Investor Event Transcript
Roivant Sciences Ltd. (ROIV)
Conference Transcript - ROIV 2026-05-29
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
Welcome and good morning. Thank you all for joining us. My name is Will Pickering. I cover U.S. biotech at Bernstein. I have the privilege of sharing the stage with Matt Klein, CEO of Roivant. The company has had a remarkable run over the past year, certainly with Brepo as the standout but far from the only value driver. We'll dig into that and the other assets over the next 50 minutes, but I would also like to spend some time on bigger picture questions, the Roy Vant business model, and Matt, your view as an asset hunter about the overall health of the biotech ecosystem today. For those in the audience, please submit your questions through the Pigeonhole app so that we can make this as relevant for you as possible. So with that as the preamble, Matt, how would you describe the evolution of Roy Vant over the past few years
Matthew Gline, CEO
into the company that it is today? Yeah, thanks. And thanks for having me. It's nice to be here. I appreciate the invitation. Thanks for all the work you guys have done on us. It's been a fun a fun early run here so yeah look uh it's always funny when i'm at a more generous advantage like asked to talk about roivin because i feel like there's so much complexity in our history in that we got our start as sort of a whatever these words are all overused sort of a maverick outsider biotech company doing things our own way walking our own path we're built in kind of a funny way that i'm sure we'll talk a little bit about with this vant model you know and i think we do bring a pretty different philosophical lens to the industry in that we are a mixture of experienced industry insider drug developers, but also a lot of outsiders like myself. I was a physicist. I was an investment banker. A lot of my leadership team had been public markets biotech investors before joining Roivant, or private markets biotech investors before joining Roivant. And so you take all of that history, and you hold it, and it sort of creates opinions, attitudes, a feeling of not fitting in, as it were. And then the moment that we're at in the business actually is, in some ways, it's the most normal moment in biotech. It's the moment where finally we've invested for years, we've wandered through the desert, we've reached the other side. We have a portfolio of programs that I think can convert us into, for lack of a better phrase, a real business. We're at this precipice of launching one and then multiple drugs and one and then multiple indications that I think stand us a real chance of building one of the next large cap biopharma companies. And that's just a tremendously exciting moment to be in.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
That's great. And, you know, BD has been a huge part of your approach historically. But the current pipeline is very full. So, you know, I think 10 indications across Prepo, Moseley, Immunivan, if I'm counting roughly right. I trust that you have. How much of a focus is further BD for the company today?
Matthew Gline, CEO
So I'll say for those who don't know the company, look, I think if you're thinking about biotech from the outside, I think people take a relatively reductionist view on what sort of quote unquote science is. And I think there's like mental image of science as like a thing that happens in the lab at the bench with a white lab coat on. And in fact, there's like many different kinds of science that happen within biotech. and bluntly I make that maybe defensive sounding case because we've never been that good at the white lab coat version of the activity but we have been I think increasingly and I'm super proud of this very good at the kind of science that takes place in the clinic in doctor's offices around the world in clinical trial design and indication selection and understanding patients and diseases and figuring out the right way to develop a drug ideally in a disease where the patients have high unmet need and where not a lot of novel science has been done. And if you're good at that latter kind of science but don't fancy yourself that good at the former kind of science, you're sort of stuck, right? Because it turns out every drug must be discovered in some kind of lab before it is studied in the clinic. And so we have, as Will has alluded to, built basically our entire pipeline via collaboration, via BD, via acquiring programs. And in fact, another thing that I'm proud of that I think we're pretty good at, in addition to sort of asset hunting, spotting things in the world that are attractive, is most of our partnerships have come from big pharma companies. And I think we have built a pretty good understanding of and some very good relationships with some of the largest pharma companies in the world. And they all have a problem, which is that they do all kinds of science. And sometimes the first kind of science that happens in a lab and the second kind of science that happens in the clinic and the third kind of science that happens when you're trying to build a commercial business don't all align in a nice train that makes you want to start on the same projects that you want to end on. And so big pharma companies often have really great things that fall by the wayside, not because they're not great, but because they don't fit with the intercedent strategic commitments the companies have made. And I think what we've built a lot of our portfolio around is bringing in those programs. It is profoundly a part of our DNA to be on the hunt. And frankly, biopharma is a treading water industry. It's like whatever. I'm not sure it's actually scientifically accurate, but they say that if sharks stop swimming, they die. If pharma companies stop replenishing their pipeline they die because our drugs are all wasting assets from the minute from the minute you invent a drug it has you know a fixed life before the patent runs out and so we are always on the hunt and I think that skill serves us well in developing the drugs we have now but absolutely we continue to look for programs and we'll continue to bring more in that's it I completely agree with the comment that you made our pipeline is rich and exciting and there's plenty to do just within the context of the late stage clinical programs that we're
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
bringing to market. And as you look at the biotech landscape today, both from an innovation perspective, but also looking at valuation, how attractive is that for an asset hunter?
