Earnings Call Transcript
SEACOAST BANKING CORP OF FLORIDA (SBCF)
Earnings Call Transcript - SBCF Q3 2025
Operator, Operator
Welcome to Seacoast Banking Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Desiree, and I will be your operator. Before we begin, I have been asked to direct your attention to the statements at the end of the company's press release regarding forward-looking statements. Seacoast will be discussing issues that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the securities at Exchange Act, and its comments today are intended to be covered within the meaning of that act. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to Chuck Shaffer, Chairman and CEO of Seacoast Bank. Mr. Shaffer, you may begin.
Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO
All right. Thank you, and good morning, everyone. As we proceed with our presentation, we'll refer to the third quarter earnings slide deck, which is available at seacoastbanking.com. Joining me today is Tracey Dexter, our Chief Financial Officer; Michael Young, our Chief Strategy Officer; and James Stallings, our Chief Credit Officer. The Seacoast team delivered another exceptional quarter, which clearly demonstrated the progress we are making towards enhancing our return profile, while delivering strong growth on both sides of the balance sheet. Our competitive transformation has fully taken hold with loan and deposit growth near 8%, the result of a focused effort to recruit the most qualified and capable bankers across our footprint. I was particularly pleased with the growth in noninterest-bearing DDA accounts and a balanced approach to loan growth with our commercial production spread across C&I and CRE with multiple asset classes and industries. The team also delivered strong performance across multiple revenue streams, including a record-breaking quarter in Wealth Management, and solid performance in treasury management fees, SBA, interchange, and insurance agency income. And impressively, the team accomplished all this while successfully closing and converting the Heartland transaction as well as closing the Villages transaction on October 1. Asset quality remains sound, nonperforming loans declined, and net charge-offs were lower than our prior guidance, reflecting our continued focus on disciplined underwriting and proactive risk management. We have very limited exposure to shared national credits or non-depository financial institutions. And just to remind you, our portfolio is almost entirely franchise quality relationships made to borrowers in our footprint, including consumers, businesses, nonprofits, and municipalities that we have deep relationships with. Lastly, capital and liquidity are industry-leading, and our liquidity profile will be further enhanced with the Villages transaction. We remain committed to our fortress balance sheet principles and continue to operate one of the strongest banks in the industry. In closing, I want to express my sincere appreciation to our dedicated associates for their commitment to advancing our growth and profitability goals. Their focus and execution continue to drive our success. We operate one of the best banking teams in the Southeast across some of the best markets in the United States with an exceptionally strong balance sheet. I remain confident in our growth outlook and our ability to continue to deliver improvements in returns into 2026. With that, I'll turn the call over to Tracey Dexter to walk through our financial results. Tracey?
Tracey Dexter, Chief Financial Officer
Thank you, Chuck. Good morning, everyone. Directing your attention to third quarter results, beginning with Slide 4. The Seacoast team delivered a strong quarter with adjusted net income, which excludes merger-related charges increasing 48% year-over-year to $45.2 million or $0.52 per share. Organic deposits, excluding brokered and Heartland acquired deposits, grew $212 million, or 7% annualized, and that organic growth included $80 million in noninterest-bearing deposits. Loan production continued to be strong with organic growth in balances of 8% on an annualized basis. The pipeline has reached a record high, reflecting the success of recent hiring and the increase in the balance sheet following the completion of the Villages acquisition in October. Net interest income was $133.5 million, an increase of 5% from the prior quarter, and net interest margin excluding accretion on acquired loans expanded 3 basis points to 3.32%. Tangible book value per share increased 9% year-over-year to $17.61, remarkable given that the Heartland acquisition included 50% cash consideration. Our capital position continues to be very strong. Seacoast's Tier 1 capital ratio was 14.5%, and the ratio of tangible common equity to tangible assets is 9.8%. We completed our acquisition of Heartland Bancshares on July 11, adding 4 branches and approximately $824 million in assets. The technology conversion was fully completed in the third quarter. On October 1, we finalized our acquisition of Villages Bancorporation, adding 19 branches and over $4 billion in assets. We expect the full technology conversion to happen early in the third quarter of 2026. Turning to Slide 5. Net interest income increased by $6.6 million or 5%, compared to the prior quarter and by $26.9 million or 25%, compared to the prior year quarter. The net interest margin declined 1 basis point to 3.57%, and