Skip to main content

New Fortress Energy Inc. Q1 FY2025 Earnings Call

New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE)

Earnings Call FY2025 Q1 Call date: 2025-05-14 Concluded

Call artefacts

Transcript

Speaker-labelled transcript of the call.

Read transcript
8-K earnings release

Item 2.02 release filed around the call (2025-05-14).

View 8-K filing
10-Q filing

The quarterly report covering this quarter (filed 2025-06-30).

View 10-Q filing
Audio

Call audio is not captured yet.

Slides

A slide deck is not captured yet.

Transcript

Auto-generated speakers
Operator

Good day, and welcome to the NFE First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I will be handing the call over to Matt Reinhard, Managing Director, for introductory remarks.

Speaker 1

Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining today's conference call, where we will be discussing our first quarter 2025 results. The call is being recorded and will be available by replay on the Investors section of our website under the subheading Events and Presentations. At the same location, you will find a presentation that we will walk through on today's call. Please review this as it includes important information on forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures. With that, let me hand the call over to our Chairman and CEO, Wes Edens. Wes?

Wes Edens Chairman

Great. Thanks, Matt. Welcome, everyone. So lots to go through here this afternoon and I'll try and make my own statements brief. Start with the core earnings for the quarter, very much in line with expectation. If you look at the yellow boxes on the piece of paper, you can see that post the first quarter of 2024, which is the last quarter that we had the FEMA claims online in Puerto Rico, we've had basically extremely consistent core earnings $110 million, $177 million but then $109 million, $116 million, so very much in line with that. Our forecast for the core earnings for the remainder of the year are basically very much in line with what this is for the first half and then accelerating the second half as we start to bring assets online, in particular those assets in Brazil. That said, the EBITDA that we had forecast for the quarter was less than that simply because we did not have any one-off results to add to it. Again, if you look at our numbers historically we've had a combination of core results plus one-off results and we simply didn't have any one-off results this quarter. That said, we expect EBITDA plus gains to be $1.25 billion to $1.5 billion for the year, which is higher than our previous estimate. We're actually off to quite a good start in that regard, in particular, when you consider the events of just today. We already had meaningful gains with our Jamaica sale, which I'll talk about in a second and there's a handful of other things that are going to be significant events for us to add to our core events. But our goal is the quality versus quantity of the earnings, in particular, what we are looking to generate for shareholders and for our constituents is repeatable, easy to understand and very long duration cash flows. And I'll explain kind of what the portfolio looks like because we have a lot of those to offer. So let's flip the page to Page number 4, material events that are in front of us. First and foremost is the Jamaica sale. $1.055 billion closed today just a few hours ago. That translates into about $800 million in net proceeds, a $430 million gain. So again a good start at whacking at the one-off gains that we expect to generate for the course of the year. The FEMA claim is as we originally had filed it with FEMA $659 million. There's a very high degree of engagement with the Army Corps, which is our prime contractor Weston, that is making a lot of progress and we expect resolution of this claim at some point in the near-term. As with any proceeding with the government, it's impossible to really forecast accurately either the time or the amount of that. But we remain optimistic about what our position is as we know what we are owed. So the $659 million reflects that. On the FSRU sub charters, we basically had a handful of FSRUs that were surplus to our needs in our portfolio that we basically took back and then re-let them at a higher rate to third-parties. The estimate of the freeze and then there's two others that are in there. The total nominal dollars are shown in the line below, so $143 million in profit, $59 million, $110 million and $312 million. They range in periods from anywhere from 3 to 10 years. The present value at a 10% discount rate, just to give context to it is $236 million. So these are assets we can either collect month by month over the next 3, 5, 10 years or we can look to sell them and generate a one-time gain, something we're evaluating. Lastly, the excess cargo sale that we conducted at the end of last year and reported the results in the fourth quarter, which again, if you look at the previous page, the excess cargo was $296 million. Excess cargoes we had, we were concerned that actually the market might decline for value that turned out to be prophetic because that's exactly what happened. We sold them. So really the gain from them was the one-time gain from last year. There's another $125 million to be collected primarily in the periods of 2026 and 2027 and 2028. So those are the big events for us. There's others as well, but hopefully, this gives you some useful context in evaluating the $1.25 billion to $1.5 billion EBITDA or gain estimates we're