TAK · Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
Price & Indicators
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Equibles Research
our published analysis of this company-
Research ThesisHims & Hers has 26.4% shorts arguing against $2.9B of guided 2026 revenue; the Q2 print decides whether subscriber growth or ARPU decay wins
Hims & Hers closed at $32.84, off 50.4% from its 52-week high, with short interest at 26.4% of shares outstanding and the steepest positioning in the comp set against a +59.0% TTM revenue base and a 10%–12% full-year adjusted EBITDA guide — the next quarter decides whether the multiple re-rates with subscriber growth or compresses further on the 6% ARPU slide.
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Research ThesisEmergent BioSolutions: leveraged biodefense name trades like a Narcan story while international MCM mix hits 37%
A $413.3M small-cap MCM franchise that has signed a $140M Canada agreement, a $54M ASPR award, and an ACAM2000 modification while net leverage fell to 1.9x and a $50M buyback was reauthorized — yet the equity is the worst YTD performer in the peer set with 19.9% short interest, leaving the print of the next four quarters to test whether the international MCM pivot can offset the Narcan generics drag.
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceBlended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Strong BuyIllustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Versus peers
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
TAK
this stock
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
|
$58.22B | +16.9% | — | — | 0.1% |
|
JHPCY
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd./ADR
|
$66.37B | — | — | — | 0.0% |
|
GALDY
Galderma Group AG/ADR
|
$49.94B | +2.3% | — | — | 0.0% |
|
HLN
Haleon plc
|
$44.77B | +0.6% | — | — | 0.3% |
|
TEVA
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd
|
$44.19B | +21.5% | +4.3% | 62.2 | 3.1% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionPerformance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAK | -0.6% | +2.7% | +2.7% | +6.7% | +16.9% |
| SPY | -0.4% | +5.0% | +12.4% | +2.6% | +12.3% |
| vs SPY | -0.2% | -2.3% | -9.8% | +4.1% | +4.6% |
Capital returns
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.