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Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Trinzio fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial results conference call. We welcome the Trinzio management team, Frank Bozich, President and CEO, David Stacey, Executive Vice President and CFO, and B. Van Kessel, Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance and Investor Relations. Today's conference call will include brief remarks by the management team, followed by a question and answer session. the company distributed its press release along with its presentation slides at close of market wednesday february 12th these documents are posted on the company's investor relations website and furnished on a form 8k filed with the security and exchange commission if anybody should require operator assistance during the call please press star then zero on your telephone i'll now hand call over to b van kessel thank you jl and good morning everyone at this time all participants are in listen only mode after our brief remarks instructions will follow to participate in the
question and answer session our disclosure rules and cautionary notes on forward-looking statements are noted on slide two during this presentation we may make certain forward-looking statements including issuing guidance and describing our future expectations. We must caution you that actual results could differ materially from what is discussed, described, or implied in these statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ include but are not limited to the risk factors set forth in item 1A of our annual report on form 10K or in our other filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company undertakes no obligation to update or revise its forward-looking statements. Today's presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measurements. A reconciliation of these measurements to corresponding GAAP measures is provided in our earnings release and in the appendix of our investor presentation. The replay of today's conference call and transcript will be archived on the company's investor relations website shortly following the conference call. The replay will be available until February 13, 2026. Now I would like to turn the call over to Frank Bojic.
Frank Bojic Thanks, Bea, and welcome to our year-end 2024 earnings call. Before we get into our financial results, I'd like to highlight some of our outstanding safety achievements as we've had one of the safest summers in the history of the company this past year I'm proud to announce that 19 production and recycling facilities all of our global R&D teams and two site service teams received a triple zero award which represents zero recordable injuries zero spills and zero process safety events for the entire year with an With an injury rate of just 0.3, we continue to operate in the top quartile of companies in the American Chemistry Council and outperform many of our peers. These results are a testament to the priority that we place on safety in everything that we do and are a reflection on the dedication that our people have to creating a safe work environment. Moving on to our operational results, this past year saw a continuation and in some cases cases a worsening of many of the market challenges that the chemical industry faced in 2023. Geopolitical uncertainty, elevated inflation, and relatively high interest rates deroded consumer confidence across the globe, which adversely affected our largest end markets of auto, building and construction, and most significantly in Europe and China. Despite these macroeconomic challenges, we were able to improve our full year-adjusted EBITDA by $50 million because of the self-help actions that we've taken over the past couple of years. Amid these challenging times, our focus has been on executing actions within our control and aligned toward transformation strategy as we wait for the macroeconomic environment to inevitably recover. These included exiting our unprofitable and energy-intensive styrene and virgin polycarbonate production operations, consolidating several of our PMMA sheet operations, and right-sizing the company and its support functions based on the new operating footprint. We also implemented new supply chain systems and processes that enabled a greater than 20% reduction in days of inventory to a level that can be sustained through the cycle. Finally, we took actions to extend our near-term debt maturity to 2028 and greatly improved our liquidity. All of these actions have resulted in more efficient and focused company. Compared to the first half of 2022, when we began these actions, our energy intensity has decreased by approximately 45 percent, our maintenance capex has decreased by more than 35 percent, and due to work process improvements and footprint reductions, we have reduced our total headcount by approximately 20 percent. These actions have allowed us to continue to make progress in our strategic initiatives and circular technologies. We continue to grow our recycled content containing product offerings with sales increasing 47% versus prior year and representing now 4% of the total company variable margin in 2024. Sales volumes to higher margin case applications continue to make up an increasing percentage of volumes in our latex binder segment, accounting for 11% of our total segment sales volumes and 18% of our total segment variable margin in 2024. And in our engineered material segment, PMMA resin sales and margins continue to show resilience as volumes increase 3% year over year, despite a very weak end market demand environment. We have also made significant advancements in our circular technologies. These include commissioning our polycarbonate dissolution pilot facility and opening our ABS dissolution pilot plant and our PMMA depolymerization demo facility in 2024. We anticipate scaling up the PC and PMMA technologies at our Roe Italy site and the PC dissolution technology at our Xinjiang China site to support the growing demand from our auto clients. Next, I want to spend a few moments discussing our recently announced agreement with DPAC Nitrite Limited. In November, we agreed to supply a polycarbonate license, as well as all proprietary virgin polycarbonate production equipment from our Stadt, Germany facility to DPAC for a combined total of $52 million. dollars while the economics of producing virgin polycarbonate at our strad facility have become unprofitable and led to our decision to exit that site our polycarbonate technology remains highly valued and the assets can still be utilized we view this agreement as mutually beneficial to both companies and see this as the initial steps of a strategic and collaborative partnership with DPAC. We also see India as a significant growth market where Trinzio currently has minimal exposure. We believe in a base case scenario of at least 7% compound annual demand growth through the end of the decade in our target end markets. Before I hand the call over to Dave, I'd like to make a few comments regarding our fourth quarter results. Poor business results were in line with our expectations as seasonally lower volumes and extended year-end shutdowns led to sequentially lower profitability. Falling raw material prices resulted in significant negative timing impacts in our polymer solution segment and at America's Styronix.