providing for the year. Page number 5, so our near-term focus has been on asset sales, on debt reduction and deleveraging. And the case study is the sale that we just concluded in Jamaica. If you look at the timeline below, you can see we listed the property for sale in the fourth quarter of 2024. We conducted our second round bid and whittled it down to five bidders in the first quarter. We chose to work with Excelerate exclusively in March, and we concluded the sale now, basically both the timing and the amount that we had forecast that we've exceeded. So we did it in a shorter period of time, and at a higher price than what we had originally forecasted. So we feel great about that. A little bit on Jamaica above. This is the first market that we had started to conduct business in, and it is a great market. We ended up generating $125 million EBITDA, stable, mature market with long-term contracts with a 20-year duration. So a significant portion of them were supplying Jamaica's gas and power needs. So roughly 60% of the island's gas or power we supply. They still think there are significant remaining growth opportunities in Jamaica for bunkering and expansion. So we feel great about the asset that we sold on to Excelerate. But from our standpoint, this is a meaningful deleveraging event for us. So sale price of $1.055 billion, $227 million in debt repayment from direct Jamalco asset and the power plant, estimated $50 million in fees, net proceeds of $778 million. Chris will talk about that later. Page number 6, following the Jamaica sale, our goals are very, very clear. Number one, first and foremost is to simplify the balance sheet and do so by extending the duration to match underlying assets and lower our debt costs. To do so, we are focused on moving from a corporate debt structure to one which is more asset-level financing, and I will describe that in some detail. This is something we've had a lot of experience with before. And I think in many cases, when you have a capital structure that becomes too complex or too difficult for people to interpret, the underlying asset value can become obscured by it and you get kind of the worst of all worlds. And so what we're very focused on is isolating those assets that have the long duration, the credit quality, the repeatability that we know to be the most mixes valuable, expose those in a financing context and generate the right result for that. So if you look at Page number 7, this is a good example of what I mean. Basically, what we have done is matched our long-term supply in our portfolio with our FLNG unit, which is performing terrifically. And then, two long-term contracts with Venture Global and match them up side-by-side with those contracts that are long-term demand. So I've listed the five that are the most notable, there are smaller ones as well, but these are the ones that are the most meaningful. And basically, you can see on the supply side, we have 215 TBtus of supply for a term of 20 years. On the demand side, this handful of the large contracts is for 20 years as well on average, and it ranges from BBB, BB+, BBB-, B+ in one case, but they are generally high credit quality assets, very long-term duration and these are their stated contract terms, and simply subtracting the cost of supply from the value of the demand, you can see these assets alone generate $500 million in annual margin. These are not assets that we are aspirational about building or assets that we are talking about pursuing or whatever, this really represents the core of the portfolio. And the way I think of it is, we're utilizing about 50% of our total supply portfolio. So of the 215, this is committed on the 109 TBtus of it. And if we're able to replicate our activities in the second half of this at terms similar to the first half, we can generate $500 million that grows to $1 billion annual margin with very, very long duration. And with that, that presents tremendous financing opportunities. It also presents great value to shareholders and that's what our focus is. Page number 8, is that in order to close the loop and finance this efficiently, you need to control every aspect of the logistics chain, supply-demand, terminal ships and overall logistics. Fortunately, we control all of that. So the four terminals that are relevant in this discussion are the La Paz terminal in Mexico, Puerto Sandino in Nicaragua, the Barcarena terminal in Brazil, and the San Juan terminal in San Juan, Puerto Rico. We have these terminals that we own and control essentially and have developed them. In addition, we have a dedicated fleet of terminal ships and transport ships to basically supply to the locations, but then also supply onto the land. So basically, you connected the dots between every aspect of it. And so the combination of the long-term cash flows, credit quality, duration, in particular, of this, the 20-year duration is what actually gives us so much optimism that there's meaningful things to do here. There's a reason why Charlie Munger used to carry around the compounding tables in his back pocket; 20 years of repeatable cash flows is an incredibly powerful combination. And that's what we have already in hand, and we think the prospects for adding to it are terrific. So on the growth side, two elements that we're focused on are Brazil and Puerto Rico. And I'm joined here in New York by Leandro and Jeremy from our Brazil team who run Brazil for us, and they can give some context both on what we have accomplished and what we're focused on. Fellas?

