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Earnings call · FY2026 Q4
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Management tone
Positive
Net tone +45 · low hedging
Forward guidance
2 guided metrics
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| Metric | Period | Guided | Basis |
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Headline operating profit margin
Initiated
fiscal year 27
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21% | Non-GAAP | |
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Operating margin
Initiated
fiscal year '27
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21% | — |
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Smiths Group plc
FY2026 Financial Results
Tuesday 22nd September 2026
Smiths FY2026 Financial results
Tuesday 22th September 2026
Opening remarks Roland Carter Chief Executive Officer Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our fiscal year 26 results. 2026 has been a significant year in the company’s 175-year history. We have executed the portfolio transformation – delivering on our commitments to create significant value for our shareholders. We have proactively supported our customers against the backdrop of challenging external market conditions, and we have invested in our businesses to deliver a resilient financial performance, both now and into the future. None of this would have been possible without our people. Thank you for your dedication, hard work and commitment. Agenda Moving to our agenda for today. I will start with the key highlights from the year. Julian will then take you through the financial results and the outlook for fiscal year 27. I will then return to outline the path to higher growth, further margin expansion and continuing value creation. We will then be pleased to take your questions. Excellent strategic progress, strengthening focus on higher growth and margin Fiscal year 26 was a year of significant strategic progress for Smiths. We completed the sales of Smiths Interconnect and Smiths Detection at very good prices, crystallising £3.3 billion of enterprise value. These transactions have repositioned Smiths as a focused, premium industrial engineering company. We have a stronger financial profile and a clear strategy for growth around 4 vectors of accelerate, innovate, execute and compound which I will explain more later. We have also made good progress high-grading our portfolio, exiting lower growth and margin businesses in Flex-Tek and adding exposure to high-growth data centre opportunities with the acquisition of DRC. In addition, today we are announcing the launch of a process to divest the John Crane US legacy asbestos liability, to enhance cashflow and strengthen our balance sheet. We delivered operationally and financially – we grew organic revenue, expanded margins and generated strong cashflow. This was despite significant disruption arising from the conflict in the Middle East, ongoing weakness in US residential construction all alongside continued investment for growth. I am pleased with our performance given this backdrop. Our results illustrate the underlying strength and resilience of our business, the quality of our technology and the strength of our customer relationships. 2
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Tuesday 22th September 2026
As we enter fiscal year 27, the near-term underlying market conditions remain challenging, but with opportunities for growth. Our robust order book and business momentum underpin our expectation of organic revenue growth of around 4%, and further progress on our operating profit margin entering our target range of 21 to 23%. The positive addition of DRC and data centre exposure, the opportunities in John Crane from the structural tailwinds in global energy resulting from the focus on energy security, and the repositioning of the Flex-Tek portfolio, underpin our strong conviction that that we will more quickly deliver our medium-term 5-7% organic revenue growth target, and support our 2123% margin target. Our outlook is supported by self-help initiatives and strategic execution. We are not relying on a broad market recovery to deliver that outlook, but purposely investing in and driving the business forward. With that, I will hand over to Julian. FY2026 Financial Results Julian Fagge Chief Financial Officer Thank you, Roland, and good morning, everyone. As usual I’ll take you through our financial performance, capital allocation and our outlook for fiscal year 27. Before I start, I would like to clarify the reporting perimeter. Smiths, or continuing operations, means the businesses within John Crane and Flex-Tek, excluding the Flex-Tek general industrial businesses as well as Detection and Interconnect that have been classified as discontinued operations. Total Group includes the performance of all businesses for the periods during which they were owned. Resilient Financial Performance Starting with headline performance. Smiths delivered organic revenue growth of 1.2% to £1.9 billion, a resilient performance in the context of the challenging backdrop in two of our largest markets. Smiths headline operating profit increased by 1.9% organically to £399 million. Headline operating margin was 20.6%, an increase of 20 basis points. This absorbed the impact of the disruption in the Middle East, tariffs, lower volumes and continued investment in growth.
