Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call

Good day, and welcome to Angel Oak Mortgage REIT First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. KC Kelleher. Please go ahead.

Good morning. Thank you for joining us today for Angel Oak Mortgage REIT's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. This morning, we filed our press release detailing these results, which is available in the Investors section on our website at www.angeloakreit.com. As a reminder, remarks made on today's conference call may include forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed today. We do not undertake any obligation to update our forward-looking statements in light of new information or future events. For a more detailed discussion of the factors that may affect the company's results, please refer to our earnings release for this quarter and to our most recent SEC filings. During this call, we will be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures. More information about these non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are contained in our earnings release and SEC filings. This morning's conference call is hosted by Angel Oak Mortgage REIT's Chief Executive Officer, Sreeni Prabhu; and Chief Financial Officer, Brandon Filson. Management will make some prepared comments, after which we will open up the call to your questions. Additionally, we recommend reviewing our earnings supplement posted on our website. Now I will turn the call over to Sreeni.

Thank you, KC, and thank you all for joining us today. First quarter unfolded in a global environment that was largely supportive to uneven economic growth and geopolitical tensions, including renewed conflict in the Middle East that weighed on investors towards the end of the quarter. Inflation showed gradual improvement, while labor markets cooled modestly, and the Federal Reserve maintained a measured data-driven approach to policy decisions. Uncertainty weighed on risk sentiment at times, but also reinforced the values of discipline, liquidity and steady execution. Within this setting, our platform performed well, supported by our focus on credit quality, funding discipline and repeatable processes. Despite broader macro pressures, securitization markets remained open through the quarter. Investor demand continued to favor high-quality collateral and experienced issuers even as spreads reflected global headlines, rate volatility and a period of reduced risk appetite. We were pleased to complete the AOMT 2026-2 securitization shortly before the onset of the conflict in the Middle East, taking advantage of favorable market conditions and underscoring the benefits of our methodical, repeatable securitization approach. We remain selective in our use of these markets, staying focused on sound structures, conservative leverage and economics that meet our return thresholds. Our first quarter results reflected our established operating growth trend with another consecutive quarter of net interest income expansion and prudent expense management. The positive earnings trend helped offset unfavorable valuation impacts during the quarter, which were driven by rates and spreads increasing and becoming more volatile. Looking forward, the need for non-QM lending solutions remains durable, and we see value in maintaining a cautious but active posture. Our priorities remain consistent: growing earnings, executing reliably in capital markets and positioning the portfolio to perform across a wide range of economic outcomes. With that, I'll turn it over to Brandon, who will walk us through our first quarter financial performance in greater detail.

