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Etsy Inc Q2 FY2025 Earnings Call

Etsy Inc (ETSY)

Earnings Call FY2025 Q2 Call date: 2025-07-30 Concluded

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Speaker 0

Hi, everyone, and welcome to Etsy's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. I'm Deb Wasser, VP of Investor Relations. And joining me today for our prerecording are Josh Silverman, CEO; Lanny Baker, our CFO; and Kruti Patel Goyal, President and Chief Growth Officer. Once we are finished with the presentation, Josh and Lanny will take questions from our publishing sell-side analysts on video. Please keep in mind that our remarks today include forward-looking statements related to our financial guidance, our business and our operating results, as noted in the slide deck posted to our website for your reference. Our actual results may differ materially. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, some of which are described in today's earnings release and our most recent periodic report and which will be updated in future periodic reports that we file with the SEC. Any forward-looking statements we make on this call are based on our beliefs and assumptions today, and we disclaim any obligation to update them. Also during the call, we'll present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures, which are reconciled to GAAP financial measures in today's earnings press release and our slide deck posted on our IR website, along with a replay of this call. With that, I'll turn it over to Josh.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Deb, and thank you all for joining us. I'm pleased to review our second quarter 2025 results, which exceeded top line expectations with adjusted EBITDA margin in line with guidance. Lanny will detail the financials shortly. I'll focus on performance drivers and then Kruti will put further definition around our key near-term growth initiatives. I'm really encouraged that our performance in the quarter is directly related to the strategic shift we made midway through last year. As you may recall, we changed our ways of working, challenging ourselves to make Etsy a more delightful place to shop and not just to buy. We centered our teams on elevating the holistic customer experience, a concept best illustrated by our customer relationship flywheel. By creating more intuitive, browsable app-first services built on a foundation of more robust customer insights, we can understand our customers' interests more deeply. This, in turn, fuels the powerful LLMs essential for building a truly personalized shopping journey. We're seeing early promising signals that our flywheel is gaining speed. We're fueling reengagement through product improvements and owned marketing channels, helped with Discovery on site, complemented by increased paid social investment where people discover off-site. These focused efforts combined with external factors like favorable competitive dynamics in paid search and relatively stable consumer spending helped the Etsy marketplace deliver a quarter that exceeded our prior expectations, with GMS down 5.4% year-over-year, a notable improvement from the prior quarter. And while we're, of course, not satisfied with the year-over-year decline, we do believe this sets us back on a path to growth. Complementing this, Depop reported an excellent quarter with GMS growth accelerating to 35% year-over-year, reaching an annualized run rate of $1 billion in GMS. In the U.S., GMS grew 54% year-over-year, positioning Depop as the fastest-growing player in this large online fashion resale market and by a wide margin. Now in Q3, we've started to build on this momentum with accelerated marketing investments geared towards driving awareness across an even bigger audience through more diverse channels and community-led programs. As we embark on Depop's next chapter of growth, I'm pleased to announce that Peter Semple, previously the company's Chief Marketing Officer and acting CEO, has been appointed the permanent Depop CEO. Peter is an exceptional leader who deeply understands the Depop brand, customers and needs of the business and has a passion for the Depop community. Moving back to Etsy. The app is key to our flywheel. Today, it's not just different than a year ago. It's markedly better, more intuitive, more inspiring and a lot more browsable, with the introduction of multiple new features you can see by simply opening the app homepage. We're tracking user perceptions of our work in real time. And during the quarter, survey results indicated an increase in app visit satisfaction across all our frequency segments, with shoppers reporting greater ease of browsing. Equally encouraging, data indicates a jump in buyers who say, 'I'm loving every second of my visit on Etsy today' and more buyers agree that we're consistently showing high-quality items. As the app user experience and consumer perception have improved, App GMS has outpaced non-app GMS, growing year-over-year in the second quarter and rising to almost 45% of total GMS. We believe these indicators show we're moving in the right direction as we aim to make the Etsy app a source for discovery and inspiration early, not just at the end of your journey when you're ready to buy. And there's more to come. Our pre-holiday product development roadmap includes improved app navigation, better buyer-seller conversations, more informed browsing and substantially improved matching models to pick the best content for you. In addition to making our experience more browsable, we're harnessing what we learn about our buyers, proving we get them by delivering more personalized content via owned marketing channels, including email and push notifications, which are becoming increasingly powerful drivers of customer connectivity. In the second quarter, we grew attributed GMS from these channels by one-third year-over-year, driven by higher open rates, which we achieved by including more personalized content in our messages. In Q2, about 40% of our email and push communications were personalized and by year-end, we're targeting to have nearly every one of these communications tailored to each buyer, which we believe will add fuel to our organic flywheel over time. When it comes to agentic shopping, as you've heard me say before, we believe Etsy is uniquely positioned to benefit due to our sellers' massive set of unique and highly differentiated inventory. While still very early days, we're actively engaged to best position Etsy as a winner in agentic shopping. Third-party data points to that opportunity. Our recent report shows while overall volume is small, Etsy is already one of the top retail e-commerce recipients of agentic chatbot traffic. And in another proof point of how we're viewed in the space, we were featured in Apple's 2025 Worldwide Developers Conference as part of an update to Visual Intelligence, which builds on Apple intelligence to help users do more with what they see across their iPhones. By seamlessly integrating into this experience, Etsy makes it easier than ever for users to discover and shop for unique handcrafted items. In closing, we're encouraged by our recent performance and working with urgency and a clear vision to get back to where we believe we belong, an e-commerce market share gainer. With that, I'll hand it to Kruti to detail our near-term priorities.