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Diodes Inc /Del/ Q1 FY2023 Earnings Call

Diodes Inc /Del/ (DIOD)

Earnings Call FY2023 Q1 Call date: 2023-05-09 Concluded

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Operator

Good afternoon everyone, and welcome to Diodes Incorporated First Quarter 2023 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. At the conclusion of today's conference call, instructions will be given for the question and answer session. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded today, Tuesday, May 9, 2023. I would now like to turn the floor over to Leanne Sievers of Shelton Group Investor relations. Leanne, please begin.

Speaker 1

Good afternoon and welcome to Diodes first quarter 2023 financial results conference call. I'm Leanne Sievers, President of Shelton Group, Diodes Investor Relations firm. Joining us today are Diodes’ Chairman, President and CEO, Dr. Keh-Shew Lu; Chief Financial Officer, Brett Whitmire; Senior Vice President of Worldwide Sales and Marketing, Emily Yang; Chief Operating Officer, Gary Yu and Director of Investor Relations, Gurmeet Dhaliwal. Before I turn the call over to Dr. Lu, I’d like to remind our listeners that the results announced today are preliminary as they are subject to the company finalizing its closing procedures and customary quarterly review by the company’s independent registered public accounting firm. As such, these results are unaudited and subject to revision until the company files its Form 10-K for its full fiscal year ended March 31, 2023. In addition, management’s prepared remarks contain forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties, and management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. Therefore, the company claims the protection of the Safe Harbor for forward-looking statements that is contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ from those discussed today, and therefore, we refer you to a more detailed discussion of the risks and uncertainties in the company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including Forms 10-K and 10-Q. In addition, any projections of the company’s future performance represent management’s estimates as of today, May 9, 2023. Diodes assumes no obligation to update these projections in the future as market conditions may or may not change, except to the extent required by applicable law. Additionally, the company’s press release and management statements during this conference call will include discussions of certain measures and financial information in GAAP and non-GAAP terms. Included in the company’s press release, definitions and reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP items, which provide additional details. Also, throughout the company’s press release and management statements during this conference call, we refer to net income attributable to common stockholders as GAAP net income. For those of you unable to listen to the entire call at this time, a recording will be available via webcast for 90 days in the Investor Relations section of Diodes website at www.diodes.com. And now, I will turn the call over to Diodes Chairman, President and CEO, Dr. Keh-Shew Lu. Dr. Lu, please go ahead.

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

Thank you, Leanne. Welcome everyone and thank you for joining us today. Our first quarter results were highlighted by continued strength in our gross margin performance, which was at the high end of our guidance. Despite the seasonally lower revenue and economic slowdown in the consumer, communications and computing markets. In fact, gross margin has remained over 41% for the past four quarters and above our target model of 40%, underscoring our execution on new product initiatives and product mix improvements. A key contributor to our improved mix has been our success expanding into the automotive and industrial markets, which together represented a record 47% of total product revenue in the quarter. Another contributing factor to our consistent margin improvement is our manufacturing cost reductions and operational efficiencies, which have also allowed us to maintain healthy margins despite the COVID-related disruptions and the Chinese New Year holiday during the quarter. Over the past several years, we have taken significant steps to transform our business as well as our customer and market positioning based on a total solutions sales approach, extensive pipeline of new product introductions and design wins. Today, Diodes has a diversified business across product groups, end markets and applications, as well as geographies that are further supported by a flexible manufacturing model and a team that is highly focused on consistent execution and sustainable quarterly performance. These fundamental factors position us well to not only sustain our margin profile during an economic slowdown but also continue driving even higher profitability and cash flow in a more favorable economic environment. With that, let me now turn the call over to Brett to discuss our first quarter financial results and our second quarter guidance in more detail.