Speaker 3

Thanks a lot, Wes. Good afternoon, everyone. I'm pleased to be discussing our progress and outlook in Brazil. Over the past few years, we've made significant strategic investments in the country laying the foundation for a high value and resilient business. After years of dedicated work and over billions of investment, we are finally approaching the full commercial operation dates of our key assets. One of our projects, a 624-megawatt combined cycle power plant is expected to reach COD in the second half of this year, while the second power plant, a 1.6-gigawatt open cycle plant is on track for COD by mid next year. This is a key moment for us. These investments are converting into long-term contracted assets, and we are very excited to be part of this transformation at NFE Brazil. In this Slide number 10, I wanted to highlight the Barcarena complex and its associated long-term contracts. These contracts, all of them are inflation-linked; they are protected from gas price volatility and backed by strong credit ratings, providing stable and predictable cash flows for our business. Starting with the Norsk Hydro contract, we began deliveries in March 2024, under a 15-year gas supply agreement, which is indexed to Henry Hub plus $6.04 per million Btu adder, with part of the added adjusted by U.S. CPI on a yearly basis, as shown in this slide. The contract covers approximately 30 TBtus a year with a 90% take-or-pay. For CELBA 2, our 624-megawatt plant, we have a 25-year PPA with 100% take-or-pay during the second semester of each year, starting from COD expected to occur in the second semester of the year. The gas volumes here are approximately 18 TBtus a year, considering only the take-or-pay with price indexed to 91% of JKM plus another $3.36 per million Btu, which is also adjusted by U.S. CPI on a yearly basis. Finally, at PortoCem, our 1.6-gigawatt plant, we secured this 15-year capacity contract with the national grid, which pays approximately $280 million for the availability of the plant, plus a dispatch component whenever the plant produces power. Assuming a 10% dispatch rate, it would translate into an approximately 12 TBtus a year of additional gas demand at a premium gas prices. These projects are secured by strong counterparties as mentioned by Wes, which demonstrates how robust our commercial foundation is. I will hand it over to Jeremy to walk you through the construction update.

Speaker 4

Good afternoon, everyone. I'm excited to share a very positive construction update this quarter. Since our last discussion about the CELBA power plant, which is a 624-megawatt combined cycle plant, we've increased overall progress by more than 7%. For PortoCem, progress has risen by over 15%. This means both plants are now at 95% completion for CELBA and over 54% completion for PortoCem. These achievements are impressive, especially considering the intense rainy season we faced last quarter, with near-record precipitation in some months. For PortoCem, which is in a significant civil construction phase, it's a notable success for the project team to not only maintain but slightly enhance our schedule. Regarding CELBA, at 95% completion, we're approaching the critical milestone of mechanical completion. We're currently in the high-pressure hydro testing phase, having tested the steam system up to 96 bar on our way to a final 300 bar. Achieving 95% means a shift in our site efforts, allowing us to transfer the main workload from our construction contractor to our power core provider, Mitsubishi, to start generating commissioning power. Although we are still in the civil construction phase for PortoCem, we've made substantial advancements this past quarter. Notably, as mentioned in our last update, we previously showed photos of gas turbines in transit. In our current update, we are displaying photos of installed gas turbines at the site, with two out of three turbines already set up. The third turbine is expected to arrive at the end of the month, and we are also installing two of the three electric generators. We've managed to stay more than 10% ahead of our planned completion percentage, as our main equipment has arrived earlier than expected, significantly mitigating any risks to our schedule and helping us maintain a 10% float in our completion plan. Additionally, we have started work on our 500 kV transmission line and the substation, where our GIS will be installed later this year. Before handing it back to Leandro for the power auctions, it’s worth noting that for PortoCem, after procuring the project from another site and transferring it to our Barcarena facility—despite earlier delays—we've advanced our schedule to meet milestones originally promised to regulators in Brazil, even though the prior developers were over a year into the development when we took over. We look forward to another successful quarter and will update you then. Thank you, Leandro.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Jeremy. Turning to Slide number 12. I want to discuss the market outlook and the upcoming opportunities. We will focus on the capacity auction expected later this year. First of all, I mean, probably most of you have heard about it; the auction that was originally scheduled to happen in June was canceled. And we believe this is a temporary delay, actually. The Ministry of Mines and Energy has stated publicly that it expects the auction to take place in 2025. We expect rules to provide more clarity and fairness to the competition. Just to make it clear, the fundamentals haven’t changed. Brazil still needs to contract in our estimate 10 to 15 gigawatts of capacity. The PPAs are expected to have CODs between 2026 and 2030, for both brownfields and Greenfield assets. We will offer capacity payments similar to PortoCem with 15-year terms for Greenfield projects and gas indexed to JKN and TTF. While the postponement of the auction created some short-term noise in the country, we are confident in the structural need for the auction. There is no question that Brazil needs the power. And if this auction doesn't happen, the system could face real operational challenges. We're fully prepared as NFE Brazil. We are positioned to register over 2 gigawatts of projects in the upcoming auction. Additionally, more than 3 gigawatts of third-party projects have requested gas proposals from us, showing clear market confidence and the competitiveness of our platform in Brazil. In short, we see a path for meaningful expansion of our business in Brazil with strong counterparties, solid regulatory support, and rising demand for our integrated LNG to power model. Thank you very much, and I want to hand it back to Wes.

