ULCC · Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
Market Cap
$1.34B
Shares
229.79M
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$5.82
Open$5.84
Day$5.77–5.89
52W close$3.10–8.06
Avg vol 30d2.5M
Short int24.7M · 10.8% float · 10.4d
Short vol47%
Last earningsJul 29, 2026
DataApr 2021–Sep 2026
Filing10-Q · Jul 29
Up next
Next earnings call
Oct 26, 2026
Est · unconfirmed
· in 5 wks
filed Jul 29, 2026
Metrics snapshot
Useful current figures from the complete screener profile.
Revenue (TTM)
$3.80B
Trailing 12 months
Net income (TTM)
−$366.00M
Trailing 12 months
Revenue growth YoY
+8.8%
Year over year
Operating margin
-10.1%
Trailing 12 months
P / E (TTM)
—
Trailing earnings
FCF yield
-35.0%
TTM · current market cap
Return on invested capital
—
Trailing 12 months
Net cash
$189.00M
Latest balance sheet
Dividend yield
—
Trailing 12 months
Shares change YoY
+1.1%
Year over year · more shares
Price change (1Y)
+10.4%
Trailing year
Short interest
10.8%
Latest settlement · 10.4 days to cover
AI Brief
Q2 FY26 earnings call · Jul 29, 2026
Q2 FY26
TL;DR. Frontier reported record Q2 revenue of $1.3B (+38% YoY) with RASM up 28%, beating guidance, and issued Q3/Q4 EPS guidance pointing to a return to profitability in 2H 2026, while ending the quarter with $1.16B in liquidity and completing a major fleet simplification.
Bullish
- + Reported record quarterly revenue of $1.3B, up 38% YoY, with RASM up 28% YoY to 11.52 cents.
- + Adjusted EPS loss narrowed to $0.10 versus prior guidance of a $0.45-$0.60 loss.
- + Guided to Q4 adjusted EPS of breakeven to $0.20 profit, signaling a return to profitability in 2H 2026.
- + Ended the quarter with $1.16B in total liquidity, above guidance and equal to 27% of trailing 12-month adjusted revenue.
- + Extended and enhanced the Barclays co-brand credit card partnership through 2037 with improved economics.
- + Co-brand card revenue grew nearly 30% YoY with record acquisition activity.
Bearish
- − Fuel cost rose to $4.17/gallon, ~$180M higher than early February forward indications.
- − Recorded $70M Q2 / $209M H1 non-recurring charge from the Early Return Agreement for 24 A320neo aircraft.
From the call
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceOverall
Neutral
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Buy
Momentum
Very Strong
Sentiment
Neutral
Fundamentals
Weak
Quant / Vol
Very High
Market backdrop
VIX 14.8 · calm
Equity put/call 0.58
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Price vs 200-day avg
+9%
above
Price vs 50-day avg
−7%
below
RSI (14)
47
neutral
MACD trend
Positive
52-week position
55%
mid-range
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
+1%
trailing
6-month return
+65%
trailing
YTD return
+24%
this year
Relative strength
+45%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $6 › 200d $5 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+11% holders QoQ · +44 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$87.0M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Rising
10.77% of float · ▲ +6.6% MoM · 10.4 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
180 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score
72
high risk · 0–100
Fundamentals
Revenue growth
−1%
Y/Y
EPS growth
−262%
Y/Y
Balance sheet
$57.0M
net cash
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
76%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−52%
past year
ATR
5.0%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the 8-K filed Jul 29, 2026
Third Quarter 2026
Capacity growth (compared to corresponding 2025 quarter)
Initiated
17% – 18%
Fourth Quarter 2026
Capacity growth (compared to corresponding 2025 quarter)
Initiated
7%
Prior guidance
period ended
· from the 8-K filed Aug 8, 2024
Average fuel cost per gallon
· Third Quarter 2024
$3 – $3
Average fuel cost per gallon
· Full Year 2024
$3 – $3
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Buy
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
+9%
Bullish
Price vs 50-day avg
−7%
Bearish
RSI (14)
47
Neutral
MACD trend
Positive
Bullish
52-week position
55%
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Mixed
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $6 › 200d $5 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+11% holders QoQ · +44 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$87.0M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Rising
10.77% of float · ▲ +6.6% MoM · 10.4 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
180 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $3
Now $6 · 55%
Range high $8
vs 200-day avg +9%
vs 50-day avg -7%
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
Earlier KPI extraction records exist, but do not meet the current evidence-completeness requirements. No current verified series is available. Earlier figures remain withheld until revalidated; this is not evidence that the company reports no KPIs.
Versus peers
Airlines — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ULCC
this stock
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
|
$1.34B | +23.6% | -1.4% | — | 10.8% |
|
DAL
Delta Air Lines, Inc.
|
$51.51B | +14.7% | +4.0% | 13.0 | 3.8% |
|
UAL
United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
|
$35.29B | -2.8% | +3.2% | 10.2 | 5.4% |
|
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings PLC
|
$27.73B | -25.9% | — | — | 0.4% |
|
LUV
Southwest Airlines Co
|
$20.05B | -0.8% | +3.7% | 25.9 | 5.8% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Smart Money
Financials
Filings
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULCC | +3.6% | +1.0% | +64.9% | +2.1% | +23.6% |
| SPY | -0.3% | -0.1% | +20.1% | -0.7% | +11.7% |
| vs SPY | +3.9% | +1.2% | +44.8% | +2.8% | +11.9% |