Earnings Call Transcript
Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT)
Earnings Call Transcript - VRT Q1 2022
Operator, Operator
Good morning. My name is Joe, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Vertiv’s First Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. Please note that this call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the program over to your host for today’s conference call, Lynne Maxeiner, Vice President of Investor Relations.
Lynne Maxeiner, Vice President of Investor Relations
Thank you, Joe. Good morning, and welcome to Vertiv’s First Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me today are Vertiv’s Executive Chairman, Dave Cote; Chief Executive Officer, Rob Johnson; Chief Financial Officer, David Fallon; and Chief Strategy and Development Officer, Gary Niederpruem. Before we begin, I want to point out that during the course of this call, we will make forward-looking statements regarding future events, including the future financial and operating moments of Vertiv. These forward-looking statements are subject to material risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. We refer you to the cautionary language included in today’s earnings release, and you can learn more about these risks in our annual report, our proxy statement, and other filings with the SEC. Any forward-looking statements that we make today are based on assumptions that we believe to be reasonable as of this date. We undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events. During this call, we will also present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. Our GAAP results and GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations can be found in our earnings press release and in the investor slide deck found on our website at investors.vertiv.com. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Executive Chairman, Dave Cote.
Dave Cote, Executive Chairman
Good morning. We do recognize our first quarter guidance was a low bar. However, it’s also important to note that we did better than that. We’ve been addressing key shortfalls, including execution of an aggressive pricing plan, taking a realistic look at inflationary pressures, creating a more action-focused America’s culture, and changing management in areas of the business that did not execute well. As I mentioned on the last call, I’ve been more personally involved in the business as we work our way through some of the near-term challenges. The actions we’ve taken have started to take hold, and we see the benefits playing through. The pricing realized in the first quarter of $40 million exceeded our plan by $10 million. This gives us some confidence that we are on track to deliver the pricing plan for the remainder of the year. We’re comfortable with what we see in Q2 so far. Demand backdrop remains very favorable. We anticipate even more pricing playing through the P&L as we continue to burn off more of that lower-priced backlog. The real test will be in Q3, when we expect to see the significant positive impact from our pricing actions that we’ve already taken. And Q4 will more fully reflect our run rate adjusted operating profit that sets the stage for a strong 2023. While this has been very painful for everyone, I believe the actions that have been taken, especially related to price, position us well to perform in the second half and next year. We’re taking this a quarter at a time; we cleared the Q1 hurdle, and we are on track for Q2, which will be a step up from Q1 performance. We still have to prove to you that we can do this, and we are squarely focused on taking appropriate actions to make sure we do that. So with that, I’ll turn the call over to Rob.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Dave. It’s all about our execution, and we understand that. Q1, as Dave said, was a first step, and we’re driving incredibly hard to make sure we deliver on our commitments going forward. Starting with some key messages on Slide 3. I’ve said this for a while: Demand remains very strong. In simple terms, data growth drives our business, and everywhere you look in business and in everyday lives, everything incorporates data, and Vertiv plays an essential role in making sure those vital applications in society stay up and running. Our orders were up 34% in the quarter, even considering significant price increases that were put in place in late 2021 and early 2022. We are relevant with our customers. The order rates are a good scorecard for the market share and clearly demonstrate we are winning in the marketplace, in addition to reinforcing that more pricing is possible. As Dave noted, we exceeded our first quarter guidance. As anticipated, our adjusted operating profit was under pressure in the first quarter, but we are encouraged by the overdrive on pricing performance and inflation being lower in the quarter than expected. That said, with lessons learned from last year, we are taking a prudent approach relative to inflation assumptions for this year. Even though we did better than anticipated in Q1 on pricing and inflation guidance assumptions, we are increasing the overall inflation for the rest of the year to $25 million. We are also taking additional pricing actions but have not included that benefit in our guidance. Due to our large backlog that needs to shift, we expect to see more of this additional pricing show up in 2023. While it’s hard to predict inflation and price this early in the year, we are taking a reasonable approach in light of what we are seeing. We have modified our second quarter guidance to reflect some pull ahead of sales in Q1. For Q2, we expect to continue to see some short-term delays from COVID-19 shutdowns in China. These are timing-related shifts that are not unexpected given the dynamic macro backdrop. Supply chain issues are still a challenge. Our pain points continue in these areas of electronic parts, fans, and breakers. We are not sitting idle. We are working daily on countermeasures to help us address these challenges and expect that the challenges will continue through 2022. As mentioned earlier, 2022 is all about execution. We are on track with the plan we presented for this year. As mentioned, Q1 came in slightly better. We feel good about our trajectory of the quarters ahead, allowing us to deliver a strong second half and putting Vertiv in a very good position for 2023.
