Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. Q4 FY2023 Earnings Call

Good morning, and welcome to the Silvercrest Asset Management Group Incorporated Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2023 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Please note, this is being recorded. Before we begin, let me remind you that during today's call, certain statements made regarding our future performance are forward-looking statements. They are based on current expectations and projections which are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, and many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the statements that are made. Those factors are disclosed in our filings with the SEC under the caption Risk Factors. For all such forward-looking statements, we claim the protections provided by the Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All forward-looking statements made on this call are made as of the date hereof, and Silvercrest assumes no obligation to update them. I would now like to turn the conference over to Rick Hough, Chairman and CEO of Silvercrest. Please go ahead.

Thank you very much, and good morning to our Q4 and year-end 2023 results. After the volatile and difficult market environment of 2022, we hoped 2023 would lead to improved markets, helping to recover both Silvercrest's discretionary assets under management as well as our top line revenue. The year 2023 was unusual, equity market gains were highly concentrated in a handful of large-cap technology companies as a result of such narrow leadership and economic uncertainty. During the third quarter 2023 earnings call, I had stated we could face challenging market conditions at Silvercrest for yet another year. During the fourth quarter of 2023, company participation in equity market gains broadened significantly. Progress has continued into 2024 setting the stage for a better environment for our business. During the fourth quarter of 2023, Silvercrest's discretionary AUM rose by $1.4 billion or 6.8% to $21.9 billion and Silvercrest total AUM increased by $2.1 billion or 6.7% to $33.3 billion during the fourth quarter. For 2023, Silvercrest's discretionary AUM increased by $1 billion or 4.8%. Our total AUM increased during 2023 by 15% or $4.4 billion to $33.3 billion from $28.9 billion at the end of 2022. The total 2023 increase was attributable to market appreciation of $3.8 billion in client net inflows of $0.6 billion or $600 million. Silvercrest's revenue for the year, however, significantly lagged increases in assets under management due to broad market gains concentrated in the fourth quarter of 2023. Silvercrest primarily bills quarterly in advance. Revenue decreased by $5.8 million or 4.7% to $117.4 million for 2023 from $123.2 million for 2022. This decrease was driven by market depreciation in prior years, partially offset by market appreciation and net inflows during 2023. Revenue for the fourth quarter of 2023 was flat year-over-year. Our financial results in the fourth quarter were also negatively affected by adjustments to total compensation for 2023 with total recurring cash compensation as a percentage of revenue rising to 59% from Silvercrest's typical interim accrual rate of 55%. Silvercrest completed the year with adjusted EBITDA of $26.9 million or 22.9% of revenue, down from $32 million or 26% revenue. Adjusted diluted earnings per share for 2023 was $1.12, down from $1.35 in 2022. For the fourth quarter, adjusted EBITDA was $2.6 million or 9% of revenue, down from $4.4 million or 15.6% of revenue in the fourth quarter of 2022, both affected by fourth quarter adjustments. Adjusted diluted earnings per share for the fourth quarter was $0.07, down from $0.15 in the fourth quarter of 2022. With the AUM increases during the fourth quarter and so far in 2024, we expect a better environment in 2024. Silvercrest's pipeline of new business opportunities has significantly improved since the fourth quarter of 2023. While the institutional search environment remains slow, Silvercrest's actionable institutional business pipeline has increased to $735 million. Silvercrest's Outsourced Chief Investment Officer or OCIO AUM has risen to $1.7 billion, which includes a new small college endowment. The OCIO pipeline has increased to $585 million, and our consultant relationships have strengthened. Silvercrest has never been busier with its new initiatives. We're focused on those new opportunities as well as investments to drive growth in the business, including value-added hires. Scott, that concludes my opening remarks. If you could cover financials. Thanks.

