Centerra Gold Inc 6-K, filed Jun 22, 2022
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU)
About this 6-K
Centerra Gold Inc filed this 6-K on June 22, 2022.
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 6-K
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16
UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the month of June 2022
Commission File Number: 001-40324
Centerra Gold
Inc.
(Translation of registrant's name into English)
1 University Avenue, Suite 1500
Toronto, Ontario
M5J 2P1
(Address of principal executive office)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file
annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
Form 20-F ¨
Form 40-F x
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1): ¨
Note: Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1) only permits the submission in paper of a Form 6-K if submitted solely to provide an attached annual report to security holders.
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7): ¨
Note: Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7) only permits the submission in paper of a Form 6-K if submitted to furnish a report or other document that the registrant foreign private issuer must furnish and make public under the laws of the jurisdiction in which the registrant is incorporated, domiciled or legally organized (the registrant's "home country"), or under the rules of the home country exchange on which the registrant's securities are traded, as long as the report or other document is not a press release, is not required to be and has not been distributed to the registrant's security holders, and, if discussing a material event, has already been the subject of a Form 6-K submission or other Commission filing on EDGAR.
On June 22, 2022, the Registrant issued a management information circular, a notice of meeting, a form of proxy and a certificate of abridgement, copies of which are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, Exhibit 99.2, Exhibit 99.3 and Exhibit 99.4, respectively, and are incorporated herein by reference.
Exhibit 99.1. Management Information Circular
Exhibit 99.2. Notice of Meeting
Exhibit 99.4. Certificate of Abridgement Pursuant to NI 54-101
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
| Centerra Gold Inc. | |
| (Registrant) | |
| Date: June 22, 2022 | /s/ Yousef Rehman |
| Yousef Rehman | |
| Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary |
| |
(signed) “Michael Parrett”
Michael S. Parrett
Chair of the Board of Directors |
| |
(signed) “Scott Perry”
Scott Perry
President and Chief Executive Officer |
|
Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
June 21, 2022
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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| |
EXPERTS
|
| | | | | | |
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| | APPENDICES | | | | | | | |
| |
Appendix A Arrangement Resolution
Appendix B Plan of Arrangement
Appendix C Cormark Opinion Appendix D Eight Capital Valuation and Opinion Appendix E Interim Order Appendix F Notice of Application |
| | | | | | |
|
Centerra WACC Calculation
|
| | | | | | |
| Cost of Debt | | | | | | | |
|
Pre-Tax Cost of Debt (Centerra Undrawn Corporate Facility Interest Rate)
|
| | | | 2.5% | | |
|
Tax Rate
|
| | | | 26.5% | | |
|
After-Tax Cost of Debt
|
| | | | 1.8% | | |
|
Optimal Capital Structure (Debt / Total Capital %)
|
| | | | 13.5% | | |
| Cost of Equity | | | | | | | |
|
Risk Free Rate (10-Year Canada Government Bond Yield)
|
| | | | 2.4% | | |
|
S&P / TSX Composite Index – 5-Year Return (Annualized)
|
| | | | 7.1% | | |
|
Market Risk Premium
|
| | | | 4.7% | | |
|
Unlevered Beta(1)
|
| | | | 1.04x | | |
|
Levered Beta(2)
|
| | | | 1.14x | | |
|
Development Risk Premium(3)
|
| | | | 4.0% | | |
|
Country Risk Premium – United States
|
| | | | 0.0% | | |
|
Country Risk Premium – Canada
|
| | | | 0.0% | | |
|
Country Risk Premium – Turkey(4)
|
| | | | 3.8% | | |
|
Cost of Equity – Canada & United States (Development)
|
| | | | 11.8% | | |
|
Cost of Equity – Canada (Producer)
|
| | | | 7.8% | | |
|
Cost of Equity – Turkey
|
| | | | 11.6% | | |
| WACC | | | | | | | |
|
Calculated WACC – Canada & United States (Development)
|
| | | | 10.5% | | |
|
Calculated WACC – Canada (Producer)
|
| | | | 7.0% | | |
|
Calculated WACC – Turkey
|
| | | | 10.3% | | |
|
Selected Discount – Canada & United States (Development)
|
| | | | 10.0% | | |
|
Selected Discount – Canada (Producer)
|
| | | | 7.0% | | |
|
Selected Discount – Turkey
|
| | | | 10.0% | | |
|
Corporate WACC(5)
|
| | | | 8.1% | | |
| | | | | | |
Modelled
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
|
Mining NAV
|
| |
Modelled Methodology
|
| |
Units
|
| |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| |
Consensus
|
| |||||||||
|
Mount Milligan
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 831 | | | | | $ | 1,188 | | | | | $ | 738 | | |
|
Oksut
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 477 | | | | | $ | 604 | | | | | $ | 700 | | |
|
Kemess
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 181 | | | | | $ | 297 | | | | | $ | 126 | | |
|
Goldfield
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 127 | | | | | $ | 217 | | | | | $ | 191 | | |
|
Other
|
| |
In-Situ Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (199) | | | | | $ | (189) | | | | | $ | 101 | | |
|
Exploration
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 5 | | | | | $ | 15 | | | | | | n/a | | |
|
Total Mining NAV
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | |
$
|
1,422
|
| | | |
$
|
2,132
|
| | | |
$
|
1,856
|
| |
| Corporate Adjustments | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Cash & Cash Equivalents(1)
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 757 | | | | | $ | 757 | | | | | $ | 757 | | |
|
Cash from ITM Securities
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 16 | | | | | $ | 16 | | | | | $ | 16 | | |
|
Kumtor Fair Market Value
|
| |
Fair Market Value of
Kumtor Shares to Centerra |
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 0 | | | | | $ | 500 | | | | | $ | 0 | | |
|
Greenstone Sale Future Proceeds
|
| |
DCF of future proceeds assuming
production start in 2025 (high) and 2027 (low) |
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 47 | | | | | $ | 57 | | | | | $ | 65 | | |
|
Goldfield Deferred Milestone
Payment |
| |
Assumes construction decision made in 2022 and payment made in cash |
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (32) | | | | | $ | (32) | | | | | $ | (32) | | |
|
Debt(2)
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (20) | | | | | $ | (20) | | | | | $ | (20) | | |
|
Corporate G&A / Other
|
| |
DCF(3)
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (276) | | | | | $ | (401) | | | | | $ | (338) | | |
|
Total Corporate Adjustments
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 493 | | | | | $ | 878 | | | | | $ | 448 | | |
|
Total Net Asset Value
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | |
$
|
1,915
|
| | | |
$
|
3,009
|
| | | |
$
|
2,304
|
| |
|
FDITM Shares Outstanding(4)
|
| | | | |
(M)
|
| | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | |
|
NAVPS
|
| | | | |
($/share)
|
| | | $ | 6.32 | | | | | $ | 9.93 | | | | | $ | 7.60 | | |
|
NAVPS
|
| | | | |
(C$/share)
|
| | | $ | 7.90 | | | | | $ | 12.43 | | | | | $ | 9.51(5) | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
EV / Consensus EBITDA
|
| |
P / Consensus CFPS
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
|
Company
|
| |
P / Consensus NAV
|
| |
2022E
|
| |
2023E
|
| |
2022E
|
| |
2023E
|
| |||||||||||||||
| | | |
(x)
|
| |
(x)
|
| |
(x)
|
| |
(x)
|
| |
(x)
|
| |||||||||||||||
|
Alamos Gold Inc.
|
| | | | 0.86x | | | | | | 8.1x | | | | | | 7.5x | | | | | | 9.3x | | | | | | 9.1x | | |
|
B2Gold Corp.
|
| | | | 1.09x | | | | | | 4.3x | | | | | | 4.3x | | | | | | 6.6x | | | | | | 6.3x | | |
|
Coeur Mining, Inc.
|
| | | | 0.98x | | | | | | 8.3x | | | | | | 10.3x | | | | | | 11.1x | | | | | | 9.9x | | |
|
Dundee Precious Metals Inc.
