Green Plains reported third-quarter net income of $85,572 thousand, up from $10,974 thousand, and adjusted EBITDA of $117,981 thousand, up from $52,568 thousand; Section 45Z credits reduced cost of goods sold by $67.2 million.
GPRE · Green Plains Inc.
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Green Plains Inc. reported record third-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $118 million, more than double prior-year results, and expects full-year 2026 carbon EBITDA of approximately $230 to $250 million, with at least $250 million expected in 2027.
Green Plains reported third-quarter 2026 net income attributable to the company of $85.4 million and record adjusted EBITDA of $118.0 million. It also executed an agreement on October 29, 2026 to monetize $250 million to $325 million of 2026 45Z production tax credits.
Green Plains Inc. agreed to sell Section 45Z credits generated from ethanol production between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, with a minimum of $250 million and maximum of $325 million; first-half 2026 proceeds are expected during the fourth quarter.
Metrics snapshot
Useful current figures from the complete screener profile.
Quarterly results
* Q4 derived as the full year minus Q1 to Q3.
AI Brief
Q3 FY26 earnings call · Nov 5, 2026TL;DR. Green Plains reported record adjusted EBITDA of $118.0 million, net income attributable to the company of $85.4 million, and nine-month operating cash flow of $47.4 million, alongside improved base-business profitability, stronger operations, higher 45Z guidance, and greater capital-allocation flexibility. Risks included weaker revenue and ethanol sales volumes, a seasonally softer fourth quarter, potential corn-availability pressure, weaker agribusiness earnings, receivable-related cash conversion, and uncertainty over the 45B program's duration.
- + Full-year 2026 45Z adjusted EBITDA guidance increased to $230 million–$250 million from approximately $188 million, with at least $250 million expected from the low-carbon platform in 2027. new
- + Platform utilization recovered to approximately 95%, production rose by 14 million gallons sequentially, and ethanol and corn oil yields reached record levels. new
- + The $250 million–$325 million 45Z monetization agreement provides visibility for converting tax-credit receivables into cash, with approximately $140 million expected to convert during the fourth quarter. new
- + Stronger base-business performance and improved 45Z cash-flow visibility increased management's capital-allocation flexibility for reinvestment, debt reduction, strategic opportunities, and potential share repurchases. new
- − Management said fourth-quarter industry margins were below levels experienced during parts of the third quarter and described the quarter as softer because of seasonal demand declines. new
- − Delayed harvest and a sharp decline in corn prices could constrain physical corn availability as the company moves from the fourth quarter into the first quarter. new
- − Agribusiness and energy services adjusted EBITDA declined 5.4% to $6.3 million in the third quarter. new
- − Cash conversion during the first three quarters was affected by the build in production tax-credit receivables ahead of monetization. new
- − Management does not expect the 45B program necessarily to continue in its current format, creating uncertainty about the duration of the window for project returns. new
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceBlended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Still-open targets the latest release did not restate under the same label.
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders NeutralIllustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | 164.89M | Six Months Ended June 30 | — |
| Adjusted ethanol production operating income non-GAAP | 93.65M | Three Months Ended June 30 | — |
GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP Ethanol production operating income (loss) 70.98M
+22.67M Depreciation and amortization
+0K Impairment of assets held for sale
= Adjusted ethanol production operating income 93.65M
|
|||
| Consolidated ethanol crush margin non-GAAP | $95.1M | Q2 2026 | — |
GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP Adjusted ethanol production operating income 93.65M
+1.42M Intercompany fees and nonethanol operating activities, net
= Consolidated ethanol crush margin 95.07M
|
|||
| EBITDA non-GAAP | 164.8M | Six Months Ended June 30 | — |
| EBITDA resulting from Section 45Z production tax credits net of discounts and other costs | $58.7M | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Utilization | 88% | Q2 2026 | — |
| utilization rate | 88.3% | the second quarter of 2026 filing | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Chemicals — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GPRE
this stock
Green Plains Inc.
|
$940.65M | +35.9% | -14.9% | — | 18.4% |
|
SHECF
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.
|
$63.83B | +9.9% | — | — | 0.1% |
|
DOW
Dow Inc.
|
$23.92B | +41.3% | -7.0% | — | 3.8% |
|
CE
Celanese Corp
|
$5.64B | +21.6% | -7.1% | 21.7 | 5.6% |
|
MEOH
Methanex Corp
|
$5.45B | +77.5% | — | — | 3.1% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every section- Filed
- Nov 6, 2026
- This year
- 19
Green Plains reported third-quarter net income of $85,572 thousand, up from $10,974 thousand, and adjusted EBITDA of $117,981 thousand, up from $52,568 thousand; Section 45Z credits reduced cost of goods sold by $67.2 million.
ViewPerformance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPRE | +0.7% | -8.0% | -15.9% | -5.5% | +35.9% |
| SPY | +2.6% | -1.2% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +10.6% |
| vs SPY | -1.9% | -6.8% | -16.4% | -5.4% | +25.3% |
Capital returns
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.