Good day, and welcome to the Trex Company, Inc. First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Participants will be in listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to our host. Please go ahead.

Thank you for joining us today, and good morning, everyone. With us on the call are Adam Zambanini, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Prithvi Gandhi, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Trex Company, Inc. issued a press release earlier this morning containing financial results for the first quarter of 2026. This release is available on the company's website. This conference call is also being webcast and will be available on the Investor Relations page of the company's website for 30 days. Before we begin, let me remind everyone that statements on this call regarding the company's expected future performance and conditions constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. For a discussion of such risks and uncertainties, please see our most recent Form 10-Ks and Form 10-Q, as well as our 1933 and other 1934 Act filings with the SEC. Additionally, non-GAAP financial measures will be referenced in this call. A reconciliation of these measures to the comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in our earnings press release at trex.com. The company expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. With that introduction, I will turn the call over to Adam.

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Turning to the quarter, I want to acknowledge my first earnings call as CEO of Trex Company, Inc. Having been with the company for over 20 years, most recently as COO, I approach this role focused on continuity, execution, and accelerating the strategy already in place. Our five-year plan is clear. Our priorities are set, and our focus remains on disciplined growth, operational excellence, and delivering long-term value for shareholders. As part of that work, our leadership team has sharpened Trex Company, Inc.’s vision, mission, and values to ensure that we remain aligned as we scale. This is an evolution, not a reset, and it reflects both where Trex Company, Inc. is today and where we are going. Trex Company, Inc.’s vision is to shape the future of outdoor living through purposeful innovation that enriches people's lives. To support our ambitious growth and galvanize the organization, we recently codified five long-term strategic priorities. These priorities are designed to sharpen our focus and better leverage our strengths across marketing, innovation, and execution. Given their importance to our future growth, profitability, and long-term shareholder value creation, I would like to touch on each priority in detail. Our five long-term strategic priorities are as follows. First, to create an unbreakable bond with our end users—homeowners and pro contractors. Our goal is to deepen the Trex Company, Inc. brand preference and loyalty through superior marketing, product experience, and service. Trex Company, Inc. remains the undisputed brand leader in the wood-alternative market; we are committed to further strengthening that position through continued investment. We have already increased our investment in branding and marketing, highlighted by the launch of the next phase of our consumer- and pro-focused campaign centered around the “performance engineered for your life outdoors” brand platform. This multichannel media campaign will sharpen the focus on wood-to-composite conversion while also emphasizing many of our key differentiators, including technical innovations like our heat-mitigating technology as well as our marine and fire-rated solutions. I am excited about the momentum this campaign has produced and expect Trex Company, Inc. to become increasingly visible with both homeowners and pro contractors moving forward. Meanwhile, we are investing in technology to improve proactive lead generation among our programs to better support our valued pro contractors. This last quarter, we experienced a significant double-digit increase in lead generation, pointing to the early success of this investment. We are confident that these actions will help drive Trex Company, Inc.’s future growth. Next is our continued focus on high-performance innovation. As I mentioned on last quarter's call, driving high-performance innovation remains a central pillar of my leadership mandate. Shortly after joining the company, I led the development and launch of the game-changing technology that redefined the standards in the decking category, Trex Transcend decking. It was the first cap composite decking product that set a new standard of performance and aesthetics while serving as a catalyst to drive market share expansion over the following decade. At its heart, Trex Company, Inc. is the world leader in material science. We intend to sharpen our focus and leverage our tremendous development capabilities to invent and deliver a continuous stream of next-generation outdoor living solutions designed with what we believe is separator technology that makes the hardest innovation in the building products category imaginable. Our goal is to move beyond simply competing with our industry by introducing products with highly differentiated performance that effectively place us in a category of one. Building on the legacy of Transcend, our current pipeline focuses on category-defining