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Euroseas Ltd. Q4 FY2021 Earnings Call

Euroseas Ltd. (ESEA)

Earnings Call FY2021 Q4 Call date: 2021-12-31 Concluded

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Operator

Thank you for standing by, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Euroseas Conference Call on the Fourth Quarter 2021 Financial Results. We have with us Mr. Aristides Pittas, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Mr. Tasos Aslidis, Chief Financial Officer of the company. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question-and-answer session. I must advise you that this conference is being recorded today. Please be reminded that the company announced their results with a press release that has been publicly distributed. Before passing the floor to Mr. Pittas, I would like to remind everyone that in today's presentation and conference call, Euroseas will be making forward-looking statements. These statements are within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Matters discussed may be forward-looking statements, which are based on current management expectations that involve risks and uncertainties that may result in such expectations not being realized. I kindly draw your attention to slide number two of the webcast presentation, which has the full forward-looking statement and the same statement was also included in the press release. Please take a minute to go through the whole statement and read it. And now I would like to pass the floor to Mr. Pittas. Please go ahead, sir.

Good morning ladies and gentlemen, and thank you all for joining us today for our scheduled conference call. Together with me is Tasos Aslidis, our Chief Financial Officer. The purpose of today's call is to discuss our financial results for the quarter ended and full year December 31, 2021. Let us turn to slide three. Our income statement highlights are shown here. The fourth quarter of 2021 was a seminal one for Euroseas, as we recorded the highest net income level in our history. For the fourth quarter of 2021, we reported total net revenues of $38.3 million and net income attributable to common shareholders of $22.7 million. Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders for the period was $22.9 million, or $3.18 per share and $3.17 per share basic and diluted respectively. Adjusted EBITDA for the period stood at $26.1 million. For the full year of 2021, our net revenue was $93.9 million and net income attributable to common shareholders was $42.3 million. Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders for the period was $42 million, or $6.02 and $6.01 per share basic and diluted respectively. Adjusted EBITDA for the period totaled at $52.7 million. Notably, net revenues for the quarter and full year, as well adjusted EBITDA were higher than the previous years by multiple measures of magnitude, as can be seen on the slide. Our CFO, Tasos Aslidis will go over financial highlights in more detail later on in the presentation. Please turn to slide four where we discuss our recent chartering and operational developments. Motor vessel, Marcos V was bought with the charter for approximately 36 to 42 months at $42,000 per day. The EM Astoria was fixed for a minimum period of about 36 to 38 months at $65,000 per day for the first year, followed by $50,000 per day for the second year and therefore fixed a $20,000 per day for the remaining period. Evridiki G was extended for a minimum period of 36 to 38 months at $40,000 per day. The EM Corfu was fixed for 36 to 40 days at $5,125 per day as a repositioning trip to reach drydock destination and thereafter was fixed for 36 to 38 months at $40,000 per day as well. Furthermore, Jonathan P was bought with the charter attached for the minimum period of 35 to 37 months at $27,000 per day. Synergy Keelung had an option declared by the charterer for approximately 8 to 12 months at $14,500 per day. Whilst, the Synergy Oakland was fixed for about 48 to 51 months four-year at $42,000 per day, the vessels to be delivered by April 15, 2022. The previous charter of motor vessel Synergy Oakland of $202,000 per day exceeded its maximum duration by about 25 days due to both delays with the payment of the higher charter rates to the company continuing during the extension. However, the extension resulted in the loss of the subsequent short-term charter of $130,000 per day that was to be performed before the four-year charter would kick in. The vessel after an idle day of about 15 days was chartered for a single voyage charter at $160,000 per day after the completion of which it will commence the four-year charter. The new charter arrangements will result in about the same average rate