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Primoris Services Corp Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Primoris Services Corp (PRIM)

Earnings Call FY2025 Q4 Call date: 2026-02-23 Concluded

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Operator

My name is Stella, and I will be your conference operator today. Welcome to the Primoris Services Corporation Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call and webcast. I would now like to turn the conference over to Blake Holcomb, Vice President of Investor Relations. You may begin.

Blake Holcomb Head of Investor Relations

Good morning, and welcome to the Primoris Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me today with prepared comments are Koti Vadlamudi, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Ken Dodgen, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I'd like to make everyone aware of certain language contained in our safe harbor statement. The company cautions that certain statements made during this call are forward-looking and are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from our projections and expectations. These risks and uncertainties are discussed in our reports filed with the SEC. Our forward-looking statements represent our outlook only as of today, February 24, 2026. We disclaim any obligation to update these statements, except as may be required by law. In addition, during this conference call, we will make reference to certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures is available on the Investors section of our website and in our fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings press release, which was issued yesterday. I would now like to turn the call over to Koti Vadlamudi.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Blake. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today to discuss our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results and our initial outlook for 2026. Prior to reviewing our 2025 performance, I want to begin by providing a few thoughts and impressions from my first several months as CEO. To start, Primoris is a great company because it has great people that embody a great culture. I have spent much of my time learning from and engaging with our employees whose efforts are essential to our past and future success. There is a culture of safety and caring that promotes the health and well-being of our fellow employees. This has consistently placed Primoris well below the industry average in terms of recordable incidents even while working more than 40 million hours in 2025. There was always more work to be done to achieve zero incidents, but those who fit in best at Primoris place a priority on visualizing and assessing risks to prevent injuring themselves or others. There is also the recently launched Primoris Promise, a non-profit charity to support our people, communities, and the causes that matter, which is funded by voluntary employee contributions, company donations, and public support. These aspects of our culture help build morale, attract and retain talent, execute consistently, and uphold trust with our customers. I have also witnessed a culture of innovation and an entrepreneurial spirit that keeps us nimble to adapt to our dynamic end markets, promote growth, drive productivity, and provide solutions to customers as a valued partner. This manifests itself in providing the existing service to a nontraditional customer, such as building a major substation for a chip manufacturer or developing a new service for existing customers in need of a solution in the case of Premier PV. This culture is also exhibited in the utilization of digital tools and technologies. Our teams are using and developing tools that can assist our teams in managing project risk and contracts, improving cost estimates and scheduling, and are increasing our productivity and predictability for the benefit of Primoris and our clients. Engaging with our customers has been another focus for me, and I am impressed with the collaboration and client partnerships that have been nurtured to achieve ambitious plans in the coming years. The scope and scale of projects, specifically in solar, natural gas generation, and power delivery continue to increase, and the need for trusted, experienced, and quality contractors is only becoming more critical. Primoris is in a prime position to be a provider of solutions to these customers and to form partnerships with new customers we may not have historically served. In summary, I'm excited and privileged to be in a position to lead Primoris in this next chapter of growth and value creation. I want to thank the Primoris Board of Directors for entrusting me with this responsibility and thank our Chairman, David King, for stepping in during the transitional period last year. With that, I'll move on to the highlights of our 2025 performance and the state of our end markets. Primoris delivered another strong year of operational and financial performance in 2025, achieving record revenue, earnings, and backlog. We also generated strong cash flow that improved our liquidity and bolstered our balance sheet. This positions us to continue deploying capital to organically grow and expand our capabilities through acquisitions. We finished the year with over $11.9 billion in total backlog, including booking nearly $3 billion of new work in the final quarter of the year. This is a testament to the tireless efforts of our employees, our valued client partnerships, and the strength of our end markets. For most of the previous two decades, power demand had remained relatively flat. We are now seeing projections that suggest power demand could grow by 50% over the next decade and potentially double over the next 15 years. There are several reasons driving these higher estimates, including data centers, increased electrification, and onshoring of critical parts of the supply chain. While the rate of growth could ebb and flow based on energy efficiency gains or other factors, there is certainly evidence that our utility customers and hyperscalers are making investments in energy infrastructure to support a significant increase in load demand. The average increase in CapEx by our largest utility customers suggests that around a 50% increase in spending over the next five years compared to the previous five years. Replacing infrastructure that is past its intended lifespan, hardening the grid to be more resilient to weather events, and building or upgrading power infrastructure to support growing demand are all high priorities for these customers. The hyperscalers project plans for cloud computing and artificial intelligence are expected to result in trillions of dollars of investment and a substantial amount of power. We believe that the power generation needed to support the expected demand growth will require an all-of-the-above energy source solution, including solar, natural gas, nuclear, and others. Primoris is well-positioned to assist our clients in generating power to satisfy the growing demand and also provide the transmission and distribution solutions needed to deliver energy where it is needed. Given the trends we are seeing, Primoris has been and will continue to be focused on attracting, retaining, training, and developing our people to help meet the ambitious goals of our clients and community shareholders. Our employees are essential to our success and our most valuable asset. To help support our growth, we increased our labor force by more than 2,800 people in 2025 and remain committed to attracting and retaining the brightest and best in the industry. While some industry labor markets are tighter than others, such as certified journeyman and lineman, we have been successful in attracting qualified craft and field labor to meet our clients' needs. We have also focused on bringing in experienced project managers and developing new project leadership in anticipation of increased demand for projects not yet in our backlog. There is growing interest in the labor market to join organizations like Primoris that have strong secular tailwinds and are doing important work that improves the lives of our communities and supports economic growth in North America. We believe our ability to self-perform the vast majority of our work will continue to be an advantage for Primoris, and we are confident that we will have a fungible