David Fallon, Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Rob. Turning to Page 6. This slide summarizes our first quarter financial results, which exceeded our guidance provided at the end of February, as Rob mentioned. Net sales were up 5.3% from last year’s first quarter and slightly up organically at 0.4%. There was an $88 million benefit from the E&I acquisition, a $15 million headwind from the divestiture of our heavy industrial UPS business, and a $20 million headwind from foreign exchange, primarily in EMEA. We are encouraged by the $40 million pricing benefit in the quarter, as both Dave and Rob mentioned, and that $40 million exceeded our forecast by approximately $10 million. Most of the backlog that shipped this past quarter was booked in 2021, prior to the additional price increases implemented late last year and early this year. So this is a good signal that our initial price increases are sticking, and we should continue to see our pricing translate into bottom line performance going forward. Adjusted operating profit for the quarter of $13 million was above guidance, primarily driven by $10 million of additional price and $15 million lower material and freight inflation versus what was assumed in the guidance. Versus prior year, the $99 million reduction in adjusted operating profit included the $40 million pricing benefit as well as a $9 million benefit from E&I, which was more than offset by $85 million of material and freight inflation. We also had headwinds from foreign exchange, labor inflation, and commissions, which actually came in below our expectations for the first quarter assumed in the guidance. Along with impacts from lower volume, a $10 million incremental investment in ER&D. We still expect price/cost to be neutral in Q2 and a significant tailwind in the second half of the year, as we will discuss in our guidance slides.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, David. And just to reiterate what you said there at the end, first quarter was the initial step in delivering the 2022 plan. We did what we said we were going to do and are working hard, as David said, to earn back the credibility and really unleash the value of this business. The value drivers of this business are very much intact and, in many respects, being accelerated. We have worked hard to address the key shortcomings from Q4, as Dave mentioned, including taking aggressive price actions, enhancing our Americas culture, making changes in key management positions, and implementing core business process improvements. The key actions to make the 2022 plan have been put in place, and we’re encouraged by the progress to date. I have confidence we’re on track to deliver in our full-year commitments. As we deliver on these commitments, this will set us up very nicely for a strong 2023. We are determined to accomplish this, and I take this personally to make sure this happens. With that said, I want to thank you, and I’ll turn the call over to the operator, who will open up the line for questions.
Operator, Operator
The first question comes from Jeff Sprague with Vertical Research Partners. Please go ahead.
Jeff Sprague, Analyst
Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Just a couple of pricing-related questions for me. Just first, could you address in a little more detail, price on orders and if there’s any way to kind of frame that relative to kind of how margin and backlog is developing? I guess the underlying question is, there’s a little bit of uneasiness here that the orders are too strong because there’s not enough price in the orders. So maybe, we could start with that.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Jeff, this is Rob. I’ll address your second part of the question first, and then David will come in over the top. But I would say that if you take out two very large orders that we had, which we did get price on, our orders growth rate was about 12%. That being said, you are correct that we believe, and we’ve mentioned that earlier, that there is still more price to be had. As we do this, and we said we are and continue to do that throughout the year, we’re going to do it more specific to where product lines and areas are growing, where we have the ability to deliver, and where we have differentiation. So we do believe there’s more price, but in the 34%, there were two very, very large orders that had year-over-year price that we were very happy with, which would have taken that orders rate down to 12%. But that being said, we believe there’s more price there, and we’ll go after it. David?
David Fallon, Chief Financial Officer
Yes. And just to quantify some of that, heading into this year, in order to hit our 2022 plan for price and AOP, we had five mid-single digits pricing in the backlog heading into 2022. But we also realized we needed to get low double-digits as it relates to pricing on book and ship orders. So those are the orders that we’ll progressively ship in Q2 and Q3. And I think 85% of our shipments in Q4 will be based on book and ship, so orders that we book post December 31, 2021. And we are very much on track to realize that low double-digit pricing, low teen pricing in orders that we booked so far this year.
Jeff Sprague, Analyst
Great. And then, on the kind of the shorter-term pricing. Is there more scope there on kind of shorter cycle parts of the business in the channel? And I think you typically pass through battery, which was part of the equation, but have you done something incremental on freight or other surcharges that are kind of truing up the numbers and give me a little bit of additional cushion here relative to what you originally thought?
