Xcel Energy Inc Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call

Hello, and welcome to the Shell Energy 2026 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Jordan, and I'll be your coordinator for today's event. Please note, this conference is being recorded, and for the duration of the call, your lines will be in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the prepared remarks, and questions will only be taken from institutional investors and analysts. Reporters can contact media relations with inquiries and individual investors and others can reach out to Investor Relations. I will now turn the call over to your host today, Mr. Rupesh Agawal, Vice President, Investor Relations, to begin the conference. Please go

ahead, sir. Thank you, Jordan. Good morning, and welcome to Accel Energy's 2026 First Quarter Earnings Call. Joining me today are Bob Frenzel, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and Brian Van Abel, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. In addition, we have other members of the management team in the room to answer your questions if needed. This morning, we will review our 2026 first quarter results and highlights, provide updated 2026 assumptions, and share recent business and regulatory updates. Slides that accompany today's call are available on our website. some comments during today's call may contain forward-looking information significant factors that could cause results to differ from those anticipated are described in our earnings release and sec filings discuss certain metrics that are non-gap measures information on the comparable gap measures and reconciliations are included in our earnings release in the first quarter of 2026 the alj for the prairie island outage case recommended an additional 42 41 million dollar disallowance of replacement power costs for power procured in 2024 associated with an extended outage at the plant starting late 2023. As a result, Xcel Energy recorded a charge of $37 million or four cents per share in the first quarter. Additionally, in the first quarter of 2026, Xcel Energy recognized $22 million or three cents per share due to an increase in estimated insurance proceeds for the Marshall Wildfire litigation. Given the non-recurring nature of these items, they have been excluded from first quarter ongoing earnings. As a result, our GAAP earnings for the first quarter of 2026 were $0.89 per share, while our ongoing earnings, which exclude these non-recurring charges, were $0.91 per share. All further references to earnings, drivers, and variances in our discussion today will refer to ongoing earnings. For more information on this, please see the disclosures in our earnings release. I will now turn the call over to Bob.