labor force to continue to grow and service our customers safely, timely, and with the highest quality. Now let's look at the operating segment performance in more detail. In the Utilities segment, revenue and backlog both increased double digits for the year. The revenue growth was driven by better-than-anticipated activity in gas operations and continued strength in power delivery and communications. Power delivery contract renewals and rising demand led to MSA backlog growth as we continue to see market activity accelerate to upgrade, expand, and maintain the electric grid. Margins in the Utilities segment also rose for the second consecutive year despite a decrease in storm response work in 2025, which is particularly accretive to power delivery margins. We continue to focus on our growing mix of project work and increasing productivity, specifically in power delivery to improve our margins. In 2025, we made progress in both with non-MSA revenues increasing almost 30% in the segment and with increased efficiency and utilization in several key geographies. We still have work to do in getting our margins in power delivery where we aspire to be in certain areas, but I want to credit our leadership and employees who have taken ownership in achieving this goal. We have made and continue to make investments in people and equipment to prepare for what we are expecting to be a significant increase in transmission and substation opportunities in the coming years. In gas operations, we exceeded our growth expectations, reaching $1 billion in revenue for the first time. Market share gains and capital program expansions, particularly in the Midwest and Southeast, drove our record revenues, as did more favorable weather conditions for much of the year. Although we are not expecting a similar growth rate in 2026 due to several large projects not expected to recur, the business is in a solid position and operating at a high level. Communications had a year of double-digit growth through market share gains and further success in winning and executing large-scale network, long-haul builds tied to data center development. We are seeing this trend continue in Q4 and year-to-date receiving $100 million in new awards that we referenced in our third quarter call. The favorable trend in this market appears to be accelerating as we are seeing more opportunities to bid over the last few months than we had seen in previous years. Our ability to sustain success in this market and perform to our standard will help support revenue and margins in this segment. Moving over to the Energy segment. Revenue grew almost 25%, primarily driven by renewables, partially offset by another challenging year in pipeline services. We are optimistic that 2025 will represent a trough in the cycle for pipeline as our funnel of opportunities has increased dramatically over the past year to over $3 billion. In recent years, we have seen our funnel trend around one-third of this value. However, with the rising need for natural gas to fuel power generation, increasing LNG production, and a more favorable regulatory environment, we believe that our pipeline activity is poised to accelerate. This is specifically true for large diameter pipeline construction where we typically excel from an execution and margin standpoint. Contrary to many other projects in the Energy segment, pipeline projects tend to mobilize to the construction phase more quickly upon contract signing and can often be completed within the calendar year, depending on the scope. This leads us to be optimistic that pipeline could see meaningful improvement in 2026 and heading into 2027. Industrial Construction had a solid year of performance, highlighted by natural gas generation, which contributed $480 million in revenue. This helped to keep revenues mostly flat at just over $1 billion despite lower activity in Canada and the divestiture of a non-core business in Q4 2024 that created a $75 million revenue headwind in 2025. As I alluded to earlier and in previous comments, Primoris is excited about our potential growth in natural gas generation in the coming years. We are actively engaged in discussions and bidding on $1.5 billion to $2 billion of awards in the first half of this year, and our conversations with clients suggest the list of opportunities will continue to grow. We are prepared with the project managers and skilled labor necessary to take on more work, and we are confident that our expertise and relationships will result in a strong bookings year for natural gas generation in 2026. We remain disciplined in the types of projects we are pursuing and the terms we are willing to accept to balance risk more equitably between contractor and client and ensure the jobs are completed successfully and on schedule. Heavy Civil continued its high performance in 2025, contributing solid margins and cash flow. While not a primary driver of top-line growth, the team has delivered consistent execution and is directing their efforts on projects that align with their expertise and delivering margins above their historical average. Finishing the Energy segment with renewables, it was another year of record revenue and operating income despite having to navigate an uncertain trade and regulatory environment for much of the year. These conditions led to several delays, project specification changes, and redesigns. But in the end, our teams were able to respond to our customers' needs and closed out the year by booking over $1.6 billion in new projects during the fourth quarter, a huge accomplishment by our sales and support teams to get these contracts signed and over the finish line to help our clients move these projects forward. We also helped our clients accelerate project timelines and break ground on projects ahead of schedule during the year to meet their needs, a testament to the valued partnerships we have with our clients and vendors and our team's willingness to deliver our best when called upon. Of course, we did face some operational challenges during the year as well that led to higher-than-expected costs on certain projects that contributed to lower margins during the fourth quarter. One project required additional equipment and materials to overcome challenging underground conditions that were drastically different from the conditions on an adjacent project we had previously constructed. These situations can happen when you work on as many projects as we do. We believe we have worked past most of the excess costs on these projects and would expect to see margins improve in 2026 and return to the norms we expect. We have also continued to add quality people and management oversight to assist with upfront engineering, design, and estimating work that will help mitigate excursions in the future. Ultimately, the demand for our solar solutions remains high, and our customers have an extensive volume of projects safe harbored in accordance with the treasury guidance. We are seeing our average project size increase and new customers continue to engage with us to build their projects. We saw tremendous growth in our battery storage business in 2025 to over $250 million and believe the market is poised to continue being a growth driver in renewables. Solar and specifically solar with battery storage remains one of the lowest-cost and fastest-to-market sources of power generation, which, in our view, makes it a crucial part of helping to meet the energy demands of the future. We also recently commissioned our remote operations control center that adds asset management capacity for our O&M business. It also opens the door for deeper engagement with our clients should remediation be needed at facilities damaged by weather events or replacement of outdated components. Our eBOS business, Premier PV, built on its success in 2025, supplying components to the projects we construct and to the market. We plan to invest in a new facility for this business line in 2026 that will increase our capacity to service the market and add additional products to our portfolio to align with customer demand and preferences. Overall, Primoris had an exceptional 2025 and is set up for a successful year in 2026. The demand backdrop for our services is as good as we've seen as a company, and we are focused on the people, equipment, and expertise to help our customers succeed. Now I'll hand it over to Ken for more on our financial results.