|
| | | | 0.71x | | | | | | 2.8x | | | | | | 2.7x | | | | | | 4.4x | | | | | | 4.0x | | |
|
Eldorado Gold Corporation
|
| | | | 0.65x | | | | | | 5.0x | | | | | | 4.3x | | | | | | 6.0x | | | | | | 5.4x | | |
|
Endeavour Mining PLC
|
| | | | 1.03x | | | | | | 5.4x | | | | | | 5.7x | | | | | | 5.4x | | | | | | 5.5x | | |
|
Equinox Gold Corp.
|
| | | | 0.81x | | | | | | 6.3x | | | | | | 5.5x | | | | | | 7.9x | | | | | | 6.7x | | |
|
Evolution Mining Limited
|
| | | | 1.11x | | | | | | 9.2x(1) | | | | | | 6.8x(1) | | | | | | 10.3x(1) | | | | | | 8.1x(1) | | |
|
Harmony Gold Mining Co. Ltd.
|
| | | | 3.07x | | | | | | 4.5x(1) | | | | | | 3.2x(1) | | | | | | 5.5x(1) | | | | | | 3.8x(1) | | |
|
IAMGOLD Corporation
|
| | | | 0.83x | | | | | | 5.2x | | | | | | 4.0x | | | | | | 4.9x | | | | | | 4.2x | | |
|
Kinross Gold Corporation
|
| | | | 0.93x | | | | | | 5.1x | | | | | | 4.8x | | | | | | 4.7x | | | | | | 4.7x | | |
|
New Gold Inc.
|
| | | | 0.89x | | | | | | 3.2x | | | | | | 2.5x | | | | | | 4.2x | | | | | | 3.1x | | |
|
OceanaGold Corporation
|
| | | | 1.05x | | | | | | 4.1x | | | | | | 3.9x | | | | | | 4.0x | | | | | | 3.8x | | |
|
Perseus Mining Limited
|
| | | | 0.97x | | | | | | 4.2x(1) | | | | | | 4.1x(1) | | | | | | 5.0x(1) | | | | | | 4.8x(1) | | |
|
Regis Resources Limited
|
| | | | 0.80x | | | | | | 3.9x(1) | | | | | | 3.1x(1) | | | | | | 4.0x(1) | | | | | | 3.4x(1) | | |
|
SSR Mining Inc
|
| | | | 1.16x | | | | | | 7.3x | | | | | | 7.1x | | | | | | 8.7x | | | | | | 8.6x | | |
|
Yamana Gold Inc.
|
| | | | 1.02x | | | | | | 6.7x | | | | | | 6.9x | | | | | | 6.9x | | | | | | 6.8x | | |
| Median | | | | | 0.97x | | | | | | 5.1x | | | | | | 4.3x | | | | | | 5.5x | | | | | | 5.4x | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Net Asset Value (Consensus)
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 9.51 | | | | | $ | 9.51 | | |
|
Selected P / NAV Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 0.90x | | | | | | 1.15x | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 8.56 | | | | | $ | 10.94 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2022E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 313 | | | | | $ | 435 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2022E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 4.0x | | | | | | 6.5x | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,251 | | | | | $ | 2,829 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 1,566 | | | | | $ | 3,541 | | |
|
Add: Cash
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 968 | | | | | $ | 968 | | |
|
Less: Debt
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | |
|
Implied Equity Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 2,509 | | | | | $ | 4,483 | | |
|
FD ITM Shares Outstanding(1)
|
| |
(M)
|
| | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 8.28 | | | | | $ | 14.79 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2023E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 288 | | | | | $ | 401 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2023E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 3.5x | | | | | | 6.0x | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,008 | | | | | $ | 2,408 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 1,261 | | | | | $ | 3,014 | | |
|
Add: Cash
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 968 | | | | | $ | 968 | | |
|
Less: Debt
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | |
|
Implied Equity Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 2,204 | | | | | $ | 3,956 | | |
|
FD ITM Shares Outstanding(1)
|
| |
(M)
|
| | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 7.27 | | | | | $ | 13.05 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Consensus 2022E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 479 | | | | | $ | 479 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2022E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 4.0x | | | | | | 6.5x | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,914 | | | | | $ | 3,110 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 2,395 | | | | | $ | 3,893 | | |
|
Add: Cash
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 968 | | | | | $ | 968 | | |
|
Less: Debt
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | |
|
Implied Equity Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 3,338 | | | | | $ | 4,835 | | |
|
FD ITM Shares Outstanding(1)
|
| |
(M)
|
| | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 11.01 | | | | | $ | 15.95 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Consensus 2023E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 419 | | | | | $ | 419 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2023E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 3.5x | | | | | | 6.0x | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,465 | | | | | $ | 2,511 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 1,833 | | | | | $ | 3,143 | | |
|
Add: Cash
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 968 | | | | | $ | 968 | | |
|
Less: Debt
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | |
|
Implied Equity Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 2,776 | | | | | $ | 4,085 | | |
|
FD ITM Shares Outstanding(1)
|
| |
(M)
|
| | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 9.16 | | | | | $ | 13.48 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2022E Cash Flow per Share
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 0.75 | | | | | $ | 1.10 | | |
|
Selected P / 2022E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 5.0x | | | | | | 7.5x | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 3.74 | | | | | $ | 8.24 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 4.69 | | | | | $ | 10.31 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2023E Cash Flow per Share
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 0.80 | | | | | $ | 1.14 | | |
|
Selected P / 2023E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 4.5x | | | | | | 7.0x | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 3.59 | | | | | $ | 7.96 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 4.49 | | | | | $ | 9.96 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Consensus 2022E Cash Flow per Share
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 1.50 | | | | | $ | 1.50 | | |
|
Selected P / 2022E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 5.0x | | | | | | 7.5x | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 7.50 | | | | | $ | 11.25 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 9.39 | | | | | $ | 14.08 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Consensus 2023E Cash Flow per Share
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 1.41 | | | | | $ | 1.41 | | |
|
Selected P / 2023E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 4.5x | | | | | | 7.0x | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 6.35 | | | | | $ | 9.87 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 7.94 | | | | | $ | 12.35 | | |
| | | |
Centerra Shares
|
| |||||||||
|
Metric
|
| |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
| | | |
(C$/sh)
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| ||||||
| Net Asset Value | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Net Asset Value
|
| | | $ | 7.90 | | | | | $ | 12.43 | | |
| Market Trading Multiples | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
P / Consensus NAV
|
| | | $ | 8.56 | | | | | $ | 10.94 | | |
|
EV / 2022E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 8.28 | | | | | $ | 14.79 | | |
|
EV / 2023E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 7.27 | | | | | $ | 13.05 | | |
|
EV / Consensus 2022E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 11.01 | | | | | $ | 15.95 | | |
|
EV / Consensus 2023E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 9.16 | | | | | $ | 13.48 | | |
|
P / 2022E CFPS
|
| | | $ | 4.69 | | | | | $ | 10.31 | | |
|
P / 2023E CFPS
|
| | | $ | 4.49 | | | | | $ | 9.96 | | |
|
P / Consensus 2022E CFPS
|
| | | $ | 9.39 | | | | | $ | 14.08 | | |
|
P / Consensus 2023E CFPS
|
| | | $ | 7.94 | | | | | $ | 12.35 | | |
|
Kyrgyz Republic WACC Calculation
|
| | | | | | |
| Cost of Debt | | | | | | | |
|
Pre-Tax Cost of Debt(1)
|
| | | | 4.2% | | |
|
Tax Rate
|
| | | | 26.5% | | |
|
After-Tax Cost of Debt
|
| | | | 3.1% | | |
|
Optimal Capital Structure (Debt / Total Capital %)
|
| | | | 1.0% | | |
| Cost of Equity | | | | | | | |
|
Risk Free Rate (10-Year Canada Government Bond Yield)
|
| | | | 2.4% | | |
|
S&P / TSX Composite Index – 5-Year Return (Annualized)
|
| | | | 7.1% | | |
|
Market Risk Premium
|
| | | | 4.7% | | |
|
Unlevered Beta(2)
|
| | | | 1.03x | | |
|
Levered Beta(3)
|
| | | | 1.04x | | |
|
Country Risk Premium – Kyrgyz Republic(4)
|
| | | | 9.7% | | |
|
Cost of Equity – Kyrgyz Republic
|
| | | | 17.0% | | |
| WACC | | | | | | | |
|
Calculated WACC – Kyrgyz Republic
|
| | | | 16.9% | | |
|
Selected Discount – Kyrgyz Republic
|
| | |
|
17.0%
|
| |
| | | | | | |
Modelled
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
|
Mining NAV
|
| |
Methodology
|
| |
Units
|
| |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| |
Consensus
|
| |||||||||
|
Kumtor
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,005 | | | | | $ | 1,514 | | | | | $ | 2,071 | | |
|
Kumtor Cost Adjustments
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (126) | | | | | $ | (126) | | | | | $ | (126) | | |
|
Kumtor Unmodelled Resource
|
| |
In-Situ
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 10 | | | | | $ | 21 | | | | | | n/a | | |
|
Total Mining NAV
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 890 | | | | | $ | 1,409 | | | | | $ | 1,945 | | |
|
Corporate G&A / Other
|
| |
DCF(1)
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | |
|
Total Net Asset Value
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 865 | | | | | $ | 1,384 | | | | | $ | 1,920 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| | | | |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | | | | | n/a | | |
|
Total Net Asset Value
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 173 | | | | | $ | 484 | | | | | | n/a | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
EV / Consensus EBITDA
|
| |
P / Consensus CFPS
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
|
Company
|
| |
P / Consensus NAV
|
| |
2022E
|
| |
2023E
|
| |
2022E
|
| |
2023E
|
| |||||||||||||||
|
Centamin plc
|
| | | | 1.01x | | | | | | 3.9x | | | | | | 3.0x | | | | | | 4.9x | | | | | | 4.2x | | |
|
K92 Mining, Inc.