Great. Thanks, Rick. As disclosed in our earnings release for the fourth quarter, discretionary AUM as of the end of 2023 was $21.9 billion, and total AUM as of the same period was $33.3 billion. Revenue for the quarter was $28.5 million and reported consolidated net loss for the quarter was $0.6 million. Revenue for the fourth quarter was approximately $28.5 million, which was flat for the same period in the prior year. Expenses for the fourth quarter were $29.5 million, representing approximately a 21% increase from expenses of $24.4 million for the same period last year. This increase was primarily attributable to an increase in compensation and benefits expense of $4 million and general and administrative expenses of $1.2 million. Compensation and benefits again, increased by $4 million or approximately 21% to $22.7 million for the fourth quarter from $18.7 million for the same period last year. The increase was primarily attributable to increases in bonuses of $3.5 million, salaries and benefits of $0.3 million, primarily as a result of merit-based increases and newly hired staff, and an increase in equity-based compensation of $0.2 million due to the granting of additional restricted stock units. General and administrative expenses increased by $1.1 million or approximately 20.8% to $6.8 million for the fourth quarter from $5.7 million for the same period in the prior year. This was primarily attributable to an adjustment to the fair value of contingent consideration related to the Cortina Acquisition of $0.8 million recorded during the three months ended December 31, 2022, an increase in the adjustment to the fair value of contingent consideration related to the Neosho acquisition of $0.3 million, and also increases in occupancy and related costs and charitable donations, partially offset by a decrease in professional fees. Reported consolidated net loss was $0.6 million for the quarter as compared to $3.3 million of net income in the same period in the prior year. Reported net loss attributable to Silvercrest or the Class A shareholders for the fourth quarter of 2023 was approximately $0.4 million or $0.05 and $0.04 per basic and diluted Class A share, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA, which we define as EBITDA without giving effect to equity-based compensation expense and non-core and non-recurring items, was approximately $2.6 million or 9% of revenue for the fourth quarter compared to $4.4 million or 15.6% of revenue for the same period in the prior year. Adjusted net income, which we define as net income without giving effect to non-core and non-recurring items and income tax expense assuming a corporate rate of 26%, was approximately $1 million for the quarter or $0.08 and $0.07 per adjusted basic and diluted earnings per share, respectively. Adjusted earnings per share is equal to adjusted net income divided by the actual Class A and Class B shares outstanding as of the end of the reporting period for basic adjusted EPS. And to the extent dilutive, we add unvested RSUs and non-qualified stock options to the total shares outstanding to compute diluted adjusted EPS. Looking at the full year, revenue for the year was approximately $117.4 million, and that represented a 4.7% decrease from revenue of $123.2 million for the same period last year. This decrease was driven by market depreciation in prior years, partially offset by market appreciation and net client inflows during 2023. Expenses for the year ended December 31, 2023, were $98.6 million, representing approximately a 16% increase from expenses of $84.7 million for the same period last year. This increase was primarily attributable to increases in compensation and benefits expense of $1 million and general and administrative expenses of $12.9 million. Compensation and benefits expense was approximately 1% higher at $72.6 million for 2023 compared to $71.6 million in 2022. The increase was primarily attributable to increases in equity-based compensation expense of $0.5 million due to an increase in the number of unvested restricted stock units and unvested non-qualified stock options outstanding and an increase in salaries and benefits expense of $1.3 million, primarily again, as a result of merit-based increases and newly hired staff, partially offset by a decrease in the accrual for bonuses of $0.8 million. General and administrative expenses increased by $12.9 million to $26 million for 2023 compared to $13 million in 2022. The increase was primarily attributable to increases in the fair value of contingent consideration related to the Cortina and the Neosho acquisitions of $11.8 million and $0.3 million, respectively, and also increases in portfolio and systems expense, occupancy and related costs, marketing costs, depreciation and amortization, and office expense. These increases were partially offset by lower professional fees, sub-advisory and referral fees, and telephone and internet costs. Reported consolidated net income was $15.2 million for 2023 compared to $30.8 million in the same period in the prior year. Reported net income attributable to Silvercrest for the year ended December 31, 2023, was approximately $9.1 million or $0.96 per basic and diluted Class A share. Adjusted EBITDA was approximately $26.9 million or 22.9% of revenue for 2023 compared to $32 million or 26% of revenue for 2022. Lastly, adjusted net income was approximately $16.1 million for 2023 or $1.16 and $1.12 per adjusted basic and diluted EPS, respectively. Quickly looking at the balance sheet, total assets as of the end of 2023 were $199.6 million compared to $212.7 million at the end of 2022. Cash and cash equivalents were approximately $70.3 million at the end of '23 compared to $77.4 million at the end of 2022. Total borrowings as of the end of 2023 were $2.7 million. Total Class A stockholders' equity was approximately $82.7 million at the end of 2023. That concludes my financial remarks. I'll turn over to Rick for Q&A.

Great. Thank you, Scott. Look forward to talking to anyone on the call. Thanks.

Today's first question comes from Freddie Strickland with Janney Montgomery Scott.

I just wanted to start on expense trends, understand the revenue drop in the fourth quarter impacted the ratios on G&A and compensation. I mean, should we expect a more normal year for those ratios as we look into this year?