Matthew Gline, CEO
I mean, very. Look, I think the last really 25 years in biotech have been pretty remarkable in that we went from an industry in the early 2000s where 99.5% of drugs were small molecule pills of the same general sort that had been around a long time, and the big story from the previous 25 years had been the invention of modern synthetic medicinal chemistry that lets us do some version of designing those drugs intentionally, to now we have mRNA vaccines and monoclonal antibodies are used left, right, and center, and people are injecting themselves with unapproved peptides manufactured by small Chinese CDMOs. The world is crazy in terms of the kinds of things that people are working on, and while our understanding of human biology remains what I'll call nascent across the industry, it's gotten better. And I think that has made for an explosion of ideas. And look, I think anyone living in the world knows that we are still far behind in terms of our fight versus disease, illness, and aging. And so with the explosion of ideas and a lot of territory left to cover, it's a good time to be an asset hunter. There's a lot out there that could be valuable. And then there's all kinds of more localized shifts, right? There's geopolitical things going on. There's the incredible pace and quality of antibody discovery, especially in China. There's the pace with which you can run early clinical trials in places like Australia and New Zealand and China. And there's a series of global and U.S. political factors buffeting big pharma that creates a need for shift in their portfolios. And I think all of that also benefits us.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
Well, why don't we dig into parts of the pipeline? We'll start with Brepo. You're approaching your first commercial launch in dermatomyositis. Could you start by framing the opportunity and then talk through the key priorities for your commercial team to drive that launch?
Matthew Gline, CEO
I get ever so slightly defensive, although maybe it's not serving me well when people call it our first commercial launch, because, in fact, we have had now six or seven FDA approvals come effectively through our business. Many of them have been commercialized externally, a number of them through Sumitomo, a company we partnered with a few years ago on a first generation of our pipeline. And then we did, in fact, launch a drug called Vitamma in psoriasis. I'm not sure it benefits me to bring it up in a setting like this because it didn't go spectacularly well, but it went fine. And then we sold it to Organon a couple years after we launched it because it just didn't fit with the quality of the pipeline that we had in-house. But we learned an enormous amount about what it takes to launch a drug and what we think will make us successful, including an enormous amount that makes us more and more excited about launching brepacitinib. So, you know, I think that's kind of where we're at now.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
What would you say are, like, the top priorities for your commercial team to really do that launch?
Matthew Gline, CEO
One of the cool things about the current moment is if Roivant were at this stage, if we were about to launch a drug like brepacitinib and it were 2019, I think there'd be a lot of healthy skepticism. It would be a sort of short launch story. But you look out over the past five or six years, and probably first Horizon with Tepeza, but Horizon, Argenix, obviously, Insmed now, Madrigal, Verona, Bridge Bio. There have been a number of very successful commercial launches from and out of biotech. And in fact, I suspect that at least some of those drugs have been launched better in the hands of companies like Argenix than they might have been in the hands of big pharma companies, that Argenix's creativity in crafting a modern commercial strategy has been really transformative. And so the first thing that we're trying to do is, look, I hope eventually people describe us in the same terms that they describe companies like Argenix as a commercial innovator. But before that, I hope they simply say they learned the lessons that Argenix taught us. And so we are trying to do everything that Argenix and Horizon and others have done. And that includes, look, the world has had some structural shifts on access, for example, where rebating at least an orphan disease is less a part of the landscape and where patient support has been an enormously important part of access. And so, for example, we hired this woman, Lee Liberator, who built Tepeza's patient support organization, and she is building our patient support organization. I think one of the things about launching an orphan disease that's become increasingly true is these patients, and this is true in DM, are treated at a more and more concentrated set of referral centers, And A, we've built excellent relationships with those referral centers. They were the people who ran our clinical trial in many cases, and they are where we are spending a lot of our commercial time and medical education time now. And then B, I think you build a field force, therefore, that is the right people not necessarily to call on a community dermatologist, but to call on an expert in the field who spent their entire career treating dermatomyositis patients. And that means we have recruited some of the... One of our field force personnel, one of our sales reps, is a career-long myositis KOL who left clinical practice because she was so excited about what dermatomyositis might do that she thought she'd take a hand at helping make it a success. And I think that is, she's not really a sales rep, therefore, she's sort of a medical affairs professional, she's a jack-of-all-trades, but I think that's the sort of thing that is a really high priority for us in making sure we're making the launch a success.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
The point that you made about short the launch not being as successful of an investment strategy today as it was maybe a few years ago, So, I mean, part of that is these companies have done a good job. Part of it, I think, is also that I think expectations have been a little bit more well-grounded. How are you thinking about what that means for communication with investors about the early launch, about KPIs, what you're planning to share for Brepo?
Matthew Gline, CEO
This is a subject of healthy debate at Roivind and other places historically. and bluntly I think we've learned a few things from recent launches and from the investor trajectory of recently launched companies the first is I have a great deal of confidence in the ultimate commercial potential of brepositinib as a drug specifically in dermatomyositis and across indications, there's a lot of these patients, we can talk more about it, they have high unmet need, it's not a very competitively intense field right now in terms of people who are offering them options and look at some level this isn't rocket science the only other approved therapy in dermatomyositis requires on label that you spend eight hours a day five days a month consecutively in an infusion center receiving an IV infusion and we are a once daily oral that provides probably better clinical benefit this is not the most uphill battle in terms of convincing people that it's an attractive attractive alternative so I think all of that pulls together to a high set of expectations. That said, no one has launched a novel targeted therapy in dermatomyositis ever, and so the pace of the launch, how quickly we'll be able to get doctors changing clinical practice, how quickly we'll be able to work with payers in this specific population and do the education work, I just think it's basically impossible to know, and we've certainly seen launches rocket out of the gate, and we've seen more slow and steady ramps. My general view is I expect, I think everyone should expect slow and steady, and also there is zero benefit to providing guidance. To standing up there and giving people a sense of what I think, what I think is we're going to have to wait and see, and we're going to do our level best to make it a long-term success, and along the way, I'm sure we'll have fits and starts, but I'm excited for where it heads. And frankly, I think the companies that have attempted to provide guidance have not been rewarded for providing that guidance anyway, and so I'm not sure. That's also a lesson learned from a Darwinian process.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
Other indicators like new start forums, have you thought about whether you'll be sharing that information?
