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GPK · Graphic Packaging Holding Co

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$11.33 -0.12 (-1.05%)
Market Cap
$3.38B
Shares
296.07M

Price & Indicators

Indicators
Price
Panels
Event markers
20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$11.45 Open$11.43 Day$11.40–11.69 52W close$8.91–22.43 Avg vol 30d4.7M Short int19.6M · 6.6% float · 4.3d Short vol53% Last earningsAug 4, 2026 DataJan 2020–Aug 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 4

Up next

Next earnings call
Nov 3, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 10 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
Latest filing: 10-Q
filed Aug 4, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Ask ALVIS about this →

      Equibles Rating

      blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Sell
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Sell Momentum Weak Sentiment Bullish Fundamentals Fair Quant / Vol Very High
      Market backdrop VIX 15.2 · calm Equity put/call 0.64
      Technical
      price trend
      Sell
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg −6%
      below
      Price vs 50-day avg +4%
      above
      RSI (14) 51
      neutral
      MACD trend Negative
      52-week position 19%
      mid-range
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Weak
      1-month return +1%
      trailing
      6-month return +3%
      trailing
      YTD return −24%
      this year
      Relative strength −9%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Bullish
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $11 › 200d $12 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +12% holders QoQ · +112 funds added
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Falling
      6.63% of float · ▼ -8.5% MoM · 4.3 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      501 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Squeeze score 64
      elevated · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Fair
      Revenue growth −2%
      Y/Y
      Gross margin 13%
      expanding
      EPS growth −31%
      Y/Y
      Valuation P/E 17.3
      below peers
      Buyback $1.7B
      remaining
      Balance sheet $1.7B
      net debt
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Very High
      Volatility 45%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −60%
      past year
      ATR 3.9%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record

      Beat or met 1 of last 5
      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Aug 4, 2026
      2026 Net Sales · full-year 2026 Initiated $8.4B – $8.6B
      prior FY $8.62B midpoint −1.4% Y/Y
      2026 Adjusted EBITDA · full-year 2026 Non-GAAP Initiated $1.05B – $1.25B
      2026 Adjusted EPS · full-year 2026 Non-GAAP Initiated $0.65 – $0.90
      2026 Adjusted Cash Flow · full-year 2026 Non-GAAP Initiated $600M – $700M
      2026 capital spending · full-year 2026 Initiated up to $450M
      Prior guidance period ended · from the 8-K filed Nov 4, 2025
      Net Sales · full-year 2025 $8.4B – $8.6B
      Adjusted EBITDA · full-year 2025 $1.4B – $1.45B
      Guided vs delivered · last 5 settled
      Net Sales full-year 2025
      guided $8.4B – $8.6B
      $8.62B Beat +1.4%
      Net sales 2023
      guided $10B
      $9.43B Miss −5.7%
      Adjusted EPS excluding amortization of purchased intangibles 2023
      guided $2.50 – $2.90
      $2.34 Miss −13.3%
      Sales for the year
      guided $9.5B
      $9.44B Miss −0.6%

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Sell
      2 · 3 · 1
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      −6% Bearish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      +4% Bullish
      RSI (14)
      51 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Negative Bearish
      52-week position
      19% Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bullish · 2 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $11 › 200d $12 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +12% holders QoQ · +112 funds added
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Falling
      6.63% of float · ▼ -8.5% MoM · 4.3 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      501 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      Range low $9 Now $11 · 19% Range high $22
      vs 200-day avg -6% vs 50-day avg +4%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliation
      GAAP EBITDA 1.07B
      +93M Charges Associated with Business Combinations, Exit Activities and Other Special Items, Net(a)
      +15M Other Non-Recurring Items(a)
      = Adjusted EBITDA 1.17B
      Capital returned to stockholders $65M first six months of 2026 —
      Net Debt non-GAAP $5.48B Twelve Months Ended June 30 —
      Adjusted Cash Flow non-GAAP -$183M Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 —
      GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliation
      GAAP Adjusted Net Cash Used in Operating Activities -43M
      -140M Capital Spending
      = Adjusted Cash Flow -183M
      Adjusted Earnings Per Share - Basic non-GAAP $0.09 Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 —
      Adjusted Earnings Per Share - Diluted non-GAAP $0.09 Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 —
      Adjusted Net Income non-GAAP $28M Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 —
      GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliation
      GAAP Net (Loss) Income -43M
      +71M Charges Associated with Business Combinations, Exit Activities and Other Special Items, Net
      +2M Other Non-Recurring Items
      +0M Accelerated Depreciation Related to Exit Activities
      +16M Amortization Related to Purchased Intangible Assets
      -18M Tax Impact of Adjustments
      = Adjusted Net Income 28M
      EBITDA 159M First quarter 2026 —
      GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliation
      GAAP Net (Loss) Income -43M
      -2M Income Tax (Benefit) Expense
      +64M Interest Expense, Net
      +140M Depreciation and Amortization
      = EBITDA 159M
      Net Leverage Ratio (Net Debt/Adjusted EBITDA) non-GAAP 4.4 March 31, 2026 —
      Capital returned to stockholders (dividends and share repurchases) $281M Full-year 2025 —
      Shares repurchased 6.8M Full-year 2025 —
      Waco project spending through year-end 2025 $1.58B Full-year 2025 —

      Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

      Versus peers

      Packaging & Containers — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      GPK
      Graphic Packaging Holding Co
      this stock
      		$3.38B -24.0% -2.2% 17.3 6.6%
      SW
      Smurfit Westrock plc
      		 $26.00B +28.2% +47.7% 52.7 4.0%
      PKG
      Packaging Corp Of America
      		 $21.98B +19.6% +7.2% 32.0 3.3%
      AMCR
      Amcor plc
      		 $21.80B — +56.6% 19.8 4.6%
      IP
      International Paper Co /New/
      		 $21.71B +5.1% +49.3% — 8.7%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      501
      % held
      120.1%
      Net QoQ
      +19.6M sh
      Top holder
      BlackRock, Inc.
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      373
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Falling
      Shares short
      19.6M
      Days to cover
      4.3d
      Change
      -1.8M sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      53%
      As of
      Aug 26, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      1.1K
      Value
      $11.6K
      As of
      Jul 27, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      36.9%
      Week of
      Jul 20, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Congressional Trades Sell
      Member
      Lisa McClain
      Amount
      $1.0K–$15.0K
      Traded
      Sep 11, 2025
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $8.6B
      Net income (FY)
      $444.0M
      EPS diluted
      $1.48
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized · 2 programs
      $2.0B
      Remaining
      $1.7B
      Spent Remaining
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      8-K
      Filed
      Aug 17, 2026
      This year
      16
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $514.7K
      Shares
      43.1K
      Filed
      Aug 6, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      Aug 4, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      GPK +0.4% +1.1% +3.0% +6.7% -24.0%
      SPY -0.4% +5.0% +12.4% +2.6% +12.3%
      vs SPY +0.8% -4.0% -9.5% +4.2% -36.3%

      Capital returns

      Latest dividend
      $0.11 / share · ex Jun 15, 2026
      Declared · upcoming
      $0.11 / share · ex Sep 15, 2026
      Raised 10%
      Paid (TTM)
      $0.44 / share · 4 payouts
      Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
      3.84%
      Buyback programs · 2 active · as of Jun 30, 2026
      Authorized (total)
      $2.00B
      Spent (derived)
      $285.00M
      Remaining
      $1.72B
      Spent Remaining

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 1408075 CUSIP 388689101 13F (30d) 425 filings 402 filers Visit website Investor relations

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