Thanks Dr. Lu and good afternoon, everyone. Revenue for the first quarter 2023 was $467.2 million, decreasing 3.1% from $482.1 million in the first quarter of 2022 and down 5.8% from $496.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2022. Gross profit for the first quarter was $194.5 million or 41.6% of revenue compared to $196.7 million or 40.8% of revenue in the prior year quarter, and $206.2 million or 41.6% of revenue in the prior quarter. GAAP operating expenses for the first quarter were $108 million or 23.1% of revenue and on a non-GAAP basis were $101.3 million or 21.7% of revenue, which excludes $3.9 million of amortization of acquisition related intangible asset expenses and $2.8 million related to officer retirement. This compares to GAAP operating expenses in the first quarter 2022 of $103.6 million or 21.5% of revenue, and in the fourth quarter 2022 of $109.7 million or 22.1% of revenue. Non-GAAP operating expenses in the prior quarter were $105.9 million or 21.3% of revenue. Total other income amounted to approximately $2.2 million for the quarter, consisting of a $3.9 million unrealized gain on investments, $1.8 million of interest income, $530,000 of other income, partially offset by $2.1 million in interest expense and a $1.9 million foreign currency loss. Income before taxes and non-controlling interest in the first quarter 2023 was $88.6 million compared to $90.8 million in the prior year quarter and $94.8 million in the previous quarter. Turning to income taxes. Our effective income tax rate for the first quarter was approximately 18.8%. GAAP net income for the first quarter 2023 was $71.2 million or $1.54 per diluted share compared to $72.7 million or $1.59 per diluted share in the first quarter of 2022 and $92.1 million or $2 per diluted share in the fourth quarter 2022. The share count used to compute GAAP diluted EPS for the first quarter 2023 was 46.2 million shares. Non-GAAP adjusted net income in the first quarter was $73.4 million or $1.59 per diluted share, which excluded net of tax $3.1 million of acquisition related intangible asset costs, $2.3 million in officer retirement expenses and a $3.1 million gain related to an LSC investment. This compares to $80.3 million or $1.75 per diluted share in the first quarter 2022 and $79.6 million or $1.79 per diluted share in the prior quarter. Excluding non-cash share based compensation expense of $7.7 million net of tax for the first quarter both GAAP earnings per share and non-GAAP adjusted EPS would’ve increased by $0.17 per diluted share. EBITDA for the first quarter was $121.8 million or 26.1% of revenue compared to $118.1 million or 24.5% of revenue in the first quarter 2022 and $129.6 million or 26.1% of revenue in the prior quarter. We have included in our earnings release a reconciliation of GAAP net income to non-GAAP adjusted net income and GAAP net income to EBITDA, which provides additional details. Cash flow generated from operations was $99.8 million for the first quarter. Free cash flow was $51.8 million, which included $48 million for capital expenditures. Net cash flow was a negative $15.2 million, including the paydown of $60.8 million in total debt. Turning to the balance sheet. At the end of the first quarter, cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash plus short-term investments totaled approximately $335 million. Working capital was $731 million and total debt, including long-term and short-term was $125 million. In terms of inventory, at the end of the first quarter, total inventory days were approximately 116 days compared to 117 days last quarter, finished goods inventory days were 31 days compared to 33 days last quarter. Total inventory dollars decreased $18.3 million from the prior quarter to approximately $341.9 million. Total inventory in the quarter consisted of a $13.7 million decrease in raw materials, a $3.1 million decrease in finished goods and a $1.5 million decrease in work in process. Capital expenditures on a cash basis were $48 million for the first quarter or 10.3% of revenue. First quarter CapEx was higher than our target model due to the strategic expansion of our JK wafer fab in Hsinchu Science Park in Taiwan. Without this investment, we would have been within our target model of 5% to 9% and we expect to be in that range for the full year 2023. Now turning to our outlook. For the second quarter 2023, we expect revenue to be approximately $467 million plus or minus 3% with a slower than expected recovery in the consumer computing and communications markets. We are guiding flat sequentially at the midpoint to reduce 3C channel inventory. The automotive and industrial markets are expected to remain strong. We also expect continued driving our strategy of improved product mix and are guiding GAAP gross margin to be a record 41.8%, plus or minus 1%. Non-GAAP operating expenses, which are GAAP operating expenses adjusted for amortization of acquisition-related intangible assets, are expected to be approximately 22% of revenue, plus or minus 1%. We expect net interest expense to be approximately $1 million. Our income tax rate is expected to be 20%, plus or minus 3%, and shares used to calculate EPS for the second quarter are anticipated to be approximately 46.5 million. Not included in these non-GAAP estimates is amortization of $3.1 million after tax for previous acquisitions. With that said, I will now turn the call over to Emily Yang.