Matthew Gline, CEO
Yes, so the honest answer is most of our decisions on that basis are going to be rooted in commercial and competitive dynamics. We will be, as all orphan launches do now, using tailored, quite narrow, focused, limited distribution. And in general, for a variety of commercial reasons, when you do that, you pretty rarely wind up sharing scripts. And so our scripts will probably not be widely available on a regular basis just because of our commercial distribution plans. And so that's just how that's going to play out.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
Got it. Got it. What are you hearing from docs on the likely mix of patients in terms of prior therapy? And one of the questions that we get a lot is the pace of jack switching.
Matthew Gline, CEO
Yeah. Look, I think, so taking a tiny step back, in claims data sets today, there are about 40,000 patients actively treated for dermatomyositis. That is a portion of the total dermatomyositis population. I think epidemiology suggests maybe that number is 70 plus. It's also a relatively difficult to diagnose condition, and so there's probably more patients out there who have either not received the diagnosis at all or have received a lupus diagnosis or whatever who may very well have dermatomyositis and show up later once we arrive. But anyway, of those 40,000 patients, about 75% of them are on steroids and immunosuppressants, prednisone, methotrexate, and many of those patients are poorly controlled. And the way we know they're poorly controlled is they're on quite high doses of steroids. In many cases, you know, more than six months a year on greater than 10 or even greater than 20 milligrams of prednisone. If you've ever had, like, an allergic reaction, you've spent time on 20-plus milligrams of prednisone, it's a miserable existence for three days. I cannot imagine doing it for six months, and so you know those patients are poorly controlled because they're making that choice. That is absolutely one of the early groups of patients that we are most enthusiastic about. Those patients are not on other therapies for a variety of reasons. They can't spend five days a month in an infusion center. They don't want to take a unapproved B-cell depleting drug like rituximab or whatever that has failed clinical trials in amount of myositis. And so they're sort of stuck with steroids and DMARDs and dealing with the, you know, unsuccessful treatment that comes with it. You know, you can imagine an IVIG patient spending all this time in an IVIG infusion center thinking that maybe a one-pill regimen sounds good. So that's like, that's another place where I think we will get early patients. There are, so about 25% of the patient population is on something other than steroids and DMARDs. That's like about half of those patients are on IVIG and the other half are on a collection of off-label stuff. The vast majority of the off-label stuff are literally drugs that have failed dermatomyositis trials, but that probably provide some benefit in inflammatory disease, and so docs are trying it because they don't have anything else to do. Some small low to mid single-digit percentage of those patients are on off-label JAK inhibitors. The truth of the off-label JAK inhibitor population, when you actually do the math, low single-digit percentage of a 40,000 patient number, it's hundreds of patients, basically, maybe a couple thousand patients in total. It's actually a pretty concentrated group. For example, I think at another bank's KOL call, Julie Paik at Johns Hopkins said she had 70 patients in off-label tofacitinib. That's like a relatively significant percentage of the total patients in off-label JAK inhibitors. What she said she would do is switch those patients as soon as she could, basically. So I think what will wind up happening is prescriber by prescriber. Some docs will be eager to switch. some docs will say, look, at least the off-label JAK patients are like kind of on something that works for them. I'm going to go with my high-dose steroid patients. I think some of that will come down to access and how easy we make it to get patients on drug. I think some of it will come down to how the docs that were on our trial and have a lot of familiarity with brevisitinib may be faster to use it. The docs that were not on our trial and are still coming to speed with it may do a little more experimentation. So I think it'll be a mixture. Yeah. Yeah. In terms of
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
competition, Vivgard, they've got the phase three IAM later this year. Assuming that works, how much of a swing factor are the actual results really in terms of Brepo's future market share,
Matthew Gline, CEO
do you think? Yeah, I mean, look, they're 18 months behind us, probably. And so I'm not that far. Right now, we do have to outrun the bear, as it were. That is, it's not about the competitors. It's just about the disease. Later, we only have to outrun them or something. Look, first of all, I think DM is one of these diseases where the unmet need is so large and there are so many patients that more share of voice by the industry, more new therapies, more options for doctors is mostly going to be a rising tide. And I think, you know, VivGuard in MG has benefited from the existence of the Complement Pathway programs. I think we will benefit from the existence of VivGuard. And I think I would much rather be VivGuard in MG than a Complement company. I would much rather be Brepsitinib in DM than VivGuard because we're first. Because I think, look, we're getting a lot of inbound calls now from investors. And the path they're taking to get to us is they are our Genix shareholders, and they're focused on DM. And so for the first time, they're doing KOL calls and DM. And they pick up the phone, and they call DM docs. And they're like, what do you think of VivGuard? And the docs are like, hey, have you heard of brepsitinib? And so they're calling us because they're sort of coming