CF · CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

Track CF — free

$118.30 +1.25 (+1.07%) At close · Aug 14

Market Cap

$17.90B

151.34M

Up next

Next earnings call

Nov 4, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 11 wks

FQ3-26 quarter ends

~Sep 30, 2026 Est

Latest filing: 10-Q

filed Aug 6, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish

Bearish

AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

Ask ALVIS about this →

Equibles Rating

blended score · not investment advice

Overall

Buy

SellHoldBuy

Technical Neutral Momentum Strong Sentiment Bullish Fundamentals Excellent Quant / Vol Moderate

Market backdrop VIX 14.3 · calm Equity put/call 0.52

Technical

price trend

Neutral

50 / 200-day cross No cross

Price vs 200-day avg +13%

above

Price vs 50-day avg +3%

above

RSI (14) 49

neutral

MACD trend Negative

52-week position 69%

mid-range

Volume (OBV) Confirms

volume backs price

Momentum

relative strength

Strong

1-month return −3%

trailing

6-month return +24%

trailing

YTD return +53%

this year

Relative strength +10%

vs S&P · 6-mo

Sentiment

smart money

Bullish

Trend (MA cross) No cross

50d $115 › 200d $105 — 50d above 200d

Institutional flow Accumulating

+1% holders QoQ · +161 funds added

Insider flow Flat

No net insider activity over 90 days

Short interest Falling

5.30% of float · ▼ -13.4% MoM · 3.7 days cover

Volume signal Normal

Volume near normal

Institution breadth Multi-yr high

943 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support

Squeeze score 55

elevated · 0–100

Fundamentals

Excellent

Revenue growth +19%

Y/Y

Gross margin 38%

expanding

EPS growth +33%

Y/Y

Free cash flow $1.8B

Buyback $1.5B

remaining

Balance sheet $2.9B

net debt

Quant / Vol

risk profile

Moderate

Volatility 42%

annualized · 1-yr

Max drawdown −26%

past year

ATR 3.9%

of price · 14-day

Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

Guidance & track record

what management promised — and delivered

Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Aug 5, 2026

Capital expenditures · full year 2026 $1.3B

Blue Point common facilities capital expenditures · full year 2026 $150M

Blue Point One joint venture capital expenditures · full year 2026 $600M

Capital expenditures related to existing network · full year 2026 $550M

Capital expenditures for CF Industries excluding portion funded · full year 2026 $950M

Capitalized interest · full year 2026 $40M

Prior guidance period ended · from the 8-K filed Nov 5, 2025

Capital expenditures · full year 2025 $925M

Capital expenditures related to Blue Point joint venture · full year 2025 $300M – $400M

Capital expenditures related to existing network · full year 2025 $575M

Capital expenditures related to Blue Point common facilities · full year 2025 up to $25M

Capital expenditures excluding portion funded by JERA and Mitsui · full year 2025 $725M

Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

Technicals

trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral

1 · 4 · 2

50 / 200-day cross

No cross Neutral

Price vs 200-day avg

+13% Bullish

Price vs 50-day avg

+3% Bullish

RSI (14)

49 Neutral

MACD trend

Negative Bearish

52-week position

69% Neutral

Volume (OBV)

Confirms Neutral

Market signals — smart money & positioning

Bullish · 3 of 6

Trend (MA cross) No cross

50d $115 › 200d $105 — 50d above 200d

Institutional flow Accumulating

+1% holders QoQ · +161 funds added

Insider flow Flat

No net insider activity over 90 days

Short interest Falling

5.30% of float · ▼ -13.4% MoM · 3.7 days cover

Volume signal Normal

Volume near normal

Institution breadth Multi-yr high

943 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support

Price context

position in its 52-week range

Range low $76 Now $118 · 69% Range high $138

vs 200-day avg +13% vs 50-day avg +3%

Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

Key metrics

the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings

Metric	Latest	Period	YoY
12-month Rolling Average Recordable Incident Rate	0.16	12-month rolling average as of June 30, 2026	—
1H 2026 Available Ammonia Capacity Utilization	98%	1H 2026	—
5-year rolling avg. percent of capacity utilization (CF North America)	96%	5-year rolling average ending 2025	—
5-year rolling avg. percent of capacity utilization (North America Excluding CF)	86%	5-year rolling average ending 2025	—
Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP	$2.18B	Six months ended June 30, 2026	—

Adjusted EBITDA per ton non-GAAP	$243.42	Six months ended June 30, 2026	—
Adjusted gross margin per nutrient ton non-GAAP	$407	Three months ended June 30, 2026	—
Adjusted gross margin per product ton non-GAAP	$140	Six months ended June 30, 2026	—
Ammonia production volume	2.4M	Three months ended June 30, 2026	—
AN production volume	135K	Three months ended June 30, 2026	—
Capital expenditures	$494M	Six months ended June 30, 2026	—

EBITDA non-GAAP	$2.17B	Six months ended June 30, 2026	—

EBITDA per ton non-GAAP	$243.31	Six months ended June 30, 2026	—
Free cash flow non-GAAP	$1.82B	Twelve months ended June 30, 2026	—

GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliation GAAP Net cash provided by operating activities 2.98B -1.07B Capital expenditures -376M Distributions to noncontrolling interests +289M Contributions from noncontrolling interests = Free cash flow 1.82B
Granular urea production volume	1.27M	Three months ended June 30, 2026	—
Gross ammonia production	4.9M	First half of 2026	—

Net earnings attributable to common stockholders per ton	$150.2	Six months ended June 30, 2026	—
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP	$1.2B	Q2 2026	—
Q2 2026 LTM Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP	$3.7B	Q2 2026 LTM	—
Q2 2026 LTM Capital Returned to Shareholders	$1.3B	Q2 2026 LTM	—
Q2 2026 LTM FCF/Adj EBITDA Conversion non-GAAP	50%	Q2 2026 LTM	—
Q2 2026 LTM Free Cash Flow non-GAAP	$1.8B	Q2 2026 LTM	—
Recordable Incident Rate	0.16	Trailing twelve months as of June 30, 2026	—
Remaining in Current $2B Share Repurchase Authorization	$1.48B	As of June 30, 2026	—
Sales volume by product tons	1.08M	Six months ended June 30, 2026	—

Sales volume by product tons (000s)	8.94M	Six months ended June 30, 2026	—
Shares repurchased	2.2M	First half of 2026	—
UAN (32%) production volume	1.64M	Three months ended June 30, 2026	—
2012 CF gross ammonia capacity	7.3M	2012	—
2025 CF gross ammonia capacity	10.5M	2025	—
CF Industries' trailing 5-year average ammonia production	9.5M	trailing 5-year average	—
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP	$983M	Q1 2026	—
Q1 2026 Available Ammonia Capacity Utilization	99%	Q1 2026	—
Q1 2026 LTM Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP	$3.2B	Q1 2026 LTM	—
Q1 2026 LTM Capital Returned to Shareholders	$1.3B	Q1 2026 LTM	—
Q1 2026 LTM FCF/Adj EBITDA Conversion non-GAAP	51%	Q1 2026 LTM	—
Q1 2026 LTM Free Cash Flow non-GAAP	$1.7B	Q1 2026 LTM	—
Average cost of natural gas used for production in cost of sales	$3.31	Full year 2025	—
Capacity Utilization	97%	FY 2025	—
Capital Returned to Shareholders	$1.7B	FY 2025	—
FCF/Adj EBITDA Conversion non-GAAP	62%	FY 2025	—

Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

Versus peers

Agricultural Inputs — same industry group

Open screener →

Company	Mkt cap	YTD	Rev growth Y/Y	P/E	Short % shares
CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. this stock	$17.90B	+53.0%	+19.3%	8.8	5.3%
CTVA Corteva, Inc.	$51.16B	+14.4%	+2.9%	50.1	2.7%
NTR Nutrien Ltd.	$32.56B	+10.6%	—	—	0.8%
YARIY Yara International ASA	$11.30B	+8.8%	—	—	0.0%
ICL ICL Group Ltd.	$6.89B	-2.8%	—	—	0.3%

Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

At a glance

key data from every section

Ownership

Institutional Holders Accumulating

Holders

943

% held: 108.0%
Net QoQ: +4.8M sh
Top holder: BlackRock, Inc.

Held Float

View

Held by Funds

Fund positions

846

View

Short & Settlement

Short Interest Falling

Shares short

8.0M

Days to cover: 3.7d
Change: -1.2M sh

View

Short Volume

Short vol %

51%

As of: Aug 14, 2026

Short Total

View

Fails to Deliver

FTD shares

1.1K

Value: $134.0K
As of: Jul 14, 2026

View

Off-Exchange

Off-exchange %

43.4%

Week of: Jul 6, 2026

Off-exch Lit

View

Smart Money

Congressional Trades Buy

Member

Alan Armstrong

Amount: $1.0K–$15.0K
Traded: Mar 27, 2026

View

Financials

Revenue (FY)

$7.1B

Net income (FY): $1.5B
EPS diluted: $8.97

View

Buybacks

Authorized

$2.0B

Remaining: $1.5B

Spent Remaining

View

Filings

SEC Filings

Latest

10-Q

Filed: Aug 6, 2026
This year: 17

View

Proposed Sales

Value

$401.3K

Shares: 3.3K
Filed: May 22, 2026

View

Earnings & Events

Earnings Calls

Last call

Aug 5, 2026

View

Investor Relations

Performance

	5D	20D	120D	MTD	YTD
CF	+3.5%	-2.6%	+23.9%	-5.5%	+53.0%
SPY	+0.4%	+4.5%	+13.8%	+3.9%	+13.9%
vs SPY	+3.1%	-7.0%	+10.2%	-9.4%	+39.1%

Capital returns

Latest dividend

$0.60 / share · ex Aug 14, 2026

Raised 20%

Paid (TTM)

$2.10 / share · 4 payouts

Dividend yield (TTM, derived)

1.78%

Buyback program · as of Jun 30, 2026

Authorized

$2.00B

Spent (derived)

$520.00M

Remaining

$1.48B

Spent Remaining

Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

Key facts CIK 1324404 CUSIP 125269100 13F (30d) 865 filings 833 filers Visit website Investor relations

CF · CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

Price & Indicators

Up next

AI Brief

Equibles Rating

Guidance & track record

Technicals

Key metrics

Versus peers

At a glance

Performance

Capital returns