Tg Therapeutics, Inc. Q2 FY2024 Earnings Call
Tg Therapeutics, Inc. (TGTX)
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Auto-generated speakersGreetings. Welcome to TG Therapeutics’ Conference Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. Please note this conference is being recorded. I'll now turn the conference over to Jenna Bosco. Jenna, you may begin.
Thank you. Welcome, everyone, and thanks for joining us this morning. I'm Jenna Bosco and with me today to discuss the second quarter 2024 financial results are Michael Weiss, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Adam Waldman, our Chief Commercialization Officer; and Sean Power, our Chief Financial Officer. Following our Safe Harbor statement, Mike will provide an overview of our recent corporate development, Adam will share an update on our commercialization efforts and Sean will give an overview of our financial results before turning the call over to the operator to begin the Q&A session. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that we will be making forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements include statements about our anticipated future operating and financial performance, including sales performance, projected regulatory or clinical milestones, revenue guidance, development plans and expectations for our marketed products. TG cautions that these forward-looking statements are subject to risks that may cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated. Factors that may affect TG Therapeutics operations include various risk factors that can be found in our SEC filings. In addition, any forward-looking statements made on this call represent our views only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any later date. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. This conference call is being recorded for audio rebroadcast on TG's website, where it will be available for the next 30 days. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Mike Weiss, our CEO.
Thank you, Jenna, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to report that we had another quarter of outperformance across all aspects of our business, marked by the continued successful launch of our flagship drug, BRIUMVI, which was approved about 18 months ago for patients with relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis. The market response has been overwhelmingly positive and our sales performance has exceeded our initial projections. Let me start by highlighting some key achievements for the second quarter of 2024. First, on the commercial front, I'm pleased to share that we achieved $72.6 million in BRIUMVI net sales in the United States, exceeding our target of approximately $65 million, leading us to raise our full-year guidance to approximately $290 million to $300 million. That's up from $270 million to $290 million from last quarter, which was already raised from our preliminary guidance of $220 million to $260 million provided at the beginning of the year. Our commercial team has done an outstanding job in executing our launch strategy, resulting in strong initial adoption. This early success reinforces our confidence in BRIUMVI's long-term potential to reach our goal of becoming the leading treatment for relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis on a dynamic market share basis. On the R&D front, we also had a very productive quarter. While commercialization of BRIUMVI remains our core focus, we continue to explore ways to improve upon the delivery of BRIUMVI, explore potentially new indications for BRIUMVI and advance our newly acquired allogeneic off-the-shelf CD19 CAR T for autoimmune diseases. At the same time, we continue to evaluate opportunities to expand our pipeline. Specifically, some R&D highlights for the quarter included our ENHANCE study, which is evaluating ways to streamline the switch to BRIUMVI from other anti-CD20 therapies, continuing its robust enrollment. We were also able to present preliminary data from the study at the ACTRIMS conference showing that patients can safely be transitioned from other anti-CD20 to BRIUMVI without the need for the first dose of 150 milligrams over four hours in those patients that enter the study with low B-cell counts. We will approach sharing additional data from the ENHANCE trial in the coming months. Another highlight was that we treated our first MS patients with subcutaneous BRIUMVI in a newly launched Phase 1 study to assess bioequivalence of subcutaneous versus IV BRIUMVI. This was a high priority for the team and I'm proud of their efforts to get this study initiated quickly. As mentioned in the past, we believe the subcutaneous and IV CD20 markets are distinct and believe this could represent a significant additional opportunity for the BRIUMVI franchise. We believe we'll be in a position to share data from this study early next year and we are still targeting starting a pivotal trial for subcutaneous BRIUMVI by mid-2025. Finally, related to another high priority R&D program, we're excited to report that the U.S. FDA has cleared our investigational new drug application or IND for azer-cel, an off-the-shelf allogeneic CD19 CAR T-cell therapy for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. As a reminder, earlier this year, we entered into a partnership with Precision BioSciences to acquire a worldwide license to azer-cel for indications outside of cancer. With an active IND now in hand, we believe we are on track to launch Phase 1 in autoimmune diseases initially in patients with progressive MS by the end of this year. Next, I would like to highlight our financial position and discuss the share repurchase program we announced this morning. The strong launch of BRIUMVI has positively impacted our financial results, including leading to our first operationally cash flow positive quarter. Sean Power, our CFO will then shortly discuss our financial performance in more detail, but I wanted to touch on our newly established five-year $250 million credit facility with Healthcare Royalty and Blue Owl Capital. The proceeds will first be used to repay, essentially refinance our approximately $107 million of indebtedness and accrued interest owed to Hercules Capital Partners, which was set to mature in