VST · Vistra Corp.
$139.81
-0.22 (-0.16%)
At close · Aug 27
View the 10-Q filed May 8, 2026
Customer concentration
— top customer 40% of receivables
One customer — 40% of receivables (March 31, 2026)
“Significant (i.e., 10% or greater) concentration of credit exposure exists with one counterparty, which represented an aggregate $298 million, or 40%, of our total net exposure of our wholesale segments as of March 31, 2026.”
Market Cap
$47.00B
Shares
335.64M
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$139.81
Open$142.00
Day$138.45–142.51
52W close$134.71–217.92
Avg vol 30d4.4M
Short int9.6M · 2.9% float · 1.9d
Short vol36%
Last earningsAug 7, 2026
DataJan 2020–Aug 2026
Filing10-Q · Aug 10
Up next
Next earnings call
Nov 7, 2026
Est · unconfirmed
· in 10 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026
Est
filed Aug 10, 2026
AI Brief
TL;DR.
Bullish
Bearish
From the call
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Ask ALVIS about this →Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceOverall
Sell
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Strong Sell
Momentum
Very Weak
Sentiment
Neutral
Fundamentals
Fair
Quant / Vol
High
Market backdrop
VIX 14.5 · calm
Equity put/call 0.39
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Price vs 200-day avg
−12%
below
Price vs 50-day avg
−8%
below
RSI (14)
43
neutral
MACD trend
Negative
52-week position
6%
near low
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
volume backs price
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
−6%
trailing
6-month return
−12%
trailing
YTD return
−13%
this year
Relative strength
−27%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $152 › 200d $159 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+6% holders QoQ · +229 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$466.0K over 90 days · 50% sells
Short interest
Rising
2.87% of float · ▲ +11.0% MoM · 1.9 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
1,405 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score
49
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
Revenue growth
+3%
Y/Y
EPS growth
−69%
Y/Y
Free cash flow
$1.3B
Buyback
$1.2B
remaining
Balance sheet
$18.1B
net debt
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
50%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−38%
past year
ATR
4.0%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the 8-K filed Aug 7, 2026
Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA
· 2026
Non-GAAP
$6.8B – $7.6B
Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG
· 2026
Non-GAAP
$3.93B – $4.73B
Prior guidance
period ended
· from the Earnings Call filed Sep 30, 2025
Adjusted EBITDA
· 2025
$5.7B – $5.9B
Adjusted free cash flow before growth
· 2025
$3.3B – $3.5B
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Strong Sell
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
−12%
Bearish
Price vs 50-day avg
−8%
Bearish
RSI (14)
43
Neutral
MACD trend
Negative
Bearish
52-week position
6%
Bearish
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Mixed
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $152 › 200d $159 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+6% holders QoQ · +229 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$466.0K over 90 days · 50% sells
Short interest
Rising
2.87% of float · ▲ +11.0% MoM · 1.9 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
1,405 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $135
Now $140 · 6%
Range high $218
vs 200-day avg -12%
vs 50-day avg -8%
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| East segment capacity factors - CCGT facilities | 53.7% | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| East segment capacity factors - Lignite and coal facilities | 35.7% | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| East segment capacity factors - Nuclear facilities | 90% | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| East segment production volumes (GWh) - Lignite and coal facilities | 3,058 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| East segment production volumes (GWh) - Natural gas facilities | 15,805 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| East segment production volumes (GWh) - Nuclear facilities | 7,954 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| East segment production volumes (GWh) - Solar facilities | 214 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| EBITDA before Adjustments non-GAAP | $1.3B | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP Net income (loss) 305M
+122M Income tax expense
+312M Interest expense and related charges (a)
+560M Depreciation and amortization (b)
= EBITDA before Adjustments 1.3B
|
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| Retail electricity sales volumes (GWh) - Sales volumes in ERCOT | 18,326 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Retail electricity sales volumes (GWh) - Sales volumes in Northeast/Midwest | 13,474 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Retail electricity sales volumes (GWh) - Total retail electricity sales volumes | 31,800 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Texas segment capacity factors - CCGT facilities | 62.5% | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Texas segment capacity factors - Lignite and coal facilities | 60% | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Texas segment capacity factors - Nuclear facilities | 85% | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Texas segment production volumes (GWh) - Lignite and coal facilities | 6,309 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Texas segment production volumes (GWh) - Natural gas facilities | 11,605 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Texas segment production volumes (GWh) - Nuclear facilities | 4,456 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Texas segment production volumes (GWh) - Solar facilities | 278 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| West segment capacity factors - CCGT facilities | 25.2% | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| West segment production volumes (GWh) - Natural gas facilities | 578 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | $3.22B | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| Adjusted EBITDA by Segment - East non-GAAP | $1.44B | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| Adjusted EBITDA by Segment - Retail non-GAAP | $841M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
|
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| Adjusted EBITDA by Segment - Texas non-GAAP | $897M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
|
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| Adjusted EBITDA by Segment - West non-GAAP | $124M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
|
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| hedged expected generation volumes for 2026 | 100% | As of Aug. 3, 2026 | — |
| hedged expected generation volumes for 2027 | 94% | As of Aug. 3, 2026 | — |
| hedged expected generation volumes for 2028 | 72% | As of Aug. 3, 2026 | — |
| Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | $3.26B | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
|
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| share repurchase authorization remaining | $1.2B | As of Aug. 3, 2026 | — |
| share repurchases since November 2021 | $6.5B | As of Aug. 3, 2026 | — |
| shares outstanding | 336M | As of Aug. 3, 2026 | — |
| total available liquidity | $6.3B | As of June 30, 2026 | — |
| Adjusted free cash flow before growth non-GAAP | $3.5B | FY2025 | — |
| Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG non-GAAP | $3.59B | Full-Year 2025 | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Utilities - Independent Power Producers — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
VST
this stock
Vistra Corp.
|
$47.00B | -13.3% | +3.0% | 23.6 | 2.9% |
|
CEG
Constellation Energy Corp
|
$99.09B | -20.1% | +8.3% | 27.3 | 2.7% |
|
NRG
Nrg Energy, Inc.
|
$24.37B | -28.2% | +9.2% | — | 2.9% |
|
TLN
Talen Energy Corp
|
$14.68B | -18.7% | +22.0% | — | 4.5% |
|
OKLO
Oklo Inc.
|
$7.68B | -40.7% | — | — | 14.0% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Smart Money
Financials
Filings
Earnings & Events
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VST | +0.6% | -5.9% | -11.9% | -5.7% | -13.3% |
| SPY | +1.1% | +4.0% | +14.7% | +3.2% | +13.1% |
| vs SPY | -0.5% | -9.9% | -26.6% | -8.9% | -26.4% |
Capital returns
Latest dividend
$0.229
/ share · ex Jun 22, 2026
Declared · upcoming
$0.23
/ share · ex Sep 21, 2026
Paid (TTM)
$0.91
/ share · 4 payouts
Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
0.65%
Buyback program
· as of Aug 3, 2026
Authorized
$7.75B
Spent (derived)
$6.53B
Remaining
$1.22B
Spent
Remaining
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.
Key facts
CIK
1692819
CUSIP
92840M102
13F (30d)
1008 filings
996 filers
Visit website
Investor relations