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Josh, and good morning, everyone. Since stepping into my new role as Chief Growth Officer, I've had the unique opportunity to immerse myself in the Etsy platform and experience with a fresh perspective from my time leading Depop to develop our approach to tackling the opportunity ahead. My focus has been on translating these observations into actionable priorities to set us on a clear path to sustain growth. We believe that there is immense opportunity ahead that can be unlocked by addressing the needs of our customers across multiple touch points in their journeys. To achieve this, we've reoriented our customer-facing teams from product development and marketing to customer support and trust and safety to work in lockstep, aligned around four shared priorities to improve the customer experience. These four priorities are showing up where shoppers discover, on and off Etsy; matching shoppers with the right inventory through even better machine learning; retaining and rewarding our most valuable customers; and further amplifying the human connection you can only find on Etsy. Let's start with how we're showing up where our customers discover. We want shoppers to engage with Etsy naturally across all the places they spend time: social platforms, mobile apps, search engines and AI tools. As just one tangible example of our efforts, while brand media has worked very well for Etsy in terms of driving top-of-mind awareness, we've made meaningful shifts in our brand media mix. By the fourth quarter of this year, we'll dial down our linear cable TV investment to an estimated low single-digit portion of our U.S. brand media spend. It was about one-third of that spend in Q4 2024. And we'll have dramatically shifted to OTT, audio, digital video and other streaming platforms, which will represent about 65% of our Q4 brand spend, up from about 40% a year ago. We've also meaningfully increased our use of partnerships and influencers to build awareness and credibility. As Josh covered, these efforts go hand-in-hand with our work to build a better app experience. So that when we reach buyers, they land on an engaging intuitive shopping experience that both inspires and enables them to browse and explore. We're also focused on advancing our machine learning models. While our greatest asset is our sellers' vast collection of over 100 million listings inspired by their creativity, it also presents our biggest challenge in terms of delivering search results and recommendations that show we truly understand our buyers' tastes and needs. As our CTO, Rafe Colburn, has rejoined the business, he's observed that while our previous search ranking models were trailblazing in many ways and did an excellent job organizing our inventory, they're not the right fit for where the future of personalized shopping experiences is headed. And the power of today's technologies makes what was previously impossible, possible. So we're retooling our ranking platform to more effectively leverage capabilities of LLMs in generative AI, allowing us to understand our listings, users, and their activity much more deeply as we work to deliver better search results. We're creating more diverse and engaging recommendations by scoring items across a very broad range of interests and clustering them to capture non-obvious connections to encourage discovery. We believe these investments will help us get significantly better at matching and predicting buyers' interests over time. This approach has proven very successful at Depop. As sales have steadily increased, buyer recommendations have become a significant driver of growth, with the share of purchases from recommendations doubling since the end of 2022. This creates a virtuous cycle: the more buyers discover items they love, the more insights we gain to improve our recommendation models. Ultimately, this positions Depop today, not just as a place to find an item but as a source for inspiration and discovery. We want shoppers on Etsy to feel this sense of delight every time they visit by not only matching them with the perfect item but also by surprising them with unexpected special finds throughout their journey. Our third focus is on retaining and rewarding our most valuable customers, both buyers and sellers. They contribute the most to Etsy's success, and by recognizing and incentivizing them, we aim to foster stronger loyalty. For buyers, we're developing a portfolio of tactics that will allow us to build experiences that resonate with different buyer segments: those new to Etsy, repeat buyers, and of course, our habitual and already most loyal customers. The portfolio will likely include reward programs, targeted offers, nudges and more. As a first step, we're evolving our Etsy Insider beta loyalty program, which has shown excellent results in driving frequency and consideration, yet didn't provide scalable economics in its V1 iteration. So by this holiday season, we'll launch a V2 program to an expanded buyer set, including our top buyers, enabling us to test and iterate on a refreshed set of rewards and benefits. We also see a significant opportunity to recognize and reward our most committed sellers by evolving our offerings depending on where a seller is in her business journey with Etsy. This year, we've already launched foundational improvements in tooling, including to our shop manager dashboard to better and more quickly serve seller needs. In the coming months, we'll roll out AI-enabled tools to boost efficiency, all in service of empowering our sellers to focus more on creating or curating goods, delighting our customers and growing their businesses on Etsy. And finally, true to our mission, we're recentering around what truly sets Etsy apart: seller creativity, human connection and meaningful experiences. As a marketplace, we enable transactions, but as Etsy, the experience shouldn't feel transactional. What makes Etsy stand apart from other e-commerce platforms is the genuine connection shoppers can make with the real people behind the products they're buying, discovering the stories, creativity, and passion of our makers, understanding not just what they're purchasing, but who made it and why it matters. So while most marketplaces push sellers into the background, we have the opportunity to bring sellers to the forefront. We're finding ways to better highlight the sellers behind the items and create more seamless connections between them and buyers throughout the shopping journey, from the listing page to the custom order process and direct conversations. On prompted awareness, customer satisfaction and engagement scores will be some of the success measures we'll be tracking along the way. I am so excited by what we're doing to demonstrate Etsy's value and potential by focusing on these four priorities. And with that, I'll turn it over to Lanny.