performance. We are currently on track for a potential game-changing regional launch in 2027, followed by a more impactful national launch in 2028 through 2030. We are excited about our best-in-class products and our innovation pipeline and look forward to sharing more in the future. Our third priority is to optimize the channels for growth. Distribution remains a key component of the Trex Company, Inc. business model, ensuring that our products are readily available for pro contractors and homeowners. As a reminder, Trex Company, Inc. already has the most comprehensive distribution network with national coverage by two-step distributors and one of the very few brands in the world with a meaningful presence at both national home centers. The distribution channel has seen changes over the last five years with significant consolidation among both distributors and dealers in the two-step channel. We have seen rapid expansion of the home center retailers into the pro channel segment as they move beyond a purely on-shelf DIY focus. We expect the distribution landscape to continue evolving. Our goal remains clear: to maintain strong channel relationships at both the two-step channel and the home center retailers so that our products reach both homeowners and pro contractors across geographies. Our recent additional shelf-space wins at the home center, along with expanded territories with two key distributors, are proof of Trex Company, Inc.’s strong distribution network and demand for our comprehensive portfolio of products. And our recently redefined incentive and marketing programs have been well received by our two-step partners as we convert business away from the competition, further strengthening these valued relationships. Our fourth priority is more of a specific target—namely, lowering the cost of railing. Railing represents a material and rapidly growing part of our revenue mix, and with a large target of doubling our railing business in five years, its importance will only increase. Due to greater manufacturing complexity and a broader range of raw material components, the railing portfolio currently operates at a lower margin than decking, presenting opportunities for operational and cost optimization. We are applying the same continuous improvement initiatives and vertical integration strategies that successfully elevated our decking margins to our rapidly growing railing portfolio. And of course, as the product line continues to grow, we expect natural margin expansion due to economies of scale and greater utilization. Over time, we believe railing margins can approach those of the core decking products, contributing to an overall lift in the corporate margin. Our fifth and final priority, growth enablement, underpins all the others. This priority defines our approach in investing in our culture, technology, and talent to enable long-term profitable growth. We are strengthening our organization by building capabilities in digital and commercial excellence and fostering an innovation-driven culture that empowers teams to move with speed and discipline. We have already enhanced our leadership team, particularly in finance, adding significant capabilities in data analytics and forecasting, creating a new internal pricing group to implement a more nuanced portfolio-level pricing strategy that balances share and margin while improving responsiveness. Over the remainder of the year, I plan to add key senior roles, including a newly created Chief Commercial Officer who will integrate sales, marketing, and IT—which will enable technology, data and analytics, and customer insights—by providing sales and marketing the tools for commercial visibility that create revenue generation. Finally, we are aligning innovation and advanced manufacturing under a newly appointed Chief Operations Officer, Zach Lauer, to enable better coordination on commercializing initiatives in parallel. Our digital transformation is directly linking consumer inspiration to contractor execution, providing the TrexPro network with highly qualified leads and accelerating the wood-to-composite conversion cycle while optimizing our pricing analytics. As you can see, we are not waiting for repair and remodel demand to recover. Instead, we are taking proactive, disciplined action to accelerate growth, strengthen margins, and position Trex Company, Inc. for sustained outperformance. We are confident that these strategic priorities provide a clear roadmap for Trex Company, Inc.’s long-term success. Our team is laser focused on execution, and I look forward to updating you on the tangible progress we are making in these priorities. Turning to the quarter, we started the year with solid results, especially in light of adverse weather conditions and a continued uncertain economic environment leading many consumers to defer large-scale discretionary repair and remodeling projects. However, we are actively taking advantage of the current market environment to aggressively invest, ensuring that we capture a disproportionate share when demand normalizes. The trends underpinning our industry's long-term growth runway—the ongoing conversion from wood to composite materials, demand for low-maintenance outdoor living, and significant long-term repair and remodel tailwinds—have not changed. With that context, I will turn it over to Prithvi, who will walk you through the quarter in greater detail.