tranches from mid-2025 to January 2026. Another $100 million of proceeds has been allocated to fund up to $100 million share repurchase plan, which was recently authorized by our Board of Directors. The remainder will simply be added to working capital providing us with additional operational flexibility. We've been talking about the potential for share buybacks publicly and we are excited to establish this credit facility which allows us to accelerate our ability to repurchase shares. We see TG as a growth story, setting up for possible significant cash flows in the future, and we're committed to sharing that value with our shareholders. This repurchase program is just the first step in that process. Importantly, this new credit facility enables us to repurchase shares without utilizing our current cash, which is dedicated to continuing to build out our commercial infrastructure and growing our marketing efforts, including growing our direct-to-patient initiatives, and finally investing in our R&D programs. In closing, I want to thank the entire TG team for their dedication and hard work in making this quarter a success. We're excited about the positive impact we're making in patients' lives and the value we're creating for our shareholders. With that, I'll hand the call over to Adam Waldman, our Chief Commercialization Officer to walk you through our commercial performance in more detail. Adam, go ahead please.
Thank you, Mike, and good morning everyone. I'm thrilled to share our commercial progress for the second quarter of 2024. Building on the momentum from the first quarter, we have once again delivered strong performance across all key metrics, continuing our commitment to bringing BRIUMVI to patients with relapsing forms of MS. As Mike mentioned, we achieved second quarter net sales of $72.6 million, exceeding our target of $65 million, and reflecting approximately 45% growth quarter-over-quarter and 350% growth from the same quarter last year. We saw strong growth in patient enrollments with over 1,400 new patient scripts processed through the TG hub, marking a 12% increase from the previous quarter. We have now had approximately 5,850 new patient prescriptions written to our hub across 525 centers from over 950 prescribers launched to date. We are very pleased with the rate of adoption, but remember that since not all new prescriptions go to our TG hub, these numbers underestimate the total new patient scripts for BRIUMVI. For the second quarter, we estimate that the hub captured only about 80% to 85% of total new scripts, and as more and more academic centers and independent infusion centers adopt BRIUMVI, this hub capture rate could go down further as these types of centers are less likely to utilize our TG hub services. BRIUMVI continues to gain share in a large and rapidly growing anti-CD20 market in the RMS. Strong share growth and patient adherence is leading to significant revenue growth for the CD20 class overall year-over-year. The class now represents an approximately $2 billion quarterly revenue opportunity in the U.S., with IV therapies capturing approximately 70% of that. We would expect that the class will continue to grow going forward and BRIUMVI will continue to grow within it. We have seen our prescriber base continue to expand, adding approximately 150 new prescribers and over 70 new accounts in quarter two. Many of these new prescribers are coming from leading academic centers further establishing BRIUMVI's presence in the MS treatment landscape. Some have also started to come from the VA. As previously announced, we successfully expanded our market reach by securing a contract with the Department of Veteran Affairs, making BRIUMVI the preferred anti-CD20 treatment for relapsing forms of MS among veterans. This strategic partnership, which went into effect on June 17, not only broadens our patient base but also reinforces BRIUMVI's value proposition. We believe this partnership creates access not only to a new group of patients but also treating physicians that in many cases have dual appointments at the VA and in academia. Overall, we continue to see strong new patient accumulations reflecting our effective commercial strategies and operational excellence. We believe our strategic investments in field force expansion and patient marketing initiatives are yielding high returns, contributing to our overall growth trajectory. Patient access to BRIUMVI remains our top priority. Our comprehensive patient support programs have been instrumental in assisting patients with accessing BRIUMVI and working to ensure they receive the treatment they need. We have received very positive feedback from both patients and healthcare providers about the support and resources available to get patients started on therapy, and our patient adherence at week 24 remains strong. The diversity of patient types being treated with BRIUMVI remains consistent. We continue to see a balanced mix of patients who are treatment naive, those switching from non-CD20 therapies and those switching from other CD20 therapies. This broad adoption is a testament to BRIUMVI's compelling clinical profile and its differentiation in the marketplace. Looking ahead, we are optimistic about the continued growth and potential of BRIUMVI. Based on current trends in both new patient accumulations and persistence, we are raising our full-year guidance from $270 million to $290 million to $290 million and $300 million for the year. We expect the quarters to continue to build, and have considered the seasonality we saw last year in Q3. We therefore would expect more modest growth from Q2 to Q3, with stronger growth from Q3 to Q4. In conclusion, I want to extend my gratitude to our dedicated team for their relentless effort in driving the success of BRIUMVI. Their hard work and commitment has been crucial in achieving these remarkable results. I also want to thank the healthcare providers and patients for their trust in TG Therapeutics. Together, we're making significant strides in improving outcomes for individuals living with MS. We're excited about the future and remain focused on our mission to bring BRIUMVI to more patients, helping them live better lives. Thank you. And with that, I'll hand the call over to Sean Power, our CFO. Sean?