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Smiths FY2026 Financial results
Tuesday 22th September 2026
Return on capital employed was 23.5%, comfortably above our medium-term target of more than 20%, and reflecting a higher capital base from increased investment in John Crane and the DRC acquisition in Flex-Tek. Smiths headline EPS increased by 6% to 86.8 pence. Total Group headline EPS increased by 12% to 135.7 pence, with growth in underlying earnings enhanced by the share buyback programme. Smiths operating cash conversion was 96%, reflecting the strong cashflow characteristics of the company. The Board is recommending a final dividend of 33.5 pence, taking the full-year dividend to 48.5 pence, an increase of 5.4%. Resilient organic revenue growth, enhanced with high-growth acquisitions Turning to revenue, organic growth was supplemented by 2.6% of growth from acquisitions, including the contribution from DRC since April. Growth improved in the second half versus the first, as originally guided, but was impacted by a £20 million effect in John Crane from the conflict in the Middle East. Flex-Tek Aerospace achieved an excellent performance, but the challenging US residential construction market, and customer destocking and project phasing in Thermal Solutions had a negative effect on performance. Yet despite these headwinds, we achieved good operating momentum, we demonstrated resilience against the challenging market backdrop, and we added acquisitions / new businesses to the portfolio that enhance the growth potential of the business. Operating margin expansion with good operating profit growth Headline operating profit increased to £399 million, and margin expanded 20 basis points to 20.6% organically - good progress towards our 21-23% medium term target range. Pricing initiatives, particularly in John Crane and Flex-Tek Aerospace, were positive, as were the benefits from the Acceleration Plan, including a £5 million reduction in central costs, as well as Smiths Excellence savings. Operational gearing, tariffs and increased strategic growth investments were a headwind to margin, and we continue to balance near-term margin delivery with investment for sustainable growth.
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Tuesday 22th September 2026
Strong EPS growth reflecting operating profit growth and share buyback The increase in Total Group headline EPS reflected the organic operating profit growth, the performance of the discontinued operations, and the share buyback programme, partly offset by higher tax and finance costs. Reported EPS grew 12% to 135.7 pence, reflecting accretion from Flex-Tek’s acquisitions, adverse foreign exchange, and the accounting effects related to the sale of Smiths Detection and Smiths Interconnect, which under IFRS 5 are no longer subject to amortisation or depreciation. You can find the Smiths EPS analysis in the presentation’s appendix. Strong operating cash conversion Operating cash flow for Smiths was £384 million, representing cash conversion of 96%, slightly ahead of guidance and demonstrating the strong underlying cash-generative quality of the company. This was driven by higher operating profit and lower capital expenditure, although ahead of depreciation reflecting continued investment in growth and efficiency. For example, John Crane’s machining, testing, automation and capacity upgrades last year. Offsetting this, we recorded higher inventory to support the order book and maintain service through geopolitical and supply-chain disruption; and an increase in receivables, in part due to slower collections in the Middle East.
Business Update I will now turn to the performance of our two businesses. Beginning with John Crane. John Crane John Crane grew revenue +2.3% with the conflict in the Middle East impacting second half performance by £20m. Excluding this, growth would been around +4% in the year, and more than 5% in the second half. Growth was led by original equipment sales, particularly in dry gas seals. The US and Latin America performed strongly, growing mid-single digits. Aftermarket was up 1% but held back by the impact of the Middle East. Industrial revenue grew 2%, with strong growth in mining and water, offset by weakness in chemicals, largely related to the Middle East and overcapacity in China. 5
Smiths FY2026 Financial results
Tuesday 22th September 2026
Headline operating profit increased +3.5% organically to £270 million, and margin expanded 30 basis points to 23.9%. Pricing, mix, the benefits from the Acceleration Plan more than offset inflation, and an £8m increase in investment in strategic projects. Middle East in focus Taking a moment to address the Middle East directly, where the safety of our people and their families remains our first priority. They have been doing an incredible job supporting our customers in the region. Our facilities have remained operational and our focus has been on supporting our customers day-to-day through difficult circumstances. We have experienced delays in maintenance programmes and OE projects have moved to the right. We have also seen a corresponding impact on order intake as customers have reduced capex and optimised opex. Working capital has also been affected as we maintained stock availability and experienced slower collections. As we look forward, our fiscal year 27 outlook assumes disruption continues at least through the first half. However, John Crane is well placed to support customers as activity normalises and recovery projects begin, given our local presence, broad installed base and extensive service capability. We are already working hard to put ourselves in the strongest position, so that we are commercially and operationally ready and flexible to support our customers when this demand returns. For example, we are rebalancing production capacity, optimising our supply chain, as well as investing to increase our local manufacturing and service capability in the region. Longer term, the heightened focus on energy security and reliability is likely to have lasting implications, supporting investment across energy security and infrastructure markets globally. This encompasses capacity expansion and supply diversification, additional backup infrastructure, with increased maintenance and reliability spending. This is where the largest opportunity lies. We continue to practically engage and support our customers, and our leading technology capabilities, unrivalled service network and deep customer intimacy, place us ideally to win.