at this from the side. And that's an enormously rewarding thing in the sense that it helps bring people to our story. I think it just underscores the lead that we've got. Practically speaking, I think there are reasons to believe that dermatomyositis is not going to be the strongest setting for VivGuard among the myocities. the trial that Vivgard's running is across multiple different myositis. It's running in IMNM and in DM and in polymyositis. I think IMNM is more biologically on point for an FCRN and I think their efficacy will probably be better in IMNM than it is in DM. I think that based on biological rationale I think that because Argenix's public statements to me suggest that they generally believe that too and then I think if you compare our phase three data to the phase two data generated across the myocities, they didn't break it out by subtype in their phase two study, we were faster to achieve a moderate TIS response and achieved our responses against the backdrop of an aggressive steroid taper and still did comparably or better than VivGuard did. So I think we will have a competitive profile. The truth is, ultimately, you're only as good as your label, and if VivGuard gets lucky and blows it out of the park in this study, it'll be more of a competitive factor than if they don't, and we'll just have to see what their data looks like when it comes.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
NIU next most mature indication you've got the phase three later this year phase two highly compelling small cohort but I mean frankly I've not heard a real strong bear case for this trial I'm not going to sit here and ask you to articulate one but I can if you want you know maybe what were some of the risks that you sought to mitigate when you
Matthew Gline, CEO
designed the phase three yeah look I think so so NIU non-infectious uveitis is a basket diagnosis for inflammations of the eye that are not caused by an infection. It's a heterogeneous patient population. It has not been an area of very active clinical development. It has stymied a lot of others who have tried to develop there. It's a bad disease. An ophthalmologist's tolerance for eye inflammation is very low because it's actually, NIU is the third leading cause of blindness in the United States right now. It's like a bad disease and patients really don't want to go blind. And so they're willing to get treatment. You know, against that backdrop, the only other sort of approved modern, quote unquote, therapy for NIU is Humira, which bluntly doesn't work that well. Somewhere between 50 and 80 percent of patients or 50 and 75 percent of patients fail Humira, depending on how you count it, et cetera. And they fail it pretty quickly, right? The time treatment failure in the Humira study was like six months median. So, you know, it's a disease with a lot of unmet need. We ran a study. It was a phase two study. It was blinded and dose ranging, but it did not have a placebo. And I said Humira's time treatment failure in their phase three was a little under six months. We went over 12 months as a median time treatment failure. So with a lot of cushion versus the field, but no placebo. The blunt level truth in immunology is that placebo response rates have crept up in every indication in history. And we didn't have placebo in our phase two and she asked me what the risks in the trial are the biggest risk in the trial is you know whatever the bear in this clinical trial is placebo and we have to outrun it uh and so i think that's you know that's a challenge that we're cognizant of how do you do that first of all the heterogeneity of the patient population is always an obstacle i think we've done a very good job with some creative and aggressive strategies to make sure we have the patients we need in the trial that they are sick in the right way that they are sick NIU patients. We have specific adjudication criteria for making sure the right patients get into the trial. We have a very aggressive steroid taper. One of the things we did in the phase two, the way these trials all work, because tolerance for eye inflammation is poor, is you can't just bring a patient in and put them on your drug. You have to bring them in, put them on a very high dose of systemic steroids so you get the inflammation under control, and then taper the steroids and see if you can maintain a response on your drug. And the Humira studies used a 12 to 16 week taper, I think. We used a much more aggressive taper than that. And we used it in the phase two in part because there was no placebo and we wanted to give ourselves a hard test, but it worked. And so we're using a similarly aggressive taper in the phase three. I think that
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
will help control placebo response as well. How much of a headwind do you think the availability of biosimilar Humira is in this market?
Matthew Gline, CEO
Look, two things. One is, so there's about 40,000 patients on TNFs with NIU, and as I said, the treatment failure rate is 50-plus percent, and they tend to fail within six months in the clinical trials. Even if at the price points that we have in mind for brebacitinib, you live entirely in a Humira refractory population, it's a blockbuster indication for us. And because ophthalmologist tolerance for eye inflammation is low, if our data are good, I think there will be a strong desire to use us aggressively in early line settings. And so that'll be a question of label. It'll be a question of payer dynamics. But mostly, I think there'll be a lot of people fighting for early access if our data supports it. And I think we will work with those people to get these patients on drug so they don't go blind.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
I had intended to spend a little bit more time on CS and LPP, But maybe let me just ask a broader question of, you know, what is your indication selection strategy for for Brepo and maybe just hit some of the highlights on the SNLPP?
