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PAGP · Plains Gp Holdings LP

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$25.84 +0.35 (+1.37%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$5.11B
Shares
197.90M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Plains Gp Holdings LP Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Plains Gp Holdings LP Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 6, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 6, 2026 41:44 62 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
41:44
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Plains reported Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA attributable to PAA of $738 million (full-year $2.833 billion) and announced 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.75 billion +/- $75 million at the midpoint, while progressing the transition to a pure-play crude midstream company via the pending Canadian NGL divestiture, the Cactus III acquisition, and a $100 million efficiency initiative.

Capital allocation and distributions 23 Cactus III acquisition and synergies 17 Efficiency and cost savings 14 Crude oil focus and NGL divestiture 10 Market conditions and macro challenges 8 Capital expenditures 5

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +55 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “We remain committed to our efficient growth strategy, generating significant free cash flow, optimizing our asset base maintaining a flexible balance sheet and returning cash to unit holders via our discipline capital allocation framework”
  • “2025 was a pivotal year for planes. The market environment presented multiple challenges, including geopolitical unrest, actions from OPEC to increase oil supply, and uncertainty on the economic impact from tariffs”
  • “We remain focused on transitioning to a pure play crude company, which also serves as a catalyst to streamline our operations and better position planes for the future”
  • “we think the 150 coverage is actually still remains a conservative coverage level relative to our company”

Forward guidance

10 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue $10.56B -12.2% YoY
Net income $62.00M

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Full-year 2026 crude segment EBITDA midpoint of $2.64 billion net-to-Plains implies 13% year-over-year growth
  • Targeting $100 million of annual cost savings through 2027, with ~50% expected in 2026, plus ~$50 million of synergies on Cactus III
  • Announced a 10% increase in the annualized distribution to $1.67 per unit (8.5% yield based on recent PAGP price), payable February 13, 2026
  • Expect approximately $1.80 billion of 2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow excluding changes in assets and liabilities and NGL sale proceeds
  • Special distribution expected at closing of NGL sale of $0.15 per unit or less, with Cactus III acquisition mitigating most of the expected tax liability
  • Acquired the Wild Horse Terminal in Cushing, Oklahoma (4–5 million barrels) at a net cost of approximately $10 million, adding to a fully contracted Cushing position

Risks & pressure points

  • Pro forma leverage ratio of 3.9x at year-end 2025 sits above the 3.25x–3.75x target range, with NGL sale proceeds needed to delever toward the midpoint
  • $2.9 billion Cactus III acquisition financed partly with new debt: $750 million of senior unsecured notes (4.7% due 2031 and 5.6% due 2036) plus $1.1 billion term loan replacing the EPIC loan
  • Headline 2026 Adjusted EBITDA expected to decline slightly versus 2025 due to NGL divestiture and recontracting headwinds (offset by acquisitions and efficiency gains)
  • Permian crude production expected to be relatively flat year-over-year in 2026, with growth not resuming until 2027 and dependent on more constructive oil market fundamentals
  • Distribution coverage threshold reduced from 160% to 150%, signaling somewhat thinner cushion relative to prior policy
  • Full-year 2025 results reflect a complex macro backdrop including geopolitical unrest, OPEC actions to increase supply, and tariff-related economic uncertainty

Key moments

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Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 6, 2026.

Metric Guided
Growth Capital
full-year 2026
$350M
Maintenance Capital
full-year 2026
$165M

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Adjusted EBITDA attributable to Plains
2026
$2.68B – $2.83B
NGL segment EBITDA
2026
$100M
Growth capital net to PAA
2026
$350M
Other income
2026
$10M
Maintenance capital net to PAA
2026
$165M
Adjusted free cash flow excluding changes in assets and liabilit
2026
$1.8B
Special distribution per unit
post-closing
$0 – $0
Annualized efficiency savings
through 2027
$100M

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.42
Full-screen source Call document