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Tuesday 22th September 2026
Flex-Tek Flex-Tek revenue declined 0.4% in the year. Construction declined 3.6% against the backdrop of a weak US residential construction market where housing starts and building permits declined 0.8% and 2.1%, respectively, across the same period. Performance improved across the year, returning to growth in Q4 at +2.9%. supported by new customer wins, particularly in flexible-ducting and multi-family projects. Thermal Solutions declined by 6.2% largely due to the destocking of residential heat-kits experienced in the first-half, and the completion of an ultra-high-temperature project. In April, we acquired DRC, which adds cooling and heat-removal technologies with exposure to fast-growing data centres and power generation markets. As a result, Thermal Solutions now represents around a third of Flex-Tek revenue on a pro-forma basis. Aerospace grew strongly at +10.6% with order book execution, contract renewals with major aircraft engine manufacturers delivering pricing and volume growth. We achieved strong double-digit growth in the strategic growth areas of India and MRO. Acquisitions added +6.4% to growth, reflecting our capital allocation decisions targeting higher-growth adjacencies. The operating profit and margin performance largely reflected the market impact on Construction volumes, and a small impact from tariffs, partly offset by pricing in Aerospace and operational efficiency savings. Our capital allocation framework – deploying cashflow to deliver growth and returns Our approach to capital allocation remains disciplined and focused on value creation. Growth is the main priority and we continue to allocate capital to opportunities that have the potential to accelerate revenue performance. In fiscal year 26, we invested £64 million in RD&E, or 3.3% of revenue. Capex was £39 million, 2% of revenue. We also invested in our commercial and strategic growth initiatives. We acquired DRC for £165 million, consistent with our strategy of building into higher growth adjacencies. In a further move to high-grade the portfolio, we agreed sales for three non-core Flex-Tek industrial businesses for £40 million, and with these changes, Flex-Tek is now a more balanced growth portfolio with exposure across a broad range of attractive end-markets with strong growth prospects.
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Tuesday 22th September 2026
Our portfolio management approach also encompasses initiatives to improve the balance sheet and enhance cashflow, with two major pension transactions completed during the year. And today, we announced that our US John Crane business will begin a marketing process for the divestiture of its legacy asbestos liability. These transactions will ultimately remove these liabilities from the balance sheet, significantly increase free cashflow and available capital. As a reminder, the annual net cash outflow related to asbestos has averaged around £20m in the last five years. In relation to shareholder returns, as I have already mentioned, the Board continues to support a progressive dividend policy. We completed the previously announced £500 million buyback. And in line with the commitment to return a large portion of sales proceeds, we have now completed the £1bn Smiths Interconnect buyback, with a further £1.5 billion related to Smiths Detection still to execute. We expect this to be substantially completed be end of calendar year 27. Our strategy is clear, and our actions demonstrate that we make sensible capital allocation decisions to drive growth, financial returns and free cashflow, while retaining a strong balance sheet and a solid investment-grade credit rating. FY2027 Outlook For fiscal year 27, we are guiding to organic revenue growth of around 4%, supported by operating momentum and our robust order book. John Crane is expected to be weighted towards the second half. We assume continued Middle East disruption during the first half, alongside stronger growth in other parts of the world. In Flex-Tek, we assume a continuation of the subdued US residential construction market, although we will continue to drive performance. We expect a continuing strong performance in Aerospace, a return to growth in Thermal Solutions and a positive organic contribution from fast growth in DRC. As a result, Flex-Tek growth is expected to be weighted towards the first half reflecting in part the year-on-year comparator and also our active customer engagement to drive performance. We expect headline operating profit margin of approximately 21%, entering our mediumterm target range of 21-23% sooner than expected. And we expect operating cash conversion in the low nineties range. We have also provided some further technical guidance in the appendix to aid your modelling. We are confident in achieving our medium-term targets. The structural tailwinds in global energy resulting from the anticipated response to energy security, our expanded exposure to 8
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Tuesday 22th September 2026
cooling and data centre applications through DRC, and the evolution of the Flex-Tek portfolio, alongside continued underlying performance, give us strong conviction in more quickly delivering our 5-7% organic revenue growth over the medium term, and underpin our 21-23% operating profit margin target. With that, I will hand back to Roland.
