8-K

PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ (PGR)

8-K 2023-01-25 For: 2023-01-25
View Original
Added on April 08, 2026

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) January 25, 2023

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ohio 001-09518 34-0963169
(State or other jurisdiction of<br>incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer<br>Identification No.)
6300 Wilson Mills Road, Mayfield Village, Ohio 44143
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (440) 461-5000

Not Applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐     Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐     Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, $1.00 Par Value PGR New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On January 25, 2023, The Progressive Corporation (“the Company”) issued a news release containing financial results for the Company and its consolidated subsidiaries for the month of, and year ended, December 2022 and selected quarterly financial results. A copy of the news release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.

Item 8.01 Other Events.

The Company’s Disclosure Outlets To Disseminate Information

We disclose information to the public concerning the Company, its products and services, and other items through a variety of disclosure outlets in order to achieve broad, non-exclusionary distribution of information to the public. Some of the information distributed through these disclosure outlets may be considered to be material information. Investors and others are encouraged to review the information we make public in the locations below. This list may be updated from time to time.

•For information concerning the Company and its products and services, please visit: progressive.com

•For information provided to the investment community, including news releases, events and presentations, and SEC filings, please visit: investors.progressive.com

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

See exhibit index on page 3.

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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date: January 25, 2023
THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION
By: /s/ Mariann Wojtkun Marshall
Name: Mariann Wojtkun Marshall
Title: Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer

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EXHIBIT INDEX

Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K Item 601 Form 8-K Exhibit No. Description
99 99 News release dated January 25, 2023, containing financial results of The Progressive Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries for the month of, and year ended, December 2022 and selected quarterly financial results.
104 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page tags are<br>embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

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Document

| NEWS RELEASE | | --- || The Progressive Corporation | Company Contact: | | --- | --- | | 6300 Wilson Mills Road | Douglas S. Constantine | | Mayfield Village, Ohio 44143 | (440) 395-3707 | | http://www.progressive.com | investor_relations@progressive.com |

PROGRESSIVE REPORTS DECEMBER RESULTS

MAYFIELD VILLAGE, OHIO -- January 25, 2023 -- The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR) today reported the following results for December 2022 and the fourth quarter of 2022:

December Quarter
(millions, except per share amounts and ratios; unaudited) 2022 2021 Change 2022 2021 Change
Net premiums written $ 3,574.0 $ 3,113.3 15 % $ 12,460.2 $ 10,749.3 16 %
Net premiums earned $ 4,030.0 $ 3,613.2 12 % $ 12,891.5 $ 11,601.4 11 %
Net income $ 5.8 $ 393.3 (99) % $ 826.4 $ 962.3 (14) %
Per share available to common shareholders $ 0.01 $ 0.67 (99) % $ 1.40 $ 1.63 (14) %
Total pretax net realized gains (losses) on securities $ (411.1) $ 222.3 (285) % $ (72.8) $ 425.3 (117) %
Combined ratio 93.3 94.6 (1.3) pts. 93.9 94.7 (0.8) pts.
Average diluted equivalent common shares 587.1 586.4 0 % 587.1 586.3 0 %
December
--- --- --- ---
(thousands; unaudited) 2022 2021 Change
Policies in Force
Personal Lines
Agency – auto 7,766.3 7,879.0 (1) %
Direct – auto 10,131.0 9,568.2 6 %
Total personal auto 17,897.3 17,447.2 3 %
Total special lines 5,558.1 5,288.5 5 %
Total Personal Lines 23,455.4 22,735.7 3 %
Total Commercial Lines 1,046.4 971.2 8 %
Total Property business 2,851.3 2,776.2 3 %
Companywide Total 27,353.1 26,483.1 3 %

Progressive offers personal and commercial insurance throughout the United States. Our Personal Lines business writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products. Our Commercial Lines business writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry, and business-related general liability and property insurance, predominantly for small businesses. Our Property business writes residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters.