Thank you, Adam, and thanks everyone for joining us. Earlier this morning, we reported our detailed second quarter 2024 financial results, which can be viewed on the Investors and Media section of our website. Before I get into the results for the quarter, I'd like to begin by briefly discussing an accounting matter we described in 8-K filed earlier this morning. During our second quarter review, we identified an error that was deemed to be immaterial related to the expense recognition of a single restricted stock grant from 2021. This error was isolated to 2021 and 2022 and does not impact results of operations in any other or subsequent period. Although the error was determined to be immaterial to all relevant financial statements, it was determined that this represented material weakness in the company's internal control over financial reporting related to controls around non-routine stock awards, which will require some disclosure in our 10-Q this quarter and in an amendment to our 2023 10-K that will be filed later this week. We’re already in the process of updating our internal controls relative to these equity grants and expect the material weakness will be fully remediated before December 31 of this year. Now let's turn to the financial results for the quarter. We are pleased to report that we were both cash flow positive and generated net income in the second quarter of '24. We ended the quarter with approximately $217 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investment securities, up $7 million from Q1 and flat from year-end. This was, of course, made possible by the strong quarter of BRIUMVI with $72.6 million of U.S. BRIUMVI net product revenue, which is up more than 350% over the comparable quarter in '23. Our OpEx excluding non-cash items during the second quarter came in below guided ranges at approximately $47 million, roughly in line with Q1 '24 when excluding the one-time charges seen during Q1 2024. Our OpEx for the first six months of 2024 is approximately $105 million. We're averaging just over $50 million per quarter, again, below our guided range. As discussed briefly earlier, our GAAP net income for the three months ended was $6.9 million or $0.04 per diluted share. When excluding non-cash items, net income for the period was approximately $16.4 million. Finally, I'll close by touching briefly on today's announcement of a new $250 million debt facility with Healthcare Royalty and Blue Owl Capital. We were pleased to be able to refinance our existing debt to a facility with a longer-term duration and attractive financial terms. As Mike discussed, this will provide us with sufficient resources to execute on our share repurchase program also announced today as well as continue to invest in the BRIUMVI commercial opportunity. With that, I will now turn the call back over to the conference operator to begin the Q&A.
Our first question comes from Roger Song with Jefferies.
Congrats for the strong quarter. Maybe the first one, Mike if you can comment on the current dynamic market share. As we recall, you have been saying you are getting around 10%. Just curious about this quarter and then also what's the near-term goal for the dynamic market share, understanding you want to become the number one dynamic market share in the future?
Yes, of course, our goal is to get to that number one position. We're working hard at it. We've got to have goals, so we're going to keep driving at it. Yes, I mean, look, with 1,400 out of 10,000, we're using approximate numbers but we assume again about 10,000 patients will start a new therapy, so that's the dynamic share per quarter. If you had 1,400 enrollments into the Hub, which as Adam said, probably represents about 80% to 85% of the total prescriptions. We are tracking toward sort of that 15%-ish range, give or take but it's not fully baked. But, yes, I think we're doing great. The team is out there hustling. They're working hard, the drug is performing well and we're going to continue to push toward our goal.
And then in terms of the allo CD19 CAR, your first indication of progressive MS. Just biologically, can you comment on how you think about the CD19 versus CD20 for this particular sub-population of the MS? And then, also when you start the trial, what are the targeted population for the progressive MS, if you're targeting certain severity or any baseline characteristics you want to do the initial study?