Thank you for joining us, Freddie. I reviewed the report this morning, and I believe it captured the situation fairly well. As we look to 2024 and start preparing for the first quarter, considering the increase in Q4 and broader market participation, we anticipate the compensation ratio will decrease toward our normalized target of 55% as we progress. However, we are making investments in the business and hiring new personnel, which may impact that ratio depending on the timing of those decisions throughout the year. If market progress were to halt or if we have upcoming projects, it could also affect the ratio. While we expect it to trend in a favorable direction, we remain committed to investing in the business. I've mentioned in previous calls the necessity of investing in personnel to drive growth, which has an impact on earnings and EBITDA. What we're experiencing in 2023 reflects market effects combined with these new investments that haven't yet achieved the desired compensation and EBITDA ratios. Looking ahead to 2024, we are considering increasing the ratio, though it won't reach 59%, and it will be above our usual 55%. We prefer not to make significant adjustments in the fourth quarter to normalize the annual results, as seen in the substantial adjustment in the fourth quarter of 2021, which brought our ratio down to around 52% or 53%. Given our planned investments and the economic environment, it seems sensible to maintain a higher steady-state basis. Without major new investments, we aim to target that 55% cash compensation ratio. Our business model remains unchanged; it's really about being realistic regarding the current market conditions. I hope this clarifies things thoroughly.

No, that's very helpful. I appreciate that. And just switching gears for a second. I appreciate the color on the CIO pipeline. It sounds like there's still some solid momentum there, plenty of potential. Do you have an idea of how much OCIO could be as a percentage of total AUM four or five years? Is there a specific goal you have in mind and big picture there?

Yes. I mean my specific goal is for that to be a few to several billion. I know that's a bit of a range. But I could see us crossing well over $2 billion this year if things go well. Just the pipeline alone is $585 million, up from $400 million last quarter. And it's always been my goal for it to be in that range. When we're talking about total assets to use the metric you just gave of $33 billion, then the total within a reasonable period of time could well be 15% of total AUM. In terms of discretionary AUM, which is down at 28, let's say, where is it? Where are we at? Sorry, I lost my data here. And anyway, it would be a higher share of that, let's call it, 20% or something like that. But that will take a couple of few years to get to $21.9 billion, sorry, it eluded me. So if we can increase as I expect to, let's say double it over the next two years or so, that's going to be a meaningful part of our AUM. One important part about OCIO is that there are a lot of consultants and players that are virtually giving the business away. We don't view it as an economic model, and we're being very selective about the institutions we work with. Who want a partner, who want bespoke solutions, who want discretionary management? And so in doing that, we're maintaining a reasonable fee basis that looks more like our institutional business, but it also means our passing on really low fee-basis business that we don't think progresses things, that takes a lot of effort for very little reward. The sum total of that means that we will grow steadily, but a bit more slowly if we were just trying to win everything out there.

Understood. Just one last one real quick. Just curious in terms of M&A acquiring other asset managers, have you seen pricing shift at all there?

I've seen it shift a bit. There are players who have sort of exited temporarily, it seems. They’re really aggressive acquisition that we were seeing in the past, it continues to be pretty hot, especially at the smaller retail end of things. The multiples definitely have come down, but I would argue they've come down more in deal terms than they have in, say, the nominal multiple that's put on a business because if you shift more to earnouts or certain performance goals over a period of years, the nominal multiple on EBITDA for the business may still look the same, but in effect, on a discounted rate and reality, it could well be very different. So if you want to use the analogy of sports contracts, right? Those big top multiples are being hit if there is growth, if you win the Super Bowl, whatever it might be. So in practical terms, they've come down even if they've only slightly come down in terms of the headline nominal number.

I think sports analogies always help. So appreciate it.

The next question is from Chris Sakai with Singular Research.

Just I had a question on bonuses. How are they calculated? And what do we expect in this quarter and the year?

So there's a mix at the firm. Obviously, you have a lot of people who are on discretionary compensation plans. You have equity teams and investment teams that are tightly related both to their AUM revenue as well as to performance. I've mentioned before, for example, that our growth team in Milwaukee has had absolutely outstanding performance. That increases their compensation versus the amount of revenue that you're getting on AUM. Our portfolio managers are tightly linked to AUM revenue as well. The pool overall will grow when you make new hires, and that those new hires are ahead of any AUM or revenue growth. The real story here is investing in our partners to maintain the business in the face of some declining revenue in a difficult environment that we've been in for some time. What you're not seeing is an increase in the bonus pool. What you're seeing is an increase in the ratio to revenue. Bonus pools were actually down across the firm this year.