Wes Edens Chairman

Great. Thanks, Leandro. Let me briefly talk about Puerto Rico because it's another big market for us with a lot of activity. Just a bit of a situational overview of what the energy system in Puerto Rico looks like. It's a very under-invested, very antiquated system that is in great need of repair and great need of new investment, in particular on the new generation side. There have been no power plants built that are material in the last 30 years. So the average power plant is quite old, which rotating equipment is really not to operate efficiently for 40, 50, 60 years. And so there are a lot of challenges in terms of the fleet that exists. Over 50% of it runs on some combination of oil and diesel. Contrast that to the mainland United States, where less than 1% of our electricity is operated on diesel. You can see there's a huge difference between utilities that we find in the mainland and what we see there. What that means is that the plan and the needs in the business in Puerto Rico on the energy side, we think are extremely clear. Number one, there’s a lack of sufficient reserve, which means they need temporary power, which is exactly what they have done in terms of going out for a bid for temporary power, especially with the upcoming summer and the demands on the system that happen when it gets hotter down there and of course, hurricane seasons are around the corner. There's a concern that they lack adequate reserve from some of the plants being offline, instead trying to buttress that by holding an RFP for temporary power. Number two is, there is a total of about 925 megawatts of power today that runs on diesel that can be readily converted to natural gas. That represents roughly a $300 million difference in fuel cost between burning the diesel and burning the natural gas for no benefit whatsoever. Our view is that in the context of the RFP that has been talked about for gas supply, it should include a provision to also convert those to other assets; we list the four that are on here. There's the Mayaguez 200-megawatt plant, Cambalache 240 megawatts, the three Pratt & Whitney mega gens that are in Palo Seco and the Aguirre 1 and 2, which is the combined cycle plant in the South. All those can be readily converted and simply doing so is a relatively low cost to the system and can generate very, very meaningful decreases in fuel cost to them, upwards of $300 million a year. Lastly, there has been no new power generation built in the last 30 years. There was a plant that was agreed by the government in early January. That was the first new PPA that's been signed in some time. We are the gas provider for that in the long-term. We think that basically building new generation is really what will cure to what ails the system for the most part because the lack of reliability and the inefficiency of the system really comes from these old power plants. So right now, there are plans underway by PREPA to address these issues by running the RFPs for temporary power, running an RFP for gas supply, and running an RFP for new generation, all of which we think are interesting opportunities and situations, which we will certainly take a hard look at. Our infrastructure in San Juan has had a very good quarter. This is the first time that we got a large ship. Basically, we were able to replace the flotilla of smaller logistical ships in a larger ship with the channel widening that the Army Corps has engaged in, that actually allows us to be more efficient in bringing in more supply. So this cuts our expenses, but it also greatly increases the capacity of that terminal, which is a good time. So with that, let me turn it over to Chris.