Strategy update Roland Carter Chief Executive Officer Thank you, Julian. I will now turn to our strategy and the opportunity ahead. In January last year, we took the decision to reposition the portfolio and the completion of the divestments of Interconnect and Detection this year have been a defining moment for Smiths. Portfolio focused on strategic growth pillars The result is a more coherent portfolio, with a stronger financial profile, allowing greater management focus and a clearer capital allocation model. Our portfolio sits across the clear growth pillars of flow control, construction, thermal solutions and aerospace, and is well placed to deliver sustainable growth, high returns and strong cash generation, underpinned by structural growth trends. Well positioned in attractive markets supported by structural growth trends First, in energy, growth is driven by the long-term global demand for energy, and is expected to accelerate further with the increased need for energy security and resilience, all of which support greater investment in critical infrastructure. Our growth strategy for John Crane is focused on our particular strengths in downstream and midstream energy, where we see considerable runway before the world reaches either peak oil or gas. Our leading positions in gas and energy transition position us well to take advantage of the higher level of growth in areas including LNG, hydrogen, geothermal, and carbon capture and storage. Next, industrial process electrification is supporting emissions reduction, improved safety and greater efficiency across industrial markets. Here too, demand is underpinned by customers’ desires to have a single, integrated, customised solution which our Sureheat, Wattco and Farnam businesses are well positioned to support. AI demand is supporting the expansion in digital infrastructure, and the subsequent datacentre developments drive power and thermal-management demand. Wattco and DRC
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broaden our heat, cooling, controls and systems capability to access this high growth market, and we are excited by the size of this opportunity. Next, the structural housing shortage, together with a growing population, drive the growth prospects in US residential construction. We see increased demand for housing over the medium term, and our Flex-Tek HVAC products are well positioned to capture this growth, as we expand our portfolio and geographical coverage. And finally aviation, where trade, GDP and population growth are underpinning the continuing increase in commercial aircraft production, in a market where high qualification barriers and durable supplier positions support resilient growth. Alongside this, the geopolitical backdrop is driving an increase in defence spending, and demand for new military aircraft. Also underpinning these trends, is the ongoing focus on productivity and sustainability. Customers’ desire to improve resource efficiency, drive production and reduce emissions also supports demand for our products. Customer-centric operating model with high-quality aftermarket and recurring revenue Our customer-centric model, underpinned by a high degree of customer intimacy and a strong understanding of customer needs, allow us to be true experts in developing customised solutions. This creates strong incumbent positions and drives high-quality aftermarket and recurring revenue. John Crane has a large installed base that has been built up over many decades. This drives a substantial aftermarket revenue stream across the operating life of a facility, provides recurring demand and sustains our customer relationships. Aftermarket represents more than 70% of the total revenue. Flex-Tek maintains strong customer relationships across the different parts of the business. Around 70% of Construction revenue is repeatable through sustained distributor relationships. Thermal Solutions designs customised products and systems, in partnership with its customers. And more than 75% of Aerospace revenue is under long-term agreements, contracted positions or repeatable programmes. These characteristics support resilience through the cycles, retention of customer positions, pricing power, margin quality and cash generation, while allowing us to bring additional products and technologies to customers and channels we already know. Our priority is to combine these strengths to enable faster, more consistent organic growth.
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Smiths Growth Algorithm Our growth strategy is targeted around four connected priorities which we call the Growth Algorithm – accelerate growth initiatives, innovate with impact, execute relentlessly, and then compound value through disciplined capital allocation into accretive acquisitions. These initiatives although focused on growth, will support the delivery of all our mediumterm targets - revenue and EPS growth, margin, returns and cash conversion – and underpin our strong conviction that we will deliver our 5-7% organic revenue growth target. Taking each in turn. Accelerate - commercial initiatives and investment to drive sustainable organic growth We are accelerating the pace of delivery of our strategic growth initiatives and increasing investment in our highest return opportunities. Alongside our pricing power, these actions underpin our plans to drive above market growth. In John Crane, we are leveraging our leadership position in gas projects and have signed a number of major new LNG and NGL contracts, continuing to develop our leadership position in this area. LNG investment continues to accelerate globally due to energy security demand, and projects of this scale strengthen our installed-base, supporting long-term aftermarket servicing opportunities. To expand our aftermarket position further, we have signed new global Performance Plus agreements with customers in both energy and chemicals, with a number of these having been taken over from other suppliers. These agreements provide the customer with a consistent reliability model across their facilities, and for John Crane, provides predictable recurring revenue. In Construction, we have been successfully expanding the distribution of our full range of flexible and metal ducting products that we have built up through acquisition, and we are now harnessing higher growth opportunities, such as the Canadian market. In Thermal Solutions, we are expanding our product offering to provide customised systems and integrated solutions, combining heat and cooling across a range of different end-markets, including data centres. And in Aerospace, we are targeting an increase in market share of shipset on key engine platforms and the strategic growth areas of India and MRO; and our recent contract renewals have strengthened our position and price capture.