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Yes. A couple of areas to – you mentioned channel, and channel continues to be one that we watch and we’ll continue to look at various product lines there as well, and it could continue to get price as it relates to the channel. That’s typically a faster moving in quarter but, or at least a quarter ahead. Other areas of surcharges, you mentioned, on freight. We’re better at driving that and passing that along. And then I would say, the other area that we talk about that more shorter cycle is service and service renewal contracts. So those are some other levers that we have and continue to utilize as we drive for price.
Dave Cote, Executive Chairman
Mr. Sprague, I hope you noticed that we – third time through, we got your name right.
Jeff Sprague, Analyst
Yes, your question at Mr. Cote. Thank you very much.
Operator, Operator
The next question comes from Andy Kaplowitz with Citigroup. Please go ahead.
Andy Kaplowitz, Analyst
Good morning, everyone.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Good morning.
Andy Kaplowitz, Analyst
Can you give us a little more color into your commentary regarding Q2? As you said, your sales and operating profit guided slightly lower than your original guide, so how much in the way of sales was pull forward? And can you talk about the delays in shipments you’re seeing given China lockdowns? What’s the risk to get where versus getting – get better? And how have you factored that into your guide?
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Yes. Thanks, Andy. So overall, we took sales down in Q2 by about $5 million. About $15 million of that was volume; some was pulled into Q1, but some was also pushed into Q3. Now, we did take overall volume up for the full year, and a lot of that is sitting in Q3. So the increase in Q3 is more than just the push from Q2. But in Q2, we also had benefit from lower foreign exchange than we anticipated. And we also took E&I sales up about $5 million. If you look at the overall adjusted operating profit takedown, that’s about $10 million at the midpoint. So we had previously guided at $90 million in our range. Currently, it is $70 million to $90 million, with $80 million at the midpoint. About half of that is related to that $15 million lower volume and the other half just relating to the timing of some fixed costs.
Andy Kaplowitz, Analyst
Thanks for that. And then maybe, just shifting gears, a little more color into inflation expectations. You obviously increased your provision for the year by $10 million. I think you had that run rate of $160 million; you moved up to $110 million from $100 million. You mentioned the changes as a result of uncertainty in commodities, freight, but you’re also being more prudent. Have you seen more issues crop up yet? Or is this just more of a preemptive call given the volatility of the global supply chain?
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Yes. I think that the key word in your question is uncertainty, and I’m sure you’re hearing that on every call. We did beat the inflation number implied in our guidance for Q1, but we certainly are not celebrating. We overlaid $100 million at the beginning of the year in our guidance versus what the carryover impact was. So that’s the math you’re talking about. So we had $160 million of carryover and $100 million of additional inflation. We used $10 million of that in the first quarter. It resulted in a beat, but we also understand the dynamics of inflation and especially where we are today; it generally accelerates. And what we have done for that overlay, we have increased the full year from $100 million to $110 million, and we also retimed the impact of that $110 million. So in our previous guide, we had assumed a flat $25 million per quarter. And we told everyone we would update that after the first quarter, after we understand the updated dynamics. But in our updated guide, that $110 million is now timed: $10 million in the first quarter, $25 million in the second quarter, $35 million in the third quarter, and $40 million in the fourth quarter. So that’s definitely reflective of our anticipation of the possibility of inflation to continue to ramp up. And we generally talk about inflation in two buckets: material and freight, and to anticipate a question on the first quarter beat, most of that was in material. And the freight inflation we saw in the first quarter, notably in the Americas and also, to a certain extent, in EMEA, was higher than we expected. So, we certainly think there is risk and uncertainty across both material and freight, but certainly, the freight aspect of what we saw in the first quarter was higher than we anticipated.
Andy Kaplowitz, Analyst
It’s helpful. Thank you.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Scott Davis with Melius Research. Please go ahead.
Scott Davis, Analyst
Good morning, guys.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Good morning, Scott.
Scott Davis, Analyst
I wanted to dig in a little bit, take a step backward and talk about mechanically how you get price. There are a couple of different ways to do it. You can kind of brown people, where you can change compensation schemes. You can command and control. But how are you guys kind of doing the push-pull on getting the sales force aligned and getting all of your compensation schemes and everything aligned so this doesn’t come back and haunt you in a few years?