excluding accretion on acquired loans expanded 3 basis points from the prior quarter to 3.32%. In the securities portfolio, yields increased 5 basis points to 3.92%. Loan yields declined 2 basis points to 5.96%. Excluding accretion, loan yields increased 3 basis points to 5.61%. The cost of deposits remained near flat with only a 1 basis point increase during the quarter to 1.81%. And overall, the cost of funds is down 3 basis points from the prior quarter. With strong momentum in loan growth, deposit costs now lower and stabilizing, additional liquidity, and accretive acquisitions, we expect net interest income to continue to grow. Consistent with our previous guidance, we expect to exit the year with the core net interest margin reaching approximately 3.45%, inclusive of recent acquisitions. Moving to Slide 6. Noninterest income, excluding securities activity was $24.7 million, increasing 5% from the prior year quarter. Fee revenue continues to benefit from our investments in talent and expansion of treasury management services to commercial customers with service charges on deposits increasing 12% from the prior quarter. Our wealth management team delivered a record quarter in new AUM, continuing its strong performance and reinforcing its position as a key growth driver for the organization. $258 million in new AUM was added in the third quarter, the highest quarterly result in the division's history, and $473 million in new AUM in 2025 year-to-date. BOLI income increased to $3.9 million in the third quarter and included $1.3 million in benefits. Other income totaled $6 million and included higher gains on SBA loan sales and higher loan swap fees. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, we expect noninterest income in a range from $22 million to $24 million. Moving to Slide 7. Again, the Wealth division continues to grow entirely organically and with significant referrals from our commercial teams, with total AUM increasing 24% year-over-year and a 25% annual CAGR in the past 5 years. On Slide 8, noninterest expense in the third quarter was $102 million, an increase of $10.3 million, and the third quarter included $10.8 million in merger-related expenses. Higher salaries and wages reflect continued expansion and the addition of Heartland as well as higher performance-driven incentives. Outsourced data processing costs totaled $9.3 million, an increase of $0.8 million, reflecting higher transaction volume and growth in customers, including from the acquisition of Heartland. Other categories of expenses were in line with expectations. Our adjusted efficiency ratio improved to 53.8%, down from 55.4% in the second quarter, demonstrating continued operating leverage. We continue to remain focused on profitability and performance and expect continued disciplined management of overhead and the efficiency ratio. With the addition of the Villages beginning in October, we expect adjusted expenses for the fourth quarter, excluding direct merger-related costs, to be in the range of $110 million to $112 million. Turning to Slide 9, loan outstandings, excluding the impact of the Heartland acquisition, increased at an annualized 8%. The Pipelines increased 30% to $1.2 billion, and we continue to see strong broad-based demand across our markets. Loan yields declined 2 basis points with lower accretion on acquired loans, with the prior quarter impacted by elevated payoffs. Excluding the effect of accretion, yields increased 3 basis points from the prior quarter to 5.61%. Looking forward, the pipeline remains strong, and we expect continued high single-digit organic loan growth in the coming quarter. With the addition of the Villages in the fourth quarter, we expect the loan-to-deposit ratio at year-end 2025 to be below 75%, allowing significant continued growth opportunities. Turning to Slide 10. Portfolio diversification in terms of asset mix, industry, and loan type has been a critical element of the company's lending strategy. Exposure is broadly distributed, and we continue to be vigilant in maintaining our disciplined, conservative credit culture. Non-owner-occupied commercial real estate loans represent 34% of all loans and are distributed across industries and collateral types. As we have for many years, we consistently managed our portfolio to keep construction and land development loans and commercial real estate loans well below regulatory guidance. These measures are significantly below the peer group at 32% and 223% of consolidated risk-based capital, respectively. We've managed our loan portfolio with diverse distribution across categories and retain granularity to manage risk. Moving to credit topics on Slide 11. The allowance for credit losses totaled $147.5 million, with coverage to total loans remaining flat at 1.34%. The allowance for credit losses, combined with the $102.2 million remaining unrecognized discount on acquired loans, totals $249.7 million or 2.27% of total loans that's available to cover potential losses. Moving to Slide 12, looking at quarterly trends in credit metrics, which remain strong. We recorded net charge-offs of $3.2 million during the quarter, or 12 basis points annualized. Nonperforming loans declined by $3.6 million during the quarter and represent only 0.55% of total loans. Accruing past due loans moved slightly higher to 0.19% of total loans. The level of criticized and classified loans stands at 2.5% of