Earnings Call Transcript - PRA Q1 2022

Operator, Operator

Welcome to the ProAssurance First Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Ruby, and I will be your moderator for today’s call. I will now hand over to our host Jason Gingerich, VP of Investor Relations, to begin.

Jason Gingerich, VP of Investor Relations

Thank you, Ruby. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to ProAssurance’s conference call to discuss the company’s first quarter 2022 results. These results were reported in a news release issued on May 9, 2022, and in the company’s quarter report on Form 10-Q, which was also filed on May 9, 2022. Included in those documents were cautionary statements about the significant risks, uncertainties, and other factors that are out of the company’s control and could affect ProAssurance’s businesses and alter expected results. Please review those statements. Management expects to make statements on this call dealing with projections, estimates, and expectations and explicitly identify these as forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities law and subject to applicable safe harbor protections. The content of this call is accurate only on May 10, 2022, and except as required by law or regulation, ProAssurance will not undertake and expressly disclaim any obligation to update or alter information disclosed as part of these forward-looking statements. The management team of ProAssurance also expects to reference non-GAAP items during today’s call. The company’s recent news release provides a reconciliation of these non-GAAP numbers and their GAAP counterparts. I would like to remind you that the call is being recorded, and there will be a time for questions after the conclusion of prepared remarks. This morning we will discuss selected aspects of our quarterly results on today’s call and remind investors that they should review our filing on Form 10-Q and the accompanying press release for full and complete information. On our call today, we have Ned Rand, President and CEO; Dana Hendricks, Chief Financial Officer; Michael Boguski, President of our Specialty, Property and Casualty Lines; and Kevin Shook, President of our Worker’s Compensation Insurance operations. Ned, will you start us off, please?

Ned Rand, President and CEO

Thank you, Jason. Last Thursday marked the 1-year anniversary of the closing of the largest acquisition in our history as we brought into the ProAssurance family the team members and policyholders of NORCAL Group. While the closing of that transaction was the culmination of much hard work and due diligence, it also marked the beginning of the hard work of the integration process, which we’ve spent over a year planning for. As I look back at the year that has passed, I am proud of how much the teams of ProAssurance and NORCAL have accomplished to integrate the operations of these two great companies while continuing to deal with the pandemic’s impact on both our operations and the business of our insureds. I’m also pleased with the financial and operational benefits that the NORCAL transaction has brought to ProAssurance, including a broader nationwide footprint, a wealth of talent and experience from the team members that joined our organization, greater scale and efficiency, and a history and reputation recognized by many physicians around the country. The additional assets in the portfolio also increase our investment leverage, providing an opportunity to benefit from more attractive core fixed income yields and increased investment income. The improvements we are making in our health care professional liability business are being seen in both the legacy ProAssurance business and the acquired NORCAL book. Dana and Mike will take you through those results in detail and provide insights into what actions are leading to the improved results. The worker’s compensation insurance operations continue to provide diversification for the overall organization as we navigate a competitive marketplace. Kevin will discuss the signs we are seeing in that business and the actions we are taking to respond appropriately to market conditions. We’re also pleased to report just last month AM Best affirmed an excellent financial strength rating of the members of the ProAssurance Group and upgraded the long-term issuer credit rating outlook to stable. We believe this is indicative of the strong capitalization and financial flexibility of our family of companies following the acquisition of NORCAL. Finally, I’ll note that we successfully implemented our return to office plan in March. As this establishes a more regular cadence to our office environment, we are eager to keep our full attention on what we do best, protecting others. Now I’ll ask Dana to share results for the quarter. Dana?

