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FOSL

Fossil Group, Inc.
$4.12 -0.01 (-0.24%) At close · Jul 13
Market Cap
$238.18M
Shares
59,101,598

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$4.12 Open$4.13 Day$4.08–4.22 52W$1.54–5.75 Avg vol 30d898K Short int4.3M · 7.3% float · 3.2d Short vol46% Last earningsMay 13, 2026 DataJan 2020–Jul 2026 Filing10-Q · May 14
Up next
Next earnings call
Aug 13, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 4 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
filed May 14, 2026
AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Equibles Rating blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Neutral
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Neutral Momentum Neutral Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Strong Quant / Vol Very High
      Market backdrop VIX 16.5 · calm Equity put/call 0.62
      Technical
      price trend
      Neutral
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg +10%
      above
      Price vs 50-day avg −2%
      below
      RSI (14) 47
      neutral
      MACD trend Negative
      52-week position 61%
      mid-range
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Neutral
      1-month return −1%
      trailing
      6-month return 0%
      trailing
      YTD return +10%
      this year
      Relative strength −8%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Neutral
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $4 › 200d $4 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      2 of 90 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +1.6K sh shares
      Insider flow Accumulating
      Net +$100.7K over 90 days · 0% sells
      Short interest Rising
      7.27% of float · ▲ +40.7% MoM · 3.2 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      90 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Squeeze score 67
      elevated · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Strong
      Revenue growth −12%
      Y/Y
      Gross margin 56%
      expanding
      EPS growth +25%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $-60.5M
      Buyback $15.5M
      remaining
      Balance sheet $85.9M
      net debt
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Very High
      Volatility 100%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −52%
      past year
      ATR 4.7%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record
      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed May 13, 2026
      Worldwide net sales · full year 2026 Initiated -6% – -4%
      Adjusted operating margin · full year 2026 Non-GAAP Initiated 3% – 5%
      Free cash flow · full year 2026 Non-GAAP Initiated $0

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral
      1 · 4 · 1
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      +10% Bullish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      −2% Neutral
      RSI (14)
      47 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Negative Bearish
      52-week position
      61% Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bullish · 2 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $4 › 200d $4 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      2 of 90 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +1.6K sh shares
      Insider flow Accumulating
      Net +$100.7K over 90 days · 0% sells
      Short interest Rising
      7.27% of float · ▲ +40.7% MoM · 3.2 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      90 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      52-wk low $2 Now $4 · 61% 52-wk high $6
      vs 200-day avg +10% vs 50-day avg -2%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from its earnings releases, calls, and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      Comparable retail sales decline -15% first quarter 2026
      Direct to consumer sales decline (constant currency) -29% first quarter 2026
      Wholesale sales growth (constant currency) 5% first quarter 2026
      Adjusted operating margin non-GAAP 1.1% Full Year 2025
      Comparable retail sales change (constant currency) non-GAAP -23% Full Year 2025

      Figures exactly as the company stated them · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "call" marks figures stated on the earnings call, "filing" figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs the prior-year figure on file

      Versus peers

      Footwear & Accessories — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      FOSL
      Fossil Group, Inc.
      this stock
      $238.18M +9.6% -12.3% 7.3%
      NKE
      NIKE, Inc.
      $64.80B -30.9% -9.8% 29.0 4.9%
      DECK
      Deckers Outdoor Corp
      $14.80B +2.8% +9.8% 15.2 4.7%
      ONON
      On Holding AG
      $12.64B -18.4% 6.9%
      BIRK
      Birkenstock Holding plc
      $8.16B +8.5% 6.2%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      90
      % held
      55.9%
      Reported
      2 of 90
      Top holder
      Nantahala Capital Managem…
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      44
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Rising
      Shares short
      4.3M
      Days to cover
      3.2d
      Change
      +1.2M sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      46%
      As of
      Jul 14, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      22.6K
      Value
      $92.3K
      As of
      May 22, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      38.8%
      Week of
      May 4, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Insider Trades Net buying
      Net (90d)
      +$100.7K
      Buyers / Sellers
      1 / 0
      Buyers Sellers
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $1.0B
      Net income (FY)
      $294.7M
      EPS diluted
      $-1.45
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized
      $30.0M
      Remaining
      $15.5M
      Spent Remaining
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      10-Q
      Filed
      May 14, 2026
      This year
      6
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $49.3K
      Shares
      27.2K
      Filed
      Oct 18, 2023
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      May 13, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      FOSL -0.7% -1.4% +0.5% -0.5% +9.6%
      SPY -0.3% +1.6% +8.3% +0.3% +9.9%
      vs SPY -0.4% -3.0% -7.8% -0.8% -0.3%

      Capital returns

      Buyback program · as of Apr 4, 2026
      Authorized
      $30.00M
      Spent (derived)
      $14.50M
      Remaining
      $15.50M
      Spent Remaining

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 883569 CUSIP 34988V106 13F (30d) 22 filings 3 filers Visit website