Thank you, Adam, and good morning, everyone. Unless otherwise noted, all comparisons are on a year-over-year basis. As Adam mentioned, we had a solid start to the year with net sales of $343 million, an increase of 1%. First-quarter volume is driven by both consumer sales and channel stocking to support the second- and third-quarter peak buying season. With our level-load production strategy implemented in 2025, we elected to reduce channel inventories for the early part of 2026 and rely on our own inventory to support peak channel requirements later in the year, resulting in lower first-quarter volume. From a channel perspective, we saw strong home-center-driven DIY demand early in the quarter, which shifted over the course of the quarter towards greater strength in higher-end pro-contractor-driven products. Gross profit was $139 million with gross margin of 40.5%, about 100 basis points better than we expected. A favorable mix of higher-margin premium decking products and lower sales of railing and margin improvements from continued operational excellence helped to offset an increase in depreciation expenses related to decking lines coming into production readiness at our Arkansas facility. Importantly, we did not experience any noticeable cost pressures related to the increase in oil prices related to the conflict in the Middle East. I would like to spend a few minutes diving a bit deeper into our raw material exposure, as it is the majority of our COGS—especially recycled LDPE. While recycled LDPE is a petrochemical, its pricing dynamic is quite distinct from virgin polyethylene, which is tied directly to the price of oil. Historically, recycled LDPE prices tend to lag virgin polyethylene by several quarters and generally exhibit less volatility. This reflects the substitution dynamic—users of virgin polyethylene typically need to see sustained higher prices before adjusting their production to incorporate even modest levels of recycled content, which in turn increases demand and prices for recycled LDPE. And supply of this material is not an issue, as we are entirely domestically sourced. As a leader in the use of recycled content, this is a significant competitive advantage, particularly during periods of raw material inflation when competitors relying on virgin inputs are more exposed to volatility. And while we are seeing increases in certain other input costs, such as diesel fuel and aluminum, we have a range of mitigating levers available, including cost-out initiatives, operational efficiencies, and product-specific pricing actions. Importantly, the same inflationary pressures also affect our competitors. Moving on to selling, general, and administrative expenses, which were $56 million in Q1, representing 16.2% of net sales. Excluding digital transformation costs of $1 million and Arkansas facility startup expenses of $200 thousand, SG&A was $54 million. SG&A came in below our expectations despite continued investments in branding and marketing programs to drive future growth. Lower self-insured medical costs and the timing of expenses more than offset higher investments in the quarter. Because we are in the final stages of the Arkansas facility build-out and did not finish as expected in Q1, interest expenses were capitalized on the balance sheet, resulting in no P&L impact. Our full-year guidance for interest expense now reflects completion beginning in Q2. Putting it all together, adjusted EBITDA of $103 million grew 2% in the quarter due to positive pricing and mix, cost control, and the timing of expenses. Free cash flow was negative $143 million as we built inventory and accounts receivable ahead of our peak selling season. This was an almost 40% improvement versus the prior year. As our capital investment needs declined significantly now that we are finishing the Arkansas facility, our balance sheet remains strong with our net debt leverage of 1x EBITDA at the low end of our target range of 1x to 2x. We are confident in our long-term free cash flow generation and continue to have balance sheet capacity to pursue our capital allocation agenda, which prioritizes an unwavering commitment to first drive growth, then return cash to shareholders through share repurchases, and lastly, to pursue disciplined M&A. In the quarter, the company took advantage of an opportunity in the stock price by executing continued aggressive share repurchases. For the first time in the company's history, we implemented an accelerated share repurchase, or ASR, to quickly buy back a large amount of stock. This $100 million ASR was part of our larger $150 million share repurchase announcement. We will be completing the full $150 million repurchase during the second quarter, and I am pleased to announce that the board has authorized a 10 million share increase to the company's existing share repurchase program, reflecting their confidence in the long-term intrinsic value of Trex Company, Inc. Turning to outlook. We are maintaining our full-year guidance based on our solid start to the year and our continued expectation for the broader repair and remodel market to be flat to down this year. We remain minimally exposed to input cost inflation. Our vertically integrated domestic recycling infrastructure and approximately 95% recycled content drive a highly stable cost profile, which helps protect margins during periods of petrochemical volatility. We continue to expect fiscal year net sales of $1.185 billion to $1.230 billion, adjusted gross margin of approximately 37.5%, and adjusted EBITDA of $340 million to $350 million. For the second quarter, we expect net sales in the range of $388 million to $403 million, and we expect to see a reversal of the gross margin benefit from product mix that we saw in Q1. Before turning the call back to Adam, I want to touch on two key metrics. The first is sell-in/sell-out. Sell-in represents Trex Company, Inc.’s sales to its distributors and home centers. Sell-out represents the sales from our distributors and home centers to dealers and end consumers. As we discussed in the past, quarterly sell-in and sell-out results can be influenced by timing, seasonality, and channel dynamics and, as a result, may not always reflect the underlying long-term trends of the business. To provide a clearer view of performance and how we manage the business, we are introducing a rolling 12-month sell-in and sell-out metric, which we will report each quarter going forward. This metric smooths short-term volatility and better captures fundamental demand trends by accounting for seasonality and other factors that are not fully reflected in quarterly movements. For Q1, growth for our trailing 12-month sell-in was 7% and growth for our trailing 12-month sell-out was 6%. The second metric is one which we believe will experience meaningful improvement not only this year, but for many years to come: free cash flow. As many of you are aware, we plan on ramping up production at our new Arkansas facility beginning next year. More importantly, the CapEx associated with the plant build-out will end this year, with the majority of our Arkansas-related spend finishing in the first half. We anticipate a total of $100 million to $120 million, down from $224 million in 2025—a more than $100 million improvement. And with construction substantially completed by the end of this year, we expect another meaningful decline in CapEx in 2027 to maintenance levels of approximately 5% to 6% of revenue, driving further improvements in free cash flow. We have built Arkansas to effectively more than double our revenue potential with just the purchase of additional lines. So this upfront investment will provide us with years of capacity expansion ability with minimal additional CapEx. This gives us a strong line of sight to continuous robust free cash flow generation regardless of the exact timing of a significant rebound in consumer demand. With our organic expansion needs met through our Arkansas campus, our capital allocation priorities will next focus on additional share repurchases and then on accretive bolt-on acquisitions. Trex Company, Inc. will return to the free cash flow generating machine that it had been before the recent necessary investment in capacity expansion, which started during COVID and will end this year. I will now turn the call back to Adam for his closing remarks.