Thank you, Rupesh, and good morning, everybody. At Xcel Energy, our mission

is to make energy work better for our customers, helping them thrive. Our past quarter showcased our commitment to this mission through focus, execution, and delivering on our plans to strengthen and modernize the grid, to expand our energy sources, and to deploy innovative technologies to ensure that the energy that we provide our customers remains reliable, affordable, and safe, both now and well into the future. And on these fronts, we are off to a great start this year. In the first quarter, Xcel Energy invested over $3 billion in new infrastructure to support our customers and states' growing energy needs for increased resilience and cleaner energy, and we're on track to deliver our most extensive capital investment plan in the company's history this year. We identified additional transmission and generation needs in our states, delivering on our expectation of incremental investment above our base plan. We announced the tales of our contract with Google for a new data center in the upper Midwest that we believe is a model for large load development that benefits customers and communities. We filed that contract with the Minnesota PUC. We continued to use our scale and our balance sheet to ensure that we have the right partnerships with critical suppliers, tier one EPC firms, and developers to execute on budget, on time, and on scope on our growing portfolio of projects. We delivered strong, ongoing earnings of $0.91 per share. We remain confident in our ability to deliver on our annual investment plans and our earnings guidance for the 22nd year in a row, one of the best track records in the industry. On our fourth quarter call, we announced progress on our data center pipeline with a signed ESA for a large data center in the upper Midwest. During the first quarter, we provided further details about this groundbreaking agreement with Google. As demand for electricity accelerates across the country, we believe that utilities have a responsibility to lead with solutions that balance innovation, reliability, sustainability, and affordability. Xcel Energy's customers already have some of the lowest energy bills in the country. In fact, when you adjust for inflation, the typical Xcel Energy residential energy bill is almost 25% lower today than it was 10 years ago. And in nominal terms, Xcel Energy residential electric bills are approximately 30% below the national average. Under a 15-year agreement, Google will cover the entire cost of its service and infrastructure requirements to power its new data center, including 1,900 megawatts of new wind and solar generation and long-duration storage using Form Energy's innovative 100-hour iron-air battery. With credit protections in place, we estimate that this new data center will save customers $1 to $1.5 billion over the term of the ESA, helping keep customer bills low long into the future. In addition, and as part of our shared sustainability goals, water needs for the data center will be limited through Google's use of air-cooled technology in lieu of water-cooled. In April, we also reached a definitive, non-exclusive agreement on our previously announced MOU with NextEra Energy to co-develop generation, storage, and interconnections to accelerate data center development across our operating companies. We expect this joint development agreement will deliver a balance of company-owned resources and purchase power agreements with NextEra across all forms of generation, including wind, solar, and natural gas. We are already underway, developing solutions for two gigawatts of new data center capacity with plans to expand in the near future. In April, we also followed our large-load tariff in Colorado with proposed terms that are similar in scope to our Google ESA and the Minnesota large-load tariff filings. Data centers will commit to long-term contracts with minimum bills, termination fees, credit requirements, and incremental cost tests to ensure that our existing customers are protected from new large-load customer needs. In the coming months, we plan to make similar filings in Texas, New Mexico, and Wisconsin. We believe our partnerships with hyperscalers, regulators, communities, and developers set a high bar for responsible large load development. We're partnering to ensure large load growth strengthens our overall system, benefits our local communities, and maintains our state's clean energy goals, and doesn't increase costs for our existing customers. These collective actions give us confidence in our ability to deliver on our forecast to secure six gigawatts of data center load by year-end 2027, with in-service dates into the early 2030s. October of last year, we outlined our plan to meet the growing infrastructure needs of our customers. We detailed a $60 billion base investment plan to continue our energy transition and to make needed investments to strengthen our transmission and distribution systems. At that time, we also expected that our base plan would likely need to be augmented based on anticipated but unimproved transition and generation needs. Through the first quarter, we now believe we have line of sight to at least $7-plus billion of the $10-plus billion opportunity that we highlighted last year. This incremental investment includes the 765 kV crawfish draw to phantom transition line in our SPS company that was allocated by SPP in February. Two-thirds or over 1,200 megawatts of the generation of storage needed for the Google Data Center project, and 800 megawatts of generation approved by the Colorado Commission in February and April as part of the near-term procurement portfolio. From here, we continue to see additional infrastructure investment needed to serve our growing customer needs, including active generation RFPs in Piesco, NFP, and SPS. additional regional transmission investments in SPP and MISO, and the generation to support the three gigawatts of data center demand that we added to our target plan on the Q4 earnings call. As these opportunities materialize, they will drive additional growth in investment, both within and beyond our five-year capital plan. As we continue to add the capital backlog, it's also important to execute on the projects that are in the Q. And in the first quarter, Xcel Energy invested over $3 billion dollars in new infrastructure for our customers. We brought online nearly 500 megawatts of new solar generation and utility-scale battery storage in SPS and in Colorado. In total, these projects will deliver system resiliency and reliability, as well as over $425 million of tax credit benefits to our customers over the life of the projects. And across our entire portfolio projects from 2026 to 2030, we expect customers will see more than $7 billion in aggregate benefits from PTCs and ITCs associated with various generation and storage projects, helping keep our customer bills amongst the lowest in the country. With continued growth across our industry, we also recognize that supply chains and qualified labor for generation, transmission, and distribution projects will become more constrained. That's why our recently announced alliances with GE Vernova and NextEra, and strategic agreements with Tier 1 EPC firms across our portfolio of renewable and gas generation, transmission, and distribution projects are critical to delivering on our growing investment pipeline well into the 2030s. Our field teams continue to operate at the highest levels and were recently recognized by EEI with an emergency recovery award for outstanding effort to restore service quickly and safely following severe thunderstorms that came through our upper Midwest service territory in 2025. And for the seventh year in a row, Xcel Energy was named the world's most ethical company honoree by Ethisphere, which measures the company's corporate governance, culture of ethics, and environmental and societal impact. As we look forward to the rest of 2026, Xcel Energy will continue our focus to deliver customers safe, clean, reliable, and affordable energy. to execute with excellence on our 2026 $14 billion capital investment plan, our most extensive in the company's history, to realize the unprecedented opportunities for growth that we laid out in our base and incremental investment plans, to secure incremental large customer loads that can benefit all customers and meet this moment in our country's growing demand for energy, to reach constructive outcomes on multiple rate cases and resource solicitations, to make operational and system-hardening investments, to protect our communities from the risks of extreme weather and to deliver on our earnings guidance for the 22nd year in a row. And with that, I'll turn it over to Brian.