|
| | | | 0.77x | | | | | | 12.0x | | | | | | 10.5x | | | | | | 15.0x | | | | | | 11.9x | | |
|
Gold Road Resources Ltd
|
| | | | 1.00x | | | | | | 7.8x(1) | | | | | | 5.7x(1) | | | | | | 9.4x(1) | | | | | | 7.5x(1) | | |
|
Lundin Gold Inc.
|
| | | | 1.05x | | | | | | 5.9x | | | | | | 6.4x | | | | | | 6.6x | | | | | | 7.2x | | |
|
Torex Gold Resources Inc.
|
| | | | 0.73x | | | | | | 1.7x | | | | | | 2.0x | | | | | | 3.2x | | | | | | 3.8x | | |
|
Victoria Gold Corp.
|
| | | | 0.82x | | | | | | 4.8x | | | | | | 4.7x | | | | | | 5.1x | | | | | | 4.9x | | |
|
West African Resources Ltd
|
| | | | 0.57x | | | | | | 3.9x | | | | | | 3.9x | | | | | | 8.8x | | | | | | 10.8x | | |
| Median | | | | | 0.82x | | | | | | 4.8x | | | | | | 4.7x | | | | | | 6.6x | | | | | | 7.2x | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Kumtor Consensus NAV
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,920 | | | | | $ | 1,920 | | |
|
Select P / Consensus NAV Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 0.60x | | | | | | 0.80x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,152 | | | | | $ | 1,536 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 230 | | | | | $ | 538 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2022E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 425 | | | | | $ | 538 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2022E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 3.0x | | | | | | 4.5x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,275 | | | | | $ | 2,421 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 255 | | | | | $ | 847 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2023E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 700 | | | | | $ | 842 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2023E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 2.5x | | | | | | 3.5x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,749 | | | | | $ | 2,946 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 350 | | | | | $ | 1,031 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2022E Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 326 | | | | | $ | 422 | | |
|
Selected P / 2022E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 4.0x | | | | | | 5.2x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,303 | | | | | $ | 2,197 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 261 | | | | | $ | 769 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2023E Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 567 | | | | | $ | 689 | | |
|
Selected P / 2023E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 3.8x | | | | | | 4.8x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 2,156 | | | | | $ | 3,308 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 431 | | | | | $ | 1,158 | | |
|
Date Announced
|
| |
Target Asset
|
| |
Vendor
|
| |
Acquiror
|
| |
Target Asset Location
|
| |
P / Consensus
NAV |
|
| 17-Dec-21 | | | Mercedes | | | Equinox Gold Corp. | | | Bear Creek Mining Corporation | | | Mexico | | |
1.21x
|
|
| 12-Feb-20 | | | Mponeng | | | AngloGold Ashanti Limited | | | Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | | | South Africa | | |
0.32x
|
|
| 15-Apr-19 | | | Chapada | | | Yamana Gold Inc. | | |
Lundin Mining Corporation
|
| | Brazil | | |
0.55x
|
|
| 29-Mar-18 | | | Asanko (45%) | | | Asanko Gold Inc. | | | Gold Fields Limited | | | Ghana | | |
0.62x
|
|
| 06-Apr-17 | | | Veladero (50%) | | |
Barrick Gold Corporation
|
| | Shandong Gold Mining Co. Ltd. | | | Argentina | | |
1.24x
|
|
| 12-Jan-17 | | | Los Filos | | | Goldcorp Inc. | | | Leagold Mining Corporation | | | Mexico | | |
1.19x
|
|
| 28-Jul-16 | | | Mercedes | | | Yamana Gold Inc. | | | Premier Gold Mines Limited | | | Mexico | | |
1.07x
|
|
| 26-Apr-16 | | | Jinfeng (82%) | | | Eldorado Gold Corporation | | | China National Gold Group Corporation | | | China | | |
1.06x
|
|
|
26-May-15
|
| |
Porgera (47.5%)
|
| |
Barrick Gold Corporation
|
| |
Zijin Mining Group Company Limited
|
| |
Papua New Guinea
|
| |
1.06x
|
|
| Median | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1.06x
|
|
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Kumtor Consensus NAV
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,920 | | | | | $ | 1,920 | | |
|
Select Precedent P / Consensus NAV Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 0.50x | | | | | | 0.65x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 960 | | | | | $ | 1,248 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 192 | | | | | $ | 437 | | |
|
Metric
|
| |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
| | | |
($M)
|
| |
($M)
|
| ||||||
| Permanent Seizure Perspective | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Zero Value
|
| | | $ | 0 | | | | | | − | | |
| Net Asset Value | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Net Asset Value
|
| | | $ | 173 | | | | | $ | 484 | | |
| Market Trading Multiples | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
P / Consensus NAV
|
| | | $ | 230 | | | | | $ | 538 | | |
|
EV / 2022E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 255 | | | | | $ | 847 | | |
|
EV / 2023E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 350 | | | | | $ | 1,031 | | |
|
P / 2022E CF
|
| | | $ | 261 | | | | | $ | 769 | | |
|
P / 2023E CF
|
| | | $ | 431 | | | | | $ | 1,158 | | |
| Precedent Transactions | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Select Precedent P / Consensus NAV
|
| | | $ | 192 | | | | | $ | 437 | | |
|
Name
|
| |
Position with Centerra
|
| |
Centerra
Shares |
| |
Centerra
Options |
| |
Centerra
PSUs |
| |
Centerra
RSUs |
| |
Centerra
DSUs |
|
|
Michael S. Parrett
|
| | Chair and Director | | | 7,598 | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | 130,790 | | | Nil | |
|
Bruce V. Walter
|