Thank you, Prithvi. Hopefully, you can feel the excitement of the Trex Company, Inc. team about the great opportunities we see in front of us. While the current market environment remains challenging, we are investing in our business and aggressively innovating to capture a greater share of the growing addressable market. We remain the undeniable leader in our market, and we are infusing our team with a more focused, nimble, entrepreneurial culture that we had in the early days of my career at Trex Company, Inc. We are confident this is the right time to evolve our approach, leveraging our great history and brand. Before we close, I want to recognize our people. Their commitment, discipline, and focus on the customer continue to be the foundation of our performance. The progress we discussed today is a direct result of their work, and they remain committed to our long-term success. We believe when our people succeed, our shareholders succeed. Operator, we would like to open the call to questions.

We will now open the call for questions. The first question comes from an analyst with Jefferies.

Hey, guys. Congrats on a really strong quarter—really good execution. And Adam, congrats on the new role. It was very noticeable in terms of the energy you laid out in longer-term strategic plans. Give us a little perspective on some of the things you are looking to impact. We have noticed leadership changes. You called out the new COO role and certainly a new head of marketing. There appears to be a bigger focus on innovation and streamlining efforts so you can put out product quicker. Help us think through how you are approaching things perhaps a little differently and how that potentially unlocks the growth engine and gets products to market a little quicker.

Good morning. Thank you for the kind words; we really appreciate it. When I look at the marketplace today, it is a very dynamic and challenging market. You start to look at the consolidation of national accounts and inflation, and you have to ask: do we have the right strategy in place—which I believe we do, and we laid it out on the call. Do we have the right people? Absolutely. Do we have the right structure? And that is really what I am focusing on—making sure that we have the right structure to execute the strategy. Now on top of that, once we have that structure in place, we innovate, and I think that is where I add the most value to Trex Company, Inc., because when I talk about separator technology, it is about what is going to make Trex Company, Inc. a category of one. And so that focus right now is to take what Trex Company, Inc. used to have—let us say 100 initiatives—and boil that down to 20 underneath five imperatives. So we are working on fewer things that are more impactful to the organization. We want $100 million programs on everything that we work on. That has been our focus as an executive team, and I think it has provided the organization with a tremendous amount of clarity moving forward.

In an uncertain macro backdrop, how did sell-out trends shape up in the quarter? I appreciate the LTM number, but any more color on how that progressed intra-quarter? And perhaps how things are looking in peak decking season—April and May—and how the channel responded to programs you have rolled out and any marketing efforts?

Okay, a lot to unpack there. Overall, in terms of the quarter itself, as we said in my remarks, we managed sell-in to the channel based on our level-loading strategy, and essentially overall demand is progressing as we expected in our assumptions for the year. As we go through the busy season, the channel is on the lighter end in terms of the inventory they are carrying—closer to 30 to 40 days of inventory. Assuming a normal busy season, we expect more impetus for sell-in as we progress through the second and third quarters.

The lower inventory on the channel side is a function of our decision to take out volatility. For some high-level context as we look at Q1, January and February were fairly challenging. I think most people came out of those two months wondering how this year was going to pan out, but we saw a nice rebound in March as we moved into April. Everybody is still projecting flat to slightly down in the market, but we are expecting to outperform. One trend we have seen over the last year or two is more national accounts acquiring independent lumber yards and carrying less inventory. In many cases, they would carry 90 or even up to 120 days of inventory, and now we see some of them carrying around 30 days. That means probably fewer trucks in Q1, but when in-season demand hits in Q2, you must make sure you have inventory on the ground to execute because there is going to be quick pull-through.