While this led to lower adjusted EBITDA than originally anticipated, the lower raw material prices led to lower working capital balances which contributed to the highest quarter free cash flow generation in over two years now i'd like to turn the call over to dave thanks frank before i get into fourth quarter results i'd like to spend a few minutes discussing our new reporting segments at the end of the third quarter we announced restructuring measures that included combining the management of our engineered materials, plastic solutions, and polystyrene businesses. As a result, we made two substitute changes to our reportable segments to be more representative of this new structure and how we intend to operate the businesses going forward. First, the automotive compounding business that was previously part of plastic solutions has been moved into engineered materials. This was a natural move since we already have a smaller compounding business and significant automotive exposure within engineered materials. The second change is that we're combining polystyrene with the two remaining businesses in plastic solutions, ABS and SAN, and are renaming the segment Polymer Solutions. I also want to highlight that in January, we closed on a transaction that increased our available liquidity by approximately $150 million and extended the maturity date of the $115 million of debt that was due in 2025 to 2028. Performing for this transaction, we ended 2024 with almost $500 million of available liquidity and no maturities until 2028. Moving on to financial results, fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA of $26 million was $6 million higher than prior year and included a $9 million unfavorable net timing impact primarily in plastic solutions as styrene prices fell throughout the quarter. Fourth quarter results were also negatively impacted by an additional $15 million of unfavorable net timing at America's styrenics due to falling raw material costs. Absent these headwinds, core business results were in line with expectation and improved versus prior year for each of our operating segments. Engineered materials saw the highest year-over-year improvement due to moderating input costs, improved PMMA pricing, and a 61% increase in volume sold into consumer electronics applications. Cash provided by operations during the quarter was $85 million, which resulted in free cash flow of $64 million. Now I'll turn the call back over to Frank.
Thanks, Dave. Looking ahead to 2025, we do not currently anticipate meaningful demand recovery in our major end markets. Geopolitics have negatively impacted our business over the past three years, and we look forward to the resolution of some of the worldwide conflicts that have disrupted global trade flows and decreased European competitiveness. With this in mind, I'd like to give a brief update on the sale process of our joint venture, America Styrenix. We, along with our partner, remain committed to sell IM-Style with a focus on maximizing value. to this end we expect an improved valuation environment later this year which would result in assigning later than originally anticipated we remain very confident that the sale process will be successful and will update the market once we have more clarity on timing we expect the first quarter of 2025 to be sequentially better than q4 following the pronounced seasonality and negative timing impacts that we experienced at year-end. We are seeing seasonally higher volumes to begin Q1, but still expect first quarter volumes to be lower year-over-year due to continued weakness in automotive and building and construction and markets and in paper applications in Asia. As a result, we expect Q1-adjusted EBITDA of $60 to $80 million, dollars, which includes a one-time $26 million contribution from the Polycarbonate Technology License Agreement to DPAC. I believe the actions we've taken over the past two years have positioned us well for an eventual market-end recovery, and the refinancing transaction, which we recently closed in January, give us ample runway to continue pursuing our strategy.
