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GEVO · Gevo, Inc.

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$1.69 +0.07 (+4.32%) At close · Aug 14
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All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Gevo Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Conference Call

Gevo Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Conference Call

Concluded Mar 5, 2026 Audio replay
Mar 5, 2026 55:47 55 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
55:47
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Gevo reported Q4 2025 revenue of $45 million, positive operating cash flow of $20 million in the quarter, and Adjusted EBITDA of $7.7 million (its third consecutive positive quarter), driven by record ethanol output of 69 million gallons and ramped carbon credit sales at Gevo North Dakota.

Carbon capture and CDR credits business 80 CEO leadership transition 35 Adjusted EBITDA and financial performance 31 Gevo North Dakota acquisition and integration 31 Project North Star / ATJ-30 alcohol-to-jet 27 45Z clean fuel production tax credit 22

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +72 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “2025 was truly a transformational year for Gevo.”
  • “I believe Gevo is in a really good place.”
  • “Our execution in 2025 led to 3 consecutive quarters of positive adjusted EBITDA with almost $8 million in adjusted EBITDA in Q4 as we continue to make solid progress on our goal of reaching $40 million in adjusted EBITDA on an annualized basis from our current asset base.”
  • “We have a greatly reduced risk compared to the past, a wealth of intellectual property, and substantial growth potential.”

Forward guidance

4 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $45.35M +695.6% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 -$6.30M

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Achieved positive operating cash flow of $20 million in Q4 2025, targeting neutral-to-positive operating cash flow for full-year 2026.
  • Reported $7.7 million of non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2025, the third consecutive quarter of positive Adjusted EBITDA, and reaffirmed a ~$40 million annual run-rate target.
  • Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash rose to $117 million at year-end 2025, a $9 million increase from the prior quarter, with all RNG-related restricted cash released after a February 2026 debt consolidation.
  • Full-year revenue of $161 million, including $52 million of production tax credit sales ($41 million cash received in 2025).
  • Gevo North Dakota produced a record 69 million gallons of low-carbon ethanol (+3% vs. 2024) and 173,000 metric tons of carbon removal credits; CCS well certified by Puro.Earth as a 1,000-year permanence well with an 'A' BeZero rating.
  • Built inventory of ~30,000 tons of CDR credits and expanded customers to include PayPal and Bank of Montreal; monetized ~140,000 tons of carbon credits across low-carbon fuel and voluntary markets in Q4.

Risks & pressure points

  • Reported a Q4 2025 loss from operations of $2.2 million despite positive Adjusted EBITDA.
  • Stockpiled ~30,000 tons of unsold CDR credits at quarter-end, creating inventory build exposure to volatile voluntary market pricing ($100–$300/ton range).
  • ATJ-30 / Project North Star remains pre-construction with EDF loan guarantee still in conditional-commitment stage and scope change from South Dakota to North Dakota still being negotiated.
  • Carbon credit pricing is highly variable and some compliance markets (e.g., California ~$50/ton) are described as 'not very appealing,' pressuring monetization economics.
  • South Dakota CO2 pipeline expected to deliver third-party volumes did not materialize, shifting plans to rail transport, which is still in the design phase and unproven for timeline/CapEx.

Key moments

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Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA
full year 2026
$40M
Adjusted EBITDA
each quarter in 2026
$10M
Capital deployment
2026
$26M
Remaining production tax credit cash proceeds
first quarter of 2026
$11M
Full-screen source Call document