The next question comes from an analyst with William Blair.

Hey, first topic is gross margin. You beat your internal expectation nicely. Can you unpack what happened? It sounds like mix might have been favorable.

Yes. Thanks for the question. In Q1, relative to our forecast, we were ahead by about 100 basis points, largely driven by favorable mix from decking. If you recall, we announced a price increase around our aluminum railing in January, and we did see some pull-forward in Q4 and, as a result, a lower mix of railing in Q1. That was the primary driver of why gross margin performed better in Q1.

Got it. And then SG&A also beat a little bit. I guess the guide still assumes that it is up year over year the rest of the way. Was there some timing issue in Q1?

In Q1, SG&A came in about $5 million lower than we had planned, driven by two things. One is favorability in medical claims, and that is a hard one to forecast. We feel good about the full year, but in any quarter, things can move around, and that is what we think happened here. Second, there was timing around certain expenses related to our investments in growth and brand awareness. We expect those to come through in the second quarter. To level set, we still expect full-year SG&A to be around 18% of sales. In Q2, we expect a significant sequential dollar lift in SG&A, based on certain expenses that should have been incurred in Q1 moving into Q2 and our continued investment in marketing and innovation that drive growth and brand awareness. With those things, you should see a dollar step-up from Q1 to Q2.

We also were trying to be responsible. The war in the Middle East broke out in Q1, and we managed the manageable. That was one area we looked at from an SG&A perspective. As things have calmed down, we are going to continue with the execution of our plan.

The next question comes from an analyst with UBS.

Good morning. The revenue outlook seems to imply a decent deceleration in the second half. It does seem to imply roughly 5% year-over-year growth in the second half despite a fairly easy comp in the fourth quarter. Is this really just conservatism given the conflict in the Middle East and macro uncertainty, or is there anything else you are trying to message?

You nailed it. In terms of growth, it is around 5%—our number is about 4%. When we look at this year, there are still some things we want to see in terms of how the war is going to pan out. If it keeps going on over the next several months, then yes, there is some conservatism. If we think this will settle down, there are opportunities for us in terms of execution. One wildcard is the lower-end consumer, who is still struggling. We still see the high end doing really well on the decking side, and we are definitely focused on converting more of the wood market—about 75% of the market is still wood—and we are getting more creative as to how we will convert that opportunity. A couple other things around the second half. We introduced a refuge PVC product; most of those sales will occur in Q2 to Q4. That should help revenue growth. Second, in line with the industry, we announced a mid-quarter price increase again around aluminum railings; that was not in our prior forecast. Third, our continued investments in marketing and innovation are showing green shoots—lead generation, sample orders—all progressing really well, and we expect to drive some conversion from that.

That is helpful. On the quarterly cadence of adjusted EBITDA margin, second-quarter revenue is expected to be up sequentially, but is it possible EBITDA margin is actually down quarter over quarter given factors like the step-up in SG&A?

From Q2 2025 to Q2 2026, you should expect EBITDA margin to be lower this year. We expect a little more than half of the Q1 gross margin favorability to reverse in Q2, and SG&A will see a significant dollar step-up between Q1 and Q2. Those two together create a different EBITDA profile versus Q2 of last year.

But sequentially, Q1 to Q2, EBITDA margin could be down as well?

Yes, Q1 to Q2 as well—you should see some decline in EBITDA margin.

The next question comes from an analyst with J.P. Morgan.

Hi, this is an analyst in for Michael. First, on cadence throughout the year and the back half, can we get an update on how you are looking at the R&R backdrop and how that connects to the full-year guidance range?

Looking at the home center business, there has been a lot of forecasts from negative 1% to 1% growth. We have seen many forecasts at flat to slightly down. We are doing low- to mid-single-digit growth. For the full year, it is about 3% right now in terms of our year-over-year growth. Our overall macro assumption on repair and remodel is unchanged—still flat to down with the back half better than the first half, in line with indicators like LIRA.