| | Vice Chair and Director | | | 15,000(1) | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | 30,695 | | | 212,306 | |
|
Scott G. Perry
|
| | Director, President and Chief Executive Officer | | | 73,556 | | | 441,739 | | | 239,905 | | | 199,687 | | | Nil | |
|
Richard W. Connor
|
| | Director | | | 20,000 | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | 60,687 | |
|
Dushen Kasenov(2)
|
| | Director | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | 14,490 | | | Nil | |
|
Nurlan Kyshtobaev(2)
|
| | Director | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | 10,399 | | | Nil | |
|
Jacques Perron
|
| | Director | | | 100,549 | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | Nil | |
|
Sheryl K. Pressler
|
| | Director | | | 39,966 | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | 33,414 | |
|
Paul N. Wright
|
| | Director | | | 7,500 | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | 8,192 | | | 12,296 | |
|
Susan L. Yurkovich
|
| | Director | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | 76,840 | |
|
Wendy Kei
|
| | Director | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | Nil | | | Nil | |
|
Daniel R. Desjardins(3)
|
| | Vice President and Chief Operating Officer | | | 120,995 | | | 348,477 | | | 98,868 | | | 83,662 | | | Nil | |
|
Claudia D’Orazio
|
| | Vice President, Chief Human Resources Officer | | | 7,386 | | | 88,182 | | | 67,876 | | | 50,490 | | | Nil | |
|
Darren J. Millman
|
| | Vice President and Chief Financial Officer | | | 24,822 | | | 313,843 | | | 102,676 | | | 144,090 | | | Nil | |
|
Dennis C. Kwong
|
| | Vice President, Business Development & Exploration | | | 51,967 | | | 664,304 | | | 83,176 | | | 80,277 | | | Nil | |
|
Yousef Rehman
|
| | Vice President and General Counsel | | | 26,600 | | | 218,215 | | | 78,721 | | | 62,448 | | | Nil | |
| | | |
Price Range
|
| | |||||||||||||||||
|
Period
|
| |
High (C$)
|
| |
Low (C$)
|
| |
Volume
|
| | |||||||||||
|
June 2021
|
| | | | 10.24 | | | | | | 9.34 | | | | | | 17,836,520 | | | | ||
|
July 2021
|
| | | | 10.13 | | | | | | 9.05 | | | | | | 14,404,570 | | | | ||
|
August 2021
|
| | | | 10.38 | | | | | | 8.59 | | | | | | 13,024,760 | | | | ||
|
September 2021
|
| | | | 9.58 | | | | | | 8.46 | | | | | | 10,029,600 | | | | ||
|
October 2021
|
| | | | 10.06 | | | | | | 8.60 | | | | | | 8,470,190 | | | | ||
|
November 2021
|
| | | | 10.92 | | | | | | 9.03 | | | | | | 12,211,010 | | | | ||
|
December 2021
|
| | | | 10.01 | | | | | | 8.60 | | | | | | 12,860,320 | | | | ||
|
January 2022
|
| | | | 11.22 | | | | | | 9.71 | | | | | | 11,429,050 | | | | ||
|
February 2022
|
| | | | 12.43 | | | | | | 9.89 | | | | | | 12,921,360 | | | | ||
|
March 2022
|
| | | | 13.52 | | | | | | 11.65 | | | | | | 19,048,780 | | | | | |
|
April 2022
|
| | | | 13.29 | | | | | | 11.28 | | | | | | 8,532,960 | | | | ||
|
May 2022
|
| | | | 11.72 | | | | | | 9.76 | | | | | | 10,268,030 | | | | ||
|
June 1 to 17, 2022
|
| | | | 10.77 | | | | | | 9.05 | | | | | | 9,818,280 | | | | ||
| | | |
Price Range
|
| |||||||||||||||
|
Period
|
| |
High ($)
|
| |
Low ($)
|
| |
Volume
|
| |||||||||
|
June 2021
|
| | | | 8.44 | | | | | | 7.54 | | | | | | 2,129,280 | | |
|
July 2021
|
| | | | 8.13 | | | | | | 7.14 | | | | | | 1,357,110 | | |
|
August 2021
|
| | | | 8.25 | | | | | | 6.71 | | | | | | 1,555,390 | | |
|
September 2021
|
| | | | 7.55 | | | | | | 6.64 | | | | | | 1,501,180 | | |
|
October 2021
|
| | | | 8.13 | | | | | | 6.80 | | | | | | 1,435,590 | | |
|
November 2021
|
| | | | 8.69 | | | | | | 7.04 | | | | | | 1,371,620 | | |
|
December 2021
|
| | | | 7.81 | | | | | | 6.67 | | | | | | 1,393,950 | | |
|
January 2022
|
| | | | 8.83 | | | | | | 7.73 | | | | | | 2,066,810 | | |
|
February 2022
|
| | | | 9.79 | | | | | | 7.80 | | | | | | 1,762,430 | | |
|
March 2022
|
| | | | 10.57 | | | | | | 9.22 | | | | | | 2,432,850 | | |
|
April 2022
|
| | | | 10.54 | | | | | | 8.85 | | | | | | 1,748,260 | | |
|
May 2022
|
| | | | 9.11 | | | | | | 7.54 | | | | | | 1,672,190 | | |
|
June 1 to 17, 2022
|
| | | | 8.56 | | | | | | 6.98 | | | | | | 1,076,530 | | |
|
Date
|
| |
Type of Security
Issued |
| |
Number of
Securities Issued |
| |
Issuance / Exercise Price
per Security |
| |||
|
Between June 2021 and June 2022
|
| |
Centerra Shares(1)
|
| | | | 128,048 | | | |
Between C$8.71 and C$12.22
|
|
|
Between June 2021 and June 2022
|
| |
Centerra Shares(2)
|
| | | | 495,407 | | | |
Between C$1.29 and C$13.50
|
|
|
Between June 2021 and June 2022
|
| |
Centerra Shares(3)
|
| | | | 134,129 | | | |
N/A
|
|
|
Between June 2021 and June 2022
|
| |
Centerra RSUs(4)
|
| | | | 114,189 | | | |
Between C$8.75 and C$12.21
|
|
|
Name
|
| |
Number of Shares
|
| |
Percentage
|
| ||||||
| Kyrgyzaltyn(1) | | | | | 77,401,766 | | | | | | 26.0% | | |
| BlackRock, Inc.(2) | | | | | 37,394,132 | | | | | | 12.6% | | |
| | | | | (signed) “Michael Parrett” | |
| | | | | Chair of the Board of Directors | |
June 21, 2022
June 21, 2022
ARRANGEMENT RESOLUTION
Canada Business Corporations Act
PLAN OF ARRANGEMENT
UNDER SECTION 192 OF THE
CANADA BUSINESS CORPORATIONS ACT
INTERPRETATION
THE ARRANGEMENT
WITHHOLDING
AMENDMENTS
FURTHER ASSURANCES
RELEASES
PARAMOUNTCY
CORMARK OPINION
1 University Avenue, Suite 1500
Toronto, Ontario
M5J 2P1
EIGHT CAPITAL VALUATION AND OPINION
1 University Avenue, Suite 1500
Toronto, ON M5J 2P1
|
Centerra WACC Calculation
|
| | | | | | |
| Cost of Debt | | | | | | | |
|
Pre-Tax Cost of Debt (Centerra Undrawn Corporate Facility Interest Rate)
|
| | | | 2.5% | | |
|
Tax Rate
|
| | | | 26.5% | | |
|
After-Tax Cost of Debt
|
| | | | 1.8% | | |
|
Optimal Capital Structure (Debt / Total Capital %)
|
| | | | 13.5% | | |
| Cost of Equity | | | | | | | |
|
Risk Free Rate (10-Year Canada Government Bond Yield)
|
| | | | 2.4% | | |
|
S&P / TSX Composite Index – 5-Year Return (Annualized)
|
| | | | 7.1% | | |
|
Market Risk Premium
|
| | | | 4.7% | | |
|
Unlevered Beta(1)
|
| | | | 1.04x | | |
|
Levered Beta(2)
|
| | | | 1.14x | | |
|
Development Risk Premium(3)
|
| | | | 4.0% | | |
|
Country Risk Premium – United States
|
| | | | 0.0% | | |
|
Country Risk Premium – Canada
|
| | | | 0.0% | | |
|
Country Risk Premium – Turkey(4)
|
| | | | 3.8% | | |
|
Cost of Equity – Canada & United States (Development)
|
| | | | 11.8% | | |
|
Cost of Equity – Canada (Producer)
|
| | | | 7.8% | | |
|
Cost of Equity – Turkey
|
| | | | 11.6% | | |
| WACC | | | | | | | |
|
Calculated WACC – Canada & United States (Development)
|
| | | | 10.5% | | |
|
Calculated WACC – Canada (Producer)
|
| | | | 7.0% | | |
|
Calculated WACC – Turkey
|
| | | | 10.3% | | |
|
Selected Discount – Canada & United States (Development)
|
| | | | 10.0% | | |
|
Selected Discount – Canada (Producer)
|
| | | | 7.0% | | |
|
Selected Discount – Turkey
|
| | | | 10.0% | | |
|
Corporate WACC(5)
|
| | | | 8.1% | | |
| | | | | | |
Modelled
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
|
Mining NAV
|
| |
Modelled Methodology
|
| |
Units
|
| |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| |
Consensus
|
| |||||||||
|
Mount Milligan
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 831 | | | | | $ | 1,188 | | | | | $ | 738 | | |
|
Oksut
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 477 | | | | | $ | 604 | | | | | $ | 700 | | |
|
Kemess
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 181 | | | | | $ | 297 | | | | | $ | 126 | | |
|
Goldfield
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 127 | | | | | $ | 217 | | | | | $ | 191 | | |
|
Other
|
| |
In-Situ Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (199) | | | | | $ | (189) | | | | | $ | 101 | | |
|
Exploration
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 5 | | | | | $ | 15 | | | | | | n/a | | |
|
Total Mining NAV
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | |
$
|
1,422
|
| | | |
$
|
2,132
|
| | | |
$
|
1,856
|
| |
| Corporate Adjustments | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Cash & Cash Equivalents(1)
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 757 | | | | | $ | 757 | | | | | $ | 757 | | |
|
Cash from ITM Securities
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 16 | | | | | $ | 16 | | | | | $ | 16 | | |
|
Kumtor Fair Market Value
|
| |
Fair Market Value of
Kumtor Shares to Centerra |
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 0 | | | | | $ | 500 | | | | | $ | 0 | | |
|
Greenstone Sale Future Proceeds
|
| |
DCF of future proceeds assuming
production start in 2025 (high) and 2027 (low) |
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 47 | | | | | $ | 57 | | | | | $ | 65 | | |
|
Goldfield Deferred Milestone
Payment |
| |
Assumes construction decision made in 2022 and payment made in cash |
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (32) | | | | | $ | (32) | | | | | $ | (32) | | |
|
Debt(2)
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (20) | | | | | $ | (20) | | | | | $ | (20) | | |
|
Corporate G&A / Other
|
| |
DCF(3)
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (276) | | | | | $ | (401) | | | | | $ | (338) | | |
|
Total Corporate Adjustments
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 493 | | | | | $ | 878 | | | | | $ | 448 | | |
|
Total Net Asset Value
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | |
$
|
1,915
|
| | | |
$
|
3,009
|
| | | |
$
|
2,304
|
| |
|
FDITM Shares Outstanding(4)
|
| | | | |
(M)
|
| | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | |
|
NAVPS
|
| | | | |
($/share)
|
| | | $ | 6.32 | | | | | $ | 9.93 | | | | | $ | 7.60 | | |
|
NAVPS
|
| | | | |
(C$/share)
|
| | | $ | 7.90 | | | | | $ | 12.43 | | | | | $ | 9.51(5) | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
EV / Consensus EBITDA
|
| |
P / Consensus CFPS
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
|
Company
|
| |
P / Consensus NAV
|
| |
2022E
|
| |
2023E
|
| |
2022E
|
| |
2023E
|
| |||||||||||||||
| | | |
(x)
|
| |
(x)
|
| |
(x)
|
| |
(x)
|
| |
(x)
|
| |||||||||||||||
|
Alamos Gold Inc.
|
| | | | 0.86x | | | | | | 8.1x | | | | | | 7.5x | | | | | | 9.3x | | | | | | 9.1x | | |
|
B2Gold Corp.
|
| | | | 1.09x | | | | | | 4.3x | | | | | | 4.3x | | | | | | 6.6x | | | | | | 6.3x | | |
|
Coeur Mining, Inc.
|
| | | | 0.98x | | | | | | 8.3x | | | | | | 10.3x | | | | | | 11.1x | | | | | | 9.9x | | |
|
Dundee Precious Metals Inc.
|
| | | | 0.71x | | | | | | 2.8x | | | | | | 2.7x | | | | | | 4.4x | | | | | | 4.0x | | |
|
Eldorado Gold Corporation
|
| | | | 0.65x | | | | | | 5.0x | | | | | | 4.3x | | | | | | 6.0x | | | | | | 5.4x | | |
|
Endeavour Mining PLC
|
| | | | 1.03x | | | | | | 5.4x | | | | | | 5.7x | | | | | | 5.4x | | | | | | 5.5x | | |
|
Equinox Gold Corp.
|
| | | | 0.81x | | | | | | 6.3x | | | | | | 5.5x | | | | | | 7.9x | | | | | | 6.7x | | |
|
Evolution Mining Limited
|
| | | | 1.11x | | | | | | 9.2x(1) | | | | | | 6.8x(1) | | | | | | 10.3x(1) | | | | | | 8.1x(1) | | |
|
Harmony Gold Mining Co. Ltd.
|
| | | | 3.07x | | | | | | 4.5x(1) | | | | | | 3.2x(1) | | | | | | 5.5x(1) | | | | | | 3.8x(1) | | |
|
IAMGOLD Corporation
|
| | | | 0.83x | | | | | | 5.2x | | | | | | 4.0x | | | | | | 4.9x | | | | | | 4.2x | | |
|
Kinross Gold Corporation
|
| | | | 0.93x | | | | | | 5.1x | | | | | | 4.8x | | | | | | 4.7x | | | | | | 4.7x | | |
|
New Gold Inc.
|
| | | | 0.89x | | | | | | 3.2x | | | | | | 2.5x | | | | | | 4.2x | | | | | | 3.1x | | |
|
OceanaGold Corporation
|
| | | | 1.05x | | | | | | 4.1x | | | | | | 3.9x | | | | | | 4.0x | | | | | | 3.8x | | |
|
Perseus Mining Limited
|
| | | | 0.97x | | | | | | 4.2x(1) | | | | | | 4.1x(1) | | | | | | 5.0x(1) | | | | | | 4.8x(1) | | |
|
Regis Resources Limited
|
| | | | 0.80x | | | | | | 3.9x(1) | | | | | | 3.1x(1) | | | | | | 4.0x(1) | | | | | | 3.4x(1) | | |
|
SSR Mining Inc
|
| | | | 1.16x | | | | | | 7.3x | | | | | | 7.1x | | | | | | 8.7x | | | | | | 8.6x | | |
|
Yamana Gold Inc.