Speaker 4

Thank you, Brett, and good afternoon. In the first quarter, revenue decreased 5.8% quarter-over-quarter due to typical seasonality related to the Chinese New Year holiday combined with a slowdown in the 3C markets. Looking more closely at the first quarter, revenue POS was a record in Europe, distributor inventory in terms of weeks increased sequentially and it’s higher than our defined normal range of 11 weeks to 14 weeks. This increase is mainly due to slower than expected recovery in China and in the 3C market channel. The good news is that we started to see signs of recovery in the computing and consumer markets. Our plan is to decrease some channel inventory in the second quarter, which is reflected in our guidance. We believe our channel inventory positions are strategically set for the expectation of our continuous recovery so that we can address dynamic demand and act faster in business. The automotive and industrial markets are expected to remain strong in the second quarter. Looking at the global sales in the first quarter, Asia represented 68% of revenue, Europe, 17% and North America, 15%. In terms of our end market, industrial was a record 29% of Diodes’ product revenue. Automotive was also a record at 18%, computing 22%, consumer 18% and communication 13% of product revenue. Our automotive and industrial end market combined reached a record 47% of the product revenue, which is the fifth consecutive quarter above 40% and is seven percentage points above our 2025 target. This achievement underscores the ongoing success of our market expansion strategy and market share gain. Now let me review the end markets in greater detail. Starting with our automotive end market. As I mentioned, revenue reached a record 18% of product revenue, representing growth of 33% year-over-year. In our first focus area of connected driving, our PCI Express 3.0 packet switches, PCI Express clock generators, clock buffers, crystal oscillators, USB switches, USB power delivery controllers, multi-level shifters, and IO expanders are being designed into ADAS, infotainment, telematics, domain control units, and electric control units applications. We’re also seeing strong demand for DC-DC buck converters, LDOs, Ideal Diodes Controllers, bipolar transistors, and TVS products in the same end application. In comfort style and safety, we continue to gain traction for ReDrivers and crossbar switches as USB type C adoption continues to increase in vehicles. Our solution selling approach is a key driver of this momentum. Additionally, we have been winning designs for our power delivery solutions that include power delivery protocol decoders along with our USB mux, ReDrivers and TVS for in-vehicle USB charging devices. We’re also seeing an increasing number of design wins in wireless chargers. Thin, low thermal management systems with our current monitor products, regulator transistors, and SBR products. Our linear LED drivers, ideal diodes, controllers, bipolar junction transistors, and LDOs are being designed into several stoplight, taillight, headlight, and cluster lighting systems. In the power trend, which covers conventional hybrid electric vehicles, our switching diode products help support conventional applications such as drive train electronics and towing management systems. SBR products are also gaining traction in battery management systems and in protection control applications for battery electric vehicles as well as plug-in hybrid electric vehicles. We also recently introduced a number of new automotive compliance SBR, power MOSFETs, and MPN transistors that have been designed into battery management systems. In the first quarter, we introduced 60 new automotive compliance products. This is a good demonstration of our focus on various automotive applications and product mix improvement. In our industrial market, revenue grew 7% year-over-year to also reach a