I mean CD20 versus CD19, I don't know that there's a huge difference in MS specifically. I mean, CD19 has a broader coverage in pre-B-cells going to short-lived plasma cells, which has some advantages in some areas, potentially some disadvantages in others. And that might be disadvantageous in MS if you were constantly treating these patients. Given that we think this will be a one-time treatment, or if it's not one-time, it'll be separated by a significant amount of time. I think the CD19 is quite a good approach for MS. And again, the goal for this treatment would be to have a very deep and robust B-cell depletion across tissues within the systemic system. But of course, in the central nervous system that would create potentially best-in-class treatment. And then you release and you hopefully let the B-cells come back. Hopefully, they're reset to be non-immunogenic B-cells and that would be ideal. And of course, you'd be able to then leave long gaps, potentially use it as a one-time treatment or very long gaps between treatment. So I think generally speaking, CD20 probably if you're going to be repeating treatments, probably CD20 is a little bit better for MS. If you're looking at something that has a one-time treatment, CD19 may have some advantages in that case. You had a second part to that question, Roger, which of course I lost myself in the answer, but is there more to that question?
Just curious about the progressive MS, any specific baseline population or baseline patient characteristics you want to target in your initial clinical trial?
Not really. No. I mean, I think we're open to all progressive patients, so that is definitely the unmet medical need in MS right now. So we're excited to get into those patients. So it could be primary progressive, it could be secondary progressive, give you secondary progressive that are inactive secondary progressive that are active. We're sort of agnostic to that group. We just want to make sure we’re hitting progressive patients and hopefully, like I said, deep tissue penetration and CNS penetration would be great for that disease.
The next question is from the line of Matt Kaplan with Ladenburg Thalmann.
Congrats on the quarterly results strong results. I guess a few questions. First on the pipeline. You mentioned that you started the subcutaneous program. Can you give us a little bit more sense in terms of the potential profile of your subcutaneous from a frequency and delivery point of view?
There is one subcutaneous on the market. It's currently dosed once per month and I'd say relatively elegant auto-injector format. But it still needs to be taken once a month and you still have to deal with getting that drug to the patient once a month. So there's definitely logistical issues that can arise. The other that is not yet in the market but potentially could be here in September is a subcutaneous version of Ocrevus. That one is a bit more clunky. You need to either have it pushed over 10 to 15 minutes by a healthcare provider or used with a pump format where they attach a pump, but it will cause some bruising, some swelling, some reactions, so I think that's a bit more clunky than the elegance of a subcutaneous auto-injector. Our goal is to find ourselves somewhere in the middle, something that's less frequent than and the subcutaneous Ocrevus will be every six months if it's approved. The goal is to have something that's less frequently than once a month and more elegant than large volume subcutaneous that is seen with Ocrevus. Yes, I mean, look, we think the elegance of subcutaneous auto-injectors is the gold standard and we'd like to get ourselves there and we'd just like it to be less frequently than once a month.
In your prepared remarks, you mentioned your increased guidance and potential seasonality between the second and third quarters compared to the third and fourth. Can you elaborate on this? Additionally, congratulations on achieving profitability in your first quarter from your core business. Should we anticipate this level of profitability moving forward?
Adam, you want to take that seasonality question and then I'll come back to the profitability question?
Sure, yes. Historically, we have seen the MS market does tend to slow down a touch in the summer months. You have both patients and physicians taking vacations. So you have seen that historically and we saw it last year. So we would expect to see it this year. You also have the added with this year being a little bit unique in the ECTRIMS, the ECTRIMS conference has moved into quarter three versus quarter four last year. And we did see some softening around ECTRIMS last year with a lot of physicians from the U.S. attending that conference. So those two things we think will contribute to the guidance that we provided. But overall, we're very confident, obviously in the long-term. We've raised our full year guidance and that's just more of a seasonality that you mentioned.
And then on the profitability side, I'll take a crack and Sean's here to help and correct me if I get this wrong. But I think on an operating basis, we should maintain profitability going forward. Again, those are impacted on a GAAP basis that will be impacted or net income will be impacted by things like non-cash comp. Cash flow profitability will be impacted by things like inventory buildup. So we're in that sort of fringe area where some of those things will affect. But I assume as we get further into the year, we'll get closer and closer to both, regardless of whether we're buying inventory or regardless of the non-cash stuff, we'll maintain both positive net income and cash flow. But certainly, on an operational basis, as you can see, the expenses, as Sean mentioned are even lower than expected. We're trying to spend it. We've added to our team. We're increasing our marketing budget. We're continuing to do that. But certainly, we don't expect that the expenses could outpace the revenue growth at this point. Sean, anything to add on top of that?