And to results of $0.91 per share for the first quarter of 2026

compared to earnings of $0.84 per share in 2025. The most significant earnings drivers for the quarter include the following. Higher electric revenues due to rate case outcomes, non-fuel riders, in sales growth, partially offset by weather, increased earnings by $0.23 per share. In higher AVDC, increased earnings by $0.10 per share. Upsetting these positive drivers, higher interest charges in common equity financing, decreased earnings by $0.18 per share, reflecting funding of our infrastructure investments and discipline to maintain a strong balance sheet. In amortization, decreased earnings by $0.05 per share, reflecting our capital investment programs. and lower natural gas revenues due to weather, partially offset by rate case outcomes, decreased earnings by $0.03 per share. Experienced this warmest winter on record during the first quarter. As a result, impacts from weather to electric and natural gas sales reduced earnings by $0.09 per adjusted basis, at 2.8%, driven by continued oil and gas growth in SPS and broader C&I growth across jurisdictions. For 2026, we continue to expect full-year weather-adjusted electric sales to increase 3%. Recent regulatory activity. In our North Dakota electric rate case, the Commission approved our previously announced settlement authorizing a $27 million revenue increase. For the electric rate case, we reached a constructive black box settlement with staff for a net revenue increase of $26 million, expected in the second quarter. We received intervener testimony in our Colorado electric rate case, which we believe provides a starting point for ongoing settlement discussions over the next month. We received the ALJ report in our Minnesota electric rate case, recommending a 9.8% ROE and a 52.5% equity ratio, with a final commission decision early in the third quarter. And in New Mexico electric rate case, intervener testimony is due on May 1st, and we expect a commission decision in the fourth quarter. As we look to our financing plan, Accel Energy continues our commitment to maintain a strong balance sheet to fund accretive growth with a balance of equity and debt. In the first quarter, we issued four contracts for over $1 billion of equity from our ATM program. Additionally, we issued an $800 million junior subordinated note at the holding company, which receives 50% equity credit with the rating agencies. Combined with our unsettled forwards and collared forward contracts from 2025, addresses over half of our $7 billion of equity need in our five-year base plan. We continue to make strong progress on the Smokehouse Creek wildfire claims process. We've resolved 231 of the 304 submitted claims. We've reached settlements of 79 of 107 potential claims presented for mediation by parties represented by attorneys. And finally, 26 of 73 complaints have been settled or dismissed and have reached the statute of limitations for property loss claims. We have updated the low end of our estimated liability to $460 million. We have committed $397 million in settlement agreements, including agreements with the subrogated insurance plaintiffs and the three largest claims by acreage. In total, we have $525 million of insurance coverage. According to guidance, we are reaffirming our 2026 ongoing EPS guidance range of $4.04 to $4.16 per share. We are confident in our ability to deliver 6 to 8-plus percent long-term earnings growth and expect to deliver 9% EPS growth on average through 2030. Updates to key assumptions are included in our slides in earnings release. Earnings of $0.91 per share. We continue to lead a clean energy transition while ensuring safe, clean, and reliable service and keeping customer bills as low as possible. We have line of sight to $7-plus billion of opportunities in our incremental $10-plus billion investment plan. We've announced details of our data center agreement with Google, which we believe is a model for driving large low growth while protecting and providing benefits to our other customers and communities. We've partnered with multiple Tier 1 EPC firms, critical suppliers, and developers to ensure we have the resources needed to execute on a growing portfolio of investment opportunities on budget, on time, and on scope. We continue to work to reach constructive outcomes, including settlements and our active rate cases, strong balance sheet and credit metrics, and have addressed over half of our $7 billion five-year base equity need. Our 2026 ongoing EPS guidance of $4.04 to $4.16 per share. Confident in our ability to deliver 6 to 8-plus percent long-term earnings growth and expect to deliver 9% EPS growth on average. This concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, we will now take questions.

It is now the question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, simply press star plus one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from the line of Richard Sunderland from Truist Securities. Your line is live.

Hey, good morning, everyone. Good morning. Starting with some of the, thank you,

starting with some of the regulatory progress this week, you know, I guess Colorado with the intervener testimony, could you expand a little bit more on the sort of settlement potential over the next month that you referenced in the script, and I guess just curious about any other takeaways you'd highlight there, and then similarly on Minnesota with the ALJ rec, just any other thoughts you

could offer would be helpful. Thank you. Yeah, absolutely, and good morning. I think I'll start with Colorado Electric. I think maybe we'd take a step back a little bit from a macro view. We have the lowest bills in the country in Colorado, 1% share of wallet. We have one of the fastest transitioning clean energy systems, generation fleets in the country, and so we're achieving state policy, and hopefully that is recognized by our policymakers in the state. Now, specifically about the rate case, we look at the intervener direct testimony, and it's relatively consistent with what we saw in the last case, and if you look at our last case in Colorado, we had a near unanimous settlement, and we've settled three of the pass for electric cases. So we think we have a decent starting point. If you look at the procedural schedule, the settlement deadline is on May 28th. So we'll start settlement discussions, look forward to working with the parties early in May, and hopefully we can reach our constructive settlement like we have in the last few rate cases. So that's kind of on the Colorado side. On the Minnesota side, for those of you who didn't catch it, we have the Minnesota ALJ We already shipped off our ER, so it's not referenced in our earnings release. You will see details in it that we filed later today. No, we think it's generally a balanced overall recommendation. It's constructive to see a 9.8% ROE, a 52.5% equity ratio. We're digesting a few of the other kind of trackers and other pieces in it, but overall we think it's a constructive recommendation. We will see an MPUC deliberations in June and then an MPUC order in July. So as we talked about, you know, we're working through a lot of rate cases and looking to reach some constructive outcomes this year

and deliver for both our customers and our shareholders.

Thanks for running through all of that. And then turning to some of the data center activity, obviously you had a lot of commentary around the Google agreement and the landmark effort there. But I'm curious, I guess it's slide 14. I think the four gigawatts contracted by year-end 27, just, you know, any thoughts on sort of the gating factors to signing the, you know, six to 8 billion incremental CapEx framework you called out elsewhere in the deck, is that applicable there? And I guess just anything you can highlight on the financing side of those advances as well, you know, any, any unique ways to finance that.

You know, Bob, let me kick it off. And then I'll ask Brian to weigh in with anything extra, you know, not surprisingly yesterday's hyperscaler announcements continue to show high interest in data center development, and we're seeing a lot of interest across all eight of our states in terms of activity and backlog. So at the top of the slide you mentioned, Richard, is a 20-gigawatt backlog, and that continues to – a greater than 20-gigawatt backlog, and that just continues – the interest level continues to grow in our service territories. You know, we've got a gig under – either built or under construction, another one that we're in front of the commissions with approvals on, particularly this Google transaction, and expect, as we said in our fourth quarter call, to execute on enough ESAs this year that we get to a three gig target, another three gigs next year. So we're actively engaged with our customers. These are long and deliberate discussions to make sure that we can reach innovative and constructive outcomes like we did with the Google. I think we've proven that we can do, you know, competitive, highly renewable center development in our regions. I'd say we have a focus there with our JDA with NextEra, but as we think about the large load tariff filing in Colorado and the abilities that it allows us to bring the generation, the transmission, and the load all together in a package to the Colorado Commission, and then we have those capabilities as well through both. We do expect to file a large load tariff in Texas, but it doesn't preclude us from coming forward with contracts in the near term. So we're active on the engagement front with all the hyperscalers and all the large data center developers and just a lot of interest in what we provide in terms of cost renewables that our existing customers have benefited from, and we think these large load customers can.