And now we're happy to take your questions thank you the floor is now open for questions if you have dialed in and would like to ask a question please press star 1 on your telephone keypad to raise your hand and join the queue if you would like to withdraw your questions simply press star 1 again if you are called upon to ask a question and are listening via loudspeaker on your device please pick up your handset and ensure that your phone is not on mute when asking your question your first question comes from the line of Frank Misch of fermium research your line is open hey good good morning folks I want to I want to follow up on slide 14 in terms of the cash spend that
you're expecting for 2025 you know standing at 390 million dollars Frank I believe or lower perhaps it was David last quarter was mentioning a number in the low 300s in terms of in terms of the spending I'm just curious as to where you're seeing the net cash expenditures pick up from what it was a few months ago.
Good morning, Frank. The only changes based on the last time we talked about this figure, which is admittedly higher than it was last year, is in working capital. I mean, predicting working capital, the $40 million outflow of working capital is a function of really two things. You know, volume over the course of the year, which, as Frank said, we're not baking into our forecast anything of significance there, but also raw material prices. So our working capital balance is, you know, at the end, you know, the working capital inflow or outflow is really a function of our forecast of raw material prices at the end of the year, which, look, admittedly, Frank, standing here on February 13th is not, you know, a little hard to predict. So that line item particularly is quite likely to change going forward. Cash taxes, a little bit higher than what they were last year. Also, Frank, last year I think was more like $20 million, and that's just a function of higher profitability. So those are the only changes.
Okay. I totally understand. And, you know, David, when you were talking about the negative timing impacts in 4Q, restraining profitability or restraining the EBITDA that was reported, you know, due to lower styrene monomer, of course, that cuts two ways because you guys are now merchant styrene monomer purchasers. So I'm curious as to how we should think about the benefits that I guess you're seeing in 1Q from the lower styrene pricing. How would you factor that in to the overall profitability?
Yeah, Frank, you can imagine that a lot of our pricing on our styrene-containing products are indexed on the styrene index price, and so it's generally a pass-through. Okay, gotcha, gotcha. okay so it's um all right uh understood and then i assume in terms of the delay on the amstai sale from the first half of this year to the second half of this year obviously you guys are operating uh hand in glove with cp chem correct yeah we're in close obviously we're in close cooperation with our joint venture partner and and again as i said we anticipate uh you know you know an improved result from amsty in a better uh valuation environment later this year gotcha thanks so much your next question comes from the line of matthew blair of tudor pickering
and holt and company your line is open uh thank you and good morning hopefully you can hear me okay um i had two questions on the q1 guidance uh first how much of an impact if any is embedded from rising European natural gas prices in the Q1 guide? And could you provide an update on any sort of hedges you might have for 2025? And then two, is there any assumption on net timing benefits in that Q1 guide?
So, yeah, that's a great question. So there will be, in Q1, a timing, a pricing lag due to natural gas price increases and those inputs into mainly EM that are based on natural gas prices. So we would expect, you know, that – or the current expectation is that, you know, the quarterly pricing that we provided at the end of last year for Q1 to our customers, we wouldn't fully recover the input in cost increase from the natural gas prices. And that's mainly an EM-related issue.
So, Matthew, as it relates to hedging, look, we've obviously been monitoring this very closely. We have been putting in hedges generally for the short term in the first quarter. You know, obviously, I'm sure you've seen the news, or there's a lot of positive kind of speculation coming out of, you know, some resolution to the Ukraine situation. And a follow-on to that would be a potential reopening of supply from Russia to Europe with natural gas, which obviously I think would have a very deflationary effect on natural gas prices in Europe. So we do have some hedges in place for the first quarter this year. It's less than 50%. And, you know, obviously, you know, the near-term prices are really impacted more by the weather than anything else. But also, you know, looking longer term, we're watching the Ukraine situation closely. And, you know, a little bit reticent probably right now, given that, to put on any kind of long-term hedges of natural gas for Europe. I do also just, Matthew, just want to point out, I mean, due to, you know, we've exited our energy-intensive businesses in Europe, you know, to suit the two cyrene plants as well as polycarbonate. So the only real energy-intensive operation that we still have is MMA production in Italy. So our energy intensity has gone down considerably, you know, since the last time we went through, you know, it's about half of what it used to be. So the last time we went through this, or the last time we had an energy crisis in Europe, our exposure was 2x of what it is today.