|
| | | | 1.02x | | | | | | 6.7x | | | | | | 6.9x | | | | | | 6.9x | | | | | | 6.8x | | |
| Median | | | | | 0.97x | | | | | | 5.1x | | | | | | 4.3x | | | | | | 5.5x | | | | | | 5.4x | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Net Asset Value (Consensus)
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 9.51 | | | | | $ | 9.51 | | |
|
Selected P / NAV Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 0.90x | | | | | | 1.15x | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 8.56 | | | | | $ | 10.94 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2022E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 313 | | | | | $ | 435 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2022E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 4.0x | | | | | | 6.5x | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,251 | | | | | $ | 2,829 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 1,566 | | | | | $ | 3,541 | | |
|
Add: Cash
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 968 | | | | | $ | 968 | | |
|
Less: Debt
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | |
|
Implied Equity Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 2,509 | | | | | $ | 4,483 | | |
|
FD ITM Shares Outstanding(1)
|
| |
(M)
|
| | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 8.28 | | | | | $ | 14.79 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2023E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 288 | | | | | $ | 401 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2023E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 3.5x | | | | | | 6.0x | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,008 | | | | | $ | 2,408 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 1,261 | | | | | $ | 3,014 | | |
|
Add: Cash
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 968 | | | | | $ | 968 | | |
|
Less: Debt
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | |
|
Implied Equity Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 2,204 | | | | | $ | 3,956 | | |
|
FD ITM Shares Outstanding(1)
|
| |
(M)
|
| | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 7.27 | | | | | $ | 13.05 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Consensus 2022E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 479 | | | | | $ | 479 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2022E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 4.0x | | | | | | 6.5x | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,914 | | | | | $ | 3,110 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 2,395 | | | | | $ | 3,893 | | |
|
Add: Cash
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 968 | | | | | $ | 968 | | |
|
Less: Debt
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | |
|
Implied Equity Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 3,338 | | | | | $ | 4,835 | | |
|
FD ITM Shares Outstanding(1)
|
| |
(M)
|
| | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 11.01 | | | | | $ | 15.95 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Consensus 2023E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 419 | | | | | $ | 419 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2023E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 3.5x | | | | | | 6.0x | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,465 | | | | | $ | 2,511 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Enterprise Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 1,833 | | | | | $ | 3,143 | | |
|
Add: Cash
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 968 | | | | | $ | 968 | | |
|
Less: Debt
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | |
|
Implied Equity Value
|
| |
(C$M)
|
| | | $ | 2,776 | | | | | $ | 4,085 | | |
|
FD ITM Shares Outstanding(1)
|
| |
(M)
|
| | | | 303.1 | | | | | | 303.1 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 9.16 | | | | | $ | 13.48 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2022E Cash Flow per Share
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 0.75 | | | | | $ | 1.10 | | |
|
Selected P / 2022E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 5.0x | | | | | | 7.5x | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 3.74 | | | | | $ | 8.24 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 4.69 | | | | | $ | 10.31 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2023E Cash Flow per Share
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 0.80 | | | | | $ | 1.14 | | |
|
Selected P / 2023E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 4.5x | | | | | | 7.0x | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 3.59 | | | | | $ | 7.96 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 4.49 | | | | | $ | 9.96 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Consensus 2022E Cash Flow per Share
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 1.50 | | | | | $ | 1.50 | | |
|
Selected P / 2022E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 5.0x | | | | | | 7.5x | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 7.50 | | | | | $ | 11.25 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 9.39 | | | | | $ | 14.08 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Consensus 2023E Cash Flow per Share
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 1.41 | | | | | $ | 1.41 | | |
|
Selected P / 2023E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 4.5x | | | | | | 7.0x | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
($/sh)
|
| | | $ | 6.35 | | | | | $ | 9.87 | | |
|
Exchange Rate
|
| |
($/C$)
|
| | | | 1.25 | | | | | | 1.25 | | |
|
Implied Value
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| | | $ | 7.94 | | | | | $ | 12.35 | | |
| | | |
Centerra Shares
|
| |||||||||
|
Metric
|
| |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
| | | |
(C$/sh)
|
| |
(C$/sh)
|
| ||||||
| Net Asset Value | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Net Asset Value
|
| | | $ | 7.90 | | | | | $ | 12.43 | | |
| Market Trading Multiples | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
P / Consensus NAV
|
| | | $ | 8.56 | | | | | $ | 10.94 | | |
|
EV / 2022E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 8.28 | | | | | $ | 14.79 | | |
|
EV / 2023E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 7.27 | | | | | $ | 13.05 | | |
|
EV / Consensus 2022E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 11.01 | | | | | $ | 15.95 | | |
|
EV / Consensus 2023E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 9.16 | | | | | $ | 13.48 | | |
|
P / 2022E CFPS
|
| | | $ | 4.69 | | | | | $ | 10.31 | | |
|
P / 2023E CFPS
|
| | | $ | 4.49 | | | | | $ | 9.96 | | |
|
P / Consensus 2022E CFPS
|
| | | $ | 9.39 | | | | | $ | 14.08 | | |
|
P / Consensus 2023E CFPS
|
| | | $ | 7.94 | | | | | $ | 12.35 | | |
|
Kyrgyz Republic WACC Calculation
|
| | | | | | |
| Cost of Debt | | | | | | | |
|
Pre-Tax Cost of Debt(1)
|
| | | | 4.2% | | |
|
Tax Rate
|
| | | | 26.5% | | |
|
After-Tax Cost of Debt
|
| | | | 3.1% | | |
|
Optimal Capital Structure (Debt / Total Capital %)
|
| | | | 1.0% | | |
| Cost of Equity | | | | | | | |
|
Risk Free Rate (10-Year Canada Government Bond Yield)
|
| | | | 2.4% | | |
|
S&P / TSX Composite Index – 5-Year Return (Annualized)
|
| | | | 7.1% | | |
|
Market Risk Premium
|
| | | | 4.7% | | |
|
Unlevered Beta(2)
|
| | | | 1.03x | | |
|
Levered Beta(3)
|
| | | | 1.04x | | |
|
Country Risk Premium – Kyrgyz Republic(4)
|
| | | | 9.7% | | |
|
Cost of Equity – Kyrgyz Republic
|
| | | | 17.0% | | |
| WACC | | | | | | | |
|
Calculated WACC – Kyrgyz Republic
|
| | | | 16.9% | | |
|
Selected Discount – Kyrgyz Republic
|
| | |
|
17.0%
|
| |
| | | | | | |
Modelled
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
|
Mining NAV
|
| |
Methodology
|
| |
Units
|
| |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| |
Consensus
|
| |||||||||
|
Kumtor
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,005 | | | | | $ | 1,514 | | | | | $ | 2,071 | | |
|
Kumtor Cost Adjustments
|
| |
DCF
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (126) | | | | | $ | (126) | | | | | $ | (126) | | |
|
Kumtor Unmodelled Resource
|
| |
In-Situ
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 10 | | | | | $ | 21 | | | | | | n/a | | |
|
Total Mining NAV
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 890 | | | | | $ | 1,409 | | | | | $ | 1,945 | | |
|
Corporate G&A / Other
|
| |
DCF(1)
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (25) | | |
|
Total Net Asset Value
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 865 | | | | | $ | 1,384 | | | | | $ | 1,920 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| | | | |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | | | | | n/a | | |
|
Total Net Asset Value
|
| | | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 173 | | | | | $ | 484 | | | | | | n/a | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
EV / Consensus EBITDA
|
| |
P / Consensus CFPS
|
| ||||||||||||||||||
|
Company
|
| |
P / Consensus NAV
|
| |
2022E
|
| |
2023E
|
| |
2022E
|
| |
2023E
|
| |||||||||||||||
|
Centamin plc
|
| | | | 1.01x | | | | | | 3.9x | | | | | | 3.0x | | | | | | 4.9x | | | | | | 4.2x | | |
|
K92 Mining, Inc.
|
| | | | 0.77x | | | | | | 12.0x | | | | | | 10.5x | | | | | | 15.0x | | | | | | 11.9x | | |
|
Gold Road Resources Ltd
|
| | | | 1.00x | | | | | | 7.8x(1) | | | | | | 5.7x(1) | | | | | | 9.4x(1) | | | | | | 7.5x(1) | | |
|
Lundin Gold Inc.
|
| | | | 1.05x | | | | | | 5.9x | | | | | | 6.4x | | | | | | 6.6x | | | | | | 7.2x | | |
|
Torex Gold Resources Inc.
|
| | | | 0.73x | | | | | | 1.7x | | | | | | 2.0x | | | | | | 3.2x | | | | | | 3.8x | | |
|
Victoria Gold Corp.