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Yes, Scott, this is Rob. I’ll start first of all, a couple of things we do to get price. Certainly, there’s an approval process. I think we talked about this before that under certain multipliers in which people try to sell the product, they can go and adjust price for the customer. We’ve tightened up those approval processes and taken those to a much higher level. For example, David and I are seeing much lower dollar amounts that we are approving. So we’ve taken the management team across the globe and really have driven that pricing acceptance to be there. So we can control that. And that’s how we know we’re going to get price from that perspective. And depending on where we are in the world and how the sales team and/or the teams are getting compensated, I’ll give you an example. A large portion of our U.S. compensation through our partners and so forth is that they get paid more if we get paid more. So it really is in their best interest to go negotiate more. But each part of the market is a little bit different. When we go to pricing, our service contracts, our spare parts, we look at each one of those and understand what we need to get, what we believe inflation could be, and then price above that. And quite honestly, I think the market and our customers have understood; it’s not necessarily a price thing now, it’s an availability thing and it’s the ability to get it. So that environment has helped us as well drive through it. But I’m confident where we are today, with our pricing process and our review process, which incorporates the entire management team on a weekly basis. We look at new orders coming in, we see it come. While we can’t jump up and celebrate and say we’ve beaten it, and we’ve got it all done, we feel very confident that we’re going in the right direction.
Scott Davis, Analyst
Okay. That’s helpful. And then just as a follow-up...
Dave Cote, Executive Chairman
If I could just interject. I would say, at least, in my history, the prospect of getting price increases on a decentralized basis through comp schemes or telling the sales forces is something that has a low success rate. And one of the reasons that Rob and his team are being successful here is they have largely centralized control. Whether it’s dictating what the price increase is, the multipliers, approving deviations, and just not letting any of that come through. As sales forces in general are your worst enemy when it comes to trying to get a price increase. And it’s that more centralized drive with dictates as to what it will be and making sure it’s showing up in orders pricing that is making all the difference for us.
Scott Davis, Analyst
That’s really helpful. My second question isn’t good. So I’m going to pass it on to the next guy. I’ll talk to you guys later. Thank you.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Scott.
Dave Cote, Executive Chairman
Thanks, Scott.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Steve Tusa with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.
Steve Tusa, Analyst
Hey guys, good morning.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Good morning, Steve.
Dave Cote, Executive Chairman
Good morning, Steve.
Steve Tusa, Analyst
Sorry, not sure my question is going to be much better, but – the carryover now on kind of price costs into next year, does that incremental inflation this year temper all your view of what happens next year with the run rate off of the Q4 margin that I think you guys have talked about?
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Yes. I would say, the way we handicap that internally. So we talked about a $200 million carryover impact for pricing into next year. Based on some of the additional pricing actions we’ve taken just in the last two to three weeks, I would certainly take the over on that $200 million. As it relates to inflation, I think that’s still uncertain, but there likely would be some carryover impact there. But net-net versus what we were expecting internally just 60 days ago for 2023 is unchanged, right? The bottom line for Q3 and Q4 remains relatively consistent, and that’s going to set us up for a very strong 2023 regardless. And the bottom line is, if inflation continues to go up, we’ll continue to price for it. And we’re very confident we can do that based on what we’ve seen over the last 90 days or so.
Steve Tusa, Analyst
What’s the variability to the margins, if you guys miss on volumes in the second half? You have a bit of a step-up there on volumes. If that doesn’t come in, like, what’s more important? The price kind of cost scenario or the volumes for every kind of percent of volumes, what should we kind of assume the drop-through would be on the miss?
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Yes. So we talked a lot about variable contribution margins historically. And historically, those have been in the 40% range. Based on the price cost dynamic we’ve seen over the last year or so, and it’s going to continue at least through Q2 – being neutral in Q2. It’s probably in the lower 30s, and for every dollar of lost volume, we would lose in that $0.30, $0.35 range of AOP.
Steve Tusa, Analyst
Right. Okay. Thanks. Appreciate it.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Yes.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Amit Daryanani with Evercore. Please go ahead.
Amit Daryanani, Analyst
Good morning. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. I guess the first one is, I’m hoping you can just talk a little bit about the free cash flow number for the quarter. I think it was negative $150 million. It was below what I had modeled, at least. I would love to understand how did that stack up versus your expectation? And then do you sort of expect free cash flow to be positive for the remainder of the next three quarters to hit your 2022 targets?
David Fallon, Chief Financial Officer
Yes. So the $150 million was almost spot-on with our internal expectations. Now, there are some puts and takes, and we talked about one in the prepared remarks with inventory. So inventory came in higher than what we anticipated, and we’re working on the issues there. But we did get favorability as it relates to the profit performance or the cash impact from EBITDA. And also, we had favorability related to upfront cash in the door from customers, which shows up in the balance sheet as deferred revenue. So that $150 million number was consistent with internal expectations. Now, for the full year, we still are comfortable with the $150 million positive guide. If you look at that from a quarterly basis, we do anticipate another cash burn in Q2. It should not be as high as what we saw in Q1, but we do anticipate significantly positive free cash flow for both Q3 and Q4.