Great. Thanks, Wes. Appreciate the opportunity to talk to everybody today. First, let me start with giving a little bit more color regarding the two recent SEC filings that we submitted earlier this week. On Monday, we filed an 8-K outlining an update to the use of proceeds from the Jamaica sale, which I'll walk through shortly. And yesterday, we filed a notification of late filing under Rule 12b-25, which allows the company to file our full form 10-Q no later than Monday, the 19th. The reason for the late filing is twofold. First, we wanted to be able to announce the consummation of the sale of the Jamaica business, including describing for investors the use of proceeds. Secondly, with the Jamaica asset sale proceeds in hand, we can report an improved liquidity prediction and reduction of the going concern risk that was included in the 10-K. So now turning to Slide 15. We've outlined both the cash and the accounting treatment of the Jamaica transaction. On the left side of the page, we show the proceeds waterfall, and on the right side, the gain we will recognize in the second quarter. Now prior to the most recent amendment of the credit agreement, there was a requirement to use 75% of the proceeds of material asset sales to pay down super priority debt, which included the revolving credit facility, the term loans A and B and the new 2029 notes. However, we were able to negotiate an agreement with the revolving credit facility lenders to waive this asset sale proceeds waterfall in exchange for the early paydown of the September amortization payment of $270 million. In addition, we also amended the Term Loan A where we agreed to a modest pay down of $55 million, which is in line with what they would have received under the waterfall anyway. Further, we eliminated the debt-to-capitalization covenant in this facility, and we matched the financial covenants of that loan to those in the revolving credit facility, none of which will be tested until September 30 of this year. As a result of these amendments, we were able to retain almost $400 million of proceeds after tax that can be used to solve in part nearer-term maturities, including the 2026 notes and non-extended revolver tranche, thus eliminating debt maturities until the second half of 2027. On the right side of the page, we show the expected accounting gain on this transaction. Gross proceeds of $1.055 billion less the asset level debt and fees and expenses get to net proceeds of $778 million, then reduced by our basis, which is $177 million and reduced by goodwill allocation of $172 million will result in a book gain of $430 million. A big thank you to our full team that tirelessly worked to get to the Jamaica deal closed. This includes our internal employees, our external advisors, and our partners at Excelerate, and we send best wishes for their success with an incredible asset. Go ahead and turn now to Slide number 16. And let's talk for a minute more about the two FSRU contracts that we signed over the last couple of months. In December, we announced that we chartered the Eskimo to EGAS. And this week, we announced that we chartered the Freeze to Energia 2000. These two projects alone equate to approximately $200 million of future earnings. Additionally, we are in advanced discussions with counterparties on two additional FSRU opportunities, which contribute an incremental $100 million to the total value of the portfolio. On an annual basis, these re-lets can increase our cash flow up to about $50 million in added EBITDA per year. Further, with the high demand for these contracts, we have the opportunity to innovate or sell them to other companies, which would provide us with upfront payments that we think are around $200 million. And when that occurs, it would be included in EBITDA and of course, earnings. Turn, please, now to Slide 17, we have financial results. Total segment operating margin was $106 million for Q1 compared to $240 million for Q4 of 2024. Core SG&A for the first quarter was $34 million, which is equal to what we had for Q4 of 2024. For the balance of 2025, we're forecasting $30 million a quarter. As Wes stated earlier, adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $82 million. Moving to Slide 18. For Q1, we had a $200 million net loss for GAAP or a loss of $0.73 a share. We had no material one-time items leading to the adjusted EPS to be the same as GAAP. As Wes said already, the quality of our earnings this quarter was high, but the quantity was lower than we were initially forecasting. Two differences that we were initially expecting in the first quarter versus what we are reporting are one, the recognition of the PR incentive payment, which is about $110 million. This is still something we expect to receive in 2025 was not agreed to before the end of the first quarter. And two, a sale of the Eskimo vessel charter. Again, this is still something that we expect to complete in 2025, but we think that combining this with the other charters that have been signed as well as ones in process makes this more attractive as a package of contracts than one-off. In spite of lower-than-expected earnings, we still have a strong liquidity position. We ended Q1 with $448 million of cash on hand and $275 million available under our revolving credit facility. Add to that the $393 million of cash proceeds after debt pay down and you have over $1.1 billion of pro forma liquidity at the end of Q1. With that, thanks, everybody, for your time. I'll turn the call back over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. Our first question is going to come from Gregory Lewis from BTIG.

Speaker 6

Yes, thank you, and good afternoon. I appreciate you taking my questions. Chris, thank you for explaining the liquidity and cash situation following the Jamaica sale. Could you walk us through the restricted cash on the balance sheet? Is it tied to specific projects, and what obstacles might need to be overcome to make that cash unrestricted?

Hey Greg, short answer is, it's almost all related to the CapEx in Brazil. So that is restricted cash, meaning it can only be spent on the two projects that are still under construction, the CELBA power plant and the PortoCem power plant. The remainder, which is probably in the magnitude of $40 million to $50 million is restricted around kind of other credit instruments that we have inside the business, some of which will be freed up as a result of this Jamaica transaction, about $30 million of it. And the remainder would stay restricted just because, again, it's collateral for other kinds of credit support enhancements on other instruments around the business.