Thanks, Kruti, and hello, everyone. It's a pleasure to connect with you today. We're encouraged by Etsy's second-quarter performance, which reflects traction in key investment areas as well as strong execution in a dynamic environment. As we'll get to in a few moments, we expect continued improvement in growth comparisons in the second half of the year. As we review our results today, please keep in mind that we completed the sale of Reverb on June 2. As a result, our reported 2Q results include two months of Reverb contribution in 2025 versus a full quarter contribution last year. In our press release and slides, we have provided Reverb's historical GMS and revenue, so you can more easily understand the impact of the sale and separate that from the results of our ongoing business. Second quarter 2025 consolidated GMS was $2.8 billion, down 4.8% year-over-year on an as-reported basis. Excluding Reverb from all periods, second quarter 2025 GMS was approximately $2.7 billion, down 2.6% year-over-year. This compares to a 6.2% decline in consolidated GMS in the first quarter of 2025 when calculated on the same basis, excluding Reverb. The improved second-quarter consolidated GMS comparison reflects healthier trends at Etsy, an acceleration in GMS growth at Depop, as well as favorable foreign currency comparisons. Consolidated revenue increased by approximately 4% to $673 million, and adjusted EBITDA was $169 million, representing a 25.1% margin. The absence of Reverb in the final month of the quarter represented a minor benefit to the adjusted EBITDA margin for Q2. Turning the focus to Etsy Marketplace second quarter GMS. After a softer start to the quarter, which was magnified by a shift in Easter timing, we saw more favorable GMS trends across the remainder of the quarter. For the full quarter, Etsy GMS was down 5.4% year-over-year, 3.5 percentage points better than the Q1 GMS comparison. FX provided a 90 basis point benefit to GMS in Q2. And on a currency-neutral basis, Etsy's GMS was down 6.3% year-over-year in Q2, compared to down 8.1% in Q1. As Kruti mentioned, strengthening the retention and loyalty of our best customers, both buyers and sellers, is a top priority. Trailing 12-month active buyers in the Etsy marketplace stood at 87.3 million at the quarter's end, down 4.6% year-over-year and 1.3% sequentially. Because this looks backward across a year, this is a bit of a lagged indicator, and an inflection from our new product and marketing investments may take a few quarters to materialize. We reactivated 6.5 million buyers in the second quarter, up 2.8% year-over-year. We added 4.8 million new buyers in the quarter and our trailing 12-month number of habitual buyers was 6.1 million at the quarter's end. Trailing 12-month GMS per buyer was $120, showing signs of stabilization as the measure held steady sequentially, while still pacing 2.9% lower year-over-year. Monthly GMS provider trends strengthened over the course of the quarter, inflecting into positive year-over-year comparisons in May and June, even on an FX-adjusted basis. As Josh highlighted, our app was a bright spot this quarter. Downloads remain strong. Monthly active users were 7% higher than a year ago, and App GMS grew year-over-year in the quarter. The proportion of Etsy GMS generated on the app increased to 44.8%, 3 percentage points higher than a year ago. We're focused on expanding the Etsy app because of the highly personalized and direct customer relationships it creates. GMS comparisons in most of our top six categories improved on a sequential basis, yet remained down versus last year. Third-party data from Consumer Edge indicates that we performed in line with or better than our pure-play U.S. peers in five out of the six top categories. We saw bright spots in gifting, personalized items, weddings, and vintage items, each outperforming site-wide GMS. Etsy Marketplace active seller count, also a trailing 12-month figure was flat sequentially at 5.4 million. Importantly, we're bringing onboard sellers more likely to be successful on Etsy. A higher percentage of current active sellers have made a sale in the last 12 months versus before we introduced the onboarding fee, and the number of new sellers who made a sale in the second quarter grew year-over-year. Moving on to consolidated revenue, which was split about 70%, 30% between marketplace and services. Marketplace revenue decreased 0.5% year-over-year, primarily reflecting the decline in GMS, offset by growth in both Etsy and Depop payments revenue. Services revenue grew 15.3% year-over-year with very strong growth in on-site ads revenue at both Etsy and Depop. Etsy Ads delivered notable value through improved relevancy, serving better quality of ads for sellers, which we were able to monetize accordingly. Consolidated Q2 '25 take rate improved to 24%, meaningfully ahead of our guidance. Take rate expanded 200 basis points over the 22% reported in the same period last year, driven primarily by the factors I just outlined and aided by a slight tailwind from the divestiture of Reverb, which was a lower take rate business. Consolidated