We are a marketing powerhouse, so we had to get back to our roots. That is the territory I have come from. We reinvested in that platform, made structural changes in marketing, and filled out that department. I feel like we are in a great spot. That really helps drive the high end of the marketplace. Once again, products like Trex Transcend and even our Select decking are doing really well, along with higher-end lines of railing. Those are the consumers buying right now. The focus is also on converting the low end—converting more wood users over to Trex Company, Inc. On the high end, there has been focus on the PVC area—not just with the introduction of Trex Refuge; we have other products that compete in the fire segment. There is plenty of opportunity, and a lot of the mid-to-premium end is doing well because our marketing is working.

The next question comes from an analyst with D.A. Davidson.

I was hoping to talk more about the shelf-space commentary. Can you help frame the magnitude of that expansion and how you expect that business to ramp over the next couple of quarters? Maybe some sense on price point?

Good morning. We would characterize it as meaningful. We have picked up both decking and railing slots in the recent line reviews. Trex Company, Inc. was one of what we believe are two winners at retail, and some peers did not do as well. We will not give a specific number, but it is meaningful for growth. In terms of timing, shelf resets are always challenging to time exactly. We will start to see some of those reset and some products in place now as we move into Q2, with momentum building from Q2 into Q3 and Q4.

A two-parter on railing. Can you talk about the pace at which you can drive improvements in controllable costs and how M&A may factor? Second, does lowering cost act as a catalyst for market share objectives and the pace of volume growth?

Great question. Railings are about material science. We have seen things this year that we are going to unlock on the material science side of the portfolio that will lower raw material cost of railing. In many cases, this will drive margin expansion. Trex Company, Inc. is aggressively priced in every segment—from the opening price point at home centers that can be $20 to $25 a foot, all the way up to systems at $250 a foot. Most of the material science benefits will drop to the bottom line. On vertical integration and acquisitions, these are very small companies we are looking at, but with meaningful impact in lowering raw material streams. In some cases, we can be more aggressive to convert, but we are satisfied with where railing sits today. The focus is on expanding margins.

Just to add, back in 2023 we said we would double our business by 2028. We are on track to do that.

The next question comes from an analyst with Goldman Sachs.

Good morning. This is an analyst in for Susan. On the high priorities you mentioned earlier, where do you see the biggest opportunity to drive above-market growth in the near term relative to those more helpful in the long run? Could you repeat which priorities? Yes—within the five you mentioned, which provides the biggest near-term upside to drive above-market growth versus those that are longer-term?

Near term, it is creating an unbreakable bond with end users—getting back to basics on marketing and having the right people in the right spots to convert more downstream with contractors and consumers. Not far behind that is launching high-performance innovation. We will start regional launches in 2027 and see a much more meaningful impact from 2028 to 2030 with national launches. But near term, it is the unbreakable bond with end users. We created a pricing department to price our products by channel. You want to avoid channel conflict between home centers and the pro channel, and sometimes products cross-pollinate. Our perspective is to have the right products in the right channels at the right price. The market is very dynamic with a lot of consolidation at the dealer and distributor levels. As there is consolidation, there will be channel changes long term. We need the right pricing strategy for each channel with the right products. We have been creating that structure to allow us to take market share while maximizing margins over time.

The next question comes from an analyst with BMO Capital.

Good morning. Looking at your full-year guidance, what is embedded within that in terms of sell-out—both decking and railing?

In total, our sell-in growth is about 3%. In terms of sell-out, we are assuming something close to that in the overall market.

That would imply a meaningful slowdown from the trailing 12 months, which was about 6%. But you are not seeing anything today that suggests that slowdown is happening—is that fair?

As Adam said, the year started slow, some of it driven by weather. Since March we have seen good order intake, and that continues through April. Overall, we do not see anything that would cause us to think otherwise.

Switching to capital allocation. You talked about CapEx coming down. As we sit here today and you have been active with share repurchases, can you talk about the M&A pipeline and how you rank priorities between repurchases and M&A?

Good question. Lee just joined us a couple of months ago, and we are actively doing the work. Adam has talked about areas of interest: number one, vertical integration and margin expansion; two, the whole outdoor living space from the fence back to the deck and house; and third, more distant, the exterior building envelope. That is the playfield. We are doing the strategy work now to identify targets and areas that would be very synergistic. We should have a point of view shortly, and then we will build out the pipeline. It is still early days around M&A. In terms of capital allocation, I always look at M&A against share buybacks—where is our share price, how much cash flow do we have, what is the intrinsic value, and the return of buying back shares versus using that capital for an M&A transaction. The big difference is M&A gives you future growth options; buybacks do not. That is the analysis we go through.