That's helpful. Thank you. And my follow-up, it seems like one of the bright spots in the quarter was in engineered materials.
You mentioned the 61% increase in volumes into consumer electronics. do you do you have any more details here was this the result of like a new product launch and maybe a one-time benefit or you know do you think this is something more sustainable thank you yeah so um maybe just i think one of the big things year over year was that you had a very low base in 2023 by comparison so 23 was a low year in consumer electronics for many reasons in and consumer demand so one you're starting at a low point but i'm really excited about the work that the team has done during the course of late 23 and into 2024 to diversify our customer base so i would i i would generally say that our well this has been a really strong growth part of our business and um one of the biggest areas for recycled containing products uh where we're selling into the consumer electronics area we it was a fairly concentrated customer base you know and these would be the larger brand names in consumer electronics and we've done a very good job diversifying our sales into new customers uh last year and these are really bespoke products It's not, you know, we're custom formulating a product with up to 60% to 70% recycled content for specific applications. And so for that reason, we think these are really resilient sales. And again, the two big drivers are the year-over-year comparison as well as diversification of our customer base.
Great. Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Hassan Ahmed. of Alembic Global Advisors. Your line is open. Morning, Frank.
You know, a question around guidance. You know, you guys are guiding to, you know, call it midpoint of guidance, 70 million for Q1. And I understand, you know, there are some moving parts associated with that. But if I analyze that, that's, you know, call it 280 million.
I mean, I know of macro uncertainties and the like but how should we be thinking about uh 2025 look i mean we uh great question and you know for the reasons that you said you know we're not we're reluctant to try and predict the full year guide at this point but look we're very confident in continued positive earnings development in 2025 and the drivers are you know give you the buckets so what we announced with DPEC, so $26 million of EBITDA contribution from the licensing agreement. The SG&A reductions that we announced last year in restructuring will give a full-year benefit of $25 million. The PC asset closure and then the subsequent sourcing agreements with that, as well as the new business awards that we've received in qualifying new customers are similar in magnitude to those previous two areas. And then lastly, I would point out that we would expect a much more normalized earnings contribution or EBITDA contribution from Amstai this year. And, you know, you could do the math, but over the past four years, EBITDA contribution for Trinzio from our participation in AMSDA was $68 million and we would expect a contribution closer to that than the result we had last year so you know those are the big buckets of contribution excluding market the market you know whatever happens in the market and so um I would you know that's how I would think about it once you land your uh market assumptions on the underlying demand Very helpful, Frank.
And as a follow-up, we've seen a nice rebound in the engineered materials segment EBITDA margin-wise. Last quarter, it was 12% EBITDA margins. Now, it's 10%, which obviously, year on year, is a healthy sort of expansion. I mean, how are you now with, you know, all the moving parts and the changes we've seen in the macro, thinking about normalized earnings and normalized EBITDA margins in that segment?
Yeah, I mean, Hassan, you know, we've been, it's impossible for it. It's a new world, isn't it? I couldn't tell you what normal is. So what I can tell you is we're confident in our ability to show positive earnings momentum in the EM. I think we have a great portfolio. I mean, just as we talked about, you know, look at in last year's environment where we saw, I would say, generally in many of our end markets, some weakening in demand. We were able to grow PMMA resin 3% in volume. The, you know, fantastic story in the growth that we've seen in our engineered compounds that go into consumer electronics, it's over 60% growth. And then the other thing that I would point to is these same customers are demanding. There's significant pull from the market for recycled and circular solutions. and we believe we have a unique and leadership position in the recycling technology for ABS, PC, and PMMA that go into those end segments. And so, you know, those investments that we will continue to drive will give us continued momentum there. So I feel good about the work the team has done in EM and, you know, I think there's more to come. Very helpful. Thanks so much, Frank.
