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Earnings call · FY2026 Q4
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Babcock International Group PLC FY26 full year re sults transcript 22 June
2026
David Lockwood, Babcock CEO
:
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Babcock Full Year FY 26 results. I'm David Lockwood, the CEO. We'll do the normal format. I'll do a brief intro. David will go through the numbers and then we have a special star turn from Harry who is going to replace me shortly, and then we'll do Q&A. So please pay attention to me and David while you wait with bated breath for Harry, because I'm sure that's what you really care about. So when we were rehearsing, we went through what are we trying to achieve with these results? And really it's to make people look through two things, which is the near term turbulence in the UK and the Type 31 and see the strong results of the company as i t moves into an even better position. So if you look at the underlying results, they're really good. I'll come onto a slide with those later. And we've reconfirmed the medium term guidance. That includes the cash guidance whilst absorbing the Type 31 charg e. We have really strong differentiated defence and nuclear capabilities. And when I come back after David's done the numbers and talk about the external drivers to our growth, I think you'll see a really tight fit between what we're capable of delivering and what the market wants. And that's come thro ugh with real strategic momentum. The opportunity set across everything we do is growing quite significantly. And the most important particularly for a business to government organi s ation is to ensure that you retain strong disciplined capital allocation to make sure that we never lose sight of our core responsibility to shareholders. So I thought we'd take Type 31 upfront so that we can then talk about the balance of the business, and David and I don't keep saying, "After Type 31," all the way through. So from a contract point of view, in the last 12 months, rework and productivity did not proceed as planned, particularly on outfit, which really only kicked off in anger in the financi year we're reporting. So particularly on rework, although the number of incidents they were the top end of the expected range, they weren't sort of out of range. The cost of rectification was higher than we thought.
al
So we've got a revised cost estimate that's involved, taking £ 140 million charge. Significant portion of that, we haven't split it, but it is an increase in contingency. So we have a very clear set of base operating assumptions to get the program back on track, but clearly we have to work through curves of improved p roductivity and reduced rework. So we have a contingency to cover that going slower than the base plan says. And as I said earlier, the cash impact is over the remaining life of the program and is absorbed within the medium term guidance. The program itsel f, however, is making progress. Ship one is now outfitting, as I've said. Ship two is floated off and is in the final top structural phase. Ship three, keel laying has taken place and block assembly is underway, and ship four has commenced. So the program itself continues to progress to deliver the capability the Navy needs. So when you look through that, this is the strong underlying performance I started with, which is organic revenue growth of 8% above our mid
David Mellors, Babcock CFO
:
Thank you, David. Good morning, everyone. As this is David's last set of results, I thought I'd take a minute to reflect on his Babcock career and I'll do it from a shareholder perspective because this is an investor meeting and I'm a shareholder, he's a s hareholder. So we'll do it from a shareholder perspective. So David joined in FY21 and when we did these results five years ago at the end of '21, the only topic of debate was whether we could survive without a rescue rights issue. The share price touched £1.99 and the market cap was about a billion pounds, so we were quite low down in the 250. And as the track record shows, if I can flick it on, there we go. As the track record shows, not only did he not take money from shareholders in a rescue in his time here, he's returned
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FY26 full year results transcript
or is returning half a billion to shareholders. And that's on top of a 400% increase in the market capital capitali the group. So huge value creation in the time.
