Stock Market Research
Data-driven company analysis and original studies from Equibles, grounded in disclosed primary sources and documented methods.
Nvidia (NVDA) Earnings Implied Move: Options Price About 6% to 7% for the Report Itself
On November 12, Nvidia's options priced a report-day move of about 6.2% to 6.9% for its November 17 results, once the ordinary sessions inside the 10.7% straddle are stripped out. That is 1.4 to 1.5 times the 4.5% average of its last seven reports, and below the two largest.
Nebius Group (NBIS) Q3 2026 Earnings: Our Forecast vs the Results
Nebius Group's Q3 2026 revenue was $980.8 million, 8.4% above the $904.8 million consensus and $46.3 million above our $934.5 million forecast, so our beat call held. But about $325 million was one-time asset-light revenue; without it, revenue was about $656 million, and Nebius cut 2026 to the low end of its range.
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Q3 2026 Earnings: Our Forecast vs the Results
Rigetti Computing's Q3 2026 revenue was $1.41 million, 61.7% below the $3.68 million consensus and $0.39 million below our $1.8 million forecast, so our miss call held. With no hardware sold in Q3, the C-DAC system now carries a 2026 outlook of about $20 million.
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Q3 2026 Earnings: Our Forecast vs the Results
AST SpaceMobile reported Q3 2026 revenue of $42.3M, below the $46.0M consensus and $2.3M above our $40.0M forecast. Our miss call held, but government work, not gateway sales, carried the quarter, and the backlog due within a year grew to about $131M.
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Q3 2026 Earnings: Our Forecast vs the Results
Rocket Lab reported Q3 2026 revenue of $267.8M, above our $260.3M forecast and the $257.2M consensus, with a 33.6% gross margin and backlog up 52% to $3.57B. Our beat call held; the loss per share was wider on deal costs and a debt charge, and Space Systems, not launch, carried the quarter.
Lucid Group (LCID) Q3 2026 Earnings: Our Forecast vs the Results
Lucid Group reported Q3 2026 revenue of $350.3M, a 12.2% miss against the $399.1M consensus and below our $376.6M forecast. Our miss call and our -$2.80 loss per share held; the price per vehicle fell further than we assumed.
Archer Aviation (ACHR) Q3 2026 Earnings: Our Forecast vs the Results
Archer Aviation reported Q3 2026 revenue of $5.1M, above the stale $3.57M consensus and close to our $5.3M forecast. Adjusted EBITDA of -$178.5M and $1.35B of cash also landed near our model, and the Q4 guide's $5.5M midpoint matches our preview.
Plug Power (PLUG) Q3 2026 Earnings: Our Forecast vs the Results
Plug Power reported Q3 2026 revenue of $200.6M, above our $196.7M forecast and the $193.3M consensus. Our calls of a small beat, a slipping gross margin and a GAAP gain from the convertible notes and warrants all held; Q4 now needs about $278M.
Planet Labs (PL) Q3 FY27 Earnings Preview and Forecast
We forecast Q3 FY27 revenue of $108.5 million for Planet Labs, 3.9% above the $104.4 million consensus and above the top of its $101 million to $105 million guide, which assumes last quarter's over-time revenue stops growing.
Rubrik (RBRK) Q3 FY27 Earnings Preview and Forecast
We forecast Q3 FY27 revenue of $440.9M for Rubrik for the quarter ended October 31, 2026, above the $430.2M consensus and the $429M to $431M guide. The beat should be smaller than the last four, because this guide sits right on the subscription run rate Rubrik started the quarter with.
Samsara (IOT) Q3 FY27 Earnings Preview and Forecast
We forecast Q3 FY27 revenue of $539 million for Samsara, 4.7% above the $515.2 million consensus and above the top of its $514 million to $516 million guide, because the ARR on its books at August 1 already works out to $531 million a quarter.
UiPath (PATH) Q3 FY27 Earnings Preview and Forecast
We forecast Q3 FY27 revenue of $454 million for UiPath, above the $443.0 million consensus and the top of its $440 million to $445 million guide, with ARR reaching about $2.00 billion. The license line, not AI fear, decides the quarter.
C3.ai (AI) Q2 FY27 Earnings Preview and Forecast
We forecast Q2 FY27 revenue of $53.6 million for C3.ai, 0.8% above the $53.2 million consensus and inside the $51 million to $55 million guide, with a $36.9 million non-GAAP operating loss, better than the guidance midpoint, as the cost reset lands while revenue stays flat.
Texas Data Center Moratorium: Which Stocks Are Exposed, and How Much
We read what nine listed companies have told investors about their Texas capacity, about 18.3 GW held by eight of them. About a fifth is approved or outside ERCOT's Batch Zero study, nearly two-thirds is conditional or still in process, and the rest has no stated status or still needs approval.
Does the CFO Leave Before the Trouble or After It?
We followed 2,437 CFO departures from 2020 to 2025 a year back and a year forward. Late filings were as common before the exit as after it, and the companies where trouble was still ahead had one thing in common: the CFO was already gone on the day the 8-K was filed.
Who Is Actually Locked Up After an IPO?
We read the lock-up terms in 440 IPO prospectuses from 2024 to 2026. Six months is still the norm, but the biggest deals now release shares early, in most small Nasdaq IPOs only insiders and the largest holders sign, and on the day a lock-up ends the typical stock doesn't fall.
Upstart (UPST) Q3 2026 Earnings: Our Forecast vs the Results
Upstart reported Q3 2026 revenue of $370.5M, $0.1M above our $370.4M forecast and 1.6% above the $364.8M consensus. It also cut its 2026 outlook, which now implies about $307M of Q4 revenue against a $382.3M consensus.
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Q3 2026 Earnings Preview and Forecast
We forecast Q3 2026 revenue of $1.8 million for Rigetti Computing, below the $3.68 million consensus, because both Novera systems Rigetti planned for 2026 shipped in the first half and its $8.4 million C-DAC system is booked for the fourth quarter.
Archer Aviation (ACHR) Q3 2026 Earnings Preview and Forecast
We forecast Q3 2026 revenue of $5.3 million for Archer Aviation, above the $3.57 million consensus, because a full quarter of Hawthorne Airport fueling and leasing is already running at about $5 million a quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA loss inside the $170 million to $200 million guide.
Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Q3 2026 Earnings Preview and Forecast
We forecast Q3 2026 revenue of $226.0 million for Intuitive Machines, below the $247.6 million consensus and below every analyst's estimate, because firm fixed-price orders cover only $244 million to $285 million of the second half and a third of the $1.76 billion backlog rests on one $45 million authorization.