Your next question comes from a line of Lawrence Alexander of Jefferies. Your line is open.
So good morning. Three questions. Just one is on the circularity and recycling. Can you just give a sense for what your total size of your platform is in those products and how the margins compare with the balance of your business? And then can you touch on what you think the capex needs might be down the road, say over four or five years, if the recycling platforms are going to start to scale up?
So the volume of the recycled containing products for all of 2024, and I'm looking at B and Dave to keep me, I think it was 4% for the full year, but it was growing as the year progressed. So I think that in Q4, it actually got to 5% of our total volume. um the the sales of recycled containing products grew uh as i said over 40 percent last year so we're seeing relative to our ability to supply and source the material we see relatively unlimited demand from our end customers so the you know going to the CapEx this it's a really interesting and dynamic question on this but these are these investments are not significant they're either high single-digit or low double-digit million So these are modular investments that we would make where we could install those at our various downstream plants. And the investments, depending, you know, again, we're it's early days, but it's high single digit to low double digit million per module. OK. Oh, and then you asked about margin premium. We're seeing in each of the areas a sustainable offering or a circular offering in PC, ABS, and PMMA, as well as polystyrene in the multiple hundred dollar range, you know, are significant premiums over virgin. the virgin premiums or virgin margins.
And so is it fair to say that the payback on any of the modular investments would probably be like, you know, one and a half, two years?
Yeah, it's premature for me to lean into that one and give you a real view on that. But we're seeing very positive, preliminarily, we see that these would be very positive IRRs on these types of investments. And, you know, but again, it's early stages and we're in the process of preliminary engineering and we'll know more in the, by the second half of the year.
And then just lastly, could you just calibrate what you're hearing from your customers about further de-stalking or working capital efficiency initiatives and how much of that is baked into your outlook in terms of being sort of a fairly steady demand environment?
Yeah, so I would generally say that we think our value chains have gotten pretty tight. We think that we've done a great job along in partnership with our customers to take any slack out of the supply chains. and uh we haven't heard of any significant additional initiatives where people would be looking to take uh inventory levels down we haven't you know we haven't seen that and i i guess maybe this is the one data point that we are looking at um from a longer term you know our midterm demand standpoint is what is you know let's talk about building and construction and automotive you know since 2008 there's been a deficit in north america and europe in terms of new construction versus household formation and so there's massive pent-up demand there we think the value chains have largely you know they've become balanced and then in automotive while demand is weaker it's a consumer confidence issue it's not a inventory we don't see it as an inventory issue and in the medium term we see the age of it we watch the age of the car park and you know the data that I we just looked at this morning would tell us that in Europe the car park the auto fleet is over 12 years old which is historical historically highest level of age of the car park and in North America it's over 12 years which is one of the oldest fleets that I remember in my career so um yeah i'm not we don't see a big drive you know to destock yeah thank you your next question comes from the line of roger spitz of bank of america your line is open thank you very much uh first can you uh speak about the impact of of towers for instance how much do you sell to canada mexico and or china from directly from the usa Yeah. So on tariffs, we're thinking about tariffs in three dimensions. Okay. So dimension number one is, okay, what are we importing? What are our purchases from countries that could be subject to import tariffs? And we believe that impact will be negligible to us because the purchases are relatively small and in and the commodities that we're buying from those countries are in oversupply and so we have the ability to switch to avoid the tariff to switch our suppliers the second dimension is where do we sell our products from the U.S. production into countries where there could be retaliatory tariffs. And I would just say in general, by far most of the U.S. production is consumed in the U.S. Our exports from the U.S. to Canada and Mexico represent low single-digit percentages of our overall sales. And 80% of those are in the auto value chain and were highly specified into the tiers. So we don't necessarily believe that, you know, we will see an impact in terms of demand sitting here today if tariffs were imposed on those sales. And then the third bucket or the third dimension, which is unknowable at this point, is what would be that end market demand impact on imposition of significant tariffs. And, you know, there's a lot of uncertainty, and we just don't know at this juncture.