Speaker 6

Okay. That’s really helpful. As we examine the capital structure and note that some of the debt is trading at a discount, you mentioned the possibility of refinancing that after the Jamaica transaction. Considering the available cash on the balance sheet and the financials, is the company considering the option of conducting open market repurchases of some of that debt to take advantage of the situation?

Wes Edens Chairman

We certainly evaluate our capital structure and see significant opportunities arising from it. I previously mentioned the asset-level debt, which is worth expanding on for clarity. The capital structure used for liquefaction usually involves entering into multiple Sales and Purchase Agreements, primarily employing a wholesaling strategy to sell gas to others. While margins in that business are relatively low, the credit quality and duration are exceptionally high, allowing for substantial financing capabilities. In our situation, we have a diverse portfolio of gas from our own liquefier and other sources. The overall cost of that gas is approximately Henry Hub plus $2.50, and our margin across the listed assets is around $4.50. This equates to $500 million of financeable cash flow embedded in our capital structure. By engaging in a 20-year duration transaction, we can potentially refinance a significant portion, if not all, of our balance sheet. Given our current position, we believe it is the right time to concentrate on this. While we have recently focused on the sale in Jamaica, that phase is now complete, and we are moving forward. Our objective is to refinance the corporate balance sheet entirely within the next 12 months. If successful, we plan to repay all existing debt and possibly retire any bonds available at a discount. This process of deleveraging through our recent asset sale, which has provided us with over $1 billion in liquidity, bolsters our confidence in the benefits of the transaction. We are nearing completion on our power plant in Brazil, supported by high-quality assets capable of producing long-term cash flows. Now is the optimal time to refinance at significantly lower costs and extend terms to align with these cash flows. We believe improvements in our capital structure will provide substantial benefits. Moreover, we still have significant untapped resources, as we've only utilized about half of the volumes in our portfolio. If we succeed in recapitalizing the balance sheet and reducing costs while also expanding in Brazil, Puerto Rico, and other regions, this growth will ultimately benefit our shareholders. Our immediate next steps are the recapitalization refinance following the asset sale, with future growth as a key priority. These components are essential for our success.

Speaker 6

No, that was super helpful. Thank you very much.

Operator

Our next question comes from Chris Robertson from Deutsche Bank.

Speaker 7

Good afternoon. I appreciate you taking my questions. Wes, could you discuss the short-term power opportunity in Puerto Rico? When companies are bidding, are they bidding for equipment alone or for equipment with fuel? What approach is NFE taking in this regard? Are you bidding to provide equipment, just fuel supply, or how does that process work?

Wes Edens Chairman

I can only relate to what I've read through the portal because it's a government-run process, so they're actually quite disciplined about how they respond to information and provide information. The rules were quite clear in that they were asking for a unitary cost of power kind of period. So you're not actually able to just simply bid in turbines. We actually asked that question specifically in the RFP questionnaire in the portal. And the two questions we asked are, were you allowed to bid in equipment versus an aggregate power price, number one. And number two, was there any minimum dispatch that we could assume that would be guaranteed to know how much power would be generated and therefore we can run the numbers on, it'll be easier. And the answer to that was, no, there was no minimum. So the requirements in the RFP were quite stringent. From our standpoint, we're blessed to have a big operation on the island and so we can take advantage of the infrastructure that we have in place, but that's basically what it is. And I'd say of the three opportunities that I outlined the emergency power and the gas contract and the long-term generation, they all could be interesting under the right circumstances. But let's say, the emergency power is probably the least interesting just economically, given the relatively short duration and the lack of any kind of commitment in terms of the utility of them, so.

Speaker 7

Okay. Got you. As my follow-up question, maybe one for Leandro here. As it relates to CELBA, on the 18 TBtu per year, should we think about that as being more seasonally weighted in the back half of the year? Or is it kind of split across all four quarters? And then just to confirm on Slide 10 here, there's no fixed capacity payment related to that? It's just the 100% take-or-pay on the volumes?

Speaker 3

Yes. So Chris, the power plants do have a capacity payment. It's around $25 million per year. But the biggest payment that we get is the second semester of the year, which is linked to the production of power and linkage to the 18 TBtus of gas mentioned in the slide. So we get some payments throughout the year, but most of the payments of the plants are due on the second semester where we need to produce power.

Speaker 7

Okay. That's a lot more clear. Thank you for clarifying that. I'll turn it over.

Wes Edens Chairman

Welcome.

Operator

And our next question is going to come from Wade Suki from Capital One.