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Innovate – enhanced approach to drive differentiation and profitable growth Innovation is critical to differentiation and sustainable growth. Through a more deliberate approach to innovation, our aim is to accelerate the pace of delivery. Our approach combines sustained investment in product development with disciplined commercialisation, ensuring that new product concepts are translated into tangible growth. Our five-year innovation roadmaps for each business span technology, products, materials and manufacturing processes. These support both the evolution of existing products for new performance requirements and applications, and the development of new, differentiated offerings. For example, John Crane’s recently launched 93AX separation seal has seen a very positive response from customers; we have further developed our dry gas seal products for larger machine needs, higher pressures and speeds and have seen strong sales of these; and our development of materials support new technologies for hydrogen applications. Capability roadmaps also help identify skills requirements and strategic partnership opportunities. Our objective is to increase the pace of delivery and the commercial impact. Execute - operational excellence Operational excellence is foundational to growth and value creation. We continue to execute our plans with discipline and excellence, tracking the key operational metrics that underpin performance and support our strategic priorities. Smiths Excellence provides a common approach to lean operations, enhanced processes, automation and supply-chain resilience and is embedded and standardised across our businesses. All these actions help us better serve our customers, helping ensure that we are their partner of choice. We continue to invest in modernising and automating our manufacturing infrastructure and this year we have completed the investment in John Crane machining capabilities and upgrading our testing capabilities. We have also added automation to our Flex-Tek HVAC manufacturing processes to improve efficiency and enhance safety. During the year, the Acceleration Plan activities continued. These included site consolidation and footprint optimisation, ERP harmonisation and automation. We have delivered £20m of annual plan benefits to date and remain on track for £30 to 35 million of annualised benefits for this fiscal year. These initiatives help us better support our customers, through improved customer service and reduced delivery times, helping to support our growth ambitions. 12
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With the increased focus that the portfolio changes have delivered, we have continued to adapt our culture to encourage a more agile, empowered and accountable organisation focused on delivering for our customers, supported by a lean centre, A high-performing culture combines pace and accountability with integrity, respect and an uncompromising commitment to safety. Compound – a strong track record of successful M&A And finally disciplined M&A, which we regard as an important component of our value creation model by recycling free cashflow to augment and compound organic growth. Our track record in Flex-Tek demonstrates this. Over the past years, we have invested around £700m of capital into 8 acquisitions, Flex-Tek has more than doubled in size over this timeframe, a double digit compound annual growth rate in revenue. Acquisition returns have notably exceeded the cost of capital, delivering significant value creation under Smiths ownership. Acquisitions have also shifted the mix of the business over time. Today, Flex-Tek has a lower exposure to US residential construction – around 40% – with a corresponding increased exposure to higher growth thermal solutions and aerospace. These actions demonstrate our active approach to the portfolio and capital allocation, to focus our business on areas of higher growth. Compound – reinvesting FCF to augment and compound growth We focus on identifying acquisitions that give exposure to higher-growth adjacencies that strengthen our market positions, add technology, geography as well as customer access. Financially, we prefer capital-light, cash-generative businesses that are growth-accretive, and have an attractive margin and returns profile. Our opportunity pipeline is across multiple vectors in each of our business areas, offering growth, margin and synergy potential. We have strengthened our approach to integration with clearer milestones, ownership and contingency planning. This ensures acquisitions get off to a fast start. This plug and play blueprint allows us to maximise synergy delivery and value creation. DRC - allocating capital into structurally faster-growing markets, with clear scalability DRC is a great example. DRC designs customised heat-transfer and cooling solutions for data centres auxiliary power. We identified an opportunity to enhance our strategic position by adding heat removal and cooling technologies to our heat solutions. It also brought exposure
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to attractive higher growth markets, with a strong leadership and engineering team who needed support for their next phase of growth. Let’s hear directly from the team in this video. It is still early days, but in the four months of ownership, it has performed ahead of expectations, contributing £35.5 million of revenue at a pro-forma growth rate of well over 20%, with an attractive margin. The data-centre market is expected to grow at more than 20% annually over the next 10 years, supported by AI and cloud demand. We are investing in people, process and capacity infrastructure to support this growth opportunity which we expect to be meaningfully additive to the Smiths Group’s performance over the coming years. A highly compelling investment case So, in summary. We have successfully transformed the portfolio into a focused premium industrial engineering company with an improved financial profile, delivering sustainable growth, high returns, robust cash generation and balance sheet strength. We continue to align our business to attractive end-markets and trends that offer structural long-term growth. Our business model is resilient, with a high proportion of aftermarket, contracted and repeatable revenue, underpinned by customer intimacy, and leading products and technologies. Our renewed growth algorithm strategy is focused on accelerating organic growth, driving innovation, value creating execution and disciplined compounding M&A, supported by a highperforming team and culture. In fiscal year 26, we unlocked over £3 billion of value. We continue to be focused on creating value today, and into the future. Thank you for listening. Julian and I will now be pleased to take your questions.