No, I think you nailed it, Mike. I think that's perfect.
Our next questions come from the line of Michael DiFiore with Evercore ISI.
Congrats on such a strong quarter. A few questions from me. Number one, like how do you foresee the initial launch of subcutaneous Ocrevus impacting account penetration for the balance of the year? I mean, you've obviously increased guidance, but I was wondering if you're hearing anything from the field that may have helped boost your outlook in this regard? And I have two follow-ups.
Sure. Adam, you want to go ahead and talk a little about what we're expecting from the launch of subcutaneous Ocrevus?
Sure. Our teams are obviously prepped and ready for the launch of the product extension for Ocrevus. But honestly, we haven't detected a lot of enthusiasm for this product with our customer base. We've heard concerns around complex administration, nurse training required, potential side effect profile. So our interpretation today is we don't think it will have a significant impact in the U.S. market, but that's today we sit here, and that's our view from talking to many, many customers.
Second question is just any update on gross-to-net dynamics in Q2 and the outlook for the balance of the year, as well as if you could comment on any inventory dynamics in Q2?
Gross-to-net was similar to previous quarters and no material change, and in inventory nothing to note, nothing that was unexpected.
My final question too, any update on the EU launch? I mean any feedback from large academic centers there? And have you noticed any notable differences compared to the initial rollout of BRIUMVI in the U.S.?
So as you know, Mike, they launched it in Germany. We're still preparing for the launch, waiting for reimbursement in several other countries, but the feedback has been very positive. They are gaining momentum, both in the academic centers but also interestingly in the community centers as well. They're getting feedback that the one-hour infusion is particularly attractive in those centers from an efficiency standpoint. So overall, it's been going well. As far as the comparison to the U.S. launch, I think similar in that there is good uptake and enthusiasm for the product profile, and we'll see how they continue to go there, and we're looking forward to seeing more countries launch in later this year or early next year.
Our next questions are from the line of Eric Joseph with JPMorgan.
Congrats on the great quarter. I guess just first on the updated guidance, what is that anticipate in terms of pull through via the VA contract? I guess any sort of range you can kind of put around that. And then I'm also curious to know what kind of incremental visibility you had this quarter on inter CD20 switching to BRIUMVI. How much switches contributed to BRIUMVI outtake? And also where you think that might go with additional data from the enhanced trial? And then secondly Mike, you kind of commented on sort of additional expenditure to support the launch here. I guess how should we be thinking about sort of the build and SG&A of the next couple of quarters? And I guess ultimately looking long-term, I guess, how should we think about sort of the commercial margin, the profitability of the BRIUMVI franchise?
The three-part question, Eric. Adam, if you want to start with the updated guidance and how it may be impacted by the VA?
The guidance accounts for the VA, but I would say that the VA, as we mentioned in the previous call, will not have a significant impact in 2024. We are in the early stages of the VA launch, and it's been about a month since the contract began. Currently, I would estimate that around 10% to 15% of the VA centers of excellence have started using BRIUMVI. The contract specifically pertains to new patients, so while our guidance includes it, it is not a major factor in the overall projections. Regarding your second question about switches from CD20, these have remained steady from quarter to quarter, and we've observed a solid number of our patient population transitioning from CD20. We anticipate that with more data from the enhanced trial, it will become easier to switch patients. Many patients experience treatment gaps and tolerability issues with other CD20 therapies, which makes this an appealing market. It has been encouraging to see that the percentage of patients switching from CD20 has remained consistent since the launch. I don’t recall the third part of your question.
I've got that one. That one was directed at me. So the question was about the launch build in SG&A and where we see that heading long-term. When we started the launch, we had a focused strategy and sized the team accordingly. We always intended to grow the team and reinvest revenues to support that growth. The SG&A and total OpEx for this year of $250 million includes an increase in team size throughout the year. Since the launch, we've nearly doubled our core field teams and continue to grow. I receive requests for new field hires almost daily. That growth is included in the OpEx figure, which is around $250 million. We have been slightly below that so far this year, but we still anticipate sticking with approximately $250 million in OpEx for the year. Looking at next year, I’m confident our targeted OpEx will rise incrementally as the team continues to expand. We're also increasing our marketing budget, specifically focusing on clinician and HCP awareness through field-based efforts, which we plan to maintain as we grow. We've already stepped up our online direct-to-patient marketing within this year's budget, and we will continue to enhance that next year. Long-term, I see our team eventually reaching a cap, at which point the marketing budget will stabilize at an appropriate level. My hope and expectation are that our spending in OpEx and SG&A will be measured and incremental, while revenue should grow significantly each year. This will create a beneficial accumulation effect as we aim to increase our market share and new starts. All of this is why I mentioned earlier that I foresee significant cash flows moving forward. Long-term, I believe our margins will be strong. I've seen some leading biotech companies maintain impressive operating margins, and I think we could position ourselves well in terms of OpEx relative to revenue.