Thanks, Koti, and good morning, everyone. Our fourth quarter revenue was almost $1.9 billion, an increase of $116.4 million or almost 7% compared to the prior year. The increase was driven by growth in both the Energy and Utilities segments. Gross profit for the fourth quarter declined by $9.6 million or approximately 5% to $175 million due to lower gross margins in both segments. Overall, gross margins in the fourth quarter were 9.4% compared to 10.6% in the prior year. Looking at our results by segment, the Utilities segment revenue was up nearly $34 million compared to the prior year. The growth was across all business lines, led by increased gas operations in the Midwest and power delivery and communications activity in Texas and the Southeast. Gross profit decreased approximately $7 million or about 8% compared to the prior year due to lower gross margins. Gross margins were 10.5%, down from 12.1% in the prior year. The lower gross margins were due to a decrease in storm work in the power delivery business, partially offset by higher margins in communications. Excluding storm work, utility margins were comparable to Q4 of the prior year. Energy segment revenue increased $88 million compared to the prior year, primarily due to growth in our renewables business, partially offset by lower industrial and pipeline revenue. Gross profit decreased $2.8 million compared to the prior year as lower gross margins offset the higher revenue. Gross margins fell to 8.5% compared to 9.5% in the prior year. The lower gross margins were primarily related to certain renewables projects that experienced cost overruns due to unanticipated rock and soil conditions, which required additional labor and equipment. We believe that we have accounted for all of these increased costs and expect renewables margins to improve as we progress into 2026. Partially offsetting these declines was strong performance in our natural gas generation, industrial, and Heavy Civil businesses. For the full year 2025, revenue was up $1.2 billion to almost $7.6 billion, primarily driven by double-digit growth in both segments. Gross profit increased by $110 million or approximately 16%, primarily driven by higher revenue in both segments and improved margins in our Utilities segment. Turning to performance by segment for the year. Utilities revenue was up $253 million or a little over 10% from the prior year, driven by growth across all business lines. Gross profit increased $51 million or almost 20% due to the improved gross margins, particularly in power delivery. The improvement in power delivery margins came even though gross profit from storm work declined by $18 million in 2025 compared to the prior year. Revenue growth and improved margins in our gas operations and communications businesses also benefited overall segment margins. Energy revenue grew by almost $1 billion or around 25% this year, primarily driven by growth in our renewables and natural gas generation businesses, partially offset by a decline in pipeline revenue and the wind down or divestiture of non-core industrial businesses. Renewables grew over 50% in 2025 as we had over $500 million of revenue pulled forward into 2025 from 2026 due to project re-sequencing at the request of a customer and accelerated project execution. Gross profit increased by $59 million or 13% compared to the prior year, primarily due to higher revenue, partially offset by a decline in gross margins to 10.1% versus 11% in the prior year. The gross margin decline was mainly due to lower margins on certain renewables projects, partially offset by strong performance in our natural gas generation, industrial, and Heavy Civil businesses. SG&A expense in the fourth quarter was just over $97 million, essentially flat compared to the prior year. For the full year, SG&A was 5.3% of revenue, down from 6% in the prior year. We have prioritized leveraging our SG&A cost base to improve operating margins, and we are pleased with the progress we made in 2025. We plan to invest with discipline in our information technology and personnel to support growth, while continuing to drive efficiencies across the organization. For 2026, we expect that our SG&A will be in the mid- to high 5% range. Net interest expense in the fourth quarter was $6.4 million compared to $12 million in the prior year, and full year net interest expense was down almost $37 million from the prior year to just under $29 million. These decreases were due to lower debt balances and lower interest rates, along with higher interest income. Given our current debt level, we expect interest expense for 2026 to be between $23 million and $26 million. Our effective tax rate in 2025 was 28.4%, and we expect it to be 29% for 2026, but it may vary depending on the mix of tax jurisdictions in which we operate. Operating cash flows in the fourth quarter were approximately $143 million and over $470 million for the full year, demonstrating another solid year of working capital management and cash conversion, along with a little over $100 million of cash collections pulled forward from Q1 '26 into Q4. We have exceeded our operating cash flow margin goal of 4% to 5% in the past two years through a combination of improved billing and collections and upfront payments on new awards. Although we expect some continued progress in these areas, we anticipate cash flow from operations as a percentage of revenue is likely to trend more toward our target range of 4% to 5% in 2026. Continuing with CapEx, we invested $21.8 million in the fourth quarter and about $130 million for the full year. Consistent with 2025, we expect 2026 CapEx to be between $120 million to $140 million with equipment accounting for $90 million to $110 million and the balance spent on facilities and IT upgrades. Moving over to the balance sheet and liquidity. We ended the year with cash of $536 million, up from $456 million at the end of 2024. Total long-term debt was $470 million at year-end, giving us a net cash positive position to begin 2026. Our strong balance sheet has us well positioned to meet our working capital needs, deploy capital to our higher growth, higher-margin businesses, and pursue acquisitions that align with our strategic and financial goals. These include targets that augment our power delivery capabilities and enhance our service offering on industrial, power generation, and data center projects. Transitioning to backlog, we closed the year with a very strong fourth quarter of bookings like we expected that brought total backlog to over $11.9 billion. Total MSA backlog was up over 20% compared to the prior year, driven by contract renewals and anticipated spend by customers in the Utilities segment, specifically in power delivery. We see exciting potential for further backlog growth in the coming quarters across natural gas generation, renewables, and pipeline construction that will drive growth in 2026 and set us up for further growth in 2027. I will conclude with our earnings guidance for 2026. We expect earnings per fully diluted share to be between $5.35 and $5.55 and our adjusted EPS to be between $5.80 and $6 per share. Our adjusted EBITDA guidance is $560 million to $580 million for 2026. I want to point out that this guidance does not include potential benefits from storm work, which contributed around $12 million of adjusted EBITDA in 2025. Additionally, our first quarter is typically our lowest quarter of the year for both revenue and net income due to seasonality, which primarily impacts our Utilities segment. As a result, we expect our Utilities segment margins to be in the 10% to 12% range for the full year, with Q1 in the 7% to 9% range. And for our Energy segment, we expect gross margins to be in the 10% to 12% range for the full year. And with that, I'll turn it back over to Koti.

