ARR · Armour Residential REIT, Inc.
$16.61
-0.51 (-2.98%)
At close · Jul 17
Market Cap
$2.06B
Shares
124,046,116
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$16.61
Open$17.07
Day$16.53–17.16
52W$12.33–18.02
Avg vol 30d4.3M
Short int11.9M · 9.6% float · 2.9d
Short vol68%
Last earningsApr 22, 2026
DataJan 2020–Jul 2026
Filing10-Q · Apr 22
Up next
Next earnings call
Jul 22, 2026
Est · unconfirmed
· this week
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026
Est
filed Apr 22, 2026
AI Brief
TL;DR.
Bullish
Bearish
From the call
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment advice
Overall
Buy
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Sell
Momentum
Weak
Sentiment
Bullish
Fundamentals
Excellent
Quant / Vol
Low
Market backdrop
VIX 18.8 · elevated
Equity put/call 0.73
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
Death cross
Price vs 200-day avg
−3%
below
Price vs 50-day avg
−3%
below
RSI (14)
41
neutral
MACD trend
Negative
52-week position
75%
mid-range
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
0%
trailing
6-month return
−3%
trailing
YTD return
+2%
this year
Relative strength
−11%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
Death cross
50d $17 › 200d $17 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
23 of 225 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +20.2K sh shares · +3 new
Insider flow
Flat
No net insider activity over 90 days
Short interest
Falling
9.62% of float · ▼ -12.5% MoM · 2.9 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
225 holders — near 4-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score
59
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
EPS growth
+747%
Y/Y
Valuation
P/E 6.7
below peers
Balance sheet
$63.3M
net cash
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
24%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−17%
past year
ATR
2.1%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the 8-K filed Feb 14, 2024
Common share dividend rate
· January 2024
$0.24
Expected dividend yield as a percentage of book value
· January 2024
12% – 15%
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Sell
50 / 200-day cross
Death cross
Bearish
Price vs 200-day avg
−3%
Neutral
Price vs 50-day avg
−3%
Neutral
RSI (14)
41
Neutral
MACD trend
Negative
Bearish
52-week position
75%
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bullish · 3 of 6
Trend (MA cross)
Death cross
50d $17 › 200d $17 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
23 of 225 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +20.2K sh shares · +3 new
Insider flow
Flat
No net insider activity over 90 days
Short interest
Falling
9.62% of float · ▼ -12.5% MoM · 2.9 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
225 holders — near 4-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
52-wk low $12
Now $17 · 75%
52-wk high $18
vs 200-day avg -3%
vs 50-day avg -3%
50-day below 200-day death cross
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from its earnings releases, calls, and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average interest cost on average interest bearing liabilities | 3.84% | Q1 2026 | — |
| Average interest income on interest earning assets | 4.88% | Q1 2026 | — |
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| Book value per common share | $17.42 | March 31, 2026 | — |
| Distributable Earnings available to common stockholders non-GAAP | $90.5M | Q1 2026 | — |
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GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP Distributable Earnings $93.7M
-$3.2M Dividends on Preferred Stock
= Distributable Earnings available to common stockholders $90.5M
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| Distributable Earnings per common share non-GAAP | $0.76 | Q1 2026 | — |
| Economic interest expense non-GAAP | 2.98% | Q1 2026 | — |
| Economic interest income non-GAAP | 4.82% | Q1 2026 | — |
| Economic net interest spread non-GAAP | 1.84% | Q1 2026 | — |
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| Implied leverage | 8.21 | March 31, 2026 | +1.7% |
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| Interest Rate swap contracts notional amount | $12.9B | March 31, 2026 | — |
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| Liquidity, including cash and unencumbered securities | $1.1B | March 31, 2026 | — |
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| Portfolio | $21.1B | March 31, 2026 | — |
| Repurchase agreements, net | $18.5B | March 31, 2026 | — |
| Total economic return | -2.6% | Q1 2026 | — |
| active repo counterparties | 24 | Q1 FY2026 call | — |
| Buckler Securities share of repo financing book | 45% | Q1 FY2026 call | — |
| expected month-end liquidity position including April's paydowns | 1.2B | April FY2026 call | — |
| implied leverage excluding the Treasury shorts | 7.85 | Q1 FY2026 call | — |
| net added MBS pools since last conference call | 900M | since Q4 FY2025 conference call through Q1 FY2026 call | — |
| net balance sheet duration | 0.4 | as of Q1 FY2026 call | — |
| repo principal financed at 3% haircut or lower | 80% | Q1 FY2026 call | — |
| specified pools as percentage of MBS holdings | 95% | Q1 FY2026 call | — |
| weighted average haircut across the entire repo book | 2.75% | Q1 FY2026 call | — |
| Debt to equity ratio | 7.94 | December 31, 2025 | — |
| Interest cost on average interest bearing liabilities | 4.27% | Q4 2025 | — |
| Q4 2025 total economic return | 10.63% | Q4 2025 | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "call" marks figures stated on the earnings call, "filing" figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs the prior-year figure on file
Versus peers
REIT - Mortgage — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ARR
this stock
Armour Residential REIT, Inc.
|
$2.06B | +1.9% | — | 6.7 | 9.6% |
|
NLY
Annaly Capital Management Inc
|
$16.86B | +10.0% | — | 7.4 | 3.2% |
|
AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp.
|
$12.88B | +8.2% | — | 8.8 | 9.6% |
|
STWD
Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
|
$6.30B | -2.9% | +40.0% | 17.9 | 5.0% |
|
RITM
Rithm Capital Corp.
|
$5.20B | -14.5% | -6.7% | 8.6 | 5.7% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Smart Money
Financials
Filings
Earnings & Events
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARR | -2.6% | -0.4% | -3.1% | -4.8% | +1.9% |
| SPY | -1.5% | +0.3% | +7.8% | -0.5% | +9.0% |
| vs SPY | -1.0% | -0.7% | -10.9% | -4.3% | -7.1% |
Capital returns
Latest dividend
$0.24
/ share · ex Jul 15, 2026
Paid (TTM)
$2.88
/ share · 12 payouts
Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
17.34%
Buyback program
· as of Mar 31, 2026
Authorized
shares 5.00M
Spent (derived)
shares 4.26M
Remaining
shares 741,000
Spent
Remaining
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.