Conference Transcript - JNJ 2026-05-19

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

to have here Michael Bodner, Company Group Chair, EP and Neurovascular from J&J MedTech, as well as Ryan and Lauren from Investor Relations. So thank you so much for being here. Just a quick background. Michael has been with J&J for almost 10 years, previously served as Worldwide President of Biosense Webster. He also led the integrations of AbioMed and Shockwave, And he now oversees two high-growth, high-innovation franchises within J&J's cardiovascular portfolio. So, Michael, thank you so much for being here today.

Michael Bodner, Other

Thank you for inviting me.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

Okay, great. So maybe we'll dive into the EP market because that's definitely the hot topic here. I think you've described the global market as a $16 billion opportunity growing about 12%, 13%. And it is still highly underpenetrated. Maybe you can talk to us about where you see the opportunity for growth. Is it geographic expansion, procedure expansion beyond AFib or a function of improvement in diagnosis that's going to drive growth here?

Michael Bodner, Other

As you were doing the intro, I was reflecting on my time at Biosense back in 2022. Back then, it was an $8 billion market. Four years later, it's doubled. It's now $16 billion. And as you stated, it's growing 12% to 13% procedurally. The biggest segment of that growth is AFib. AFib is at least 60% of the mix. And that AFib market is most likely growing north of 15%. The driver of that is all of us. One in four people over the age of 40 will develop atrial fibrillation. And it's still significantly underdiagnosed. It's undertreated. We estimate that of the patients that could benefit from a catheter ablation, it's still in the single digits that are getting access to care. So still extremely underpenetrated. Growth in this segment will continue to be driven by two major factors, market development, and I'll get into that detail, as well as innovation. From a market development perspective, that's patient awareness. Ten years ago, nobody knew what AFib was. Now that's more of a household name. So truly understanding whether a patient has AFib or not is becoming easier to understand, particularly with smartwatches and everybody measuring everything they possibly can. That is also spreading globally outside the United States into Europe and in Asia. But there are more to arrhythmias beyond AFib. That's just one of them, right? There's SVTs, there's flutters, there's VTs. And those are also significantly underpenetrated. So the opportunity for growth is on geographic expansion in Europe and in Asia, patient awareness, but also the referring physicians truly understanding that there are treatment options beyond a pill in the pocket and that those treatment options are getting better and better and those outcomes are improving. We also have opportunities to introduce innovation to these physicians and to do clinical evidence generation that proves out the safety and efficacy of these new modalities. But the innovation curve right now is steep. There is an extreme acceleration of innovation and helping guide physicians on what to use when to best serve patient outcomes. So AFib is the driver. Innovation that brings technologies that help physicians to know where to ablate and how to do that in a safer and more effective way will continue with driving that growth.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

Got it. Just as a follow-up there, you were talking about the growth rate. So 12% to 13% is global, and you said it's a procedure number. And then AFib is north of 15%. Is that a procedure number as well? Okay, got it. And then I believe about 75% plus of the U.S. market has already converted to AFib.

Michael Bodner, Other

To PFA.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

Sorry, to PFA. And so in terms of the pricing premium going forward, adding to that revenue growth is going to be a smaller percentage. So can you parse out worldwide U.S. growth?

Michael Bodner, Other

That's why I quote procedural versus revenue growth, because the revenue growth is harder to size. because, yes, there is price premium of the conversion from RF to PF. Some of that's going to be unpredictable. As you stated, in the U.S., PFA penetration is probably north of 75, lower in Europe, and just starting in Asia. So there is going to be a price premium that will be layered on top beyond the 12% to 13%.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

Okay, that's really helpful. You know, the market has definitely gotten very competitive, And I think recently noted for the U.S. trends that you are gaining some unit market leadership in the U.S. Can you maybe elaborate on that? What is driving it and how sustainable that is?

Michael Bodner, Other

So when we talk about therapeutic unit leadership, that is across all arrhythmia types, all ablation types. So that's RF and PF. So we're the clear leader in electrophysiology. and we're the leader in mapping and diagnostic and imaging and RF catheters and we are now building momentum with PFA so when we look at total unit leadership we are now there and that happened late last year in the United States and then week over week over week we're seeing significant momentum building particularly with our Verapulse Plus platform in the United States so that's where we've had catheter enhancements to Verapulse where we have automated the irrigation rate. Physician feedback has been very positive, and the momentum is significantly building. And that anchors to our full ecosystem of Carto, where everything is fully integrated.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

Can you maybe elaborate on that just as a follow-up? So you have indicated that you would be launching a new catheter every year through 2030, and at least two Carto updates each year. You know, where is J&J driving the differentiation, given that it's so competitive? And you mentioned that, you know, the innovation curve is pretty steep right now. And what gives you the confidence that you can execute on that pipeline?