And can you help me understand as far as AUM and revenue is concerned, it looks like you had higher AUM than a year ago but about the same revenue. Is that just because of the mix in AUM?

If you looked at our AUM a year ago, we ended with $28.9 billion in total AUM, and we ended 2023 with $33.2 billion in AUM. So it's actually up as it was and discretionary. So a lot of that is mix. But keep in mind, there was a significant change in the fourth quarter that really had a lot to do with increasing that AUM. We don't bill in arrears. We don't bill in the stub period the money comes in. So the fourth quarter increase that you see in discretionary AUM is really a First Q 2024 item because we build quarterly in advance. Four days in the year really matter to us, and that’s the end of each quarter. So really, our year is set by where we are as of September 30, 2023. And as you know, there was a lot of market appreciation as well as new business in the fourth quarter of 2023 for us.

The next question comes from Sandy Mehta with Evaluate Research.

In your comments, you mentioned that overall equity markets have been broadening out a little bit in the fourth quarter, and as well as Q1. The Fed is done raising rates and now they're likely to lower rates. The financial stocks have done well in the last few months, which is a big component of value indices. So can you talk a little bit more about. I think you mentioned that the pipeline going forward or the marketability probably is improving. Can you talk about where you see in terms of marketing efforts going forward in this environment with the broadening market, do you see more traction going forward?

Yes, Sandy. While I don't see a strong connection between the market's expansion and the opportunities in our pipeline, it's clear that market participation greatly influences our revenue and asset performance. The overall economic climate and client events are significant factors that drive the pipeline. Currently, our institutional pipeline stands at $735 million, an increase from the $650 million we reported during our last earnings call. We've initiated several new searches, especially in the small-cap sectors, but the overall search environment remains quite subdued. We are experiencing some rebalancing and performance challenges that create headwinds, with the focus on active management leanings toward alternatives like credit and private equity. While I'm optimistic about our new business initiatives, it's essential to remember that the search environment is not robust despite the pipeline growth. On the high net worth side, the process of acquiring new clients is much less predictable, ranging from a month to several years, making it challenging to measure like we do with the institutional pipeline. However, we are observing increasing activity through various channels, including the internet and direct outreach, which bodes well for our high net worth business this year. We are also considering dedicated business development roles for that segment, marking a shift from relying solely on portfolio managers to drive business development. This aligns with our firm's growth and maturity, so we aim to invest in that area this year.

And you talked about the accrual rate or compensation as a percentage of revenue, are you still overall targeting EBITDA margins on a normalized basis in the high 20s range?

I think the business in a mature steady-state environment without investments should be in that range. Keep in mind as well that we're often in that range when we receive performance fees, the highest we ever hit, I think, was 32% EBITDA margin in the fourth quarter for 2021 for that year, which is a great market year, but we also had very substantial performance fees, which largely go to the bottom line. So that's in the mix. And of course, we haven't had any in the past two years. So that also affects kind of total revenue that affects that compensation ratio when you look at it. The compensation ratio in terms of the EBITDA margin we target has been, as you know, 55%, which leads to that better margin. As we've discussed recently, however, we've also seen higher expenses for some of our fixed costs in this inflationary environment, which occurred at the same time as declining or flat markets. That pressure is going to take a while to grow out of. So while we target that EBITDA margin, it won't be easy to hit near term. I've also said that as we invest in personnel, we could very well hit EBITDA and therefore, earnings in order to propel growth. And we're not afraid to do that. And that's a possibility. When we've done it in the past, we grew faster than those investments, in part because of very constructive markets. That's not the environment we find ourselves in. So in effect, when we made those investments previously over the past several years, those increased costs were hidden from our investors because we were able to grow faster than the investments we're making. So that's why I'm looking at accruing at a higher rate this year. It's going to take a while to continue growing out of this. As I said last quarter, I need to make these investments. I think it's good for the shareholders to continually grow the firm in this way. And then if I were to stop, I would absolutely expect both EBITDA and those margins to rise back to where they have been historically. Thank you.

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Rick Hough for any closing remarks.

Great. Thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter report as well as 2023 results. As I mentioned, things are looking constructively better, especially with the increases we saw in the fourth quarter continuing in 2024. And many of our new business initiatives are just very active right now, which gives me some optimism for being able to continue to grow throughout this year, especially with the tailwind of constructive markets. Look forward to talking to you in the next quarter, and I appreciate you dialing in. Thanks.

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.