Speaker 2

Before we open up the call to your questions, I'd like to reiterate some of our key takeaways from prepared comments today. First, I am proud to be part of Primoris and help support our leadership team build on our successful foundation. I look forward to fostering our culture and expanding our horizons of who we can be and who we can serve as an organization. I believe we are doing work that matters to grow the economies of North America and better the lives of the communities we serve. I also look forward to engaging with our analysts and investors and sharing with them our vision for the future of Primoris in the years to come. Second, we are energized to tackle the tremendous opportunities ahead of us across our end markets. The energy infrastructure needed to not only support innovative technologies, but to sustain, upgrade, or replace aging and outdated infrastructure is enormous. We believe Primoris will have an integral and vitally important role to play in supporting this demand. Finally, in pursuit of these objectives, we remain committed to improving margins, generating cash flow, and being the best allocators of capital in our industry. We are exceeding the goals we laid out in 2024 and are looking forward to establishing new targets and strategic initiatives as we approach the latter part of the decade. It is our view that the success in these areas and remaining nimble and adaptable to changes in our markets are the best ways to create long-term value for our employees, our customers, and our shareholders. And with that, I'll now open it up for questions.

Operator

With that, your first question comes from Philip Shen with ROTH Capital.

Speaker 4

First one is on the gas generation business. You talked about then the activity being in the $1.5 billion to $2 billion. I was wondering how much of that might be converted to revenues in '26 and '27?

Speaker 2

Yes. Thanks for the question, Philip. I can take that. And yes, as I said in prepared remarks, the funnel of opportunities in gas generation power are really solid. The $1.5 billion to $2 billion is notionally first half of the year and would have a meaningful burn in '26. In the overall funnel, it's probably a little bit more weighted to the back half of the year with line of sight to nearly $6 billion. So a really, really strong end market with strong capital CapEx.

Speaker 4

Great. Thanks, Koti and welcome to the Primoris as well. And second question here on renewables. You guys gave us some color on the margin performance in Q4. Just was wondering if you could share a little bit more on like when you guys kind of learned about the challenges? And what gives you confidence that this won't happen again? And ultimately, what changes have you guys made to avoid this from happening again?