product development spend declined by 2.3% year-over-year to $112 million, gaining leverage as a percentage of revenue. The primary source of leverage came from stock-based compensation costs, which declined year-over-year. For the Etsy marketplace, our team's velocity as well as experimentation GMS wind size are back in line with or ahead of where we were this time last year. Second quarter consolidated marketing spend increased 16% year-over-year to $212 million, representing 31.5% of revenue, primarily due to increased performance marketing spend versus the prior year, including search engine marketing, PLA and paid social. While deeper marketing spend reduced the margin flow-through from our revenue beat, we believe this was a sensible and opportunistic investment in our future. Allow me to explain. First, competitive spending patterns in the Google PLA markets were helpful to the Etsy marketplace during the second quarter. While CPCs were relatively stable, we gained a higher click share in auctions to drive more productive spend, and we leaned into investments in an ROI-positive way. We believe we cut some momentum from this dynamic, but that's only part of the story. During the quarter, we successfully implemented a new segmentation tactic to optimize Google Shopping listings. This approach allowed us to prioritize listings with more click history and higher investment returns, thus providing Google with a stronger performance signal, which resulted in significant lifts to both GMS and revenue. We'll continue expanding this segmentation tactic in the United States and are also testing it in the U.K. Second, we continue to lean into paid social and sharpening our efficiency in this channel, with Etsy Marketplace attributed GMS from paid social increasing meaningfully in the quarter. As Kruti stated earlier, making Etsy more visible in all the places where shoppers discovered products, particularly on social platforms, is a core strategic imperative. The progress we are making enables us to underwrite greater paid social investment for Etsy with partners such as Pinterest, Meta and TikTok. We also accelerated our creator collective spend by nearly 50% sequentially in Q2, primarily directed at influencer marketing. And third, owned marketing channels, including email and push that allow us to deepen our direct connections with buyers are becoming meaningful high-growth drivers of attributed GMS without an associated investment in external ad spend. We believe these direct and personalized interactions with our customers will have a multiplier effect over time, helping boost loyalty, retention and lifetime values among the buyers we attract. Turning to our financial position. We generated $90 million in free cash flow in the quarter and $635 million in the trailing 12 months. We ended the quarter with $1.5 billion in short and long-term cash and approximately $3 billion in convertible debt, including the $700 million issued in June. We were pleased with the execution and attractive terms secured in that transaction, which provides added financial flexibility to manage upcoming convertible maturities. We repurchased a total of $335 million or 6.4 million shares of Etsy's stock in the quarter, including the $150 million repurchased in connection with the transaction. Our leadership and Board have conviction on Etsy's future and the value of our shares. With expectations for continued healthy free cash flow generation, we're confident in Etsy's financial flexibility to continue share repurchases, manage our debt balance and make ongoing investments in the business. Moving to our outlook. We're pleased to see compounding impacts from our product and marketing investments as we head into the second half of the year. The accumulating benefit of these initiatives underpins today's outlook. In contrast to recent practice, we're providing a specific dollar range for GMS guidance. This reflects our view of a relatively stable macroeconomic environment as well as the desire to provide outlook clarity through the Reverb divestiture, which muddles year-over-year comparisons. We currently expect Q3 consolidated GMS to be between $2.6 billion and $2.7 billion, which at the midpoint would represent further quarter-over-quarter improvement in the apples-to-apples growth rate. We expect that Q3 consolidated take rate will be approximately 24.5%, and consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin will be approximately 25%. Our margin guidance reflects sequential expansion and strong profitability for the core Etsy business, where we are managing adjusted EBITDA margins to the high 20% range. This is consistent with what we've delivered in the past yet is now being paired with accelerated investments at Depop. We're really encouraged by our progress, and we're optimistic that disciplined and strategic investments at both Etsy and Depop, two marketplaces that offer consumers something truly different, will drive sustained long-term growth and shareholder value. Thank you for all your time today. I will now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

