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FOSL · Fossil Group, Inc.

Track FOSL — free
$5.57 -0.01 (-0.18%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$329.40M
Shares
59.14M

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$5.57 Open$5.64 Day$5.30–5.64 52W close$1.79–6.09 Avg vol 30d973K Short int6.8M · 11.6% float · 8.8d Short vol59% Last earningsAug 12, 2026 DataJan 2020–Aug 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 13

Up next

Next earnings call
Nov 12, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 12 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
filed Aug 13, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Ask ALVIS about this →

      Equibles Rating

      blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Neutral
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Strong Buy Momentum Very Strong Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Fair Quant / Vol Very High
      Market backdrop VIX 14.3 · calm Equity put/call 0.52
      Technical
      price trend
      Strong Buy
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg +38%
      above
      Price vs 50-day avg +24%
      above
      RSI (14) 64
      neutral
      MACD trend Positive
      52-week position 88%
      near high
      Volume (OBV) Confirms
      volume backs price
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Very Strong
      1-month return +35%
      trailing
      6-month return +17%
      trailing
      YTD return +48%
      this year
      Relative strength +3%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Neutral
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $4 › 200d $4 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +22% holders QoQ · +37 funds added
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Rising
      11.58% of float · ▲ +7.8% MoM · 8.8 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      110 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Squeeze score 83
      high risk · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Fair
      Revenue growth −12%
      Y/Y
      Gross margin 56%
      expanding
      EPS growth +25%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $-60.5M
      Buyback $15.5M
      remaining
      Balance sheet $109.2M
      net debt
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Very High
      Volatility 97%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −52%
      past year
      ATR 7.2%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record

      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed May 13, 2026
      Worldwide net sales · full year 2026 -6% – -4%
      Adjusted operating margin · full year 2026 Non-GAAP 3% – 5%
      Free cash flow · full year 2026 Non-GAAP $0
      Prior guidance period ended · from the Earnings Call filed Sep 30, 2025
      Adjusted operating margin · full year 2025 0%
      Guided vs delivered · last 1 settled
      Worldwide net sales fiscal year 2024
      guided $1.2B
      $1.14B Miss −4.6%

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Strong Buy
      0 · 3 · 4
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      +38% Bullish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      +24% Bullish
      RSI (14)
      64 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Positive Bullish
      52-week position
      88% Bullish
      Volume (OBV)
      Confirms Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bullish · 2 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $4 › 200d $4 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +22% holders QoQ · +37 funds added
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Rising
      11.58% of float · ▲ +7.8% MoM · 8.8 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      110 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      Range low $2 Now $6 · 88% Range high $6
      vs 200-day avg +38% vs 50-day avg +24%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      Adjusted earnings (loss) per share non-GAAP -$0.17 26 weeks ended July 4, 2026
      Adjusted net income (loss) non-GAAP -$9.9M 26 weeks ended July 4, 2026
      Adjusted operating income (loss) non-GAAP $17.8M 26 weeks ended July 4, 2026
      Adjusted operating margin non-GAAP 3.5% Q2 Fiscal 2026
      Total stores 176 July 4, 2026
      Comparable retail sales change (constant currency) -15% first quarter of 2026

      Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

      Versus peers

      Footwear & Accessories — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      FOSL
      Fossil Group, Inc.
      this stock
      $329.40M +48.1% -12.3% 11.6%
      NKE
      NIKE, Inc.
      $60.42B -36.1% +0.2% 19.4 3.9%
      DECK
      Deckers Outdoor Corp
      $12.70B -10.2% +9.8% 13.2 4.7%
      ONON
      On Holding AG
      $10.77B -30.7% 5.9%
      BIRK
      Birkenstock Holding plc
      $7.00B -3.8% 5.0%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      110
      % held
      64.2%
      Net QoQ
      +4.9M sh
      Top holder
      Nantahala Capital Managem…
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      52
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Rising
      Shares short
      6.8M
      Days to cover
      8.8d
      Change
      +495.1K sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      59%
      As of
      Aug 14, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      79
      Value
      $325
      As of
      Jul 14, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      61.7%
      Week of
      Jul 6, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $1.0B
      Net income (FY)
      $294.7M
      EPS diluted
      $-1.45
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized
      $30.0M
      Remaining
      $15.5M
      Spent Remaining
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      10-Q
      Filed
      Aug 13, 2026
      This year
      10
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $49.3K
      Shares
      27.2K
      Filed
      Oct 18, 2023
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      Aug 12, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      FOSL +3.5% +34.5% +16.8% +12.5% +48.1%
      SPY +0.4% +4.5% +13.8% +3.9% +13.9%
      vs SPY +3.1% +30.1% +3.0% +8.6% +34.3%

      Capital returns

      Buyback program · as of Jul 4, 2026
      Authorized
      $30.00M
      Spent (derived)
      $14.50M
      Remaining
      $15.50M
      Spent Remaining

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 883569 CUSIP 34988V106 13F (30d) 107 filings 106 filers Visit website