Matthew Gline, CEO
I could launch into an, I think, interesting thematic history of JAK inhibitors here. But in the interest of parsimony, I won't look. I think in 2019, if you had said by 2026, there will be a large, successful, important JAK inhibitor franchise targeting orphan disease. everyone around you would have said, duh, it's obvious, right? In 2019, JAK inhibitors were everywhere. They were, you know, going to be the future. And then, you know, the black box warning thing happened and everyone kind of backed away. If in 2019 you said, oh, who is going to own that large franchise of JAK inhibitors in orphan disease? Everyone would have just looked at you and said, obviously, it's going to be Eli Lilly, it's going to be Sanofi, it's going to be AbbVie, it's going to be any of the companies that had a place in JAK inhibitors and a place in orphan disease and a right to win there. The fact that an approximately random mid-cap biotech company owns that franchise is a combination of cleverness on our part that I'm proud of and random accidents of history that I'm glad to have benefited from. But as a consequence, we own right now the category of JAK inhibitors and orphan inflammation, and there are many orphan inflammatory diseases. I mean, literally almost any inflammatory disease, we'd call it 30,000 to 130,000 patients, is a good swim lane for us, and we are looking, obviously we're focusing on the diseases where we know the physicians, we're focusing on TH1-mediated disease, the places where JAK1 and TIK2 had benefit for a variety of reasons, but we're looking across that space, and there are quite a lot of indications to go after, and I think even more than DM being an exciting indication, though it is, or NIU being an exciting indication, though it is, the breadth of what brepacitinib could do is actually pretty staggering in terms of the number of diseases
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
we could help. Switching over to Mosley, maybe would you like to start with just an overview of the drug and why you're excited about PHILD, and then we can shift over into expectations
Matthew Gline, CEO
for the trial? Sure. And it's funny, I talked at the beginning of this, you asked about BD, around how we bring our drugs in. I didn't mention, we paid $14 million up front to Pfizer for brebacitinib. We also paid $14 million up front to Bayer for Mosley SigurWatt. Mosley is a drug it's an inhaled vasodilator mechanism is this thing called SGC activation we got it from Bayer a few years ago and basically what happened here was Bayer had a history in this chemistry they in fact sort of originated the development of drugs in SGC they were partnered with Merck on respiratory disease around a drug called Odempis that was a commercially successful drug two or three billion dollars in peak sales a big drug and then Bayer and Merck had kind of a messy divorce at the end of that process, or at least they split ways, and each went on down their separate path of developing a successor drug to Odempis. Both of them developed inhaled SGC drugs. Bayer's, in our view, was the better drug. And then Bayer went and did some M&A in the agrochemical space that was complicated, and they had to make difficult choices around their pharma portfolio because Roundup allegedly causes cancer. And so they got out of respiratory disease. And this was a while ago, and they no longer had a real footprint there, and they weren't sort of doing active research in respiratory disease. And meanwhile, United Therapeutics, one of the forefathers of pulmonary hypertension development and a phenomenal company, sort of whatever, struck gold for a second time. They found pulmonary hypertension from lung disease, PHILD as an indication. They got Teveso approved there. They launched it commercially, and it has been an enormous commercial success that has engendered an entire field of literal follow-on molecules of other triprosthenols similar to Tyveso from Liquidia, from Inzmed, that I think are also really exciting drugs. We went to Bayer at that moment in time, realizing that Mosley, which had been developed principally in the more competitive group 1 pulmonary arterial hypertension, should also, in theory, work as an inhaled vasodilator and PHILD. and Bayer was not at all really paying attention to the field and certainly wasn't going to run a novel development strategy in lung disease and so we enlicensed it from them and set on retraining the program towards PHILD and now we are reading out a phase 2b study later this year the first basically in a non-troposthinal mechanism of a late stage study for PHILD.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
What does a successful phase 2 look like for you?
Matthew Gline, CEO
Yeah, so in PHILD as with all pulmonary hypertension. The approvable phase three endpoints are things like six-minute walk, which, again, because it's a generalist conference, six-minute walk, first of all, is a widely hated endpoint in biotech. And the reason is because, roughly speaking, what happens is you're standing in a doctor's office, picture your doctor's office, and the doctor says, how far can you walk in six minutes? I'm going to set a stopwatch and get out a tape measure, and you're going to go. It turns out conditions vary widely. Are you walking in a hallway? Are you walking in a waiting room? Are you walking in circles on a tile floor? Are you walking on a carpeted floor? This leads also, like, did you eat your Wheaties when you woke up in the morning? Did you drink a cup of coffee? There's just, like, a lot of things that make this a variable endpoint. It turns out that it is a relatively well-behaved endpoint in pulmonary hypertension, but it's quite variable. And so in phase two studies in pulmonary hypertension, including in PHILD, the primary endpoint tends to be something called PVR, which is right-hearted blood pressure. It is a literal measure of disease activity in that you are measuring the flow of blood through the right ventricle. The way you measure it is under general anesthesia on an operating table with a catheter. And so it's not something that you can do regularly in very large studies, but it is the primary endpoint of our study. And again, a measure of how sick these patients are as they subject themselves to a clinical trial that requires regular general anesthesia and catheterization so that's the primary endpoint there has not been a cross pulmonary hypertension a mechanism that doesn't that delivers 20 plus percent reductions in pvr and has not gone on not just to be clinically successful on six minute walk but to be a multi-billion dollar class and so our view is if we can deliver 20 plus benefit on pvr nothing else really matters that is almost certainly a good enough indicator that we will be able to deliver clinical benefit in a subsequent phase three study that we will run the subsequent phase three study. That said, we are measuring six minute walk in the trial. We are measuring other clinical endpoints. And while the study is not powered to deliver p-value statistical significance on those endpoints, it would certainly be helpful to understand magnitude of effect in those endpoints as well. With Tyvazo, I think that
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
they had a pretty big gap between peak and trough six minute walk, which I think kind of underscores that your daily dosing could be, you know, a clinical advantage and not just a convenience advantage. Are you collecting six-minute walk at different time points post inhalation, either in
Matthew Gline, CEO
this or in a future phase three? Yeah, we are measuring a bunch of different time points. One of the great things about our drug is it is quite stable in the lung, and in fact, in phase one studies, we have, like, elevated cardiac output, CGMP production out 48 hours after a single dose, And so I think we do actually get quite a lot of benefit from the time. Of course, because it's 48 hours, we will get meaningful stacking over multiple days, over multiple dosing. And I think all of those things should contribute to better clinical benefit. And I think we will measure at different time points so that we can begin to sort of dimension out that effect.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
How do you envision the commercial opportunity for Mosley, either as monotherapy or combination? and what kind of evidence would you need to generate to support that?