record percentage of total product revenue at 29%. Our buck converters, LDOs, and sensors continue to see strong demand for applications such as PCs, power tools, power supplies, circuit breakers, millimeters, embedded systems, and precision control systems. Additionally, our newly released industrial latch switches are gaining traction from low voltage to high voltage applications requiring a harsh environment. Our SBR products are also widely used in power over Ethernet and embedded applications. While our 36-channel linear LED drivers are being adapted in robotic applications. Our gate driver ICs have won new sockets in power supply units for servers and energy storage as well as for the digital addressable lighting interface control board. Our high-performance transistors and high-voltage switching diodes have also won designs in solar inverters for green residential energy generation and transmission systems. Additionally, we are gaining traction for our switching diodes and functional array products that are utilized in numerous control systems for applications including HVAC controls, LED lighting, digital printing press machines, printed circuit boards, assembly test systems, and imaging circuits for medical and aviation security systems. Early in the first quarter, we released our first set of silicon carbide Schottky barrier diodes. That includes a series of 11 products rated at 650 volts and another series of eight products rated at 1,200 volts. We also released our first silicon carbide MOSFET to address the demand for high efficiency in high power density applications such as industrial motor drivers, solar inverters, data centers, and telecom power supplies, AC-DC converters, as well as electric vehicle battery chargers. Despite the softness in the global computing market, our design momentum continues across a portfolio of products. This includes wins for our USB type C charging detectors, high-speed switches, ReDrivers, retimers, MOSFETs, SBR, and TVS products in broad applications including servers, desktops, notebooks, graphic cards, design cards, and USB data line protection. New design win activities continue for our content image sensors in multifunction printers and driver adaptation of HDMI 2.0 12 gigabit per second ReDriver, EMMC markers in gaming consoles as well as 8.0 and 10 gigabit per second five directional retimers in active cable docking and dunking applications. In the communication market, we continue to win new designs in 5G applications for audio switches, IO expanders, USB switches, high PSRR LDOs, and Schottky products. Additionally, our small signal diodes product gain traction in the rapidly growing field of industrial communication systems and cybersecurity, while bipolar transistors gain new design wins in IP cameras, GPON, and router applications. Lastly, in the consumer market, we’ve been securing new design wins for USB switches, MOSFET current limit power switches, bridge rectifiers in sports camera adapters, gaming consoles, and power offering internet devices. Manufacturers of televisions and displays continue to adopt our bipolar transistors in their new models. We also continue to see solid growth for our SBR, LED driver, driver ICs, USB power delivery sync controllers, switching diodes, and TVS products in tracker applications, displays, wearable technologies, personal care, healthcare devices, and health and safety monitoring systems as well as in fire and carbon monoxide detection. In summary, this quarter's performance highlights the progress we have made increasing our market presence and market share in automotive and industrial markets, contributing to our overall product mix improvement. Our total solutions sales approach and operational efficiency have been key factors to our success as we continue to drive growth and sustainable margin performance. With that, we now open the floor to questions. Operator?