s ation of
From a strength point of view, we were in quite a weak position five years ago. The balance sheet now's much stronger. So again, not just surviving, he's built a platform that's really solid for the future success of the group. And whilst doing all of that , he grew the group over 50% organically, increased the level of profitability and all at a high cash conversion. And that was all done in an ever - changing external environment. So it started off in l ockdown with lockdowns and semi lockdowns in different countries. We've had wars. We've had in the UK alone four prime ministers, at the moment, and four secretaries of state and six defence ministers, all of whom David's had to build relationships with. So from the outside, it's been an extremely impressive performance, but having had the privilege of being on the inside and seeing all the things every day he's had to deal with, particularly in the early years, I think he's made it look a lot easier than it really was. So from my point of view, it's been a really exceptional innings. So as a shareholder and on behalf of my fellow shareholders, and there's quite a lot of them here, I'd like to congratulate you on and thank you for what you've done for the group. And I think you deserve round of applause. Right, that's enough of that. Let's do the numbers. Okay, FY26 was a very positive year from a performance point of view, as these highlights show, meeting or beating expectations on all metrics. The majority of the underlying financials I'll present here exclude the Type 31 charge, and that's not because I'm ignoring it. David touched on it earlier. We spent time on it last month, happy to spen d more time on it, but I'd like to give the right amount of time on the rest of the group performance. So stepping through these quickly and before going into detail, organic revenue growth was 8%, operating profit margin improved again by 70 basis points to 8.2%. These first two delivered operating profit up 19% to £ 433 million pounds and all the above led to earnings per share up 20%. Cash conversion was 84% delivering free cash flow of £ 262 million pounds and on shareholder returns we completed the £ 200 million pound buyback just after the year
FY26 full year results transcript
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businesses, with good progress on all measures. Just a note on order intake and backlog first. The main reason why the backlog looks low is that we traded the final full year of the FMSP contract revenue in the year but only booked the six - month extension order. So apart from FMSP, nuclear had a book
de
Capital allocation. This is the same capital allocation policy that w e published some years ago, and the priority order hasn't changed. We always repeat it to assure you that it hasn't changed and that we continue to apply it. Priority number one remains organic investment in the business. On top of the traditional Capex for productivity improvements and the like, we're working on a number of relatively significant investment opportunities to enhance growth. An example of this would be in Rosyth with the upgrade of the missile tubes facility to allow higher production volumes. We normally expect a strong customer demand signal for such investments, so which ones we end up backing and when will remain fluid until we know. The amount of capital we might need for such investments in the next 12 to 18 months is a key part of our assessment of whether we have surplus capital or not at any one time. The status of priority two here in the policy, the balance sheet strength, is good, triple B plus. And as David said, this is essential for customer and supplier confidence as well as investors and other stakeholders. So, we'll retain the investment grade. Dividend is number three. And then on the three capital options at the bottom on the left, we've looked at a number of potential bolt - ons, but nothing has yet met our requirements. No news on pensions this year in the middle. And on shareholder returns, yo u know we completed the £ 200 - million - pound buyback just after the year
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Babcock International Group PLC
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David Lockwood, Babcock CEO
:
Yeah, for the final time. So, the risk of making this a bit yucky over a beer, David and I worked at ... So, we've worked together for 10 years. We have done over a thousand investor meetings, over 20 investor conferences , and over 200 board meetings. So, he was very nice about me, but it has been a team sport. And then just to finish the yuckiness about Babcock, not Babcock's yucky but I'm being a bit yucky, I would say that you cannot deal with what we dealt with without a chair who knows how to be suppo rtive at the right time and challenging at the right time, and Ruth completes the team. So that's been a fortunate thing in dealing with what we dealt with and now for Harry in taking this platform to somewhere really exciting. Anyway, enough of that niceness. And I have to say that Brem's already sorted, so there was nothing in there, just to be clear. Right. So, start outside in. These are very much the things we said a year ago and they've only become more exaggerated in the last 12 months, leading to, I guess, two big things that drive opportunity. One is the scale of budgets, and however they increase and when they increase, they are increasing. We're not in the UK talking about cuts, we're talking about the size of the increase and whether it funds everything people want to do. Not that the number isn't getting bigger and no one is walking away from their longer - term aspirations. The second is this move to hybrid warfare that Harry will touch on, when I think our core strength is that we intimately understand the existing portfolio of equipment and therefore are in a tremendous position to look at how that equipment is integrated i nto the new equipment that comes along to create the hybrid warfare. In civil energy, we've seen tremendous progress actually, not just policy announcements, but genuine progress orders being placed for small modular reactors, sites being identified, plann ing regulations being changed to speed up the deployment. Government gets a lot of criticism of what it's not doing, but actually the way it is enabling the resurgence of nuclear energy in the UK actually I think is a real success story that's probably und ersold and we see that both in large reactors like Size well C, and in SMRs, and indeed in AMRs in things like the announcement we made about working with X
FY26 full year results transcript