Matthew Gline, CEO
So this is another thing where we can learn from history. So in PAH, pulmonary arterial hypertension, which is a, I think, $10-plus-billion-dollar category now, one of the, whatever, the sort of first of the pulmonary hypertensions, as it were, to be treated, what happened was actually triprosthenols were the first modern drugs approved, prostacyclins, and then a series of successive classes including systemic SGC stimulators were approved and each time a new class entered two things happened. One is actually life expectancy for these patients increased by in some cases as much as two to three years and the other is patients just went on multiple categories of drugs. This is a polypharmacy market. Pulmonary hypertension ultimately often kills you. It's a very bad disease. These patients go on everything they can get. They cycle drugs. They add them on top of each other. And so I think that is exactly what will happen in PHILD as well. It will be a polypharmacy market, and we will be used before Tyveso, after Tyveso, on top of Tyveso, in every combination, and with other mechanisms, hopefully, as well. Practically, that means, from a clinical benefit perspective, worse than Tyveso, better than Tyveso, similar to Tyveso. It doesn't matter that much in the end because most patients will wind up on most drugs. Obviously, the better we are than Tyveso, the earlier we'll potentially be used. We have some other advantages where one inhalation once a day versus more for the others, one puff from a dry powder inhaler once a day. In fact, we don't likely cause cough as an on-target effect, which suppress cyclins do. There's a variety of reasons why we could be using an earlier line setting, but mostly the answer is this is going to be a polypharmacy market and everyone's going to be on top of everything. To answer your question about evidence generation, in our Phase IIb study, we do not allow concurrent Tyveso use. Teveso is only approved in the U.S. It's a global study, so it's slightly complicated. In the phase three study, we will allow some patients on concurrent Teveso precisely because it's important that the label allow for concurrent use. However, it's important, therefore, to know a little bit about what we do together with Teveso, especially from a safety perspective, but also to get some sense of efficacy. So we are currently, in addition to the main phase, to be running an open-label combo study with Teveso that has just started, so we don't have any data from it right now,
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
but that will help inform things like stratification in the phase three. Question on the iPad, what other indications in pH could you look at, and when would you consider starting those?
Matthew Gline, CEO
Yeah, perfect. So look, I think the history of this is helpful too. Locally administered vasodilators are effective in pulmonary hypertension. We probably work in PAH. We have good phase one data there. It's competitive, but we could go there eventually. I think pH COPD is an interesting indication, although local vasodilation in lung disease patients with emphysema is a more complicated proposition, and there's more emphysema in the PHCOPD population, so that, for that reason, requires some more careful thought. Recently, though, we've also seen the prostacyclins, triprostanol tyvasus specifically, be successful, for example, in IPF, and that is absolutely high on our list of things that we are excited to think about. Ultimately, we're going to learn a fair amount about all of that from this phase 2b later this year. We're measuring FVC in IPF patients. We'll have a sense for how we did there, albeit in a small subset. I think all of that will inform next steps. PHLD is a huge indication, and we wanted to make sure we nailed it, but I think we will be initiating new indications if the phase 2B data supports it pretty quickly after we get this data. Switching to Immunovant,
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
could you start with how 14.02 is differentiated from the other FCRNs in terms of either product profile or the indications that you're pursuing? Yeah, perfect. So again, I'm sure many people in
Matthew Gline, CEO
this room are familiar with FCRNs as a mechanism because our Gen X has been so enormously successful in creating that category, this is sort of a, whatever, it's like a big moment in immunology in that this is sort of the Humira moment for a new kind of immunology. It's the first time we've had a drug approved that can treat what I'll call B-cell disease, autoantibody-driven disease, much of which isn't even inflammatory. Graves' disease isn't really an inflammatory disease at some level. And so it opens up an entire set of new indications, and Argenix has done a phenomenal job, and MG and in CIDP and other places, creating those markets and showing real benefit for those patients. VivGart has some limits. Nipicalumab, the J&J drug, has some limits. Among them, as each of them is currently studied practically, and in VivGart's case, probably just like due to biological limitations, they don't suppress IgG more than call it 60 or 70 percent, whereas I believe we will suppress IgG by 80 plus percent with 1402. So I think we can get better efficacy. We are formulated as a simple, standard, Dupixent-style auto-injector, which is something that VivGuard is not. VivGuard is a high, true, low, long push with higher injection site reactions and things like that, or a haloside, I'm sorry, or an IV drug. So I think those are all advantages that we have. And then I think, although not as important as being a better molecule, almost as important as being a better molecule, I think we've just carved out some really great white space indications for ourselves. We have pioneered modern drug development in Graves' disease, where we have an ongoing pair of registrational studies that we hope will be successful and will create the first approved novel therapy in Graves' disease since the 1950s. So that's an indication with millions of total patients, hundreds of thousands of poorly controlled patients. Imitation is the finest form of flattery. We have created a cottage industry of other companies now developing Gravesies, but they're all years behind us. And I think we have really built out some expertise and positioning there that's exciting. Just last week, we showed some data in a sub-setting of rheumatoid arthritis that was, frankly, more compelling data than we expected it to be and showed a potential role for FCRNs in late-line multi-mechanism failure of rheumatoid arthritis that I am excited to explore from here. So those are both indications where we're way out in front and kind of alone right now. And there's many others that we're pursuing, some of them like MG more competitive and some of them like CLE less competitive.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
That's where I was going to go next was RA, if you want to share some of the highlights of that data and why you think you were able to achieve such higher ACR responses versus NEPO.
