GPK · Graphic Packaging Holding Co
Price & Indicators
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Metrics snapshot
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AI Brief
Q2 FY26 earnings call · Aug 4, 2026TL;DR. GPK reported Q2 Adjusted EBITDA of $247M at the top of guidance, but lowered full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to the low end of the range ($1.05B–$1.25B) and cut Adjusted EPS to $0.65–$0.90 due to higher inflation, while updating Adjusted Cash Flow to $600M–$700M and targeting a $145M annualized pricing benefit with URB growth at Waco.
- + Q2 Adjusted EBITDA came in at the top of guidance despite elevated inflation
- + Net leverage covenant provides headroom at 4.7x with 5.0x covenant through Q2 2027
- + URB launch at Waco opens new market with orders already in hand and 100,000+ ton opportunity
- + Structural cost actions expected to generate approximately $85M of in-year savings in 2026
- − Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance lowered to the low end of the range
- − Full-year 2026 Adjusted EPS range lowered due to higher interest expense
- − Net Income declined sharply YoY on inflation and lower price
- − Inflation expectations increased from $60M to $150M for the year
- − Net leverage ratio rose to 4.7x from 3.8x at year-end 2025
- − Food service and household demand remain challenged
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceBlended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Strong SellIllustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
Earlier KPI extraction records exist, but do not meet the current evidence-completeness requirements. No current verified series is available. Earlier figures remain withheld until revalidated; this is not evidence that the company reports no KPIs.
Versus peers
Packaging & Containers — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GPK
this stock
Graphic Packaging Holding Co
|
$2.78B | -42.8% | -2.2% | 14.2 | 7.9% |
|
SW
Smurfit Westrock plc
|
$24.34B | +9.7% | +47.7% | 49.4 | 4.6% |
|
PKG
Packaging Corp Of America
|
$21.13B | +11.2% | +7.2% | 30.8 | 3.8% |
|
AMCR
Amcor plc
|
$19.78B | — | +56.6% | 18.0 | 4.7% |
|
IP
International Paper Co /New/
|
$18.55B | -18.6% | +49.3% | — | 8.7% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionPerformance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPK | -6.9% | -17.5% | -11.4% | -4.9% | -42.8% |
| SPY | +1.2% | +0.6% | +11.6% | +1.6% | +13.6% |
| vs SPY | -8.1% | -18.1% | -23.0% | -6.5% | -56.5% |
Capital returns
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.