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Q&A Christian Hinderaker (Goldman Sachs, Analyst): Morning, Roland. Morning, Julian. Thank you for the opportunity. I wanted to ask firstly on the Middle East events. I appreciate a fluid situation over there, but curious firstly, how we think about the £20 million impact in the half across OE and aftermarket. Then as we look forward, just curious on your thinking in terms of whether or when there may or may not be a catch-up effect as and when we see a reopening of business in the region. Roland Carter: Okay. No, thank you very much Christian for the question. Obviously the situation on the ground remains difficult for our customers and for our people, and obviously our people have shown excellent commitment in those 10 sites, supporting the customers. There’s definitely no signs that it’s getting better. We believe in H1 we’ll continue to see those - the situation as we’ve previously seen. In H2, we anticipate that year-on-year improvement as we cycle over what happened in that £20 million. Also, we have seen a little bit of rebalancing of our customers. We saw that excellent growth in North America already because of what we’ve done with the organisation and responding to the customers. We believe that that’s only the beginning of the world rebalancing to this new normal. We’re definitely preparing for supporting our customers when that bounce-back comes back from the point of view of we’re already preparing all the drawings, we’re working with the customers, we’re working with the supply chain, we’re making sure that we’re qualifying all our facilities around the world, if there is - well, when there is a surge coming forward. We are deep in preparation for that. I mean, if you stretch the medium-term - excuse me
Smiths FY2026 Financial results
Tuesday 22th September 2026
traditional resi new build piece as well. There is work behind the scenes within that. But I’ll let Julian talk about the portfolio restructuring that we’ve done within Flex-Tek and also DRC perhaps. Julian Fagge: Sure, thank you. Well, thanks, Roland. I mean, just to pick on the question on Thermal, I mean, it did return to growth in Q4, so we’re pleased with that. Just to point at some of the factors that impacted last year’s performance. First thing, we had this significant contract running through our SureHeat business. That, on a year-on-year basis was a £7 million impact on the year. That’s now annualised out, so we’ll move forward from there. The other factor that Roland mentioned was the destocking of these heat kits. That had a £13 million impact during the year, and mostly in Q2. We expect to have cycled through that now as we enter into the new year. I mean, on the portfolio, I mean, yes, Flex-Tek has over time transitioned and repositioned to some extent away from its predominant construction position, and yes, Thermal is part of that, and with the acquisition of DRC will increase that percentage even further. We do see that to an extent, a high grading of the Flex-Tek portfolio, and pointing it towards area of faster growth, which should support the business as we look out in the medium-term. Christian Hinderaker (Goldman Sachs, Analyst): Thank you both. Maybe if I can just squeeze a quick third one in, just obviously with the change in structure and portfolio, a lot of moving pieces in the statements, but how do we think about normal thresholds now for working capital lines? I don’t know if you want to talk days or percent of sales basis? Julian Fagge: Thank you. I mean, we’ve taken some actions in fiscal year ‘26 to strengthen our inventory position to better support customers through these challenging times. You’ve seen a small step up in inventory levels, particularly in John Crane. But other than that, the levels of working capital are in line with typical levels of receivables, payables. There’s nothing different there, Christian, within the working capital mix. Christian Hinderaker (Goldman Sachs, Analyst): Thank you. Martin Wilkie (Citi, Analyst): Yes, good morning. Thank you. It’s Martin at Citi. I just had a question on the announcement this morning about the asbestos liability, just to understand a bit more about how that will be structured in the timetable, and also what has changed. I think in the past, albeit on the prior management, the view was that, payas-you-go was cheaper, if you like, than settling it and exiting it. So just to understand what is something that has changed financially that’s made this attractive to get rid of this liability now. Thank you. Julian Fagge: Thank you, Martin. I mean, first thing I’d like to say is that it is important that we recognise that asbestos-related diseases are terrible for those that suffer from them. I do want to acknowledge that and the impact that it has had. The fact remains that John Crane knows that its products are safe, and for more than 45 years, has resisted asbestos claims based on our defence. I mean, to address your specific questions, Martin, we have worked very hard over the years to get ourselves into this position today where we have a reliable defence-based 16