Speaker 2

Yes. I’ll address that, Philip, and then Ken can provide additional insights. These projects were influenced by underestimated geological and soil conditions from an estimation perspective. The mitigation measures we implemented were not effective, which led to further issues with equipment and labor costs. Nonetheless, this specific program is currently at the midpoint of construction, and we have a solid understanding of what remains to be done. After a detailed review of the project, we decided to allocate more resources to project leadership. This was a program in a competitive market where we experienced some turnover in the project team. With this increased focus, we are confident that the corrective actions we’ve taken will allow us to meet our forecasts.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Steven Fisher with UBS Financial.

Speaker 5

Congratulations, Koti on your new role. I wanted to follow up on the last question regarding execution as you approach 2026. How significant is that for you in your priorities? Additionally, what are some of the other initiatives you're working on beyond the solar project? It seems you have many promising opportunities, but we are looking for increased confidence in execution considering the challenges we've faced in the past couple of quarters.

Speaker 2

Yes. Thanks for the question, Steve. And so we highlighted the performance execution scrutiny in the renewables segment. There are some other areas that I would say would fall in the basket of efficiency gain through project execution, and that gets down to better estimating, better project controls, better change management. These are particular levers that will help drive better project gross margin and ultimately better predictable execution. So it will be a focus area across the enterprise. But I would have a lot of confidence based on the length of some of these client relationships, customers that are confident in giving us continuing ongoing work as well as the deep competencies we have in the services we provide.

Speaker 5

Okay. And then just as a follow-up, as it relates to your guidance, just curious for your perspectives on the coverage that you have on that in your backlog. Curious what you still think you need to book in order to hit the guidance? And then just any areas within the guidance you felt like you may be needed to leave a little room for any particular uncertainties that you see over the course of the year.

Speaker 2

I'll let Ken take that one.

Yes, Steve, it's a good question. Look, I mean, we feel as comfortable with our guidance this year as we probably have any other year. Strong backlog helps with that. But just like any year, we still have to book a little bit in order to make that. And just like in every other year, we always feel like we've got some upside to our guidance as well. So I wouldn't view our guidance this year as any different than any other year from a pluses and minuses standpoint. But the one area where we probably still need to focus on some bookings to the second part of your question is in pipeline. As you know, those tend to be pretty quick book and burn type projects. We don't have all that in backlog yet. We would like to get a little bit more in backlog. But in general, between the MSA and the project work, we feel like we're right where we need to be for this year.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Julien Dumoulin-Smith with Jefferies.

Speaker 6

Koti, looking forward to working with you as well. Can you talk a little bit about both what's forthcoming here on the Utilities side? Obviously, you've got some neighbors here in your hometown that could be announcing some big things here in the short order. Can you talk a little bit about what you would expect on the back of developments in Texas? I know your prepared remarks included some commentary there. How would you expect that to shape, especially as you think about like backlog, what is, more importantly, what is not reflected? And then separately, you also had some comments in the prepared remarks around communications activity. Can you comment a little bit about what you're seeing materialize there also, again, in the vein of trying to understand what is and what is not in the backlog thus far and specifically around bids there?

Speaker 2

Sure. Thanks for the question. And I'll first start out by saying Texas is a really fertile location for the energy markets, and we certainly see a lot of opportunity for power generation and by derivative, attracting data center clients and hyperscalers. So with that, we have a high conviction on the relationships we've established here locally, specifically in the distribution space and substation build, we see meaningful capital where we can be a partner in the delivery of those programs on an EPC basis. So feel really strong about the backlog and the opportunity funnel. I think we highlighted in the presentation deck, the portion of our backlog of the $11.9 billion that's MSA related. I think that's about $7 billion. The majority, I think 90% of that is in the Utilities segment. So it sort of highlights the strength of our relationships as well as the market funnel. With respect to communications, we're seeing some really good indications at the start of this year with some new wins, a couple of hundred million in bookings and line of sight to additional opportunities in the year. So feel pretty good about the fiber business and the communications market in general.

Speaker 6

Got it. Excellent. And then just going back to the gas generation side of the equation, obviously, fairly lumpy opportunity set here. Can you comment a little bit about what you're seeing on that front? Just set expectations accordingly in what you're seeing perhaps in the near term for bookings? Obviously, there's a lot of projects that could come into your fold here. But I just want to make sure I'm hearing right how you would set those expectations specifically in the coming couple of quarters on those kind of lumpier awards? and when those might translate into revenue given the protracted timing on that front too?

Speaker 2

Sure. I agree that it can be seen as inconsistent because these opportunities are significant in scale, measured in gigawatts, and represent multibillion-dollar investments. On one side, we are focused on defining the scope and ensuring we get the estimate accurate, which involves collaborating closely with clients to finalize scope definitions and associated costs. This process takes time. On the flip side, the ultimate customer, often a data center with high power demands, has specific milestones for operational readiness. This creates a counter pressure. Overall, this contributes to the inconsistency. However, I am confident because we have a clear view of reaching the $1.5 billion to $2 billion range in the near term. The book-to-bill ratio for this quarter may be affected, especially if projects hit milestones at the end of the quarter, leading to potential distortions. Therefore, we prefer to assess it over a trailing 12-month period to smooth out these fluctuations.