Dana Hendricks, Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Ned. And good morning, everyone. For the first quarter, we reported a net loss of $3.6 million or $0.07 per share and operating income of $7.7 million or $0.14 per share. The main difference between the net loss and operating income in the quarter was the impact of the current investment environment, which I’ll discuss further after touching on our core operating results. Our operating income in the quarter reflected improvement in underwriting results, the benefit of expense synergies from the NORCAL acquisition, and growth in net investment income. From a production standpoint, gross premiums written increased almost 50% due to the addition of the NORCAL premium base. Excluding NORCAL, our top line declined, reflecting our dedication to disciplined underwriting and our specialty P&C segment and the impact of our lower participation in Lloyd’s Syndicate 1729 beginning with the 2021 underwriting year. From an underwriting results perspective, our consolidated combined ratio excluding transaction-related costs improved just over 4 points from the prior year quarter driven by an almost 5 point improvement in the combined ratio in our specialty P&C segment. However, all of our operating segments excluding worker’s compensation insurance contributed to that result. Before discussing the components of the combined ratio, I’ll briefly touch on the change in our estimate of unallocated loss adjustment expenses (ULAE) in our specialty P&C segment in the quarter. We decreased our estimate of ULAE to incorporate changes to the segment’s expense model after substantially integrating NORCAL into our operations. That change resulted in a decrease in our consolidated net loss ratio of 2.7 points with an equal and offsetting increase to our consolidated expense ratio. Note, the change had no impact on our total expenses, combined ratio, or operating results. Excluding the change in ULAE, our consolidated current accident year net loss ratio was about 1 point higher as the impact of lower loss ratios in our standard physician book were muted by the addition of the NORCAL book, which carries a higher average loss ratio. The consolidated current accident year net loss ratio also reflected a higher ratio in our worker’s compensation insurance segment driven by the continuation of intense market place competition and resulting renewal rate decreases, partially offset by the impact of favorable claims trends on our current year loss estimate. As it relates to prior accident years, we’ve recognized just over $5 million of favorable development in the quarter, the majority of which came from our specialty P&C and worker’s compensation insurance segment. Excluding the change in ULAE, our consolidated expense ratio improved almost 6 points, reflecting both improved leverage on our operating expense base and synergies realized from the NORCAL acquisition as well as the benefit from prior organizational restructuring. From an investment results perspective, net investment income grew with the addition of NORCAL’s investment portfolio. Our equity and earnings from our LT and LLC portfolio produced $10 million in the quarter, a very strong result. However, we anticipate the impact of current market volatility to be reflected in next quarter’s results as our LP and LLC investments are reported on a one-quarter lag. As I previously mentioned, the investment environment was a challenge this quarter as interest rate increases weighed on bond prices. These interest rate increases led to net investment losses of $14 million recognized through earnings, leading to the net loss in the quarter. Net investment losses were primarily related to changes in the fair value of our bond funds, which are classified as equity. The current interest rate environment also led to $141 million of after-tax unrealized holding losses on our fixed income portfolio. These unrealized losses go through our other comprehensive loss directly to equity, accounting for most of the decline in input value. I would like to stress that we have a history of strong operating cash flows and an investment approach that holds most securities until maturity. We’re happy to trade temporary fixed income price declines for the opportunity to reinvest at a higher yield. In fact, current bond reinvestment rates are approximately 100 to 150 basis points higher than the reported average yields for the quarter. Overall, we’re pleased with our quarterly operating results as we continue to show improvement in underwriting results and see the benefit of the operational leverage of the NORCAL transaction. With that, I’ll turn it back over to Jason.

Jason Gingerich, VP of Investor Relations

Thanks, Dana. Now we’re going to pivot to Michael Boguski for commentary on the specialty property and casualty segments. Mike?

