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CF · CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

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$118.30 +1.25 (+1.07%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$17.90B
Shares
151.34M

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$118.30 Open$117.46 Day$117.07–119.11 52W close$76.09–137.60 Avg vol 30d2.4M Short int8.0M · 5.3% float · 3.7d Short vol51% Last earningsAug 5, 2026 DataJan 2020–Aug 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 6

Up next

Next earnings call
Nov 4, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 11 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
filed Aug 6, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Ask ALVIS about this →

      Equibles Rating

      blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Buy
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Neutral Momentum Strong Sentiment Bullish Fundamentals Excellent Quant / Vol Moderate
      Market backdrop VIX 14.3 · calm Equity put/call 0.52
      Technical
      price trend
      Neutral
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg +13%
      above
      Price vs 50-day avg +3%
      above
      RSI (14) 49
      neutral
      MACD trend Negative
      52-week position 69%
      mid-range
      Volume (OBV) Confirms
      volume backs price
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Strong
      1-month return −3%
      trailing
      6-month return +24%
      trailing
      YTD return +53%
      this year
      Relative strength +10%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Bullish
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $115 › 200d $105 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +1% holders QoQ · +161 funds added
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Falling
      5.30% of float · ▼ -13.4% MoM · 3.7 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      943 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Squeeze score 55
      elevated · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Excellent
      Revenue growth +19%
      Y/Y
      Gross margin 38%
      expanding
      EPS growth +33%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $1.8B
      Buyback $1.5B
      remaining
      Balance sheet $2.9B
      net debt
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Moderate
      Volatility 42%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −26%
      past year
      ATR 3.9%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record

      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Aug 5, 2026
      Capital expenditures · full year 2026 $1.3B
      Blue Point common facilities capital expenditures · full year 2026 $150M
      Blue Point One joint venture capital expenditures · full year 2026 $600M
      Capital expenditures related to existing network · full year 2026 $550M
      Capital expenditures for CF Industries excluding portion funded · full year 2026 $950M
      Capitalized interest · full year 2026 $40M
      Prior guidance period ended · from the 8-K filed Nov 5, 2025
      Capital expenditures · full year 2025 $925M
      Capital expenditures related to Blue Point joint venture · full year 2025 $300M – $400M
      Capital expenditures related to existing network · full year 2025 $575M
      Capital expenditures related to Blue Point common facilities · full year 2025 up to $25M
      Capital expenditures excluding portion funded by JERA and Mitsui · full year 2025 $725M

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral
      1 · 4 · 2
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      +13% Bullish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      +3% Bullish
      RSI (14)
      49 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Negative Bearish
      52-week position
      69% Neutral
      Volume (OBV)
      Confirms Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bullish · 3 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $115 › 200d $105 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +1% holders QoQ · +161 funds added
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Falling
      5.30% of float · ▼ -13.4% MoM · 3.7 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      943 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      Range low $76 Now $118 · 69% Range high $138
      vs 200-day avg +13% vs 50-day avg +3%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      12-month Rolling Average Recordable Incident Rate 0.16 12-month rolling average as of June 30, 2026
      1H 2026 Available Ammonia Capacity Utilization 98% 1H 2026
      5-year rolling avg. percent of capacity utilization (CF North America) 96% 5-year rolling average ending 2025
      5-year rolling avg. percent of capacity utilization (North America Excluding CF) 86% 5-year rolling average ending 2025
      Available Ammonia Capacity Utilization 98% First Half 2026
      Average cost of natural gas used for production in cost of sales $4.01 First Half 2026
      Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP $1.2B Q2 2026
      Q2 2026 LTM Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP $3.7B Q2 2026 LTM
      Q2 2026 LTM Capital Returned to Shareholders $1.3B Q2 2026 LTM
      Q2 2026 LTM FCF/Adj EBITDA Conversion non-GAAP 50% Q2 2026 LTM
      Q2 2026 LTM Free Cash Flow non-GAAP $1.8B Q2 2026 LTM
      Remaining in Current $2B Share Repurchase Authorization $1.48B As of June 30, 2026
      Shares repurchased 2.2M First Half 2026
      2012 CF gross ammonia capacity 7.3M 2012
      2025 CF gross ammonia capacity 10.5M 2025
      CF Industries' trailing 5-year average ammonia production 9.5M trailing 5-year average
      Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP $983M Q1 2026
      Q1 2026 Available Ammonia Capacity Utilization 99% Q1 2026
      Q1 2026 LTM Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP $3.2B Q1 2026 LTM
      Q1 2026 LTM Capital Returned to Shareholders $1.3B Q1 2026 LTM
      Q1 2026 LTM FCF/Adj EBITDA Conversion non-GAAP 51% Q1 2026 LTM
      Q1 2026 LTM Free Cash Flow non-GAAP $1.7B Q1 2026 LTM
      Capacity Utilization 97% FY 2025
      Capital Returned to Shareholders $1.7B FY 2025
      FCF/Adj EBITDA Conversion non-GAAP 62% FY 2025
      Free cash flow non-GAAP $1.79B Full year 2025
      GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliation
      GAAP Net cash provided by operating activities 2.75B
      -950M Capital expenditures
      -304M Distributions to noncontrolling interests
      +291M Contributions from noncontrolling interests
      = Free cash flow 1.79B
      Recordable Incident Rate 0.26 FY 2025

      Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

      Versus peers

      Agricultural Inputs — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      CF
      CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
      this stock
      $17.90B +53.0% +19.3% 8.8 5.3%
      CTVA
      Corteva, Inc.
      $51.16B +14.4% +2.9% 50.1 2.7%
      NTR
      Nutrien Ltd.
      $32.56B +10.6% 0.8%
      YARIY
      Yara International ASA
      $11.30B +8.8% 0.0%
      ICL
      ICL Group Ltd.
      $6.89B -2.8% 0.3%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      943
      % held
      108.0%
      Net QoQ
      +4.8M sh
      Top holder
      BlackRock, Inc.
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      846
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Falling
      Shares short
      8.0M
      Days to cover
      3.7d
      Change
      -1.2M sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      51%
      As of
      Aug 14, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      1.1K
      Value
      $134.0K
      As of
      Jul 14, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      43.4%
      Week of
      Jul 6, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Congressional Trades Buy
      Member
      Alan Armstrong
      Amount
      $1.0K–$15.0K
      Traded
      Mar 27, 2026
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $7.1B
      Net income (FY)
      $1.5B
      EPS diluted
      $8.97
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized
      $2.0B
      Remaining
      $1.5B
      Spent Remaining
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      10-Q
      Filed
      Aug 6, 2026
      This year
      17
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $401.3K
      Shares
      3.3K
      Filed
      May 22, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      Aug 5, 2026
      View
      Investor Relations
      Latest news
      CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Repo…
      Published
      Aug 5, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      CF +3.5% -2.6% +23.9% -5.5% +53.0%
      SPY +0.4% +4.5% +13.8% +3.9% +13.9%
      vs SPY +3.1% -7.0% +10.2% -9.4% +39.1%

      Capital returns

      Latest dividend
      $0.60 / share · ex Aug 14, 2026
      Raised 20%
      Paid (TTM)
      $2.10 / share · 4 payouts
      Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
      1.78%
      Buyback program · as of Jun 30, 2026
      Authorized
      $2.00B
      Spent (derived)
      $520.00M
      Remaining
      $1.48B
      Spent Remaining

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 1324404 CUSIP 125269100 13F (30d) 879 filings 847 filers Visit website Investor relations