Operator

And your next question comes from Lee Jagoda with CJS Securities.

Speaker 7

Welcome, Koti. Just, I guess, starting with the Energy segment and the building blocks there in 2026. It sounds like implicit in the guidance is pretty nice growth in natural gas power, pretty nice growth in pipeline. How should we think about the growth in renewables in 2026?

Speaker 2

Yes. The first thing to note is that last year we experienced a significant increase as projects accelerated, which was reflected in our burn rate. We had a quick ramp-up, and these were projects that were already planned. They simply commenced earlier than expected, which led us to purchase equipment and scale labor swiftly. The end market remains very strong for us. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, in the fourth quarter, $1.6 billion out of $3 billion in new bookings came from renewables. This reinforces our belief that this market will keep expanding. I also noted in my prepared remarks that there is often a combined scope involving battery energy storage systems alongside solar modules. Our expertise and strong market share further strengthen our confidence that we will continue to capture more than our fair share in this growing sector.

Speaker 7

Got it. You mentioned that you're midway through the project that encountered some issues in Q4. You provided some insights on what the margin should be in the Utilities segment for Q1. Can you offer any guidance on what the Q1 Energy margins might look like, aiming for that 10% to 12% target for the year?

Speaker 2

Yes. I'll let Ken talk.

Yes. Yes. Lee, look, we think we've got most of that behind us. What we are going to see in Q1, though, is the projects running at those lower margins and burning off and getting wrapped up. Most of it should be wrapped up by the end of Q1. So I think in Q1 for the Energy segment, we will still be in that 10% to 12% range. We will definitely be in the bottom end of that range as we get that worked off. And then starting in Q2 for the rest of the year sequentially, kind of getting back up in that 10.5% to 11.5% range with the opportunity to get above that where we have good project closeouts.

Speaker 7

If I could ask one more question about margins, it seems that in the Energy segment, the mix might be shifting more towards natural gas power and pipelines. Can you provide an update on the gross margins on a normalized basis for the different businesses? If the mix does shift more towards natural gas power and pipelines, I assume that would give us greater confidence in that guidance range.

Yes, it should. Lee, but as you know, I mean, our bid margins are generally run in that 10% to 12% range for the segment that we talk about. Where we always have the upside opportunity is in project closeouts. And so gas generation pipeline and in renewables always have that upside opportunity. It really just depends on which quarter we wrap up the job in or reach certain milestones in and where we are on actual cost relative to bid cost. But across all three of them, we always have the opportunity to exceed or at least come in the upper end of the range or exceed the 10% to 12%.

Operator

And your next question comes from Sangita Jain with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Speaker 8

If I can ask a follow-up on the gas generation question that came up earlier. Can you help us understand if you're looking still at simple cycle or maybe CCGT? And what the average project size may be in that $1.5 billion to $2 billion number that you gave us, Koti?

Speaker 2

Yes, it's great to hear from you again, Sangita. Regarding gas generation, we are not only focused on simple cycle; it likely makes up a significant portion of our considerations. Recently, we were evaluating a 1.6-gigawatt combined-cycle plant. It's in the early stages, but we are open to both options. However, I would say that the majority of what we're examining tends to be single cycle. Could you please remind me of the second part of your question?

Speaker 8

The average project size that you expect maybe...

Speaker 2

I don't have a specific metric on average size, but they are measured in gigawatts from a capacity perspective. Regarding services revenue that we might incur, that could be a few hundred million.

Operator

And then on capital allocation, Koti, there was a quote from you in the press release that talked about using the balance sheet to create value. So hoping to get color from you on where you think the capital is best going to be used and what criteria you're thinking about as you make these decisions for M&A?

Speaker 2

Sure. First, I'll say I'm really pleased to come into a position where the balance sheet is strong, and that really is a testament to the management team's execution on priorities. So really, really strong cash flow generation, good position from a leverage standpoint. It does give us a lot of levers. We talked about in an earlier question, execution efficiency. So there are opportunities to invest in ourselves to the extent that people and systems and tools as we've grown can be improved to deliver more predictable execution and improved gross margins. That said, there are areas that will be catalysts for growth, either in markets where we're subscale, and we think we can accelerate our growth through acquisition and position the balance sheet to the best of our advantage. That said, we will bias our lens. Our lens and filter will be on looking for opportunities that are driven by high sustainable growth trajectory as well as a cultural fit to Primoris and the way we execute work in our markets.

Operator

And your next question comes from Adam Thalhimer with Thompson, Davis.

Speaker 9

Congrats on the Q4 beat and Koti welcome to the call. Koti, I was hoping you could just, from a high level, give us a sense for what are some of your goals for Primoris over the next few years?

Speaker 2

Yes, that's a great question. I want to reaffirm my earlier statements. I'm really excited to join an organization that has such a strong culture at its core. The work we do in collaboration with our clients emphasizes safety, attention to detail, and quality, which I believe are fundamental to our success. Additionally, the company fosters a spirit of entrepreneurship at all levels, from segment presidents to job superintendents, all focused on doing what’s best for our clients and supporting our growth. We’ve discussed the strength of the balance sheet, and it’s thrilling to be part of a company with a solid cultural foundation that we can leverage alongside our financial health to drive further growth. I'm genuinely enthusiastic about the markets we operate in and the geographical opportunities, particularly in North America, where we can continue to expand in these promising markets. I'm very eager about the potential for our next phase of growth.