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

COMPREHENSIVE INCOME STATEMENT

December 2022

(millions)

(unaudited)

Current Month Comments on Monthly Results1
Net premiums written $ 3,574.0
Revenues:
Net premiums earned $ 4,030.0
Investment income 152.5
Net realized gains (losses) on securities:
Net realized gains (losses) on security sales (205.2)
Net holding period gains (losses) on securities (205.2)
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings (0.7)
Total net realized gains (losses) on securities (411.1)
Fees and other revenues 56.8
Service revenues 20.1
Total revenues 3,848.3
Expenses:
Losses and loss adjustment expenses 3,070.4
Policy acquisition costs 328.6
Other underwriting expenses 419.1
Investment expenses 1.6
Service expenses 22.7
Interest expense 21.1
Total expenses 3,863.5
Income (loss) before income taxes (15.2)
Provision (benefit) for income taxes (21.0) Includes $15.7 million of tax benefits primarily related to an increase in state deferred tax assets, in part driven by a decline in the valuation of certain equity investments.
Net income 5.8
Other comprehensive income (loss)
Changes in:
Total net unrealized gains (losses) on fixed-maturity securities 22.1 Includes $8.6 million of tax benefits related to an increase in state deferred tax assets due to a decline in valuation of certain fixed-maturity securities during the year.
Net unrealized losses on forecasted transactions 0
Foreign currency translation adjustment 0
Other comprehensive income (loss) 22.1
Total comprehensive income (loss) $ 27.9

1 For a description of our financial reporting and accounting policies, see Note 1 to our 2021 audited consolidated financial statements included in our 2021 Shareholders’ Report, which can be found at www.progressive.com/annualreport.

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

COMPREHENSIVE INCOME STATEMENTS

December 2022

(millions)

(unaudited)

Full Year
2022 2021 % Change
Net premiums written $ 51,081.1 $ 46,405.2 10
Revenues:
Net premiums earned $ 49,241.2 $ 44,368.7 11
Investment income 1,260.3 860.9 46
Net realized gains (losses) on securities:
Net realized gains (losses) on security sales 196.5 614.3 (68)
Net holding period gains (losses) on securities (2,100.1) 899.9 (333)
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings (8.6) (5.0) 72
Total net realized gains (losses) on securities (1,912.2) 1,509.2 (227)
Fees and other revenues 722.1 691.8 4
Service revenues 299.3 271.4 10
Total revenues 49,610.7 47,702.0 4
Expenses:
Losses and loss adjustment expenses 38,122.7 33,627.6 13
Policy acquisition costs 3,917.0 3,712.8 5
Other underwriting expenses 5,859.6 5,654.7 4
Investment expenses 24.3 25.5 (5)
Service expenses 296.7 252.8 17
Interest expense 243.5 218.6 11
Goodwill impairment 224.8 0 NM
Total expenses 48,688.6 43,492.0 12
Income before income taxes 922.1 4,210.0 (78)
Provision for income taxes 200.6 859.1 (77)
Net income 721.5 3,350.9 (78)
Other comprehensive income (loss)
Changes in:
Total net unrealized gains (losses) on fixed-maturity securities (2,842.5) (891.1) 219
Net unrealized losses on forecasted transactions 0.4 0.7 (43)
Foreign currency translation adjustment (0.6) (0.6) 0
Other comprehensive income (loss) (2,842.7) (891.0) 219
Total comprehensive income (loss) $ (2,121.2) $ 2,459.9 (186)
NM = Not Meaningful
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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

COMPUTATION OF NET INCOME AND COMPREHENSIVE INCOME PER SHARE

&

INVESTMENT RESULTS

December 2022

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

The following table sets forth the computation of per share results:
Current Full Year
Month 2022 2021
Net income $ 5.8 $ 721.5 $ 3,350.9
Less: Preferred share dividends 2.3 26.9 26.9
Net income available to common shareholders $ 3.5 $ 694.6 $ 3,324.0
Per common share:
Basic $ 0.01 $ 1.19 $ 5.69
Diluted $ 0.01 $ 1.18 $ 5.66
Comprehensive income (loss) $ 27.9 $ (2,121.2) $ 2,459.9
Less: Preferred share dividends 2.3 26.9 26.9
Comprehensive income (loss) attributable to common shareholders $ 25.6 $ (2,148.1) $ 2,433.0
Per common share:
Diluted1 $ 0.04 $ (3.68) $ 4.14
Average common shares outstanding - Basic 584.5 584.4 584.5
Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation 2.6 2.7 2.6
Total average equivalent common shares - Diluted 587.1 587.1 587.1

1 Basic earnings per share is disclosed where a comprehensive loss attributable to common shareholders is reported since diluted earnings per share are antidilutive.

The following table sets forth the investment results for the period:
Current Full Year
Month 2022 2021
Fully taxable equivalent (FTE) total return:
Fixed-income securities (0.1)% (6.6)% (0.1)%
Common stocks (6.8)% (19.4)% 33.4%
Total portfolio (0.4)% (7.8)% 2.6%
Pretax annualized investment income book yield 3.3%1 2.4% 1.9%

1 During December we recorded approximately $21 million (or a 0.5% contribution) of additional investment income on our asset-backed securities under the retrospective method of accounting. See Note 1 to our 2021 audited consolidated financial statements for a description of our financial reporting and accounting policies.

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

December 2022

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

Current Month
Commercial
Personal Lines Business Lines Property Companywide
Agency Direct Total Business Business Total
Net Premiums Written $ 1,348.3 $ 1,521.6 $ 2,869.9 $ 497.8 $ 206.2 $ 3,574.0
% Growth in NPW 17% 21% 19% (4)% 11% 15%
Net Premiums Earned $ 1,440.8 $ 1,676.0 $ 3,116.8 $ 715.3 $ 197.6 $ 4,030.0
% Growth in NPE 9% 15% 12% 11% 7% 12%
GAAP Ratios
Loss/LAE ratio 74.4 77.5. 76.1 75.1 78.3 76.0
Expense ratio 18.1 13.61 15.7 21.7 26.5 17.3
Combined ratio 92.5 91.1. 91.8 96.8 104.8 93.3
Net catastrophe loss ratio2 0.8 0.3 18.0 1.6
Actuarial Adjustments3
Reserve Decrease/(Increase)
Prior accident years $ 5.6
Current accident year (19.7)
Calendar year actuarial adjustment $ (2.5) $ (1.3) $ (3.8) $ (25.5) $ 15.2 $ (14.1)
Prior Accident Years Development
Favorable/(Unfavorable)
Actuarial adjustment $ 5.6
All other development 33.0
Total development $ 38.6
Calendar year loss/LAE ratio 76.0
Accident year loss/LAE ratio 77.0

1 December Direct expense ratio is lower than the full year primarily due to lower advertising expense.

2 Represents catastrophe losses incurred during the period, including the impact of reinsurance, as a percent of net premiums earned. During the month, we incurred catastrophe losses primarily related to winter storms, wind, and thunderstorms throughout the United States.

As previously announced, during December 2022, we updated our incurred loss estimates related to Hurricane Ian, which made multiple landfalls beginning in late September 2022. During the month, our estimate for our vehicle losses, which includes boats and recreational vehicles, was essentially unchanged. For our Property business, prior to giving effect to reinsurance, our estimate of loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses (ALAE) was reduced $400 million during the month, bringing the current estimate of ultimate losses and ALAE to $1 billion at year end 2022. Given that we exceeded our $200 million retention threshold under our reinsurance contracts in September 2022, this change in estimate for our Property losses and ALAE did not impact our results of operations for December.

3 Represents adjustments solely based on our normally scheduled actuarial reviews. For our Property business, the actuarial reserving methodology includes changes to catastrophe losses, while the reviews in our vehicle businesses do not include catastrophes.

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

December 2022

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

Full Year
Commercial
Personal Lines Business Lines Property Companywide
Agency Direct Total Business Business Total
Net Premiums Written $ 18,334.2 $ 20,944.3 $ 39,278.5 $ 9,398.8 $ 2,401.7 $ 51,081.1
% Growth in NPW 6% 11% 9% 17% 8% 10%
Net Premiums Earned $ 17,744.7 $ 20,135.5 $ 37,880.2 $ 9,088.3 $ 2,270.0 $ 49,241.2
% Growth in NPE 5% 9% 7% 31% 11% 11%
GAAP Ratios
Loss/LAE ratio 78.1 78.6 78.3 71.5 83.3 77.3
Expense ratio 17.8 17.6 17.7 19.6 27.2 18.5
Combined ratio 95.9 96.2 96.0 91.1 110.5 95.8
Net catastrophe loss ratio1 2.8 0.4 25.6 3.4
Actuarial Adjustments2
Reserve Decrease/(Increase)
Prior accident years $ (105.5)
Current accident year (83.8)
Calendar year actuarial adjustment $ (33.1) $ (0.7) $ (33.8) $ (112.4) $ (43.1) $ (189.3)
Prior Accident Years Development
Favorable/(Unfavorable)
Actuarial adjustment $ (105.5)
All other development 191.8
Total development $ 86.3
Calendar year loss/LAE ratio 77.3
Accident year loss/LAE ratio 77.5

1 Represents catastrophe losses incurred during the period, including the impact of reinsurance, as a percent of net premiums earned.

2 Represents adjustments solely based on our normally scheduled actuarial reviews. For our Property business, the actuarial reserving methodology includes changes to catastrophe losses, while the reviews in our vehicle businesses do not include catastrophes.

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

BALANCE SHEET AND OTHER INFORMATION

(millions - except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

December 2022
CONDENSED GAAP BALANCE SHEET:
Investments, at fair value:
Available-for-sale securities:
Fixed maturities1 (amortized cost: $50,264.0) $ 46,651.9
Short-term investments (amortized cost: $2,861.7) 2,861.7
Total available-for-sale securities 49,513.6
Equity securities:
Nonredeemable preferred stocks (cost: $1,364.2) 1,213.2
Common equities (cost: $826.1) 2,821.5
Total equity securities 4,034.7
Total investments2,3 53,548.3
Net premiums receivable 10,416.9
Reinsurance recoverables (including $5,559.2 on unpaid loss and LAE reserves) 5,832.1
Deferred acquisition costs 1,544.4
Goodwill and intangible assets 314.2
Other assets2 3,809.1
Total assets $ 75,465.0
Unearned premiums $ 17,293.6
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves 30,359.3
Other liabilities 5,532.8
Debt 6,388.3
Total liabilities 59,574.0
Shareholders’ equity 15,891.0
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity $ 75,465.0
Common shares outstanding 584.9
Common shares repurchased - December 0.07
Average cost per common share $ 128.60
Book value per common share $ 26.32
Trailing 12-month return on average common shareholders’ equity
Net income 4.4 %
Comprehensive income (13.5) %
Net unrealized pretax gains (losses) on fixed-maturity securities $ (3,537.6)
Increase (decrease) from November 2022 $ 17.1
Increase (decrease) from December 2021 $ (3,609.0)
Debt-to-total capital ratio 28.7 %
Fixed-income portfolio duration 2.9
Weighted average credit quality AA .

1 As of December 31, 2022, we held certain hybrid securities and recognized a change in fair value of $74.5 million as a realized loss during the period we held these securities.

2 At December 31, 2022, we had $34.4 million of net unsettled security transactions classified in “other assets.”

3 Includes $4.4 billion, net of unsettled security transactions, of investments in a consolidated, non-insurance subsidiary of the holding company.

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Monthly Commentary

•The Company has no additional commentary regarding December’s results.

Events

Our fourth quarter Investor Relations conference call is currently scheduled to be held on Tuesday, February 28, 2023, at 9:30 a.m. eastern time. The call and webcast is scheduled to last 90 minutes and will begin with an approximate 45-minute presentation on usage-based insurance, followed by a question and answer session with Tricia Griffith, our CEO, and John Sauerland, our CFO. We plan to post our 2022 Shareholders’ Report online and file our Annual Report on Form 10-K with the SEC on Monday, February 27, 2023. If the dates of our events, which are always subject to change, are rescheduled, we will announce the change in a press release as soon as practical and publish it on our investor website. Details regarding access to the teleconference, or any event changes, will be available at: https://investors.progressive.com/events.

We plan to release January results on Wednesday, February 15, 2023, before the market opens.

About Progressive

Progressive Insurance® makes it easy to understand, buy and use car insurance, home insurance, and other protection needs. Progressive offers choices so consumers can reach us however it’s most convenient for them — online at progressive.com, by phone at 1-800-PROGRESSIVE, via the Progressive mobile app, or in-person with a local agent.

Progressive provides insurance for personal and commercial autos and trucks, motorcycles, boats, recreational vehicles, and homes; it is the third largest auto insurer in the country, a leading seller of motorcycle and commercial auto insurance, and one of the top 15 homeowners insurance carriers.

Founded in 1937, Progressive continues its long history of offering shopping tools and services that save customers time and money, like Name Your Price®, Snapshot®, and HomeQuote Explorer®.

The Common Shares of The Progressive Corporation, the Mayfield Village, Ohio-based holding company, trade publicly at NYSE: PGR.

Regulation FD Disclosure Outlets

The Company disseminates information to the public about the Company, its products, services and other matters through various outlets in order to achieve broad, non-exclusionary distribution of information to the public. These outlets include the Company’s website (progressive.com) and its investor relations website (investors.progressive.com). We encourage investors and others to review the information the Company makes public through these outlets, as such information distributed through these outlets may be considered to be material information.

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Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Investors are cautioned that certain statements in this report not based upon historical fact are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements often use words such as “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” and other words and terms of similar meaning, or are tied to future periods, in connection with a discussion of future operating or financial performance. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and projections about future events, and are subject to certain risks, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those discussed herein. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, uncertainties related to:

•our ability to underwrite and price risks accurately and to charge adequate rates to policyholders;

•our ability to establish accurate loss reserves;

•the impact of severe weather, other catastrophe events and climate change;

•the effectiveness of our reinsurance programs and the continued availability of reinsurance and performance by reinsurers;

•the highly competitive nature of property-casualty insurance markets;

•whether we innovate effectively and respond to our competitors’ initiatives;

•whether we effectively manage complexity as we develop and deliver products and customer experiences;

•how intellectual property rights affect our competitiveness and our business operations;

•whether we adjust claims accurately;

•our ability to maintain a recognized and trusted brand;

•our ability to attract, develop and retain talent and maintain appropriate staffing levels;

•compliance with complex and changing laws and regulations;

•litigation challenging our business practices, and those of our competitors and other companies;

•the impacts of a security breach or other attack involving our computer systems or the systems of one or more of our vendors;

•the secure and uninterrupted operation of the facilities, systems, and business functions that are critical to our business;

•the success of our efforts to acquire or develop new products or enter into new areas of business and navigate related risks;

•our continued ability to send and accept electronic payments;

•the possible impairment of our goodwill or intangible assets;

•the performance of our fixed-income and equity investment portfolios;

•the impact on our investment returns and strategies from regulations and societal pressures relating to environmental, social, and other public policy matters;

•the elimination of the London Interbank Offered Rate;

•our continued ability to access our cash accounts and/or convert securities into cash on favorable terms;

•the impact if one or more parties with which we enter into significant contracts or transact business fail to perform;

•legal restrictions on our insurance subsidiaries’ ability to pay dividends to The Progressive Corporation;

•limitations on our ability to pay dividends on our common shares under the terms of our outstanding preferred shares;

•our ability to obtain capital when necessary to support our business and potential growth;

•evaluations by credit rating and other rating agencies;

•the variable nature of our common share dividend policy;

•whether our investments in certain tax-advantaged projects generate the anticipated returns;

•the impact from not managing to short-term earnings expectations in light of our goal to maximize the long-term value of the enterprise;

•the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and measures taken in response; and

•other matters described from time to time in our releases and publications, and in our periodic reports and other documents filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, including, without limitation, the Risk Factors section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ending December 31, 2021.

In addition, investors should be aware that generally accepted accounting principles prescribe when a company may reserve for particular risks, including litigation exposures. Accordingly, results for a given reporting period could be significantly affected if and when we establish reserves for one or more contingencies. Also, our regular reserve reviews may result in adjustments of varying magnitude as additional information regarding claims activity becomes known. Reported results, therefore, may be volatile in certain accounting periods.

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