, in previous quarters, you've hinted at additional pipeline products beyond WRAPSODY. Could you provide insight into when we might learn more about these new products, what the pipeline looks like, or when you plan to share that information with us? Also, how should we view the pipeline apart from WRAPSODY in the next couple of years?
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Yes, these have been really good questions, which we appreciate. We're not revealing the details, but we are focused on the CGI as we've discussed on the call. New product development is a priority at Merit. We have certain technologies that we've developed over the last several years, and we will bring them forward when appropriate. We want to stay focused on what we have in front of us, but product development is ongoing.
Craig Bijou, Analyst
Great. Thanks, again.
Operator, Operator
Thank you. One moment for the next question. Our next question will be coming from Jim Sidoti of Sidoti & Company. Your line is open.
Jim Sidoti, Analyst
Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. Can you talk a little bit more about the integration of the Cook Medical products? Are you bringing on any of their sales folks? And will you move the manufacturing to your facilities?
Joe Wright, President
Yes. We are planning on taking on some sales professionals in the transaction. And yes, we will be transferring the manufacturing of that product to a Merit facility. In the meantime, however, we will have a TSA to bridge the time between close and transfer to a Merit site.
Jim Sidoti, Analyst
So once that transfer is complete, what will the impact be on gross margins?
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Well, we'll talk about that, Jim, when it's complete.
Raul Parra, CFO
Yes. I mean, again, I think if you look at our original guidance that we gave out when the acquisition came out, we said it was going to be accretive to non-GAAP gross margins, accretive to non-GAAP operating margins in the first full year post close.
Jim Sidoti, Analyst
The business has significantly improved in terms of cash flow compared to seven or eight years ago. What is the long-term plan for the cash? Do you expect to continue using it for acquisitions, or are there other options you are considering?
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Well, Jim, as you can see, we've made acquisitions because we have not only a line, that line comes from our ability to generate cash I think we've done a great job. You can see the numbers that we're talking about for this year. And as someone told me that lives in New York City, cash is king. And you might know that guy quite well.
Joe Wright, President
Yes. Thank you for the question. First of all, we're working really hard to make those improvements. I think it's obviously shown in the performance that we've generated. Obviously, we're off to a really good start under our CGI program, Jim, we're at $120 million of free cash flow for the year. We're going to do a minimum of $400 million under the CGI program. So we're off to a good start. We've got plenty of capacity. Our balance sheet is strong, and we've got plenty of firepower, but we're going to continue to remain disciplined. We've got our crosshairs on the CGI program. And that's our goal is to execute to the CGI program that we've promised. And everything that falls under that scope, I guess, we're making sure that any transaction that we do generally meets or exceeds those targets.
Jim Sidoti, Analyst
All right. And then with WRAPSODY, I know you don't want to answer a lot of questions, but when it does get approved, is this something that you think you can get in the market with relatively quickly? Or do you think there'll be a significant amount of training involved to launch the product?
Brian Lloyd, Chief Legal Officer
Yes, that's a great question. Training has begun this year, and we have been conducting ongoing sessions with our sales team, so we will be prepared. Regarding adoption initially, it’s important to note that, similar to most new medical devices, a VAC committee approval is typically required, which does take time. However, I don't believe this will be more challenging than any other product. Given the data we possess, we anticipate that the process will be manageable, certainly not easy, but easier than it would be without such strong data.
Jim Sidoti, Analyst
Thank you for taking the questions.
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Thanks, Jim.
Operator, Operator
Thank you. One moment for the next question. The next question will be coming from Michael Petusky of Barrington Research. Your line is open.
Michael Petusky, Analyst
Good evening. I've challenged myself to try to ask a WRAPSODY question you guys can't answer. So let's see how it works. I'm just curious, regarding your communication with the FDA, have there been any stoppages in your communication with them since the clock started at the end of June or the 1st of July?
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Yes. So as you know, Mike, we promised or we indicated that we would file by the end of the second quarter, which we did. There's 180 FDA days, and we have had no stoppages. So we'll leave it at that.
Michael Petusky, Analyst
All right. I'm going to try my luck with a second one. No. In terms of just website traffic or inquiries, have you guys noticed any pickup just in people clicking around and trying to learn about WRAPSODY since the day in Portugal?
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
I haven't. I haven't candidly looked at it. But guys, do you want to speak to that, Joe?
Joe Wright, President
Yeah. I mean, look, I think it continues to track well in multiple markets where it's available commercially. Obviously, there's a lot of positive feedback from clinicians, and there continues to be a lot of data release in the coming months, Mike. So I mean, I think that's all generating a buzz, generally speaking, as you saw just today alone, just with the questions we're getting. So that's probably the best way to answer it.
Michael Petusky, Analyst
Absolutely. All right, last one real quickly. In terms of M&A, you guys for a few years, there were pretty quiet. You've picked up a little bit, not doing anything huge, but doing some deals that seem meaningful, both strategically and even financially. Just curious, in terms of comfort with leverage, I mean, is there a number? And forgive me if you put this out either tonight or recently, but I'm just not sure I heard it. Is there sort of a leverage ratio you guys are comfortable with going up to?
Raul Parra, CFO
Yes, Mike, if you had asked me this question three years ago when interest rates were low, we would likely have suggested a higher number, probably around 4 times. Generally speaking, in the current interest rate environment, we're probably closer to 3, unless we can rapidly reduce our leverage. I believe the transactions we're considering are substantial. You can easily identify the theme as we look for areas to deepen our investments in sales forces, allowing them to maximize the potential of both our existing resources and the new products from our acquisitions. As of now, we're at 2.08 times leverage. We have a strong cash position and a solid balance sheet, providing us with considerable flexibility, but we will maintain our disciplined approach. Our primary focus is on the CGI program, and we aim to execute the commitments we've made regarding that initiative. We will ensure that any transactions we pursue generally meet or exceed our established targets.
Michael Petusky, Analyst
Thanks, guys. Appreciate the time.
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Thanks, Mike.
Operator, Operator
Thank you. One moment for the next questions. And our next question will be coming from Steve Lichtman of Oppenheimer. Your line is open.
Steve Lichtman, Analyst
Thank you. Good evening, guys, and congrats on the progress. I guess, first on Cook, where do you see the biggest sales synergy opportunities with your legacy CRM franchise, whether is it cross-sell in the US, store opening in other countries? Any thoughts on that would be helpful.
Joe Wright, President
Yes. One of the nice things about these assets are they truly are global unlike a lot of the acquisition candidates we evaluate. They have about as much revenue in the US as they do in Europe. I guess I should have said that the other way around. But also, some exciting opportunities in APAC, we think. So globally, it really helps our global franchises. As far as products we have. We have the Worley. We have the SNAP Splittable Sheath. We have the Ventrax, which will be coming out soon. We have transseptal crossing catheters, both steerable and fixed curve. We have the Vitale Balloon. So we have a number of products that really haven't had the attention they deserve. And we're confident in the products we already have that if we put the focus behind them, we will get more adoption. And with more dedicated feet on the street, we're confident that will happen.
Steve Lichtman, Analyst
Great. Thanks. And then just a follow-up on China, good to see growth continuing to hold up for you guys there. Can you talk about the environment overall there? How much VBP are you absorbing and your confidence on procedure volume growth? Thoughts there would be great as well.
Joe Wright, President
Yes, I believe that volume-based purchasing has come in as anticipated. The positive aspect is that we have observed strong demand and an increase in units, which is reflected in our better-than-expected results in China. Overall, our business remains strong, even stronger than we had anticipated. While volume-based purchasing can be quite volatile from quarter to quarter, we are generally outperforming it with unit growth. Therefore, we are excited about the performance of our Chinese team and the APAC region as a whole.
Steve Lichtman, Analyst
Great. Thank you, guys.
Operator, Operator
Thank you. And this does conclude the Q&A session for today. I would now like to turn the call back over to Fred for closing remarks. Please go ahead.
Fred Lampropoulos, CEO
Well listen, it's been a long call. We appreciate all the questions. Raul and I and Joe will be around for the next couple of hours. Best wishes. It's cold out in Salt Lake City, warms up with your questions. Thanks again for taking the time. We appreciate it and good evening from Salt Lake City. Goodnight.
Operator, Operator
Thank you for participating in today's conference call. You may all disconnect.