and total revenues as the original arrangements. Furthermore, two of our vessels incurred repairs and were involved in special surveys with drydocks in the fourth quarter. Diamantis P for about 49 days between September and October 2021 and EM Corfu since 29th of December till about now. No vessels were idle or commercially offhire during the fourth quarter. Please turn to slide five where we'll review our recent sale and purchase highlights. Two vessels were delivered during the fourth quarter of 2021, the Jonathan P, a 1700 teu containership was delivered in October, and Marcos V, a 6300 teu containership, was delivered in December 2021. Also, as previously announced, on January 28, 2022, we signed the contracts for the construction of two eco-designed, fuel-efficient containerships similar to the ones of that in June 2021. The vessels would have a carrying capacity of 2,800 teu each and will be built at Hyundai Mipo Dockyard in South Korea. The two newbuildings are scheduled to be delivered during the fourth quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024 respectively. The total consideration for each of these two newbuilding contracts is approximately $43.15 million and will be financed with a combination of debt and equity. This brings our newbuilding program to four vessels and solidifies our market presence in the larger feeder sector. Both vessels adhere to the current greenhouse gas emission and other requirements and significantly improve our fleet profile, both as concerns age and eco characteristics. It's noteworthy that the new vessels will consume about 30% less fuel than previous generation non-eco ships. Please turn to slide six, where you can see our current fleet profile. Euroseas' current fleet is comprised of 16 vessels on the water, including 10 feeder containerships and six intermediate container carriers. Euroseas' 16 containerships have a capacity of 50,000 teu and an average age of 17 years. After the delivery of the four feeder containership newbuildings in 2023 and the first half of 2024, Euroseas will consist of 20 vessels with a total carrying capacity of close to 62,000 teu. Slide seven shows our vessel employment chart. As you may see, we have chartered almost more than 92% of available capacity in 2022. About 62% of our available capacity in 2023 and about 40% of available days in 2024, taking into account the newbuildings as well. At the contracted EBITDA level of about $113 million for 2022 and $92 million for 2023. Our contracted average Time Charter rate for 2022 stands at about $31,250 per day, while for 2023 and 2024 it's higher, estimated at $33,000 per day and $33,500 per day respectively. Let's now turn to slide nine to review how the Time Charter market in general has spread over the period. As you can see, six to 12 month Time Charter rates continue to push to new highs despite a short-lived retreat in container rates witnessed during November and December of 2021. Please turn to slide 10 to go over the overall market highlights. As we said, Time Charter rates across all segments skyrocketed over the past 12 months and have reached all-time highs. Additionally, during the fourth quarter, the average secondhand price index rose by about 16% in Q4 over Q3. Price increases varied across different age groups with the elder vessels increasing well in excess of 100% in 2021. During the fourth quarter, newbuilding prices also increased by approximately 3% due to rising steel prices and high demand for newbuildings on the back of the general containership market rise. The idle containership fleet as of the beginning of 2022 stands at only about 130,000 teu, 0.5% of the fleet, the lowest level ever. These are vessels that would probably never be reactivated anyway. The percentage of containership scrap to date has dropped dramatically to approximately 12,000 teu, again, the lowest point ever. And this is of course, despite the fact that prices have increased to over $615 per lightweight ton due to the high demand for steel. Overall, the fleet grew by about 3.9% in 2021, without accounting for the idle deactivations. The order book has significantly increased, mainly through larger vessels, with the current order book to fleet ratio hovering around 24% compared to just 10% a year ago. Please turn to slide 11. The IMF's revised outlook is largely led by growth markdowns in the two largest economies, the U.S. and China. According to the January 2022 IMF report, global growth is expected to decrease from 5.9% in 2021 to 4.4% in 2022, half a percentage point lower since the previous projections in October. However, the 0.5% growth the IMF expects will likely be gained in 2023 with forecasts up from 3.3% in October 2021 to 3.8% in January 