total loans, generally in line with prior periods. As Chuck mentioned in his opening remarks, Seacoast continues to have very limited exposure to shared national credits or non-depository financial institutions. We have no exposure to private equity debt funds. Moving to Slide 13, and the Investment Securities portfolio. Net unrealized losses in the AFS portfolio improved by $36 million during the third quarter, driven by changes in long-term rates. The portfolio yield increased 5 basis points to 3.92%, reflecting $385 million in purchases of primarily agency mortgage-backed securities with an average yield of 5.03%. Turning to Slide 14, and the Deposit portfolio. Seacoast continues to benefit from a diverse deposit base. Customer transaction accounts represent 48% of total deposits which continue to highlight our long-standing relationship-focused approach. Our customers are highly engaged and have a long history with us, and low average balances reflect the granular relationship nature of our franchise. On Slide 15, organic deposit growth, excluding changes in brokered deposits and the acquired Heartland deposits, was $212.3 million or 7% annualized, of which $80.4 million was noninterest-bearing deposit growth. The cost of deposits increased slightly by 1 basis point to 1.81%. The Heartland acquisition added over $700 million in a strong core deposit franchise and the #1 market share in Highlands County. We continue to build share across our markets with a focus on core relationship deposits. For the fourth quarter of 2025, we expect low to mid-single-digit organic deposit growth. Lastly, on Slide 16, our capital position continues to be very strong. Tangible book value per share has grown to $17.61, and the ratio of tangible common equity to tangible assets held strong at 9.8%. As expected, return on tangible common equity decreased reflecting the impact of the Heartland acquisition. In the fourth quarter, we'll see the initial impact of the Villages acquisition on these metrics. Into the first quarter of 2026 and moving forward, we expect to see meaningful improvements in return on equity measures. Our risk-based and Tier 1 capital ratios remain among the highest in the industry. Results this quarter reflect our ability to deliver strong sustainable performance. Our balance sheet is well positioned, and our capital position is strong. We'll continue to execute on our organic growth and profitability goals as we integrate recent acquisitions and grow the franchise. I'll now turn the call back over to Chuck.
Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO
All right. Thanks, Tracey. And operator, I think we're ready for Q&A.
Operator, Operator
And our first question comes from Will Jones with KBW.
William Jones, Analyst
So I just wanted to start on the growth outlook. It's impressive in a quarter where you're closing and converting a deal and closing another one that you're still able to just so consistently produce this mid- to high single-digit growth. And as I look back on the first half of the year, it's so consistent with what you produced this quarter. But at the same time, it feels like pipeline momentum being at all-time highs and then just kind of the added flexibility you're going to have with the Villages balance sheet, there may be opportunity to kind of accelerate growth as you look into 2026. Could you just maybe talk about your willingness to scale up the growth opportunity to the extent that does present itself next year?
Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO
Thanks for the question, Will. And that was one of the things I thought was most impressive about the quarter is not only did the team grow strongly both sides of the balance sheet, we also converted a Heartland transaction, which went exceptionally well. We continue to move with tremendous momentum. When you look at the building the pipeline, the building growth, we have a slide in there that shows the net loan growth quarter-to-quarter and you're seeing consistent improvement. When you kind of combine the liquidity we're picking up with the Villages transaction, which just to remind you, is a very granular, diverse, lower-cost deposit portfolio and connect that with what I think now is one of the strongest commercial banking teams across Florida and maybe in the whole Southeast is a really strong combination to put together to drive earnings as we move forward. The team we've built over the last 3 years has matured now. And if you recall, we've been pretty hard at work recruiting consistently now for a good 36 months. We've moved past solicitation constraints and other things that the bankers would have had in terms of contractual arrangements. They are now fully available to go out and call and build business. We've also moved to the point of where from a lending perspective, some of the very low-yielding loans that were kind of locked into some of those balance sheets that would be moving business from have reached maturity and/or have amortized down to the point where they're willing to refinance those arrangements. And so when you put all that together, I just feel very confident about our ability to deliver our guide, which was high single digit as we move forward. I think I'd stick with that guide for now. I think that's an appropriate guide as we move through time. But I feel really confident in our ability to deliver that in the coming quarters.