Amit Daryanani, Analyst
Got it. That’s really helpful. If I could just follow up. Your perspective on the implications from China lockdowns. I know your APAC revenues were down 6%, 7%. So maybe, you just touch on what’s the implication of that from a demand perspective? And then perhaps, importantly, are you seeing any supply chain implications from parts of China being shut down as well?
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Yes. Rob Johnson here. I’ll start off. On the China situation, we’ve – anticipation, Shanghai has been shut down. Shenzhen, where we’re headquartered, is now opened back up again. Shanghai is where a lot of the ports are for exporting. We’re watching that carefully, but we believe that we can’t predict what’s going to happen with the COVID lockdown. We believe that they’ve gone through a pretty rigorous process. And towards the second half of Q2, things will open up, and we’ll see additional shipments. So APAC, really two things that impacted. One was COVID, and one was some of our wind power business, which can come in cycles from that perspective. But we – like I said, can’t necessarily declare victory on COVID; we’ll see what happens there. But in general, our expectations that we’ll pick up anything that’s happened in March and April. I’ll pick that up in later May and June.
Amit Daryanani, Analyst
Perfect. Thank you.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Thank you.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Nicole DeBlase with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.
Nicole DeBlase, Analyst
Yes, thanks. Good morning, guys.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Good morning, Nicole.
David Fallon, Chief Financial Officer
Hi, Nicole.
Nicole DeBlase, Analyst
And so just maybe to talk a little bit about what you’re seeing in Asia on that slide where you guys went through like the green and yellow bubbles. I know colo; it makes sense why you’re moving it to yellow. But I guess, when you guys see these digestion periods, in Asia, how long does that typically last? Over what timeframe can we maybe return to green?
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Sure. So there are a couple of dynamics I’ll start with, and then Gary can give you probably some more color. As we look at Asia, we break China out; we just talked about kind of COVID and the absorption of the current data centers. I mean, China has put a big plan down on building new data centers until the current ones get utilized. I think that’s a quarter or two phenomenon, maybe a little bit longer; it could go through the end of the year. As it relates to – which is part of our AsiaPac story to India, we see actually strong growth there in colo and hyperscale. So just kind of separate that out; that’s an area of what we’ll see, call it, extreme growth going forward, and we’re in a good position there. Singapore has done is kind of similar to China where they’ve kind of locked down on the number of data centers built, get the utilization up, get the PUEs up. So there are some dynamics there. And again, that’s short-lived, a couple of two or three quarters, but that’s kind of our perspective. I don’t know, Gary, any other thoughts?
Gary Niederpruem, Chief Strategy and Development Officer
Yes, I think that’s exactly right, Rob. Hey, Nicole. The only other comment I’d add to what Rob said is that what we’re finding and what the team is pivoting towards really rapidly, as even in those areas where maybe, they’re not doing as much green builds, there’s an awful lot of upgrade retrofit brownfield work that is being done there, which is really good for aftermarket for service for all of these other ideas that we can take to market now. So maybe, that the large power, the large thermal business suffers in China a little bit, but we should see a really active service retrofit, things that we can do to an existing facility to help them up their PUE. That’s where a lot of that offset is going to occur.
Nicole DeBlase, Analyst
Okay. Got it. That’s really helpful. Thank you. And then, just maybe, a shorter-term question. When you guys put together the Q2 outlook, just anything you’d highlight with respect to growth or margins by region that we should be considering, like with the bifurcation of the regional performance? Thanks.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Yes. So overall, organic sales are flat to prior year. If you look at that from a regional perspective, the overall organic growth is probably going to be outpaced in APAC and positive; EMEA, Americas flat to down, right? And – but price will be positive in each of the three regions. What is driving that overall sales difference is related to the volume, with volume up in APAC and volume likely down in the other two. From a price cost perspective, in Q1, APAC was neutral and the Americas was about $35 million negative, and EMEA was about $10 million negative. If you fast forward to Q2, overall, we’re anticipating neutral price cost versus the second quarter of last year and likely positive in both Americas and APAC and slightly negative in EMEA. So not – from a price cost perspective, not really significant differences across the three regions.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Andrew Obin with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Andrew Obin, Analyst
Yes. Good morning.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Good morning, Andrew.