Yeah, just a couple of things to make sure we get all part of your question there. As we think about, you referenced a $68 billion number. That's something we've had in our slides before in terms of, you know, That's what we view the incremental investment opportunity to serve every gigawatt of data center. If you look at Google being a model, it's certainly think about moving forward our clean energy policies and priorities and meeting our state objectives, that gives us a really good investment opportunity when we think about how we're going to serve these. And you think about, if you look at the slide, when we talk about our $10-plus billion investment pipe, we talk about the RFPs, 10 to 12 gigawatts of RFPs in flight, And then it's the three additional gigawatts of data centers that we expect to contract. Those three gigawatts of data centers are going to be another generation that we need. So a huge long-term opportunity to kind of fill in the back end of this five-year, but also just deliver not only about, you know, filling in our investment pipeline here in the back half of this decade, but really driving investment, driving the investment pipeline in the early 2030s. And that is, you know, have to mention just the customer affordability opportunity that this drives. And we think about the opportunity with the resources and the resources advantage we have in the middle of the country, affordability benefits. We're super excited about this opportunity. You asked about a kind of advancing, just like we know our peers are. Right now, our base plan to beat is how we've talked about it, you know, funding incremental CAPEX with incremental equity of roughly four. We're already ahead of our five-year plan, and we have 50% of our equity taken down for our base five-year plan. So I think we deliver accretive growth with equity and maintain that strong balance sheet because we think it's really important as you go through this cycle of long-term extension. So, sorry, long-winded answer, but you have like three or four questions there.

I appreciate the comprehensive response.

Your next question comes from the line of Nicholas Campanella from Barclays. Your line is live.

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions.

Morning, Nick. And appreciate all the regulatory follow-up. Hey, how are you? Maybe just on the – you have line of sight now to the $7 billion of incremental versus, I think, $10 billion of upside. And just maybe give us some clarity on the shaping of that spend. And as you roll forward the plan, I believe, to 2031, just how much of that is going to get encapsulated.

Yeah. Hey, Nick. Good morning. I can take that one. And we kind of, you know, in that slide, slide eight in our earnings deck, we kind of highlight the different pieces of that $7-plus billion. Think about that 765 transmission line in SPS. You know, that should be in service by the goal is by 2031. So a lot of that will be captured in our current five-year plan, I think kind of the back part of that five-year plan. The Colorado generation, 800 megawatts, some gas and 600 megawatts of wind. And, again, that should be, you know, in service by around 2030, particularly the wind, when your goal is to capture the production tax credits. And then we haven't specified the in-service dates on the Assets to Serve Google. That's still not public. But if you think about it, if it's wind and solar, the goal is to get those in to capture the tax credits to ensure that you have, you know, low cost. And then how this stuff rolls.

Okay, that's great. I really appreciate that.

And then maybe just the follow-up is, you know, as you get to the back end of that plan, the large loads are going to be ramping, hopefully. And, you know, at what point would you kind of revisit the 40% equity financing assumption? And then, you know, secondly, just, you know, any thoughts on defending the BAA1 outlook here with Moody's?

You know, we think about it longer term.

It's important to maintain a strong balance sheet, good credit metrics. Now, we certainly understand where we are with Moody's. The term is that 17% CFO to debt type of metric. Obviously, in a large bill cycle, it gets pressured a little bit, but we do believe, and I've always said it, anyone who's listened to me for the past six years as CFO, is that it's important to maintain a strong balance sheet over the long term. In terms of that equity financing, you know, that's generally been our rule of thumb. But every time we roll forward a new five-year plan, depending on the cash generation, cash projects and service, tax benefits, you know, we sell 40% of the rule of thumb. But, you know, we'll continue to be consistent with what really maintains our metrics. But like I said, we think in this type of build cycle, this type of capital investment of volatility in the market is important.

Great, and then just one more that I had that we were curious on is just the micelle capacity print. I mean, I know it came down a little bit earlier this past week, and do you see that as a tailwind at all to the territory that you're operating in? And then as you kind of think about capacity planning and, you know, where you're doing data-centered development, how is that maybe changing thoughts there?

Yeah. Hey, Nick, it's Bob. Thanks for the question. And, you know, one of the interesting things about the MISO market and the capacity auction itself, it's been much more volatile and less predictable than maybe some of the other regions, given the large bilateral nature of the MISO market. The print itself isn't, you know, something we look at in the near term because we have a bit of length here in the upper Midwest, and we've been able to sell into that market. But over time, it's not the signal that we use to drive new capacity additions and new load forecasting. So relatively, you know, uninteresting in the short term for the capacity auction in MISO, and we'll keep an eye on it. But our long-term forecast is in partnership with MISO, where we see, you know, asset additions, asset reductions, and load growth still leads to a really exciting region in an area that data centers definitely want to show up and be energized by. So, you know, not much to the auction itself.