|
| | | | 0.82x | | | | | | 4.8x | | | | | | 4.7x | | | | | | 5.1x | | | | | | 4.9x | | |
|
West African Resources Ltd
|
| | | | 0.57x | | | | | | 3.9x | | | | | | 3.9x | | | | | | 8.8x | | | | | | 10.8x | | |
| Median | | | | | 0.82x | | | | | | 4.8x | | | | | | 4.7x | | | | | | 6.6x | | | | | | 7.2x | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Kumtor Consensus NAV
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,920 | | | | | $ | 1,920 | | |
|
Select P / Consensus NAV Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 0.60x | | | | | | 0.80x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,152 | | | | | $ | 1,536 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 230 | | | | | $ | 538 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2022E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 425 | | | | | $ | 538 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2022E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 3.0x | | | | | | 4.5x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,275 | | | | | $ | 2,421 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 255 | | | | | $ | 847 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2023E EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 700 | | | | | $ | 842 | | |
|
Selected EV / 2023E EBITDA Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 2.5x | | | | | | 3.5x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,749 | | | | | $ | 2,946 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 350 | | | | | $ | 1,031 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2022E Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 326 | | | | | $ | 422 | | |
|
Selected P / 2022E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 4.0x | | | | | | 5.2x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,303 | | | | | $ | 2,197 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 261 | | | | | $ | 769 | | |
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Modelled 2023E Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 567 | | | | | $ | 689 | | |
|
Selected P / 2023E CF Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 3.8x | | | | | | 4.8x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 2,156 | | | | | $ | 3,308 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 431 | | | | | $ | 1,158 | | |
|
Date Announced
|
| |
Target Asset
|
| |
Vendor
|
| |
Acquiror
|
| |
Target Asset Location
|
| |
P / Consensus
NAV |
|
| 17-Dec-21 | | | Mercedes | | | Equinox Gold Corp. | | | Bear Creek Mining Corporation | | | Mexico | | |
1.21x
|
|
| 12-Feb-20 | | | Mponeng | | | AngloGold Ashanti Limited | | | Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | | | South Africa | | |
0.32x
|
|
| 15-Apr-19 | | | Chapada | | | Yamana Gold Inc. | | | Lundin Mining Corporation | | | Brazil | | |
0.55x
|
|
| 29-Mar-18 | | | Asanko (45%) | | | Asanko Gold Inc. | | | Gold Fields Limited | | | Ghana | | |
0.62x
|
|
| 06-Apr-17 | | | Veladero (50%) | | |
Barrick Gold Corporation
|
| | Shandong Gold Mining Co. Ltd. | | | Argentina | | |
1.24x
|
|
| 12-Jan-17 | | | Los Filos | | | Goldcorp Inc. | | | Leagold Mining Corporation | | | Mexico | | |
1.19x
|
|
| 28-Jul-16 | | | Mercedes | | | Yamana Gold Inc. | | | Premier Gold Mines Limited | | | Mexico | | |
1.07x
|
|
| 26-Apr-16 | | | Jinfeng (82%) | | | Eldorado Gold Corporation | | | China National Gold Group Corporation | | | China | | |
1.06x
|
|
|
26-May-15
|
| |
Porgera (47.5%)
|
| |
Barrick Gold Corporation
|
| |
Zijin Mining Group Company Limited
|
| |
Papua New Guinea
|
| |
1.06x
|
|
| Median | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1.06x
|
|
| | | | | | |
Scenario
|
| |||||||||
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Kumtor Consensus NAV
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 1,920 | | | | | $ | 1,920 | | |
|
Select Precedent P / Consensus NAV Multiple
|
| |
(x)
|
| | | | 0.50x | | | | | | 0.65x | | |
|
Kumtor Implied Value
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 960 | | | | | $ | 1,248 | | |
|
Recovery Discount
|
| |
(%)
|
| | | | 80% | | | | | | 65% | | |
| | | |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 192 | | | | | $ | 437 | | |
|
Metric
|
| |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
| | | |
($M)
|
| |
($M)
|
| ||||||
| Permanent Seizure Perspective | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Zero Value
|
| | | $ | 0 | | | | | | − | | |
| Net Asset Value | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Net Asset Value
|
| | | $ | 173 | | | | | $ | 484 | | |
| Market Trading Multiples | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
P / Consensus NAV
|
| | | $ | 230 | | | | | $ | 538 | | |
|
EV / 2022E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 255 | | | | | $ | 847 | | |
|
EV / 2023E EBITDA
|
| | | $ | 350 | | | | | $ | 1,031 | | |
|
P / 2022E CF
|
| | | $ | 261 | | | | | $ | 769 | | |
|
P / 2023E CF
|
| | | $ | 431 | | | | | $ | 1,158 | | |
| Precedent Transactions | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Select Precedent P / Consensus NAV
|
| | | $ | 192 | | | | | $ | 437 | | |
| | | | | | |
Low
|
| |
High
|
| ||||||
|
Kyrgyzaltyn Share Block
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 588 | | | | | $ | 804 | | |
|
Total assets exchanged by Centerra(1)
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 87 | | | | | $ | 587 | | |
|
Metal
|
| |
Unit
|
| |
Median
|
| |||
|
Gold
|
| |
($/oz)
|
| | | $ | 1,600 | | |
|
Silver
|
| |
($/oz)
|
| | | $ | 21.57 | | |
|
Copper
|
| |
($/lb)
|
| | | $ | 4.24 | | |
|
Mount Milligan
|
| | | | |
2022E
|
| |
2023E
|
| |
2024E
|
| |
2025E
|
| |
2026E
|
| |||||||||||||||
| Production | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Gold
|
| |
(Koz)
|
| | | | 204 | | | | | | 244 | | | | | | 230 | | | | | | 154 | | | | | | 162 | | |
|
Silver
|
| |
(Koz)
|
| | | | 621 | | | | | | 622 | | | | | | 628 | | | | | | 665 | | | | | | 665 | | |
|
Copper
|
| |
(Mlbs)
|
| | | | 77 | | | | | | 59 | | | | | | 64 | | | | | | 78 | | | | | | 105 | | |
|
Revenue
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 507 | | | | | $ | 481 | | | | | $ | 480 | | | | | $ | 458 | | | | | $ | 557 | | |
|
EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 215 | | | | | $ | 195 | | | | | $ | 196 | | | | | $ | 185 | | | | | $ | 266 | | |
|
Operating Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 202 | | | | | $ | 197 | | | | | $ | 204 | | | | | $ | 154 | | | | | $ | 267 | | |
|
Capex
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (68) | | | | | $ | (56) | | | | | $ | (52) | | | | | $ | (39) | | | | | $ | (28) | | |
|
Free Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 142 | | | | | $ | 149 | | | | | $ | 159 | | | | | $ | 119 | | | | | $ | 244 | | |
|
Oksut
|
| | | | |
2022E
|
| |
2023E
|
| |
2024E
|
| |
2025E
|
| |
2026E
|
| |||||||||||||||
| Production | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Gold
|
| |
(Koz)
|
| | | | 221 | | | | | | 204 | | | | | | 149 | | | | | | 57 | | | | | | 115 | | |
|
Revenue
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 353 | | | | | $ | 325 | | | | | $ | 237 | | | | | $ | 148 | | | | | $ | 138 | | |
|
EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 265 | | | | | $ | 227 | | | | | $ | 148 | | | | | $ | 78 | | | | | $ | 77 | | |
|
Operating Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 209 | | | | | $ | 206 | | | | | $ | 118 | | | | | $ | 51 | | | | | $ | 53 | | |
|
Capex
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (18) | | | | | $ | (23) | | | | | $ | (9) | | | | | $ | (5) | | | | | $ | (10) | | |
|
Free Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 190 | | | | | $ | 182 | | | | | $ | 109 | | | | | $ | 46 | | | | | $ | 43 | | |
|
Kemess
|
| | | | |
2027E
|
| |
2028E
|
| |
2029E
|
| |
2030E
|
| |
2031E
|
| |||||||||||||||
| Production | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Gold
|
| |
(Koz)
|
| | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 16 | | | | | | 94 | | |
|
Silver
|
| |
(Koz)
|
| | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 46 | | | | | | 246 | | |
|
Copper
|
| |
(Mlbs)
|
| | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 7 | | | | | | 39 | | |
|
Revenue
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 0 | | | | | $ | 0 | | | | | $ | 0 | | | | | $ | 53 | | | | | $ | 290 | | |
|
EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (27) | | | | | $ | (32) | | | | | $ | (39) | | | | | $ | (22) | | | | | $ | 175 | | |
|
Operating Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (25) | | | | | $ | (32) | | | | | $ | (39) | | | | | $ | (22) | | | | | $ | 172 | | |
|
Capex
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (42) | | | | | $ | (63) | | | | | $ | (134) | | | | | $ | (84) | | | | | $ | (42) | | |
|
Free Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (57) | | | | | $ | (83) | | | | | $ | (160) | | | | | $ | (105) | | | | | $ | 130 | | |
|
Goldfield
|
| | | | |
2023E
|
| |
2024E
|
| |
2025E
|
| |
2026E
|
| |
2027E
|
| |||||||||||||||
| Production | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Gold
|
| |
(Koz)
|
| | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 153 | | | | | | 89 | | |
|
Revenue
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 0 | | | | | $ | 0 | | | | | $ | 0 | | | | | $ | 245 | | | | | $ | 142 | | |
|
EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 0 | | | | | $ | 0 | | | | | $ | 0 | | | | | $ | 170 | | | | | $ | 70 | | |
|