David Fallon, Chief Financial Officer
Good morning, Andrew.
Andrew Obin, Analyst
Just the first question, and look, I absolutely am aware of your Chairman’s reputation for delivering the numbers, Dave. But just to understand your guidance, so you did very well in Q1, but if I look at Slide 11, Q2 operating numbers, operating profit, the midpoint was cut by 10%, Q3 by 5%, Q4 by 5%. You sort of talked about the commitment to the numbers. And I just want to understand, is it just pure conservatism? Or how much margin of safety is there in this guidance versus what you guys have given us to February? Because the tone I’m picking up is that it does sound like it’s pure conservatism. Yes, things have gotten better, but you had enough cushion in the original guidance that you just don’t want to raise for the year. Sorry to be so blunt, but I’m just trying to understand what the messaging here.
David Fallon, Chief Financial Officer
I don’t – semantically, I’m not sure what the right words are, but we’re certainly being cautious. We have reasons to be optimistic based on our Q1 performance with both pricing and what we saw with inflation. But as I mentioned earlier, we’re not celebrating the inflation performance, because we saw what happened last year when we consistently underestimated what we saw with inflation. And that is our caution. And in any regard, it’s hard to take the first quarter and make broad assumptions with what the full year is going to do, and that’s in a so-called normal year. So we certainly don’t want to get out over our skis based on what we did in Q1, and we still remain very optimistic about hitting the full-year plan. But we have introduced caution, and I think you see that with our assumptions for inflation. We beat by 15, but we took the back half up by 25. And some are looking at that as a – and I’ve heard the words cushion used, and we do not see that as a cushion. We see it as a provision for the possibility of higher expected inflation. At the end of the day, we don’t know, but we think it’s the prudent thing to do from a macro perspective.
Andrew Obin, Analyst
Yes. Look, I just want to make clear. I appreciate the track record of the operating team and your Chairman, so I don’t want to dismiss that. Question number two, are you seeing any incremental decommits from suppliers? And just – I’m thinking about motors coming out of Germany, given what’s happening in Ukraine, China COVID lockdowns, just to understand that? Or have things smoothed out there? Thanks so much.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Yes, Andrew, this is Rob. No, we’re not seeing any incremental decommits. And the way we kind of set the year was based on what suppliers could deliver in Q4. So that’s why, again, looking at not necessarily what they’re telling us they could deliver but what they’ve actually delivered. And that’s how we really set our plan. So we’re – there are various things here and there, but for the most part, some of the big things we’re talking about we think we’ve got it at a steady state. And at some point in time, things will get better. Chips are going to take time; that’s going to be into 2023, late 2023, maybe 2024. Other things we’re working through alternative solutions on fans and other things like that. So as we get more diverse supply base, we’ll have a better ability to even shore up any potential decommits because of some world disaster or something. We’ve got hit and punched with a lot of different things last year and continue to see some of those. But for the most part, we feel good about where the supply base is as of today. And we’ve taken a realistic approach to what they’re capable of doing.
Andrew Obin, Analyst
Appreciate it. Thanks a lot. Good luck.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Andrew.
David Fallon, Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Andrew.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Mark Delaney with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Mark Delaney, Analyst
Yes, thanks very much for taking the question. The first is on pricing of the $360 million of pricing assumed in the 2022 revenue guidance. I think as of the last earnings call, $125 million of that had been already booked and was in backlog, and there was $235 million that you still needed to book a higher pricing and on a schedule for 2022 delivery of that $235 million. Can you give us an update on how much of that has been achieved? And is there any store remaining that’s needed to be booked at these higher prices?
David Fallon, Chief Financial Officer
Yes. Thanks, Mark. We can give an update on that. So your numbers were spot on. So heading into the year, we had $125 million in backlog; $235 million was go-get in book and ship. If we snap the chalk line at the end of Q1, of course, we had $40 million in actuals. And we also were able to actually include additional pricing in backlog from orders. So at the end of Q1, we had about $155 million of pricing in backlog that we would realize over Q2 through Q4. And then we had $165 million that is the go-get and book and ship. So if you take the $360 million, that hasn’t changed. We have $40 million in actual, $155 million in backlog at the end of Q1, and the book and ship number is $165 million for the full $360 million.