Michael Young, Chief Strategy Officer
And Will, this is Michael. I just wanted to add, I think when you compare that to what you're seeing in the industry right now, we did a lot of work over the last 2 years, and we're de-risked kind of our portfolio, made sure that everything that we have is what we want to have going forward. I think a lot of others are going through that right now. And so just our production is leading to more net growth as we add new relationships and grow the book.
William Jones, Analyst
Yes, that's reasonable. It's certainly a desirable situation to be in. Looking ahead to 2026, considering the flexibility that Villages will offer, how do you view the size of the balance sheet for next year? Would you describe 2026 as more of a year focused on optimization, suggesting that you may not require as much deposit growth to effectively leverage the balance sheet on the loan side? Or do you anticipate seeing some modest growth in the balance sheet for 2026?
Michael Young, Chief Strategy Officer
Yes, I'll take that one. This is Michael. I want to highlight a trend in the fourth quarter briefly, and then I'll discuss 2026. In the fourth quarter, we added some leverage in the third quarter to pre-buy around $350 million in securities for the Villages restructuring, as Tracey mentioned earlier. We have approximately $167 million in brokered deposits at about 4.2% maturing in November, along with another $175 million in FHLB advances at the same rate, also maturing in November. We plan to decrease our leverage slightly in the fourth quarter while benefiting from higher yields and expanding margins. Looking ahead to 2026, we see significant opportunities for deposit growth across the franchise. We expect to open about 5 to 6 new locations by year-end throughout the area. The Villages continue to expand, opening new town centers and seeing a lot of net migration. There are many positive factors supporting deposit growth. While we will make some adjustments, we still anticipate deposits to grow at a strong pace in 2026, and our balance sheet will expand in line with this forecasted deposit growth.
William Jones, Analyst
Yes. Okay. I appreciate that detail, Michael. And then just lastly for me. You guys have been expanding into Atlanta more recently, and correct me if I'm wrong, maybe your first meaningful expansion outside the state of Florida, just in terms of where you have boots on the ground, that wholesale market that's seen quite a bit of M&A turnover in the past couple of months here. Maybe, Chuck, if you could just frame what you would like to see in terms of the build-out of Atlanta and where there may be opportunity to add talent here?
Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO
Thank you, Will. You are correct that we see a significant opportunity for consolidation in the Northern Arc of Atlanta, which we began exploring about three years ago with our commercial real estate team. We have experienced considerable success and noticed strong connections between Atlanta and Florida, particularly among commercial real estate investors and developers who are actively working in both markets. This makes the expansion quite logical. As our presence in the area continues to grow, we have also added a Commercial & Industrial team, which is seeing growth as well. I anticipate that we will open several branches over the next three to five years as we expand further into this market. So far, we have been successful in onboarding high-quality customers and plan to continue developing the Northern Arc. Currently, our focus remains on Atlanta, while we also have opportunities to fill in other markets in Florida. We continue to receive a lot of interest from banking professionals and teams wanting to join us, and we are capitalizing on that opportunity. As market disruptions and consolidations occur, we expect to attract more top talent.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from the line of David Feaster with Raymond James.
David Feaster, Analyst
I wanted to touch on the Villages deal. I just kind of hoping to get maybe some of an update. I mean this is a transformational deal and an extremely exciting time for you all. How has the deal gone early on, right? I mean we're only a couple of weeks into it, I know. But where are you seeing the most opportunity to add value near term, the timeline to cross-sell some additional products across the existing footprint? And then just maybe how are you prepping for that conversion to minimize disruption and ensure a seamless integration?
Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO
Great question, David. This is the most exciting development for Seacoast. We are thrilled to be in the Villages MSA and have received an excellent response in that market. The team there aligns perfectly with Seacoast, sharing a strong customer focus. We are excited to welcome this team, and the process has been incredibly smooth. Based on my experience, this integration is going exceptionally well. As we assess the market, our primary objective is to ensure a clean, seamless conversion for Villages customers, including Citizens First customers. This conversion is scheduled for July next year, and we have allowed ample time for data integrity work, mock conversions, and other preparations. A dedicated team is fully concentrated on this effort, which is our top priority as we move into next year. The quality of the customer base we are acquiring is outstanding, and we aim to provide a smooth experience for both customers and the Villages community. We have planned numerous coffee meetings, training sessions, and events, including cocktail parties, to engage with the community. Our goal is to integrate successfully, as we also have further developments planned in the Villages area. There is significant potential in getting this right, which will benefit us in the coming years. We believe we can develop a bank that is twice the size of the current one in that market over time. We are extremely enthusiastic about this. The next step will involve expanding wealth management around that franchise. We have established a wealth team and have acquired a full team in that market that is actively engaging and winning business, especially in trust services. Everything is progressing very well. I think the balance sheet has exceeded our expectations, and deposits are growing, putting us slightly ahead of our model at this moment.
David Feaster, Analyst
That's terrific. And then on the other side, too, I mean, we touched on it a bit, but the pipelines continue to grow. It's at record levels. How much of that is just, I mean, obviously, Florida is a really strong market. How much of that is just the market backdrop versus maybe more confidence from your clients to start investing and maybe down rates some projects might pencil today that didn't before versus just like you talked about market share gains from your new hires. And then just how is the complexion of the pipeline today, just both by segment and geography? Just kind of curious where you're seeing the most opportunity.
Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO
Yes. Market is strong. Demand is strong. We're seeing sort of broad-based demand, C&I and CRE. The pipeline is a mix of about 50-50 CRE and C&I. So it's pretty wide. It's pretty broad. The industries are pretty wide, too. So kind of across the board, market demand remains really good. It really hasn't slowed down as a result of tariffs or anything, we're still seeing quite a bit of demand. We've seen no real impact in terms of demand as a result of that. So we're feeling very good about market demand. And then probably more importantly, what we're seeing a significant amount on is offloading customers out of larger bank balance sheets onto our balance sheet as we continue to have the banking team mature into the investments we made a number of years ago. I'll just reiterate what I said to Will's question. A lot of those loans were locked in at very low rates. Customers are coming up on their terms. They've got to refinance, and rather than going back to the bank they're at, they're falling their banker to Seacoast. That is very exciting as we move forward. Combining that with the liquidity we're bolting on through the M&A is incredibly accretive in the years to come.
David Feaster, Analyst
Certainly. Looking at the bigger picture, you’ve experienced significant growth over the last few years. In early 2020, you were a $7 billion asset bank, and now you’ve surpassed $21 billion in just five years, thanks to organic growth and the integration of multiple community banks. Given this substantial growth, I'm interested in understanding how you plan to compete with some of the larger banks. Is there anything you feel you're lacking or any areas you need to invest in as you scale up, particularly related to technology, infrastructure, or product offerings? I’m curious about what you're focusing on now and if there are additions or investments you're considering as a larger institution.
Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO
I would say the good thing or the smart thing we did over the last few years is we invested heavily in building out our Line 2, Line 3 risk function. So we have a very strong Enterprise Risk Management function that supports being a larger midsized bank. We continue to make investments over that period of time. I feel very confident in where we stand in regard to our overall enterprise risk management, our governance, and the structure of the organization. We've also made a lot of investments on the technology side, particularly customer-facing technology. There are probably some things we need to continue to build on, particularly around our commercial treasury stack that we remain focused on here as we move forward. We're working on getting Zelle for business inside the company. That's an important technology product that's important to our small business customers in particular. So there are things we're bolting on, David, that we'll be doing in the coming years. But I think at this point, the good news around our size is that $21 billion, we have the ability to compete up market in a meaningful way. So we've brought in large regional bank quality talent into the organization, combine that with a really high-quality treasury management team, and you see that pulling further in our TMCs, and then we're letting them go to work and have the ability, the capacity now to go out and compete on market and win business. I largely feel like we're there. There are investments we need to make; we'll continue to make. There's investments we need to make to continue to harden and build our IT infrastructure and other things as we get larger. But I think we've got that all in the plan. I think we've managed that and paced that appropriately and feel very good about our investments in the coming year and our earnings profile.
Operator, Operator
Next question comes from the line of Russell Gunther with Stephens Inc.
Russell Gunther, Analyst
I wanted to start on the margin discussion. So I think the core NIM for this quarter came in a little bit lighter than this guide. Could you walk us through the glide path that gets us from 3.2% to that 3.45%? Maybe touch on where the September NIM shook out if you could? And then what does this consider for continued excess liquidity deployment going forward?
Michael Young, Chief Strategy Officer
Russell, this is Michael. I'll take that one. Yes. So we've been talking about a 3.45% NIM in the fourth quarter for a while. We were kind of unsure of the date of the close of the legal transaction with Villages that came in a little earlier. So that's certainly beneficial. I mentioned the wholesale funding that will pay off here in November, early November that will benefit the margin as well into the fourth quarter. From there, just the completion of the securities restructure in the fourth quarter will be the other main driver. We are down in cost of funds. Our September cost of funds was about 1.92% versus 1.96% reported for the quarter. So we're already benefiting from the rate cut that happened in September, and then we'll add on the low-cost deposits from Villages as well that we talked about would add roughly about 10 basis points in total to the fourth quarter cost of funds improvement and therefore, NIM. I think we're right on schedule. Obviously, if we get a couple of rate cuts here, if we get October and December, that's beneficial to our slightly liability-sensitive balance sheet. So those give you some of the moving pieces, I think, as you move through the fourth quarter. We still expect expanding margin, obviously, into 2026 with the securities reposition behind us and the low-cost deposit franchises that we've acquired. Maybe one other piece there as you look out, while we're not giving 2026 guidance yet, we do expect the deposit beta to come down a little bit. We've really outperformed there at about a 48% deposit beta through these first 100 basis points of cuts through late last year. But we would expect with the lower cost deposit franchise, maybe we're closer to 30% beta going forward. Obviously, we hope to outperform that, but that's probably where we would model going forward.
Russell Gunther, Analyst
Okay. Super helpful, Michael. And then maybe just a reminder in terms of what's left to do on the securities restructure, where that sort of pro forma securities to average earning asset contribution would likely shake out in 4Q? And then the type of progress you would expect to make toward ratcheting that down over '26?
Michael Young, Chief Strategy Officer
Sure, Russell. So high level, we closed the deal October 1, and we began restructuring the securities book at that time. We've made a lot of great progress there, and we'll continue to do so throughout the fourth quarter with a focus on best execution versus speed to completion. But we're in good shape there and no real changes versus our initial expectations. The one positive is that original modeling of the deal, we recall that in April of this year, the tariff tension was going on, and credit spreads were much wider, and rates were higher at that point in time as well. As those have compressed to deal close, we would expect a lower AOCI than what we originally anticipated. So we should have a little higher book value and capital, which we hope will make the deal less dilutive. Getting more detailed into kind of the timing of the repositioning of the balance sheet in total in the fourth quarter, we expect the loan-to-deposit ratio, as Tracey mentioned, to be below 75%. But as we grow throughout 2026, we would expect some positive remix. Again, if you did just a high single-digit loan growth number for next year, that would be about $300 million more than kind of a low to mid-single-digit deposit growth number. So that kind of gives you an order of magnitude on what could happen next year. Obviously, with higher loan growth, we might remix faster.
Russell Gunther, Analyst
Yes. Okay. Absolutely. Very helpful, Michael. And then just last one for me. I appreciate the look at where 4Q expenses could shake out. As we think about the pro forma franchise, maybe bigger picture, how should we contextualize sort of a decent core growth rate for Seacoast going forward?
