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HLMN · Hillman Solutions Corp.

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$8.31 -0.22 (-2.58%) At close · Aug 20
Market Cap
$1.66B
Shares
194.54M

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$8.31 Open$8.37 Day$8.22–8.45 52W close$7.04–10.74 Avg vol 30d1.4M Short int4.4M · 2.2% float · 3.9d Short vol69% Last earningsJul 13, 2026 DataDec 2020–Aug 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 4

Up next

Next earnings call
Oct 5, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 6 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 26, 2026 Est
filed Aug 4, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Ask ALVIS about this →

      Equibles Rating

      blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Neutral
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Neutral Momentum Weak Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Fair Quant / Vol High
      Market backdrop VIX 14.9 · calm Equity put/call 0.52
      Technical
      price trend
      Neutral
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg −2%
      below
      Price vs 50-day avg +1%
      above
      RSI (14) 46
      neutral
      MACD trend Negative
      52-week position 34%
      mid-range
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Weak
      1-month return +6%
      trailing
      6-month return +1%
      trailing
      YTD return −4%
      this year
      Relative strength −10%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Neutral
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $8 › 200d $9 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Distributing
      -3% holders QoQ · +31 funds added
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Falling
      2.24% of float · ▼ -8.1% MoM · 3.9 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      229 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Squeeze score 50
      elevated · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Fair
      Revenue growth +5%
      Y/Y
      EPS growth +122%
      Y/Y
      Valuation P/E 40.6
      rich
      Buyback $100.0M
      authorized
      Balance sheet $665.8M
      net debt
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      High
      Volatility 39%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −34%
      past year
      ATR 4.2%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record

      Beat or met 2 of last 3
      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Aug 4, 2026
      Net Sales · FY 2026 Initiated $1.67B – $1.72B
      prior FY $1.55B midpoint +9.2% Y/Y
      Adjusted EBITDA · FY 2026 Non-GAAP Initiated $285M
      Free Cash Flow · FY 2026 Non-GAAP Initiated $105M – $115M
      Prior guidance period ended · from the Earnings Call filed Sep 30, 2025
      Net sales · full year 2025 $1.54B – $1.58B
      Adjusted EBITDA · full year 2025 $270M – $275M
      Guided vs delivered · last 3 settled
      Net Sales FY 2025
      guided $1.54B – $1.58B
      $1.55B In line
      Net sales full year 2024
      guided $1.48B – $1.56B
      $1.47B Miss −2.8%
      Net sales full year 2023
      guided $1.46B – $1.49B
      $1.48B In line

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Neutral
      1 · 4 · 1
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      −2% Neutral
      Price vs 50-day avg
      +1% Bullish
      RSI (14)
      46 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Negative Bearish
      52-week position
      34% Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Mixed
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $8 › 200d $9 — 200d above 50d
      Institutional flow Distributing
      -3% holders QoQ · +31 funds added
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Falling
      2.24% of float · ▼ -8.1% MoM · 3.9 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      229 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      Range low $7 Now $8 · 34% Range high $11
      vs 200-day avg -2% vs 50-day avg +1%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      2025 Adj. EBITDA Margin non-GAAP 17.7% 2025
      Adj. EBITDA Growth non-GAAP 10.2% 2018-2025 CAGR
      Adjusted EBITDA margin non-GAAP 17.4% Q2 2026
      Adjusted Gross Margin non-GAAP 47.1% Q2 2026
      Direct Shipping Retail Locations 29,000 2025
      Fasteners Sold 18B 2025
      Keys Duplicated 105M 2025
      Kiosks in Retail Locations 31,500 2025
      Liquidity available $331.3M Q2 2026
      Margin (Adj. EBITDA/Net Sales) non-GAAP 15.7% Q2 2026 YTD
      Net debt non-GAAP 665.43M As of June 27, 2026
      Net Sales 1.6B 2025
      Pairs of Work Gloves Sold 214M 2025
      Sales CAGR over past 20 years 7.3% 20-year CAGR
      SKUs Managed 111,000 2025
      TTM Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP 272.8M As of June 27, 2026
      Net debt to trailing twelve month Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP 2.6 first quarter 2026

      Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

      Versus peers

      Tools & Accessories — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      HLMN
      Hillman Solutions Corp.
      this stock
      $1.66B -4.0% +5.4% 40.6 2.2%
      SNA
      Snap-on Inc
      $20.21B +13.5% +0.9% 19.9 5.9%
      RBC
      RBC Bearings INC
      $16.33B +12.5% +14.3% 51.0 1.5%
      LECO
      Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc
      $15.24B +15.5% +16.3% 27.9 2.1%
      SWK
      Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.
      $14.90B +33.1% -1.5% 24.1 5.4%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Reducing
      Holders
      229
      % held
      100.9%
      Net QoQ
      -3.3M sh
      Top holder
      FMR LLC
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      253
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Falling
      Shares short
      4.4M
      Days to cover
      3.9d
      Change
      -382.7K sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      69%
      As of
      Aug 20, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      1.2K
      Value
      $9.6K
      As of
      Jul 30, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      34.5%
      Week of
      Jul 13, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Congressional Trades Sell
      Member
      Josh Gottheimer
      Amount
      $1.0K–$15.0K
      Traded
      Apr 17, 2025
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $1.6B
      Net income (FY)
      $40.3M
      EPS diluted
      $0.20
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized
      $100.0M
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      8-K
      Filed
      Aug 4, 2026
      This year
      11
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $149.0K
      Shares
      17.4K
      Filed
      Aug 19, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      Jul 13, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      HLMN -5.6% +5.6% +1.3% +5.6% -4.0%
      SPY -2.0% +3.3% +11.2% +2.1% +11.8%
      vs SPY -3.6% +2.3% -9.8% +3.5% -15.9%

      Capital returns

      Buyback program · as of Jul 31, 2025
      Authorized
      $100.00M
      Spent (derived)
      Remaining

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 1822492 CUSIP 431636109 13F (30d) 215 filings 214 filers Visit website Investor relations