2022. Despite slowing down, growth prospects for the emerging markets and developing economies are expected to go back to the pre-pandemic trend by 2023, except for India, which is expected to be steady at around 9%. Growth forecasts remain promising for advanced economies with Japan and the ASEAN-5 doing better than 2021, while the U.S., citing tighter Federal Reserve policy and an anticipated halt to any further stimulus spending by Congress, has a reduced growth forecast for 2022 from 5.2 percentage points to 4%. China's economic growth is projected to be only 4.8% in 2022 before picking up again in 2023. As the Central Bank steadily ramps up policy easing towards economic recovery. The lower growth rate underlines multiple headwinds facing the world's second-largest economy due to a property downturn, a crackdown on debt, tougher pollution measures, and strict COVID-19 curbs which have hit consumption. For 2022 and 2023, containerized trade is expected to grow at healthy levels of 3.6% and 3.5% respectively. Please turn to slide 12 to review the containership age profile and delivery schedule. As you can see in the containership age profile chart located on the left side of the slide, we have a young fleet with a mere 8% of ships being above 20 years old. However, the older vessels are mainly concentrated in the smaller classes where our ships operate. The right side chart shows the delivery schedule of the current containers of the book, which is expressed as a percentage of the fleet. Circle figures for 2022 and 2025 reflect the anticipated fleet growth before scrapping and slippages. Apparently, the total containership order book stands at 24.3% of the fleet, which is astonishing compared to a year ago when it stood at merely 10%. The majority of the deliveries are scheduled for the second half of 2023 onwards and even then will be concentrated on the larger sized vessels. Please turn to slide 13 where we discuss our outlook summary. As previously mentioned, global recovery continues, yet new COVID-19 variants, rising energy prices, and elevated inflation still weigh in and may slow economic growth. Containership trade remains positive with moderate supply growth in 2022, accelerating in 2023 and 2024. Port congestion has continued to significantly impact the container shipping markets leading to excessive wait times and disrupting operational schedules. These logistical bottlenecks have resulted in new highs in container freight rates, which are expected to remain throughout 2022. The short-term outlook looks optimistic, reinforced by logistical disruptions and firm trade demand. Additionally, limited supply growth in 2022 should provide some rate support before increased newbuilding deliveries in 2023. The medium to long term, that is in 2023 and beyond, fundamentals are very complex, with a range of factors likely to have an impact. Firstly and certainly, uncertainty may arise if demand for vessel wanes once supply chain disruptions ease. Secondly, material supply pressure from 2023 onwards may overtake demand growth due to increased deliveries. But last and not least, new environmental regulations will probably result in even slower steaming by 2023, 2024, effectively removing capacity from the market. The balance is very difficult to determine. Let's move to slide 14. The left side of the slide shows the evolution of the one-year time charter rates for containers of 2,5000 teu since 2000. As discussed, we are witnessing the highest charter rates in the last 20 years. According to Clarkson's last week, one-year daily time charter rates for 2,500 teu containerships stood at $76,000 per day. The right hand side of the slide shows vessel values in relation to historical prices since 2012. As we can see, current containership values stand at about $52 million and have significantly increased above median and average levels and are now at the highest levels over the last decade. There is no doubt that at some point both prices and charter rates will need to correct, but the big question is when will this happen and how far further will they have reached till then. Because the only clear thing today is the lack of sufficient capacity to service the world's needs of today. In this unsteady environment, we have secured and continued to secure as much earnings as possible and are looking to utilize the vast amount of liquidity we are creating in the optimal way to build a strong balance sheet and grow the company in the manner that will continue to provide it with top returns in the evolving global shipping environment for the benefit of our shareholders. And with that, I will now pass the floor to our CFO, Tasos Aslidis to go over our financial highlights in further detail.

