TOL

Toll Brothers, Inc.

$149.49 +1.23 (+0.83%) At close · Jul 10

Market Cap

$13.97B

93,471,000

Up next

Next earnings call

Aug 18, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 5 wks

FQ3-26 quarter ends

~Jul 31, 2026 Est

Latest filing: 10-Q

filed May 29, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish

Bearish

AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

Equibles Rating blended score · not investment advice

Overall

Buy

SellHoldBuy

Technical Buy Momentum Strong Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Excellent Quant / Vol Moderate

Market backdrop VIX 15 · calm Equity put/call 0.55

Technical

price trend

Buy

50 / 200-day cross No cross

Price vs 200-day avg +5%

above

Price vs 50-day avg +4%

above

RSI (14) 49

neutral

MACD trend Negative

52-week position 66%

mid-range

Momentum

relative strength

Strong

1-month return +8%

trailing

6-month return 0%

trailing

YTD return +11%

this year

Relative strength −9%

vs S&P · 6-mo

Sentiment

smart money

Neutral

Trend (MA cross) No cross

50d $144 › 200d $142 — 50d above 200d

Institutional flow Distributing

39 of 779 funds reported for Jun 30 · net -13.9K sh shares · +3 new

Insider flow Distributing

Net -$13.5M over 90 days · 100% sells

Short interest Falling

4.71% of float · ▼ -1.0% MoM · 3.1 days cover

Volume signal Normal

Volume near normal

Institution breadth Multi-yr high

779 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support

Squeeze score 59

elevated · 0–100

Fundamentals

Excellent

Gross margin 7%

EPS growth +262%

Y/Y

Free cash flow $1.0B

Valuation P/E 11.3

below peers

Balance sheet $1.3B

net cash

Quant / Vol

risk profile

Moderate

Volatility 35%

annualized · 1-yr

Max drawdown −25%

past year

ATR 3.5%

of price · 14-day

Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

Guidance & track record what management promised — and delivered

Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed May 19, 2026

Third Quarter

Average Delivered Price per Home Initiated $965,000 – $985,000

Adjusted Home Sales Gross Margin Initiated 25.25%

SG&A, as a Percentage of Home Sales Revenues Initiated 10%

Other Income, Income from Unconsolidated Entities, and Gross Mar Initiated $5M

Tax Rate Initiated 26%

Full Fiscal Year

Average Delivered Price per Home Initiated $985,000 – $1M

Adjusted Home Sales Gross Margin Initiated 26.1%

SG&A, as a Percentage of Home Sales Revenues Initiated 10.1%

Other Income, Income from Unconsolidated Entities, and Gross Mar Initiated $120M

Tax Rate Initiated 25.5%

Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

Technicals

trend & momentum for long-term holders Buy

1 · 3 · 2

50 / 200-day cross

No cross Neutral

Price vs 200-day avg

+5% Bullish

Price vs 50-day avg

+4% Bullish

RSI (14)

49 Neutral

MACD trend

Negative Bearish

52-week position

66% Neutral

Market signals — smart money & positioning

Mixed

Trend (MA cross) No cross

50d $144 › 200d $142 — 50d above 200d

Institutional flow Distributing

39 of 779 funds reported for Jun 30 · net -13.9K sh shares · +3 new

Insider flow Distributing

Net -$13.5M over 90 days · 100% sells

Short interest Falling

4.71% of float · ▼ -1.0% MoM · 3.1 days cover

Volume signal Normal

Volume near normal

Institution breadth Multi-yr high

779 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support

Price context

position in its 52-week range

52-wk low $113 Now $149 · 66% 52-wk high $168

vs 200-day avg +5% vs 50-day avg +4%

Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

Key metrics

the company's own KPIs, from its earnings releases, calls, and filings

Metric	Latest	Period	YoY
Adjusted home sales gross margin non-GAAP	26.2%	FY 2026's second quarter	—

Backlog value	6.32B	second quarter end	—

book value per share	$90.51	FY 2026's second quarter end	—
contracted homes	2,834	FY 2026's second quarter	—

debt-to-capital ratio	24.7%	FY 2026's second quarter end	—

delivered homes	2,491	FY 2026's second quarter	—

Home sales gross margin	23.9%	FY 2026's second quarter	—

homes in backlog	5,394	second quarter end	—

lots owned and optioned	76,800	FY 2026's second quarter end	—

net debt-to-capital ratio non-GAAP	15.4%	FY 2026's second quarter end	—

Net signed contract value	2.81B	FY 2026's second quarter	—

selling communities	459	FY 2026's second quarter end	—

SG&A, as a percentage of home sales revenues	10.3%	FY 2026's second quarter	—

shares repurchased	1.2M	FY 2026's second quarter	—
adjusted gross margin non-GAAP	26.2%	Q2 FY2026 call	—

average incentive for new contracts	8%	Q2 FY2026 call	—
average price of homes delivered	$1,009,000	Q2 FY2026 call	—
buyers who paid all cash	23%	Q2 FY2026 call	—
cancellation rate	2.9%	Q2 FY2026 call	—
homes delivered	2,491	Q2 FY2026 call	—

loan-to-value for buyers who took a mortgage	69%	Q2 FY2026 call	—
lots owned or controlled	76,800	Q2 FY2026 call	—

net agreements signed	2,834	Q2 FY2026 call	—
optioned lots percentage	58%	Q2 FY2026 call	—
reduction in finished specs in inventory	28%	first half of fiscal 2026 call	—
SG&A as a percentage of home building revenues	10.3%	Q2 FY2026 call	—
spec deliveries mix	51%	Q2 FY2026 call	—
spec home sales revenues mix	41%	Q2 FY2026 call	—
value of net agreements signed	2.8B	Q2 FY2026 call	—
Average Price per Home in Backlog	$1,192,300	first quarter end	—
lots owned	33,600	FY 2026’s first quarter end	—
Net Signed Contracts per Community	5.3	three months ended January 31, 2026	—
Quarterly Cancellations as a Percentage of Beginning-Quarter Backlog	2.8%	three months ended January 31, 2026	—
Quarterly Cancellations as a Percentage of Signed Contracts in Quarter	5.4%	three months ended January 31, 2026	—
all-cash buyer percentage	24%	Q1 FY2026 call	—
average sales price (contracts)	$1,033,000	Q1 FY2026 call	—
build-to-order cycle time	9.5	Q1 FY2026 call	—
community count	445	Q1 FY2026 end call	—
contract cancellation rate	2.8%	Q1 FY2026 call	—
design studio upgrades, structural options, and lot premiums per home	$212,000	Q1 FY2026 call	—
incentive as % of sales price	8%	Q1 FY2026 call	—
liquidity	3.4B	Q1 FY2026 end call	—
loan-to-value for mortgaged buyers	70%	Q1 FY2026 call	—
lots optioned	55%	Q1 FY2026 end call	—
net contracts signed	2,303	Q1 FY2026 call	—
net contracts signed (dollar value)	2.4B	Q1 FY2026 call	—
revolving credit facility availability	2.2B	Q1 FY2026 end call	—
SG&A as % of revenue	13.9%	Q1 FY2026 call	—

Figures exactly as the company stated them · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "call" marks figures stated on the earnings call, "filing" figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs the prior-year figure on file

Versus peers

Residential Construction — same industry group

Open screener →

Company	Mkt cap	YTD	Rev growth Y/Y	P/E	Short % shares
TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. this stock	$13.97B	+10.8%	-2.7%	11.3	4.7%
DHI Horton D R Inc /De/	$42.98B	+5.5%	-6.9%	14.2	3.9%
PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/	$23.76B	+6.6%	+11.8%	12.1	4.3%
LEN Lennar Corp /New/	$20.30B	-17.2%	+1.7%	—	7.3%
NVR Nvr Inc	$17.49B	-11.2%	-1.9%	15.8	4.9%

Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

At a glance

key data from every section

Ownership

Institutional Holders Reducing

Holders

778

% held: 86.4%
Reported: 39 of 779
Top holder: BlackRock, Inc.

Held Float

View

Held by Funds

Fund positions

513

View

Short & Settlement

Short Interest Falling

Shares short

4.4M

Days to cover: 3.1d
Change: -46.7K sh

View

Short Volume

Short vol %

72%

As of: Jul 10, 2026

Short Total

View

Fails to Deliver

FTD shares

8.7K

Value: $1.3M
As of: Jun 12, 2026

View

Off-Exchange

Off-exchange %

34.0%

Week of: Jun 15, 2026

Off-exch Lit

View

Smart Money

Insider Trades Net selling

Net (90d)

-$13.5M

Buyers / Sellers: 0 / 3

Buyers Sellers

View

Congressional Trades Sell

Member

Valerie Hoyle

Amount: $1.0K–$15.0K
Traded: Sep 23, 2025

View

Financials

Revenue (FY)

$7.1B

Net income (FY): $1.3B
EPS diluted: $13.49

View

Buybacks

Authorized

shares 20.0M

Remaining: shares 8.1M

Spent Remaining

View

Filings

SEC Filings

Latest

10-Q

Filed: May 29, 2026
This year: 10

View

Proposed Sales

Value

$12.2M

Shares: 78.0K
Filed: Jun 18, 2026

View

Earnings & Events

Earnings Calls

Last call

May 19, 2026

View

Performance

	5D	20D	120D	MTD	YTD
TOL	-4.9%	+7.6%	+0.3%	-9.3%	+10.8%
SPY	+1.4%	+4.1%	+9.1%	+1.1%	+10.7%
vs SPY	-6.2%	+3.6%	-8.8%	-10.4%	+0.1%

Capital returns

Latest dividend

$0.26 / share · ex Jul 10, 2026

Raised 4%

Paid (TTM)

$1.02 / share · 4 payouts

Dividend yield (TTM, derived)

0.68%

Buyback program · as of Apr 30, 2026

Authorized

shares 20.00M

Spent (derived)

shares 11.89M

Remaining

shares 8.11M

Spent Remaining

Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

Key facts CIK 794170 CUSIP 889478103 13F (30d) 67 filings 41 filers Visit website Investor relations

TOL

Price & Indicators

Technicals

Key metrics

Versus peers

At a glance

Performance

Capital returns