Operator

Our first question today comes from Matt Ramsay from Cowen. Please go ahead with your question.

Speaker 5

Yes, thank you very much. Good afternoon everybody. I think for the team, my first question obviously there’s a lot of moving parts here in the macro environment and great to hear about the auto and industrial strength and the momentum the business has there. But I guess I’m trying to get a gauge on how you guys are seeing the potential recovery in China. I mean, it’s anybody’s guess as to when that happens, but is a return to year-over-year growth for your company sort of predicated on a recovery on selling, and so a lot of these consumer markets in Asia or how do we think about that relative to the design win momentum and the content growth that you’re seeing across the business? I’m just trying to gauge sort of expectations for the next few quarters and the levers macro-wise versus sort of secular content-wise for your company. Thanks.

Speaker 4

Yes, hi, Matt. This is Emily. Let me address your questions first. I think overall like I mentioned earlier, we do start to see some recovery in the computing as well as our communication area, and also consumer. It’s very, I would say, slower than our expectation, but the good news is we are starting to see signs of recovery. I mean usually for Q3 it is the peak of all these market segments, so that’s also part of our assumption as well.

Speaker 5

Got it. No, thank you, Emily. Thank you for that very much. As my follow-up question, I think some of the longer-term financial model metrics that you guys have shared are a bit older now and the company’s done much better than some of those metrics, and one of them is around getting the business mix to be 40% or more of revenue coming from auto-industrial and you far surpassed that. I think we’re at 46%, 47% of the business now and you just put up a really, really strong growth margin quarter and then guided up sequentially. I’m just trying to figure out if the team thinks about this mix of business and this margin profile in sort of the 41%, 42% range, is that sort of the new way that we should be thinking about the business? Or if in fact the 3C markets come back at some point in the mix, would the margin move up or down with that, but great margins. I’m just trying to figure out if this is sort of the level we should think about for the foreseeable future. Thank you.

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

Okay. Now let me just answer, number one, the overall market situation. Okay, we see some recovery in the 3C market, but the industrial and automotive are still very strong and therefore, we are hoping that the second half of this year, after the channel inventory or as you said, our customers start to build up their inventory of the 3C product, should start to decrease, then the second half of the business should come back stronger. Okay? That is in general for this year, I believe, first half versus second half could be more, more than 50-50. It should be probably somewhere much higher in the second quarter and second half than the first half, right? That’s this year. Then after that, next year we should believe will be a typical growth year for the semiconductor business because if you look at the semiconductor business, traditionally when you go down, it probably won’t go down more than two years, and since this down is already started at the second half of last year, so I think by the end of this year will be one and a half year, then I think next year 2024 should be a growth year for the semiconductor total business point of view.

Speaker 4

Right.

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

Okay.

Speaker 4

So let me maybe add one more comment related to the margin improvement that you just mentioned. So product mix improvement has been a big initiative for Diodes for the last few years, right, and we definitely will continue to focus and the total solution sales approach as well as manufacturing efficiency combined with all these three, we are confident that we’ll continue to drive the overall margin improvement. If you look at the Q1 result, automotive plus industrial reaching 47% of our product revenue is a good demonstration of this result as well as our guidance for Q2 at 41.8%. So I think, the focus will now change for the company and that will continue to be the direction. If we continue to execute all these initiatives and focus, we believe the margin improvement will continue.

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

Yes, but so when you talk about when the 3C market comes back up, we will be able to sustain the gross margin improvement and my answer is yes, because, even if the automotive and industrial continue their growth. Okay. And so they are in a much better market and even if the consumer or 3C market comes back. I think Emily could mention that we are getting away from the commodity.

Speaker 4

De-commodity.

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

And the commodity type of product. So we are carefully growing our 3C market more concentrated on the high-end applications such as data centers, IoT, and 5G type of communication products. Therefore, if you look at, we are intentionally getting away from the commodity or deep commodity and competing on the price competition and we are focused on areas where we have differentiation and premium products. So that is the way we have been able to continue to improve our gross margin in addition to operational excellence. Okay? So we are not focused on the volume and manufacturing volume to get our gross margin. We are more focused on cost reduction, operational efficiency plus product mix improvement.

Speaker 5

Thank you very much for all the color, Dr. Lu and Emily. I really do appreciate it. I'll jump back in the queue. Thank you.

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Gary Mobley from Wells Fargo Securities. Please go ahead with your question.

Speaker 6

Good afternoon everybody. Thanks for taking my question. The comments by Dr. Lu that the second half of the year should be better than the first half, I guess, indicates that you're going to expect a normal seasonal uptick in the September quarter. Correct me if I'm wrong there, and I wanted to get my arms around the impact of the reduction in distribution inventory with the understanding that presumably you're above the normal 11 to 14 weeks and each week of distribution inventory is worth what, $22 million in revenue. So how many weeks of distribution inventory digestion or reduction are we talking about here that is influencing the sub-seasonal guide for the June quarter?

Speaker 4

Yes, so Gary, let me answer that question. So we don't really disclose the detail about the number of weeks, but in my speech I did mention that it's higher than our 11 to 14 weeks range that we define as normal. So our goal is actually expect the point of sales channel will grow in the second quarter and at the same time we want to deplete some of the channel inventory. So we do believe the number of weeks will come down, based on what we see from the market and the information we have so far.

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

And it is very difficult to just look at the overall inventory. Okay. Or channel – overall channel inventory weeks. Because we – the automotive and industrial are still very strong. The channel inventory true-up is really due to the 3C business, which is mostly in Asia. Okay. And we already see the sign and we guided Brett on this quarter to intentionally reduce the 3C channel inventory. Okay. We are looking very strong on automotive and industrial and that's the area we do not want to reduce the channel inventory, but as for the 3C, that's the area we – especially our say, those commodity – commodity we don't want to compete and therefore, we intentionally want to reduce that area of the channel inventory.

Speaker 6

Okay. Thank you for that. The follow-up I wanted to ask about your operations in China. During COVID, you were operating for so many years in a closed-loop environment. Can you give us an update on whether that's still the case? And if not, you know, whether there's any anticipated or already realized cost benefit from that?

Gary Yu COO

No, actually Gary, this is Gary and the operation in our China, no matter the fab assembly are normal right now. Okay. So that's why we will say, okay, the operation for the China we want to drive is a cost reduction and more operational excellence. Okay. So there's no any special lockdown on closed-loop operation at this moment.

Speaker 6

All right. Thank you, Gary.

Operator

Our next question comes from David Williams from Benchmark. Please go ahead with your question.

Speaker 8

Hey, thanks so much and congrats on execution and navigating this challenging backdrop. I guess one of my questions is if you think about the margin, and you touched on this a bit earlier, but I guess I'm kind of curious how you think about that. If we saw automotive come down a bit or maybe back off and you start to see the 3Cs really improving, what would you expect to see from the margin impact? Do you think you'd see a significant or would that be moderate and can you – what leverage do you have there, I guess to control that margin profile in an automotive environment that's maybe a little less strong?

Speaker 4

Yes, so with the automotive, we are actually still seeing pretty strong momentum in general, right. There's a little bit of inventory adjustment, but if we look at the overall growth, right, we actually have a record percentage of 18% at the end of Q1 that actually represented 33% year-over-year growth. So we continue to gain market share. So we are pretty confident with the pipeline that we have in place with the opportunities we have in place, we are in pretty good shape. With the 3Cs, I think Dr. Lu mentioned a little bit earlier, we really focus on the premium portion within the 3Cs, right. We are definitely not chasing the deep commodity or commodity business. We are really focusing on the higher end applications, the servers, the storage, the data center, whether it's 5G or even with the consumer. We really focus more on the IoT block, the power block, or the timing block. So with this focus and continue to drive the product mix improvement, we are actually confident that we continue to drive the improvement over the margin, over the years to come.

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

Yes. One more thing I want to add to it. Because people start thinking automotive business is very hard but going to slow down and are you able to continue maintain your growth? And the mindset is since 2013, that is almost 10 years ago, we established automotive business focus; we still CAGR 30% a year globally. So we are not really coming on the market growth. We’re coming on additional to the market growth. We’re coming on accepting that data value for each module and that is what our focus is on the automotive business is a module data module group. And because of that, we are able to do much better than automotive business growth and therefore, I believe we'll still continue to increase our automotive revenue as a percent of Diodes total business. Okay. Emily already said, 18% in 1Q and you go back to 2013, it’s just 3%. Okay. So that is how we drive in the automotive business; it’s not just coming on volume growth. We’re coming on the other module growth.

Speaker 8

Okay. Excellent color, thank you for that. And then maybe secondly, just Diodes has outperformed over the last several quarters, but even – and maybe even more so over the last couple of quarters relative to peers. What do you think has given you the improved inventory dynamics where you're not seeing the same magnitude of digestion that we've heard from others? Is it more of the managing of the channel or is it just the growth that you're still seeing? Any color there around why you're outperforming the market would be very helpful, I think. Thank you.