Our first question will come from John Colantuoni with Jefferies.

Speaker 5

Great. So it looks like the sequential improvement in Etsy's GMS trajectory resulted from moderating declines in buyer spend. Can you talk a bit about what helped drive improved spending and help explain why you're able to deliver that spending improvement despite habitual buyers continuing to moderate? And second question, Lanny, this is probably for you. You're talking to managing the Etsy Marketplace to a high 20s EBITDA margin, which is below the 30% plus margin you've talked to in the past. Talk about what's driving the margin compression in your core business and whether high 20s represents a near-term or longer-term target for operating that business?

Speaker 1

I'm happy to take the first turn. We are pleased with the progress we made in the quarter, as there's been noticeable sequential improvement in GMS compared to the first quarter. What particularly encourages me is that this improvement aligns closely with our strategic priorities. Four key actions contributed to this progress, along with a couple of external factors that also played a role. First, we successfully drove more Etsy buyers to use the app, enhancing their experience. Monthly active users have increased by 7% year-over-year. The app is now more engaging, serving as a starting point for inspiration, not just a place to finalize purchases. Second, we've made significant strides with our owned channels, particularly through push notifications and email, encouraging our current buyers to visit more frequently by personalizing our messages. Third, we are focusing on paid social to meet users where they seek inspiration, specifically on platforms like Instagram, YouTube, Pinterest, and TikTok, where we believe there's room for growth. Fourth, we have made Martech investments that have proven beneficial, especially in optimizing our listings for Google PLA auctions based on historical performance, allowing us to target those likely to provide high ROI. This is a lasting improvement in our PLA program. In addition to these four areas, external factors also aided our progress. For instance, there were times when Amazon, Temu, and Shein withdrew from the Google auction, providing a minor boost for us. Moreover, after a volatile April, consumer spending stabilized in May and June, which was beneficial. We are particularly encouraged that these trends appear to be holding steady, which is why we are guiding for the third quarter with expectations of continued progress.