Operating Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (2) | | | | | $ | (2) | | | | | $ | (2) | | | | | $ | 163 | | | | | $ | 68 | | |
|
Capex
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (29) | | | | | $ | (92) | | | | | $ | (65) | | | | | $ | (9) | | | | | $ | (17) | | |
|
Free Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (31) | | | | | $ | (94) | | | | | $ | (67) | | | | | $ | 154 | | | | | $ | 52 | | |
|
Kumtor
|
| | | | |
2022E
|
| |
2023E
|
| |
2024E
|
| |
2025E
|
| |
2026E
|
| |||||||||||||||
| Production | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Gold
|
| |
(Koz)
|
| | | | 461 | | | | | | 592 | | | | | | 592 | | | | | | 588 | | | | | | 572 | | |
|
Revenue
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 745 | | | | | $ | 938 | | | | | $ | 938 | | | | | $ | 938 | | | | | $ | 906 | | |
|
EBITDA
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 482 | | | | | $ | 771 | | | | | $ | 800 | | | | | $ | 750 | | | | | $ | 665 | | |
|
Operating Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 374 | | | | | $ | 628 | | | | | $ | 658 | | | | | $ | 611 | | | | | $ | 530 | | |
|
Capex
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | (254) | | | | | $ | (313) | | | | | $ | (317) | | | | | $ | (247) | | | | | $ | (197) | | |
|
Free Cash Flow
|
| |
($M)
|
| | | $ | 114 | | | | | $ | 309 | | | | | $ | 338 | | | | | $ | 363 | | | | | $ | 333 | | |
INTERIM ORDER
NOTICE OF APPLICATION
in executing your proxy or voting instruction form,
please call Morrow Sodali at:
Outside North America, Banks, Brokers and Collect Calls: 1.289.695.3075
Email: assistance@morrowsodali.com
North American Toll-Free Facsimile: 1.877.218.5372
Toronto, ON M5J 2P1
P: 1.416.204.1953 | E: info@centerragold.com
Exhibit 99.2
NOTICE OF SPECIAL MEETING OF SHAREHOLDERS
Dear Shareholder:
NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that, pursuant to an order (the “Interim Order”) of the Ontario Superior Court of Justice (Commercial List) dated April 28, 2022, a special meeting (the “Meeting”) of the holders (the “Centerra Shareholders”) of common shares (“Centerra Shares”) in the capital of Centerra Gold Inc. (“Centerra” or the “Corporation”) will be held via a live audio webcast online at https://web.lumiagm.com/ 422352408 on July 25, 2022 at 11:00 a.m. (Toronto time) in order for Centerra Shareholders:
| (a) | to consider and, if deemed advisable, to pass, with or without variation, a resolution (the “Arrangement Resolution”), the full text of which is set forth in Appendix A to the accompanying management information circular (the “Management Information Circular”), approving the plan of arrangement (the “Plan ofArrangement”) under section 192 of the Canada Business Corporations Act, substantially in the form included in Appendix B to the Management Information Circular. The Plan of Arrangement will result in, among other things, Kyrgyzaltyn JSC (“Kyrgyzaltyn”) selling to Centerra all of its Centerra Shares for cancellation, representing an approximate 26.0% equity interest in the Corporation, in exchange for the Corporation’s 100% equity interest in its two Kyrgyz subsidiaries, Kumtor Gold Company CJSC and Kumtor Operating Company CJSC, and, indirectly, the Kumtor mine plus a cash payment (a portion of which will be withheld on account of Canadian withholding taxes payable by Kyrgyzaltyn) pursuant to that certain global arrangement agreement dated April 4, 2022 entered into by, among others, Centerra, Kyrgyzaltyn and the Kyrgyz Republic represented by the Cabinet of Ministers of the Kyrgyz Republic, acting on behalf of the Kyrgyz Republic; and |
| (b) | to transact such further or other business as may properly come before the Meeting or any adjournment(s) or postponement(s) thereof. |
In light of the continuing COVID-19 pandemic, Centerra will hold the Meeting in a virtual-only format. On the Meeting website, hhttps://web.lumiagm.com/422352408, Centerra Shareholders will have an equal opportunity to attend, ask questions and vote their Centerra Shares at the Meeting, regardless of geographic location. Centerra Shareholders will not be able to physically attend the Meeting.
The record date to determine which Centerra Shareholders are entitled to receive notice of and to vote online at the Meeting, or any postponement or adjournment thereof, is June 27, 2022 (the “Record Date”).
The accompanying Management Information Circular makes reference to “registered” and “non-registered” Centerra Shareholders. In reviewing the Management Information Circular and other proxy-related materials, a Centerra Shareholder should first determine whether it is a “registered shareholder” or “non-registered shareholder”. A Centerra Shareholder is a “non-registered shareholder” if it holds its Centerra Shares indirectly and such Centerra Shares are registered in the name of an intermediary (such as a broker, investment dealer, bank, trust company, trustee, administrator or other nominee (an “Intermediary”), or in the name of a depository of which the Intermediary is a participant). A Centerra Shareholder is a “registered shareholder” if its name appears directly on Centerra share certificates.
Centerra Shareholders whose names have been entered in the register of Centerra Shareholders at the close of business on the Record Date and duly appointed proxyholders will be entitled to receive notice of and to vote online at the Meeting. Non-registered Centerra Shareholders (being Centerra Shareholders who beneficially own Centerra Shares that are registered in the name of an Intermediary or in the name of a depository of which the Intermediary is a participant) who have not duly appointed themselves as proxyholder will be able to attend the virtual Meeting as guests, but guests will not be able to vote or ask questions at the Meeting.
A Centerra Shareholder who wishes to appoint a person other than the Centerra proxyholders identified on the form of proxy or voting instruction form (including a non-registered Centerra Shareholder who wishes to appoint themselves as proxyholder in order to attend and vote online at the Meeting) must carefully follow the instructions in the accompanying Management Information Circular and on their form of proxy or voting instruction form, as applicable. These instructions include the additional step of registering such proxyholder with our transfer agent, TSX Trust Company (“TSX Trust”), after submitting a form of proxy or voting instruction form, as applicable. Failure to so register will result in the proxyholder not receiving a Control Number, which is used as their online sign-in credentials and is required for them to vote at the Meeting. Without a Control Number, such proxyholder will only be able to attend the virtual Meeting as a guest. Non-registered Centerra Shareholders located in the United States must also provide TSX Trust with a duly completed legal proxy if they wish to vote online at the Meeting or appoint a third party as their proxyholder.
Your vote is extremely important to the future of Centerra. Whether or not you plan to attend the Meeting virtually, we encourage you to vote promptly by completing the enclosed form of proxy and submitting it to TSX Trust as soon as possible but no later than 11:00 a.m. (Toronto time) on July 21, 2022, or if the Meeting is adjourned or postponed, at least 48 hours (excluding Saturdays, Sundays and statutory holidays in the Province of Ontario) prior to the time when the adjourned or postponed Meeting is reconvened or convened, as applicable. Notwithstanding the foregoing, the Chair of the Meeting has the discretion to accept proxies received after such deadline. The time limit for deposit of proxies may be waived or extended by the Chair of the Meeting at his or her discretion, without notice.
BY ORDER OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS OF CENTERRA
| (signed) “Yousef Rehman” |
Yousef Rehman
Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
June 21, 2022
2
Exhibit 99.4
CENTERRA GOLD INC.
(the “Corporation”)
CERTIFICATE OF OFFICER
| TO: | The Canadian Securities Regulatory Authorities in each of the Provinces and Territories of Canada |
| RE: | Abridgement of time pursuant to National Instrument 54-101 – Communication with Beneficial Owners of Securities of a Reporting Issuer (“NI 54-101”) |
The undersigned, Yousef Rehman, the duly appointed Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of the Corporation, hereby certifies for and on behalf of the Corporation and not in his personal capacity, intending that the same may be relied upon by you without further inquiry, that the Corporation is relying on section 2.20 of NI 54-101 pertaining to the abridgement of time prescribed by subsections 2.1(b), 2.2(1) and 2.5(1) of NI 54-101 and the requirements set forth in section 2.20 have been complied with. Specifically:
| (a) | the Corporation has arranged to have proxy-related materials for the special meeting of the holders of common shares of the Corporation to be held on July 25, 2022 to be sent in compliance with the timing requirements in sections 2.9 and 2.12 of NI 54-101; |
| (b) | the Corporation has arranged to carry out all of the requirements in NI 54-101 in addition to those described in paragraph (a) above; and |
| (c) | the Corporation is relying upon section 2.20 of NI 54-101. |
[Signature page follows]
DATED as of June 22, 2022.
| By: | (signed) “Yousef Rehman” | |
| Yousef Rehman | ||
| Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary |