TOL · Toll Brothers, Inc.
$148.27
-1.04 (-0.70%)
At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$13.88B
Shares
93.47M
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$148.27
Open$148.45
Day$147.43–149.97
52W close$124.14–166.12
Avg vol 30d858K
Short int4.3M · 4.6% float · 4.8d
Short vol56%
Last earningsMay 20, 2026
DataJan 2020–Aug 2026
Filing10-Q · May 29
Up next
Next earnings call
Aug 19, 2026
Est · unconfirmed
· in 1 wks
FQ4-26 quarter ends
~Oct 31, 2026
Est
filed May 29, 2026
AI Brief
TL;DR.
Bullish
Bearish
From the call
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Ask ALVIS about this →Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceOverall
Neutral
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Neutral
Momentum
Weak
Sentiment
Bullish
Fundamentals
Strong
Quant / Vol
Moderate
Market backdrop
VIX 14.3 · calm
Equity put/call 0.52
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Price vs 200-day avg
+3%
above
Price vs 50-day avg
−2%
below
RSI (14)
47
neutral
MACD trend
Negative
52-week position
57%
mid-range
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
−2%
trailing
6-month return
−6%
trailing
YTD return
+10%
this year
Relative strength
−20%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $151 › 200d $144 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+1% holders QoQ · +126 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$13.3M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Falling
4.60% of float · ▼ -9.1% MoM · 4.8 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
790 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score
55
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
EPS growth
−10%
Y/Y
Free cash flow
$1.0B
Valuation
P/E 11.2
below peers
Balance sheet
$362.6M
net cash
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
35%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−25%
past year
ATR
3.0%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the 8-K filed May 19, 2026
Average Delivered Price per Home
· Full Fiscal Year
$985,000 – $1M
Adjusted Home Sales Gross Margin
· Full Fiscal Year
26.1%
SG&A, as a Percentage of Home Sales Revenues
· Full Fiscal Year
10.1%
Other Income, Income from Unconsolidated Entities, and Gross Mar
· Full Fiscal Year
$120M
Tax Rate
· Full Fiscal Year
25.5%
Prior guidance
period ended
· from the 8-K filed May 19, 2026
Average Delivered Price per Home
· Third Quarter
$965,000 – $985,000
Adjusted Home Sales Gross Margin
· Third Quarter
25.25%
SG&A, as a Percentage of Home Sales Revenues
· Third Quarter
10%
Other Income, Income from Unconsolidated Entities, and Gross Mar
· Third Quarter
$5M
Tax Rate
· Third Quarter
26%
Guided vs delivered
· last 1 settled
Earnings per diluted share
fiscal 2024
guided $13.25 – $13.75
$15.01
Beat +11.2%
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
+3%
Bullish
Price vs 50-day avg
−2%
Neutral
RSI (14)
47
Neutral
MACD trend
Negative
Bearish
52-week position
57%
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bullish · 3 of 6
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $151 › 200d $144 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+1% holders QoQ · +126 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$13.3M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Falling
4.60% of float · ▼ -9.1% MoM · 4.8 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
790 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $124
Now $148 · 57%
Range high $166
vs 200-day avg +3%
vs 50-day avg -2%
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted Home Sales Gross Margin non-GAAP | 26.3% | FY 2026 six months ended April 30, 2026 | — |
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| Average Price per Home in Backlog | $1,171,800 | FY 2026's second quarter | — |
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| Backlog value | 6.32B | FY 2026's second quarter | — |
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| contracted homes | 2,834 | FY 2026's second quarter | — |
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| debt-to-capital ratio | 24.7% | FY 2026's second quarter end | — |
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| delivered homes | 4,390 | FY 2026 six months ended April 30, 2026 | — |
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| homes in backlog | 5,394 | FY 2026's second quarter | — |
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| lots owned | 32,000 | FY 2026's second quarter end | — |
| lots owned and optioned | 76,800 | FY 2026's second quarter end | — |
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| net debt-to-capital ratio non-GAAP | 15.4% | FY 2026's second quarter end | — |
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| Net signed contract value | 2.81B | FY 2026's second quarter | — |
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| Net Signed Contracts | 5,137 | FY 2026 six months ended April 30, 2026 | — |
| Net Signed Contracts per Community | 6.3 | FY 2026's second quarter | — |
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| Quarterly Cancellations as a Percentage of Beginning-Quarter Backlog | 2.9% | FY 2026's second quarter | — |
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| Quarterly Cancellations as a Percentage of Signed Contracts in Quarter | 4.8% | FY 2026's second quarter | — |
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| selling communities | 459 | FY 2026's second quarter end | — |
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| SG&A, as a percentage of home sales revenues | 11.8% | FY 2026 six months ended April 30, 2026 | — |
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| Home sales gross margin | 24.8% | FY 2026's first quarter | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Residential Construction — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
TOL
this stock
Toll Brothers, Inc.
|
$13.88B | +9.7% | +1.1% | 11.2 | 4.6% |
|
DHI
Horton D R Inc /De/
|
$41.62B | +3.3% | -6.9% | 14.2 | 3.8% |
|
PHM
Pultegroup Inc/Mi/
|
$24.40B | +11.0% | +11.8% | 13.3 | 4.9% |
|
LEN
Lennar Corp /New/
|
$20.92B | -15.5% | -3.5% | — | 7.0% |
|
NVR
Nvr Inc
|
$16.81B | -13.5% | -1.9% | 16.4 | 4.3% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Smart Money
Financials
Filings
Earnings & Events
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | -4.4% | -1.7% | -6.4% | +1.6% | +9.7% |
| SPY | +0.4% | +4.5% | +13.8% | +3.9% | +13.9% |
| vs SPY | -4.8% | -6.1% | -20.2% | -2.3% | -4.2% |
Capital returns
Latest dividend
$0.26
/ share · ex Jul 10, 2026
Paid (TTM)
$1.02
/ share · 4 payouts
Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
0.69%
Buyback program
· as of Apr 30, 2026
Authorized
shares 20.00M
Spent (derived)
shares 11.89M
Remaining
shares 8.11M
Spent
Remaining
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.
Key facts
CIK
794170
CUSIP
889478103
13F (30d)
731 filings
715 filers
Visit website
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