Thank you very much, Aristides. Good morning from me as well, ladies and gentlemen. I will now take you through the next five slides of our presentation and give you an overview of our financial highlights for the fourth quarter and full year of 2021 and compare them with our results in the equivalent periods of 2020. For that, let's turn to slide 16. For the fourth quarter of 2021, the company reported total net revenue of $38.3 million, representing a 218% increase over total net revenues of $12 million during the fourth quarter of 2020. The increase was predominantly due to the higher average Time Charter rates our vessels earned in the fourth quarter of last year compared to the corresponding period of 2020. For the fourth quarter of 2021, the company reported net income and net income applicable to common shareholders of $22.7 million as compared to a net income of $0.6 million and a net income attributable to common stakeholders of $0.4 million for the fourth quarter of 2020. Interest and other financing costs for the fourth quarter of 2021 amounted to about $0.78 million compared to $0.8 million that we had for the same period of 2020, during which, though we also recorded a loss on extinguishment of debt of about $0.5 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2021 was $26.1 million compared to $2.1 million for the corresponding period of 2020, reflecting a 132% increase over the previous periods. Basic earnings per share attributable to common shareholders for the fourth quarter of 2021 were 3.15, while diluted earnings per share were $3.13 calculated respectively on 7.21 million and 7.24 million basic and diluted weighted average number of shares outstanding compared to basic diluted earnings per share of $0.07 for the fourth quarter of 2020, calculated on a 6.15 million basic and diluted weighted average number of shares outstanding. Excluding the effects on the income attributable to common shareholders for the quarter, the unrealized loss on derivatives, the amortization of below market time charters acquired, and the depreciation charge due to the increased value of the vessels acquired with the low market time charters. The adjusted earnings attributable to common shareholders for the quarter ended December 31, 2021, was $3.18 basic and $2.17 diluted compared to an adjusted loss of $0.16 per share basic and diluted for the fourth quarter of 2020. Usually secured channels do not include these items in the public estimates of earnings per share, and that's why we're making this adjustment as well. Let's now move to the right half of the slide to discuss the same figures for the full year of 2021. For the full year of 2021, the company reported total net revenue of $93.9 million, representing a 76% increase over total net revenues of $53.3 million during the 12 months of 2020. The company reported a net income for 2021 of $42.9 million and a net income attributable to common shareholders of $42.3 million, as compared to a net income of $4 million, net income attributable to common shareholders of $3.3 million for 2020. Interest and other financing costs for the 12 months of 2021 amounted to $2.8 million compared to $4.1 million for 2020, during which year we also recorded a loss in the extinguishment of debt of $0.5 million, as I mentioned earlier. This decrease in interest expenses is due to the lower average level of debt we took on during 2021 as compared to the previous year. Our debt only increased in the fourth quarter of 2021 when we partly financed with debt our latest two acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA for 2021 was $52.7 million compared to $11.8 million during 2020. Basic earnings per share attributable to common shareholders for 2021 were $6.06 and diluted earnings per share were $6.05 calculated on 6.98 million and 6.99 million of basic and diluted weighted average number of shares outstanding compared to basic and diluted earnings per share of $0.58 for 2020. Again, excluding the effect on the income attributable to common shareholders for 2021 of the unrealized gain on derivatives, the amortization of the below market prime charters, the depreciation charge due to the increased value of the vessels acquired with below market charters, and the net loss in the sale of a vessel, the adjusted earnings attributable to common shareholders for the year of 2021 was $6.02 basic and $6.01 diluted compared to a marginal adjusted loss of essentially $0 per share basic and diluted for 2020. Let's now move to slide 17 to review our fleet performance. We will start our review by looking first at our fleet utilization rates for the fourth quarter of 2021 and compare them to the same for 2022. As usual, our fleet utilization rate is broken down into commercial and operational. During the fourth quarter of 2021, our commercial utilization rate was 100%, while our operational utilization rate was 98.5% compared to 98.5% commercial and 96.3% operational for the fourth quarter of 2020. I should remind you here that our utilization rate calculation does not include vessels in drydock or scheduled repairs, as such events should be procured during the period we are considering. On average, 15.01 vessels were owned and operated during the fourth quarter of 2021, earning an average time charter equivalent rate of $29,994 per day, compared to 14.43 vessels owned and operated in the same period, the fourth quarter of 2020, earning on average $10,497 per day. Our total daily operating expenses, including management fees, general and administrative expenses, but excluding drydock costs, averaged $7,708 per vessel per day during the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to $7,164 per vessel per day for the fourth quarter of 2020. Our cash flow break-even rate during the fourth quarter of 2021 was about $11,950 per vessel per day compared to $8,215 per vessel per day for the fourth quarter of 2020, recorded during which we should not do any loan repayments. Let's now look at the right part of the slide to review the same