Matthew Gline, CEO
Yes. So RA, obviously not an orphan disease. Many, many patients with RA. it is a disease that is more complicated than Graves' disease in that it is not just an auto-antibody disease. It's an inflammatory disease. It's an auto-antibody disease in some patients. There's different ideologies. It comes from different places. It's a complicated disease. The idea that FCRNs could work in RA is not an idea of our own invention. And we know that some of the disease is auto-antibody driven. In fact, one of the exciting things about FCRNs there is unlike all of the other drugs basically in RA, it's not an anti-inflammatory. so it might work differently on a different axis and therefore work in combo or in later line settings where anti-inflammatories failed. This was the idea with which they had been studied historically. J&J has run two studies in RA. One was effectively a monotherapy study across a variety of lines of therapy, across a variety of different patients, and they showed fine responses. Nothing, they showed clear benefit, but nothing that was like getting people out of bed. The two exciting sort of indicators in the data that were interesting. One, almost all of their responses came from the subset of patients that tested positive for autoantibodies. And so that was like a clear way to enrich on a biomarker. And then two, their efficacy appeared to be preserved irrespective of line of therapy. And so you look at that and you're like, okay, maybe there's something here in late line. And in fact, even though their efficacy was kind of middling in late line multi-mechanism failure patients, it was potentially good enough to have a commercial plan. So then we and J&J, after seeing that monotherapy data, each then plowed on with different strategies. J&J said, okay, we're going to run a combo study in early line patients comboed with a TNF. And that was a study they ran. And we were like, we're going to focus on the late line multi-mechanism failure population and run the study that we ran, which was in patients who have effectively failed everything they can. They failed at least two of TNFs, IL-6s, and JAXs. A majority of them, as we now said, have failed TNFs and JAXs. These are like late-line patients without other options. The confusing thing is J&J's combo therapy pretty spectacularly didn't work. They basically didn't separate from the TNF. That was always a hard study to run. You're putting patients on a TNF for the first time. They're going to benefit significantly from the TNF, and so you have to kind of demonstrate benefit on top of something that's already helping them. But still, the level of separation was disconcertingly poor, and so I think that confused us when we saw it. Then our study read out, and it showed something sort of surprising in the opposite direction, meaningfully better responses than either of the other two studies. The data that we've produced so far is data from an open-label run-in period to a randomized withdrawal trial. It is nuanced data across multiple axes, and certainly one of the reasons it looks as good as it did, we showed ACR 70s in the high 30s, which is as good as anyone ever shows, basically. It's close to JAK-like in its efficacy, which in a JAK failure population is extraordinary, especially for a mechanism that's pretty safe, like an FCRN, part of the quality of that data has to be due to the fact that it's an open label setting. There's some rising tide effect here, but you just don't spontaneously have an ACR70 response. Those are pretty big improvements in sick patients who have failed a lot of other drugs. So I think there's like, our belief is there's clearly something real happening. The other two things I think that are relevant, one is we did a pretty good job selecting for an autoantibody positive population. The J&J combo study with Symsia was auto-antibody selected, but not, you know, they allowed rheumatoid factor patients, for example, was not as rigorously specifically focused on ACPA as ours. I think we generated some benefit there. And then I sort of have to believe, although I don't yet have the evidence to back this up, that the other thing that happened for us is it turns out that when you filter out patients who have failed, Remember, failed is an important word here, JAK inhibitors and TNFs, that those patients have tried anti-inflammatory mechanisms that are very effective for treating their RA and have not succeeded, that it must at some level be that we are enriching for a population whose disease is causally driven by autoantibodies in a way that even we didn't totally anticipate. But ultimately, we'll find out. Period two of this study is going to be harder now because we have to generate meaningful reversion in patients that have benefited a lot clinically from being on drug. And so we're not even at a p-value in period two. We're going to really study the patient-level data here and try and understand what's happening and then work with FDA on a trial design for a subsequent study that I hope will be tractable and lead to a lot of benefit for these patients.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
Getting some more questions on the iPad, and this is more of a big picture thing but the cash balance you've got four billion dollars you'll be getting more from Moderna what are your plans for that considering that you have not spent that you've not spent a lot of money on
Matthew Gline, CEO