Michael Bodner, Other

We expect to have the most comprehensive and complete PFA portfolio in the market. And that portfolio will be multimodal. And what I mean by that is there will be a small focal, a large focal, there will be a catheter for regional ablation, and for single shots. So when we think about the workflow of the EP community, it really depends on physician preference, but also where that patient is in disease progression and the continuum of care. Is this their first procedure or have they had multiple procedures? And so when we look at the strength that we have with, again, the full ecosystem, given that our catheters are integrated into CARTO, we're able to provide physicians with real-time procedural feedback. Are they touching tissue? Have they provided the right amount of dosing to the vein, to the posterior wall? And do they have contact and how many grams of contact? And then the dosing again with a PF index, we used to have an RF index, but now we have a PF index that guides them to how much pulse field they've actually delivered into that tissue itself. And that will drive outcomes. So when I look at the cadence of innovation that we're bringing, and I look at the depth of our team globally, we actually have a surge of innovation coming, and we're accelerating. We're not slowing down. We're actually speeding up. And when we look at how we've structured our organization with R&D, advanced R&D, our incubator group, and how everything works seamlessly with Carta, we're well positioned to continue this momentum.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

That's really helpful. Maybe we can talk a little bit more about Cardo. So, you know, I think you have indicated, you know, some of the differences there with tissue proximity indicators, contact force management that you just mentioned, you know, ablation indexes. Is there anything else we are missing or what feedback you're getting from physicians, which they really appreciate? Because, you know, as we know, the market is getting competitive. You know, Abbott, you know, has their own mapping system. Boston and Metronic are launching theirs as well. So where do you think that, you know, that differentiation lies?

Michael Bodner, Other

So those interprocedural cues really make a difference in patient outcomes. Earlier this year, we had a data readout that showed that CARDO, particularly because of the TPI, the tissue proximity indicators, which tells the physician that they're truly delivering the energy into the tissue and not into the blood, showed a 61% reduction in rehospitalization rates at 30 days. 61% reduction. Said differently, patients that were treated with Cardo were 2.5 times less likely to go back to the hospital within 30 days because of an arrhythmia-driven rehospitalization. So it matters. And with the introduction of PFA, the traditional cues that they used to see with RF are now missing. With RF, they would see signal attenuation in real time. They would see the amplitude of that signal getting smaller and smaller until it disappeared. They would be able to see changes to the tissue itself with impedance drops. With PFA, they don't have that. And so giving them those intra-procedural cues that help guide them on therapy delivery significantly improves outcomes. And we're starting to see that in our real-world evidence with our Verapulse data in Europe and the United States. And pleasingly, that data is matching.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

That's really helpful. And my guess is that you are in the field with that data showing to physicians. Okay, perfect. I guess on Carto Edge, how would you differentiate that versus Carto 3? And then also at HRS, you launched the Carto Sound, the Sonata model. And so can you walk us through those modalities? What's different here?

Michael Bodner, Other

So I'll take Sonata first, because it's what we're launching now. Sonata is our next-gen imaging modality. It is AI-enabled, and it can take ultrasound images from our ice catheter, so ice is intracardiac echo, and automatically build high-quality, accurate maps of the heart. Now, it used to be that we could do this with the left atrium only. We can now do this also with the left ventricle, which is important for VT, ventricular tachycardias. But we can build an even more detailed map of the left atrium with the new Sonata model that is CT-like. And as a result, we don't need to use fluoroscopy. We have a zero fluoro indication. and physicians like the speed, the accuracy, and they rely on that and enables them to see things they couldn't see before. It also auto labels different structures. It tells them what they're looking at on the image, but it also tells them tissue thickness. So by knowing the thickness of the tissue, they can tailor their ablation strategy to those patients. Some areas that are thin may not need as many ablations whereas others that are thick may need more and they want to ensure that they're creating effective lesion sets so those patients don't have recurrences got it that's helpful uh you know you want to know about cardo edge though so i'm cardo edge um cardo is now best in class in terms of mapping and the total tech stack is leading edge but we don't want to rest on our laurels we want to take it to the next level in order to do so we want to bring in more artificial intelligence and machine learning into our software modules and we have a cadence of about two major mapping releases per year but we're getting to the limits of what we can do with our current platform and so cardo edge is a play on the word edge meaning it's cutting edge but it's also bringing in edge computing and by bringing in edge computing we bring in much more powerful computing power so that we can have better insights. And so what it will be enabling is tissue characterization. We'll be able to understand the underlying tissue. Is it calcified? Is it scarred? Is there fat? And based on that, how would you address your ablation strategy? We're also able to see deeper into the tissue. And sometimes the arrhythmia is not on the surface, it can dive deep into the tissue. And knowing that helps physicians with their guidance in more complex patient sets. And then with CardoEdge and the tech stack that we've got coming, we're also able to have insights into the quality of the lesions. With PFA, there is this period of time where it can be reversible or irreversible, and we're able to implement multi-frequency impedance mapping where we can guide the physician, is that lesion actually effective or not, and is there more ablation to do?