Speaker 9

I wanted to ask about the potential for backlog growth this year. If we look back at 2023 and 2024, you experienced consistent backlog growth throughout the year. However, in 2025, the backlog remained stable during the first three quarters but saw a significant increase in the fourth quarter. I'm curious about your expectations for 2026 in this regard.

Speaker 2

Yes. I wasn't on the last quarter call, but there was significant attention on the backlog. We had previously indicated that Q4 would be a strong bookings quarter and indeed showed quarter-over-quarter growth. I want to reiterate my earlier point that due to the size of the projects, sometimes the investment decisions and selections take longer, and if they extend into the next quarter, it can create some variability. Therefore, it's important to smooth that out and evaluate it more on a trailing 12-month basis regarding book-to-bill. Overall, we feel confident about the end markets, as we discussed earlier, and we believe this will support solid revenue growth in line with our EBITDA margin growth goals.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Brent Thielman with D.A. Davidson.

Speaker 10

Welcome Koti as well. I wanted to ask about your success in increasing margins in the Utilities segment over the past few years. It seems there is still potential for further improvement. Could you discuss the key factors that need to be addressed in order to continue enhancing those margins in the future?

Speaker 2

Yes, that's a great question. Ken can provide additional insights based on our history. The management team has identified areas for improvement. Our focus has been on enhancing power delivery over the past year, including upfront planning, site logistics, and execution productivity. We believe these enhancements will lead to improved margins in power delivery. In the past year, our gas operations in the Utilities segment experienced significant growth, thanks to our longstanding relationships with customers, which resulted in healthy margins and improved quality in that segment. Moving forward, we will prioritize both margin efficiency and top-line growth.

Yes. The only thing I would add is same thing, Brent, that we talked about in the past, it's also a mix issue, especially within power delivery, where we're still predominantly distribution, which is a great business. There's a ton of money being spent there. But it doesn't have the same margins as the project work on the substation and transmission side. So we've started adding leadership who has the ability to win and execute that work. And as we continue to grow that over the course of the next few years, I think that's going to also contribute to margin enhancement.

Speaker 10

Okay. Maybe one more, just on the battery side, recognize the scheme of your total revenue, it's not the big, but it's growing a lot. I mean any sort of thought on where that can go in 2026, '27?

Speaker 2

I believe I mentioned that we generated nearly $250 million or more this past year. We see that as a strong market for us, especially as it is now often combined with solar module solutions in installations. This presents numerous opportunities. Most of the on-premise solutions being considered by the hyperscalers include some form of battery storage. I believe that over the next couple of years, it is reasonable to expect this business to double in size.

Operator

And your next question comes from Adam Bubes with Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 11

Look forward to working together, Koti. One follow-up on the Utilities margins. I think you're targeting a normalized 10% to 12% in 2026 versus 11.5% gross margins in 2025. How are you just thinking about the different puts and takes for Utilities margins in '26 versus '25, and potential to get back up to the high end of that range? What could be the tailwind from more project work? Conversely, could you see any mix headwind given the strong growth in gas in 2025?

Yes. Good question, Adam. Look, I think it's purely going to be a mix issue in power deliveries. We continue to work on that. But from a margin perspective, our gas business and our communications business were as strong, if not stronger, than our power delivery margins. And that's fairly consistent with our past. So as gas and communications grow, they tend to be just as accretive to margins, if not more so, sometimes than power delivery given our mix right now.

Speaker 11

Got it. And then based on the 10-K, it looks like your hourly workforce increased 22% in 2025. We hear a lot about labor constraints. What's allowed you folks to be so flexible growing headcount? And what type of employee growth are you budgeting for in 2026?

Speaker 2

Yes. In general, the labor market is constrained. During my short time here, I have been involved in estimate reviews and decision-making for projects. One thing I appreciate is that the team has maintained good discipline in evaluating our labor needs and understanding how to mobilize the workforce when necessary. Looking at our past, we have not faced issues with projects we've bid on, won, and executed due to the inability to attract workforce talent. This reflects our credibility in the market. Moving forward, while we recognize the challenges in a constrained market, we are confident in our ability to address them. Additionally, we are investing in developing a reserve workforce specifically in gas generation and power delivery to prepare for future needs as our pipeline projects come to fruition. Our project teams are ready to be mobilized to support and execute these efforts.

Operator

And your next question comes from Jerry Revich with Wells Fargo Securities.

Speaker 12

Koti, congratulations, and welcome. I wanted to ask in terms of the seat that you folks have at the table on the power side is really interesting, just given the breadth of capabilities that you folks have from behind-the-meter turbines, signal cycle. Can you just talk about the mix of work that you're looking at the $6 billion number that you mentioned and what proportion of that is behind-the-meter? And as you folks think about the projects that you're bidding on, how do you see bridge power versus island power developing for data centers? What's your take on what's going to be permanent within that infrastructure set?