figures for the full year. During 2021, our commercial utilization rate was again 100%, while our operational utilization rate was 98.5% compared to 97.5% commercial and 98% operational for 2020. On average, during 2021, 14.25 vessels were owned and operated, earning an average time charter equivalent rate of $19,309 per day compared to 17.23 vessels during 2020, earning an average of $9,445 per day. Our total operating expenses, again, including management fees and G&A expenses excluding drydocking costs for 2021 amounted to $7,212 per vessel per day compared to $6,431 per vessel per day for the previous year 2020. Let's move now to slide 18. You should become familiar with the slide by now. We have included this slide in the last three or four calls to provide our shareholders and investors with the tool to assess the earnings potential of our fleet in the coming periods. The table shown in this slide has two parts. The first part refers to our contracts already in place. The table shows the available days for hire, making assumptions for the scheduled drydockings, the number of contracted days in each period that we're reviewing, as well as the difference of the two, what we call the remaining open days of our fleet. As you can see in the table, almost all of our vessel available days are contracted for 2022, 92%, while 62% of our fleet available days for 2023 are also contracted. For the contracted days, the table shows the average conductor rate which allows you to estimate the likely EBITDA contribution by making an assumption for the OpEx and G&A expenses per day. For the remaining open days, whoever uses this calculator needs to make an assumption about the daily rate to be earned, which would allow him or her to estimate the EBITDA contribution of the open days. To provide an indicative calculation, this one used the same rate as the blended contracted rate, one can see the effect on the total EBITDA for 2022 and 2023. This overall exercise is meant to provide a tool to calculate our EBITDA for 2022, 2023, even 2024 if one wants to extend it by entering one's own assumptions about the rates for the open days. It is hard though to let go unnoticed that for 2022, a year in which more than 90% of our fleet is contracted out, we expect to likely double our EBITDA as compared to 2021 and see that this figure could even go further in 2023 if of course the rate assumptions in the table come through. Let's now move to slide 19 to review our debt profile. On the top part of the slide, we can see our scheduled debt repayments over the next several years. Our loan repayment schedule for this year stands at $27.4 million, with repayments on existing debt decreasing over the next three years. In addition to the regular repayment, the chart shows stable value payments represented by blue bars. In 2022, we have a small balloon payment of $1.9 million. We have $30.7 million due to be paid in 2023, and a further $1.8 million balloon in 2024. In the past, we have typically financed our balloon payments, especially the larger ones, and we expect to be able to do so in the future if we choose. I would like to make two further points. First, we have two vessels that are currently unencumbered, the Joanna and Akinada Bridge. The second point is that the chart does not include the debt we expect to assume for financing our four newbuildings during 2023 and early 2024. For our newbuildings, we usually make the initial payments with our own funds and draw a loan to finance the larger final payment at the delivery of the vessels. A final note on this slide concerns the cost of our debt as it relates to the loans outstanding for 11 years. The average margin on our debt is about 3%, and assuming the LIBOR rate of 0.3%, our senior debt cost is on average 3.3%, which includes the cost of our interest rate swaps averaging 3.4%. Looking at the bottom of this table, our cash flow breakeven level expectation for the next 12 months is $1 per vessel per day. With our loan repayments reviewed over the next 12 months, calculating a $4,250 per vessel per day contribution to our cash flow breakeven level, and by making similar assumptions for the remaining components of our cash flow breakeven level, our operating expenses, G&A expenses, interest payments, and drydocking costs will lead to a cash flow breakeven level for the next 12 months of around $13,075 per vessel per day. Let's now move to slide 20. This slide provides some highlights from our balance sheet to reflect the market value of our fleet. As of December 2021, on a book value basis first and on our asset side, we had costs and other assets for about $37.1 million and the book value for our vessels including advances for the newbuildings and the acquisition of the vessels, including that with the acquired vessel Jonathan P and Marcos V of $183.4 million, giving us a total book value for our assets of about $221 million. On the liability side, we had an outstanding bank debt of $119 million and other liabilities of $8.5 million. However, as I started mentioning, the market value of our fleet is much higher than its book value even if adjusted for the negative value of our charters, the latter result of increasing market and continuously increasing market. Specific rates made with our vessels were at the end of last year about $445 million inclusive of the appreciation of the value of our newbuilding contracts. If we use that effect of the book value for our vessels, we can calculate the net asset value for our fleet to be around $337 million or around $46 per share. Recently our shares have been traded in the range of $30 to $34 per share. And although this share price reflects a notable increase in the beginning of the year, it still represents a significant discount to our net asset value per share, thus offering good appreciation potential for our shareholders and good investment opportunities for other investors. And with that, I would like to close my short presentation and pass the floor back to Aristides to continue our discussion.