transactions historically yeah look I think one of the things about Roivant is we are sort of culturally built to be good stewards of capital it's just sort part of who we were to begin with, and it's led to some puzzling decisions over time. Look, I think biotech companies historically haven't bought back stock. That's changed a little bit, but we bought back a billion and a half dollars of stock at $10 a share because we had too much cash. That turned out to be a good investment over time. We continue to buy back stock now as we're bringing in more money from Moderna. What we said, lost in history at this point, is that we bought a drug from Pfizer a while ago and then sold it to Roche for a lot of money, and so we had a lot of cash in our that plus the Sumitomo deal is how we wound up sort of highly capitalized. And, you know, I think what we said all along is if we can't do it with $4 billion, we probably can't do it with $6 billion. That is, like, there's an amount of money beyond which it just, like, isn't required to build the kind of business we're building. And, frankly, the kind of BD that we've done historically has been pretty capital efficient on the upfront, expensive clinical development, pretty capital efficient on the upfront. So, look, I think as cash comes in above and beyond current levels. We will continue to be pretty aggressive about returning it to shareholders just because I think balance sheet leanness is something we believe in. But we have still a lot of cash even absent that. And we'll spend a fair amount of it on breadth of development for the existing pipeline. We will add indications for Brepo. We will add indications for FCRM. We will add indications for Mosley. And we'll be active on the BD side. And I really hope we bring programs in with expensive phase three trials. Those tend to be big indications. They tend to be exciting. They tend to be the kinds of things we can make a difference at. And so I hope we spend a fair amount of our money on that.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
AI has been a big theme for this conference. What are your expectations for how that impacts drug development and over time, and what is Roy Vant doing today?
Matthew Gline, CEO
At the current moment at a generalist conference, I think what I'm supposed to say here is we're an AI-native, AI-first company building data centers in space. We're not building data centers in space. I don't know how. But I think that's what we're supposed to say. Look, there is a lot of talk about AI in biopharma, and a lot of that talk centers on novel uses of AI in drug discovery, on medicinal chemistry, on biology. And I think that stuff is super interesting. We have invested in it. We have built a company that is successfully using AI to model protein-protein interactions that we have a big stake in that I think could be – look, I think it could be a company that invents designed molecular glues in a way that wasn't possible for AI. There's like cool things are going to happen here. That said, those are the apples at the very top of the tree. Those are the hardest of the hard problems to improve with AI and biopharma. And while we and others will work on them, I don't know how quickly we're going to revolutionize drug discovery. If quickly, that'll be great for us. There will be many more drugs to put into clinical development, and we are very good clinical developers. If slowly, that's okay, to. That said, in clinical development, what is clinical development really in addition to a science problem? It is a massive logistical coordination exercise where you're reading hundreds or thousands of patients' medical charts, combing through them literally as human beings, like trying to figure out which of these patients are good for your trial. You're trying to turn around legal documents like site agreements and IRBs and IRB agreements and protocols quickly. They're all similar to each other, but different in little ways. These are all things that the AI of today, the cloud that is on all of our desks, is really good at. And so our ability to prosecute large trials at scale is dramatically better than it was a year ago. And we are coming to terms with that. And I'll say, look, I think we made a concerted effort to get these tools out and available to everybody. And we are building tools every day to make ourselves better at this. that, again, if I were to try and defend ourselves as like an AI-first company, those are things I would talk about. But also, it's just been this incredible Darwinian process. You put Claude on the desk of a smart person running a clinical trial, and they're like, oh, my life is easier now. Here are the seven ways my life is easier now. And so I think a lot of what we're doing is just putting the right people in the right seats with the right tools, and it turns out that's making us better.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
One more question to close us out. If we fast forward two to three years, what has to be true for Roy Vant to be a $50 billion market cap company?
Matthew Gline, CEO
Yeah, look, I think some of our launches have to go well. I think that's true. I don't think DM has to be an $8 billion indication. I think DM has to be a billion and a half dollar indication in people's minds. Look, if DM is a billion or a billion and a half dollar indication, NIU is a billion and a half dollar indication, and CS and LPP are a billion or a billion and a half dollar indications, and FCRN in total is $3 or $4 billion, we're there easily, right? We're on our path to being a... I don't mean that literally in three or four years. People have to believe those things in three or four years or two or three years for us to achieve that kind of scale. So I think we have to do reasonably well commercially somewhere, and we have to keep stacking indications. And to be honest, I think that's about it there. I think if you're asking me how we've become $150 billion companies, a lot we have to do between here and there. But I think the path to 40 or 50 or 60 is good execution on what we've got now.
Will Pickering, Analyst — Bernstein
Great. Let's leave it there. Thank you, Matt.
Matthew Gline, CEO
If you take nothing away from this conference, just remember we are an AI-first company building data centers in space.