Michael Young, Chief Strategy Officer
Russell, this is Michael again. I think what we've said historically and continue to expect to be the case on just the organic side would be something in pace and in alignment with inflation, kind of a 3-ish, 3% to 4% growth rate on the core underlying. It depends on the success in sort of banker hires from there. As Chuck mentioned, we do expect some merger disruption across our footprint in the Southeast broadly. So we may see a better appetite and a better opportunity to invest. As Chuck has mentioned before, we've had a lot of pipeline of opportunities to hire bankers, but we wanted to balance that hiring with profitability delivery to shareholders. I think you'll see, obviously, into '26, we're going to have strong profitability delivery to shareholders. So it gives us more capacity and ability to continue to expand and hire bankers and expand our commercial banking franchise. So I think those are kind of the things you want to think about. We're not giving 2026 guidance yet. We'll give more color on that in January.
Operator, Operator
Next question comes from the line of Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler.
Stephen Scouten, Analyst
I understand that you're not providing guidance for 2026, but you did mention a high-level run rate number for that year in the Villages slide deck. Do you think that the 250 number you shared there is likely on track, and perhaps even ahead of schedule due to the earlier deal closings and better loan growth? Would that be a reasonable way to frame expectations in relation to that disclosure?
Michael Young, Chief Strategy Officer
Yes, Stephen, this is Michael. We feel very comfortable with what we initially outlined. Given the changes in interest rates, we may experience better book value or less dilution than we initially anticipated, but we are still finalizing our rate estimates. As we currently model it, that would be the most significant change on the earnings front. We remain confident about our direction and the plans we initially set. There may be some variability depending on the number of rate cuts and your projections, but we are comfortable with the 246 figure.
Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO
Yes. If you go back to that deck, Stephen, just to reiterate with some confidence, that's where we expect to land.
Stephen Scouten, Analyst
Fantastic. Perfect. And then just thinking about the balance sheet remix path over time, you guys have highlighted a couple of times this 75%-ish loan-to-deposit ratio, so a ton of potential to remix over time. Does that lead you to pursue any different paths? I mean I think the answer is no based on knowing you guys over time. But do you think about any loan portfolio purchases? Or I mean, you've always had a really low CRE exposure with this Atlanta push, do you think about maybe adding more CRE than you have in the past? Just kind of any changes to strategy around loan growth given all the dry powder you have to put to work?
Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO
I think a high single-digit guide is still appropriate, Stephen. We'll be disciplined and focus on granularity, focus on diversity and be thoughtful over time. Certainly, we'll have a lot of capacity to lend. But the way I'd describe it is we'll do it prudently and thoughtfully over the coming years.
Stephen Scouten, Analyst
Okay. Fair enough. And then just lastly for me, on the fee side of things, it looks like SBA had a particularly strong quarter. Were any of the hires in the recent past within that division? Is that something that we could see like sustainable strength in? Or was that more episodic in nature?
Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO
No, we've not added anything there, just volumes that come back. Teams remain focused, but it's the same group we've been operating with for a couple of years.
Unknown Executive, Executive
Yes. Gain on sales spreads there, Stephen, have gotten a little bit better, which is probably one of the drivers in that line item this quarter.
Stephen Scouten, Analyst
Okay. Great. And I guess the last thing is the conversion, I think you said is set for maybe third quarter '26 on Villages. So is that where we would expect to see more of the lion's share of the cost saves come out at that point in time?
Tracey Dexter, Chief Financial Officer
That's right. The conversion is currently planned for early in the third quarter of '26. So looking still to achieve all those cost saves in the second half of '26.
Operator, Operator
That concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the call back over to Mr. Chuck Shaffer for closing remarks.
Charles Shaffer, Chairman and CEO
Okay. Thank you all for joining us this morning. I just want to reiterate my thanks, appreciation to the Seacoast team. Proud of our company. We produced an amazing quarter. I think our outlook is really good and just super, super excited to be where we are. So thanks to our team for everything they've done. Thanks to our shareholders for supporting us, and thank you all for joining this call. That will wrap us up, operator. Thank you.
Operator, Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining, and you may now disconnect.