Speaker 8

Good afternoon, everyone. Appreciate you all taking my questions. Just a follow-up. I think it was on Greg's question to make sure I heard you all correctly. On asset sales, I think you originally had a goal of like $2 billion, if memory serves me right. But clearly, Jamaica de-risked a substantial portion of that. Anything left out here you could discuss?

You asked about other asset sales. I think like the business, we have an amazing business in Brazil, as these guys have talked about, which closes a lot of opportunities for us. You have those Pacific Theater, which is another kind of business in and of itself in Nicaragua and in Mexico. But I think like absent asset sales, Wes' point of being able to do large kind of securitization type transactions would allow us to refinance our debt at a significantly cheaper rate. That's our real goal, to be honest with you, Wade.

Speaker 8

Understood. I appreciate that. Switching topics a bit, I noticed FLNG 2 wasn't included in the presentation. Can you provide a status update on that?

Sure. Yes. And there hasn't been much development over the last kind of 60 days on FLNG number 2. I mean, still under construction in the Kiewit yard. We have been focused obviously on the closing of the Jamaica transaction and on the refinancing of the business in order to ensure that we have ample liquidity and altitude, so to speak, in the day-to-day operations. We love the project. We're still engaged on it with the people in Corpus and in Mexico, and we'll be providing additional updates as we make more material construction progress.

Speaker 8

Great. And Nicaragua?

Wes Edens Chairman

Yes. Nicaragua, we are in the final stages of restructuring our PPA with the government. We had a lot of productive thoughts about that. What we're trying to do is to create a structure that looks most similar to the CELBA in new Puerto Rico, long-term gas contracts. There's basically a capacity payment that is designed to cover expenses. Then the marginal gas cost reflects the value of the credit. So if you think about it, Norsk Hydro, which is an investment-grade credit, is Henry Hub plus $6, the CFD which is a BBB- credit is Henry Hub plus $7.45. We want to be a modest premium to that to reflect the lower credit quality for Nicaragua. Once we finalize our agreement on the contract, we'll finish up what remaining work we've got; the power plant itself is virtually 100% built. The terminal needs a little bit more time and effort, but we're very, very close to the end. We just need to finalize our agreement to move ahead on that.

Speaker 8

Great. Thank you so much. I'll go back into the queue.

Operator

And our next question is going to come from Craig Shere from Tuohy Brothers.

Speaker 9

Hi, thanks for taking the questions. On Slide 7, obviously, we're not getting the Plaquemines, and especially CP2 volumes anytime soon. What are your thoughts about bridging LNG supply needs between now and the commencement of the Venture Global SPAs?

Wes Edens Chairman

We're actually very well-positioned right now because we've got the volumes from FLNG. Right now, the asset is producing basically right at nameplate capacity at the cold box. We are planning an outage here in a couple of weeks that we think is going to significantly improve from that level. It's already performing very consistently and reliably and at a good level. We think there's a significant amount of upside with the planned outage and debottlenecking activity of it. So that's 90 TBtus is our estimate of where that will end up. With the volumes that we have in place that are needed in Brazil is really just the Norsk Hydro this year in the second half of next year, then it becomes the CELBA plant. Puerto Rico, the large gas contracts we signed earlier this year are slated to come in 2028. So as we look across the portfolio, it's actually quite balanced overall in terms of the needs, kind of step-by-step. If we add to those lines because we're successful in either Brazil or Puerto Rico or elsewhere, we can always then add any volumes to address that. But we've got a net position that is $2.15 versus the long term of $1.09. Obviously, there are some short-term volumes in there that could be displaced if we're successful in some of these longer-term things. But we're in a very good position in terms of our gas needs and our gas used at the time. So it actually works well for the timing of these future developments.

Speaker 9

Got you. And you've been talking for a number of months or quarters about the significant opportunities with both the Puerto Rico RFP and Brazil capacity auction into June and second half of this year. Obviously, you have some competitive infrastructure advantages. Do you believe some of the noise around liquidity and balance sheet could impact any of the decision-making there by regulators? Or do you think that given your entrenched position and the obvious virtual cycle of favorable awards on the whole business just kind of makes that a moot point?