Speaker 4

Well, I think Dr. Lu kind of mentioned earlier, right. So each of the markets, we actually focus really more on the content expansion, right. So that's really the key, especially in the automotive area. I also think the total solutions sales approach help us to really sell the value and proposition to the customers solving their problem. And then remember, we also talked about price increases for the last two to three years. We actually strategically chose to build a relationship with the customers, but not just purely dodge the price up. So I think there’s a lot of long-term strategy including the product mix improvement initiatives, right? So of course, manufacturing efficiency has always been a sweet spot for us overall. So when you combine all these focus and initiatives and direction overall, I think that’s actually a good demonstration of the result that we delivered to you so far, right? And then with the Q2 guidance on the 41.8% margin, I think that again is another way of demonstrating our confidence in the overall margin dollar or margin percentage improvement.

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

Yes, even when the revenue is spread, it tells us that our margin is not just purely coming from the loading utilization. Our margin improvement is a big portion is product mix, which is what we are focused on. Okay? And another one is the new product initiatives. We do in every automation just for automotive, we announced 68 new products in Q1. So you can see we are driving a lot of focus on new product initiatives. We even manage the revenue generated by the new product and that is the one we believe we can continue to improve our growth.

Operator

Our next question comes from Tristan Gerra from Baird. Please go ahead with your question.

Speaker 9

Hi. Thank you. Maybe a little tweak on Gary’s question earlier on this call. Is it fair to assume that without the reduction of inventories in the channel that you’re implementing in Q2, there may be a 3% impact on the revenue? If I look at kind of normal seasonality, your top line normally will be up about 3% sequentially. Is that in the ballpark? And do you expect that inventory reduction dynamic to be a one quarter issue or do you expect this to linger into Q3? And finally, what’s the delta with the other shipping that you previously expected into – in Q2 in anticipation of China recovery?

Speaker 4

Well, I think Tristan, we did mention the good news is we started seeing some of the signs right in – especially in computing and consumer market. So that’s a good news. We also mentioned that slower than expected recovery in China and also the 3C market settlement kind of costing the channel inventory higher than our expectation, right? So we definitely plan to deplete some channel inventory in the second quarter, but unfortunately we don’t really provide guidance on how many weeks or anything like that. But we are confident that with the guidance at you see a flash with the expectation of improvement in the point of sales in the second quarter, you will see the channel inventory start depleting some. So that’s pretty much what we can share at this moment.

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

Okay. Firstly, when you are talking about capacity, we do have enough capacity to grow if we want to. Okay? And 3C capacity is really cannot just say, I can use it for anything. Okay. Automotive capacity versus consumer capacity, sometimes it’s the same, but most of the time it’s different. Then you need to spend the effort to convert it. And from a strategic point of view, we already decided we are getting away from commodity or commodity-type products, then we migrate when we need it. We convert our capacity from 3C for industrial and automotive markets. Okay? And now with 3C we see three areas that we are focused on, then we support that and we try to get away from the competition, especially the China suppliers. We are getting away from that. So you can continue to see our gross margin will continue to improve even if the 3C business comes back.

Speaker 4

Yes. I think from the supply point of view, not everything is useful at this moment. All in all, I think it’s still a little bit dynamic. There are still a lot of pockets of shortage versus we mentioned deep commodity, there’s more supplies, right, which is not a focus in the area that we are chasing after. So I would say not everything is equal at this moment; it's still pretty dynamic.

Speaker 9

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Our next question comes from William Stein from Truist Securities. Please go ahead with your question.

Speaker 10

Great. Thank you. I had a question about your inventory management. You’ve done certainly very well on your own balance sheet, but you’ve taken what seems to be a different approach from what many others have taken in this regard. What we’ve seen in most of the semis in the last couple of quarters is pretty significant balance sheet inventory builds and a real restraint at shipping anything into the channel. And Diodes seems to have done, I don’t know if it’s exactly the opposite, but you’ve managed on balance sheet very conservatively, but you’ve built in the channel. Certainly I recall last quarter that was a change and I think this quarter sounds like you built a little bit again. I’m sure there’s a great reason for this approach, but I hope you can explain it to us a little bit? Thank you.