Next question comes from the line of Julian DeMoulin-Smith from Jefferies.

Your line is live.

Hey, good morning, team. Thank you guys very much. Let me nitpick on a few things you guys have already said here. So just taking it from the top, on Colorado, the intervener testimony, obviously hearing some decent confidence on settlement. Again, I never say it's never done until it's done. But how do you think about the prior guidance of this 50, 60 basis points of lag here? How do you think about that being attainable? What are the permutations? And then also given in parallel here the comprehensive capital riders here now available, how do you think about the future cadence of cases, how you might, you know, come together around any settlement and trying to establish a longer duration here?

Hey, Julian. Good morning. I can take that one. You know, I think really, you know, certainly if we can reach a constructive settlement, that prior guidance remains intact. I think, you know, when you look at kind of where staff and UCA are, it's a 9-0 kind of midpoint for staff and 9-2 ROE for UCA. Like I said, it's a decent starting point for settlement negotiations. And certainly our equity ratio is important in Colorado. Like I was talking about, overall, it's really important to maintain credit quality in Colorado, too. So the equity ratio is a significant point of that. But like I said, we've had a good history, a good track record of settling on the electric side. Do you think about, you know, the riders and the opportunity? I think, you know, there is an opportunity to have a longer-term path to not filing rate cases maybe every year that we have been. But certainly it does depend on the constructive settlement here in the electric case to kind of set that base framework. So obviously something worth thinking about and look forward to engaging the parties here over the next month.

Awesome. And then to go back and then take a little bit of the next question around the data center large loads, a couple pieces here. What's the geographic footprint that you're contemplating here in incremental announcements? I mean, obviously the different states have different tax regimes. You alluded here to Texas filing something here. You know, how disproportionate might that geography be relative to your others here? How might that impact, again, the comments you just made about Colorado? And then to nitpick further, this next era partnership, you throw two gigawatts out in that pipeline. Is that separate and distinct from what you're talking about in this three gigawatts by 27? Sorry, I know you're throwing a few different numbers, but I want to try to tie them out here.

Hey, Julian, it's Bob. Thanks for the question. And let me see if I can't clarify a little bit. First of all, like I said, we started with generation length and transmission capabilities, and that's led people to be most interested in the upper Midwest. The Minnesota, the Wisconsin, and the Dakotas are really interesting to our data center developers in the near term where we have more length. In the longer term, you know, working on a large load tariff in Colorado, There's active legislation in Colorado around trying to work on making Colorado a place where we can have a legislative framework to bring data centers there and attract them. And then in the southwest, a hugely popular region given the price of electricity down there and the attractiveness down there. So I think when we talk to developers, first of all, I think when you're talking to the large hyperscalers and the developers, they like working with us because we have multiple regions of the country and we can deliver solutions in different parts of the country that help them meet their portfolio of needs across a large swath of the United States. When we talk about the high-probability pipeline or the high-probability projects, we expect four more gigawatts to be contracted by the end of 2027. that's inclusive of the two we threw out there with NextEra, and the NextEra partnership could be larger than that. I was just commenting on the fact that we're actively engaged in two. It could be bigger to serve all four.

All right, excellent. And then just in as much as just nitpicking on cost, obviously starting the year out well, any updates on Sherco here and timeline there?

Julian, do you mean Comanche?

Well, I was thinking Sherco in as much as I think it's still planned retirement in 26, right? Yeah.

Yes, our plans are to continue to retire Sherco at the end of this year, and we have both the transmission and generation needed to serve that interconnection on a go-forward basis in the upper Midwest. And so part of our long-term resource plans in the upper Midwest, those plans are still intact. We've not heard anything that would lead us to do anything differently at this point.

Awesome. Sorry, I know lots of things going on. Best of luck.

You guys got a lot cooking. We'll talk soon.

Your next question comes from the line of Carly Davenport from Goldman Sachs.

Your line is live.

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Hey, good morning, Carly. Good morning. Maybe just a couple quick ones on Colorado. First, I think the PUC sunset bill came out of committee last week. Just maybe your latest views there on some of the provisions around securitization and maybe views on potential for changes like expanding the size of the PUC and just kind of your thoughts around that.

Sure. I'm happy to comment. You're accurate. You know, each of the agencies in the state undergo sunset review. The PUC was up this year. It's usually somewhere in a seven- to ten-year cycle. And the goal is to look at the effectiveness and the efficiency of the agency and the necessity of the functions for the future of the state. So, you know, one of the provisions in the legislation itself was the expansion of the use of securitization as a tool. I think we've been really thoughtful as a company in proposing securitization in the cases where it makes a lot of sense. If you look back, we have permission to securitize the remaining balance of Comanche 3 when that plant retires at the end of 2030. We've looked at securitization for portions of our wildfire investment in the state. We've proposed and not executed on securitization around, you know, fuel costs, particularly around winter storm URI. So there's sort of – that's a good tool to have in the tool chest. I just think we want to make sure that it's used for the right things as we go forward, and we're talking about securitization. We're behind between now and the end of session, and we continue to talk with all parties about how to make sure that we can bring efficiency and effectiveness to the filings, decision-making on resource plans. There's a lot of things that we think that in this era of energy growth that we'd like to see, be able to do and to partner with the PUC as we move forward and working with all the stakeholders to do that.

