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GPRE

Green Plains Inc.
$16.89 +0.26 (+1.56%) At close · Jul 10
Market Cap
$1.18B
Shares
70,030,174

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$16.89 Open$16.65 Day$16.56–16.93 52W$7.08–18.94 Avg vol 30d1.3M Short int13.3M · 19.0% float · 7.9d Short vol46% Last earningsMay 7, 2026 DataJan 2020–Jul 2026 Filing10-Q · May 7
Up next
Next earnings call
Aug 7, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 4 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
filed May 7, 2026
AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Equibles Rating blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Neutral
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Buy Momentum Very Strong Sentiment Bearish Fundamentals Fair Quant / Vol Very High
      Market backdrop VIX 15 · calm Equity put/call 0.55
      Technical
      price trend
      Buy
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg +29%
      above
      Price vs 50-day avg +6%
      above
      RSI (14) 66
      neutral
      MACD trend Positive
      52-week position 83%
      mid-range
      Volume (OBV) Confirms
      volume backs price
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Very Strong
      1-month return +13%
      trailing
      6-month return +45%
      trailing
      YTD return +72%
      this year
      Relative strength +36%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Bearish
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $16 › 200d $13 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Distributing
      5 of 207 funds reported for Jun 30 · net -864.4K sh shares · +1 new
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Rising
      19.03% of float · ▲ +0.4% MoM · 7.9 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      207 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Squeeze score 83
      high risk · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Fair
      Revenue growth −15%
      Y/Y
      Gross margin 7%
      expanding
      EPS growth −40%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $73.7M
      Buyback $200.0M
      authorized
      Balance sheet $192.2M
      net debt
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Very High
      Volatility 66%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −21%
      past year
      ATR 4.1%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record
      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed May 7, 2026
      EBITDA associated with the generation of production tax credits · remainder of the year $200M – $225M

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Buy
      0 · 4 · 3
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      +29% Bullish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      +6% Bullish
      RSI (14)
      66 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Positive Bullish
      52-week position
      83% Neutral
      Volume (OBV)
      Confirms Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bearish · 2 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $16 › 200d $13 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Distributing
      5 of 207 funds reported for Jun 30 · net -864.4K sh shares · +1 new
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Rising
      19.03% of float · ▲ +0.4% MoM · 7.9 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      207 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      52-wk low $7 Now $17 · 83% 52-wk high $19
      vs 200-day avg +29% vs 50-day avg +6%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from its earnings releases, calls, and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      45Z production tax credit value net of discounts and other costs (included in Adjusted EBITDA) non-GAAP $55.2M Q1 2026
      Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP $71.5M Q1 2026
      Adjusted EBITDA from base business non-GAAP $16.3M Q1 2026
      Consolidated ethanol crush margin $64.6M Q1 2026
      Operating ethanol plant utilization 97% Q1 2026
      45Z EBITDA contribution (net) non-GAAP $55.2M Q1 2026 call
      45Z tax credit value (gross) $65.6M Q1 2026 call
      carbon program EBITDA contribution non-GAAP $55M Q1 2026 call
      operating capacity utilization 97% Q1 2026 call
      production volume 174M Q1 2026 call
      Adjusted EBITDA (incl. 45Z) non-GAAP $49.1M fourth quarter
      Plant utilization 97% the quarter

      Figures exactly as the company stated them · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "call" marks figures stated on the earnings call, "filing" figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs the prior-year figure on file

      Versus peers

      Chemicals — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      GPRE
      Green Plains Inc.
      this stock
      $1.18B +72.3% -14.9% 19.0%
      SHECF
      Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.
      $81.83B +38.7% 0.3%
      DOW
      Dow Inc.
      $20.92B +25.6% -7.0% 4.8%
      NPXYY
      Nippon Sanso Holdings Corporation/ADR
      $16.32B +27.5% 0.0%
      CE
      Celanese Corp
      $5.15B +11.0% -7.1% 7.2%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Reducing
      Holders
      208
      % held
      105.7%
      Reported
      5 of 207
      Top holder
      BlackRock, Inc.
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      214
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Rising
      Shares short
      13.3M
      Days to cover
      7.9d
      Change
      +55.9K sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      46%
      As of
      Jul 10, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      13
      Value
      $194
      As of
      Jun 12, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      40.6%
      Week of
      May 4, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $2.1B
      Net income (FY)
      $-121.3M
      EPS diluted
      $-1.80
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized
      $200.0M
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      Investor Event Transcript
      Filed
      Jun 30, 2026
      This year
      10
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $1.1M
      Shares
      65.0K
      Filed
      Mar 20, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      May 13, 2026
      View
      Investor Relations
      Latest news
      Green Plains Reports First Quarte…
      Published
      May 7, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      GPRE +8.9% +13.1% +45.5% +9.8% +72.4%
      SPY +1.4% +4.1% +9.1% +1.1% +10.7%
      vs SPY +7.5% +9.0% +36.4% +8.7% +61.6%

      Capital returns

      Buyback program · as of Dec 31, 2025
      Authorized
      $200.00M
      Spent (derived)
      Remaining

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 1309402 CUSIP 393222104 13F (30d) 6 filings 6 filers Visit website Investor relations