John, with respect to the Etsy EBITDA margins, there's no big change in our outlook for the profitability of Etsy. We are managing to the high 20s, the very high 20s. And as we look into the third quarter, we're anticipating a step-up in Etsy core margins in the third quarter from where they've been in the second quarter. We are investing in the near term in the app experience, in paid social, in the machine learning that will drive Etsy core marketplace back into a position of GMS—stronger GMS growth and revenue growth over the long term. And that revenue growth, as we've shown in the past, when the Etsy Marketplace is driving growth, the incremental profitability of the marketplace model is really, really attractive. So no big change there. We're going to continue to manage it well while making investments that will drive the long-term growth of Etsy.

Speaker 1

John, one thing I would just add is I hope that this management team has demonstrated tremendous discipline and focus on ROI. Every dollar we spend, whether it be on people or in marketing, we're super focused on that. And what we've always said is we don't manage to a target—numeric target, we always look at what confidence do we have in the return on investment. And when we think there is an opportunity to grow more by investing, we'll take it. If we're not confident that we're getting a good return, we'll deliver those dollars to the bottom line.

Speaker 7

Great. Maybe just on the app side of things. You called out growth here. I think it's somewhere in the neighborhood of about 1% growth, sort of implying that this growth is being funded from the core business. So how should we think about where we're at today as more users shifting from a web-based solution to an app-based solution and the evolution and the steps that are going to need to unravel here to this being a new source of incremental growth?

Speaker 1

Yes. What our data suggests is that when we get a buyer to adopt the app, we see their lifetime value go up, and we've gained confidence that that's causal, not correlated. And it makes sense, right? The fact that Etsy is right there in your pocket, whenever you have a spare moment, you can pull it out. And what we're starting to fight for now is time and inspiration that when you're waiting for the subway or there's a commercial on TV, you pull out your app, and we want you to go to Etsy and spend that time just being immersed in all of the different things that you can find on Etsy. One of the things we've talked about for some time is that buyers come to Etsy for one specific need, and too often, we just meet that need, and we show them things very related to that need. What we miss in that opportunity then is the chance to show them other things they didn't ask for that might spark their next inspiration or help consideration for other needs in their life. You came for home furnishings, but we also have pet products or baby products. So what you're seeing in the Etsy app today, and I'd really encourage everyone like pull out the app, look at the home screen, you're going to see a lot more screen real estate dedicated to surprising and delighting you with really cool stuff you didn't necessarily ask for. And we think by getting people in the habit of coming to the app, we see that we can engage them more often in more things. So we have been taking some of our mobile web screen real estate and dedicating it to pushing people to use the app, and we're seeing that drive benefit. We always do it with an eye towards LTV. We're not reckless about it, but it is going to provide some friction to our mobile web GMS in the spirit of driving more buyers to adopt the app. We're also using push channels, email channels and other things to drive people to the app. And those free channels are most of what's driving more growth in app users. We are also learning how to do paid app marketing more. Our paid app spend is up somewhat year-over-year, and our paid app growth is up somewhat year-over-year. That is still the smaller portion of what's driving app growth, but it is something we're investing in and leaning into. The main point though is that we really want the app to be the hero, the centerpiece of most people's customer experience because we think that's where the flywheel really works the best. You come to the app. We see what you engage with. We learn more about you, and we become even more personalized with every visit.

Speaker 8

This is Nawalany on for Anna. Just a quick question on demand from the various household income cohort. So is the higher end still relatively resilient for you guys and kind of what are you seeing with the lower end consumer in terms of the demand profile there? And just kind of a follow-up. Can you talk about what drove that inflection you mentioned in GMS in May and June and then kind of what should we think of the initiatives resonating?