Got it. That's really helpful. Thank you. And then maybe just as we move more sort of into the core of wildfire season in Colorado over the next couple months here, maybe can you just talk a little bit about sort of expectations going in based on current sort of weather forecasts and the mild winter that you had in Colorado, and then just maybe touch on some of the risk reduction work that you've done in the last couple of years to get ahead of that risk.

Yeah, thank you. I appreciate you recognizing all the great work that the team has done over the last number of years. You know, it still goes in a number of buckets. We talk about situational awareness and our ability to understand weather patterns and take action on them more discreetly, more accurately with less customer impact has really grown over the last two years of this wildfire mitigation plan we've been working through in Colorado. So situational awareness is way higher than it was on our opportunity to implement both protective actions under EPSS or even, in limited cases, TSPS. Our skill set there and our muscle has really, really grown, and it shows in our ability to, you know, shorten the front end make it safe for customers and shorten the back end on recovery as best we can. We're hardening underneath the situational awareness, so we've invested billions into poles, wires, connectors, insulators, making sure that our equipment that sits in the more prone areas is sufficient to handle the volatile weather that we might see as we roll forward through time. And then there's a lot on the communication side, making sure our customers know exactly what we're doing, new outage management systems, new customer notification systems, more engagement on the community side. So, yes, we are at a low snowpack in Colorado this year in drier conditions. We think with all the things we've done under the operational side, the situational awareness side, and the community engagement side is going to lead us to have a high, safe summer in Colorado.

Great. Thank you for all that color.

Your next question comes from the line of Jeremy Tonette from J.P. Morgan.

Your line is live.

Hi. Good morning.

Hey, Jeremy.

Just wanted to come back to the Google agreement here. I'm just wondering what you think that means more broadly. If Google is willing to pay for newer technologies as such, like form here, what do you see this as a trend? What do you see these, you know, these threads in your other conversations at this point as far as appetite?

Yeah, I think that's a great question in the sense of, you know,

if we think about what are kind of our alignment with state policies and how we move this forward, I think one good example is in Colorado in the legislative session there's an advanced geothermal bill moving through the legislature. And that could be another place where you could see maybe a hyperscaler could help fund advanced geothermal project in Colorado, given Colorado's focus on the clean energy transition. So I think this is a really great theme is we think kind of how do we align the data center opportunity, the hyperscaler opportunity with our state policies objectives from a clean energy perspective, right? New technology is generally more expensive. You know, it takes investment to commercialize it. And so we think this is a great kind of blueprint as we think about longer-term opportunities in not only, again, in Minnesota, but other parts of our service territory.

And I'll come back to you, Jeremy. The idea that we believe that these large customers are absolutely committed to long-term sustainability of their own product, and because of that, they're highly interested in our regions of the country where, you know, I always say the wind blows and the sun shines. and we can deliver both renewable energy as well as innovative technologies. And we've seen real receptivity at our commission levels to do that, particularly when it's protecting existing customers. So we're going to continue to be innovative. We're going to continue to be sustainable. And I think that we're working with the customer set that is aligned with us.

Got it. Thank you for that. And I was just wondering, you know, maybe if we take a step back, if we just think about, I guess, you know, your ability to win more data center load here, you know, kind of stands out maybe versus others in the industry. And just wondering if you could speak to what do you think is some of the key to your offerings, if it's speed to market or if it's the type of solutions or otherwise, just wondering what you see is, you know, kind of key to the rate of wins as you guys are posting.

Yeah, great question. We think, and I've been saying this for years, that the diversity of our company, the diversity of our regions, the ability to deliver various fuel sources and types to deliver speed to power to these customers is really important. Speed is very, very important to these folks today. And as we roll through time, I'm convinced that sustainability is going to be very important to them. You know, just take how we handled the water situation. You know, even in the land of 10,000 lakes in Minnesota, water is still a real key topic. And the ability for us to partner with a large data center owner and operator and come up with an innovative, creative, air-cooled versus water-cooled solution can be a template, a blueprint for development going forward. So, as you can imagine, we are talking with all the hyperscalers as well as all the data center developers, and depending on their customer mix and their perspectives, they're going to find value across the portfolio of states that we serve, and we're here to meet that moment for them.

Yeah, and I would just add a little bit on the execution side. We're sitting in the middle of the country. If we're going to deliver a portfolio of clean energy resources, that takes a development team. than just our base plan, we're developing 10 gigawatts. It takes a platform, and that really gets to our partnership on the EPC side, our OEM side, because when you think about what's next, another gigawatt this year, three more gigawatts next year, that takes a significant pipeline of clean energy resources for us to execute on. So I think, you know, the hyperscalers, having the confidence in what we're doing already and having that track record of delivering these projects on the renewable side is also really important.

Got it. That's very helpful. Well, thank you there. Just a real quick last one, if I could, and I recognize this is probably premature, but I figure I'd try anyways. After seeing ALJ just now, any thoughts on, you know, the prospects for settling, you know, given this very early time of review?