Thank you, Tasos. Let me open up the floor for any questions that we may have.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. We will now take our first question. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Speaker 3

Good day. This is Tate Sullivan from Maxim Group. I have a couple of follow-up questions regarding your comments on the order book, which still consists mainly of larger vessels for 2023, especially for market entry in that year. Could you remind us of the advantages of operating smaller ships in your fleet and taking delivery of smaller vessels? Also, could you comment on the future composition of the containerships?

There is always a cascading effect with containerships since they all carry the same type of cargo. Smaller vessels can access ports that bigger ones cannot. The larger vessels typically serve the bigger ports, where they unload cargo that smaller ships then transport shorter distances to smaller ports. Therefore, all types of vessels are essential. Most orders are for larger vessels that primarily operate in TransAtlantic and TransPacific trades. However, we also need smaller ships, and not many of those are being constructed. The existing smaller vessels are generally older. We view this as a relatively niche market and have traditionally focused on it.

Speaker 3

Thank you. And with, I mean most of your capacity spoken for this year, most of your days contracted, is there any chance newbuild, additional newbuild capacity opens to build you new ships in the next two years or is really today the earliest deliveries still for multiple years if you do decide to build above and beyond the four newbuilds you have on order?

We are considering the possibility to build new vessels as well. We're still looking at that possibility. The shipyards are quite full with new orders though. So you cannot get them with prompt deliveries these days, which is a drawback, but we will see.

Speaker 3

Okay. Thank you. And just on a topic we talked about before, just targeted debt ratios going through this cycle. And if there is eventually a slowdown, is it, I mean, the capital ratio using net asset value? Do you look at 30% level or 40% level of debt to capital ratios? How do you look at that over the cycle?

Yes. I mean we look at Tasos?

I was about to show you that we currently have a leverage ratio of around 25% using charter adjusted values. We plan to finance our newbuildings at about 60% to 65% of their contract value. Even with the financing of newbuildings, our leverage ratio will remain below approximately 35%. This is a moderate leverage ratio that reflects the current point in the cycle, and even if there is a downturn, we expect it to stay at very low levels that we are comfortable managing throughout the cycle.

Speaker 3

Thank you. And last for me just following up the newbuild comment. If you did order a ship today just in terms of the update, I know it can vary. If it's 2000, middle 2024 delivery at this point?

Around that update, yes.

Speaker 3

Okay. Okay. Thank you both. Have a great rest of the day.

Thank you.

Operator

We will now take our next question. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Speaker 4

Hi, this is Poe Fratt from Noble Capital Markets. Good afternoon to both of you. I wanted to follow up on the newbuild question. I was a bit surprised that you were able to keep the price increases minimal between ordering the first two and proceeding with the second two, as the price for the newbuilds only rose by about 15%. Could you explain whether you had options for the second two newbuilds or if these were negotiated anew with the shipyard to keep costs down?

They were new negotiations. Unfortunately, we weren't able to secure options because the shipyards have been difficult to work with lately. They recognize that ordering new vessels is challenging due to the high demand and limited availability of shipyards, which gives them leverage. The reason the price increase was not significant is that the delivery times are extended. The deliveries are scheduled for the end of 2023 and the beginning of 2024, while the first two vessels are set to be delivered in the first and second quarters of 2023. So, in addition to a somewhat higher price, the later delivery times also contribute to the situation.

Speaker 4

Yes. But that's measured with the time between when you ordered the first and second, isn't it?

True. It is. But if we were able to get an early delivery, it would have been much more expensive.

Speaker 4

Okay, understood. When considering the possibility of adding two more new builds, would you anticipate an increase in costs to around $100 million for those two, instead of $86 million?