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

Got it. Just moving to, actually, what about the timing on Cardo?

Michael Bodner, Other

On Cardo Edge, we haven't guided to that timing yet, but more to come.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

Okay, understood. You know, just shifting gears to Verapulse Pro that you launched in Europe in March of this year. I think you've indicated that it delivers five times faster ablation times. Can you maybe elaborate on that product? When do we see it come to the U.S.? And then you're also doing a head-to-head study with FerraWave on persistent AFib. Maybe you can talk about that study.

Michael Bodner, Other

So Verapulse is our commitment to delivering not just multiple form factors, but multi-generational catheters with pulse sequence innovation so we're on plus in the united states which is the bump in the irrigation rate of 30 ml and then pro is a further build with second generation pulse sequence that second generation pulse sequence is 3.8 seconds versus 21 seconds and we only do four per vein so it's an extremely fast efficient and easy workflow, the physician feedback has been extremely positive. It's a workflow they already know, but it just works better and it's smoother. The data that's building is significant. So we have data sets in the real world from Verapure and from Real AF that is showing extremely safe profiles with very good efficacy. So we're seeing acute performance, acute success, and we're seeing greater than 90% freedom from AFib at one year. And our event rates are extremely low. So with PFA, we can see hemolysis. Ours is extremely low. We can see with other modalities, coronary spasm, we haven't seen that with this platform in over 70,000 cases. And there are other adverse events like groin complications and others. Now, given our experience base with Verapulse, we have confidence to do a head-to-head now per sigma is an indication expansion study for persistent indication in the united states we could have made this a single arm study just for indication expansion but given the confidence that we have in this platform the data that we're seeing from a safety and efficacy perspective gave us confidence to go head-to-head to guide physicians on platform choice to enable them to have better treatment options as they look through the data.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

That's great. When can we expect Pro in the U.S.?

Michael Bodner, Other

We are actively working with the FDA on that as we speak, but ProSigma is not linked to Pro coming to the U.S.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

Okay, got it. That's helpful. You know, I wanted to touch on dual energy catheters. You know, I think what we've heard from our checks is that, you know, it's used in about 20-30% of the cases. I think you've indicated in 20-30% of simple cases and slightly higher in the more complex cases. And, you know, our KOL checks were indicating that it could help you regain more share in the complicated end of the procedure spectrum.

Michael Bodner, Other

So, you know, can you just maybe talk about the opportunity with the dual energy catheter so dual energy stsf is our small focal ablation catheter it's based on the stsf platform which is the most widely used rf catheter globally it's what physicians train on it's what they're most used to so it has like muscle memory for them and there's a lot of comfort to that catheter for them and now it has dual energy so we can seamlessly toggle between rf and pf it has contact force. It has a PF index. So it is a workflow that they're most comfortable with. And the ability to toggle gives them a lot of versatility, depending on the complexity of the patient. There are clinical situations where RF may be more suitable than PF. For instance, if there's an ablation needed near the conduction zone, like the AV node, PF may not be suitable. or if there's an ablation near the coronary arteries or coronary spasm may be something to be avoided an rf approach may be more suitable understood uh you know with respect to omnipulse i think you've indicated that it could potentially redefine pfa what did you mean so with omnipulse it is a map and a blade catheter with contact force and a pf index so the contact force tells them how much they're touching tissue and how many grams of force that they're pushing. The PF index indicates have they delivered the therapeutic dosing or not. This is novel to us. And the fact that it's a 12 millimeter basket creates a lot of efficiency. So with SDSF, this is a three and a half millimeter tip. To upgrade that to 12 millimeters enables the physician to have a very efficient workflow if it is a patient that's having an index procedure but they're complex the physician can rapidly map with a high density mapper they can quickly isolate the veins and then based on what's happening in the substrate because it's a single catheter they're then able to decide where else to ablate with that catheter so it creates a significant efficiency in that more complex patient population.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

Actually, just to follow up to what you said earlier, I think there are different form factors. You've talked about verapulse, small focal, large focal, single shot. How do you think the market is going to be split between those modalities?