The next question is from the line of Mayank Mamtani with B. Riley Securities.
Congrats on a solid quarter and thanks for taking a question. So, quick two-part on commercial metrics. Adam, if you could update on the persistence rate you're seeing and if you guys can qualitatively talk to an year-end market share target be it within new to class or intra-class sort of switch segments and then I have a quick follow-up.
The persistence rate at week 24 remains strong and aligns with our expectations. We anticipated it would be in the high 80s, and that’s what we observed with Ocrevus, placing us well within that range. Regarding market share, I won’t specify a target for the end of the year. I want to emphasize what Mike mentioned earlier; we are committed to increasing the number of prescribers and growing within a expanding market. We are seeing positive traction, and our focus remains on this. Our aim is to become the most prescribed MS therapy in terms of dynamic share.
And then at ACTRIMS, I see you're presenting an update to ENHANCE study results. Maybe just talk to what's new and incremental there and what sort of the healthcare provider feedback to the data you generated to date? Also, I noticed there is a collaborative Phase 3 late breaker, GEMINI and Hercules program data coming also at ACTRIMS. We would love to hear your latest thoughts on how you're thinking the BTK drug class impacts your sort of long-range plan recognizing the results have been relatively mixed recently?
We cannot discuss the ACTRIMS notifications and the abstracts since they have not been released yet. However, I can address your second question regarding the HCP feedback on the results we've previously shared. The feedback has been very positive. People seem to believe that if they have a CD20 patient who is already notably depleted of B-cells and facing other challenges such as treatment gaps or relapses, they do not see the necessity to administer the 150 milligram dose first. This dose serves more as a debulking measure to lower the B-cells before providing a complete dose of 450 milligrams two weeks later within one hour. Overall, I think there's satisfaction in this approach and no surprise that transitioning those patients safely is possible. This has been a positive development so far, and we aim to share more data from that trial in the upcoming months. Regarding BTK, most people likely believe that regardless of whether one or more of the BTKs are successful in relapsing forms of MS, they will probably have an inferior profile compared to CD20s. I don't think anyone expects that BTKs in relapsing MS will prove to be more effective, more convenient, or cause fewer side effects than CD20s at this time. This seems to be a general consensus as long as the studies in relapsing MS are successful. We have observed some failures and toxicities. We will wait to see more data, but overall, there seems to be low optimism for these drugs in relapsing MS. Conversely, there is excitement regarding the potential of these drugs in progressive forms of MS. If they can work in that area, it would be exceptional. We are focusing on CD19 in progressive MS as this represents an unmet medical need that is currently poorly treated. There is both enthusiasm for the potential of these therapies and some skepticism about their effectiveness. Nevertheless, when there is an unmet medical need, there is typically a lot of enthusiasm around the possibilities. Ultimately, it would be fantastic for patients if these drugs prove effective in progressive MS, while we are not particularly concerned about their role in relapsing forms.
Our next questions are from the line of Prakhar Agrawal with Cantor Fitzgerald.
Congrats on the quarter. So following up on the subcutaneous uptake, based on your conversations on the field, do you expect the uptake to be similar or different between academic and community centers? And for the thousand or so physicians who have prescribed BRIUMVI, do you know whether the split of their IV versus subcutaneous CD20 is similar or different than the overall market? And then I had a follow-up.
Adam, do you want to start on the first one?
Yes. The first question is about where we believe the subcutaneous uptake will be. Right now, we can refer to Roche's guidance, which suggests that it will be in areas lacking IV infrastructure. It's challenging for us to specify where this will be adopted. I don't have a clear answer. As I mentioned previously, we don't see much overall enthusiasm for the product, so it's difficult to determine that. Could you please repeat the second part of your question regarding IV versus subcutaneous? I want to ensure I address it correctly.