Mark Delaney, Analyst
Got it. Thanks, David. And my follow-up question was on the inflationary environment and what you’re seeing for cost. If I understood correctly, as of the last earnings call, the $260 million of cost inflation that was assumed for the year, it was $160 million based on what you were seeing at spot, and then there was $100 million that was just buffer for potential future cost increases. Now, at $270 million, I wanted to check on the composition of that and clarify one, is the $270 million reflecting spot? Because we’ve seen some big moves up in things like steel and freight, so I did want to make sure that is reflected in this $270 million number. And then the second part of it, is there any conservatism now for cost increases, maybe you haven’t seen? Or is there no more buffer and it’s just based on the spot moves? Thanks.
David Fallon, Chief Financial Officer
Yes. I think it’s a combination of what we’re seeing today and the expectation that inflation should continue to accelerate. So the $100 million provision we had for new inflation in 2022. We increased that from $100 million to $110 million, but as we mentioned, of note is the timing. So we had about $10 million of favorability in Q1 – I’m sorry, $15 million of favorability in Q1, but we took the back half of the year up by $25 million. Now, we do have some internal breakdowns of where we expect to see that from a regional perspective and a breakdown between material and freight, but we certainly are – understand the fungibility and the uncertainty as it relates to inflation. So we certainly have provision, and we do not use terms like cushion or buffer as it relates to our approach to this inflation. We are assuming that this is going to happen, and that’s very critical and key for us as we continue to price for it. So we’re all hopeful, and I think every company out there is hopeful that inflation does not accelerate from where we are today. But we are not making that assumption. We are going to continue to assume that it gets worse. And if you look at that ramp of that $110 million, as we mentioned, we used $10 million in Q1. We’ve provided for $25 million in Q2, $35 million in Q3, and $40 million in Q4. So we will be happy if things do not end up like that, but we are absolutely assuming that it will.
Mark Delaney, Analyst
Okay. Just a brief follow-up on that just to make sure I understand this. So even if steel is sustained at the kind of spot prices it’s been at recently and the cost of shipping things around the world stays at these levels or perhaps, even gets a little bit worse, you guys still feel like your cost estimate for inflation this year is appropriate?
David Fallon, Chief Financial Officer
We certainly don’t have a crystal ball, but based on what we are seeing today with inflation, we are very comfortable with that $110 million. Are there scenarios that could come in higher? Absolutely. We saw that last year when we were trying to handicap probabilities of higher prices. But we are certainly expecting continued acceleration, but we believe what we have provided for in the $110 million should cover a realistic expectation of inflation for the rest of the year.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
And Mark, we’ll continue, as we mentioned. Pricing isn’t a one-and-done thing. It’s a daily weekly activity for all of us. So as we see anything, we’ll continue to drive the pricing up accordingly as we go forward.
Mark Delaney, Analyst
Understood. Thank you.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Nigel Coe with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.
Nigel Coe, Analyst
Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to circle back to orders. You called out two large orders. And I don’t recall – maybe, I’m wrong here, but I don’t really recall large orders swinging the number that much. So my question is, are we seeing here some evidence of increased product scope with E&I coming through on some of the orders here? And then maybe, just talk about E&I; how that’s been tracking? I mean, I understand it’s sort of in line with your FY 2020 plan so far, but margins, I think, are still tracking well below where the M&A plan was. I’m just wondering what the recovery plan looks like for E&I margins?
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Nigel, I’ll take the first part of that. This is Rob. And then Gary, the second. As it relates to a couple of large orders, I think we’ve mentioned before, and I talked a little bit about the innovation. Some of our new innovations have really taken traction and people who hadn’t bought those solutions in the past or buying those. And then in some cases, securing more than a quarter’s worth of actual supply. We’re seeing 12 months of supply being orders paced for that. So yes. So we kind of wanted to take those two orders out that were around some of the new products we’ve had to say, okay, our actual growth rate is around 12%. But that being said, we still very feel confident that there’s more price to go get. And normally, we don’t talk about who the orders come in from and what, but we are beginning to see larger orders in the past. And then from the adoption of some of our new technologies that people haven’t used in the past and shifted anyway from some of the traditional methodologies of, let’s say, thermal management. As regards to E&I, Gary?
Gary Niederpruem, Chief Strategy and Development Officer
Yes, absolutely, Rob. Yes, we are pretty happy with the traction on the E&I side. So some of that incremental revenue that comes in, some of it flows through the E&I, as a little bit closer to the Vertiv, but it’s a lot of the solutions orientation that we’re getting by being able to couple switch gear and busway into the broader solutions. We’re also being pretty effective at this point of ramping up the sales forces, particularly in that Tier 2 colo space in the enterprise space to sell additional bus lane switch gear. So all of that is in flight and on that side, probably tracking a little bit even faster than what we thought, being offset a little bit because it’s just tough to combine some of the cost synergies, clearly as fast as we thought with the supply chain and inflation piece of it. But if you take all of that and net it out, we’re pretty much right on plan. And if you look at no different than the core Vertiv Q4, if you look at the E&I Q4, they’ll be in the low 20s percent AOP type of run rate, which bodes really well to give us back on plan to where we should be for 2023. So all things considered, pretty happy with the way that’s played out.