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strategy. We have a more reliable cost of the asbestos defence, which flows through our free cash flow statement. Just to remind you, that is around £20 million a year, and has been for at least the last five years. I think the way we look at it is that today we are now in a position where we have a case for presenting this to the market. It also indeed follows some of the broader movements in the asbestos market where other companies have taken similar approaches. We think the time’s right, and we thought it was helpful to announce that - this process that will launch in the coming days. Roland Carter: To add to that, I mean, this is just one more of those steps of dealing with legacy liabilities on the balance sheet. You’ve seen the buy-ins and the buyouts on the pensions. This is a continuation, and we’ve been preparing for this for several years, and this has now accumulated as the market’s also matured and the vehicles are much more mature now. This is a continuation of driving free cash flow, and removing the variability within that. Martin Wilkie (Citi, Analyst): Thanks. That’s really helpful. Just another question just on the uses of cash, and obviously you’ve now integrated the DRC acquisition. Anything changing in the backdrop in terms of how you’re seeing valuations for potential deals and availability of deals that can still be accretive to value? I guess, particularly in Flex-Tek, but just more broadly? Thank you. Roland Carter: Yes, we’re, again, obviously very pleased with the acquisitions that we’ve been making recently. We have become very active in our scanning of the markets. We always had an active, but Julian and myself are very involved in that process. We will always be disciplined in our approach to any form of capital allocation. We’re here to create value, and that I think is the defining feature of both Julian and myself and how we approach these things. We do have an active portfolio across the whole range of businesses. We do assess where we want to go. Acquisitions are there to accelerate our strategy when we feel that we can’t do that organically. So we’ll continue with that approach. As we saw in that video, that’s just been - we weren’t the highest bidder for DRC. It was really what they felt we could bring to that, and I think you’ll find that we have brought what we’ve said we would bring to that. There is obviously a financial aspect to that, but the true aspect is really how we integrate, how we support them in areas where previously, as a private company, they haven’t been able to be supported, whether that’s the Smiths Excellence System dealing with the capacity constraints, whether that’s bringing their safety to a higher level for their employees, whether that’s helping with their quality issues, whether that’s exposing them as Rob said in the video to other parts of the Smiths portfolio, to allow them to get new ideas where we can be better integrated as a whole. We’ll always be looking for places where we can genuinely add value. We’re not going to try and just compete on price on those things. Thank you. 17
Smiths FY2026 Financial results
Tuesday 22th September 2026
Martin Wilkie (Citi, Analyst): Great. Thank you very much. Tore Fangmann (Bank of America, Analyst): Good morning. I hope you can hear me all right. Thank you for taking my questions too from my side. The first one would be on the impact in the Middle East. Is there any way for you to quantify the impact that you expect going into 2027? Should we assume a continued £20 million drag into the first half? Then to me it sounded like you think about maybe a smaller impact going into H2. Appreciate it. Thank you. Julian Fagge: Yes. I mean, I think it’s a fair assumption that the impact going through the first half of the year will be at a similar level to that that we saw across the second half of last year. I think that’s reasonable - I mean, just to be clear, that’s largely aftermarket. I mean, we are able to keep our facilities operating. Just to repeat what Roland said earlier, we are doing a lot to support our customers through this time, and indeed prepare for when things improve. You should expect that impact to be less in the second half as a result of this annualising, certainly in terms of growth. That’s how we think about it. Tore Fangmann (Bank of America, Analyst): Perfect. Appreciate it. Then maybe just second question, more general for the whole Group, but happy to hear if you have more details on the different segments. How would you describe the current pricing and inflation environment, especially thinking here about energy costs, steel inflation and so on, and how, call it happy, are your customers to receive price increases from your end? Thank you. Roland Carter: Yes. No, thank you for that. As we know, Smiths is very strong on pricing. So from the two aspects of, we do have pricing power in the market and also we do execute well and effectively against that pricing power as well. We saw last year that significant part of the growth was pricing. This year it will be more balanced between pricing and volume. We are in an inflationary environment. We have put through pricing across all of the businesses that we have, so within John Crane there is pricing. Within Flex-Tek, Aerospace, slightly different dynamic because those are long-term contracts, which