Yes. For the thousand physicians who have prescribed BRIUMVI so far, what's their share of IV versus subcutaneous CD20?
Prakhar, I don't know that but we are focused on prescribers that have significant IV share. So I don't know the exact answer to your question, but I would guess that our prescribers have a higher IV share than subcutaneous.
And just as a follow-up on BRIUMVI uptake and maybe mixed by academic and community centers, if you can provide more details around the uptake by these segments and maybe which segments are seeing the most growth right now for BRIUMVI and which segments are starting to moderate.
As we've said in previous calls, we've seen the initial uptake was in the private practices as academic centers took longer from a formulary perspective and logistics. But we've seen significant growth in all segments. And particularly in the academic centers, we continue recently in the last two quarters to add to see more and more ads from a prescriber perspective within the hospital segment. In Q2, the BRIUMVI hospital segment saw its highest ever quarter-over-quarter growth in terms of absolute vials. And now the hospital segment is the largest segment of our business today. But we're still seeing growth in both segments. And I think that's a testament to the profile of the drug and the success that we're seeing.
Our next question is in the line of Ed White with H.C. Wainwright.
Congratulations on a great quarter. So I just wanted to come back to the question on the VA contract. Adam had mentioned that it's not going to be really material in 2024. I was just wondering if you can give us your thoughts on the opportunity it represents in 2025 and beyond.
Sure, Ed. I understand. What we mentioned is that the contract is for new patients and that it will grow over time. The overall estimated value of the contract is around $187 million for a five-year period. We are determined to capture every new patient that is available and will monitor its growth. Compared to our overall business, we don't anticipate it being a large percentage. However, there are many physicians in the VA who also work in academia, and we hope that will create a positive influence in the academic setting and enhance the overall profile and value proposition of BRIUMVI.
And Adam, as the size of that business grows over the next couple of years, is there any impact to gross-to-net?
Sure. There will be an impact to gross-to-net, given that it's public what we offered the drug at a discount, so that will affect the gross-to-net.
And perhaps my last question is just on the share repurchase program. Do you have any timelines for that? When are you going to start, and what are your expectations for how long the program will continue to reach the $100 million?
So, we expect to get started soon. I think we'll be measured in how we do it, so it will be open market purchases, sort of like, I think, a style of plan. And there is no fixed duration of time in which we will spend the $100 million in the repurchase. We'll probably build in some share price targets, so we can buy more at different levels. So, yes, I think we're going to just think about it and try to buy back as many shares as we can with the money we have for the moment. Obviously, we expect that over time we'll get to reload and buy more shares, as the revenues and cash flow continue. So, I think for the moment, we're going to just start the buying as soon as we can and we'll see how it goes.
Our final question is from the line of Corinne Jenkins with Goldman Sachs.
This is Palak on for Corinne. Just one question for us here. You touched upon seasonality for the business into the second half of the year, but could you also highlight where you see room for potential upside to your revenue guidance?
Adam, you want to take that one?
Yes, for sure. Yes, seasonality was, as I mentioned, was limited to Q3. As I mentioned, that historically affects the entire MS market, and probably disproportionately affects IV therapies just given vacation and so on and so forth. As we've noted, we've raised the full-year guidance for the year, which shows that we're confident in the overall growth story here. I think upside would be continued growth and pick up both on the new patient side and as patients come back. We're going to start seeing the repeat prescriptions continue to grow as new patients continue to grow, and if that goes faster than we would expect, I think there's certainly potential upside.
Thank you. We've reached the end of the question-and-answer session. I'll now turn the call over to Michael Weiss for closing remarks.
Thank you. And thanks everyone again for joining us on today's call. We look forward to continuing the positive momentum into the second half of 2024. As discussed today, we'll continue to be focused on several key priorities. First, expanding BRIUMVI's reach to ensure all eligible patients can benefit from this innovative medicine. That includes building out our commercial footprint and increasing our spending on marketing efforts. Next, advancing our BRIUMVI expansion initiatives through our subcutaneous development, our enhanced switch study and exploring new indications for BRIUMVI. Finally, commencing our Phase 1 for azer-cell and progressive MS as well as looking at opportunities to expand our pipeline. With that, I'd like to close by thanking the patients and clinicians that put their trust in TG and BRIUMVI and our loyal shareholders for their support and once again the whole TG team for making it happen. Have a nice day.
This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.