Nigel Coe, Analyst
That’s great news. And then, my follow-on question is, maybe, you talk about the efforts around qualifying new suppliers and reengineering products. That was a big initiative, kind of towards the end of 2021. So just wondering if we’ve made much traction there and whether that’s having any discernible impact in terms of the supply chain?
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Sure. Nigel, this is Rob. Absolutely. And we continue to do that today. It’s not an effort that’s completed. Some of these redesigns are spins of new boards and the new code for different chips. Those take longer, right? Those don’t necessarily happen within a quarter. We see good progress on that. Some focused areas for us are some diversification in some of the breakers that we use, and we’ve been well through the qualifications of that, and that should help us as we go through this and continue to work really hard on the fan supply and looking at and qualifying and bringing on more suppliers there and different designs as well. So I feel good about that, and I feel like that some of those after we get through released to manufacturing and the volumes can be hit by some of these new suppliers, yes, it could be a positive thing for at least towards the end of the year going into 2023. So I think what we’ve done, a lot of that will benefit from the latter part of this year, really going into next year as we move forward.
Nigel Coe, Analyst
Okay. Great. Thanks, Rob.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Nigel.
Operator, Operator
Our next question comes from Lance Vitanza with Cowen. Please go ahead.
Lance Vitanza, Analyst
Hi, guys. Congrats on the quarter. I have a two-part question regarding price increases and Vertiv competitiveness versus its peers. It’s probably no surprise, but I’m hearing some anecdotes that some of your customers are none too pleased, and in some cases, have threatened to move business from Vertiv to other suppliers the first chance they get. Now, I get it. No one likes to pay more, and we all like to complain when we’re forced to pay more. So who knows what eventually happens. But my question is, a, do you worry that your price increases may ultimately leave you in a less competitive position versus your peers? And b, what, if anything, does this feedback suggest about your ability to maintain price when the supply chain eventually eases?
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Hi, Lance this is Rob. Thanks for the question. I appreciate you joining today. What I would say as it relates to the competitiveness and the pricing. What we found, something that we’ve learned really through all of this, which has been a good thing is, when we innovate, when we have a superior solution out there in the market, we can get price for that. And so as we think about our pricing, it isn’t just across the board price increases. And what we found is some of our leading innovative products that typically compete against, I would say, more small regional mom-and-pops is that people are willing to pay for that. They want a global supplier. So we feel good about that price sticking for the value we’re delivering. I would say, we probably underpriced on some of these innovative solutions with the value that they bring to our customers. And maybe, some frustration you’re hearing out there because we’re not seeing; we’re seeing in areas and finding areas where actually our prices were lower than they should be or lower than competitors. The market is frustrated in general about delivery and delivery timelines because the growth that we’re seeing is unprecedented. So I would say, maybe, some of the noise, at least as I hear it is, hey, we want to get those products. We want to – it’s not an issue of the price, it’s an issue of delivery, and we need those products sooner rather than later. And so our thesis, now, has always been and will continue to be as an innovator and continue to provide more value to our customers; the market will pay for that. For example, some of the PUE stuff that we’re doing in our thermal units in China. We’re one of the few, if not only manufacturers now in China that can meet the government-mandated PUEs coming forward. So we will continue to differentiate on innovation and continue to drive price as it relates to that. There are areas that are probably more commoditized; what we rely on there and it works is our service organization. People pay more for Vertiv products if they can get the Vertiv service behind that. So that’s another, I would call, a key differentiator for us that we’re seeing that through these tough times, people want our service.
Operator, Operator
There are no further questions at this time. This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Rob Johnson for any closing remarks.
Rob Johnson, Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Operator. While the macro environment remains volatile, I feel good about the actions we have taken to deliver on our commitments. I understand we are still in the process of earning back your trust. I believe our Q1 performance is a first step on that path. And I look forward to doing the same over the next several quarters. I want to express my appreciation to all of our employees, partners, customers, and investors for their continued support, and I want to say thanks to everyone for being on the call today. This concludes our call.
Operator, Operator
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.