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ARLP · Alliance Resource Partners LP

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$25.42 +0.54 (+2.17%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$3.27B
Shares
128.66M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Alliance Resource Partners LP Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Alliance Resource Partners LP Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 2, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 2, 2026 44:36 39 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
44:36
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Alliance Resource Partners reported Q4 2025 net income of $82.7 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $191.1 million, up sharply year-over-year, while guiding 2026 coal sales volumes to 33.75–35.25 million tons and maintaining a $0.60 per unit quarterly distribution.

Pricing outlook and 2027 contracting 32 Natural gas prices and Arctic weather 16 2026 coal sales volume guidance 12 Data center / power demand for coal 9 Metiki mine suspension 7 Balance sheet, liquidity and distributions 6

Management tone

Positive

Net tone +38 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “We anticipate ARLP's overall coal sales volumes for 2026 to increase, be in the range of 33.75 to 35.25 million tons.”
  • “So we believe that both demand for data centers and the winter that we have, we're in good position relative to coal and gas demand for 2026, at least through the first half of the year.”
  • “I do see supply pretty flat to trending down for the domestic Eastern markets. And I believe the demand's gonna go up.”
  • “So that should put us in a favorable supply-demand perspective. That would support higher pricing.”

Forward guidance

1 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $535.51M -9.2% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $82.67M +406.2% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA of $191.1 million, up 54.1% year-over-year and 2.8% sequentially
  • Q4 2025 net income of $82.7 million ($0.64/unit), up 406.2% year-over-year
  • Coal production rose to 8.2 million tons, an 18.7% year-over-year increase
  • Record full-year and Q4 oil & gas royalty BOE volumes, up 7.2% and 20.2% year-over-year respectively
  • Strong balance sheet with net leverage of 0.56x debt to TTM Adjusted EBITDA and $518.5 million total liquidity
  • Quarterly cash distribution maintained at $0.60 per unit ($2.40 annualized) with 1.29x distribution coverage

Risks & pressure points

  • Q4 2025 total revenue of $535.5 million declined 9.2% year-over-year due to lower coal sales and transportation revenues
  • Average coal sales price fell 4% year-over-year and 2.1% sequentially to $57.57/ton as legacy high-priced contracts roll off
  • Metiki mine issued WARN Act notices after its key customer signaled no further purchase commitments, ending existing contracts in March 2026
  • Potential impairment related to the Metiki decision will be evaluated during 2026
  • Full-year 2025 net income of $311.2 million was down from $360.9 million in 2024, with total revenue declining 10.4% to $2.19 billion
  • Q4 results included a $15.4 million decrease in the fair value of digital assets

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Demand fundamentals continue to strengthen, supported by higher natural gas prices and low growth from data centers and US manufacturing driving increased demand for our coal supply. Contracting activity has been robust, with over 93% of expected volumes in 2026 already committed and priced at the midpoint of our guidance. This is materially better than where we were twelve months ago.” Cary Marshall, CFO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 2, 2026.

Metric Guided
Segment Adjusted EBITDA Expense (% of Oil & Gas Royalties Revenu table
2026 guidance
14%

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.60
Full-screen source Call document