Thank you for that. And my other question, I'm looking at slide 12 of the deck. For instance, the AR securitization, you have 50 million left over of availability, excuse me.
Does that mean that, I guess it'll come out with the queue, but are you drawing 100 million under the AR securitization, or is there barring-based limitations here yeah hi Roger good morning it's Dave so there's a bar there's a borrowing base so that you know the amount we have to borrow against obviously the function of the receivables balance in the in the legal entities that participate in the program the receivables balance was quite low understandably at the end of q4 you know just because of the season does you know kind of seasonal seasonality of sales in the quarter so our borrowing we were able to so it's 150 million facility almost always going back in time we've had full availability based on the borrowing base it happened to be particularly low at the end of the year because of lower seasonal volumes but but also lower prices I talked about earlier the big drop in styling prices so we're at we had 125 million at the end of the quarter able to be borrowed and there was a $75 million drawn. I would expect that borrowing base will be higher in Q1.
Got it. Perfect. Thank you very much.
And your last question comes from the line of Alex Kelsey of Wells Fargo. Your line is open.
Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the question. A couple of follow-ups from, I think, what's been asked already. With regard to the EM segment, just now that there's some automotive components in there as well, The $27 million reported in Q4, how much of that was pure EM versus auto of the $27 million?
Alex, there was always a pretty significant automotive exposure in engineered materials. In fact, auto and building and construction are the largest end markets for what I would call legacy engineered materials. so a lot of PMMA resin applications. I don't have a number for it. We'll have to get it of the percentage, you know, the automotive compounding business that moved into engineering. We'll have to get that and give it to you offline. I just want to be clear.
The automotive compounding segment, not automotives in general, but okay, that's fine. we can follow up um another one on the license sale uh with your indian partner can you just remind us the duration of that agreement and then i guess the bigger question is you know if there is a expiration on that agreement to the extent that the you know license and technology is still valuable can you enter into a similar agreement again and then on the other question on on that partnership is you know frank i think you mentioned um you know the start of a strategic relationship with that partner can you just talk about what that means or anything else we should expect with them?
Yeah. So, no, thanks. That's a great question. Maybe let me give you a little color, a little more background on who DPAC nitrite is. DPAC is one of the largest Indian public companies in the chemical industry. They are the largest phenol acetone producer in India. And this is an attempt, you know, this is a move on their part to move downstream to forward integrate in these value chains because India is a net importer of polycarbonate. There is no domestic production as well. And so, you know, this, that's sort of their strategy. Their sales are over. they're a multi-billion dollar revenue company market cap of 4.5 billion dollars so they are a substantial company and and have a great presence and cost position in the value chains we participate so um you know it's india's in my career i've had a lot of operations in india it's it's a hard uh it's hard to get critical mass in india so partnerships are important. And so having a substantial company that you're partnered with that gives you access to the market is important. And like we said earlier, in our downstream formulated products, we would see a high single-digit compounded annual growth rate in our end markets for our solutions and you know it's a it's a big opportunity for us uh going forward so on the uh the license it's a perpetual license uh we believe our as i said in the script i we believe our polycarbonate technology is unique and one of the best technologies in the industry it just didn't in germany it was disadvantaged but for a number of reasons uh but elsewhere it is a significant value. And then we have the option to expand the capacity with DPAC as well as provide other licenses and other geographies.
It's very helpful. Two more for me, if I may. On 2025, I understand lots of moving pieces and you're reticent to offer a true guide out there. But if I just take, you know, the cleansing docs in the last transaction, 25 estimate of, you know, 300 to 350 EBITDA.