Speaker 1

I think with respect to the consumer backdrop, we've seen a slightly healthier consumer spend across all the different cohorts. Yes, the higher income households are a little bit healthier and stronger sequentially than lower. But both are better, and there's not a dramatic difference between the two right now. We have not seen any big shifts in spending across those related to tariffs or trade announcements that have happened. So kind of the general read is the consumer that we're seeing looks a little bit better, slightly better than it was perhaps three months ago with the higher income households a little bit healthier within that. In terms of the step-up in our comparisons year-to-year in the second quarter versus where they were in the first quarter, it's really the things that Josh talked about earlier. It's the momentum in our mobile app, it's the things we're doing in paid social, it's the progress we're making in our owned media channels to push and notify and email people and bring them back into the business, which you're seeing show up in some stabilization in GMS per buyer. The work that we're doing, we leaned into opportunistically some dislocation in the paid search marketplace to bump up Etsy's visibility. And on top of that, as I described, we had some real successes with some segmentation of PLAs that helped us improve the efficiency of the spending that we were doing there. So all the things we've talked about really kind of added up to what we consider that sustainable accruing, building momentum that's coming from initiatives we're undertaking against the background that's relatively stable from where it was related this year.

Speaker 9

So would love to hear some more about the personalized communications, so they've stepped up, but still only 40%. I think you talked about getting that to almost everywhere by the end of the year; would love to just kind of understand what that lift you're seeing is in either conversion or GMS. And just kind of talk about how that will roll out, like what more features can you add as part of your roadmap for that in the coming years? And then just on payments, very nice growth there. I think it was up compared to down GMS. Just recognizing you're just about entirely penetrated on a geographic basis, just would love to understand what drove that growth? Was it new products or international business, whatever that might have been, would be great.

Speaker 1

Yes. Great. I'm so excited to talk about personalization. Thank you for that question. So what drove the gains in our push and email notifications this quarter was more personalized—things like more personalized titles and more personalized content. And you can imagine if you have an LLM write a title that's made just for you, it's going to feel more compelling. Also, things like what time of day is the best time of day for you to receive this. We're making real gains in those, and that is exciting. But the thing that's going to matter the most is are we actually pushing to you content that feels like we really know you, we really get you. And there, I would say, we are early days with a ton of opportunity to do better. Etsy's personalization today is still largely based on listing to listing personalization. People who looked at this listing also tend to like these listings. And where the state of the art now has moved—and again, with the power of GenAI, with the power of LLMs—you can start to say, what kind of person is Marvin Fong, what do we know about him? And where would we map him in the entire universe of buyers? And where would we map all of our listings in the entire universe of our listings, and we can make much more non-obvious connections that will really delight where we feel like we really know you. And those connections might be things that feel like they're tailor-made for you, but maybe in an entirely different category that you've not shopped before. And that's something that we can both deliver to you and push through things like email and push to get you back on the site. Even more importantly, every visit, we want the site itself, the content you're finding on the home screen, for example, to become more and more personalized. So the home screen today has a lot of really cool browsable content. I'd recommend, please go check it out. I think you'll see there's a lot of really great, really high-quality stuff. You can really get lost in, but what you'll find is when you come back again and again, it doesn't really show that it knows you and that it's getting better every visit. That is something that we think we can get a lot better at, and we are in a big hurry to do that. And I think Rafe coming back from Depop with a lot of experience there and a lot of focus on how to drive that, we think that could be very important for us in the future.

On the payment front, you're right, it was a small benefit in this quarter. We're getting pretty close to the end of the road of getting our sellers to adopt and use Etsy Payments, which we think is a nice value proposition for them. It simplifies their lives. It consolidates everything with Etsy, means one less vendor for them. It's a cost that they were carrying anyway, and we can provide our trust and safety and account management for them when they're on our payments platform better than when they're not. So we're pretty much to the end of the road. There are a couple more countries where we will have a little bit of benefit going forward. But we're really pleased with the way that payments has gone. And as I said, it's part of the value proposition we deliver to keep our sellers in a really strong loyal relationship with Etsy.