Yeah, just on the electric side, I think generally the most likely time to settle is leading into hearings, and we've had the hearings. You know, certainly, you know, we'd be willing to discuss settlement, but, you know, really the impetus is leading into hearings, which happened already. So, you know, we're looking forward to the MPUC deliberations in June and seeing the order in July.

Understood. Thank you.

Russ Fowler from Bank of America. Your line is live.

Morning, Bob. Morning, Brian. How are you?

Doing great, Rob. Thanks.

Yeah, so just a couple of specific questions and then one general question. this morning. So for the JDA with NextEra, do you see potential to expand that beyond two gigawatts?

How are you thinking about expanding that? Yeah, thanks. Look, the JDA itself is unbounded as far as I'm concerned. You know, we partnered with, you know, a national development platform to pair nicely with, as Brian mentioned earlier, our very strong strength in generation and transmission development itself. And so that partnership, that JDA could be, you know, we did this for speed to power and expand the pie and to deliver on this moment in the country's needs. So, you know, it could be the partnership that we go through all of our generation needs for large loads. It's not exclusive, though. It doesn't have to be. And we still can have great relationships with all the other generation developers and data center developers out there. So, but there's no

limit on it. Okay. Thanks, Bob. That's very helpful. And then, you know, we've touched on Jeremy's question touched on a little bit. You touched on it, Bob, at the beginning. One of the things that maybe the market isn't thinking about, because we're all focused on growth, growth, growth, and more growth, is sort of the layer of execution risk behind that. So you have the GEV, Renova, Strategic Alliance. Just on those five macro gas turbines, is that just in the queue or price? So that's the specific question. And then the general question, right, can you point to some things? because I think you guys have a different sort of execution risk profile than most.

Well, so let me start with the immediate question. We have 24 gas turbines through Siemens and General Electric that are slotted and in various stages of production and delivery over the next five years. So I feel very comfortable where we sit on access to gas turbines, the ability to meet our base and our upside case. With respect to risk profile, I think we sit in a great spot, and I don't know if you were trying to compliment us there or not, but I'm really excited about where we sit with our key vendors and suppliers, GE Vernova being just one of them, NextEra just being one of them. But we've got negotiated and framework agreements with handfuls of both EPC vendors and equipment vendors across both our transmission, our distribution, and our gas businesses. We've got, you know, wind turbines available. We've got solar. We've got breakers, high-voltage transformers, equipment, and access to people. We feel very confident in our ability to meet our base and our upside capital plans.

Yeah, and I think, Ralph, that's one of the reasons why you see that slide in there about the generation, our base generation we're executing over the next five years, right? The EPCs, our OEMC, that we have to get these partnerships with the Tier 1s, and really it's not just partnerships. You know, if you move from site to site to drive poor efficiencies, you don't have a lot of efficiencies we can drive scale in terms of ordering multiple gigawatts of Bob's ZCTs or wind turbines. So huge, huge benefits to scale here. And I think that helps de-risk us from execution. And ultimately, when you think about it, it gets to how are we competitive in our piece? How do we deliver the most competitive project for the benefit of our customers, ultimately, is what it gets down to.

Yeah, no, it's definitely meant to be complimentary, Bob. You guys have locked a lot of this down and thought through it in a very, you know, specific and, you know, old Navy guy way. So very definitely meant to be complimentary. Have a great day, guys. Thank you, Jim.

Your next question comes from the line of Steve Fleischman from Wolf Research.

Your line is live.

Hey, good morning. Thank you.

So, slide eight, just the famous slide eight. Can you spend a quick minute just on the non-checkmarked items and when we'll have visibility on them? And then also just, like, how much of the CapEx would show up by 2030 on some of those?

Yep, Steve, happy to take that.

Yeah, if we just start kind of the most near term is the SPS RFP. We received the bids in January going through the evaluation. You'll see a – we'll make a filing with the New Mexico Commission here later in Q2, and that's 1,500 to 3,000 megawatts in nameplate capacity. a lot of kind of renewables in that as part of that is to meet the New Mexico renewable energy standards. So to expect renewables related that would come in prior to the end of 2030. So a good opportunity there in terms of what filters into that back part of our five-year plan. So that's the nearest term catalyst. The NSP RFP, we just recently received the bids working through the evaluation process and expect a filing with the Minnesota Commission later this year. Again, that was one of those acceleration of a resource acquisition for the secure renewable resources for the benefit of our customers and make sure we capture the tax credits. So that's, again, working 4,000-plus megawatts renewable generation storage by 2030. Obviously, that would filter into our base five-year plan. So really great opportunities on top of the $7-plus billion that we've basically given line of sight to through this first quarter. Next one is Colorado. We're in by 2030, but there's likely some base load and thermal generation coming with that, so that could slip a little bit into the 2030s on that, just depending on when we need the resources. then on the 765 transmission lines in SPP that's a competitive bid that we'll bid into later this year we likely won't get a decision on that until next year and then on the data centers obviously we talked about we're going to you know execute on one gigawatt this year and then the three gigawatts really will be a significant opportunity next year and kind of depends on what those resources are, but I view that as really how do we deliver this longer-term growth visibility into 2030, in the early 2030s, how do we continue to extend that and give our shareholders?

Okay, just one quick follow-up on the NSP and SPS renewables, RFPs. Just do you expect most of that to be company-owned or will some of this be PPAs or how should we think about that?