As we sit here today, knowing what we know and don't know about the market you know do you think that those are still reasonable goalposts for the year yeah i'm not we're not going to give guidance for the full year or even bracket it but what i would tell you because there's so much market uncertainty you know there's there's positives and negatives that are in development you know you can hope for last night you know uh development so it's it's i don't want to bracket where we would end up but i go back to the comments that i would make that i made, I think, for Hassan, you know, we're very confident in positive earnings momentum, and because a lot of the actions we've taken are well within our control, and those buckets are what we talked about with DPAC, the SG&A restructuring, the make versus buy decision in polycarbonate, and the closure in Shtad, as well as business wins. And then, again, a much more normalized earning contribution from Amstad. You know, that's a pretty positive, you know, those are positive benefits to this year.
Right. And last one, if I may, just the status of cost cuts, Frank or David, I think you mentioned 25 to be realized in 2025. Again, just looking at the old deck that was posted with the last transaction, it was noted there was 80 million of cost outs to be realized in 2025 Can you just help me sort of bridge those numbers or more simply just kind of remind us like where you guys stand in terms of total cost outs from the various closures and the corporate restructuring, how much has been realized to date and what we should expect in 25 and maybe into 26? Thank you.
Yeah, well, we'll have to go back to and try and, I don't, I'm not sure I could give you an answer to that question. What I'm very certain of is the incremental SG&A benefit from the actions that we announced late last year are $25 million. You know, the impact of polycarbonate, you know, is there we realize some of that there's an incremental benefit uh from some of that and and again it's different i'd have to we'll have to follow up with you to give you a complete analysis of that but what i would tell you is we've taken fixed costs down by well over a hundred million dollars over the past two years and we're and we're on track to deliver everything that we announced. So I don't know. I'm looking at Dave to answer that better than I did.
So Alex, look, the actions that we've taken, we will get the full year realization of savings in 2025, substantially. I mean, for the headcount reductions, the SG&A restructuring, that's $30 million. We got five last year. We'll get an incremental 25. So we'll get the full run rate of that this year. We'll also get the full realization of the polycarbonate savings. Obviously, the styrene stuff was done years earlier, so we're already seeing the full effect of that in 2025.
Thank you. We have time for one more question. It comes from the line of David Begleiter of Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.
Thank you. Just a couple of questions. Back to guidance, I'm sorry, but one more try. In Q1X, the polycarbonate agreement, if you look at that mid-40s EBITDA. The last two years, you've seen a progression of roughly $20 million, sequentially higher in Q2. Gets you to about mid-60s for Q2. Is that a good run rate? Is that a good proxy, at least directionally speaking, for Q2 versus Q1, perhaps mid-60s versus where we are right now?
Yeah, David, thanks for the question. Actually, Actually Q1 is somewhat more depressed than normal because it's been a slower start to the year than typical. And then I would also say that we have pricing lag in Q1 that's not immaterial, mainly in EM, because we've been providing quarterly pricing. We price the product to our end customers at the end of Q4. and again, it's very volatile, but a lot of the input costs into EM in Europe are based on natural gas price and the TTF has gone up and those related products that are based on TTF have gone up with them. So today, we see some pricing lag that would not be recurring after Q1. So I would I would say yes, I would agree with you Q2s and Q2s and Q3 will be an improvement over Q1, but I wouldn't compare it to prior year simply because we're seeing a more pronounced slow start to the year, and then we hit the pricing leg.
Understood. And just on polystyrene, are these assets core now to Trinzio?
No, we, you know, our polystyrene assets are great assets. They're actually, you know, we've done a great job managing those in the past couple of years to optimize the free cash flow generation of the assets. But, you know, we believe that other people would be investors, would invest in the growth of those assets. And we continue to field inbounds and work with potential buyers for those assets, but on an individual basis around the world. And there's nothing to report, but again, there's activity and interest. So we would continue to explore the possibility of selling those individual assets and are doing that.
And just one last thing on Amstai, is it fair to say the process, sales process has been halted? And if it has been halted, when was it halted?
It's not halted. You know, we're, as I said, we're working in conjunction with our partner. We, you know, our goal is to monetize our interest in Amstai, and we will continue to progress that, but we want to time our process to optimize value, you know, and, you know, so that just means a later marketing than we had originally anticipated.
Thank you.
With no further questions, that concludes our Q&A session. We thank you for your participation. This concludes today's conference call.
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