Wes Edens Chairman

Well, I think that we have a very viable business. We have $1 billion on the balance sheet. We've got significant assets that are not only very expensive to build, but are also very time-consuming to build. So we feel like we've kind of earned our competitive position in these countries the hard way. We actually set out years ago to build the essential infrastructure to get it into there. That said, in no case are we a monopoly. We don't want to be a monopoly. We're not regulated like a monopoly. That's not what we aspire to be. In Puerto Rico itself, I think today, we actually provide less than 50% of the fuels that are provided on the island. So EcoElectrica in the South has significant gas abilities. We've got a very, very good position in San Juan, that's by design. We spent hundreds of millions of dollars developing our product there, like anybody else could do or could have done to give ourselves that position. But in no respect are we monopolistic about this. We think we're well-positioned. What we have predicted to happen in these countries, we think is largely coming true. I mean, like we're certainly disappointed that the auctions in Brazil were delayed, but there were reasons for that are out of our control. As Leandro said, the needs of the country haven't gotten less; they've gotten greater during that period. So we feel great about those auctions. We've got a great, great asset in the South that we think is going to play a central role in those auctions when they do come. In Puerto Rico, with the short-term and long-term generation needed, we think that having gas in San Juan is going to prove to be very, very helpful. We'll obviously need to find if we can do that economically attractive levels and go from there. But we feel like the competitive situation is actually really good. Most importantly, when you disaggregate and you look behind the numbers, you look at the assets that we've got, you're generating $0.5 billion in cash flow on a 20-year duration assets that are largely right around investment grade. That is a laudable place to be. We feel like that our valuation in no way reflects that. We'll go finance ourselves on a long-term basis, and we'll fix the capital structure and align it with the same duration of what we've got on the asset side and go from there. If we're fortunate, through the hard work of our people in the field, we can add to our with more long-term off-take and use up some of the excess capacity we've got on the spot side; we think there's tremendous upside in both the debt and the equity side. So that's the plan. The one thing I'll say is that on the securitization front, we've securitized or created structured financings for many different products over our careers. I think in the scale of degree of difficulty, if you just take the Brazilian assets, you've got two assets that have got direct obligations by the Brazilian government in the one case, Norsk Hydro and the other. So BB+ and BBB rated counterparties, discrete cash flows with no variability that run out for 15 and 25 years, that doesn't sound like the hardest thing in the world to realize. They're U.S. dollar-based contracts. That's what we're going to be very focused on. If we're successful, it gives us a real opportunity then to attack our capital structure and do some good work there. So that's the plan for the summer, and we'll see how it plays out.

Speaker 9

Great. Thank you.

Operator

And our last question will come from Tarek Hamid from JPMorgan.

Speaker 10

Hey, good afternoon. Could you guys maybe help us bridge through the liquidity picture a little bit, particularly sort of how you're thinking about gross CapEx needs for the remainder of the year? Obviously, you have a bunch of restricted cash as well as liquidity outlined, but just would love to understand sort of how much is yet to go out the door?

We will begin with Brazil. The remaining capital expenditures for CELBA and PortoCem are completely covered by cash available on the balance sheet in the restricted cash section. This funding is finalized and will be distributed over this year and possibly extending into the first six to nine months, considering there might be delays in payments following the commercial operation date in 2026 for PortoCem. After PortoCem, there is minimal capital expenditure left to allocate. FLNG 1 is already operational, and there won't be further investments in Mexico or Puerto Rico until we initiate conversions. Any capital expenditure associated with those conversions is expected to be funded by PREPA. This leaves us primarily with Nicaragua, where we anticipate needing about $50 million to $60 million more to spend. The remaining expenditures relate to FLNG 2, where we have control over the timing of the spending. As I mentioned earlier, we plan to be very cautious with cash right now to make sure we handle all upcoming maturities. Once we manage those or complete refinancing, as Wes just explained, we will then accelerate the capital expenditures for FLNG 2.

Speaker 10

Thank you. And then it was very helpful when you guys walked through the covenant amendments on the revolver and the Term Loan A, but is it fair to assume that through the asset to language on the 12 and the Term Loan B likely don't apply given the amount of capital you're spending?

I'm not sure I understood the question. You're talking about like the reinvestment rates?

Speaker 10

Yes. Are you asking about prepaying those without sale proceeds?

We aren't using asset sale proceeds to repay those. We have cash on the balance sheet and cash flows from our operations that we can use to refinance if we want or to pay off any of the other instruments.

Speaker 10

Okay, fair enough. Thank you very much.

Operator

And there are no further questions in the queue.

Wes Edens Chairman

Great. Okay. Thank you very much, everyone. We look forward to talking to you next quarter. Thank you.

Thank you.

Operator

And this concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.