you saw us negotiating and we continue to negotiate. We saw positive pricing in Flex-Tek, Aerospace, for example, last year, but that will continue to be accretive into this year as well. Thermal, because of the market dynamics, because of the growth, we still - it’s difficult because - not to price because we’re getting very positive gross margins there, but because these are new products rolling out, you’ve got to have a benchmark there, and they’re constantly developing. But we can see there is positive gross margin expansion from price within that, but there’s that mix issue within that aspect of the business. Then Construction, we’ve just put through to pricing increases, one on our Metal products, one on our Flex-Tek flexible products as well. We continue to be able to develop price across the portfolios as you can see. We are very professional and we professionalise over 18
Smiths FY2026 Financial results
Tuesday 22th September 2026
several years on how we make sure that pricing sticks, and we understand leakage a lot better than we did maybe three years ago. Tore Fangmann (Bank of America, Analyst): Thank you. Much appreciated. Jonathan Hurn (Analyst, Barclays): Hey guys, good morning. Just a few questions from me please. Firstly, just on tariffs. Did you see any tariff refunds in the period and also, how do we think about that going into 2027? The second question was just on mix. How do we think about mix across the two divisions going forward? Are there some positive tailwinds to come through and help profitability? The third and final one was just on the order book. Obviously you’re seeing some strong orders. Can you just remind us where we are in terms of order coverage for the year right now for both divisions please? Thank you. Roland Carter: Yes, let me take a couple of those and then I’ll hand over to you, Julian, if that’s okay. So, on order book, we came into approximately a 1x order book in John Crane, so in spite of those headwinds we saw that as a positive. We had very strong order book within aerospace, so we were very pleased with that. In fact, a modest assessment of that would be two-thirds of our aerospace revenues are covered going forward into this year – when we came into the year, I should say. The other place where we really look into the order book is DRC, and we’ve seen that build robustly for this calendar year and the next actually, for people developing their capacity understanding of us. I should also step back on the John Crane perhaps and say, we are seeing certain customers asking to block capacity because they see the potential for upturn. So, on the businesses where order book makes sense to look at it is characterised, as we’ve said, where it came in relatively resiliently for us. Obviously, there is book and burn that we need to achieve within the year as well. From the point of view of tariffs, perhaps you… Julian Fagge: Yes, shall I take that? So, tariffs were a headwind for us last year and that was after our mitigation efforts and the pricing adjustments we needed to make behind those tariffs. I won’t comment on tariff reclaims. I mean, it clearly is a fluid environment but net it was a headwind to us. As we look out we expect tariffs to be relatively neutral to us in fiscal year ’27. Roland Carter: Then on your mix question, so we have robust growth across certain aspects of the business, you saw that in aerospace, but also, I think the more important aspect on mix is really everything we’ve been doing in the background about addressing the CoGS and the gross margin. So you’ve seen that positive impact. You saw our net margin increase to 20.6% and you saw our guidance around 21%, so you can see that positive move there. Much of that comes out of better new product pricing, it comes out of the AP plan really delivering. You’re seeing we are actually delivering against that AP
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Smiths FY2026 Financial results
Tuesday 22th September 2026
plan, which is good to see when we have the rest of that to deliver the annualised benefits this year coming through. We’ve also got our general SE, Smiths Excellence, savings coming through. So, those are all the reasons why you’ve got the drop through to around 21% going forward on that. Jonathan Hurn (Analyst, Barclays): Great guys, thank you very much.
Closing remarks
Roland Carter: Well, thank you for joining us today. So, to summarise, fiscal year ’26 was a year of significant strategic progress and also resilient financial performance. We are guiding to organic revenue growth of around 4% in fiscal year ’27 and operating margin of around 21%. We’ve laid out the growth priorities we’re focused on; accelerate, innovate, execute and compound to deliver above market growth. Plus, the structural tailwinds in data centres and global energy and also those positive portfolio developments in Flex-Tek. All these support our strong conviction that we will more quickly move into our 5% to 7% organic revenue target in the medium term. Our next update to the market will be Q1 trading and the AGM on 18 November. Thank you for your interest in Smiths.
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Company presentation
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