build, we're now qualified on the Virginia class submarine, as well as obviously qualified on the Columbia, initial engineering contract has been placed, and then we're moving forward and there's a detailed slide on this, but the HII relationship, really i mportant. Like utility vehicle, we call it the GLV general logistics vehicle. We've won contracts in Albania and the UK, as David said, we started to deliver. We are Toyota's global partner and there are a range of other opportunities in the UK, obviously Land Rover replacement, but more broadly. One army officer in one country said to me, "Having done a trial, I now know why the bad guys have used this for so long. And I think it is a fantastic platform." And then in nuclear we have the SMR rollout. We've won the owner's engineer contract in a JV model. Whoever buys SMRs is going to need an owner's engineer, a government side person. No one's ever done this before, so everyone needs engineering support on t he buying side. Having won the first contract for supporting the Rolls
Harry Holt: Thank you, David. Hi, everybody. So, I've met many of you before at the Capital Markets Day event that we held down in Davenport actually a couple of years ago and then more recently at the nuclear teaching that we did in May of last year. But for those of you that I haven't met, I'm Harry H olt. I'm the deputy CEO and I'm the incoming chief executive officer. I've had a career of two halves. I spent over 20 years as an officer in the British Army, spending time leading men and women on operations around the world, as well as filling some of t he key roles in the Ministry of Defence . So, I understand our key customer very well as well as understanding our ultimate end user community. Since then, I've had over 15 years in industry. The majority of that time spent with Rolls
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FY26 full year results transcript
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I then spent a year in an electric aviation startup called Vertical Aerospace doing EVTOL aircraft before joining Babcock some three years ago where, as David said, I've been running the nuclear sector. So, it's a huge privilege to be taking over from David. I am fortunate to know the business pretty well and I'm also fortunate to have had a decent amount of time in transition, a period of time where I've been able to orientate around parts of the business t hat I know less well, particularly overseas, a period of time where David and I have been able to do work together to signal continuity and stability internally within the organi s ation, and a period of time where I've been able to get out, talk to customers, talk to stakeholders and talk to our people to assess where we might further develop opportunities for the future. I think it's testament to how well the transition has gone that I've actually been able to put out a series of internal organi s ation announcements under my signature but on David's watch, which has ensured that we maintain momentum, we don't have a lull as we go through this handover, and the organi s ations see David and I in strong alignment with one another and they get that core theme of continuity and stability. A lot of people ask me how do I feel about taking on the reins at Babcock? Well, I feel both purposeful and excited. Purposeful, because what we do really matters. We are living through a pivotal moment in history where all of the major vectors of global c hange, whether that's climate change, societal change, technological change or geopolitical change are all currently fueling and feeding off one another to create one of the most uncertain, unstable and dangerous periods in recent history. And that's what gives our purpose such relevance and those underlying trends that I've just described I think are unlikely to diminish, irrespective of whether the various flashpoints in the world flare up or cool down and it's those underlying trends that I think make wh at we do so purposeful. And excited, because of course it's those same underlying trends that are driving growth in our core markets of defence and civil nuclear. So purposeful and excited. So, this next chapter for Babcock under my leadership is going to be built on the strong foundations that I've inherited and that I've helped to build. And those strong foundations are made up of a core strategy that is still valid, made up of strong alignmen t between the board and the management team, and made up of a business that has strong capabilities and attractive positions to grow a resilient, to address a growing and a resilient market. That new chapter will have some enduring themes, obviously growth and performance to continue the trajectory that we've been on over the last few years. That growth will require strategic clarity and capital discipline. It'll require us to stay very close to our customers, understand deeply their requirements, and then only invest in the areas where we have strong competitive advantage, and we can generate attractive returns. I expect focus on the new nature of warfare. This is more sophisticated and complex than simply drones. This new nature of warfare is about increasingly autonomous, un
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David Lockwood: So given the news flash that's just come up, I desperately want to say that we've handled our succession rather better than some other people, but I probably will resist saying that. Oh, shoot. So, as you I hope can see from what I've presented, what Harry's presented here, the board ran a really thorough process that led to Harry's appointment in January. By the time I leave next January, we will have had a fade in, fade out transition that I think enables continuity where it makes sense and change where it makes sense. If I had been staying, there would have been changes to deal with the changing external events. So, change is necessary in all companies. So, I just want to say that I am supremely confident in the next phase with Harry at the helm, will enjoy watching it and will actually not miss my 1001st investor meeting. So, the summary is where we started, which is strong underlying results that underpin a range of choices for the company and the ability to invest in that exciting future Harry's just outlined. Differentiated capabilities, which I hope you've heard from both of us, that clear strategic momentum with a pipeline of opportunities, which means it's about choices. It's not about searching for things to do, but also as Harry said, that ongoing capital allocation to only going for areas which deliver the appropriate returns with the appropriate risk and the appropriate opportunities to win. So, I think not on my watch, but I think a truly great future for a truly great company is just opening up. And with that, I shall hand over for questions. Remember we do... Well, I haven't chosen say anything about religion, but since it's my last one, we'll do anything .
Q&A Sash Tusa
, A g enc y Partners :
Thank you. Sash Tusa, from Agency Partners. I wonder if you could give us an update in as much as one is possible, particularly given very recent news about FMSP and just lay out the process for renewal of the contract, and what happens if for political re asons the government is incapable of signing a new contract by the end of September, which is the current deadline.