Yeah, look, I think it's a balance. I mean, we haven't disclosed any of the details, and we always say publicly 50-50. We've done better in some RFPs. In the last SPS RFP, we did north of 75%. Minnesota, we have some opportunities in terms of you think about reusing transmission interconnections. But I think always our guide is 50-50. Important that we have competitive projects. This goes to our regulated development team in terms of bringing forth competitive projects for the benefit of our customers. But, you know, we always guide 50-50, and our goal is to do better because we think we have really competitive projects.

Thank you.

The next question comes from the line of Sophie Karp from KeyBank.

Your line is live.

Good morning, guys. Congrats on a good update here. um is there a way for you to quantify customer benefits from incremental data center load uh as it materializes like some of your peers are doing i'm just kind of thinking through the potential kind of community relations uh issues and things like that that arise sometimes and if that could be helpful for you to kind of show that benefit more directly is it possible

Hey, Sophie, it's Bob. It's a great question. You know, on the Google data center itself was close to a gigawatt. It led to $1 to $1.5 billion of customer savings, all customer savings. That translates to about 1% to 2% of residential electric customer net benefit. Probably not a bad thumb rule, but we haven't given any guidance on that. And so let us think back through, you know, as we look at our other jurisdictions, a lot of that benefit comes from sharing the fixed cost of the grid. And so the transmission rate and the investment in transmission in any of our particular regions is a big driver of that when you add a large load to the transmission grid and the ability to share that cost more broadly amongst more megawatt hours. In particular, on the Google side, the addition of, you know, 1,900 megawatts of wind, solar, and storage is also beneficial as we think about dispatch priority in the upper Midwest. So that's a knock-on effect that's also beneficial for our customers. And certainly the carbon neutrality of those assets is also beneficial. We haven't given any firm guidance, but it's probably something like that.

Thank you. That's all for me. Appreciate it.

Our final question will come from the line of Anthony Crowdel, Missoula Securities.

Your line is live.

hey thanks for squeezing me in guys hopefully two quick ones uh you guys very aggressive in doing i guess what 50 of your equity over five years just in the first quarter um any cadence on the remaining half so you'll be looking to take care of it all in 26 or any colors you give on that

and have one follow up anthony you know generally we don't give specific time again equity issuance

is what i can say is you know we've been very proactive and and if you look at uh the forward component, you know, the ATM forward is going to be pushed out a couple of years. So it gives you a lot of flexibility in terms of when do you issue and when you actually draw down the equity proceeds. So it can really help kind of how do we time it with the capital investment needs. So we'll continue to be proactive on this, get out ahead. We're pretty proud of having three months into a 60-month plan.

Great. And then just quickly on Smokehouse Creek, you guys give a lot of detail on the slide. I appreciate it. But you're still under the insurance cap, I think $525 million. You've been, I guess, aggressive on working through settlements. Just any color there you have on maybe resolving all of it or, you know, out of the 107 potential claims, just any colors you give on that?

Yeah, you know, we just, like I said, the statute of limitations is up on the property claims happened at the end of February when we hit the two-year mark. And so those that have come in, we don't have a lot of information. We're early in the process, but our goal is to work expeditiously through them, like we have through our settlement process. I think we've been very successful with over 300-plus claims and lawsuits settled. And the way to think about it, Anthony, is we have $460 million. We've finalized settlements of approximately $400 million, so it's really that $60 million delta there that we're kind of is the low end. We'll continue to provide updates on a quarterly basis, but we feel really good about what we've done so far.

Hey, thanks so much.

Congrats on a good quarter. I appreciate you squeezing me in. Yeah, thank you.

D.M. Brisey from RBC Capital Markets. Your line is live.

Hey, Bob and Brian. Thanks for fitting me in. I hope I can bring it home strong. Just quickly on, you know, what do you think that large loads do for earning that you have at any of your jurisdictions as they come online? The reason I ask is just clearly you have a 9% EPSK out there, but rate-based growth is very front-end loaded and the capital plan is back-end loaded. And we've talked a lot about adding incremental capital to the plan, mostly in the tail. And so I just want to understand kind of, you know, what rate-based growth is accelerating.

Yeah, I mean, I think as our shape of earned returns, we always talk a little bit about, you know, closing the gap, particularly, you know, in Colorado when we're working through some stuff in filed rate cases that will go into effect next year in terms of full anonymization of the rate cases. We've always talked about structurally there's, you know, 50-plus basis points of just structural lag, so we'll continue to work on that. In terms of, you know, you say data centers, I think just about overall sales growth, whether it's oil and gas growth, opportunity, whether it's the rate cases longer term, as you start to see the sale and growth materialize. And I think that's a really great opportunity in that affordability benefits of these data center loads, but how does it help you stay out of rate cases over long term? Now, we still have a while in terms of those data centers that need to start to ramp up late in this period, but I do think that's a great long-term opportunity on both sides, affordability and driving earned returns.

Appreciate it, guys. Thanks very much.

That concludes the question and answer session. I'll now turn the call over to Brian Van Able for closing remarks.

Thank you all for participating in our earnings call this morning. Please contact our investor relations team with any follow-up questions. Have a great day.

That concludes today's meeting. You may now disconnect.