The next question comes from an analyst with Wolfe Research.

On your goal to lower the cost of railing and drive margin improvement, are there any numbers you can put around the opportunity in terms of cost reduction or margin improvement? You talked about eventually pushing margins closer to decking—can that happen in a five-year time frame? Expectations for inflation in 2026. You mentioned reasons why you should be shielded from inflation on LDPE. Can you put numbers around potential inflationary impact and what you are expecting in terms of price/cost relative to that inflation?

In our strategic plan, that can happen in a five-year time frame. We have it broken out by year, but we are not sharing that detail at this time.

As we said at the start of the year, price/cost for the full year is relatively neutral, and we continue to have that expectation. Three areas have some exposure, but we have taken steps to mitigate it. One is around virgin resins—on that front, we essentially have a fixed cost for the rest of the year, and that is baked into the forecast. Second is diesel prices—we pay for inbound freight and transfers between plants. We have pushed back against vendors on the cost of raw materials to offset some diesel inflation and are managing internal transfers to mitigate impact. Third is PVC—the new product we have introduced. Our costs are fixed through the balance of 2026 with our third-party sourcing. On all these fronts, we are well positioned in managing any inflationary impact.

The next question comes from an analyst with Loop Capital.

You mentioned the cold start to the year in January and February. Did you see delays with the start of the spring selling season in seasonal markets such as the Northeast that could benefit Q2 sell-through?

Looking at the northern markets—New England across to Minnesota and that upper northern belt—we were down double digits in Q1. In the Mid-Atlantic—draw a line across the U.S.—about flat. In the southern U.S., we started to see double-digit growth again. We could see the weather influence, and we are just now starting to see some northern territories wake up. The promising part is where the weather has been good, we have seen nice numbers across the board.

And on the mid-quarter railing price increase, any impact from the new Section 232 valuation on your railing products, and will the increase fully offset inflation pressure you are seeing?

In terms of tariffs, in our overall cost position it is less than a 5% impact, and through our pricing initiatives we are able to cover most of that cost increase.

The next question comes from an analyst with Benchmark Company.

Most of my questions have been asked. Follow-up about inventory in the channel and your own inventory. Your inventory looks a little higher than usual in Q1. Is that just an extension of level-loading? Was it in part because of the slow start to the year? Or being prepared for a bounce-back?

We have our level-loading strategy in place. We want to be there to serve the market when demand is ready. Channel inventory is about flat to prior year, but with pricing in there, on a lineal-foot basis external to Trex Company, Inc., inventory is slightly down. As discussed earlier, larger customers like national accounts did not take as much inventory. We believe demand will be there in Q2; therefore, we have a little higher inventory now in Q1 because those customers are going to need it right away as we move into Q2. That is the key change.

The next question comes from an analyst with Stephens.

I want to dig into the railing impact on margin a bit more. You mentioned that lower railing sales helped margins in Q1. I think the expectation was for a higher mix of railing sales through this year to have roughly an 80-basis-point impact to gross margin. Is that expected to normalize in Q2 fully? With movements in raws and pricing and initiatives to grow margins—which I understand you are not ready to fully quantify—is that still the best way to think about the margin impact for this year, and then improvement from there more in 2027?

Let me start by reminding everyone of what we said back in November when we reported Q3 2025 results. At that time, we stated we expected about 250 basis points of headwind to adjusted gross margin in 2026 on a full-year basis. We continue to have this expectation for 2026, and we finished 2025 with adjusted gross margin of 40% for the full year. Also in November, we said 170 to 180 basis points of that 250 was entirely from the depreciation associated with bringing Arkansas to production readiness. The balance—70 to 80 basis points—is from railing growth, and we continue to expect that for the full year. In Q1, we saw about 100 basis points of gross margin favorability from railing being smaller in the mix. In Q2, we expect a little more than half of that to reverse, and the rest will reverse through the balance of the year. That is how to think about it.

And Adam, you mentioned Trex Company, Inc. has historically been a marketing powerhouse and you are getting back to your roots. Is the thought that branding and marketing spend will continue at a similar level as a percentage of sales and grow with sales, or will there be a need to ramp that up more with new product rollouts?