David Lockwood: So I'll do a little bit, but then I'll hand over to Harry, because he's led a lot of the negotiation. We support nuclear submarines that have nuclear reactors in and also retired submarines with nuclear reactors in. There is no way that is going to stop. S o if for whatever reason we couldn't get under contract, there will just be an extension to the extension. From a financial point of view, it's not a particularly big deal. The really big thing is once we get under the long contract, there are opportu nities for both us and the government in terms of performance that can be released. So it's a delay in an opportunity, not a threat I would describe it as, but Harry?
Harry Holt: Yeah, I agree. What we do down in Devonport and up in Clyde is absolutely at the center of what defence does. I mean, we all know that the continuous at sea deterrent is the cornerstone of the UK's deterrence and defence policy. So as David said, that work is not going to stop. We're currently on a six
Sash Tusa
, A g enc y Partners :
So if I could just follow up on that, when you say that it needs funding certainty, does that mean that this is all tied up inside the defence industrial plan or is it broader? I mean, what's the nature of the funding certainty that this particular deal needs?
David Lockwood: So no matter what the subject matter is, the list of everything they would like to do is bigger than the budget and the sequencing of that budget on the fringes always is an issue. So nuclear is a bit different from conventional, but on the other hand, it' ll have to coexist in a defence budget. So I think there's moving around the fringes between years and so
Babcock International Group PLC
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on and there is some discretionary scope which could be in or out. So it's that, it's not the core being of the facilities, the boats and so on.
Sash Tusa
, A g enc y Partners :
Yeah. Thank you.
James Beard
, DB Nu mi s :
Thanks. Morning. James Beard at Deutsche Bank. Two questions please. I was wondering if you could give us a little bit more color on progress with frigate export sales. We obviously had slightly negative news from Sweden, so any more color around that and potential decision timeframes in Denmark now that they have a new government installed. And then second question for David Mellors. In terms of the progression towards the 9% medium term margin targets, just wondering if you could give us some color on the expected timeframe there and also the drivers of future margin uplift. How materially d o they differ from how you have delivered margin uplift historically?
David Lockwood: Well, I'll answer David's question. So David will say to you that the 9% plus will be delivered in the medium term.
David Mellors: I would actually.
David Lockwood: Yeah. Sweden was obviously a disappointment. It's not a type 31, it's obviously a new frigate design. Actually, well, it's frigate or a large corvette, take your pick. If you read the Swedish press release, Naval Group and the kind of ship actually comes q uite a long way down. It starts with a lot of the geopolitical stuff, the government to government. And we have always said that these competitions comprise three elements and the weighting is different between the three elements. There's an industrial ele ment, there's a Navy to Navy element and there's a political element and these decisions almost always get made by head of state, not secretaries of defence . So we believe we had a very compelling, probably the most compelling industrial offer, but there are other forces at play in Sweden as you can ima gine . The easiest thing is to read their press release. Denmark is different because the spec is a type 31 type spec, so that's the first thing. Secondly, the origins of type 31 are the Iver Huitfeldt, the current incumbent Danish frigate. And the industrial element matters a lot more in Denmark than it does in Sweden. So the weighting is different in Denmark and the core drivers are different. It is a head of state. I mean, it is a new government, it's a head of state decision ultimately. So difficult to put a timeline on it. I think if yo ask DALO their procu rement agency, they would say their work is done. So it's when it gets to the top of a prime minister's inbox and I'm not going to guess that. David, your question.
David Mellors: Right. Well, as David said, it's in the medium term. The drivers are the same. They're the ones I laid out. We said a year ago the medium term, we deliberately don't time box these things because we're all human, it does lead you into silly things. Margin and risk go together. There'll be times when we deliberately take say cost plus type arrangements, which typically would be lower margin because that's the sensible thing to do given the risk profile. So the margin progression will continue. Obviously it's slightly easier when you're down at 5% than 8.2, so it won't always be at the same rate that we've done historically. So for example, I'll give you an illustration. When we did the Capital Markets Day in Davenport, we said that the new team at the time had reduced the number of operational processes on the site from 5,000 to 2,000 and they'd done that quite quickly. Now there are still plenty of productivity improvements to make, but you can't keep tak ing big steps like that the higher up you get. So the medium term, which last year was say three to five years away was about the right timeframe.
David Lockwood: Told you so. Next question.
David Farrell
8 Babcock International Group PLC
FY26 full year results transcript
u
Thanks. Hi, David Farrell from Jefferies. I actually think both of my questions are for David Mellors, I'm afraid. Just when you look at the 30% delta for this year's guidance in terms of the top line, can you just kind of explain what fills out 30%? I thi nk you said you're 70% covered for the current year from a revenue perspective. And then I think I read a couple of weeks ago that the SSRO calculation had changed around the profit uplift on the risk side of things, potential uplift kind of being potentia lly 10%, not 2%. Can you just kind of talk to any changes in the SSRO calculation and how that might benefit?
David Lockwood: I'll do the second one actually, because I'm just feeling like I can.
David Farrell
Please do.
David Lockwood: So there is currently what is known as a sprint, although it's not really a sprint, led by the Defence Joint Industrial Council looking at a whole SSRO consultation thing, and there was one of those two years ago that led to no change. So there is lots of talk, but at the moment, I can't remember who you've nominated for the sprint, but ...
David Mellors: Linda.
David Lockwood: Linda. So it's a joint government... Linda's really good. There's a joint government industry what makes sense for every one review. I think it's foolhardy to prejudge it because at the end of the last one, nothing changed. Sorry, do you want to give a dif ferent answer to that?
David Mellors: No, I'll give you one. So the other 30%, which is normally just slightly higher than 30%, we still have really good visibilit of. We have framework agreements, but as you know, we don't count orders until they're contracted. So a lot of it is the contract ing of expected work under frameworks, which happens regularly. There'll be work that can't stop but is just let on a slightly shorter term basis, and so a lot of that we would expect to just come through over time.
y
Normally we're at about 90% of the year under contract by the half year, that's another measurement point I always put in, and then we should have it all by kind of end of January, February as it comes through. There are some smaller businesses which have much less of a forward load like the vehicles business in South Africa, but very much more marginal. So for the defence businesses, we've got pretty good visibility and it's mainly the contracting of stuff that we can see or is under frameworks anyway.
David Farrell
Okay, thanks.
Chris Bambery
, Peel Hunt :
Morning, Chris Bamberry, Peel Hunt. Just looking for a bit more flavor of the M&A pipeline. You had a couple of potential opportunities in NDAs in terms they've obviously not come through. Just could you give any more flavor of what happened there and some of the current opportunities you have.
David Lockwood: Yeah. I mean, maybe Harry should talk about the current opportunities because they're going to happen on his watch. But I think if I talk about the discipline, which I'm sure will remain. So there were one in particular, which was outside the UK in a count ry we're very keen on. We got a long way through diligence and spent decent amount of money and then we found a very significant accounting issue that was both a valuation point, but also we were very much believe we were acquiring a strong management team , probably stronger than our own.
Babcock International Group PLC
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And over time as we got underneath the skin of the problem, that led us to conclude both that we couldn't get to the price, but also particularly in terms of the people capital, we weren't sure we were getting what we thought we were getting. So that's a g ood example of just doing proper diligence, taking time to reflect on what that diligence tells you and then acting in the interest of shareholders. So that's the kind of thing that happened. Pipeline, Harry?
Harry Holt: Yeah. So we've got a strong pipeline which we keep under constant review. Obviously given what's going on in the world, the valuations in our core markets of defence and civil nuclear are quite high at the moment. As David said, it's really important that we maintain discipline. We haven't done M&A for a while, so we need to make sure that when we get back into the acquisition market, it's with a business that makes s ense for us and we can integrate it properly.
Chris Bambery
, Peel Hunt :
Thank you.
David Lockwood: I was going to say we've got ... Oh, we've got time for one more.
Sash Tusa
, Agency P artners :
Thank you. So I just wonder if you could give some color on where the major infrastructure program goes from here. Revenue's down last year. Does that now just continue to fade out or does it stay at broadly current levels for a bit? And what's the phasing of the last two docks at Davenport under that?
David Mellors: Yeah. Do you want me to do numbers? . Okay. So from a numbers point of view, you know we can't forecast this accurately so we'll give you a range. I would expect somewhere between 400 and 450 this year and we'll keep you updated. So similar - ish and again, as far as the out years are concerne d, we'll keep you updated as we go along.
Harry Holt: Yeah. And more generally at Davenport, obviously we've got the 10 dock program and we've got the five base and berth program, but outside of Davenport, the requirement for the defence nuclear state to recapitali s e is well known. So we would expect recapitali s ation both at Clyde and maybe even in Ros yth . And then as David mentioned earlier, the whole Aukus opportunity is heavily focused in these early years on infrastructure at both Osborne and Henderson, and so we would hope to be able to address that market as well.
David Lockwood: Yeah. And the other thing we have mentioned in the past is although they haven't decided how to contract it yet, there's potential infrastructure opportunities with AWE as well. So thank you all very much for your time and for those of you who I've known f or a very long time, who've come up with all the questions that have made these things interesting, thank you for your participation. .
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FY26 full year results transcript
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