CF · CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
$129.33
+3.54 (+2.81%)
At close · Aug 31
Market Cap
$19.04B
Shares
151.34M
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$125.79
Open$126.71
Day$124.50–129.25
52W close$76.09–137.60
Avg vol 30d2.3M
Short int9.2M · 6.1% float · 3.8d
Short vol53%
Last earningsAug 5, 2026
DataJan 2020–Aug 2026
Filing10-Q · Aug 6
Up next
Next earnings call
Nov 4, 2026
Est · unconfirmed
· in 9 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026
Est
filed Aug 6, 2026
AI Brief
TL;DR.
Bullish
Bearish
From the call
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceOverall
Buy
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Buy
Momentum
Strong
Sentiment
Neutral
Fundamentals
Excellent
Quant / Vol
Moderate
Market backdrop
VIX 14.4 · calm
Equity put/call 0.62
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Price vs 200-day avg
+18%
above
Price vs 50-day avg
+7%
above
RSI (14)
57
neutral
MACD trend
Positive
52-week position
81%
mid-range
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
0%
trailing
6-month return
+13%
trailing
YTD return
+63%
this year
Relative strength
0%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $118 › 200d $107 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+3% holders QoQ · +164 funds added
Insider flow
Flat
No net insider activity over 90 days
Short interest
Rising
6.10% of float · ▲ +15.2% MoM · 3.8 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
966 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score
70
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
Revenue growth
+19%
Y/Y
Gross margin
38%
expanding
EPS growth
+33%
Y/Y
Free cash flow
$1.8B
Buyback
$1.5B
remaining
Balance sheet
$1.2B
net debt
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
42%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−26%
past year
ATR
3.8%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the 8-K filed Aug 5, 2026
full year 2026
Capital expenditures
Maintained
$1.3B
May 6, 2026
$1.3B
changed to
Aug 5, 2026
$1.3B
Capital expenditures (CF Industries, excluding portion funded by
Initiated
$950M
2026
Capital expenditures related to Blue Point common facilities
$150M
Capitalized interest
$40M
Prior guidance
period ended
· from the 8-K filed Nov 5, 2025
Capital expenditures
· full year 2025
$925M
Capital expenditures related to Blue Point joint venture
· full year 2025
$300M – $400M
Capital expenditures related to existing network
· full year 2025
$575M
Capital expenditures excluding portion funded by JERA and Mitsui
· full year 2025
$725M
Capital expenditures related to Blue Point common facilities
· full year 2025
up to $25M
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Buy
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
+18%
Bullish
Price vs 50-day avg
+7%
Bullish
RSI (14)
57
Neutral
MACD trend
Positive
Bullish
52-week position
81%
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bullish · 2 of 6
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $118 › 200d $107 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+3% holders QoQ · +164 funds added
Insider flow
Flat
No net insider activity over 90 days
Short interest
Rising
6.10% of float · ▲ +15.2% MoM · 3.8 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
966 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $76
Now $126 · 81%
Range high $138
vs 200-day avg +18%
vs 50-day avg +7%
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ammonia sales volume | 0.9M | the second quarter of 2026 filing | — |
| Average selling price for our products | $523 | the second quarter of 2026 filing | — |
| Average selling price in our Ammonia segment | $677 | the second quarter of 2026 filing | — |
| Blue Point One joint venture development costs | $7M | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | +250.0% |
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| Cost of sales per ton in our Ammonia segment | $412 | the second quarter of 2026 filing | — |
| Sales volume | 4.3M | the second quarter of 2026 filing | — |
| 12-month Rolling Average Recordable Incident Rate | 0.16 | Q2 2026 | — |
| 5-year rolling avg. percent of capacity utilization (CF North America) | 96% | 5-year rolling avg. ending 2025 | — |
| 5-year rolling avg. percent of capacity utilization (North America Excluding CF) | 86% | 5-year rolling avg. ending 2025 | — |
| Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | $2.18B | 1H 2026 | +54.8% |
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| Adjusted EBITDA per ton non-GAAP | $243.42 | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Adjusted gross margin per nutrient ton non-GAAP | $407 | Three months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Adjusted gross margin per product ton non-GAAP | $140 | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Ammonia production volume | 2.4M | Three months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| AN production volume | 135K | Three months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| Available Ammonia Capacity Utilization | 98% | 1H 2026 | — |
| Capital expenditures | $494M | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| EBITDA non-GAAP | $2.17B | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| EBITDA per ton non-GAAP | $243.31 | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Free cash flow non-GAAP | $1.82B | Twelve months ended June 30, 2026 | +1.9% |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP Net cash provided by operating activities 2.98B
-1.07B Capital expenditures
-376M Distributions to noncontrolling interests
+289M Contributions from noncontrolling interests
= Free cash flow 1.82B
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| Free cash flow yield non-GAAP | 11.1% | Q2 2026 LTM | — |
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| Granular urea production volume | 1.27M | Three months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| Gross ammonia production | 4.9M | First half of 2026 | — |
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| Net earnings attributable to common stockholders per ton | $150.2 | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | $1.2B | Q2 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 LTM Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | $3.7B | Q2 2026 LTM | — |
| Q2 2026 LTM Capital Returned to Shareholders | $1.3B | Q2 2026 LTM | — |
| Q2 2026 LTM FCF Yield non-GAAP | 11.1% | Q2 2026 LTM | — |
| Q2 2026 LTM FCF/Adj EBITDA Conversion non-GAAP | 50% | Q2 2026 LTM | — |
| Q2 2026 LTM Free Cash Flow non-GAAP | $1.8B | Q2 2026 LTM | — |
| Recordable Incident Rate | 0.16 | Trailing twelve months as of June 30, 2026 | — |
| Remaining in Current $2B Share Repurchase Authorization | $1.48B | As of June 30, 2026 | — |
| Sales volume by product tons | 1.08M | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
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| Sales volume by product tons (000s) | 8.94M | Six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Shares repurchased | 2.2M | First half of 2026 | — |
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| UAN (32%) production volume | 1.64M | Three months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Average cost of natural gas used for production in cost of sales | $4.57 | First quarter 2026 | — |
| Capacity utilization | 99% | First quarter 2026 | — |
| Capital returned to shareholders | $15M | First quarter 2026 | — |
| Cost of natural gas used for production in cost of sales | $4.57 | Q1 2026 | — |
| Free cash flow to Adjusted EBITDA conversion non-GAAP | 51% | Q1 2026 LTM | — |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | $983M | Q1 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 Available Ammonia Capacity Utilization | 99% | Q1 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 LTM Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | $3.2B | Q1 2026 LTM | — |
| Q1 2026 LTM Capital Returned to Shareholders | $1.3B | Q1 2026 LTM | — |
| Q1 2026 LTM Free Cash Flow non-GAAP | $1.7B | Q1 2026 LTM | — |
| Q1 2026 LTM Free Cash Flow / Adjusted EBITDA Conversion non-GAAP | 51% | Q1 2026 LTM | — |
| Ammonia adjusted gross margin per product ton non-GAAP | $203 | Year ended December 31, 2025 | — |
| AN adjusted gross margin per product ton non-GAAP | $84 | Year ended December 31, 2025 | — |
| Average cost of natural gas (including impact of realized derivatives) in cost of sales | $3.31 | full year 2025 | — |
| Capacity Utilization vs North America Peers | 10% | 5-year rolling average ending 2025 | — |
| Cash Returned to Shareholders | $1.7B | FY 2025 | — |
| FCF/Adj EBITDA Conversion | 62% | FY 2025 | — |
| Granular urea adjusted gross margin per product ton non-GAAP | $266 | Year ended December 31, 2025 | — |
| JERA & Mitsui Blue Point JV Capital Contributions | $291M | FY 2025 | — |
| UAN adjusted gross margin per product ton non-GAAP | $171 | Year ended December 31, 2025 | — |
| UAN production volume | 6.93M | Year ended December 31, 2025 | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Agricultural Inputs — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CF
this stock
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
|
$19.04B | +62.6% | +19.3% | 9.4 | 6.1% |
|
CTVA
Corteva, Inc.
|
$55.98B | +25.2% | +2.9% | 54.8 | 2.2% |
|
NTR
Nutrien Ltd.
|
$35.08B | +19.1% | — | — | 1.0% |
|
YARIY
Yara International ASA
|
$12.14B | +16.7% | — | — | 0.0% |
|
MOS
Mosaic Co
|
$7.50B | -2.0% | +8.4% | — | 9.1% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Smart Money
Financials
Filings
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF | -2.9% | +0.5% | +13.3% | +0.5% | +62.7% |
| SPY | +0.5% | +3.0% | +13.4% | +3.0% | +12.8% |
| vs SPY | -3.4% | -2.5% | -0.2% | -2.5% | +49.8% |
Capital returns
Latest dividend
$0.60
/ share · ex Aug 14, 2026
Paid (TTM)
$2.10
/ share · 4 payouts
Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
1.67%
Buyback program
· as of Jun 30, 2026
Authorized
$2.00B
Spent (derived)
$520.00M
Remaining
$1.48B
Spent
Remaining
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.
Key facts
CIK
1324404
CUSIP
125269100
13F (30d)
651 filings
619 filers
Visit website
Investor relations