Speaker 10

Great. So you talked about expanding the Etsy Insider benefits. How should we be thinking about the cost of those benefits? Would it be self-funded? Or are you thinking about changing the pricing on the offering? Just give us your thoughts on that? And then in terms of just the mobile GMS, it's great to see the numbers here. I'm trying to figure out how much of that is driven by new app downloads that have happened over the trailing 12 months versus improving conversions with the existing mobile app users, if you can parse that out, that would be great.

Speaker 1

Great. On the first one, with Etsy Insider, we're acting very typically Etsy. We tend to not throw caution to the wind and do a big launch and just hope for the best, we tend to test and learn. So we're testing and learning. What we've discovered in the first version of Etsy Insider is we're really encouraged actually by the impact it's having on consideration and frequency. People who subscribe to the program are coming back to Etsy a lot more often. We're seeing real incremental gains in their purchase activity. The next thing we've got to figure out is how do we do that under an economic architecture that works and how do we do it in a way that can serve all of our customers, including our already most loyal customers, where we think there's a big opportunity to get oftentimes the place to get the most incremental activity is from the people who already know you and use you the most. We have already been bearing a little bit of cost for Etsy Insider in these last couple of quarters, and it has not been material to our margins because we're careful about how we test and learn things. We think we have a new version of the program that can lean into things people care about, like free shipping on millions of listings, but do that with a few more guardrails that can actually provide a ton of benefit, but also manage the costs a little bit better. And expand through things like rewards on every purchase in some really exciting ways and make that available to even our best customers. And one of the things Kruti talked about is really leaning into retaining and rewarding our best buyers and sellers. We want to make sure Etsy Insider is really fit for purpose to serve our best buyers. I'm really encouraged by this next iteration. Like everything, we're going to be careful. We're going to test it and learn it. And when we look at rewards programs or loyalty programs that succeed in scale, what I observe is most of them you iterate and incubate over a period of time. Then you figure out how to make it all work, and then it scales. Most of the most successful programs have followed that trajectory. I'm encouraged by the path that we're on.

And on the app, I think the key message on the app is as Josh said, it's a better experience. It's more personalized. It allows the different surfaces in it that allow us to communicate at a much richer, very targeted level. There's a different use case for the app that is just that sort of habitual shopping starting out inspiration on the app that we think is really essential to the long-term positioning of Etsy in the minds and in the wallets of our customers. In the long term, the Etsy app, we think, is a better, more productive platform for our consumer relationships for all those reasons. In the near term, while we're driving people into it and their first arrival, they're going to be spending a little bit less than those who have already adopted the app sort of in the course of a quarter as you think about timing there. Right now, we're driving growth in app users. Those new app users are not spending as much as the established app users. But in the long term, as we get more and more of the users in the app, we think we have a great opportunity there to drive GMS per buyer and more loyalty and more retention.

Speaker 11

Two quick questions. So I guess, Lanny, have we reached the point where it is worth leaning into app acquisition on an incremental basis? And then number two, can you just be a little more specific with the guide? We're getting a bunch of questions. Are you expecting pro forma marketplace GMS ex Depop to improve on a year-over-year basis in 3Q versus 2Q? And can you maybe give us like 100 basis points, 200 basis points? Just a little more help.

Sure. On the—let's see, the first question, remind me.

Speaker 11

Leaning into app acquisition like are we at that point, it's really worth it?

Yes. What I would say is we are going to continue to lean more in, but I don't think you're going to see us like go from 0 to 60 overnight. It will be gradual. We'll test, we'll iterate, we'll learn. The vast majority, I think, of the app downloads are still going to come organically, and that's how we'd really prefer to drive as much as we can. But yes, we will be leaning in there. But no big-like acquisition campaign that will really change financials, expenses in the near term.

Speaker 0

Great. Thank you. And Mike, thanks for the question. We are at time. Operator?

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I'll turn the call over to Deb for any closing remarks.

Speaker 0

All right. We're good. Thank you. We'll talk to you all soon.

Speaker 1

Thanks for your time.

Thank you.