Michael Boguski, President of Specialty, Property and Casualty Lines

Thank you, Jason. The positive operating momentum in the segment continued in the first quarter of 2022. The 5 point improvement year-over-year in the combined ratio reflected the benefits of prior re-underwriting and reorganization efforts as well as the early success of the NORCAL integration. This included $129 million of gross written premium from NORCAL in the quarter, a significant contribution to the top line growth in the segment. Importantly, this reflected strong premium retention of 90% and average price increases of 11% in the NORCAL standard physician book. Overall, gross premiums written in the quarter were $258 million, a year-over-year increase of 86%. Premium retention of 83% and pricing increases of 9% were both year-over-year improvements in our underwriting performance. Specialty health care retention was 61% in the quarter due to the loss of 3 large accounts representing $12 million of premium writings. We remain focused on bottom line results in the large account space. $8 million of new business was written across the segment, a decrease of $4 million compared to the comparable quarter as we continue to be disciplined in a competitive marketplace. Excluding the ULAE changes outlined previously by Dana, we experienced a 3-point reduction in the legacy ProAssurance current accident year loss ratio as a result of the execution of our underwriting strategies. This was offset by a higher average loss ratio on the NORCAL book of business, resulting in a relatively flat year-over-year loss ratio. We continue to be pleased with our underwriting efforts on the NORCAL book as we focus on bringing the loss ratios in line with the legacy ProAssurance book. We were encouraged by lower than historical frequency reductions in our health care professional liability business, which we attribute to disruption in the court systems and the benefit of continued underwriting efforts. Due to the uncertainty of COVID-19 disruptions and the long-tail nature of our lines of business, we remain cautious in recognizing these favorable frequency trends in our current accident year loss ratio. Exclusive of the ULAE changes, the segment expense ratio declined by 5 percentage points year-over-year. This included $1.6 million of nonrecurring expenses incurred during the current period related to the transaction and restructuring efforts. The largest drivers of improvement are the prior organizational restructuring, proactive expense management strategies, and of course, the expense synergies recognized from the NORCAL acquisition. We established an initial plan to achieve $18 million in expense synergies from the transaction, and through our efforts to date, we have achieved $22.5 million in annual savings. We continue to be pleased with the NORCAL integration and ongoing improvements in our operating performance. We would describe the NORCAL integration as exceeding our expectation and is ahead of schedule from numerous perspectives, including re-underwriting efforts, operations, top line growth, and expense synergies. Overall, the combination of the companies has improved our future competitive position. Jason?

Jason Gingerich, VP of Investor Relations

Thanks, Mike. Kevin, will you bring us up to date on the workers’ compensation insurance and the segregated portfolio cell reinsurance segments?

Kevin Shook, President of Worker's Compensation Insurance

I will, Jason. Thank you. The workers’ compensation insurance segment produced income of $1 million and a combined ratio of 99% for the quarter ended March 31, 2022. The combined ratio, excluding intangible asset amortization and the corporate management fee, was 96%, an indicator of the results of our ongoing business performance. During the first quarter, the segment booked $72 million of gross premiums written, essentially flat compared to the first quarter of 2021. We continue to exercise prudence in underwriting, focusing on adequate rates for exposure, particularly in this highly competitive pricing environment in workers’ compensation. Renewal price decreases in our traditional book of business were 4% in 2022 compared to 2% in 2021, and premium renewal retention was 85% for the first quarter of 2022 versus 89% in 2021. New business writings for 2022 were $4 million compared to $6 million in 2021. Audit premium in our traditional book of business increased about $1 million quarter-over-quarter, indicative of the payroll rebound after the lifting of pandemic restrictions in our underwriting territories. We made no adjustment to our earned but unbilled audit premium, otherwise known as EBUB, in the first quarter. We will continue to monitor process audit activity and the impact of higher wages on the EBUB asset in future quarters but remain conservative in our view of increasing this asset currently. The calendar year loss ratio increased slightly to 67% in 2022, reflecting a higher current accident year loss ratio. While the current accident year loss ratio increased 1 point to 72% compared to the first quarter a year ago, the ratio improved compared to our full-year 2021 ratio of 74%. Favorable development was $2 million in both 2021 and 2022. Early in and throughout 2021, we discussed the increase in loss activity we experienced and recognized related to the return to employment and the labor shortage. The short-tail nature of our business model enabled us to recognize these trends in real time. The decrease in the first quarter of 2022 accident year loss ratio compared to the 2021 full year reflects the impact of favorable claim trends, partially offset by renewal rate decreases driven by the competitive marketplace. The claims operation closed 19% of 2021 and prior claims during the first quarter of 2022, indicative of the short-tailed nature of our Workers’ Compensation business model. Turning to expenses, the underwriting expense ratio increased in the first quarter from 31% in 2021 to 32% in 2022, largely due to higher general expenses from team member compensation, business-related travel, and the early termination of a real estate lease. Wrapping up with the Segregated Portfolio Cell Reinsurance segment, we reported a segment loss of $153,000 for the quarter, which included underwriting income of $476,000 that was more than offset by investment losses. We renewed all of the alternative market programs that were available for renewal during the quarter. Jason?

Jason Gingerich, VP of Investor Relations

Thank you, Kevin. Now I’ll turn back to Ned for a review of the results from Lloyds. Ned?

Ned Rand, President and CEO

Thanks, Jason. The Lloyd’s segment reported a profit in the first quarter and a significantly improved combined ratio compared to the first quarter of 2021. For the 2022 underwriting year, we are continuing participation at 5% in Syndicate 1729. Also for the 2022 underwriting year, Syndicate 6131 ceased underwriting on a quota share basis with Syndicate 1729, and its applicable business will be retained within Syndicate 1729. That wraps up our review of the consolidated and by segment results for the quarter. Before turning the call back over, I would like to offer my heartfelt gratitude to our longtime CEO and Executive Chairman, Stan Starnes, who will be retiring as Executive Chairman of the ProAssurance Board of Directors on May 24. Stan, thank you for your support of me personally and for all that you have done over the past 15 years for our team members, insureds, and partners. You have left a lasting influence on ProAssurance, and we wish you the very best in all that you continue to do for the community around you. Now our team would be happy to answer any questions you have about our results or other aspects of our business.

Jason Gingerich, VP of Investor Relations

Thank you, Ned. Ruby. That concludes our prepared remarks. We are ready for questions.

Operator, Operator

Our first question is from Greg Peters of Raymond James.

Greg Peters, Analyst

So for my first question, I’m going to focus on just the top line in Specialty PC. And I know you provided us color on what was going on there. And I guess what I’m looking for is more information on the results, excluding the benefit from NORCAL; it looks like there was a slight decline in premium. Also, if you could give us some more color around the 61% retention in specialty health care, that would be helpful.

Michael Boguski, President of Specialty, Property and Casualty Lines

Greg, it’s Mike. Just to comment on the premium writings exclusive of NORCAL, that really was driven by specialty. We had 3 large accounts in the quarter, representing $12 million of premium that we lost, which drove the 61% premium retention rate and the decline in premium exclusive of NORCAL. That is really, very much a design strategy to be disciplined in the large account space. A number of large accounts over the last 2 quarters, roughly about $30 million have not met our profit expectations, and we’ve been really disciplined on that side of it and made those decisions.

Greg Peters, Analyst

Well, that makes sense. And I guess, going forward, do you think the book is settling out at this point? Or do you anticipate some further disruptions based on your underwriting actions?

Michael Boguski, President of Specialty, Property and Casualty Lines

The really great news on that front, Greg, is once we get to the third quarter of 2022, we will have been through re-underwriting efforts at ProAssurance legacy, and we will have been through all of the NORCAL re-underwriting efforts. The large account activity, just going back to that for a minute, has taken a lot of premium and loss volatility out of our organization. And what I’ll outline there is we now, Greg, as you look at that large account space, our largest account is $5 million or lower. So we no longer have accounts on the books in that kind of $7 million to $10 million range. So that should be helpful from a retention perspective and a loss volatility perspective as we go forward.

Greg Peters, Analyst

Got it. Makes sense. Okay. And then my second question is pivoting to investment income. I understand there are some issues with investment gains and losses and equity earnings and unconsolidated, but your investment income still was up 36%. And Dana, I was wondering if you could just provide us a little bit more color behind the moving pieces because with the bump up in rates, I’m sure at some point that’s going to be a benefit to your fixed income portfolio.

Dana Hendricks, Chief Financial Officer

Sure. Sure. Happy to do that. So as I think about it, the average yield for our fixed income maturity portfolio in the quarter was about 2.3 points, slightly lower than the first quarter of the prior year. That said, with the rise in the interest rates, our current reinvestment rate is about 100 to 150 basis points higher than that average yield. So while our fixed income portfolio is primarily composed of high-quality fixed income securities with more than 90% being investment grade, our weighted average effective duration is around 3.8 years. So we’d expect the portfolio to completely re-price between years 3 and 4. So looking forward to that aspect of the rising interest rate environment.

Greg Peters, Analyst

I guess I’d be remiss if I just didn’t ask a reserving question. The courts were seemingly closed or maybe there was a growing backlog of claims because of COVID. Just curious where you are in that process. That’s my last question.

Ned Rand, President and CEO

Yes. It’s a good question, Greg. And I think it’s really kind of state specific as to where the court systems are. While court systems have opened up largely, you’re right in stating that there are pretty big backlogs that the court systems are having to work their way through. So we’re not up to, I would say, the kind of the activity that we would historically have seen. It certainly is picking up. I think from a reserving standpoint, it’s the uncertainties around what all that means that causes us to be very cautious. Mike mentioned in his remarks that we saw yet again, a decline in claim frequency, but we’re reluctant to really respond to that because we don’t know what’s over the horizon. One thing we know as regards COVID and potential claims that might arise from COVID is that we’re beginning to approach the time where the statute of limitations will begin to run. And what we’re uncertain about is whether we’ll see a flood of claims for the industry as that statute approaches. I certainly don’t anticipate that, but we also don’t want to be overly enthusiastic in buying into the claim frequency reductions, both in our reserving end and how we price going forward.

Mark Hughes, Analyst

Ned or Mike, when considering the decline in frequency once again along with the increase in physician pricing, which is impressive at 10%, how do you decide if pricing adjustments are necessary if claims are continuing to drop?

Michael Boguski, President of Specialty, Property and Casualty Lines

Mark, it’s Mike. Just a little color on the frequency trends. Those trends remain at similar levels in 2021 in our health care professional liability outlook, which was significantly lower than pre-pandemic levels. So that’s kind of the good news. I think it really relates back to what Ned just outlined. We need to make sure that our pricing is adequate if the potential, the pipe from the court systems come back later in the year or in future years. So we want to make sure that we’re pricing for that exposure. There’s just uncertainty. I do think that we’re very encouraged by the pricing level increases, particularly with the NORCAL book to start the year. Part of the reason we were able to book $129 million, which was half of our segment’s premium in the quarter. They had a great retention on that, at 90% in the standard physician business, plus 11% increase. So we’re pleased with that result.

Mark Hughes, Analyst

The $129 million from NORCAL, what was their written premium in this quarter last year?

Ned Rand, President and CEO

I don’t know if we’ve got that right in front of us. We had about a 90% retention of the business that renewed in the first quarter for NORCAL.

Mark Hughes, Analyst

Is there currently a target for the combined ratio as we pursue rate increases? There are many factors to consider, and I recognize your caution regarding booked losses. Looking ahead one to two years under normal circumstances, what should we expect the combined ratio to be in the health care sector?

Ned Rand, President and CEO

Mark, we continue to target 700 basis points over a 10-year treasury for the kind of overall return for the organization. And when we look at the individual lines of business, it varies by line, but we need to write in that high mid-90%s combined ratio in order to achieve those objectives.

Mark Hughes, Analyst

And that’s for the organization as a whole?

Ned Rand, President and CEO

It varies by one or two percentage points depending on the duration of the liabilities and the level of leverage needed for each specific business segment. Since the duration of our liabilities and the volatility in our workers' compensation sector is lower than that in health care, we believe we can operate with a slightly higher leverage in workers' compensation compared to health care and Specialty P&C. However, this results in a one or two-point variation in the loss ratio. Overall, for all these businesses, we need to maintain a combined ratio in the high mid-90%s, around 96%, 97%, or 98%, to meet our targets.

Mark Hughes, Analyst

Then one quick final question. Dana, the $10 million equity and earnings, you point out that that’s reported on the lag and presumably, this equity market weakness in the Q1 will impact that. How correlated is that with the broader equity markets? Are there other sensitivities that drive that result? If you could just refresh me on that.

Dana Hendricks, Chief Financial Officer

Sure. It’s sort of directionally related. It’s the LPs and LLCs are going to track directionally. They’re not going to be a literal tie to what’s going on in the broader equity market. More generally, if we saw $10 million in income from those LPs and LLCs in the first quarter based on market movement of the fourth quarter, we’re going to look to see something significantly less than that in the second quarter.

Matt Carletti, Analyst

Dana, just a quick one. Just on the commentary around the ULAE and the lower current accident year loss ratio or I guess the up on the loss ratio down in the expense ratio. Is that a one-time? Or is there any kind of ongoing persistency to that kind of trading off movement?

Dana Hendricks, Chief Financial Officer

Yes. So Matt, it's the opposite of what you mentioned. It led to a lower current accident year loss ratio and a higher expense ratio. This is direct and it will continue. It is not a one-time occurrence; it will be ongoing.

Matt Carletti, Analyst

Okay. Just kind of reset the bar going forward?

Dana Hendricks, Chief Financial Officer

That’s correct. You got it.

Matt Carletti, Analyst

And then I don’t know if Ned or Mike, just a commentary around the 3-point kind of improvement in the legacy ProAssurance portfolio and kind of the offsetting NORCAL. Can you just dig in a little deeper on why it is that NORCAL runs a little higher? Is it anything to do with just geography and markets they’re in? Or is it just a difference in kind of ProAssurance’s corporate targets versus where the NORCAL targets have been historically?

Michael Boguski, President of Specialty, Property and Casualty Lines

Yes. Just a couple of comments on that. Yes. It’s really, I think, about starting point. We started at a higher average loss ratio at NORCAL. And just keep in mind, the two years prior to having NORCAL on board, we had done some really good work on our re-underwriting efforts with our legacy business and really brought those loss ratios in line, and they continue to improve on an accident year basis. The really good news is NORCAL did a nice job; the underwriters did a nice job of getting off to a good start in 2020, which helped us on that book of business as we moved into ‘21 and ‘22. We accelerated the re-underwriting efforts, double-digit price increases. A lot of work, good point on state strategy. We’ve really worked to increase our writings in core states and maybe deemphasize them in noncore states, which also improves profitability as we go forward. It’s just a process of working through that over the next 18 to 24 months, earning out the premium from those rate increases and just bringing it in line.

Ned Rand, President and CEO

Yes. I would like to add two points to that. I agree with everything Mike just said. We still have unearned premium from the time of the acquisition in this quarter. This is business we did not underwrite as part of ProAssurance earnings. That’s one aspect of it. The other aspect relates to our familiarity with the NORCAL book of business. We are still learning about it and are pleased with what we discover, but that lack of familiarity makes us cautious when setting initial reserves.

Gary Ransom, Analyst

I had a follow-up on the ULAE question too. If it persists, it sounds like there was just an allocation issue that somehow NORCAL was allocating ULAE and expense differently from you. Am I reading that correctly? Or was there something else?

Ned Rand, President and CEO

No, Gary, I guess essentially, so ULAE is an allocation of general operating expenses to losses to reflect the fact that there are various aspects of your operations, your claims professionals, your accounting folks, and kind of different aspects of the organization that spend time on the claims process and the adjudication of claims. And so we allocate a portion of our expenses to losses. Bringing NORCAL in, all the reorganizational efforts that we’ve done over the last couple of years kind of led to a reevaluation of what percent of those expenses should we be allocating to losses. And we reduced that allocation in the quarter. So you get a smaller allocation of those general operating expenses into losses and consequentially more expenses that are kind of retained within that general operating expense number. So it’s just an allocation and a change in that allocation reflective of some of the changes we’ve made in the organization.

Gary Ransom, Analyst

And so would that mean that this quarter, it was a little bigger because there was a ULAE reserve that was also getting reallocated?

Ned Rand, President and CEO

Yes. This does not impact the ULAE reserve. We do have a ULAE reserve, which aims to estimate the operating expenses associated with settling the claims. This is solely related to ULAE or operating expenses for the current quarter.

Gary Ransom, Analyst

Okay. I think I understood that now. Just on another procedural issue. Can you remind us how you review the reserves over the course of the year? Do you completely review them every quarter? Or is there some schedule that you follow?

Ned Rand, President and CEO

Yes. It’s a good question. So we do review them every quarter. But recognizing, especially for the long-tail nature of the businesses we write, that not a lot happens in any given quarter, we do deeper dives on the actuarial analysis in the second quarter and fourth quarter. But there is a comprehensive review that’s done every quarter. We just go a little deeper on those two other quarters.

Gary Ransom, Analyst

I was asking because in the recent quarters, there seemed to be a bit of an up-and-down pattern to the quarterly reserve releases where there might be a complete reserve.

Ned Rand, President and CEO

Yes, Gary, that’s a valid point, and it highlights the importance of a more thorough analysis. By the time we reach the second quarter, we will have six months of additional data rather than just three months. We are cautious about making significant decisions based on only 90 days of data, which is quite different from short-term trends.

Gary Ransom, Analyst

Right. Absolutely. I have another question about the metrics. When you mentioned the decline in frequency and your efforts to address that, do you have any insights into what doctors are observing regarding patient flow? It's likely that non-COVID patient visits decreased during 2020 and may be picking up now. Are you able to track those metrics? If so, does this provide any guidance on how to proceed cautiously or what to monitor?

Ned Rand, President and CEO

So you’re absolutely right, especially during the summer of ‘20, you saw the provision of services outside of kind of emergency room and COVID-related things reduced dramatically. And so one expectation would be that at some point that reduction in the provision of services by the physician community would result in a reduction in claim frequency. Historically, I’d say there’s anywhere from a 6 to 24 month lag in that kind of reporting time horizon. In writing a claims-made book of business, when that report comes through, that kind of matters to us. So we don’t know as we sit here today if that is part of the reason for the decline in frequency; it certainly could be. I think by and large, again, with exceptions as there are kind of increases through the Omicron variant that came through, when you get to those peaks, I think the provision of more elective procedures and things slows down again, but nothing like we saw in 2020. By and large, physicians’ offices are back to full capacity; full capacity may be different today than it was pre-pandemic. It might be, in a lot of instances, lower, the more provision of services through telehealth as an example. So maybe not as many people coming into the doctor’s offices can kind of the flow of business be a bit different. But we’re closer today to kind of pre-COVID rates, if not all the way back.

Gary Ransom, Analyst

Right. Okay. Okay. That’s helpful. And maybe one last question on workers’ comp rates. I noticed they were down more in this quarter versus where they have been most of last year. Is there anything to read into that?

Ned Rand, President and CEO

There isn’t anything significant to read into that. It’s simply a very competitive marketplace. We are focused on retaining our good risks, which have contributed to our profitability for a long time. If we need to adjust rates slightly, we are fine with that, but there’s not much more to interpret from the situation.

Gary Ransom, Analyst

And as far as you can see, the workers’ comp loss trends still are relatively favorable?

Ned Rand, President and CEO

Yes, they certainly are at least for the first quarter of 2022. Last year, we discussed the labor shortage and the effects of the pandemic on employment. For the first three months of this year, we’re seeing that trend decline. So it does remain relatively favorable, yes.

Operator, Operator

We have no further questions. So I will hand back to our host, Jason.

Jason Gingerich, VP of Investor Relations

Thanks, Ruby, and thanks to everyone that joined us today. We look forward to speaking with you again in 2022. Have a good day.

Operator, Operator

This concludes today’s call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your line.