Speaker 2

Yes, Jerry, thank you for the question. I haven't looked into the exact breakdown between behind-the-meter and the rest, so we can follow up on that. However, there is significant demand in the data center segment, as you might expect. Last year, we indicated that we had about $850 million in work primarily related to enabling infrastructure for data centers. Just to provide some context for the beginning of this year, we're at $350 million compared to the $850 million from the entire previous year. This highlights our clients' willingness to invest and collaborate with Primoris for these data center developments. We can also look into the on-premise split, which is likely around 25% to 30%.

Speaker 12

Very interesting. Can we shift our focus to the renewable sector? You have gained significant market share and generally experienced positive project outcomes. Regarding the problem project discussed this quarter, is it still profitable? Can you provide us with an update on that, Ken? Also, could you help us understand the significance of mentioning a negative variance for the first time? What does the tally look like in terms of positive versus negative project closeouts for that line of business, to help us put today's news into context?

The majority of our renewables projects are performing well, either meeting or exceeding the expected margins. In these cases, we typically achieve favorable project closeouts. However, as Koti mentioned earlier, we encountered an unusual situation with a couple of sister projects being constructed next to each other. We faced unexpected subsurface conditions, encountering more rock than we have ever dealt with on any project. One of these sister projects is slightly in a loss position, while the other still maintains a positive margin. Nonetheless, these are just two projects out of the 25 or 30 we have running at any given time, most of which are performing well. It just so happens that these particular projects incurred higher costs than we have previously experienced in similar situations. Overall, our renewables business remains strong, and we anticipate solid execution in 2026.

Operator

And your next question comes from Manish Somaiya with Cantor.

Speaker 13

Just a couple of things for me. First, Ken, on the working capital front, where you benefited this quarter and pulled forward some working capital from Q1 '26. Is that going to be a headwind for us in '26, when we think about cash flows? And then secondly, for Koti, of course, let me add my welcome as well. Just wanted to get your thoughts around M&A versus organic growth. Obviously, you have a lot of opportunities. You talked about the opportunities that you have in front of you. How do you intend to sort of close them, especially where you feel that the company is subscale? So maybe just give us some context around the size of acquisitions that might be on the table, and how that would kind of relate to the debt target of 1.5x that you've kind of put out.

Speaker 2

Certainly. To address the strategic question about capital allocation, particularly in relation to mergers and acquisitions, we view M&A as something that must align with our overall strategy. We're not pursuing M&A solely for the sake of increasing revenue. We are very optimistic about our portfolio and have intentionally focused on markets that demonstrate sustainable growth over the past few years. While there are areas where we aim to grow organically that are currently underdeveloped, we are also ready to invest our capital organically where it makes sense to stimulate growth, even if it occurs at a slower pace. With a healthy balance sheet, there are opportunities to pursue M&A, and we are seeing plenty of potential deals in the market. Given our organic growth over the past year, we have considerable flexibility concerning deal size and type. Our preference will be for markets that are either currently underdeveloped or where we believe that with the right investments, we can significantly enhance or accelerate growth. It's important to ensure that there is a good cultural fit and that we conduct thorough due diligence when evaluating potential opportunities.

Yes. And then on the cash side, look, we had 2 great years. We honestly expect to have another good solid year in '26. I don't expect it to be down or below our target range just because we had a good strong '25. If anything, as I said in my prepared comments, I expect it to be just another good solid year. Operating cash flow kind of in that 4% to 5% of revenue range. And in general, from a free cash flow perspective, our goal is to be kind of at least 50% of adjusted EBITDA, if not higher, based on the working capital trajectory that we have.

Operator

And your next question comes from Maheep Mandloi with Mizuho.

Speaker 14

I'll keep it brief. Can you discuss the growth of the Premier PV or eBOS business? What are your expectations for 2026? Also, what are your views on OEMs entering that market and how do you assess the competition there?

Speaker 2

Yes, I'll take the first part of it. I think we are investing in that business with increasing manufacturing capacity. So it's sort of underpins our confidence that that's a sector where we can deploy the manufacture that product for our own use as well as for our clients, and it's a profitable segment. I'll let Ken maybe give a little bit of color on the...

Yes. On the growth, honestly, we ran pretty close to capacity during '25. We expect to be at capacity during '26. That's the reason we previously talked about the investment that we're making in '26 in order to expand capacity. So from '25 to '26, sequentially, we're going to be relatively flat. It's not going to be until '27 that we're going to see the next phase of growth in our eBOS solution as that expansion comes online, most likely in Q4 of '26.

Operator

Thank you. And that concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn it back to Koti Vadlamudi for closing remarks.

Speaker 2

Thank you, operator. I want to again congratulate our employees who contributed to an outstanding year in 2025. It's the more than 20,000 men and women of Primoris that enable us to do what we do. Their focus on safety, operational and financial performance are the reasons for our success, and I look forward to their continuing contributions in 2026 and beyond. Thank you to those who joined us today. We appreciate your time and interest in Primoris, and we look forward to updating you on the business next quarter. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.