Thank you, Sreeni. First quarter results from an interest income and expense perspective were in line with expectations and reflected contributions from assets added in the quarter and in prior periods, along with a continued focus on cost control. To that end, as Sreeni mentioned, we continued our earnings growth trajectory established in 2025 with another consecutive quarter of net interest income growth. Interest rates were generally stable throughout the quarter, supporting consistent mortgage market activity and enabling continued purchases of accretive non-QM loans. Execution of the AOMT 2026-2 securitization in early March, which I will detail shortly, was strong and well timed, and we expect to continue our trend of 4 securitizations per year or roughly 1 per quarter. While spread widening and rate increases associated with global tensions drove a decrease in book value of our portfolio, underlying fundamentals remain supportive and strong operating earnings mitigated the impact of valuation decreases, which we believe are temporary due to the ongoing conflict in Iran. In the first quarter, we had a GAAP net loss of $7.4 million or a loss of $0.30 per common diluted share. Loss was driven by unrealized valuation changes on our securitized and unsecuritized loan portfolios, largely tied to macroeconomic market volatility towards the end of the quarter, which offset positive operating growth. Comparatively, in the first quarter of 2025, we had GAAP net income of $20.5 million or $0.87 per diluted common share. That income was attributable to unrealized valuation gains of our securitized and unsecuritized loan portfolios as well as operating income. Distributable earnings for the quarter were $4.6 million. Differences versus GAAP results were primarily driven by the removal of the unrealized fair value movements just described. Our securitized loan portfolio and residential loan portfolio combined for $13.1 million of unrealized losses, which were offset by $1.6 million of net unrealized gains in our trading securities and hedge portfolios. In the first quarter of 2025, distributable earnings were $4.1 million. Interest income for the quarter was $40.7 million and net interest income was $12.1 million. This compares to interest income of $32.9 million and net interest income of $10.1 million in Q1 2025, showcasing 24% and 20% growth, respectively. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2025, interest income and net interest income grew by 4% and 11%, respectively. Performance has been supported by targeted asset purchases, growing net interest margin and consistent securitization market access during all of 2025 and specifically Q4 '25 and Q1 '26. Operating expenses for the quarter were $5.2 million. Excluding noncash stock compensation expenses and securitization costs, first quarter operating expenses were $3.4 million. The increase compared to a year ago and prior quarter is due to increases in professional service fees and loan diligence fees associated with a larger overall balance and consistent purchases of target assets. Going forward, we expect to maintain similar operating expense levels, and we'll continue to be as efficient as possible with our expense structure. Loan purchases during the quarter totaled $246.2 million and continue to reflect conservative credit profiles, moderate loan-to-value ratios and current market coupons that we believe remain attractive on a risk-adjusted basis. The weighted average coupon of loans purchased during the quarter was 7.3%, the weighted average CLTV was 67% and the weighted average credit score was 759. Our credit underwriting metrics have continued to improve over time as we target our desired credit and return profile. As of the end of the quarter, our loans and securitization trust portfolio carried a weighted average coupon of 6.1% with a weighted average funding cost of approximately 4.5%. We intend to continue to access securitization markets through our disciplined, methodical securitization strategy. As mentioned, we are able to take advantage of favorable market conditions with our AOMT 2026-2 securitization in March just before the onset of the renewed conflict in the Middle East. We were the sole contributor to AOMT 2026-2, which had a $272 million unpaid principal balance and a weighted average coupon of 7.1%, a weighted average non-zero credit score of 757 and a weighted average CLTV of 70.7%. The AAA rated senior bonds priced favorably at 113 basis point spread over the treasury yield curve. As of quarter end, GAAP book value per share was $10.31. Economic book value, which fair values all nonrecourse securitization obligations, was $12.28. Compared to the end of 2025, GAAP book value per share decreased 4% and economic book value decreased 3.3%. Changes in book value during the quarter were reflective of operating income, offset by our quarterly dividend payment and the previously discussed market-driven valuation decrease within the portfolio. While the market continues to display volatility tied to geopolitical tension, we estimate that as of today, book value has increased slightly since the end of the first quarter due to continued accretive asset purchases and incremental earnings generation. Balance sheet remained well positioned with cash of $42 million and recourse debt to equity of 1.3x. We aim to maintain liquidity and available financing capacity to provide flexibility to respond to changing market conditions. We ended the quarter with unsecuritized residential whole loans at a fair value of $245.5 million financed with $192.2 million of warehouse debt, $2.2 billion of residential mortgage loans and securitization trust and $238.3 million of RMBS, including $25.7 million of investments in co-mingled securitization entities, which are included in other assets on our balance sheet. We finished the quarter with undrawn loan financing capacity of approximately $1.1 billion with 4 high-quality lending partners. Credit performance continued to be solid with portfolio-wide 90+ day delinquency at approximately 2.7%, which is inclusive of our residential loan, securitized loan and RMBS portfolios. This is materially flat compared to Q1 of 2025 and represents an increase of approximately 50 basis points from Q4 '25. Despite the increase compared to the prior quarter, performance across the Angel Oak shelf remains strong, and we believe that the performance of our collateral relative to the non-QM securitization market is a key differentiator of our platform. We expect our differentiated credit performance to translate into lower losses than comparable non-QM platforms across the full credit cycle. This view is supported by our proactive migration of credit spectrum, conservative LTVs and disciplined underwriting approach, which we believe position the portfolio to perform consistently even in more challenging environments. 3-month prepay speeds on our non-QM RMBS and securitized loan portfolios were 12% as of the end of the quarter compared to 11.2% in the fourth quarter of 2025. As we have mentioned in previous quarters, we expect prepay speeds to increase as rates decrease and homeowners are incentivized to refinance. With that said, we model our returns based on historical prepayment speeds of approximately 20% to 30%. While prepay speeds are likely to tick upward if newly originated coupon rates continue to decrease, the majority of our portfolio still has coupon rates that are below newly originated coupon rates, and we expect that mortgage rates would need to fall meaningfully in order to produce a significant impact to the returns on our portfolio. Lastly, the company declared a $0.32 per share common dividend payable on May 29, 2026, to common shareholders of record as of May 22, 2026. For additional details on our financial results and portfolio composition, please refer to the earnings supplement available on our website. Sreeni?

Thank you, Brandon. The proven well-established Angel origination, purchase and securitization platform provides us with confidence to perform well in a variety of macro environments. The fundamental backdrop of our business is positive. And while risk remains, we will continue to focus on what we can control: expansion of earnings, consistent securitization market activity and disciplined credit selection and management. With that, we will open the call for your questions. Operator?

Your first question comes from the line of Ameeta Lobo Nelson from UBS.

On HELOCs, you participated in one securitization in 2025 and you guided to about two a year. So how is the HELOC pipeline building relative to non-QM?

We are building our current HELOC pipeline right now. After the securitization '26-2, we bought some HELOCs as well. We have enough to co-mingle with some other Angel Oak entities. So we're looking forward to another HELOC securitization in the coming months. But I think that the pacing is still about correct.

Okay. Great. And then just looking at the loans and securitization trust, noticed the 2024 vintages picking up in speeds about '23, up a bit from last quarter. Delinquency a little bit up. So how should we think about that? And how is that impacting the valuation of the retained tranches on those deals?

I think the speed increase is a little bit expected as rates started to come down. So the '24 deals had a lot of loans that were generated with much higher coupons. So the increase isn't necessarily a surprise to us. We expect to model 25% to 30% CPR over the life of the securitizations in a normal kind of rate environment. The return profile seems about the same during that period relative to what we model. The delinquencies are something we're monitoring, but nothing that's sticking out to us. And if you remember, for some of the retained tranches we have, we have a bit of a hedging effect on our retained positions because we have the interest-only bond and then we have the junior unrated equity piece. As speeds increase, obviously, the valuations or anticipated returns of the IO would start to decrease, but the B3 or unrated bond and the bonds directly above it start to see valuation increases as it's expected they'll get paid off soon.

Your next question comes from the line of Matthew Erdner from JonesTrading.

In prior quarters, you've talked a little bit about calling legacy securitizations, kind of the '21s, '22s. As of last quarter, you guys kind of intended to call two of those throughout the year. Is that still the plan? And then what are you guys seeing there in terms of resecuritization that you could achieve?

Yes. That's something we're literally monitoring every day. As you probably have good visibility to that decision, it's based a lot on what the funding cost of the deal you're calling is, how they are levered, what's left in the stack and current funding cost, which over time can change—if we're talking in mid or late February, that answer is a little different than it is today. It's something we're monitoring. What we probably have to see is a little cessation or dramatic reduction in some of the volatility in the rate markets for that go/no-go decision to effectively be accretive to call the deals.

Got it. Yes, that's helpful. And then as a follow-up to that, what kind of ROEs are you guys seeing in the market? I think it was mid-teens last quarter, trending a little bit lower. Is that still kind of the expectation and then low 20s on HELOCs?

Yes. I mean I think that's our long-term expectation. If we were to do a deal today with the increase in treasuries and increase in the spreads, we'd be looking maybe lower teens to high 12s. So it has taken a little bit off, but we're not necessarily in the market right now with the securitization. We hope that when things come back into play for us to securitize, we're back up to that 15% to 20% number.

Your next question comes from the line of Timothy D'Agostino from B. Riley Securities.

Regarding operating expenses, it seems like this quarter, it was elevated a little bit at about $1.7 million. I was wondering if there's anything in particular in that line item that increased it.

Yes. Mainly, that's going to be professional service fees and loan diligence fees as we continue to buy loans. Our professional service fees in this instance are really related to our ATM program that we have out there and we didn't issue any shares this quarter. So we expensed those costs versus putting it through like a contra equity account.

Okay. Great. And then I just want to touch on the securitization costs as well. If you do one securitization a quarter for the non-QM space, is the pricing on that generally going to be around $1.5 million? Or would it be less? And then the price for a non-QM or the cost for non-QM securitization, how does that differ to HELOC securitization? Just trying to understand that expense line item better as well.

Yes. I mean securitization expense has a decent amount of fixed costs that go into it, and then there's obviously some variable costs. So it's kind of sensitive to how big the deal is, especially on the HELOC securitization, how much of the HELOC securitization we are participating in because we'll take our pro rata share of the deal cost. But really, you can kind of back into a basis point percentage on securitization based on the amount that we securitized in the quarter, which typically is somewhere around 50 basis points. It could be a little less, could be a little more. Certainly, if we got a larger deal out, it would be a little less than that and about as small as we've been doing lately—$300 million or so—it's about 50 basis points.

Your next question comes from the line of Doug Harter from BTIG.

This is Brendan Greaney on for Doug. How did whole loan pricing of non-QM loans hold up in March versus securitization spreads?

Yes. The whole loan pricing decreased quite a bit. That's really where most of that valuation decrease we have and the losses we had on the unrealized during the quarter came from. We lost about 1 point off of our whole loan pricing in Q1, and that's really just a reflection of where the current spreads are and the current treasury base rates.

Okay. And where are spreads today on AAAs and securitization?

It would probably be about 135 to 145 basis points depending on the exact timing and exact collateral that was out there.

There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the call back to Mr. Brandon Filson for closing comments. Sir, please go ahead.

I would like to thank everybody for your time and interest in Angel Oak Mortgage REIT. As always, if you have any further questions or comments, please feel free to give us a call and reach out. Otherwise, we look forward to connecting again with you next quarter.

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you very much for your participation. You may now disconnect.