Speaker 4

Yes, so I think, last quarter we mentioned the reason we started building more channel inventory was the expectation of the China recovery. Also the expectation of the 3C market segment recovery. I think we overestimated the recovery speed. So that’s actually what we started seeing channel inventory getting increased a little this quarter as well. That’s also the reason we strategically decided to really deplete some of the channel inventory in the second quarter. We still believe the channel inventory position overall for Diodes is actually in a very good position. We do actually have the good product on the shelf, and we also believe the recovery is going to happen. It’s just a matter of speed. So once the recovery happens we are confident that the channel inventory will be depleted. And also keep in mind, the market is still really dynamic. We believe having the right product on the shelf positions us better to support the dynamic demand as well as the fast-form business, right?

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

Yes. But additionally, what Emily was talking about, we actually intentionally do that, right? And I think one of the reasons I look at it, okay, if we want to maintain our operation very smoothly, because if you are way under-loaded your cost, your gross margin is going to get hit quite a bit. But if you build it and then build another inventory, then again your cost, inventory cost is a deal too. And therefore, the best way is building consistently. You don’t get the revenue up and down too much. You get your manufacturing smoothly, produce intentionally the number, and you get your gross margin. What, okay? Because you don’t want to be other people; you don’t want to spend so much on some overtime, and you don’t want to have depreciation eating your gross margin. Therefore, we carefully manage the operation. That’s why I keep the same operational excellence with our execution because that way, we have a very smooth margin or very smooth revenue and don’t get up and down so much, at the same time, we are able to maintain our gross margin; the four quarters above 41%, and even this quarter we guide freight manufacturing, but we still have the regular gross margin. Okay? So this is really an accident of operational control to make the output the door very smoothly, such that you had the best cost reduction of balance, the cost from the manufacturing to inventory cost. You’ll try to balance that cost to get the best gross margin and continue to do that.

Speaker 10

Yes. Both of those were very helpful in clarifying. I appreciate it. If I could follow up with one, I think there’ve been a few questions about this. I just want to make sure I understand what’s going on. Historically, I think we’ve sort of been trained to think about two major drivers of the margin improvement – well maybe three drivers of the margin improvement. Operational excellence, I’ll acknowledge is one of them. But I think the two that we’ve been more focused on is end market mix shifting more towards industrial automotive and then product mix, which is a lot harder for us to measure, but we know that you’re leaning into more unique, specialized higher end, however you want to describe it, products and less in what Emily calls deep commodity. It sounds like on this call what you’re trying to communicate is that the end market mix will matter less going forward because operational excellence continues and there’s more room to go and perhaps the product mix is maybe a bigger driver. Am I over-interpreting what you’re saying? Or...?

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

Yes. Yes, you are over-interpreting. I’m trying to explain this. The last four quarters plus the second quarter this year guidance you can see go through up and down in the revenue, but we are able to maintain very steady and even a record of the gross margin. And so that is coming from product mix and operational excellence is coming from both. So when the revenue goes down, we maintain. That is probably product mix give us, okay. But when we have a better, this is going up and like we say now, okay, assume when 3C starts going up, we are able to maintain or improve then it coming from operation. And so I think what we want to do is focus on how to continue improving the gross margin regardless of the market up and down. And we proof we can do that due to start we already know the first two quarters of this year, this is good, very good. Then second half of this year we can start to slow down. Even this year, first quarter and second quarter, this is slow down, but we are able to continue maintain our gross margin, even setting a new record. It tells us that’s the right thing for us to do and that’s what we are doing.

Speaker 10

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, with that we’ll be concluding today’s question-and-answer session. I’d like to turn the floor back over to Dr. Lu for any closing remarks.

Keh-Shew Lu Chairman

Thank you for your participation on today’s call. Operator, you may now disconnect.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen. With that, we’ll conclude today’s conference call. We thank you for joining today’s call and presentation. Please have a great evening.