Michael Bodner, Other

It's going to be reliant on two things, physician preference, just what they like to use, as well as where the patient is in their continuum of disease progression and the continuum of care. So if the patient is a young patient and this is their first procedure and all that's needed is to isolate the veins, our large basket, which is referred to as isopulse, actually, I think we've just named it today for you, isopulse. We didn't disclose it before. Isopulse would be a great option isopulse can map and ablate it could very safely and effectively take out the veins if the patient needs beyond the veins then it would be a veripulse pro where we can segmentally isolate the veins with four ablations and then potentially go beyond the veins to the posterior wall if that patient is even more complex and work needs to be done ablations beyond the posterior wall then an omnipulse could be suitable and then finally if the patient is extremely complex and you need the ability to toggle between RF and PF and you need that smaller tip to get into hard-to-reach areas of the atrium, then dual-energy SDSF might be most suitable.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

That's really helpful. So J&J really will have the entire toolkit with refreshed energy.

Michael Bodner, Other

Not just the toolkit. We will have the most comprehensive therapeutic and mapping tech stack in the market.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

That's really helpful. You know, I wanted to touch on the neurovascular franchise. Maybe can you talk to us about, you know, the strategic importance of this franchise and, you know, what are the greatest growth opportunities here?

Michael Bodner, Other

Well, this is a high-impact area, particularly stroke. And you've heard the saying, time is brain. So the devices and how they perform really matters. How can we get that patient to the right interventionist quickly, but then how do we get deeper into the brain to remove that clot safely and effectively so the performance of those devices matter how they track how they aspirate and that they're predictable and reliable so our focus is on ischemic stroke with aspiration and aspiration catheters but also going after new use cases for our true fill liquid embolic for chronic subdermal hematoma and so those are patients that are elderly that can slip and bump and have a bleed. Those bleeds can be difficult to resolve, and they're hard to dry out. The traditional approach is surgical, so you can imagine a patient that's over 80 having a surgical approach to help deal with a hematoma doesn't have a great recovery, and the recurrence rates can be quite high. By taking a percutaneous approach with TruFill, we can improve the patient experience and the physician experience by embolizing the middle meningeal artery to help dry out that chronic subdermal hematoma and reduce the recurrence rate.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

I got it. I guess as we think about this franchise, where do you see portfolio gaps? Is it, you know, even on the peripheral side? And, you know, I don't know, any thoughts on the Boston-Penumbra acquisition?

Michael Bodner, Other

I won't comment to competitive activity, but we do have a lot of interest in continuing to expand into high-growth, high-met need areas, like we've done previously with our acquisitions in the past with Chalkwave and Abiumed and to heart failure and to complex PCI.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

Got it. That's helpful. Well, you know, I guess, you know, just there's a big focus on innovation on the EP side. It sounds like you'll continue to be looking at, you'll be looking at expansion opportunities on the neurovascular or vascular side. You know, where else should investors be focused? What is underappreciated about the two franchises that you're running right now?

Michael Bodner, Other

Yeah, so on the EP side, I think what's underappreciated, this isn't about a single catheter. It's about a full ecosystem from imaging to mapping to diagnostic to therapeutic and how it all works together in the ecosystem with the clinical mappers, the R&D strength, the know-how, and that commitment to an accelerated launch of innovation, multi-generational catheters, pulse sequence innovation, and it was an exciting time in EP. On the neurovascular front, this is about having consistent performance of our products that enable the interventionalists to quickly and effectively get to the clot and remove it in a predictable way that cracks well. These are little, small catheters, and how they push along that wire, and then as they connect it to an aspiration system, that the columnar strength stays there, that it doesn't collapse, and that they're truly able to remove that clot safely and effectively, and it doesn't break off and go distally. And so having technology that is safe and effective, but also predictable in their hands, and gets them to that clot quickly because, again, time is rain and we want to remove those clots as quickly as we can.

Jessica Moore, Head of Investor Relations

Got it. I know we're out of time. Just one last question, maybe rapid fire here. Just any impact on the macro front, anything you're worried about?

Michael Bodner, Other

In terms of EP, the market situation is very favorable. Lots of unmet need, very underpenetrated. innovation is coming rapidly and there's economic value because the innovation that's coming is driving safety it's driving efficacy and it's driving efficiency okay very helpful thank you very much thanks for being here thank you