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ULCC · Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.

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$5.84 -0.07 (-1.18%) At close · Aug 28
Market Cap
$1.34B
Shares
229.79M

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$5.84 Open$5.93 Day$5.84–6.03 52W close$3.10–8.06 Avg vol 30d3.4M Short int23.2M · 10.1% float · 7.3d Short vol38% Last earningsJul 29, 2026 DataApr 2021–Aug 2026 Filing10-Q · Jul 29

Up next

Next earnings call
Oct 26, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 8 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
filed Jul 29, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Ask ALVIS about this →

      Equibles Rating

      blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Neutral
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Neutral Momentum Strong Sentiment Bullish Fundamentals Weak Quant / Vol Very High
      Market backdrop VIX 14.4 · calm Equity put/call 0.39
      Technical
      price trend
      Neutral
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg +12%
      above
      Price vs 50-day avg −14%
      below
      RSI (14) 40
      neutral
      MACD trend Negative
      52-week position 55%
      mid-range
      Volume (OBV) Confirms
      volume backs price
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Strong
      1-month return −13%
      trailing
      6-month return +55%
      trailing
      YTD return +24%
      this year
      Relative strength +41%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Bullish
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $7 › 200d $5 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +10% holders QoQ · +45 funds added
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$87.1M over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Falling
      10.10% of float · ▼ -1.2% MoM · 7.3 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      178 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Squeeze score 66
      elevated · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Weak
      Revenue growth −1%
      Y/Y
      EPS growth −262%
      Y/Y
      Balance sheet $51.0M
      net cash
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Very High
      Volatility 78%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −52%
      past year
      ATR 6.0%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record

      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Jul 29, 2026
      Third Quarter 2026
      Capacity growth (compared to corresponding 2025 quarter) Initiated 17% – 18%
      Fourth Quarter 2026
      Capacity growth (compared to corresponding 2025 quarter) Initiated 7%
      Prior guidance period ended · from the 8-K filed May 5, 2026
      Capacity growth (compared to 2Q 2025) · Second Quarter 2026 6% – 8%
      Average fuel cost (including fuel taxes and into-plane costs) · second quarter 2026 $4

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral
      2 · 4 · 1
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      +12% Bullish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      −14% Bearish
      RSI (14)
      40 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Negative Bearish
      52-week position
      55% Neutral
      Volume (OBV)
      Confirms Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bullish · 3 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $7 › 200d $5 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +10% holders QoQ · +45 funds added
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$87.1M over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Falling
      10.10% of float · ▼ -1.2% MoM · 7.3 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      178 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      Range low $3 Now $6 · 55% Range high $8
      vs 200-day avg +12% vs 50-day avg -14%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliation
      GAAP Income (loss) before income taxes, as reported -$94M
      +$70M Pre-tax impact
      = Adjusted income (loss) before income taxes -$24M
      GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliation
      GAAP Net income (loss), as reported -$90M
      +$70M Early Return Agreement (pre-tax)
      -$2M Tax benefit (expense), related to non-GAAP adjustments
      = Adjusted net income (loss) -$22M
      ASMs 11.1B second quarter of 2026
      ASMs per gallon 106 second quarter of 2026
      Available seat miles (“ASMs”) (millions) 11.1B Three Months Ended June 30, 2026
      Average fuel cost $4.17 second quarter of 2026
      Fuel gallons consumed (thousands) 104.79M Three Months Ended June 30, 2026
      Passengers (thousands) 9.73M Three Months Ended June 30, 2026
      RASM 11.52 second quarter of 2026
      Revenue passenger miles (“RPMs”) (millions) 8.92B Three Months Ended June 30, 2026
      Total fleet 165 as of June 30, 2026
      Total liquidity $1.16B as of June 30, 2026
      Adjusted (Non-GAAP) RASM non-GAAP 10.86 Three Months Ended March 31, 2026
      Adjusted (Non-GAAP) RASM, stage-length adjusted to 1,000 miles non-GAAP 10.29 Three Months Ended March 31, 2026
      GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliation
      GAAP EBITDA -$221M
      +$73M TSA Reserve
      +$102M Early Return Agreement
      = Adjusted EBITDA -$46M
      GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliation
      GAAP Adjusted EBITDA -$46M
      +$265M Aircraft rent
      -$29M Early Return Agreement
      = Adjusted EBITDAR $190M
      Average fuel cost per gallon non-GAAP $2.88 first quarter of 2026
      EBITDA -$221M Three Months Ended March 31, 2026
      Total adjusted operating expenses excluding fuel non-GAAP $868M first quarter of 2026
      Total adjusted operating expenses excluding fuel per ASM non-GAAP 8.85 first quarter of 2026
      Total adjusted operating expenses per ASM non-GAAP 11.58 first quarter of 2026
      Total operating expenses (excluding fuel) $1.01B Three Months Ended March 31, 2026
      Adjusted CASM (excluding fuel), stage-length adjusted to 1,000 non-GAAP 7.1 Year Ended December 31, 2025
      Adjusted CASM + net interest, stage-length adjusted to 1,000 non-GAAP 9.3 Year Ended December 31, 2025
      Adjusted earnings per share, diluted non-GAAP -$0.6 Year Ended December 31, 2025
      Average daily aircraft utilization 8.6 Three Months Ended December 31, 2025
      RASM on a stage adjusted basis to 1,000 miles 9.61 fourth quarter of 2025
      Revenue per available seat mile (RASM) 10.17 fourth quarter of 2025
      Stage adjusted to 1,000 miles, full-year 2025 adjusted CASM + net interest non-GAAP 9.3 full-year 2025

      Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

      Versus peers

      Airlines — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      ULCC
      Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
      this stock
      $1.34B +24.0% -1.4% 10.1%
      DAL
      Delta Air Lines, Inc.
      $54.64B +15.4% +4.0% 13.8 3.4%
      UAL
      United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
      $35.90B -1.1% +3.2% 10.4 6.4%
      RYAAY
      Ryanair Holdings PLC
      $29.08B -22.2% 0.5%
      LUV
      Southwest Airlines Co
      $19.45B -4.1% +3.7% 25.2 5.1%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      178
      % held
      59.6%
      Net QoQ
      +10.1M sh
      Top holder
      Indigo Partners LLC
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      153
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Falling
      Shares short
      23.2M
      Days to cover
      7.3d
      Change
      -286.9K sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      38%
      As of
      Aug 28, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      28.3K
      Value
      $176.1K
      As of
      Jul 29, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      45.5%
      Week of
      Jul 20, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Insider Trades Net selling
      Net (90d)
      -$87.1M
      Buyers / Sellers
      0 / 7
      Buyers Sellers
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $3.7B
      Net income (FY)
      $-137.0M
      EPS diluted
      $-0.60
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      8-K
      Filed
      Jul 29, 2026
      This year
      17
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $968.8K
      Shares
      125.0K
      Filed
      Aug 5, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      Jul 29, 2026
      View
      Investor Relations
      Latest news
      Frontier Airlines Delivers Record…
      Published
      Jul 29, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      ULCC -2.0% -13.5% +54.5% -13.5% +24.0%
      SPY +0.5% +3.0% +13.4% +3.0% +12.8%
      vs SPY -2.5% -16.5% +41.1% -16.5% +11.2%
      Key facts CIK 1670076 CUSIP 35909R108 13F (30d) 149 filings 149 filers Visit website Investor relations