As long as I am here, we are going to be investing in marketing. The 18% is a really good number. During COVID, you saw SG&A plummet—we were out of capacity—and we delivered strong numbers. If I go back in time, I would have invested more then to create more awareness around the Trex Company, Inc. brand. Will there be some leverage over time on SG&A? Sure, but it will not be 100 or 200 basis points. It might be 10, 20, 30 basis points as we expand and grow, because I want to make sure we are still investing in that platform to get more contractors and more consumers to buy Trex Company, Inc. We will continue to invest; when we can leverage, we will, but investing in marketing will remain very important.

Last one—on M&A appetite. Is there potential or appetite for larger deals, or more tuck-in, complementary stuff?

Our five-year strategic plan is tuck-in M&A, and we have been very consistent. Number one, vertical integration—this is about margin expansion. Number two, we have the license to own the backyard—from the threshold of your sliding glass door all the way out to the fence, Trex Company, Inc. could be anywhere in that backyard. That is where we would go next. Lastly, the envelope of the house. We view this as smaller tuck-in acquisitions that can add value. Our brand is our number one asset; there are a lot of smaller companies where the Trex Company, Inc. brand makes a lot of sense and helps us potentially grow our TAM. We reside in a $75 billion outdoor living market. Our TAM is around $14 billion, and if we can expand that over four to five years to $20 billion to $25 billion, that benefits Trex Company, Inc. in terms of opportunities to grow market share.

The next question comes from an analyst with Barclays.

First, on capacity dynamics: given demand trends and contractor sentiment, how does this support your strategy around incremental capacity, and how would you adjust the capacity network as the Arkansas facility ramps? Is Arkansas displacing any production elsewhere?

At the contractor level, we still see books out six to eight weeks on the low end, and in some areas eight to ten weeks. In some cases, contractors feel slightly better this year than last year. Part of that is our marketing investment—we are seeing significant double-digit growth in leads we are giving to our contractors, which may be extending backlogs. On capacity, we have been consistent: as we look at Little Rock and our growth, we would be looking at opening that in 2027 from where we sit today. Even if we did not see as much growth, Little Rock provides leverage—it is going to be our lowest-cost facility. We have one facility in the Winchester footprint that is over 30 years old. We will maximize our manufacturing footprint over the longer term. Our expectations are for good growth in 2027 through 2030, and we are going to need all that capacity—from Little Rock to Winchester to Nevada.

With the introduction of your PVC product, how is it faring regionally—Northeast, West Coast? And more broadly, on pro versus DIY, is higher-end luxury still outperforming the opening price point?

We still see outperformance from the middle to higher-end consumer, which has been consistent over the last several years. Trex Company, Inc. is putting more marketing effort into conversion from wood. We have a new campaign called “No Regrets.” If you have seen it on TV, it shows a dock owner maintaining wood versus a dock owner with a Trex deck who can go enjoy the boat for the day—No Regrets. It is a strong visual. Targeting wood is a huge focus. On PVC, we had a great rollout on the West Coast and are ahead of expectations on manufacturing. We are getting increased supply from our supplier. The largest market for PVC is in New England and the Mid-Atlantic, and we have quickly opened those two regions as we rolled into Q2. It is a roughly $0.5 billion market, and Trex Company, Inc. had not played in it. We plan to expand that over time as a great growth opportunity.

The next question comes from an analyst with Bank of America.

Can you talk about the right level of leverage for the business longer term, and would you be open to buying back more stock as free cash flow frees up next?

Thanks for the question. We want to manage company leverage between 1x and 2x. This year, free cash flow will increase by about $100 million versus last year. We expect to complete $150 million in buybacks by the end of this quarter. Then we will look at the rest of the year—where free cash flow is and how the business is doing. With the board's new authorization, we have capacity to do more buybacks. Based on where the stock price is relative to intrinsic value, it is still a compelling opportunity. Going forward into 2027, we will have even more free cash flow because we will essentially be done with capacity expansion. Share buybacks will continue to be a significant part of capital allocation.

A bigger portion will be marketing-related and the investments we are making to create awareness—linear TV, streaming, podcasts, and all forms you can think of to get the Trex Company, Inc. name out. Then drive to trex.com—there are investments in the website—and investments in innovation. If you want game-changing innovation, you have to invest in R&D. The major buckets are marketing and innovation, with some in sales to support and execute the strategy longer term.

That concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the floor to management for any closing remarks.

Thank you, everyone. Prithvi and I look forward to speaking to you and seeing you at upcoming conferences in the coming weeks.

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