I don't want to speculate too much when the discussions might be going on. But if there is something to announce we'll definitely announce it. But I leave it that right now, Poe.

Speaker 4

I appreciate that. Could you talk about the interest in the first two new builds regarding time charters? Can you provide an update on any potential time charters that you might have secured or are in the process of securing for the vessels?

Be sure that if there is something to be announced, there will be a press release announcing it. So there is nothing announceable at this point in time. People are showing some interest in fixing, but still, we are not actively marketing the ships for charter. We think it's something that might happen within the next few months, but we're not actively marketing them yet.

Speaker 4

Okay, great. Could you discuss the availability you have this year for new time charters? Specifically, I'm interested in the open days for the Akinada Bridge and the other vessel that I can't recall the name of. Has there been any change in the market that suggests you might not be able to secure similar terms regarding time charter length and rates for those two open vessels?

The context index just came out today as it comes twice a week. All constituents were green again, which means, they were all up again a little bit. So the market continues to strengthen. So we think that the more we wait, the higher we can probably still fix. I don't know if this will continue forever; it can't obviously, but it continues. So we'll see.

Speaker 4

And would you be looking for more length Euroseas or given the current forward cover you have, would you be more inclined to play more the short term and keep some of those open or exposed to the spot market?

No. It will depend on what interest we see from our clients. We are happy with the levels that we are seeing for long periods as well. So if we see for the smaller vessels we might do the three years, for the bigger vessel we would do anything from three to five years. If the rate for a single year was fantastic, we could consider that as well. We will see. We will see.

Speaker 4

Yep. Stay tuned. And then can we just walk through sort of your philosophy on potentially doing either stock buybacks or dividends, whether it's a special dividend or regular dividend? If I do the math on the next two years, 2022 and 2023, I come to the conclusion that from an operating cash flow standpoint you'll generate more than $250 million based on the current market and current forward cover. And you have from a cash perspective about $65 million of CapEx on the newbuild program assuming that you're going to finance 60% of the final delivery payments on the newbuilds. And so, you'll generate a significant amount of excess cash if you will. And unless you make additional acquisitions, can you just talk about what potential plans you might have to assess what you do with the excess cash?

Yes. Our main focus has been to utilize the liquidity we generate to expand the company and refresh the fleet, positioning us as a more prominent player in our segment. Finding worthwhile projects remains our top priority. If we exhaust our investment options, we may consider returning capital to shareholders. However, so far, we have identified solid investment opportunities, and each investment has proven to be valuable and beneficial to our shareholders. I hope we continue to uncover good investments. If we reach a point where we cannot find suitable options, we will then look at how to utilize the liquidity generated in a way that benefits our shareholders. As I have mentioned before, our family is among the major shareholders, and our goal is to maximize results.

Speaker 4

Okay, great. I have one last question about the timing of the capital you plan to allocate for the new builds. You mentioned $7.6 million so far for deposits on the first two new builds. I assume there will be 10% deposits for the second two new builds in the coming quarter or possibly the second quarter. My calculations suggest around $34 million in capital expenditure for the new builds in 2022 and about $98 million in 2023. Are those figures close to what you expect, or could you provide an estimate of the capital expenditure for the new build program in 2022 and 2023?

I think those numbers are in the ballpark. I would expect that we will make about six installments for the first two newbuilds by the end of the year. We have made two and we'll make another four I guess. And then, we'll pay the remaining delivery, 70% delivery. And we'll start making installments for the newbuildings. I would imagine that we'll do one, obviously, the first 10%, we have done that. And I think the rest of them will be in 2023.

Speaker 4

Okay, great. Thank you so much.

Yep. And the last one. And the fourth one will be in 2024, the 70% of the fourth one.

Speaker 4

Yes. That applies to the first quarter of 2024. Okay, great. Thank you, Tasos.

Okay. Thank you, Poe.

Okay, guys.

Operator

We have no further questions at this time.

Okay. Thank you very much for being with us during this call. And we look forward to talking to you in three months' time. Thank you.

Thank you, everybody.

Operator

That concludes the conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect.